United States World Agricultural Service Production · 10/02/2015 · Ukraine Corn: Bumper Harvest...

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board

United States Department of Agriculture Foreign

Agricultural Service

Circular Series WAP 2-15 February 2015

Thailand Rice: Production Forecast Lower as Acreage Declines

USDA forecasts 2014/15 milled rice production in Thailand at 19.5 million metric tons, down

1.0 million or 4.9 percent from last month and down 4.7 percent from last year. Harvested area is

forecast at 10.5 million hectares, down 0.4 million or 3.7 percent from last month and 3.8 percent

from last year. Yield is estimated at 2.81 tons per hectare, down 1.3 percent from last month and

0.9 percent from last year. Government restrictions on irrigation water distribution and falling

domestic rice prices caused farmers to reduce rice area during the winter or dry season. The dry

season crop is the second of two annual rice crops, with the summer wet season crop accounting

for 72 percent of total production. Satellite imagery analysis has confirmed that rice area in

January 2015 is much reduced from levels achieved last year in both the central plains and

northern regions. These two regions typically account for over 80 percent of total dry season rice

production. The planting window for dry season rice extends into late February, with harvest

generally occurring from March through June. (For more information, please contact

[email protected].)

World Agricultural Production

mailto:[email protected]

2

Argentina Corn: Recent Rain Showers Promote Crop Progress

The 2014/15 Argentina corn crop is forecast at 23.0 million metric tons, a 4.5 percent increase

from last month but a 12 percent drop from last year. Recent rains have reversed the dryness in

the south, including central Buenos Aires, La Pampa, and western Cordoba and in the northern

and western fringes of the agricultural regions. Harvested area forecasts remain unchanged from

last month at 3.0 million hectares, a 12 percent drop from last year. Yield is forecast at 7.67 tons

per hectare, up 4.6 percent from last month and 0.3 percent from last year. Only about half the

corn crop was seeded by the first week of December and crop stage varies across the country.

The crop condition is reported as excellent around the delegation of Marco Juárez within the

province of Cordoba, where some corn was planted later and is just now entering the late

vegetative stage into pollination. In the drier region of Entre Rios, early planted corn is ready for

harvest. (For additional information, please contact [email protected].)

Ukraine Corn: Bumper Harvest Stands as Second-Highest on Record

USDA estimates Ukraine corn

production for 2014/15 at 28.5

million metric tons, up 1.45 million

from last month and second only to

last year’s record output of 30.9

million. The month-to-month

change is based on preliminary data

released by the State Statistical

Committee of Ukraine. Harvested

area is estimated at 4.6 million

hectares, which, like the estimated

output, is the second-highest level

on record. Yield is estimated at 6.15

tons per hectare, up 4.8 percent

from last month, down 3.9 percent from last year, and 13 percent above the 5-year average.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA February 2015Office of Global Analysis


3

A steady increase in the use of imported hybrid seed over the past ten years has been largely

responsible for a concurrent increase in yield, and seed imports for the 2014/15 crop increased by

about 20 percent from the previous year. The year-to-year drop in yield, despite the higher seed

imports, is attributed to two factors, hot and dry weather conditions and high input prices.

Although the overall weather during the growing season was not remarkably unfavorable, the

corn crop in several key territories in central and south-central Ukraine was subject to stress due

to hot and dry August weather. In addition, prices for mineral fertilizer and imported agricultural

chemicals increased by an estimated 25 percent this season following a significant drop in the

value of the hyrvna (UAH). As a result, imports of agricultural chemicals decreased by 15

percent from the previous year, including a 21-percent drop in herbicide imports, according to

data from the Global Trade Information Service. (For more information, please contact

[email protected].)

Argentina Soybeans: Recent Rains Replenish Soil Moisture, Encourages Planting

USDA estimates the 2014/15

Argentina soybean production

at 56.0 million metric tons, up

1.8 percent from last month

and 3.7 percent from last year.

Harvested area is estimated at

20 million hectares, unchanged

from last month but up 1

percent from last year. Yield

is estimated at 2.80 metric tons

per hectare, up 1.8 percent

from last month and 2.7

percent from last year.

Slow planting progress was

reported in the north western

part of the country due to

dryness. Recent scattered rains

increased soil moisture for

crop emergence and

establishment in some regions

but additional favorable rain is

needed to ensure heathy,

vigorous crop stands in

western and southern regions. Soybeans in southern Cordoba are experiencing good growth, as

recent timely rainfall aided plants entering pod set. Progress is slower in the province of Santa

Fe, where second-crop soybeans are slow to reach a complete canopy cover due to excessive

moisture on no-tilled wheat stubble where soybeans were directly seeded. High rainfall in

northern areas resulted in some crop disease showing up in fields with heavier soils. (For

additional information, please contact [email protected].)




4

Brazil Soybeans: Production Decrease Due to Dry January Weather

USDA estimates 2014/15 Brazil soybean production at a record 94.5 million metric tons, down

1.0 million from last month but up 7.8 million tons or 9.0 percent from last year. Harvested area

is estimated at a record 31.5 million hectares, unchanged from last month but up 1.4 million or

4.7 percent from last year. Yield is estimated at 3.00 tons per hectare, down 1.0 percent from

last month.

Brazil’s soybean yields have decreased due to drier weather in Goias, Minas Gerais and southern

Bahia. These states account for roughly 18 percent of Brazil’s soybean production. Rio Grande

do Sul has experienced above normal rainfall and potential increase in yields that should help

offset some of the losses in the drier areas. Soybean harvest is now 6 to 8 percent complete, with

the bulk of the harvest to occur in February. (For more information, please contact

[email protected].)

Malaysia Palm Oil: Production Forecast Lower

USDA forecasts 2014/15 palm

oil production in Malaysia at a

record 20.5 million metric tons,

down 0.75 million from last

month but up 0.3 million

compared to last year. Mature oil

palm area is estimated at 4.69

million hectares up 0.16 million

or 4 percent from last year.

Government authorities have

indicated that torrential rainfall

and flooding caused lower than

expected crop yields and harvest

activity in the past few months.

December rainfall was especially



5

high, with up to 1,750 millimeters or 70 inches of rain occurring in important growing areas in

peninsular West Malaysia. The heaviest accumulations occurred in the states of Pahang,

Terengganu, and Kelantan.

The Malaysian Palm Oil Board (MPOB) reported in January that approximately 184,000

hectares of oil palm plantations were affected by flooding, representing about 18 percent of total

planted area in the affected states. Malaysia is currently in the low seasonal production period

(Jan-Apr), with yields expected to improve over the next 6 months. However, industry observers

also reported that a shortage of skilled plantation labor is hampering harvest operations, while an

aging tree population is contributing to lower national yields. Malaysia will soon be entering the

period (March-November) when palm oil yield rises. (For additional information, please contact

[email protected].)

Argentina Wheat: Harvest Closes with Mixed Results

USDA forecasts Argentina wheat

production for 2014/15 at 12.5

million metric tons, up 0.5

million tons or 4.2 percent from

last month and 19 percent from

last year. Area is estimated at 4.2

million hectares, up 2.4 percent

from last month and up 20

percent from last year. Yield is

forecast at 2.98 tons per hectare,

up 1.7 percent from last month

but down 0.8 percent from last

year. Fluctuating temperatures

throughout the season, sporadic

rainfall, and uneven stand

establishment all contributed to

the final estimate of area

harvested and yield as well as to the grain quality. The central and southern growing regions

experienced a warmer than normal season punctuated with brief episodes of cold weather,

hastening the wheat pollination phase and reducing grain yield and quality. Some areas in Santa

Fe, Entre Rios, and Buenos Aires had intense rainfall during much of the season, resulting in

localized disease and loss of nitrogen fertility from fields prior to pollination and grain fill. In

the northern wheat regions as well as into Cordoba, dry conditions prevailed, negatively

affecting pollination and subsequent grain fill. (For additional information, please contact

[email protected].)




6

World Agricultural Production

U.S. Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service / Office of Global Analysis

International Production Assessment Division (IPAD / PECAD)

Ag Box 1051, Room 4630, South Building

Washington, DC 20250-1051

http://www.pecad.fas.usda.gov/

Telephone: (202) 720-1156 Fax: (202) 720-1158

This report uses information from the Foreign Agricultural Service’s (FAS) global network of

agricultural attachés and counselors, official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign

source materials, and the analysis of economic data and satellite imagery. Estimates of foreign

area, yield, and production are from the International Production Assessment Division, FAS, and

are reviewed by USDA’s Inter-Agency Commodity Estimates Committee. Estimates of U.S.

area, yield, and production are from USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service. Numbers

within the report may not add to totals because of rounding. This report reflects official USDA

estimates released in the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE-538),

February 10, 2015.

Printed copies are available from the National Technical Information Service. Download

an order form at http://www.ntis.gov/products/specialty/usda/fas_a-g.asp, or call NTIS at

1-800-363-2068.

The FAS International Production Assessment Division prepared this report. The next issue of

World Agricultural Production will be released after 12:00 p.m. Eastern Time, March 10, 2015.

Conversion Table

Metric tons to bushels

Wheat, soybeans = MT * 36.7437

Corn, sorghum, rye = MT * 39.36825

Barley = MT * 45.929625

Oats = MT * 68.894438

Metric tons to 480-lb bales

Cotton = MT * 4.592917

Metric tons to hundredweight

Rice = MT * 22.04622

Area & weight

1 hectare = 2.471044 acres

1 kilogram = 2.204622 pounds


http://www.pecad.fas.usda.gov/

For further information, contact:

U.S. Department of Agriculture

Foreign Agricultural Service

Office of Global Analysis

International Production Assessment Division

Ag Box 1051, Room 4630, South Building

Washington, DC 20250-1051

Telephone: (202) 720-1156 Fax: (202) 720-1158

GENERAL INFORMATION Acting Director Paul Provance 202-720-2974 [email protected]

USDA Remote Sensing Advisor Glenn Bethel 202-720-1280 [email protected]

Sr. Analyst/Technical Lead Curt Reynolds, PhD 202-690-0134 [email protected]

Sr. Analyst/Satellite Imagery Dath Mita, PhD 202-720-7339 [email protected]

Archives Manager/Technical Lead

Sr. Analyst/ Global Special Jim Crutchfield 202-690-0135 [email protected]

Projects Manager/Technical Lead

Sr. Analyst/Technical Lead Robert Tetrault 202-720-1071 [email protected]

GIS Analyst/WAP Coordinator Justin Jenkins 202-720-0419 [email protected]

Program Analyst Mary Jackson 202-720-0886 [email protected]

Management Analyst Rishan Chaudhry 202-720-1157 [email protected]

Administrative Assistant/COTR Terri Lagarde 202-720-1156 [email protected]

COUNTRY- AND REGION-SPECIFIC INFORMATION South América, Argentina and Colombia Denise McWilliams, PhD 202-720-0107 [email protected]

Western and Central Europe, Bryan Purcell 202-690-0138 [email protected]

and North Africa

Russia, Kazakhstan, Ukraine, Mark Lindeman 202-690-0143 [email protected]

and other FSU-12 countries

Canada, Caribbean, Sri Lanka, Arnella Trent 202-720-0881 [email protected]

and Bangladesh

East Asia, China, and Japan Paulette Sandene 202-690-0133 [email protected]

India, Pakistan, and Nepal Dath Mita, PhD 202-720-7339 [email protected]

Sub-Saharan Africa, Mexico, Curt Reynolds, PhD 202-690-0134 [email protected]

Nigeria and South Africa

S.E. Asia, Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, Michael Shean 202-720-7366 [email protected]

Cambodia, and Vietnam

Brazil, Venezuela, Central America, Robert Tetrault 202-720-1071 [email protected]

Australia, New Zealand, Jim Crutchfield 202-690-0135 [email protected] Papua New Guinea, and South Pacific Islands

Middle East, Afghanistan, Iraq, Bill Baker, PhD 202-260-8109 [email protected]

Iran, Syria

Western United States Justin Jenkins 202-720-0419 [email protected]

Eastern United States Paul Provance 202-720-2974 [email protected]

Crop Analyst Vacant




The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution (PSD) database for

cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates

(WASDE) report is released. This circular is released by 12:15 p.m.

FAS Reports and Databases:

Current World Market and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDataPublications.aspx

Archives World Market and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7

Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online):

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx

Global Agricultural Trade System (U.S. Exports and Imports):

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx

Export Sales Report:

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/

Global Agricultural Information Network (Agricultural Attaché Reports):

http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx

Other USDA Reports:

World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE):

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/

Economic Research Service:

http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops

National Agricultural Statistics Service:

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/


http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDataPublications.aspx

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/

http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/

http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

Million Metric Tons

Table 01 World Crop Production Summary

World

-

Total

Foreign

North

America

North

America

North

America

Former

Soviet

Former

Soviet

Asia

(WAP)

Asia

(WAP)

Asia

(WAP)

Asia

(WAP)

Asia

(WAP)

South

America

South

America

Selected

Other

Selected

Other

Selected

Other

All

Others

none

-

none

-

United

States

Mexico

-

Canada

-

Russia

-

Ukraine

-

China

-

India

-

Indo-

nesia

Paki-

stan

Thai-

land

Argen-

tina

Brazil

-

Aus-

tralia

Turkey

-

none

-

none

-

South

Africa

Commodity

---Million metric tons---

Wheat

2012/13 219.715.51.922.94.49.30.023.30.094.9121.015.837.73.227.261.3596.7658.0

2013/14 prel. 239.918.01.827.05.310.50.024.00.093.5121.922.352.13.437.558.1657.3715.4

2014/15 proj.

Dec 244.615.01.824.06.312.00.025.00.095.9126.024.559.03.729.355.1667.1722.2

Jan 245.815.01.824.06.312.00.025.00.095.9126.024.559.03.729.355.1668.3723.4

Coarse Grains

2012/13 312.210.612.911.484.337.24.75.68.539.9212.229.528.728.924.4285.3851.01,136.3

2013/14 prel. 330.113.115.312.481.934.55.05.69.142.7225.139.935.732.128.7367.1911.21,278.3

2014/15 proj.

Dec 340.79.314.111.278.129.25.05.69.237.3222.237.841.031.321.9381.4893.91,275.3

Jan 341.49.314.111.277.729.25.05.69.238.3222.237.841.031.321.9377.1895.21,272.3

Rice, Milled

2012/13 143.50.50.00.88.01.020.25.836.6105.2143.00.10.70.10.06.3465.5471.9

2013/14 prel. 147.10.50.00.68.31.020.56.736.3106.5142.50.10.60.10.06.1470.8477.0

2014/15 proj.

Dec 146.90.50.00.58.41.020.56.536.5102.0144.50.10.70.10.07.1468.2475.2

Jan 147.20.50.00.58.31.020.56.536.5102.0144.50.10.70.10.07.1468.4475.5

Total Grains

2012/13 675.326.614.735.196.747.624.934.745.1240.1476.245.467.132.251.6353.01,913.22,266.2

2013/14 prel. 717.131.617.140.095.546.025.436.345.4242.8489.562.388.435.666.3431.32,039.32,470.6

2014/15 proj.

Dec 732.224.815.935.792.842.225.537.145.7235.2492.762.4100.735.151.2443.62,029.22,472.7

Jan 734.424.815.935.792.342.225.537.145.7236.2492.762.4100.735.151.2439.32,031.92,471.2

Oilseeds

2012/13 77.32.21.45.784.853.70.65.110.837.559.812.710.90.919.093.3382.4475.7

2013/14 prel. 80.52.41.95.290.357.50.65.111.536.858.916.713.60.923.499.0405.2504.2

2014/15 proj.

Dec 84.22.51.94.297.258.90.65.212.138.057.316.013.01.021.7117.0413.7530.7

Jan 84.82.51.94.298.758.90.65.312.137.257.316.013.01.021.7117.3415.0532.4

Cotton

2012/13 18.42.70.04.66.00.80.09.30.028.535.00.00.01.00.017.3106.3123.6

2013/14 prel. 17.72.30.04.18.01.20.09.50.031.032.80.00.00.90.012.9107.5120.4

2014/15 proj.

Jan 17.63.20.12.27.01.10.010.20.030.530.00.00.01.20.016.1103.1119.2

Feb 17.63.20.12.27.01.10.010.40.030.530.00.00.01.20.016.1103.3119.4

1/ Includes wheat, coarse grains, and rice (milled) shown above.


Table 02 Wheat Area, Yield, and Production

From last month From last year

MMTPercent

Yield

(Metric tons per hectare)

Feb 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production

(Million metric tons)

Change in Production

2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Jan Jan

Prel.

2013/14 Feb

Prel.

2013/14 Jan Feb Percent

2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

216.30World 1.248.900.231.65725.03220.91 222.29 221.97 3.04 3.24 3.25 3.27 658.54 716.14 723.38

19.73United States -5.12-2.980.000.0055.1318.35 18.77 18.77 3.11 3.17 2.94 2.94 61.30 58.11 55.13

196.56Total Foreign 1.8011.870.251.65669.91202.57 203.52 203.20 3.04 3.25 3.28 3.30 597.24 658.03 668.26

none

25.97European Union 8.4812.170.120.18155.6925.83 26.80 26.80 5.16 5.56 5.80 5.81 133.95 143.51 155.51

24.27China 3.344.070.000.00126.0024.12 24.10 24.10 4.99 5.06 5.23 5.23 121.02 121.93 126.00

South Asia

29.86 India 2.572.400.000.0095.9130.00 30.60 30.60 3.18 3.12 3.13 3.13 94.88 93.51 95.91

8.66 Pakistan 4.171.000.000.0025.008.64 8.83 8.83 2.69 2.78 2.83 2.83 23.30 24.00 25.00

2.51 Afghanistan 0.500.030.000.005.032.55 2.56 2.56 2.01 1.96 1.96 1.96 5.05 5.00 5.03

0.77 Nepal 2.630.050.000.001.950.77 0.77 0.77 2.45 2.48 2.53 2.53 1.88 1.90 1.95

Former Soviet Union - 12

21.30 Russia 13.266.910.000.0059.0023.40 23.75 23.60 1.77 2.23 2.48 2.50 37.72 52.09 59.00

5.63 Ukraine 11.102.471.020.2524.756.57 6.30 6.30 2.80 3.39 3.89 3.93 15.76 22.28 24.50

12.40 Kazakhstan -6.78-0.953.970.5013.0012.95 12.20 11.92 0.79 1.08 1.02 1.09 9.84 13.94 12.50

1.40 Uzbekistan 5.150.350.000.007.151.40 1.40 1.40 4.79 4.86 5.11 5.11 6.70 6.80 7.15

0.71 Belarus 23.690.500.000.002.600.69 0.70 0.70 3.58 3.06 3.71 3.71 2.55 2.10 2.60

9.50Canada -21.93-8.230.000.0029.3010.44 9.46 9.46 2.86 3.59 3.10 3.10 27.21 37.53 29.30

South America

3.60 Argentina 19.052.004.170.5012.503.50 4.10 4.20 2.58 3.00 2.93 2.98 9.30 10.50 12.00

1.90 Brazil 18.871.000.000.006.302.20 2.60 2.60 2.31 2.41 2.42 2.42 4.38 5.30 6.30

0.44 Uruguay 21.820.360.000.002.010.50 0.58 0.58 3.58 3.30 3.50 3.50 1.58 1.65 2.01

12.98Australia -11.14-3.010.000.0024.0013.51 13.80 13.80 1.76 2.00 1.74 1.74 22.86 27.01 24.00

Africa

1.35 Egypt -0.61-0.050.000.008.201.35 1.30 1.30 6.30 6.11 6.31 6.31 8.50 8.25 8.20

3.14 Morocco -27.14-1.900.000.005.103.28 3.06 3.06 1.23 2.13 1.67 1.67 3.87 7.00 5.10

1.63 Ethiopia 3.430.150.000.004.401.75 1.80 1.80 2.11 2.43 2.44 2.44 3.44 4.25 4.40

2.00 Algeria -42.46-1.400.000.001.901.73 1.70 1.70 1.70 1.91 1.12 1.12 3.40 3.30 1.90

Middle East

7.80 Turkey -18.67-3.501.670.2515.257.70 7.71 7.71 2.05 2.44 1.95 1.98 16.00 18.75 15.00

7.00 Iran -10.34-1.500.000.0013.007.00 6.80 6.80 1.97 2.07 1.91 1.91 13.80 14.50 13.00

1.54 Iraq 6.060.200.000.003.502.57 2.46 2.46 1.36 1.29 1.42 1.42 2.10 3.30 3.50

1.60 Syria -37.50-1.500.000.002.501.55 1.30 1.30 2.31 2.58 1.92 1.92 3.70 4.00 2.50

0.58Mexico 8.380.280.000.003.660.64 0.69 0.69 5.58 5.29 5.29 5.29 3.23 3.38 3.66

8.04Others -0.12-0.03-0.12-0.0322.227.95 8.15 8.16 2.64 2.80 2.73 2.72 21.23 22.25 22.25

World and Selected Countries and Regions


Table 03 Total Coarse Grain Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Feb 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Jan Jan

Prel.

2013/14 Feb

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

315.86World -0.34-4.380.253.151,275.49323.39 318.04 318.97 3.60 3.96 4.00 4.00 1,136.27 1,279.87 1,272.34

39.21United States 2.7310.030.000.00377.1239.81 37.74 37.74 7.28 9.22 9.99 9.99 285.31 367.09 377.12

276.65Total Foreign -1.58-14.410.353.15898.37283.58 280.29 281.23 3.08 3.22 3.19 3.19 850.96 912.78 895.22

none

37.08China -1.30-2.920.000.00222.1538.38 39.07 39.07 5.72 5.86 5.69 5.69 212.19 225.07 222.15

31.36European Union 6.159.740.120.20168.2531.34 31.05 31.05 4.65 5.06 5.41 5.42 145.89 158.51 168.05

South America

16.88 Brazil -5.35-4.390.000.0077.7116.81 16.01 16.01 4.99 4.89 4.85 4.85 84.25 82.10 77.71

6.84 Argentina -14.44-5.154.451.3030.525.93 5.02 5.02 5.45 6.01 5.83 6.08 37.25 35.67 29.22


14.18 Russia 13.474.82-1.10-0.4540.5515.49 16.20 16.74 2.02 2.31 2.53 2.42 28.66 35.74 41.00

8.55 Ukraine -1.44-0.574.111.5639.358.78 8.40 8.44 3.45 4.55 4.50 4.66 29.53 39.92 37.79

1.95 Kazakhstan -3.45-0.121.500.053.392.26 2.29 2.31 1.17 1.55 1.46 1.47 2.28 3.51 3.34

1.27 Belarus 6.750.260.000.004.051.23 1.20 1.20 3.45 3.10 3.38 3.38 4.38 3.79 4.05

Africa

12.73 Nigeria -3.13-0.600.000.0018.6013.25 13.25 13.25 1.46 1.45 1.40 1.40 18.57 19.20 18.60

3.44 South Africa -9.49-1.480.000.0014.103.31 3.42 3.42 3.75 4.71 4.13 4.13 12.87 15.57 14.10

5.22 Tanzania -5.32-0.350.000.006.195.25 5.25 5.25 1.18 1.25 1.18 1.18 6.16 6.54 6.19

3.91 Burkina -3.32-0.160.000.004.604.05 3.85 3.85 1.17 1.17 1.19 1.19 4.56 4.76 4.60

5.18 Ethiopia -7.73-1.120.000.0013.356.16 5.89 5.89 2.37 2.35 2.27 2.27 12.29 14.47 13.35

0.98 Egypt -0.75-0.050.000.006.620.94 0.94 0.94 6.83 7.09 7.07 7.07 6.67 6.67 6.62

3.33 Mali 26.620.930.000.004.403.02 3.20 3.20 1.41 1.15 1.38 1.38 4.70 3.48 4.40

25.08India -9.13-3.901.310.5038.8125.38 24.11 24.41 1.59 1.68 1.59 1.59 39.94 42.71 38.31

Southeast Asia

3.00 Indonesia 1.100.100.000.009.203.12 3.12 3.12 2.83 2.92 2.95 2.95 8.50 9.10 9.20

2.56 Philippines 4.890.370.000.007.902.58 2.63 2.63 2.84 2.91 3.01 3.01 7.26 7.53 7.90

1.16 Vietnam 6.250.330.000.005.631.20 1.25 1.25 4.15 4.43 4.50 4.50 4.80 5.29 5.63

1.11 Thailand 0.000.000.000.004.961.15 1.13 1.13 4.20 4.31 4.38 4.38 4.66 4.96 4.96

8.92Mexico -2.75-0.88-0.64-0.2031.149.39 9.12 9.15 3.24 3.41 3.44 3.41 28.88 32.02 31.34

5.35Canada -23.76-6.830.000.0021.925.40 4.43 4.43 4.57 5.33 4.95 4.95 24.43 28.75 21.92

5.20Australia -9.39-1.160.000.0011.215.29 5.33 5.33 2.20 2.34 2.10 2.10 11.41 12.37 11.21

Middle East

4.16 Turkey -27.53-3.602.160.209.484.24 4.28 4.28 2.55 3.08 2.17 2.21 10.60 13.08 9.28

2.04 Iran 0.000.000.000.004.471.94 1.94 1.94 2.29 2.31 2.31 2.31 4.67 4.47 4.47

65.22Others 2.392.330.000.0099.8667.73 67.96 67.96 1.47 1.44 1.47 1.47 95.58 97.53 99.86

World and Selected Countries and Regions; Coarse Grain includes: Barley, Corn, Millet, Mixed Grains, Oats, Rye and Sorghum


Table 04 Corn Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Feb 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Jan Jan

Prel.

2013/14 Feb

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

177.59World 0.232.250.333.21991.29180.68 177.86 178.34 4.89 5.47 5.56 5.56 868.00 989.04 988.08

35.36United States 2.809.820.000.00361.0935.39 33.64 33.64 7.73 9.93 10.73 10.73 273.19 351.27 361.09

142.24Total Foreign -1.19-7.570.513.21630.20145.29 144.22 144.70 4.18 4.39 4.35 4.36 594.80 637.77 626.99

none

35.03China -1.37-2.990.000.00215.5036.32 37.00 37.00 5.87 6.02 5.82 5.82 205.61 218.49 215.50

South America

15.80 Brazil -5.66-4.500.000.0075.0015.80 15.00 15.00 5.16 5.03 5.00 5.00 81.50 79.50 75.00

4.00 Argentina -11.54-3.004.551.0023.003.40 3.00 3.00 6.75 7.65 7.33 7.67 27.00 26.00 22.00

0.31 Bolivia 0.000.000.000.000.730.32 0.32 0.32 2.26 2.30 2.30 2.30 0.70 0.73 0.73

9.72European Union 15.419.900.270.2074.169.74 9.57 9.57 6.06 6.60 7.73 7.75 58.90 64.26 73.96

Africa

3.24 South Africa -9.89-1.480.000.0013.503.10 3.20 3.20 3.82 4.84 4.22 4.22 12.37 14.98 13.50

4.16 Nigeria -2.60-0.200.000.007.504.25 4.25 4.25 1.83 1.81 1.76 1.76 7.63 7.70 7.50

2.01 Ethiopia -12.76-0.950.000.006.502.68 2.40 2.40 3.06 2.78 2.71 2.71 6.16 7.45 6.50

0.75 Egypt -0.86-0.050.000.005.750.71 0.71 0.71 7.73 8.12 8.10 8.10 5.80 5.80 5.75

4.12 Tanzania -6.65-0.360.000.005.004.00 4.00 4.00 1.24 1.34 1.25 1.25 5.10 5.36 5.00

1.65 Malawi 7.940.290.000.003.931.68 1.75 1.75 2.19 2.17 2.25 2.25 3.62 3.64 3.93

1.08 Zambia 30.450.780.000.003.351.00 1.21 1.21 2.65 2.57 2.78 2.78 2.85 2.57 3.35

2.27 Kenya -3.57-0.100.000.002.701.80 2.00 2.00 1.50 1.56 1.35 1.35 3.39 2.80 2.70

1.10 Uganda -5.39-0.150.000.002.601.00 0.85 0.85 2.50 2.75 3.06 3.06 2.73 2.75 2.60

0.96 Zimbabwe 62.500.500.000.001.300.95 1.30 1.30 1.01 0.84 1.00 1.00 0.97 0.80 1.30


4.37 Ukraine -7.93-2.455.371.4528.454.83 4.60 4.63 4.79 6.40 5.87 6.15 20.92 30.90 27.00

1.94 Russia -1.16-0.14-4.17-0.5011.502.32 2.60 2.60 4.24 5.01 4.62 4.42 8.21 11.64 12.00

South Asia

8.91 India -6.99-1.692.270.5022.509.50 9.00 9.30 2.50 2.55 2.44 2.42 22.26 24.19 22.00

1.14 Pakistan 0.000.000.000.004.991.14 1.14 1.14 4.39 4.38 4.38 4.38 5.00 4.99 4.99

0.91 Nepal 0.880.020.000.002.300.91 0.91 0.91 2.28 2.52 2.54 2.54 2.07 2.28 2.30

Southeast Asia

3.00 Indonesia 1.100.100.000.009.203.12 3.12 3.12 2.83 2.92 2.95 2.95 8.50 9.10 9.20

2.56 Philippines 4.890.370.000.007.902.58 2.63 2.63 2.84 2.91 3.01 3.01 7.26 7.53 7.90

1.16 Vietnam 6.250.330.000.005.631.20 1.25 1.25 4.15 4.43 4.50 4.50 4.80 5.29 5.63

1.08 Thailand 0.000.000.000.004.901.12 1.10 1.10 4.26 4.38 4.45 4.45 4.60 4.90 4.90

6.90Mexico 1.400.320.870.2023.207.05 6.95 7.08 3.13 3.24 3.31 3.28 21.59 22.88 23.00

1.42Canada -18.98-2.690.000.0011.501.48 1.23 1.23 9.21 9.59 9.35 9.35 13.06 14.19 11.50

0.53Turkey -5.88-0.304.350.204.800.58 0.55 0.55 8.38 8.79 8.36 8.73 4.40 5.10 4.60

22.16Others 1.670.870.310.1652.8222.73 22.60 22.63 2.16 2.29 2.33 2.33 47.81 51.95 52.66



Table 05 Barley Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Feb 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Jan Jan

Prel.

2013/14 Feb

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

50.19World -3.56-5.170.330.46140.2050.72 49.21 49.82 2.59 2.87 2.84 2.81 129.81 145.37 139.74

1.33United States -18.44-0.870.000.003.851.23 0.99 0.99 3.60 3.84 3.89 3.89 4.77 4.72 3.85

48.87Total Foreign -3.06-4.300.340.46136.3549.49 48.22 48.83 2.56 2.84 2.82 2.79 125.04 140.65 135.89

none

12.53European Union 0.480.290.000.0059.9312.36 12.44 12.44 4.38 4.83 4.82 4.82 54.88 59.64 59.93


7.63 Russia 29.964.612.560.5020.008.02 8.20 8.80 1.83 1.92 2.38 2.27 13.95 15.39 19.50

3.29 Ukraine 24.981.890.530.059.453.23 3.20 3.20 2.11 2.34 2.94 2.95 6.94 7.56 9.40

1.60 Kazakhstan -5.00-0.13-3.52-0.092.411.84 1.90 1.91 0.94 1.38 1.32 1.26 1.50 2.54 2.50

0.56 Belarus 25.450.430.000.002.100.57 0.60 0.60 3.44 2.94 3.50 3.50 1.92 1.67 2.10

0.29 Azerbaijan -27.01-0.220.000.000.600.33 0.30 0.30 2.54 2.50 2.00 2.00 0.74 0.82 0.60

2.75Canada -30.45-3.120.000.007.122.65 2.14 2.14 2.91 3.86 3.33 3.33 8.01 10.24 7.12

3.64Australia -20.33-1.940.000.007.603.92 3.80 3.80 2.05 2.43 2.00 2.00 7.47 9.54 7.60

Middle East

3.30 Turkey -45.21-3.300.000.004.003.33 3.40 3.40 1.67 2.19 1.18 1.18 5.50 7.30 4.00

1.68 Iran 0.000.000.000.003.201.58 1.58 1.58 2.03 2.03 2.03 2.03 3.40 3.20 3.20

0.60 Iraq 5.930.060.000.001.001.07 1.15 1.15 0.83 0.88 0.87 0.87 0.50 0.94 1.00

1.25 Syria -61.11-0.550.000.000.351.28 0.50 0.50 0.64 0.71 0.70 0.70 0.80 0.90 0.35

Africa

1.02 Ethiopia 2.290.050.000.002.101.21 1.25 1.25 1.75 1.70 1.68 1.68 1.78 2.05 2.10

1.89 Morocco -37.04-1.000.000.001.701.69 1.44 1.44 0.63 1.60 1.18 1.18 1.20 2.70 1.70

1.00 Algeria -13.33-0.200.000.001.300.90 0.80 0.80 1.50 1.67 1.63 1.63 1.50 1.50 1.30

0.32 Tunisia 181.250.580.000.000.900.24 0.58 0.58 1.25 1.31 1.55 1.55 0.40 0.32 0.90

0.09 South Africa 17.670.050.000.000.310.08 0.09 0.09 3.51 3.28 3.68 3.68 0.30 0.27 0.31

South America

1.50 Argentina -36.84-1.750.000.003.001.27 0.90 0.90 3.33 3.74 3.33 3.33 5.00 4.75 3.00

0.12 Uruguay -1.27-0.010.000.000.390.11 0.11 0.11 3.50 3.59 3.55 3.55 0.42 0.40 0.39

0.10 Brazil 0.000.000.000.000.330.11 0.11 0.11 2.79 3.14 3.14 3.14 0.29 0.33 0.33

0.77India 3.430.060.000.001.810.78 0.81 0.81 2.10 2.24 2.23 2.23 1.62 1.75 1.81

0.49China 3.330.050.000.001.550.45 0.45 0.45 3.32 3.33 3.44 3.44 1.63 1.50 1.55

0.33Mexico 0.000.000.000.000.550.22 0.22 0.22 3.15 2.56 2.56 2.56 1.03 0.55 0.55

0.25Afghanistan 0.000.000.000.000.400.28 0.28 0.28 0.90 1.43 1.43 1.43 0.23 0.40 0.40

1.87Others -3.28-0.14-0.050.004.251.99 1.99 1.99 2.16 2.21 2.14 2.13 4.05 4.39 4.25



Table 06 Oats Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Feb 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Jan Jan

Prel.

2013/14 Feb

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

9.45World -4.28-1.011.150.2622.599.68 9.42 9.50 2.23 2.44 2.37 2.38 21.11 23.60 22.33

0.41United States 7.780.070.000.001.010.41 0.42 0.42 2.19 2.30 2.43 2.43 0.89 0.94 1.01

9.04Total Foreign -4.78-1.081.200.2621.589.27 9.00 9.09 2.24 2.44 2.37 2.38 20.21 22.66 21.32

none

2.67European Union -6.19-0.520.000.007.872.62 2.59 2.59 2.97 3.20 3.04 3.04 7.91 8.39 7.87


2.86 Russia 6.450.325.000.255.253.01 3.00 3.08 1.41 1.64 1.67 1.70 4.03 4.93 5.00

0.30 Ukraine 30.620.145.170.030.610.24 0.24 0.25 2.09 1.94 2.47 2.49 0.63 0.47 0.58

0.13 Belarus 27.840.100.000.000.450.13 0.14 0.14 3.22 2.65 3.21 3.21 0.42 0.35 0.45

0.15 Kazakhstan -25.90-0.08-9.60-0.020.230.22 0.20 0.19 1.33 1.39 1.25 1.18 0.20 0.31 0.25

0.99Canada -25.50-1.000.000.002.911.11 0.91 0.91 2.85 3.51 3.20 3.20 2.81 3.91 2.91

South America

0.26 Argentina 3.370.020.000.000.460.22 0.23 0.23 1.91 2.07 2.00 2.00 0.50 0.45 0.46

0.17 Brazil 0.000.000.000.000.380.17 0.17 0.17 2.14 2.24 2.24 2.24 0.36 0.38 0.38

0.13 Chile 14.750.090.000.000.700.14 0.13 0.13 5.35 4.49 5.60 5.60 0.68 0.61 0.70

0.03 Uruguay 5.260.000.000.000.040.03 0.03 0.03 1.40 1.41 1.43 1.43 0.04 0.04 0.04

Oceania

0.73 Australia -13.27-0.180.000.001.150.74 0.73 0.73 1.54 1.78 1.58 1.58 1.12 1.33 1.15

0.00 New Zealand 7.140.000.000.000.030.01 0.01 0.01 4.50 4.67 5.00 5.00 0.02 0.03 0.03

0.20China 3.450.020.000.000.600.20 0.20 0.20 3.00 2.90 3.00 3.00 0.60 0.58 0.60

Africa

0.09 Algeria 0.000.000.000.000.110.09 0.09 0.09 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 0.11 0.11 0.11

0.05 Morocco 0.000.000.000.000.060.05 0.05 0.05 1.19 1.19 1.19 1.19 0.06 0.06 0.06

0.03 South Africa 0.000.000.000.000.060.03 0.03 0.03 2.00 1.83 1.83 1.83 0.06 0.06 0.06

Other Europe

0.07 Norway 0.000.000.000.000.240.07 0.07 0.07 3.42 3.42 3.42 3.42 0.24 0.24 0.24

0.03 Serbia 0.000.000.000.000.070.03 0.03 0.03 2.20 2.20 2.20 2.20 0.07 0.07 0.07

0.01 Albania -3.570.000.000.000.030.01 0.01 0.01 2.08 2.15 2.08 2.08 0.03 0.03 0.03

0.01 Bosnia and Herzegovina 0.000.000.000.000.030.01 0.01 0.01 2.70 2.70 2.70 2.70 0.03 0.03 0.03

0.09Turkey 0.000.000.000.000.210.09 0.09 0.09 2.36 2.33 2.33 2.33 0.21 0.21 0.21

0.05Mexico 0.000.000.000.000.090.05 0.05 0.05 1.79 1.80 1.80 1.80 0.08 0.09 0.09

0.01Others 0.000.000.000.000.030.01 0.01 0.01 1.86 1.86 1.86 1.86 0.03 0.03 0.03



Table 07 Rye Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Feb 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Jan Jan

Prel.

2013/14 Feb

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

5.03World -9.43-1.49-4.43-0.6614.345.44 5.15 5.02 2.74 2.91 2.91 2.86 13.77 15.83 15.00

0.10United States -5.67-0.010.000.000.180.11 0.10 0.10 1.64 1.72 1.76 1.76 0.17 0.19 0.18

4.93Total Foreign -9.47-1.48-4.48-0.6614.155.33 5.05 4.91 2.76 2.94 2.94 2.88 13.61 15.64 14.82

none

2.38European Union -13.72-1.400.000.008.792.56 2.16 2.16 3.69 3.98 4.06 4.06 8.76 10.19 8.79


1.42 Russia -1.79-0.06-17.50-0.703.301.78 2.00 1.86 1.50 1.89 2.00 1.77 2.13 3.36 4.00

0.39 Belarus 23.460.150.000.000.800.32 0.33 0.33 2.76 2.01 2.42 2.42 1.08 0.65 0.80

0.30 Ukraine -25.55-0.165.560.030.480.28 0.18 0.19 2.27 2.29 2.50 2.57 0.68 0.64 0.45

0.05 Kazakhstan 41.860.0222.000.010.060.04 0.04 0.04 1.00 1.10 1.25 1.42 0.05 0.04 0.05

0.14Turkey 0.000.000.000.000.350.14 0.14 0.14 2.59 2.50 2.50 2.50 0.37 0.35 0.35

0.12Canada -12.56-0.030.000.000.200.09 0.08 0.08 2.74 2.56 2.38 2.38 0.34 0.22 0.20

South America

0.01 Chile 16.670.010.000.000.070.01 0.01 0.01 6.20 5.45 5.83 5.83 0.06 0.06 0.07

0.02 Argentina -23.08-0.010.000.000.040.04 0.03 0.03 1.74 1.49 1.60 1.60 0.04 0.05 0.04

Other Europe

0.00 Bosnia and Herzegovina 0.000.000.000.000.010.00 0.00 0.00 3.67 3.67 3.67 3.67 0.01 0.01 0.01

0.00 Switzerland 0.000.000.000.000.010.00 0.00 0.00 5.50 5.50 5.50 5.50 0.01 0.01 0.01

0.00 Serbia 0.000.000.000.000.010.00 0.00 0.00 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.50 0.01 0.01 0.01

0.06Australia 0.000.000.000.000.020.04 0.04 0.04 0.70 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.04 0.02 0.02

0.03Others 0.000.000.000.000.020.03 0.03 0.03 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.02 0.02 0.02



Table 08 Sorghum Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Feb 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Jan Jan

Prel.

2013/14 Feb

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

37.97World 2.591.56-0.16-0.1062.0340.49 39.88 39.78 1.52 1.49 1.56 1.56 57.77 60.46 62.13

2.02United States 10.251.020.000.0010.992.67 2.59 2.59 3.11 3.74 4.24 4.24 6.29 9.97 10.99

35.95Total Foreign 1.070.54-0.20-0.1051.0437.83 37.29 37.19 1.43 1.33 1.37 1.37 51.48 50.50 51.14

none

Africa

4.77 Nigeria -3.08-0.200.000.006.305.00 5.00 5.00 1.25 1.30 1.26 1.26 5.94 6.50 6.30

1.71 Ethiopia -2.77-0.110.000.004.001.82 1.80 1.80 2.11 2.26 2.22 2.22 3.60 4.11 4.00

4.10 Sudan 55.621.250.000.003.505.60 5.60 5.60 1.10 0.40 0.63 0.63 4.52 2.25 3.50

1.79 Burkina -2.06-0.040.000.001.901.80 1.80 1.80 1.08 1.08 1.06 1.06 1.92 1.94 1.90

0.86 Mali 58.540.480.000.001.300.94 1.00 1.00 1.41 0.87 1.30 1.30 1.21 0.82 1.30

3.11 Niger -6.76-0.090.000.001.203.00 3.00 3.00 0.44 0.43 0.40 0.40 1.38 1.29 1.20

0.74 Cameroon 0.000.000.000.001.150.80 0.80 0.80 1.50 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.10 1.15 1.15

0.84 Tanzania 0.960.010.000.000.840.90 0.90 0.90 1.00 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.84 0.83 0.84

0.14 Egypt 0.000.000.000.000.760.14 0.14 0.14 5.29 5.29 5.29 5.29 0.76 0.76 0.76

0.37 Uganda 0.000.000.000.000.320.35 0.35 0.35 0.90 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.34 0.32 0.32

0.23 Ghana 8.300.020.000.000.300.23 0.25 0.25 1.21 1.20 1.20 1.20 0.28 0.28 0.30

0.62 Mozambique 19.680.040.000.000.230.63 0.62 0.62 0.39 0.30 0.36 0.36 0.24 0.19 0.23

0.06 South Africa -16.04-0.040.000.000.230.08 0.08 0.08 2.33 3.39 2.81 2.81 0.15 0.27 0.23

1.64Mexico -14.12-1.20-5.19-0.407.302.07 1.90 1.80 3.76 4.10 4.05 4.06 6.17 8.50 7.70

South America

1.05 Argentina -9.09-0.408.110.304.001.00 0.85 0.85 4.48 4.40 4.35 4.71 4.70 4.40 3.70

0.80 Brazil 5.820.110.000.002.000.73 0.73 0.73 2.62 2.59 2.74 2.74 2.10 1.89 2.00

South Asia

6.30 India -4.76-0.250.000.005.005.90 5.50 5.50 0.84 0.89 0.91 0.91 5.30 5.25 5.00

0.24 Pakistan 0.000.000.000.000.150.24 0.24 0.24 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.15 0.15 0.15

0.62China 0.000.000.000.002.700.65 0.67 0.67 4.10 4.15 4.03 4.03 2.56 2.70 2.70

0.65Australia 80.670.890.000.002.000.49 0.66 0.66 3.44 2.25 3.03 3.03 2.23 1.11 2.00

0.11European Union 19.480.120.000.000.740.12 0.13 0.13 4.19 5.13 5.62 5.62 0.47 0.62 0.74

5.18Others -0.89-0.050.000.005.145.34 5.27 5.27 1.06 0.97 0.98 0.98 5.52 5.19 5.14




Table 09 Rice Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Feb 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Jan Jan

Prel.

2013/14 Feb

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

158.20World -0.53-2.52-0.19-0.91474.56160.88 160.61 160.19 4.45 4.42 4.41 4.42 472.00 477.08 475.47

1.08United States 15.550.950.000.007.071.00 1.18 1.18 8.37 8.62 8.49 8.49 6.35 6.12 7.07

157.11Total Foreign -0.74-3.48-0.19-0.91467.49159.88 159.43 159.01 4.42 4.40 4.38 4.39 465.65 470.96 468.40

none

East Asia

30.14 China 1.381.970.000.00144.5030.31 30.31 30.31 6.78 6.72 6.81 6.81 143.00 142.53 144.50

1.58 Japan -1.95-0.15-0.27-0.027.681.60 1.59 1.58 6.74 6.73 6.65 6.70 7.76 7.83 7.70

0.85 Korea, South 0.260.010.020.004.240.83 0.82 0.82 6.37 6.76 6.91 6.91 4.01 4.23 4.24

0.58 Korea, North -9.57-0.180.000.001.700.57 0.57 0.57 4.62 5.07 4.63 4.63 1.74 1.88 1.70

South Asia

42.41 India -4.26-4.540.000.00102.0043.94 43.50 43.50 3.72 3.64 3.52 3.52 105.24 106.54 102.00

11.65 Bangladesh 0.610.210.000.0034.6011.77 11.80 11.80 4.35 4.38 4.40 4.40 33.82 34.39 34.60

2.40 Pakistan -2.99-0.200.000.006.502.76 2.76 2.76 3.63 3.64 3.53 3.53 5.80 6.70 6.50

1.56 Nepal -7.77-0.260.000.003.101.50 1.56 1.56 2.89 3.37 2.98 2.98 3.00 3.36 3.10

1.17 Sri Lanka -4.93-0.1410.200.252.701.15 1.10 1.10 3.36 3.63 3.28 3.61 2.68 2.84 2.45

Southeast Asia

12.19 Indonesia 0.550.200.000.0036.5012.10 12.16 12.16 4.72 4.72 4.73 4.73 36.55 36.30 36.50

7.86 Vietnam 0.320.090.000.0028.257.79 7.77 7.77 5.60 5.79 5.82 5.82 27.54 28.16 28.25

10.84 Thailand -4.69-0.96-4.88-1.0019.5010.92 10.90 10.50 2.82 2.84 2.85 2.81 20.20 20.46 20.50

7.04 Burma 1.610.190.000.0012.157.05 7.07 7.07 2.60 2.65 2.69 2.69 11.72 11.96 12.15

4.70 Philippines 2.880.340.000.0012.204.80 4.89 4.89 3.86 3.92 3.96 3.96 11.43 11.86 12.20

2.98 Cambodia -0.53-0.03-4.08-0.204.702.97 3.05 3.03 2.45 2.49 2.51 2.43 4.67 4.73 4.90

0.93 Laos 5.800.090.000.001.550.87 0.90 0.90 2.81 2.68 2.73 2.73 1.66 1.47 1.55

0.69 Malaysia 2.560.050.000.001.800.69 0.69 0.69 3.79 3.91 4.02 4.02 1.69 1.76 1.80

South America

2.39 Brazil 0.000.000.000.008.302.40 2.40 2.40 4.95 5.09 5.09 5.09 8.04 8.30 8.30

0.39 Peru -2.60-0.060.000.002.100.41 0.40 0.40 7.72 7.72 7.61 7.61 2.10 2.16 2.10

Africa

0.77 Egypt -5.26-0.250.000.004.500.77 0.65 0.65 8.80 8.94 10.03 10.03 4.68 4.75 4.50

1.55 Madagascar 19.080.440.000.002.751.30 1.45 1.45 2.94 2.78 2.97 2.97 2.91 2.31 2.75

2.00 Nigeria -8.01-0.220.000.002.552.50 2.30 2.30 1.88 1.76 1.76 1.76 2.37 2.77 2.55

0.45European Union 0.460.010.000.001.970.44 0.43 0.43 6.73 6.46 6.60 6.60 2.10 1.97 1.97

0.53Iran 2.000.030.000.001.680.59 0.60 0.60 4.43 4.24 4.25 4.25 1.54 1.65 1.68

9.47Others -0.58-0.120.300.0619.969.86 9.78 9.79 3.11 3.09 3.09 3.09 19.43 20.08 19.90

Yield is on a rough basis, before the milling processProduction is on a milled basis, after the milling process



Table 10 Total Oilseed Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Feb 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Jan Jan

Prel.

2013/14 Feb

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

--World Total 5.5327.87-0.04-0.22532.15-- -- -- -- -- -- -- 475.80 504.28 532.37

--Total Foreign 2.359.54-0.05-0.22414.80-- -- -- -- -- -- -- 382.48 405.26 415.02

--Oilseed, Copra -0.88-0.050.000.005.53-- -- -- -- -- -- -- 5.80 5.58 5.53

--Oilseed, Palm Kernel 4.800.76-0.48-0.0816.49-- -- -- -- -- -- -- 14.89 15.73 16.57

none

226.83Major OilSeeds 5.6227.16-0.03-0.14510.13229.45 234.84 233.66 2.01 2.10 2.17 2.18 455.12 482.97 510.27

36.68United States 18.5118.330.000.00117.3435.44 39.32 39.32 2.54 2.79 2.98 2.98 93.32 99.02 117.34

none

190.15Foreign Oilseeds 2.308.84-0.04-0.14392.79194.01 195.52 194.34 1.90 1.98 2.01 2.02 361.79 383.95 392.93

56.61South America 6.3110.270.040.07172.8859.64 61.17 61.21 2.72 2.73 2.83 0.00 153.71 162.62 172.82

28.77 Brazil 8.217.40-1.01-1.0097.6031.47 32.75 32.75 2.94 2.87 3.01 0.00 84.67 90.19 98.60

21.76 Argentina 4.212.421.811.0759.9422.04 22.26 22.31 2.47 2.61 2.64 0.00 53.68 57.52 58.88

3.34 Paraguay 4.790.400.000.008.753.32 3.48 3.48 2.53 2.52 2.52 0.00 8.44 8.35 8.75

1.26 Bolivia 4.120.110.000.002.781.18 1.24 1.24 2.29 2.26 2.24 0.00 2.88 2.67 2.78

1.32 Uruguay -2.57-0.090.000.003.441.48 1.28 1.28 2.78 2.40 2.69 0.00 3.67 3.54 3.44

25.43China -1.88-1.110.960.5557.8124.78 24.28 24.38 2.35 2.38 2.36 0.00 59.79 58.92 57.26

39.53South Asia -0.24-0.10-1.90-0.8041.3541.32 40.57 39.69 1.07 1.00 1.04 0.00 42.27 41.45 42.15

35.25 India -1.16-0.42-2.46-0.9035.6537.18 36.43 35.55 1.04 0.97 1.00 0.00 36.80 36.07 36.55

3.96 Pakistan 6.250.321.870.105.443.87 3.87 3.87 1.30 1.32 1.38 0.00 5.15 5.12 5.34

11.40European Union 11.463.63-0.08-0.0335.3212.04 11.94 11.94 2.47 2.63 2.96 0.00 28.15 31.69 35.35

19.87Former Soviet Union - 12 -3.92-1.370.220.0733.5020.77 21.63 21.19 1.41 1.68 1.54 0.00 27.95 34.86 33.42

8.45 Russia -6.10-0.83-1.89-0.2512.759.11 9.40 9.18 1.29 1.49 1.38 0.00 10.87 13.58 13.00

7.46 Ukraine -2.55-0.431.880.3016.307.65 8.20 7.98 1.70 2.19 1.95 0.00 12.71 16.73 16.00

1.35 Uzbekistan -2.31-0.040.000.001.571.29 1.29 1.29 1.31 1.25 1.22 0.00 1.77 1.61 1.57

10.52Canada -7.34-1.720.000.0021.669.90 10.34 10.34 1.81 2.36 2.09 0.00 19.04 23.38 21.66

16.89Africa 0.740.110.000.0015.3316.33 16.54 16.54 0.89 0.93 0.93 0.00 15.10 15.22 15.33

3.29 Nigeria 0.030.000.000.003.563.23 3.24 3.24 1.15 1.10 1.10 0.00 3.79 3.56 3.56

1.08 South Africa -3.27-0.060.000.001.861.17 1.24 1.24 1.31 1.65 1.50 0.00 1.41 1.93 1.86

1.34 Tanzania 0.000.000.000.000.981.24 1.24 1.24 0.77 0.79 0.79 0.00 1.03 0.98 0.98

3.52Southeast Asia -0.12-0.010.000.005.183.46 3.46 3.46 1.39 1.50 1.50 0.00 4.90 5.19 5.18

1.14 Indonesia -2.20-0.040.000.001.781.12 1.09 1.09 1.54 1.63 1.63 0.00 1.76 1.82 1.78

1.94 Burma 0.000.000.000.002.511.90 1.90 1.90 1.20 1.32 1.32 0.00 2.32 2.51 2.51

3.80Australia -19.71-1.020.000.004.153.16 3.02 3.02 1.51 1.64 1.37 0.00 5.72 5.17 4.15

1.07Turkey 2.950.070.000.002.481.10 1.03 1.03 2.05 2.20 2.40 0.00 2.19 2.41 2.48

1.53Others 2.230.070.000.003.121.51 1.54 1.54 1.95 2.02 2.04 2.04 2.98 3.06 3.12

World Total and Total Foreign: (Major Oilseeds plus copra and palm kernel)Major Oilseeds: (soybeans, sunflowerseeds, peanuts(inshell), cottonseed and

rapeseed)


Table 11 Soybean Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Feb 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Jan Jan

Prel.

2013/14 Feb

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

109.32World 11.0431.320.220.69315.06113.33 117.98 118.21 2.46 2.50 2.66 2.67 268.77 283.74 314.37

30.82United States 18.1916.630.000.00108.0130.86 33.61 33.61 2.69 2.96 3.21 3.21 82.79 91.39 108.01

78.50Total Foreign 7.6414.690.330.69207.0482.47 84.37 84.60 2.37 2.33 2.45 2.45 185.97 192.35 206.36

none

South America

27.70 Brazil 9.007.80-1.05-1.0094.5030.10 31.50 31.50 2.96 2.88 3.03 3.00 82.00 86.70 95.50

19.40 Argentina 3.702.001.821.0056.0019.80 20.00 20.00 2.54 2.73 2.75 2.80 49.30 54.00 55.00

3.16 Paraguay 3.660.300.000.008.503.20 3.30 3.30 2.60 2.56 2.58 2.58 8.20 8.20 8.50

1.09 Bolivia 12.500.300.000.002.701.00 1.16 1.16 2.42 2.40 2.33 2.33 2.63 2.40 2.70

1.30 Uruguay -2.86-0.100.000.003.401.45 1.25 1.25 2.81 2.41 2.72 2.72 3.65 3.50 3.40

East Asia

7.17 China 1.230.154.660.5512.356.85 6.70 6.80 1.82 1.78 1.76 1.82 13.05 12.20 11.80

0.08 Korea, South -17.53-0.030.000.000.130.08 0.07 0.07 1.52 1.93 1.72 1.72 0.12 0.15 0.13

0.12 Korea, North 1.230.000.000.000.170.12 0.12 0.12 1.46 1.41 1.40 1.40 0.17 0.16 0.17

0.13 Japan 3.540.010.000.000.210.13 0.13 0.13 1.80 1.56 1.64 1.64 0.24 0.20 0.21

10.70India 10.531.000.000.0010.5012.20 11.00 11.00 1.14 0.78 0.95 0.95 12.20 9.50 10.50

1.68Canada 12.890.690.000.006.051.86 2.24 2.24 3.03 2.88 2.71 2.71 5.09 5.36 6.05


1.35 Russia 55.010.901.440.042.541.20 1.80 1.88 1.39 1.36 1.39 1.35 1.88 1.64 2.50

1.41 Ukraine 40.591.132.630.103.901.35 1.75 1.80 1.71 2.05 2.17 2.17 2.41 2.77 3.80

0.42European Union 39.540.490.000.001.720.47 0.60 0.60 2.25 2.62 2.85 2.85 0.95 1.23 1.72

Southeast Asia

0.45 Indonesia -4.62-0.030.000.000.620.45 0.45 0.45 1.33 1.44 1.38 1.38 0.60 0.65 0.62

0.12 Vietnam 7.950.010.000.000.190.12 0.13 0.13 1.42 1.47 1.46 1.46 0.17 0.18 0.19

0.05 Thailand 0.000.000.000.000.070.04 0.04 0.04 1.70 1.67 1.75 1.75 0.09 0.07 0.07

0.17 Burma 0.000.000.000.000.250.17 0.17 0.17 1.23 1.47 1.47 1.47 0.21 0.25 0.25

0.14Mexico 14.170.040.000.000.290.16 0.17 0.17 1.75 1.60 1.76 1.76 0.25 0.25 0.29

0.07Iran 4.840.010.000.000.200.08 0.08 0.08 2.35 2.45 2.44 2.44 0.17 0.19 0.20

Africa

0.52 South Africa -2.54-0.020.000.000.920.50 0.56 0.56 1.52 1.88 1.64 1.64 0.79 0.94 0.92

0.57 Nigeria 0.000.000.000.000.450.44 0.44 0.44 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.02 0.58 0.45 0.45

0.12 Zambia 0.000.000.000.000.210.11 0.11 0.11 2.14 1.88 1.88 1.88 0.26 0.21 0.21

0.15 Uganda 0.000.000.000.000.170.15 0.15 0.15 1.00 1.11 1.11 1.11 0.15 0.17 0.17

Middle East

0.07 Iran 4.840.010.000.000.200.08 0.08 0.08 2.35 2.45 2.44 2.44 0.17 0.19 0.20

0.02 Turkey 4.000.010.000.000.130.04 0.04 0.04 3.50 3.57 3.71 3.71 0.07 0.13 0.13

0.34Others 6.030.040.000.000.700.33 0.34 0.34 1.73 2.00 2.06 2.06 0.59 0.66 0.70



Table 12 Cottonseed Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Feb 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Jan Jan

Prel.

2013/14 Feb

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

33.51World -0.79-0.360.240.1144.9931.88 33.34 33.36 1.39 1.42 1.35 1.35 46.50 45.35 44.88

3.77United States 26.441.010.000.004.823.05 3.93 3.93 1.36 1.25 1.23 1.23 5.14 3.81 4.82

29.74Total Foreign -3.29-1.370.270.1140.1728.83 29.41 29.43 1.39 1.44 1.36 1.36 41.36 41.53 40.06

none

South Asia

12.00 India -0.39-0.050.000.0012.9011.70 12.70 12.70 1.01 1.11 1.02 1.02 12.10 12.95 12.90

3.00 Pakistan 9.760.402.270.104.503.00 3.05 3.05 1.33 1.37 1.44 1.48 4.00 4.10 4.40

5.30China -8.40-1.080.000.0011.764.80 4.40 4.40 2.59 2.67 2.67 2.67 13.72 12.84 11.76


1.35 Uzbekistan -2.31-0.040.000.001.571.29 1.29 1.29 1.31 1.25 1.22 1.22 1.77 1.61 1.57

0.60 Turkmenistan 0.000.000.000.000.590.58 0.58 0.58 1.04 1.03 1.03 1.03 0.63 0.59 0.59

0.20 Tajikistan 0.570.0012.100.020.180.19 0.18 0.18 1.08 0.92 0.90 1.01 0.22 0.18 0.16

0.15 Kazakhstan -27.07-0.040.000.000.100.14 0.13 0.13 1.10 0.96 0.76 0.76 0.16 0.13 0.10

South America

0.90 Brazil -11.03-0.320.000.002.581.12 1.00 1.00 2.48 2.59 2.58 2.58 2.23 2.90 2.58

0.36 Argentina -7.14-0.034.000.020.390.56 0.50 0.52 0.72 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.26 0.42 0.38

Middle East

0.41 Turkey 38.650.290.000.001.030.33 0.43 0.43 2.12 2.24 2.39 2.39 0.87 0.74 1.03

0.13 Syria -64.86-0.180.000.000.100.11 0.06 0.06 2.72 2.51 1.62 1.62 0.34 0.28 0.10

0.11 Iran 6.670.010.000.000.100.10 0.11 0.11 1.14 0.90 0.87 0.87 0.12 0.09 0.10

0.45Australia -46.15-0.600.000.000.700.44 0.24 0.24 3.20 2.98 2.98 2.98 1.42 1.30 0.70

0.36European Union 2.300.01-5.22-0.030.490.31 0.36 0.36 1.36 1.54 1.45 1.37 0.48 0.48 0.52

Africa

0.59 Burkina 1.170.000.000.000.350.65 0.63 0.63 0.57 0.53 0.55 0.55 0.34 0.34 0.35

0.52 Mali 17.430.040.000.000.280.48 0.57 0.57 0.47 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.25 0.24 0.28

0.21 Cameroon 4.000.010.000.000.260.22 0.22 0.22 1.10 1.14 1.18 1.18 0.23 0.25 0.26

0.38 Cote d'Ivoire 10.330.020.000.000.240.36 0.39 0.39 0.49 0.60 0.61 0.61 0.18 0.21 0.24

0.25 Benin 4.210.010.000.000.200.27 0.28 0.28 0.73 0.70 0.71 0.71 0.18 0.19 0.20

0.50 Tanzania 0.000.000.000.000.180.40 0.40 0.40 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.22 0.18 0.18

0.14 Egypt 20.300.030.000.000.160.13 0.16 0.16 1.04 1.02 1.03 1.03 0.15 0.13 0.16

0.30 Nigeria 0.880.000.000.000.110.29 0.30 0.30 0.47 0.40 0.38 0.38 0.14 0.11 0.11

0.08 Uganda 65.570.040.000.000.100.05 0.05 0.05 1.16 1.22 1.94 1.94 0.09 0.06 0.10

0.30 Zimbabwe -5.00-0.010.000.000.100.26 0.23 0.23 0.36 0.39 0.41 0.41 0.11 0.10 0.10

0.05 Sudan -20.48-0.020.000.000.070.06 0.07 0.07 0.82 1.34 0.99 0.99 0.04 0.08 0.07

0.16Mexico 29.940.090.000.000.410.12 0.18 0.18 2.27 2.64 2.33 2.33 0.35 0.31 0.41

0.35Burma 0.000.000.000.000.370.30 0.30 0.30 1.11 1.24 1.24 1.24 0.39 0.37 0.37

0.63Others 9.630.030.000.000.390.61 0.64 0.64 0.62 0.58 0.60 0.60 0.39 0.35 0.39



Table 13 Peanut Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Feb 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Jan Jan

Prel.

2013/14 Feb

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

23.94World -2.15-0.86-0.38-0.1538.9823.75 23.26 23.09 1.68 1.68 1.68 1.69 40.12 39.84 39.13

0.65United States 24.830.470.000.002.360.42 0.54 0.54 4.72 4.49 4.41 4.41 3.06 1.89 2.36

23.29Total Foreign -3.49-1.33-0.41-0.1536.6223.33 22.73 22.55 1.59 1.63 1.62 1.62 37.06 37.94 36.77

none

4.64China -2.78-0.470.000.0016.504.63 4.70 4.70 3.60 3.66 3.51 3.51 16.69 16.97 16.50

Africa

2.42 Nigeria 0.000.000.000.003.002.50 2.50 2.50 1.27 1.20 1.20 1.20 3.07 3.00 3.00

1.62 Sudan 0.000.000.000.000.851.00 1.00 1.00 0.64 0.85 0.85 0.85 1.03 0.85 0.85

0.71 Senegal 2.110.020.000.000.730.77 0.77 0.77 0.98 0.92 0.94 0.94 0.69 0.71 0.73

0.41 Cameroon 0.000.000.000.000.550.40 0.40 0.40 1.39 1.38 1.38 1.38 0.57 0.55 0.55

0.35 Ghana 0.000.000.000.000.440.40 0.40 0.40 1.38 1.10 1.10 1.10 0.48 0.44 0.44

0.41 Chad 0.000.000.000.000.400.50 0.50 0.50 0.90 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.37 0.40 0.40

0.35 Malawi -1.57-0.010.000.000.380.36 0.37 0.37 1.09 1.05 1.03 1.03 0.39 0.38 0.38

0.48 Congo (Kinshasa) 0.000.000.000.000.370.48 0.48 0.48 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.37 0.37 0.37

0.74 Niger 2.040.010.000.000.350.78 0.74 0.74 0.39 0.44 0.47 0.47 0.29 0.34 0.35

0.34 Mali 0.000.000.000.000.330.35 0.35 0.35 0.95 0.93 0.93 0.93 0.33 0.33 0.33

0.30 Uganda 0.000.000.000.000.300.30 0.30 0.30 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.30 0.30 0.30

0.36 Burkina 0.000.000.000.000.270.35 0.35 0.35 0.73 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.26 0.27 0.27

0.22 Guinea 0.000.000.000.000.260.21 0.21 0.21 1.38 1.24 1.24 1.24 0.30 0.26 0.26

0.06 Egypt 0.000.000.000.000.190.06 0.06 0.06 3.17 3.17 3.17 3.17 0.19 0.19 0.19

0.10 Central African Republic 0.000.000.000.000.150.10 0.10 0.10 1.55 1.50 1.50 1.50 0.15 0.15 0.15

0.05 South Africa 9.090.010.000.000.120.05 0.06 0.06 1.19 2.12 2.00 2.00 0.06 0.11 0.12

0.39 Mozambique 0.000.000.000.000.110.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.11 0.11 0.11

0.08 Cote d'Ivoire 0.000.000.000.000.090.08 0.08 0.08 1.21 1.13 1.13 1.13 0.09 0.09 0.09

0.13 Benin 0.000.000.000.000.090.13 0.13 0.13 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.08 0.09 0.09

South Asia

5.00 India -15.04-0.85-4.00-0.204.805.40 4.80 4.60 1.00 1.05 1.04 1.04 5.00 5.65 5.00

0.11 Pakistan 0.000.000.000.000.100.11 0.11 0.11 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.10 0.10 0.10

Southeast Asia

0.68 Indonesia -0.86-0.010.000.001.150.66 0.63 0.63 1.68 1.77 1.83 1.83 1.15 1.16 1.15

0.88 Burma 0.000.000.000.001.400.89 0.89 0.89 1.56 1.58 1.58 1.58 1.37 1.40 1.40

0.22 Vietnam 3.770.020.000.000.550.23 0.24 0.24 2.28 2.30 2.29 2.29 0.49 0.53 0.55

0.03 Thailand 0.000.000.000.000.050.03 0.03 0.03 1.53 1.67 1.67 1.67 0.05 0.05 0.05

South America

0.38 Argentina 5.320.055.000.051.050.38 0.36 0.39 2.67 2.64 2.78 2.73 1.02 1.00 1.00

0.10 Brazil -20.33-0.070.000.000.290.11 0.10 0.10 3.36 3.37 2.90 2.90 0.33 0.36 0.29

0.06Mexico 0.000.000.000.000.100.06 0.06 0.06 1.98 1.75 1.75 1.75 0.12 0.10 0.10

1.70Others -1.12-0.020.000.001.681.75 1.74 1.74 0.95 0.97 0.96 0.96 1.63 1.70 1.68



Table 14 Sunflowerseed Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Feb 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Jan Jan

Prel.

2013/14 Feb

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

23.77World -7.09-3.04-0.22-0.0939.8724.36 23.89 23.26 1.51 1.76 1.67 1.71 35.97 42.91 39.95

0.75United States 9.600.090.000.001.010.59 0.61 0.61 1.67 1.55 1.65 1.65 1.24 0.92 1.01

23.02Total Foreign -7.45-3.13-0.22-0.0938.8623.76 23.28 22.65 1.51 1.77 1.67 1.72 34.73 41.99 38.95

none


6.13 Russia -16.96-1.79-2.62-0.248.766.80 6.50 6.25 1.30 1.55 1.38 1.40 7.96 10.55 9.00

5.50 Ukraine -12.07-1.402.000.2010.205.30 5.60 5.30 1.64 2.19 1.79 1.92 9.00 11.60 10.00

0.68 Kazakhstan -12.74-0.070.000.000.500.82 0.80 0.80 0.59 0.70 0.63 0.63 0.40 0.57 0.50

4.29European Union 1.800.160.000.009.044.51 4.21 4.21 1.65 1.97 2.15 2.15 7.09 8.88 9.04

South America

1.62 Argentina 19.050.400.000.002.501.30 1.40 1.40 1.91 1.62 1.79 1.79 3.10 2.10 2.50

0.02 Uruguay 25.710.010.000.000.040.03 0.03 0.03 1.10 1.40 1.47 1.47 0.02 0.04 0.04

0.17 Bolivia -70.37-0.190.000.000.080.18 0.08 0.08 1.47 1.50 1.00 1.00 0.25 0.27 0.08

0.07 Brazil -2.17-0.010.000.000.230.15 0.15 0.15 1.57 1.59 1.55 1.55 0.11 0.23 0.23

0.05 Paraguay 31.250.030.000.000.110.05 0.06 0.06 1.78 1.60 1.69 1.69 0.10 0.08 0.11

0.89China 2.040.050.000.002.500.97 0.98 0.98 2.61 2.54 2.56 2.56 2.32 2.45 2.50

South Asia

0.80 India -10.45-0.07-7.69-0.050.600.75 0.73 0.65 0.88 0.89 0.89 0.92 0.70 0.67 0.65

0.47 Pakistan -10.00-0.060.000.000.540.40 0.36 0.36 1.49 1.50 1.50 1.50 0.70 0.60 0.54

Middle East

0.60 Turkey -14.29-0.200.000.001.200.69 0.53 0.53 1.88 2.03 2.26 2.26 1.13 1.40 1.20

0.07 Iran 0.000.000.000.000.090.07 0.07 0.07 1.32 1.29 1.29 1.29 0.09 0.09 0.09

0.01 Israel 0.000.000.000.000.020.01 0.01 0.01 1.60 1.60 1.60 1.60 0.02 0.02 0.02

Africa

0.01 Egypt 6.250.000.000.000.020.01 0.01 0.01 2.20 2.67 2.43 2.43 0.01 0.02 0.02

0.05 Morocco 0.000.000.000.000.070.06 0.06 0.06 1.04 1.13 1.13 1.13 0.05 0.07 0.07

0.51 South Africa -6.21-0.050.000.000.800.60 0.61 0.61 1.10 1.42 1.31 1.31 0.56 0.85 0.80

0.54Burma 0.000.000.000.000.490.54 0.54 0.54 0.65 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.35 0.49 0.49

0.04Canada 5.770.000.000.000.060.03 0.03 0.03 2.18 1.86 1.90 1.90 0.09 0.05 0.06

0.03Australia 43.750.010.000.000.050.03 0.04 0.04 1.47 1.19 1.28 1.28 0.04 0.03 0.05

0.48Others 5.350.050.000.000.980.49 0.50 0.50 1.36 1.90 1.98 1.98 0.65 0.93 0.98



Table 15 Rapeseed Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Feb 2012/13 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Jan Jan

Prel.

2013/14 Feb

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

36.30World 0.140.10-0.97-0.7071.2436.13 36.36 35.74 1.76 1.97 1.98 1.99 63.76 71.15 71.94

0.70United States 13.550.140.000.001.140.51 0.63 0.63 1.56 1.96 1.81 1.81 1.09 1.00 1.14

35.60Total Foreign -0.05-0.04-0.98-0.7070.1035.61 35.73 35.11 1.76 1.97 1.98 2.00 62.68 70.14 70.80

none

6.33European Union 14.102.980.000.0024.086.75 6.77 6.77 3.10 3.13 3.55 3.55 19.63 21.10 24.08

8.80Canada -13.42-2.410.000.0015.568.01 8.08 8.08 1.58 2.24 1.93 1.93 13.87 17.97 15.56

7.43China 1.670.240.000.0014.707.53 7.50 7.50 1.88 1.92 1.96 1.96 14.01 14.46 14.70

South Asia

6.75 India -6.16-0.45-8.67-0.656.857.13 7.20 6.60 1.01 1.02 1.04 1.04 6.80 7.30 7.50

0.38 Pakistan -6.25-0.020.000.000.300.36 0.35 0.35 0.92 0.89 0.86 0.86 0.35 0.32 0.30

0.30 Bangladesh 0.000.000.000.000.230.25 0.25 0.25 1.00 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.29 0.23 0.23


0.55 Ukraine -6.46-0.150.000.002.201.00 0.85 0.88 2.38 2.36 2.59 2.50 1.30 2.35 2.20

0.97 Russia 4.380.06-3.07-0.051.451.11 1.10 1.05 1.07 1.25 1.36 1.39 1.04 1.39 1.50

0.42 Belarus 3.550.020.000.000.700.40 0.43 0.43 1.67 1.68 1.65 1.65 0.71 0.68 0.70

3.27Australia -12.26-0.460.000.003.302.66 2.70 2.70 1.27 1.42 1.22 1.22 4.14 3.76 3.30

South America

0.04 Chile 17.650.020.000.000.160.04 0.04 0.04 3.80 3.68 3.81 3.81 0.16 0.14 0.16

0.08 Paraguay 133.330.070.000.000.130.05 0.09 0.09 1.37 1.15 1.40 1.40 0.11 0.05 0.13

0.20Kazakhstan 23.970.060.000.000.300.25 0.30 0.30 0.58 0.95 1.00 1.00 0.12 0.24 0.30

0.02Switzerland 0.000.000.000.000.070.02 0.02 0.02 3.14 3.14 3.14 3.14 0.07 0.07 0.07

0.05Ethiopia 0.000.000.000.000.070.05 0.05 0.05 1.59 1.45 1.45 1.45 0.07 0.07 0.07

0.01Others 0.000.000.000.000.020.01 0.01 0.01 1.67 1.67 1.67 1.67 0.02 0.02 0.02



Table 16 Copra, Palm Kernel, and Palm Oil Production

Country / Region

Production


2012/13

Prel.

2013/14

2014/15 Proj.

Jan Feb MMT Percent MMT Percent



Oilseed, Copra

0.00 0.00 -0.05 -2.08 Philippines 2.65 2.352.352.40

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Indonesia 1.56 1.581.581.58

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 India 0.67 0.670.670.67

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Vietnam 0.24 0.240.240.24

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mexico 0.21 0.210.210.21

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Papua New Guinea 0.13 0.130.130.13

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thailand 0.07 0.070.070.07

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sri Lanka 0.07 0.070.070.07

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Solomon Islands 0.03 0.030.030.03

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cote d'Ivoire 0.03 0.030.030.03

0.00 0.00 -0.05 -0.90 World 5.80 5.535.535.58

Oilseed, Palm Kernel

0.00 0.00 0.65 8.07 Indonesia 7.48 8.708.708.05

-0.15 -2.83 0.05 0.98 Malaysia 4.87 5.155.305.10

0.00 0.00 0.01 1.39 Nigeria 0.70 0.730.730.73

0.00 0.00 0.01 2.27 Thailand 0.43 0.450.450.44

0.00 0.00 0.01 4.17 Colombia 0.25 0.250.250.24

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Papua New Guinea 0.13 0.130.130.13

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cameroon 0.11 0.110.110.11

0.00 0.00 0.01 9.09 Ecuador 0.11 0.120.120.11

0.07 175.00 0.01 10.00 Ghana 0.10 0.110.040.11

0.00 0.00 0.01 10.00 Honduras 0.10 0.110.110.10

-0.08 -0.48 0.76 4.83 World 14.89 16.4916.5715.73

Oil, Palm

0.00 0.00 2.50 8.20 Indonesia 28.50 33.0033.0030.50

-0.75 -3.53 0.34 1.69 Malaysia 19.32 20.5021.2520.16

0.00 0.00 0.10 4.65 Thailand 2.14 2.252.252.15

0.04 3.74 0.07 6.73 Colombia 1.14 1.111.071.04

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nigeria 0.91 0.930.930.93

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Papua New Guinea 0.61 0.630.630.63

0.00 0.00 0.01 1.79 Ecuador 0.54 0.580.580.57

0.36 257.14 0.01 2.04 Ghana 0.47 0.500.140.49

0.00 0.00 0.01 2.33 Honduras 0.41 0.440.440.43

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cote d'Ivoire 0.39 0.400.400.40

-0.35 -0.56 3.02 5.08 World 56.49 62.4462.7959.42



Table 17 Cotton Area, Yield, and Production


MBalesPercent

Yield

(Kilograms per hectare)

Feb 2012/13 MBales

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production

(Million 480 lb. bales)


2012/13

Prel.

2013/14 Jan Jan

Prel.

2013/14 Feb

Prel.


2014/15 Proj.2014/15 Proj. 2014/15 Proj.

2012/13

34.39World -0.89-1.070.170.21119.3732.78 34.25 34.27 782 800 757 758 123.58 120.44 119.17

3.77United States 24.603.180.000.0016.083.05 3.93 3.93 999 921 891 891 17.31 12.91 16.08

30.62Total Foreign -3.95-4.240.200.21103.2929.73 30.32 30.34 756 788 740 741 106.27 107.53 103.08

none

South Asia

12.00 India -1.61-0.500.000.0030.5011.70 12.70 12.70 517 577 523 523 28.50 31.00 30.50

3.00 Pakistan 9.470.901.960.2010.403.00 3.05 3.05 675 689 728 742 9.30 9.50 10.20

5.30China -8.40-2.750.000.0030.004.80 4.40 4.40 1,438 1,486 1,484 1,484 35.00 32.75 30.00

South America

0.90 Brazil -12.50-1.000.000.007.001.12 1.00 1.00 1,452 1,555 1,524 1,524 6.00 8.00 7.00

0.36 Argentina -7.79-0.104.650.051.130.56 0.50 0.52 454 474 468 471 0.75 1.22 1.08

0.05 Paraguay 28.570.010.000.000.050.02 0.03 0.03 363 381 392 392 0.08 0.04 0.05

Africa

0.59 Burkina 1.210.020.000.001.260.65 0.63 0.63 448 419 434 434 1.22 1.24 1.26

0.52 Mali 17.650.150.000.001.000.48 0.57 0.57 362 386 382 382 0.87 0.85 1.00

0.38 Cote d'Ivoire 10.180.080.000.000.880.36 0.39 0.39 398 485 495 495 0.69 0.80 0.88

0.25 Benin 4.350.030.000.000.600.27 0.28 0.28 479 464 467 467 0.55 0.58 0.60

0.14 Egypt 20.690.090.000.000.530.13 0.16 0.16 746 729 737 737 0.49 0.44 0.53

0.21 Cameroon 0.000.000.000.000.500.22 0.22 0.22 477 495 495 495 0.46 0.50 0.50

0.50 Tanzania 0.000.000.000.000.400.40 0.40 0.40 218 219 218 218 0.50 0.40 0.40

0.30 Nigeria 7.690.020.000.000.280.29 0.30 0.30 236 199 203 203 0.33 0.26 0.28

0.30 Zimbabwe -4.58-0.010.000.000.250.26 0.23 0.23 204 224 237 237 0.28 0.26 0.25

0.10 Ethiopia 2.940.010.000.000.180.12 0.13 0.13 307 308 305 305 0.14 0.17 0.18


1.32 Uzbekistan -2.44-0.100.000.004.001.29 1.29 1.29 745 695 678 678 4.50 4.10 4.00

0.60 Turkmenistan -3.33-0.050.000.001.450.58 0.55 0.55 581 568 579 579 1.60 1.50 1.45

0.20 Tajikistan 0.000.0012.500.050.450.19 0.18 0.18 599 516 498 560 0.55 0.45 0.40

0.15 Kazakhstan -26.47-0.090.000.000.250.14 0.13 0.13 611 536 425 425 0.42 0.34 0.25

Middle East

0.41 Turkey 39.130.900.000.003.200.33 0.43 0.43 1,407 1,517 1,620 1,620 2.65 2.30 3.20

0.13 Syria -50.00-0.300.000.000.300.10 0.06 0.06 1,263 1,306 1,089 1,089 0.73 0.60 0.30

0.11 Iran -6.25-0.020.000.000.300.12 0.11 0.11 591 606 594 594 0.29 0.32 0.30

0.45Australia -46.34-1.900.000.002.200.44 0.24 0.24 2,251 2,047 2,038 2,038 4.60 4.10 2.20

0.36European Union - 28 -4.00-0.06-5.25-0.091.540.31 0.36 0.36 909 1,119 988 936 1.49 1.60 1.62

0.16Mexico 32.030.300.000.001.220.12 0.18 0.18 1,455 1,691 1,476 1,476 1.04 0.92 1.22

0.35Burma 0.000.000.000.000.900.30 0.30 0.30 585 653 653 653 0.94 0.90 0.90

1.52Others 6.070.15-0.35-0.012.551.47 1.55 1.55 337 357 360 359 2.35 2.41 2.56



TABLE 18 The table below presents a record of the differences between the February projection and the final Estimate. Using world wheat production as an example, the "root mean square error” means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 0.6 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90% confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 1.0 percent. The average difference between the February projection and the final estimate is 2.5 million tons, ranging from 0.0 million to 7.3 million tons. The February projection has been below the estimate 25 times and above 8 times.

RELIABILITY OF PRODUCTION PROJECTIONS 1/

COMMODITY AND REGION

Root mean square error

90 percent confidence

interval

Difference between forecast and final estimate

Average Smallest Largest

Years Below final

Above final

Percent ---Million metric tons---

WHEAT

World 0.6 1.0 2.5 0.0 7.3 25 8

U.S. 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 13 9

Foreign 0.7 1.1 2.5 0.0 7.3 25 8

COARSE GRAINS 2/

World 1.2 2.0 9.2 0.0 26.0 27 6

U.S. 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 14 7

Foreign 1.7 2.8 9.2 0.0 26.0 25 7

RICE (Milled)

World 1.6 2.8 4.3 0.1 14.0 25 8

U.S. 1.6 2.7 0.1 0.0 0.3 12 6

Foreign 1.6 2.8 4.3 0.1 14.0 25 8

SOYBEANS

World 2.8 4.7 3.9 0.4 15.3 20 13

U.S. 1.4 2.3 0.6 0.0 2.5 15 12

Foreign 4.7 8.0 3.9 0.3 14.8 21 12

COTTON ---Million 480-lb. bales---

World 2.3 4.0 1.7 0.0 5.4 25 8

U.S. 1.0 1.7 0.1 0.0 0.3 12 20

Foreign 2.8 4.8 1.7 0.1 5.7 25 8

UNITED STATES -------Million bushels-------

CORN 0.2 0.3 3 0 41 2 2

SORGHUM 0.2 0.3 0 0 4 0 2

BARLEY 0.5 0.9 1 0 11 13 4

OATS 0.4 0.6 0 0 2 4 4

1/ Marketing years 1981/82 through 2013/14. Final for grains, soybeans and cotton is defined as the first November estimates following the marketing year for 1981/82 through 2013/14. 2/ Includes corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grain

February 2015 Office of Global Analysis, FAS, USDA


United States World Agricultural Service Production · 10/02/2015 · Ukraine Corn: Bumper Harvest...

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