United States Agriculture Grainthefarmsite.com/reports/contents/gwmdec12.pdf · • Russia is up...

Grain: World Markets and Trade

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

India’s Wheat Exports Fill Supply Gap

United States Department of Agriculture

Foreign Agricultural Service

Circular Series FG 12-12 December 2012

India is seizing the opportunity to export record quantities of competitively priced wheat. As global exportable supplies tighten, particularly from Russia and Ukraine, India’s wheat is effectively replacing Black Sea wheat in several Middle East and East African countries. It is also replacing Australian wheat (milling and feed-quality) in Asian markets, and even displacing Turkish wheat flour in Indonesia. Ironically, India had a wheat export ban prior to September 2011, but now it is saddled with burdensome stocks and inadequate storage facilities. The government is now permitting limited exports from its huge reserve stocks. Further export increases from India are expected to be constrained by transportation bottlenecks and limited port capacity.

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India Russia & Ukraine

MMT

150

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250

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Black Sea Milling SRW India

Export Prices ($/ton)

Exports

Grain: World Markets and Trade, December 2012

2

TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ............................................................................................................. 4 Rice ................................................................................................................ 9 Coarse Grains ............................................................................................... 14 Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ........................... 34 Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................. 53 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 9 a.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. It is available on the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/). This circular is released at 10:00 a.m. on the same day, together with its downloadable data set.

December 2012

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/�

All Grain Summary Comparison

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2012/132011/122010/112012/132011/122010/112012/132011/122010/11

Production

United States (Jun-May) 60.1 54.4 61.8 7.6 5.9 6.3 316.2 313.9 272.4

Other 592.2 642.0 593.4 441.7 459.1 459.0 515.2 567.8 576.7

World Total 652.2 696.4 655.1 449.3 465.0 465.3 831.4 881.7 849.1

Domestic Consumption


Other 623.2 657.1 643.9 439.4 451.3 462.1 565.5 585.0 612.1

World Total 653.9 689.3 680.3 443.7 454.8 466.1 850.5 864.0 866.6

Ending Stocks


Other 174.3 175.6 156.4 97.1 104.4 101.6 98.4 105.9 101.2

World Total 197.8 195.8 176.9 98.7 105.7 102.5 127.1 131.0 117.6

TY Imports


Other 128.0 147.6 133.9 33.1 35.3 33.0 90.3 99.2 92.6

World Total 130.6 150.6 137.4 33.7 35.9 33.7 91.0 99.9 95.1

TY Exports


Other 97.7 125.2 110.8 33.0 35.2 32.7 46.6 64.7 66.0

World Total 133.7 153.3 140.3 36.2 38.5 36.1 91.9 103.1 97.0

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and exports

and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.

Marketing years for U.S. grains are: Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).

'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat only.

December 2012


4

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW Global wheat production for 2012/13 is raised due to larger crops in Australia, Canada, and China. Global trade is boosted primarily on higher demand from Brazil, China, Iran, and Russia. U.S. exports are cut on account of greater competition from Australia, the EU, and South America. The midpoint of the season-average U.S. farm price is lowered $0.10 to $8.00/bushel. PRICES:

Domestic: Wheat prices for all classes were slightly lower in November. Although 2013 crop conditions continue to deteriorate, Hard Red Winter (HRW) prices were down $6/ton to $372. Hard Red Spring (HRS) was down $10/ton to $374, Soft Red Winter (SRW) dipped $2/ton to $343, and Soft White Winter (SWW) was down $3/ton to $336.

200

250

300

350

400

450

$/M

T

U.S. Weekly FOB Export Bids

HRW SRW HRS SWW

December 2012


5

TRADE CHANGES IN 2012/13 Selected Exporters • Australia is up 500,000 tons to 19.5 million because of larger crop expectations.

• EU is raised 500,000 tons to 18.0 million due to growing competitiveness and increased

sales to North Africa and the Middle East.

• India is boosted 500,000 tons to a record 7.5 million, as a result of the strong pace of shipments to date, and additional wheat made available from government stocks.

• Paraguay is up 500,000 tons to 1.6 million as a result of the strong shipment pace.

• United States is cut 1.0 million tons to 29.5 million owing to slow sales and shipments to

date and increased foreign competition.

Selected Importers • Brazil is up 500,000 tons to 7.5 million resulting from a smaller, poor-quality crop.

• China is boosted 500,000 tons to 3.0 million attributable to recent purchases and strong

deliveries to date.

• Iran is raised 500,000 tons to 2.5 million as a result of the strong pace of deliveries.

• Russia is up 500,000 tons to 1.5 million on expected imports from Kazakhstan.

• Turkey is cut 500,000 tons to 3.5 million as the strong early-season purchases are expected to taper off as Russian exports dwindle.

December 2012

World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Nov

2012/13

Dec

none

TY Exports

7,5007,30011,9497,7425,2558,651 Argentina

19,50019,00023,04118,47713,76413,450 Australia

19,00019,00017,60316,76818,99218,674 Canada

18,00017,50016,56922,90622,11525,351 EU-27

7,5007,0001,699746221 India

7,0007,00011,0695,5197,8715,701 Kazakhstan

1,6001,1008291,269648784 Paraguay

10,00010,00021,6273,98318,55618,393 Russia

3,3003,5003,6802,9454,3632,342 Turkey

6,0006,0005,4364,3029,33713,037 Ukraine

11,39010,85511,74613,69110,42810,042 Others

110,790108,255125,24897,676111,391116,446 Subtotal

29,50030,50028,07135,97724,17227,101 United States

140,290138,755153,319133,653135,563143,547 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,0002,0002,2002,0002,5003,800 Afghanistan

5,2005,2006,3506,4365,1676,356 Algeria

3,0003,0002,0163,9513,3532,882 Bangladesh

7,5007,0007,0526,7466,6946,767 Brazil

3,0002,5002,9339271,394481 China

9,5009,50011,65010,60010,5009,900 Egypt

6,0006,0007,3704,7275,5197,737 EU-27

6,6006,6006,4576,6075,3645,419 Indonesia

2,5002,0002,7002003,6509,500 Iran

3,7003,7003,7853,6323,8993,879 Iraq

1,8001,8002,0291,3921,8622,063 Israel

5,9005,9006,3545,8695,5025,156 Japan

4,4004,4005,1884,7614,4703,371 Korea, South

4,2004,2005,0203,4623,1963,342 Mexico

4,5004,5003,6253,9032,3043,759 Morocco

3,7003,7003,8724,0514,0203,550 Nigeria

1,6001,6001,5851,7571,7031,385 Peru

3,2003,2004,0203,2713,1883,201 Philippines

1,5001,00055089164203 Russia

2,3002,3002,9031,7421,9091,275 Saudi Arabia

1,8001,8002,5781,9191,6001,128 Thailand

3,5004,0004,4143,5173,2183,578 Turkey

1,7001,7001,6861,4691,5971,501 Venezuela

2,6002,6002,7112,4601,9271,016 Vietnam

2,6002,6002,6372,8452,6022,796 Yemen

39,61539,60545,88139,69442,19343,217 Others

133,915132,405147,566128,027129,495137,262 Subtotal

2,8752,8502,7533,0552,8822,886 Unaccounted

3,5003,5003,0002,5713,1863,399 United States

140,290138,755153,319133,653135,563143,547 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.

December 2012

World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Nov

2012/13

Dec

none

Production

11,50011,50015,50017,20012,00011,000 Argentina

22,00021,00029,92327,41021,83421,420 Australia

4,8005,0005,8005,9005,0265,880 Brazil

27,20026,70025,28823,30026,84828,611 Canada

120,600118,000117,400115,180115,120112,464 China

8,5008,5008,4007,2008,5237,977 Egypt

131,726131,823137,227136,017138,816151,122 EU-27

93,90093,90086,87080,80080,68078,570 India

14,00014,00013,50015,03013,4857,957 Iran

10,50010,50022,7329,63817,05112,538 Kazakhstan

23,30023,30025,00023,90024,00020,959 Pakistan

38,00038,00056,23141,50861,77063,765 Russia

15,50015,50018,80017,00018,45016,800 Turkey

15,50015,50022,12416,84420,86625,885 Ukraine

6,7006,7006,3006,5006,2006,000 Uzbekistan

49,62949,75050,92548,75455,42643,836 Others

593,355589,673642,020592,181626,095614,784 Subtotal

61,75561,75554,41360,06260,36668,016 United States

655,110651,428696,433652,243686,461682,800 World Total

none

Total Consumption

9,0509,0508,9508,7508,5508,300 Algeria

11,10011,00011,20010,80011,00010,700 Brazil

8,8508,3509,7297,8226,9277,977 Canada

123,000122,000122,500110,500107,000105,500 China

18,90018,90018,60017,70018,10017,200 Egypt

122,000123,500127,500122,250125,000127,000 EU-27

85,41085,40081,40681,76078,15070,924 India

15,70015,20015,50016,20016,80015,800 Iran

7,0007,0007,4006,2007,6007,500 Kazakhstan

8,4008,4008,9508,2508,1007,450 Morocco

23,20023,20023,10023,00023,00022,800 Pakistan

34,50034,50038,00038,60039,60038,900 Russia

17,50017,50018,10017,30017,10016,900 Turkey

11,80011,80014,95011,60012,30011,900 Ukraine

7,7007,7008,0007,7007,5007,100 Uzbekistan

139,792140,173143,219134,757132,635126,466 Others

637,515638,722666,280624,027622,792608,984 Subtotal

36,41536,41432,15530,71030,97834,293 United States

673,930675,136698,435654,737653,770643,277 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

5,7574,6426,9778,1285,0673,109 Australia

5,6295,6295,8797,1767,8296,547 Canada

55,54655,44655,94659,09154,42545,803 China

5,6185,6186,7185,5085,6054,857 Egypt

9,9999,22612,27311,74516,15718,937 EU-27

21,95022,45019,95015,36016,12013,430 India

5,8904,93810,89013,73614,72210,944 Russia

46,04547,08056,92353,55953,78646,078 Others

156,434155,029175,556174,303173,711149,705 Subtotal

20,51319,15320,21123,46626,55217,867 United States

176,947174,182195,767197,769200,263167,572 World Total

December 2012

Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Nov

2012/13

Dec

2012/13

TY Imports none

7,128 North America 6,785 6,462 8,516 8,100 8,100

1,474 Central America 1,445 1,687 1,661 1,545 1,545

13,097 South America 13,173 13,004 13,727 13,440 13,940

7,737 European Union 5,519 4,727 7,370 6,000 6,000

1,712 Other Europe 1,696 1,654 1,940 1,760 1,760

6,569 Former Soviet Union - 12 5,415 5,658 8,021 6,560 7,060

28,218 Middle East 22,557 17,286 23,320 20,555 20,555

23,472 North Africa 21,592 24,180 24,659 22,100 22,100

14,174 Sub-Saharan Africa 16,388 15,259 18,158 15,295 15,295

11,322 East Asia 13,744 13,904 16,865 15,125 15,625

10,771 South Asia 7,608 7,619 5,402 6,420 6,430

12,324 Southeast Asia 13,902 16,334 17,863 16,160 16,160

2,663 Others 2,857 2,824 3,064 2,845 2,845

140,661 Total 132,681 130,598 150,566 135,905 137,415

Production none

100,627 North America 91,362 87,038 83,329 91,710 92,210

20,516 South America 22,039 27,796 25,835 21,159 20,959

151,122 European Union 138,816 136,017 137,227 131,823 131,726

4,710 Other Europe 4,646 3,865 4,359 4,249 4,249


30,303 Middle East 38,940 40,223 40,266 36,790 36,780

14,352 North Africa 20,261 15,933 18,425 16,875 16,875


113,806 East Asia 116,449 116,350 118,774 119,463 121,952

103,898 South Asia 111,200 110,792 116,790 123,870 123,870

21,697 Oceania 22,111 27,687 30,200 21,277 22,277

171 Others 176 181 186 186 186

682,800 Total 686,461 652,243 696,433 651,428 655,110

Domestic Consumption none

48,270 North America 44,205 44,982 49,734 51,464 51,965

24,549 South America 25,698 25,523 25,986 26,000 26,075

127,000 European Union 125,000 122,250 127,500 123,500 122,000

5,585 Other Europe 5,494 5,356 5,593 5,515 5,515


52,587 Middle East 54,441 54,964 56,644 54,330 54,830

37,375 North Africa 39,750 39,225 41,075 40,950 40,950


117,218 East Asia 120,187 124,077 137,001 136,098 136,987

105,229 South Asia 113,811 116,851 115,592 121,240 121,250

12,104 Southeast Asia 13,188 15,093 17,136 16,410 16,410

8,280 Oceania 6,085 6,755 7,637 7,505 7,310

3,363 Others 3,295 3,361 3,317 3,255 3,255

636,710 Total 650,340 653,899 689,259 680,087 680,317

Ending Stocks none

24,729 North America 34,901 31,029 26,485 25,132 26,492

4,902 South America 6,467 8,052 3,943 4,081 3,852

18,937 European Union 16,157 11,745 12,273 9,226 9,999

2,107 Other Europe 2,120 1,453 1,514 1,438 1,238


11,635 Middle East 14,010 12,702 12,193 12,219 11,883

9,216 North Africa 10,949 11,473 13,013 10,713 10,638


48,636 East Asia 57,260 61,999 59,146 58,131 58,231

17,393 South Asia 21,536 21,238 25,644 27,344 26,844

2,813 Southeast Asia 3,115 3,887 4,137 3,392 3,392

3,316 Oceania 5,248 8,360 7,247 4,884 5,999

314 Others 406 372 397 353 353

167,572 Total 200,263 197,769 195,767 174,182 176,947

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported

using local marketing years.

December 2012


9

RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW Global rice production in 2012/13 is forecast at a record and essentially on par with the previous year. Consumption continues to climb to new record levels. Stocks are forecast down but still at the second highest level in a decade. Trade is forecast at comparable levels to 2010/11. U.S. production and trade are up from the previous year. FEATURE

In 2012, changes in policies and prices, as opposed to production shortfalls, have helped global rice trade to rise to a new record of 38.5 million tons.

In the case of Nigeria, traders reacted to the announced imposition of future higher import levies by stockpiling. The levies are designed to protect and stimulate domestic production in response to the government’s declared goal of self-sufficiency.

China quadrupled imports to become the second-largest importer, a massive leap from the eighteenth position in 2011. Despite record production in China, rising demand has helped make Vietnamese imports more competitively priced in southern China.

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1.5

2

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Nigeria China

mill

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met

ric

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Expanding Import Demand Not Production Driven

2011

2012

December 2012


10

SELECTED TRADE CHANGES

• Vietnamese exports are up 300,000 tons to a record 7.5 million in 2012 on the pace of shipments. Vietnamese imports are halved to 200,000 tons in 2013 as relative prices reduce the demand for Cambodian rice.

• Iranian imports are down 150,000 tons to 1.8 million in both 2012 and 2013.

• Iraqi imports are up 100,000 tons to 1.4 million in 2012 on account of higher shipments, especially from Thailand.

December 2012

World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Nov

2012/13

Dec

none

TY Exports

525525675732468594 Argentina

5005004503115417 Australia

8008001,2001,296430591 Brazil

6006007007784451,052 Burma

950950800860750820 Cambodia

500500400487619783 China

850850600320570575 Egypt

235235210241282150 EU-27

250250230250275244 Guyana

6,5006,50010,0004,6372,2282,149 India

200200200200200200 Japan

4,0004,0003,7503,4144,0003,187 Pakistan

8,0008,0006,50010,6479,0478,570 Thailand

8508501,050841808926 Uruguay

7,0007,0007,5007,0006,7345,950 Vietnam

905905944953768576 Others

32,66532,66535,20932,96727,67826,384 Subtotal

3,4503,4003,3003,2473,8683,017 United States

36,11536,06538,50936,21431,54629,401 World Total

none

TY Imports

750750720591778650 Brazil

400400375310300300 Cameroon

2,0002,0002,600575366337 China

9509501,300935840800 Cote d'Ivoire

525525450558498457 Cuba

1,4001,4001,2001,4751,2161,383 EU-27

400400475545320410 Ghana

425425415381390397 Hong Kong

1,4501,4501,7003,0981,150250 Indonesia

1,8001,9501,7501,8701,5201,470 Iran

1,3501,3501,3501,0361,1881,089 Iraq

700700700697649750 Japan

360340390335280295 Kenya

640640240532320241 Korea, South

1,0501,0501,0851,0769071,086 Malaysia

725725640705575610 Mexico

375375375360325385 Mozambique

2,2502,2503,2002,5502,0002,000 Nigeria

1,5001,5001,5001,2002,4002,000 Philippines

1,2251,2251,1501,0591,0691,072 Saudi Arabia

8208201,200805685715 Senegal

1,0001,000950885733745 South Africa

400400600200300300 Thailand

440440430420400380 United Arab Emirates

425350400337330329 Yemen

9,6109,80010,08610,5659,2177,897 Others

32,97033,21535,28133,10028,75626,348 Subtotal

2,4452,1502,5782,4932,2282,371 Unaccounted

700700650621562682 United States

36,11536,06538,50936,21431,54629,401 World Total


Note about dates: 2012/13 is calendar year 2013, 2011/12 is calendar year 2012, and so on.

December 2012

World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Nov

2012/13

Dec

none

Milled Production

33,80033,80033,70031,70031,00031,200 Bangladesh

7,8207,8207,8889,3007,9298,570 Brazil

10,75010,75010,81610,52811,64211,200 Burma

4,5004,5004,2684,2334,0563,992 Cambodia

143,000143,000140,700137,000136,570134,330 China

4,7004,7004,2503,1004,5644,673 Egypt

99,00099,000104,32095,98089,09099,180 India

36,90036,90036,50035,50036,37038,310 Indonesia

7,7557,5007,6467,7207,7118,029 Japan

4,0064,1004,2244,2954,9164,843 Korea, South

2,9002,9002,9002,9002,9002,850 Nepal

6,7006,7006,5005,0006,8006,900 Pakistan

11,00011,00010,70010,5399,77210,755 Philippines

20,50020,50020,46020,26220,26019,850 Thailand

27,71027,10027,07526,37124,99324,393 Vietnam

37,97337,71337,19837,28035,30333,080 Others

459,014457,983459,145441,708433,876442,155 Subtotal

6,3276,3275,8687,5937,1336,546 United States

465,341464,310465,013449,301441,009448,701 World Total

none

Consumption and Residual

34,50034,50034,30032,40031,60031,200 Bangladesh

8,0508,0508,0508,2008,4778,400 Brazil

10,38010,38010,19010,10010,89010,800 Burma

3,5903,5903,4503,3703,2703,220 Cambodia

144,000144,000139,500135,000134,320133,000 China

3,9003,9003,6203,3003,9404,270 Egypt

3,3753,3503,3253,2503,1503,075 EU-27

95,25095,25092,32090,20685,50891,090 India

40,00040,00039,55039,00038,00037,100 Indonesia

8,2508,0508,0508,2008,2008,326 Japan

4,8004,8004,9775,1754,7014,789 Korea, South

5,5005,5005,2005,0304,5804,220 Nigeria

12,95012,95012,85012,90013,12513,100 Philippines

10,60010,60010,40010,30010,2009,500 Thailand

20,10020,10019,85019,40019,15019,000 Vietnam

56,89956,58255,65553,54952,17150,338 Others

464,532463,831454,490441,508434,216433,065 Subtotal

3,9754,0393,4724,3174,0164,082 United States

468,507467,870457,962445,825438,232437,147 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

45,85445,85444,95442,57440,53438,546 China

21,60021,60025,10023,50020,50019,000 India

3,1753,1754,8256,1756,5777,057 Indonesia

2,7902,7352,7852,6892,6932,715 Japan

1,3591,3591,8092,4593,5204,673 Philippines

12,07512,0759,7755,6156,1004,787 Thailand

2,5762,2611,7661,9411,4701,961 Vietnam

12,14612,23413,38412,18312,59612,681 Others

101,575101,293104,39897,13693,99091,420 Subtotal

9609601,3031,5141,184977 United States

102,535102,253105,70198,65095,17492,397 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.

December 2012

Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Nov

2012/13

Dec

2012/13

TY Imports none

1,614 North America 1,495 1,654 1,630 1,765 1,765

902 Caribbean 969 1,099 935 1,010 1,010

1,116 South America 1,354 1,371 1,645 1,605 1,630

126 Other Europe 126 139 143 137 137

412 Former Soviet Union - 12 401 335 348 408 398

5,349 Middle East 5,808 5,974 6,250 6,490 6,415

155 North Africa 345 364 900 520 520


1,873 East Asia 1,960 2,399 4,175 3,995 3,970

524 South Asia 1,016 1,864 790 800 800

4,542 Southeast Asia 5,537 6,504 5,410 5,230 5,030

2,217 Others 2,099 2,293 2,010 2,165 2,165

27,030 Total 29,318 33,721 35,931 33,915 33,670

Production none

6,707 North America 7,315 7,739 5,979 6,455 6,455

833 Caribbean 954 938 1,024 980 952

16,459 South America 15,664 17,197 15,203 15,508 15,558

1,773 European Union 2,176 2,172 2,090 2,054 2,042

902 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,143 1,321 1,290 1,319 1,329

2,075 Middle East 2,049 2,123 2,169 2,150 2,150

4,693 North Africa 4,598 3,139 4,289 4,729 4,729


150,087 East Asia 151,828 151,801 155,345 157,261 157,662

142,623 South Asia 132,765 138,336 151,069 145,610 145,610

111,389 Southeast Asia 110,063 110,466 112,952 113,981 114,591

663 Others 799 1,240 1,408 1,517 1,517

448,701 Total 441,009 449,301 465,013 464,310 465,341


5,177 North America 5,160 5,417 4,668 5,219 5,155

1,095 Central America 1,114 1,114 1,160 1,151 1,156

1,774 Caribbean 1,880 2,035 1,997 2,051 2,023

14,782 South America 14,915 14,561 14,278 14,240 14,405

3,075 European Union 3,150 3,250 3,325 3,350 3,375


7,627 Middle East 7,756 8,109 8,350 8,560 8,465

4,402 North Africa 4,307 3,657 4,009 4,299 4,299


149,585 East Asia 150,349 151,733 155,897 160,181 160,596

131,561 South Asia 126,162 130,810 135,628 138,980 138,980

96,910 Southeast Asia 98,916 99,572 100,851 102,385 102,385

566 Others 619 645 684 737 737

435,510 Total 435,298 443,697 454,759 465,641 466,119

Ending Stocks none

1,143 North America 1,322 1,734 1,432 1,110 1,110

205 Central America 240 244 289 277 300

114 Caribbean 126 131 193 144 144

2,230 South America 1,859 2,012 1,209 1,474 1,534

1,023 European Union 1,122 1,176 1,024 840 856

1,997 Middle East 1,659 1,807 1,742 1,841 1,742

564 North Africa 498 122 702 802 802


42,493 East Asia 45,098 46,667 48,782 49,512 49,473

21,523 South Asia 22,561 25,542 27,946 24,116 24,116

19,934 Southeast Asia 19,441 17,653 19,662 20,033 20,348

26 Oceania 46 27 60 104 85

128 Others 156 198 165 165 165

92,397 Total 95,174 98,650 105,701 102,253 102,535



December 2012


14

200

225

250

275

300

325

350

375

$/M

T

Corn Daily Export Bids

Argentina Up River Brazil Paranagua U.S. Gulf Black Sea

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW Global corn production is up, mainly due to a larger crop in China. Global corn trade is boosted nearly 1.5 million tons this month, and 4.0 million tons over the past 2 months, largely on higher import demand from the EU. Despite slow sales and shipments, U.S. corn exports remain unchanged. The season-average farm price is again projected lower from last month (although it remains a record) on strong early-season marketings at relatively lower prices. PRICES Corn export quotes for all major suppliers rose since the release of USDA’s November WASDE report. U.S. quotes are up over $8/ton to $330, despite sluggish sales, due in part to a strong basis as a result of low water levels in the Mississippi River which have been restricting barge traffic. In recent days, however, prices have eased on continued weak sales. Since reaching lows in late September, South American quotes have been rising steadily and have gained over 15 percent to about $300/ton, but remain $30/ton cheaper than U.S.

December 2012


15

TRADE CHANGES IN 2012/13 Selected Exporters

• Canadian corn is raised 500,000 tons to 1.5 million because of a substantial boost to exportable supplies (larger crop).

• Paraguayan corn is up 200,000 tons to 1.6 million on account of robust early-season shipments.

• Russian corn is raised 500,000 tons to a record 2.3 million based on greater exportable supplies and strong demand, especially from the EU.

• South African corn is up 200,000 tons to 2.5 million with greater exportable supplies

(2011/12 crop, harvested May 2012).

• Russian barley is boosted by 200,000 tons to 2.2 million on strong early-season shipments.

• Argentine sorghum is raised 200,000 tons to 2.6 million on stronger demand from Colombia. (Colombian imports are raised 200,000 tons to 600,000).

Selected Importers

• EU corn is boosted sharply by 1.5 million tons again this month to 8.0 million based on the pace of import licenses in response to tighter supplies of other feed grains.

TMT TMT TMT TMT

December 2012

World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Nov

2012/13

Dec

none

TY Exports

24,10523,90522,30018,62819,03010,249 Argentina

5,0505,0257,2784,8994,4144,873 Australia

21,00521,00512,67911,5928,6277,187 Brazil

4,6754,1503,7554,4273,0683,852 Canada

4,0054,0057,0455,8604,2674,338 EU-27

3,0503,0504,8503,4372,0722,642 India

1,6051,4052,3061,2031,3921,864 Paraguay

4,5553,8555,9941,0282,5494,945 Russia

2,5202,3201,8532,8571,6342,159 South Africa

15,01015,01017,3337,45610,93611,380 Ukraine

4,3804,4556,9525,5157,1135,638 Others

89,96088,18592,34566,90265,10259,127 Subtotal

33,74533,74540,19249,29253,98951,558 United States

123,705121,930132,537116,194119,091110,685 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,9002,9003,6002,9452,5762,067 Algeria

1,1051,1051,2166331,0491,497 Brazil

1,2251,2001,5171,2711,2751,317 Chile

4,5004,5007,9242,6973,7771,651 China

4,3554,1554,0794,1484,1023,483 Colombia

850850746838736708 Cuba

1,1001,1001,0501,0011,071973 Dominican Republic

5,5755,5757,1855,8395,8975,093 Egypt

8,5557,0557,1058,6873,0122,988 EU-27

1,5001,5001,7003,0411,321317 Indonesia

4,5004,5005,2004,0005,1005,000 Iran

1,4351,4351,5851,4461,5921,295 Israel

17,91017,91017,73018,59019,19019,609 Japan

1,0009001,100917713785 Jordan

8,0608,0607,7198,1688,5097,248 Korea, South

3,1003,0003,2002,8093,1072,447 Malaysia

11,42511,42512,85410,76210,91310,465 Mexico

2,5252,5252,5052,0592,1941,833 Morocco

2,0252,0251,8722,0791,8861,520 Peru

9,1059,10510,5058,1389,0769,186 Saudi Arabia

1,5001,5001,5001,9592,2742,834 Syria

4,4504,4504,5504,2784,6634,658 Taiwan

1,0501,0501,1009581,202875 Tunisia

2,0002,0002,5001,2512,1981,340 Venezuela

1,1001,1001,5001,0001,6001,250 Vietnam

13,21513,20013,69713,22314,21115,033 Others

116,065114,125125,239112,737113,244105,472 Subtotal

2,9153,1054,1581,0073,5722,406 Unaccounted

4,7254,7003,1402,4502,2752,807 United States

123,705121,930132,537116,194119,091110,685 World Total


December 2012

World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Nov

2012/13

Dec

none

Production

38,85239,35230,10533,25830,23119,634 Argentina

10,95211,42212,32511,47210,92012,280 Australia

73,49373,49375,88360,38058,41253,486 Brazil

24,26023,63522,82922,59022,47727,184 Canada

215,010207,010199,660183,398169,775172,391 China

11,33011,33011,43510,4698,0469,034 Ethiopia

140,219140,276147,442140,497155,038162,102 EU-27

37,61037,61042,06043,37033,89039,550 India

8,9008,9008,9006,8006,9008,700 Indonesia

27,77827,77825,70729,22627,27332,222 Mexico

24,01024,01023,80023,25023,25026,670 Nigeria

29,35028,35032,79616,41631,84340,881 Russia

13,97313,97312,91411,32113,88113,084 South Africa

10,57510,57511,27510,18511,17610,408 Turkey

28,56029,06033,33621,44224,14326,275 Ukraine

139,236139,394138,383144,025137,577131,832 Others

834,108826,168828,850768,099764,832785,733 Subtotal

284,840284,840323,697330,236348,755325,867 United States

1,118,9481,111,0081,152,5471,098,3351,113,5871,111,600 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

12,70213,20210,76011,38310,0548,768 Argentina

58,68858,68855,74852,73349,71448,191 Brazil

20,38020,34520,22421,14622,23122,892 Canada

218,505210,505197,105188,175173,151161,062 China

13,35013,35012,85013,59513,07212,162 Egypt

11,18211,18211,2609,9258,5439,033 Ethiopia

149,460148,160149,360152,400150,080151,855 EU-27

35,48035,48037,55038,85032,00036,500 India

18,11018,11017,99018,87519,64519,965 Japan

39,29039,29038,54539,48540,81542,035 Mexico

24,00024,00023,75023,20023,05026,550 Nigeria

25,80025,80027,52818,13130,44033,011 Russia

11,59811,59811,31811,21810,83310,468 South Africa

11,37511,37511,82511,07510,86510,700 Turkey

14,11014,61015,55013,74212,96413,696 Ukraine

210,337210,842206,358207,883201,132196,073 Others

871,277863,738862,429832,546816,468805,494 Subtotal

265,900265,876290,020297,948295,337275,978 United States

1,137,1771,129,6141,152,4491,130,4941,111,8051,081,472 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

10,77510,77510,87010,63510,28712,450 Brazil

3,1833,0953,4333,6235,6356,326 Canada

61,22761,20960,48250,13452,40252,206 China

10,13410,19815,02516,33925,85420,844 EU-27

2,8192,8193,2393,5594,0633,124 Iran

2,8502,8503,4001,6502,4542,548 Saudi Arabia

3,1953,0783,2603,5765,3674,327 South Africa

32,74933,52337,17742,78942,55746,085 Others

126,932127,547136,886132,305148,619147,910 Subtotal

19,53019,52827,80532,28848,13347,060 United States

146,462147,075164,691164,593196,752194,970 World Total

December 2012

Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Nov

2012/13

Dec

2012/13

TY Imports none

15,172 North America 15,199 14,267 16,765 16,670 16,695

2,491 Central America 2,537 2,900 2,839 3,050 3,050

2,011 Caribbean 2,139 2,195 2,176 2,325 2,325

9,745 South America 11,108 10,479 11,813 11,330 11,505

2,988 European Union 3,012 8,687 7,105 7,055 8,555

664 Former Soviet Union - 12 456 1,184 1,100 1,070 1,095

21,247 Middle East 21,318 18,728 22,535 19,895 19,995

10,592 North Africa 13,107 12,344 15,090 12,800 12,800


33,347 East Asia 36,268 33,889 38,103 35,050 35,050

5,405 Southeast Asia 6,725 7,544 7,060 6,065 6,165

750 Others 922 944 959 955 955

108,279 Total 115,519 115,187 128,379 118,825 120,790

Production none

385,273 North America 398,505 382,052 372,233 336,253 336,878

84,977 South America 100,605 105,355 117,766 125,614 125,316

162,102 European Union 155,038 140,497 147,442 140,276 140,219

12,273 Other Europe 11,787 12,139 11,463 8,492 8,492


16,046 Middle East 18,950 18,750 19,041 18,471 18,461

10,218 North Africa 14,890 12,358 11,221 10,681 10,681


174,467 East Asia 171,831 185,366 201,796 208,919 217,269

45,688 South Asia 40,281 49,729 48,343 44,068 44,068

27,734 Southeast Asia 25,451 26,934 29,552 30,790 30,790

12,927 Oceania 11,567 12,119 12,972 12,069 11,599

4,788 Others 4,678 4,736 4,775 4,902 4,902

1,111,600 Total 1,113,587 1,098,335 1,152,547 1,111,008 1,118,948


340,905 North America 358,383 358,579 348,789 325,511 325,570

75,990 South America 79,414 84,715 87,313 93,114 92,709

151,855 European Union 150,080 152,400 149,360 148,160 149,460

10,845 Other Europe 10,752 10,798 10,514 9,129 9,129


38,003 Middle East 38,699 38,285 39,834 39,579 39,654

21,187 North Africa 24,679 25,607 25,240 25,060 25,060


195,705 East Asia 207,953 221,551 229,626 242,971 251,321

42,673 South Asia 38,549 45,329 43,973 41,948 41,948

30,300 Southeast Asia 31,175 33,692 35,345 36,250 36,350

7,897 Oceania 7,702 7,549 6,552 7,252 6,627

9,403 Others 9,488 9,773 9,858 10,173 10,123

1,078,939 Total 1,103,926 1,129,764 1,137,741 1,132,413 1,140,267

Ending Stocks none

58,621 North America 55,774 38,307 33,330 24,457 24,618

16,796 South America 16,702 18,422 14,091 15,871 15,183

20,844 European Union 25,854 16,339 15,025 10,198 10,134

1,538 Other Europe 1,669 1,658 880 777 748


8,540 Middle East 9,325 7,590 9,059 7,647 7,671

2,741 North Africa 5,387 4,908 5,611 4,207 4,207


55,934 East Asia 55,875 53,394 63,561 64,291 64,299

2,086 South Asia 1,670 2,592 2,047 1,122 1,122

4,448 Southeast Asia 3,379 3,502 3,248 2,623 2,718

3,349 Oceania 2,782 1,594 1,258 1,100 1,080

943 Others 811 785 685 794 804

194,970 Total 196,752 164,593 164,691 147,075 146,462



December 2012

World Corn Trade


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Nov

2012/13

Dec

none

TY Exports

17,50017,50016,50115,19816,9738,466 Argentina

21,00021,00012,67411,5838,6237,178 Brazil

1,5001,0004941,657184366 Canada

5005003,2001,0781,5191,743 EU-27

3,0003,0004,7003,3761,9172,551 India

1,6001,4002,3011,2031,3881,862 Paraguay

2,3001,8002,027374271,331 Russia

2,5002,3001,8312,8391,5862,111 South Africa

12,50012,50015,1575,0085,0725,497 Ukraine

5005005003001000 Zambia

3,1403,1905,3114,3645,4795,110 Others

66,04064,69064,69646,64343,26836,215 Subtotal

31,00031,00038,43045,24449,72147,758 United States

97,04095,690103,12691,88792,98983,973 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,8002,8003,1002,6832,5691,903 Algeria

8008009372876991,092 Brazil

2,0002,0005,2319791,29647 China

3,5003,5003,1813,5043,6513,068 Colombia

750750700663626586 Costa Rica

850850746838736708 Cuba

1,1001,1001,0501,0011,071973 Dominican Republic

5,5005,5007,1005,8035,8325,031 Egypt

8,0006,5006,3007,4372,9312,754 EU-27

750750700676651673 Guatemala

1,5001,5001,7003,0411,321317 Indonesia

3,5003,5003,6003,5004,3003,600 Iran

1,2001,2001,2001,0291,053846 Israel

15,00015,00014,89215,64815,97116,531 Japan

8,0008,0007,6368,1078,4617,188 Korea, South

3,1003,0003,2002,8093,1072,447 Malaysia

9,0009,00011,2008,2528,2987,764 Mexico

1,7001,7001,9001,7381,8021,566 Morocco

1,9001,9001,7721,9391,7821,429 Peru

2,1002,1002,0001,9331,8721,482 Saudi Arabia

1,4001,4001,3001,6592,0241,784 Syria

4,3004,3004,4004,1344,5214,532 Taiwan

900900800677866646 Tunisia

2,0002,0002,5001,2512,1981,336 Venezuela

1,1001,1001,5001,0001,6001,250 Vietnam

9,8059,83010,5359,71010,73512,421 Others

92,55590,98099,18090,29889,97381,974 Subtotal

1,9852,2103,1819052,7791,662 Unaccounted

2,5002,500765684237337 United States

97,04095,690103,12691,88792,98983,973 World Total


December 2012

World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Nov

2012/13

Dec

none

Production

27,50028,00021,00025,20025,00015,500 Argentina

70,00070,00073,00057,40056,10051,000 Brazil

13,06011,60011,35912,0439,56110,592 Canada

208,000200,000192,780177,245163,974165,914 China

5,8005,8005,5006,5006,2806,645 Egypt

5,4005,4005,4004,8953,9004,398 Ethiopia

54,67054,64966,17156,16556,94762,321 EU-27

20,00020,00021,57021,73016,72019,730 India

8,9008,9008,9006,8006,9008,700 Indonesia

20,70020,70018,68021,05820,37424,226 Mexico

9,4109,4109,2508,8008,9507,970 Nigeria

7,3507,3507,1307,2716,2316,853 Philippines

8,5007,5006,6803,0753,9636,682 Russia

13,50013,50012,41710,92413,42012,567 South Africa

20,50021,00022,83811,91910,48611,447 Ukraine

83,36783,45785,15684,16880,67378,349 Others

576,657567,266567,831515,193489,479492,894 Subtotal

272,432272,432313,918316,165332,549307,142 United States

849,089839,698881,749831,358822,028800,036 World Total

none

Total Consumption

8,3008,8007,2007,3006,9006,400 Argentina

55,00055,00052,50049,50047,00045,500 Brazil

12,00011,40011,66611,75311,62611,687 Canada

209,000201,000188,000180,000165,000153,000 China

12,20012,20011,70012,50012,00011,100 Egypt

64,50063,00067,30062,90059,30061,600 EU-27

17,30017,30016,90018,10015,10017,000 India

10,70010,70010,5009,8008,8008,900 Indonesia

15,00015,00014,90015,70016,30016,700 Japan

8,1008,1007,8158,2148,3827,894 Korea, South

29,70029,70029,50029,20030,20032,400 Mexico

9,4509,4509,2508,8008,8007,900 Nigeria

7,4007,4007,4007,2006,5007,300 Philippines

11,10011,10010,80010,65010,3009,900 South Africa

8,0008,5007,8006,5005,7005,850 Ukraine

134,390134,140131,734127,364124,135119,662 Others

608,071599,346598,763564,562543,226524,809 Subtotal

254,444254,444279,007285,014281,590259,272 United States

862,515853,790877,770849,576824,816784,081 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,6502,1509404,1302,573970 Argentina

10,37610,37610,57610,2769,98912,084 Brazil

1,4101,0501,3501,2781,7381,833 Canada

60,13560,13559,33549,41551,30251,183 China

4,4734,4526,8034,8325,2086,149 EU-27

1,4621,4621,4841,5891,6221,466 Korea, South

2,9852,8683,0603,4185,1694,113 South Africa

18,69819,06922,38423,47824,29727,764 Others

101,189101,562105,93298,416101,898105,562 Subtotal

16,42416,42425,10728,64443,38042,504 United States

117,613117,986131,039127,060145,278148,066 World Total

December 2012

Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Nov

2012/13

Dec

2012/13

TY Imports none

9,945 North America 10,496 9,920 12,715 12,000 12,000

2,491 Central America 2,537 2,889 2,839 3,050 3,050

8,238 South America 9,469 8,336 9,775 9,465 9,415

2,754 European Union 2,931 7,437 6,300 6,500 8,000


9,462 Middle East 11,215 9,945 10,325 10,350 10,350

9,574 North Africa 11,725 11,265 13,400 11,450 11,450


28,479 East Asia 30,378 29,024 32,339 29,430 29,430

5,391 Southeast Asia 6,709 7,527 7,050 6,050 6,150

2,011 Caribbean 2,139 2,195 2,176 2,325 2,325

536 Others 576 583 542 695 695

82,311 Total 90,210 90,982 99,945 93,480 95,055

Production none

341,960 North America 362,484 349,266 343,957 304,732 306,192

76,109 South America 91,067 92,423 103,793 108,605 108,355

62,321 European Union 56,947 56,165 66,171 54,649 54,670

9,951 Other Europe 9,674 10,094 9,494 6,594 6,594


6,748 Middle East 6,305 6,039 5,968 6,793 6,783

6,846 North Africa 6,481 6,701 5,701 6,001 6,001


167,580 East Asia 165,679 178,947 194,593 201,576 209,926

24,780 South Asia 21,790 26,801 26,640 25,070 25,070

3,719 Central America 3,567 3,622 3,661 3,788 3,788

27,485 Southeast Asia 25,212 26,692 29,312 30,550 30,550

1,190 Others 1,157 1,186 1,251 1,254 1,274

800,036 Total 822,028 831,358 881,749 839,698 849,089


303,359 North America 323,416 325,967 320,173 295,544 296,144

67,529 South America 70,189 73,898 76,895 81,445 80,845

61,600 European Union 59,300 62,900 67,300 63,000 64,500

8,376 Other Europe 8,354 8,454 8,205 6,985 6,985


16,005 Middle East 16,885 16,885 16,985 17,735 17,710

16,125 North Africa 17,650 18,525 17,975 18,625 18,625


184,015 East Asia 196,111 209,870 217,045 230,005 238,355

22,050 South Asia 20,270 23,271 22,070 22,370 22,370

30,043 Southeast Asia 30,943 33,443 35,100 36,000 36,100

6,250 Central America 6,300 6,425 6,575 6,700 6,650

3,235 Others 3,225 3,385 3,320 3,540 3,515

782,065 Total 817,633 850,495 863,972 857,234 866,584

Ending Stocks none

47,896 North America 46,507 31,334 27,949 18,866 19,226

15,426 South America 15,613 16,554 12,911 14,264 13,541

6,149 European Union 5,208 4,832 6,803 4,452 4,473

1,198 Other Europe 1,372 1,359 600 510 479


4,073 Middle East 4,439 3,551 2,814 2,182 2,197

2,200 North Africa 2,391 2,156 2,880 1,896 1,896


54,295 East Asia 54,090 52,055 61,876 62,687 62,677

1,498 South Asia 992 1,078 843 538 538

4,443 Southeast Asia 3,376 3,498 3,244 2,619 2,714

723 Central America 534 550 453 602 616

258 Others 311 251 248 221 222

148,066 Total 145,278 127,060 131,039 117,986 117,613



December 2012

World Barley Trade


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Nov

2012/13

Dec

none

TY Exports

4,0004,0003,6311,531549871 Argentina

3,8003,8005,8194,0883,8463,278 Australia

1,3001,3001,3381,0521,2031,618 Canada

1010491317 China

555474 Croatia

1010105147 Egypt

3,3003,3003,6004,5942,3892,374 EU-27

252525303137 India

200200659224354314 Kazakhstan

555521 Kenya

10102574331 Moldova

2,2002,0003,6689692,0863,598 Russia

551092211 Serbia

150150150508013 Turkey

2,5002,5002,1662,4465,7525,871 Ukraine

00212410 Others

17,52017,32021,11715,02417,13618,045 Subtotal

200200179181152158 United States

17,72017,52021,29615,20517,28818,203 World Total

none

TY Imports

300300274345346403 Brazil

2,4002,4002,5411,6562,3411,551 China

250250301251237211 Colombia

20020040028666156 EU-27

1,0001,0001,6005008001,400 Iran

200200350287491367 Israel

1,3001,3001,2571,3591,4111,346 Japan

600500700544432514 Jordan

250250250317283252 Kuwait

200200200179582296 Libya

1501501502642123 Mexico

700700600222248263 Morocco

5005005004111339 Russia

7,0007,0008,5006,2007,2007,700 Saudi Arabia

300300400330299131 United Arab Emirates

1,4251,4002,3242,1061,6792,557 Others

16,77516,65020,34715,01916,47017,309 Subtotal

49542048038516322 Unaccounted

450450469148302572 United States

17,72017,52021,29615,20517,28818,203 World Total


December 2012

World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Nov

2012/13

Dec

none

Production

1,7001,7001,3501,5002,400560 Algeria

5,7005,7004,5002,9501,3562,110 Argentina

7,0007,0008,3497,9957,8657,996 Australia

2,0002,0002,0131,9662,1232,212 Belarus

8,0108,6007,8927,6279,51711,781 Canada

2,6002,6002,5001,9722,3182,823 China

1,5801,5801,5921,5251,5691,484 Ethiopia

54,40754,46151,44953,51162,14965,509 EU-27

1,6101,6101,6601,3501,6901,200 India

3,4003,4002,9003,2103,4461,547 Iran

1,5001,5002,5931,3132,5192,059 Kazakhstan

1,1001,1002,3402,5703,8001,272 Morocco

14,00014,00016,9358,35017,88123,148 Russia

5,5005,5007,0005,9006,5005,700 Turkey

6,7006,7009,0988,48411,83312,612 Ukraine

8,5118,5598,6908,5448,8597,773 Others

125,318126,010130,861118,767145,825149,786 Subtotal

4,7964,7963,3923,9254,9495,230 United States

130,114130,806134,253122,692150,774155,016 World Total

none

Total Consumption

1,8001,8001,7001,5001,3501,100 Algeria

1,5001,5001,2001,135990895 Argentina

3,3003,3003,3004,2004,5004,000 Australia

2,2002,2002,1002,0002,2002,200 Belarus

6,8007,3006,9037,5068,5049,065 Canada

4,8004,8004,7004,1504,4004,200 China

52,80053,00051,50056,40056,50057,000 EU-27

1,6801,6801,5501,3501,5001,000 India

4,2004,2004,0003,7003,7003,550 Iran

1,5001,5001,5001,5501,5501,550 Japan

2,1002,1003,1003,0502,9001,700 Morocco

12,40012,90014,3009,50016,65017,100 Russia

7,5257,5256,7256,3257,4257,425 Saudi Arabia

5,8005,8006,7506,0005,9005,700 Turkey

4,8004,8006,3006,0005,6005,900 Ukraine

14,62014,52516,23015,35616,08115,904 Others

128,253128,783131,614131,322140,004138,920 Subtotal

4,5714,5714,1934,5374,6045,127 United States

132,824133,354135,807135,859144,608144,047 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,6341,6341,6341,3361,247184 Algeria

1,1821,2481,2471,5412,5832,843 Canada

3,5603,6145,2537,94915,53210,916 EU-27

1,5781,5781,3781,1781,268622 Iran

8388389381,3862,3953,813 Russia

2,5032,5033,0281,2532,0782,203 Saudi Arabia

9029021,1727941,0671,055 Ukraine

6,1556,1516,8546,9828,8467,797 Others

18,35218,46821,50422,41935,01629,433 Subtotal

1,7481,7481,3061,9452,5151,932 United States

20,10020,21622,81024,36437,53131,365 World Total

December 2012

Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Nov

2012/13

Dec

2012/13

TY Imports none

737 North America 373 227 629 625 625

810 South America 772 905 847 785 810

156 European Union 66 286 400 200 200

82 Other Europe 158 242 250 155 155


11,681 Middle East 10,046 8,639 12,160 9,500 9,600

973 North Africa 1,215 959 1,650 1,200 1,200

125 Sub-Saharan Africa 59 74 75 45 45

3,000 East Asia 3,861 3,108 3,946 3,825 3,825

48 South Asia 10 8 35 5 5

0 Oceania 17 15 19 5 5

17,881 Total 16,772 15,167 20,816 17,100 17,225

Production none

17,792 North America 14,985 12,224 11,771 13,959 13,369

3,156 South America 2,443 3,869 5,535 6,885 6,837

65,509 European Union 62,149 53,511 51,449 54,461 54,407

1,543 Other Europe 1,406 1,309 1,330 1,294 1,294


8,004 Middle East 11,320 11,100 11,670 10,275 10,275

2,347 North Africa 7,324 4,572 4,435 3,595 3,595


3,210 East Asia 2,646 2,215 2,800 2,910 2,910

1,607 South Asia 2,330 1,957 2,192 2,317 2,317

8,396 Oceania 8,265 8,395 8,749 7,400 7,400

155,016 Total 150,774 122,692 134,253 130,806 130,114


15,017 North America 13,808 12,743 11,796 12,571 12,071

2,703 South America 2,933 2,937 3,045 3,445 3,440

57,000 European Union 56,500 56,400 51,500 53,000 52,800

1,630 Other Europe 1,552 1,537 1,567 1,440 1,440


20,556 Middle East 20,403 19,673 21,401 20,396 20,496

3,987 North Africa 5,847 5,845 6,125 5,175 5,175


6,006 East Asia 6,195 5,900 6,475 6,550 6,550

1,438 South Asia 2,163 1,967 2,117 2,392 2,392

4,400 Oceania 4,900 4,625 3,725 3,700 3,700

143,416 Total 144,354 134,259 136,051 133,501 132,396

Ending Stocks none

5,107 North America 5,295 3,686 2,673 3,129 3,063

766 South America 601 851 612 801 819

10,916 European Union 15,532 7,949 5,253 3,614 3,560

281 Other Europe 249 235 215 214 214


4,389 Middle East 4,837 3,962 6,163 5,383 5,392

511 North Africa 2,952 2,694 2,693 2,303 2,303


940 East Asia 1,239 681 948 1,123 1,123

87 South Asia 224 197 282 187 187

2,459 Oceania 1,913 1,037 785 713 690

31,365 Total 37,531 24,364 22,810 20,216 20,100



December 2012

World Sorghum Trade


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Nov

2012/13

Dec

none

TY Exports

2,6002,4002,1631,8931,507907 Argentina

1,0001,0001,1855753501,360 Australia

505036684132 China

7575757500 Ethiopia

25251253112454 India

707060605050 Nigeria

202020184848 South Africa

6060907711847 Others

3,9003,7003,7542,7972,2382,498 Subtotal

2,5002,5001,5483,8274,0743,598 United States

6,4006,2005,3026,6246,3126,096 World Total

none

TY Imports

600600539729568404 Chile

50508448314 China

600400592391212202 Colombia

50503035125140 Ethiopia

300300125922766 EU-27

1,4501,4501,4811,4181,6491,629 Japan

2,2002,2001,3692,3812,5272,496 Mexico

1251255991444 Morocco

400400200200400300 Sudan

757575977172 Taiwan

375335440432556435 Others

6,2255,9854,9406,7086,3425,762 Subtotal

175215359-86-30331 Unaccounted

003203 United States

6,4006,2005,3026,6246,3126,096 World Total


December 2012

World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Nov

2012/13

Dec

none

Production

5,2005,2004,2004,4003,6291,660 Argentina

2,4002,7002,2231,9351,5082,692 Australia

2,8002,8002,2052,3141,8542,004 Brazil

1,8001,8001,6001,9501,5221,875 Burkina

9009007001,000600590 Chad

2,6502,6502,6002,4561,6771,837 China

900900900900900900 Egypt

3,7003,7003,7813,4652,0842,619 Ethiopia

6,0006,0006,0307,0006,7007,250 India

900900850925980930 Mali

6,4006,4006,4257,3856,2507,067 Mexico

1,0001,0007001,3007391,214 Niger

6,9006,9006,8506,7506,60011,000 Nigeria

3,8003,8002,0894,6062,6304,192 Sudan

760760788800710551 Tanzania

6,6796,6796,6466,5106,1546,320 Others

52,78953,08948,58753,69644,53752,701 Subtotal

6,5076,5075,4478,7799,72811,998 United States

59,29659,59654,03462,47554,26564,699 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,4502,4501,9502,2501,9001,100 Argentina

1,4051,8051,1051,4051,2051,805 Australia

2,7002,7002,2752,2751,8751,875 Brazil

1,8001,8001,6001,8001,6951,700 Burkina

900900750950625650 Chad

2,9002,9002,6002,2001,9002,000 China

950950950900900950 Egypt

3,7003,7003,7003,2002,4002,700 Ethiopia

6,0006,0006,1006,8006,6007,200 India

1,4501,4501,4751,4601,6501,600 Japan

900900850925980930 Mali

8,7008,7008,1009,4009,7008,600 Mexico

1,0501,0508501,2509001,200 Niger

6,8506,8506,8006,7006,55010,950 Nigeria

4,1004,1002,6504,5003,4004,500 Sudan

9,4179,1679,0259,8528,2088,379 Others

55,58755,97751,70155,88450,79155,943 Subtotal

3,9383,9383,9545,2785,8598,319 United States

59,52559,91555,65561,16256,65064,262 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

400400250600152194 Argentina

174194279361681678 Australia

251251146211171188 Brazil

265265515467275456 China

28328330827247238 Ethiopia

3733044737794131,336 Mexico

324324229610309684 Sudan

9679451,0951,5021,0901,407 Others

3,0372,9663,2954,8023,1385,181 Subtotal

6126125836971,0481,390 United States

3,6493,5783,8785,4994,1866,571 World Total

December 2012

Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Nov

2012/13

Dec

2012/13

TY Imports none

2,499 North America 2,527 2,383 1,372 2,200 2,200

665 South America 848 1,214 1,166 1,060 1,260

66 European Union 7 922 125 300 300

0 Other Europe 17 0 5 5 5

81 Middle East 48 120 30 30 30

45 North Africa 166 120 40 150 150


1,719 East Asia 1,806 1,523 1,645 1,580 1,580

14 Southeast Asia 16 17 10 15 15

4 Others 35 21 5 5 5

5,765 Total 6,342 6,710 4,943 5,985 6,225

Production none

19,065 North America 15,978 16,164 11,872 12,907 12,907

298 Central America 326 329 329 329 329

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

4,719 South America 6,153 7,351 7,097 8,682 8,682

517 European Union 621 629 673 560 560

654 Middle East 581 807 640 640 640

915 North Africa 915 915 915 915 915


1,857 East Asia 1,697 2,476 2,620 2,670 2,670

7,395 South Asia 6,845 7,145 6,175 6,145 6,145


2,692 Oceania 1,508 1,935 2,223 2,700 2,400

0 Others 0 0 0 0 0

64,699 Total 54,265 62,475 54,034 59,596 59,296


16,919 North America 15,559 14,678 12,054 12,638 12,638

315 Central America 325 325 325 320 320

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

4,766 South America 5,350 6,274 6,122 6,867 7,067

905 European Union 630 1,550 760 860 860

749 Middle East 669 914 675 675 675

965 North Africa 1,012 1,066 970 1,090 1,090


3,699 East Asia 3,643 3,779 4,180 4,445 4,445

7,349 South Asia 6,780 6,955 6,250 6,150 6,150


1,805 Oceania 1,205 1,405 1,105 1,805 1,405

0 Others 17 0 5 5 5

64,458 Total 56,347 61,145 54,734 59,360 59,210

Ending Stocks none

2,726 North America 1,461 1,476 1,056 916 985

27 Central America 28 34 33 37 37

491 South America 393 867 454 697 714

34 European Union 24 20 15 10 10

62 Middle East 22 35 30 25 25

29 North Africa 43 57 37 7 7

1,760 Sub-Saharan Africa 980 1,769 1,240 1,228 1,233

578 East Asia 397 549 598 353 353

181 South Asia 154 327 132 107 107

678 Oceania 681 361 279 194 174

5 Others 3 4 4 4 4

6,571 Total 4,186 5,499 3,878 3,578 3,649



December 2012

World Oats Trade


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Nov

2012/13

Dec

none

TY Exports

555615 Argentina

150150174211211161 Australia

555949 Brazil

1,7001,7001,7641,4971,5391,792 Canada

1001001001293731 Chile

100100170113216103 EU-27

5515142 Russia

5574206 Others

2,0702,0702,2401,9702,0322,109 Subtotal


2,1102,1102,2672,0072,0702,147 World Total

none

TY Imports

000500 Albania

000010 Algeria

555532 Bosnia and Herzegovina

202011182114 Canada

505068585739 China

555222 Colombia

101010111114 Ecuador

555624 EU-27

606054645646 Japan

75751351034682 Mexico

15152510348 Norway

252525252133 South Africa

505056494952 Switzerland

555506 Turkey

55511411 Uruguay

007835 Others

330330416380310318 Subtotal

18018012215915342 Unaccounted

1,6001,6001,7291,4681,6071,787 United States

2,1102,1102,2672,0072,0702,147 World Total


December 2012

World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Nov

2012/13

Dec

none

Production

14014014014014080 Algeria

400400345660182291 Argentina

1,0501,2401,2741,1281,1621,160 Australia

600600448442552605 Belarus

370370370379253239 Brazil

2,6802,9503,1582,4512,9064,273 Canada

560560505564381344 Chile

580580600525580530 China

7,5817,6117,8607,4528,5798,935 EU-27

200200258134204138 Kazakhstan

115115115111130148 Mexico

220220220299277328 Norway

4,0004,0005,3343,2185,4015,835 Russia

210210210204218196 Turkey

550550550458731944 Ukraine

440440475475475457 Others

19,69620,18621,86218,64022,17124,503 Subtotal

9299297791,1781,3511,294 United States

20,62521,11522,64119,81823,52225,797 World Total

none

Total Consumption

14014014014114080 Algeria

400400350650200300 Argentina

9001,1001,1009009751,035 Australia

575575450475575600 Belarus

375375360370250225 Brazil

1,2751,3501,3741,5211,7481,766 Canada

450450400450350325 Chile

625625625625625575 China

7,6007,6007,6007,7508,1008,500 EU-27

225225225130210135 Kazakhstan

190190245185215210 Mexico

245245245295320320 Norway

4,3004,3005,0003,4505,5005,600 Russia

210210210210210210 Turkey

550550550475725925 Ukraine

603603635646622608 Others

18,81019,08519,76618,27020,83421,438 Subtotal

2,5942,5942,5492,7893,0112,968 United States

21,40421,67922,31521,05923,84524,406 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

646469747089 Argentina

145127145146126147 Australia

414116185174 Belarus

5377378127531,1751,527 Canada

13211412784126114 China

8028289168191,224972 EU-27

181181486167397499 Russia

201197239239188203 Others

2,1032,2892,8102,3003,3573,625 Subtotal

7267267989821,1661,221 United States

2,8293,0153,6083,2824,5234,846 World Total

December 2012

Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Nov

2012/13

Dec

2012/13

TY Imports none

1,883 North America 1,674 1,589 1,875 1,695 1,695

32 South America 19 24 25 20 20


62 Other Europe 87 71 88 70 70


6 Middle East 0 5 5 5 5

0 North Africa 1 0 0 0 0


85 East Asia 113 122 122 110 110

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

2,105 Total 1,917 1,848 2,145 1,930 1,930

Production none

5,715 North America 4,387 3,740 4,052 3,994 3,724

897 South America 857 1,644 1,261 1,370 1,370

8,935 European Union 8,579 7,452 7,860 7,611 7,581

605 Other Europe 554 576 497 462 462


196 Middle East 218 204 210 210 210

110 North Africa 170 170 170 170 170


532 East Asia 582 527 602 582 582

1,235 Oceania 1,237 1,203 1,349 1,315 1,125

25,797 Total 23,522 19,818 22,641 21,115 20,625


4,944 North America 4,974 4,495 4,168 4,134 4,059

896 South America 857 1,538 1,171 1,285 1,285

8,500 European Union 8,100 7,750 7,600 7,600 7,600

647 Other Europe 655 633 579 542 542


210 Middle East 210 210 210 210 210

110 North Africa 170 171 170 170 170


625 East Asia 680 685 685 690 690

1,110 Oceania 1,050 975 1,175 1,175 975

24,382 Total 23,776 21,062 22,058 21,532 21,257

Ending Stocks none

2,756 North America 2,348 1,740 1,617 1,468 1,270

113 South America 95 150 114 109 109

972 European Union 1,224 819 916 828 802

58 Other Europe 47 63 65 53 55


2 Middle East 10 9 14 19 19

1 North Africa 1 1 1 1 1


116 East Asia 131 95 134 118 136

147 Oceania 126 146 145 127 145

4,846 Total 4,523 3,282 3,608 3,015 2,829



December 2012

World Rye Trade


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Nov

2012/13

Dec

none

TY Exports

100100251502550 Belarus

17515015922114276 Canada

1001006571136114 EU-27

5050284213214 Russia

5552936 Ukraine

000300 Others

430405538468428260 Subtotal


435410546471432266 World Total

none

TY Imports

000000 Albania

50502753668 EU-27

10101019911 Israel

1001004610110357 Japan

5551177 Korea, South

101010121411 Norway

555264 Switzerland

005151411 Others

180180356332149109 Subtotal

808016-915449 Unaccounted

175150174148129108 United States

435410546471432266 World Total


December 2012

World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Nov

2012/13

Dec

none

Production

1,5001,5008047351,2271,492 Belarus

340315241237280316 Canada

8,3928,4136,9197,5739,9529,262 EU-27

505028427540 Kazakhstan

2,5002,5002,9691,6424,3334,505 Russia

350350350366343247 Turkey

6506505504649541,051 Ukraine

155155160173182205 Others

13,93713,93312,02111,23217,34617,118 Subtotal

176176161189178203 United States

14,11314,10912,18211,42117,52417,321 World Total

none

Total Consumption

404045405555 Argentina

1,3001,3007006501,3001,400 Belarus

135125102134140152 Canada

8,6008,6007,3008,2009,5508,750 EU-27

9595551059065 Japan

505030407540 Kazakhstan

262626454059 Norway

2,4502,4502,8501,8504,3254,400 Russia

350350350350340275 Turkey

600600600650800800 Ukraine

119119120129124127 Others

13,85413,84512,15412,22816,90916,181 Subtotal

353329317330273292 United States

14,20714,17412,47112,55817,18216,473 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

25825815879144242 Belarus

54602451139123 Canada

6046268621,0131,7271,424 EU-27

1010514185 Japan

106106131250308312 Russia

383838331714 Turkey

179179134189411313 Ukraine

666977 Others

1,2551,2831,3581,6382,7712,440 Subtotal


1,2751,3011,3691,6582,7952,453 World Total

December 2012

Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12

Nov

2012/13

Dec

2012/13

TY Imports none

108 North America 129 148 174 150 175

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0


18 Other Europe 22 15 15 15 15


17 Middle East 9 19 15 10 10


64 East Asia 110 112 51 105 105

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

217 Total 278 480 530 330 355

Production none

519 North America 458 426 402 491 516

63 South America 61 45 50 45 45

9,262 European Union 9,952 7,573 6,919 8,413 8,392

119 Other Europe 98 105 87 87 87


247 Middle East 343 366 350 350 350


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

20 Oceania 20 20 20 20 20

17,321 Total 17,524 11,421 12,182 14,109 14,113


444 North America 413 464 419 454 488

63 South America 61 45 50 45 45

8,750 European Union 9,550 8,200 7,300 8,600 8,600

137 Other Europe 119 119 103 102 102


286 Middle East 349 369 360 360 360


72 East Asia 97 116 60 100 100

20 Oceania 20 17 20 20 20

16,415 Total 17,112 12,523 12,495 14,084 14,118

Ending Stocks none

136 North America 163 71 35 78 74

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

1,424 European Union 1,727 1,013 862 626 604

1 Other Europe 1 1 0 0 0


14 Middle East 17 33 38 38 38


5 East Asia 18 14 5 10 10

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

2,453 Total 2,795 1,658 1,369 1,301 1,275



December 2012


34

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR SELECTED REGIONS AND COUNTRIES

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand .............................................. 35 China: Grain Supply and Demand .............................................................. 36 Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................. 37 Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand ...................................... 38 Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................... 42 Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................. 44 Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................... 46 Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ........................... 47

U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution……………………………. .... ……..48 Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................ 49 World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand .............................. 50 World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand ............................................ 51 World Rice: Supply and Demand ............................................................... 52

DG F/SA &F

December 2012

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

123.4 118.556.512.88.74.825.9 2001/02 18.3

132.6 125.060.018.110.75.026.4 2002/03 18.5

110.6 115.152.49.87.44.524.3 2003/04 11.5

146.9 123.259.214.77.15.726.0 2004/05 27.5

132.4 127.563.015.76.85.125.8 2005/06 23.4

124.9 125.560.213.85.25.124.5 2006/07 14.2

120.1 116.552.412.36.94.924.7 2007/08 12.4

151.1 127.060.525.47.75.726.7 2008/09 18.9

138.8 125.057.522.15.55.425.8 2009/10 16.2

136.0 122.352.522.94.75.325.9 2010/11 11.7

137.2 127.558.016.67.45.325.7 2011/12 12.3

131.7 122.052.518.06.05.225.5 2012/13 10.0

Coarse Grains

150.5 143.8108.16.73.94.533.7 2001/02 22.4

148.4 145.0109.57.64.44.532.8 2002/03 22.6

131.8 145.3109.74.28.24.032.7 2003/04 13.1

166.7 152.6116.64.93.05.033.4 2004/05 25.3

146.8 148.1110.04.42.84.532.7 2005/06 22.4

137.9 148.4110.94.78.14.332.0 2006/07 15.3

136.6 154.9119.64.620.34.232.2 2007/08 12.7

162.1 151.9114.05.63.44.833.6 2008/09 20.8

155.0 150.1112.63.03.04.832.5 2009/10 25.9

140.5 152.4114.86.28.64.729.8 2010/11 16.3

147.4 149.4111.76.57.14.929.9 2011/12 15.0

140.2 149.5111.54.28.64.630.6 2012/13 10.1

Wheat and Coarse Grains

273.9 262.3164.619.412.74.659.6 2001/02 40.7

281.0 270.0169.525.715.04.759.2 2002/03 41.1

242.4 260.4162.114.015.64.257.0 2003/04 24.7

313.6 275.9175.819.610.15.359.4 2004/05 52.8

279.1 275.6173.020.19.64.858.5 2005/06 45.8

262.8 273.9171.118.513.34.756.4 2006/07 29.5

256.7 271.4172.016.927.24.556.9 2007/08 25.2

313.2 278.9174.530.911.25.260.2 2008/09 39.8

293.9 275.1170.125.18.65.058.3 2009/10 42.0

276.5 274.7167.329.113.35.055.6 2010/11 28.1

284.7 276.9169.723.114.55.155.6 2011/12 27.3

271.9 271.5164.022.214.64.856.1 2012/13 20.1

December 2012

China: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

93.9 108.79.01.51.13.824.6 2001/02 76.6

90.3 105.26.51.70.43.823.9 2002/03 60.4

86.5 104.56.02.83.73.922.0 2003/04 43.3

92.0 102.04.01.26.74.321.6 2004/05 38.8

97.4 101.53.51.41.14.322.8 2005/06 34.5

108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.6

109.3 106.08.02.80.04.623.7 2007/08 39.1

112.5 105.58.00.70.54.823.6 2008/09 45.8

115.1 107.010.00.91.44.724.3 2009/10 54.4

115.2 110.513.00.90.94.724.3 2010/11 59.1

117.4 122.524.01.02.94.824.3 2011/12 55.9

120.6 123.023.01.03.05.024.1 2012/13 55.5

Coarse Grains

122.4 133.096.38.62.04.527.3 2001/02 85.6

130.6 136.398.415.31.84.727.8 2002/03 66.5

124.0 138.399.17.71.54.626.8 2003/04 45.9

138.3 141.1100.37.62.14.928.0 2004/05 37.6

147.8 147.1103.53.82.35.128.8 2005/06 36.8

159.1 153.6104.95.51.25.130.9 2006/07 38.0

159.2 158.0106.70.91.25.031.9 2007/08 39.4

172.4 161.1108.70.21.75.432.2 2008/09 52.2

169.8 173.2118.70.23.85.133.4 2009/10 52.4

183.4 188.2128.80.22.75.334.6 2010/11 50.1

199.7 197.1132.00.17.95.635.7 2011/12 60.5

215.0 218.5146.00.34.55.837.2 2012/13 61.2


216.3 241.7105.310.13.14.252.0 2001/02 162.2

220.9 241.5104.917.12.24.351.7 2002/03 126.8

210.5 242.8105.110.55.34.348.8 2003/04 89.2

230.2 243.1104.38.88.84.649.6 2004/05 76.4

245.2 248.6107.05.23.44.751.6 2005/06 71.3

267.6 255.6108.98.21.54.954.5 2006/07 76.6

268.5 264.0114.73.71.24.855.6 2007/08 78.5

284.9 266.6116.70.92.15.155.8 2008/09 98.0

284.9 280.2128.71.15.24.957.6 2009/10 106.8

298.6 298.7141.81.13.65.158.8 2010/11 109.2

317.1 319.6156.01.110.95.360.0 2011/12 116.4

335.6 341.5169.01.37.55.561.3 2012/13 116.8

December 2012

Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

4.9 5.90.90.61.83.41.4 2001/02 1.5

4.9 5.60.90.61.43.51.4 2002/03 1.5

3.7 5.30.60.11.53.01.2 2003/04 1.2

5.4 5.80.90.31.54.01.3 2004/05 2.0

4.2 5.70.80.21.53.71.1 2005/06 1.8

4.3 5.30.70.61.53.61.2 2006/07 1.8

4.4 5.50.90.81.93.71.2 2007/08 1.8

4.7 5.61.00.51.74.21.1 2008/09 2.1

4.6 5.50.90.81.73.81.2 2009/10 2.1

3.9 5.40.80.81.73.71.1 2010/11 1.5

4.4 5.60.90.61.94.01.1 2011/12 1.5

4.2 5.50.90.81.83.81.1 2012/13 1.2

Coarse Grains

10.9 11.19.80.20.84.12.7 2001/02 1.4

11.7 11.49.90.60.64.42.7 2002/03 1.8

9.0 10.69.40.10.83.42.7 2003/04 1.0

12.7 12.010.60.60.64.82.7 2004/05 1.6

12.6 12.010.61.40.74.82.6 2005/06 1.5

11.5 11.510.20.90.94.62.5 2006/07 1.5

9.3 10.39.00.11.03.62.6 2007/08 1.4

12.3 10.89.51.90.64.62.6 2008/09 1.5

11.8 10.89.31.70.84.82.4 2009/10 1.7

12.1 10.89.32.20.84.82.5 2010/11 1.7

11.5 10.59.02.50.84.52.5 2011/12 0.9

8.5 9.17.80.30.83.42.5 2012/13 0.7


15.8 17.010.70.82.63.94.1 2001/02 2.9

16.6 17.010.71.22.04.14.1 2002/03 3.3

12.7 16.09.90.22.33.33.9 2003/04 2.3

18.1 17.911.50.92.14.54.0 2004/05 3.7

16.8 17.711.51.62.14.43.8 2005/06 3.3

15.8 16.810.91.52.44.33.7 2006/07 3.3

13.7 15.89.90.92.93.63.8 2007/08 3.2

17.0 16.410.52.42.34.53.8 2008/09 3.6

16.4 16.210.22.52.44.53.7 2009/10 3.8

16.0 16.210.13.02.54.53.6 2010/11 3.1

15.8 16.19.93.22.84.43.6 2011/12 2.4

12.7 14.68.71.12.63.53.6 2012/13 2.0

December 2012

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

84.7 72.521.622.66.01.945.2 2006/07 13.0

92.4 75.323.922.06.02.046.5 2007/08 14.1

115.5 76.124.538.26.62.351.1 2008/09 21.9

114.0 78.226.137.25.42.253.0 2009/10 25.9

81.1 75.023.813.95.71.746.9 2010/11 23.8

114.8 79.827.739.78.02.350.0 2011/12 27.1

77.8 72.521.323.67.11.745.5 2012/13 15.9

Coarse Grains

59.1 51.435.88.51.02.029.1 2006/07 5.4

54.2 50.635.05.31.02.027.5 2007/08 4.8

79.0 58.141.517.10.72.630.3 2008/09 9.3

67.6 55.039.015.00.42.527.3 2009/10 7.4

47.6 41.928.58.71.22.122.2 2010/11 5.5

78.1 54.238.424.51.12.927.0 2011/12 6.0

68.5 50.835.319.91.12.527.6 2012/13 4.9

December 2012

Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports

ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan

17.1 7.62.78.30.01.214.8 2009/10 4.3

9.6 6.21.94.90.00.714.3 2010/11 2.9

22.7 7.42.611.80.01.613.8 2011/12 6.4

10.5 7.02.27.00.00.813.5 2012/13 2.9

Russia

61.8 39.616.818.60.22.326.7 2009/10 14.7

41.5 38.616.04.00.11.921.8 2010/11 13.7

56.2 38.015.521.60.62.324.9 2011/12 10.9

38.0 34.512.510.01.51.721.8 2012/13 5.9

Ukraine

20.9 12.33.39.30.03.16.8 2009/10 2.4

16.8 11.62.84.30.02.76.3 2010/11 3.3

22.1 15.06.15.40.13.36.7 2011/12 5.2

15.5 11.83.36.00.12.75.7 2012/13 3.0

Uzbekistan

6.2 7.51.40.41.74.41.4 2009/10 0.9

6.5 7.71.50.51.64.61.4 2010/11 0.8

6.3 8.01.70.72.74.51.4 2011/12 1.1

6.7 7.71.50.51.54.81.4 2012/13 1.1

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

8.2 11.21.90.73.52.43.4 2009/10 3.6

6.6 10.91.60.23.92.13.2 2010/11 3.0

7.4 11.41.80.14.72.33.2 2011/12 3.5

7.1 11.51.80.14.02.33.1 2012/13 3.0

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

114.0 78.226.137.25.42.253.0 2009/10 25.9

81.1 75.023.813.95.71.746.9 2010/11 23.8

114.8 79.827.739.78.02.350.0 2011/12 27.1

77.8 72.521.323.67.11.745.5 2012/13 15.9

December 2012


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports



Kazakhstan

2.5 2.01.70.40.01.41.8 2009/10 0.5

1.3 1.51.20.20.10.81.6 2010/11 0.1

2.6 1.81.50.70.01.71.6 2011/12 0.2

1.5 1.41.20.20.00.91.6 2012/13 0.1

Russia

17.9 16.712.22.70.02.37.7 2009/10 2.4

8.4 9.55.50.30.41.75.0 2010/11 1.4

16.9 14.39.83.50.52.27.7 2011/12 0.9

14.0 12.48.02.20.51.87.7 2012/13 0.8

Ukraine

11.8 5.63.96.20.02.45.0 2009/10 1.1

8.5 6.04.42.80.02.04.3 2010/11 0.8

9.1 6.34.72.50.02.53.7 2011/12 1.2

6.7 4.83.22.20.02.03.3 2012/13 0.9

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2009/10 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2010/11 0.0

0.2 0.30.30.00.13.20.1 2011/12 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.13.20.1 2012/13 0.0


3.5 3.62.80.00.12.71.3 2009/10 0.5

3.3 3.42.60.00.22.41.4 2010/11 0.5

3.4 3.62.70.00.22.51.3 2011/12 0.5

3.3 3.62.70.00.22.41.3 2012/13 0.4


36.0 28.120.79.30.22.316.0 2009/10 4.4

21.7 20.713.93.30.71.812.3 2010/11 2.9

32.3 26.319.06.70.82.214.4 2011/12 2.9

25.7 22.415.34.60.81.814.0 2012/13 2.3

December 2012


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports



Kazakhstan

0.5 0.40.30.00.04.70.1 2009/10 0.0

0.5 0.50.40.00.05.10.1 2010/11 0.1

0.5 0.50.40.00.04.90.1 2011/12 0.0

0.5 0.50.40.00.05.00.1 2012/13 0.0

Russia

4.0 3.73.20.40.03.51.1 2009/10 0.1

3.1 3.22.80.00.13.01.0 2010/11 0.1

6.7 4.53.82.00.14.31.6 2011/12 0.3

8.5 6.35.52.30.14.51.9 2012/13 0.3

Ukraine

10.5 5.75.05.10.05.02.1 2009/10 0.7

11.9 6.55.45.00.04.52.6 2010/11 1.1

22.8 7.86.515.20.16.43.5 2011/12 1.1

20.5 8.06.512.50.14.74.4 2012/13 1.1

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2009/10 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2010/11 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2011/12 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2012/13 0.0


2.6 2.92.60.10.23.30.8 2009/10 0.7

2.9 2.92.70.20.23.70.8 2010/11 0.6

3.5 3.33.00.30.24.20.8 2011/12 0.8

2.6 2.82.50.30.23.40.8 2012/13 0.4


17.7 12.911.35.60.34.34.1 2009/10 1.5

18.5 13.311.45.20.34.04.6 2010/11 1.9

33.7 16.313.817.50.35.66.1 2011/12 2.2

32.3 17.815.015.10.34.57.2 2012/13 1.9

December 2012

Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports


Wheat Competitors

Argentina

16.9 5.40.111.90.02.66.4 2004/05 1.3

13.8 5.10.09.60.02.55.5 2005/06 0.4

16.3 5.40.110.70.02.66.2 2006/07 0.6

18.6 5.70.111.20.02.86.6 2007/08 2.4

11.0 5.30.06.80.02.15.3 2008/09 1.3

12.0 5.80.05.10.03.04.0 2009/10 2.3

17.2 6.00.19.50.03.64.8 2010/11 4.1

15.5 6.00.112.90.03.05.2 2011/12 0.8

11.5 6.00.15.50.03.03.8 2012/13 0.8

Australia

21.9 6.03.214.70.11.613.4 2004/05 6.7

25.2 6.63.716.00.12.012.5 2005/06 9.4

10.8 7.44.58.70.10.911.8 2006/07 4.2

13.6 6.63.57.50.11.112.6 2007/08 3.7

21.4 7.44.214.70.11.613.5 2008/09 3.1

21.8 5.21.914.80.11.613.9 2009/10 5.1

27.4 5.82.518.70.12.013.5 2010/11 8.1

29.9 6.53.224.70.12.114.0 2011/12 7.0

22.0 6.33.017.00.11.713.3 2012/13 5.8

Canada

24.8 8.23.814.90.32.69.4 2004/05 7.9

25.7 8.23.816.00.32.79.4 2005/06 9.7

25.3 9.04.519.40.32.69.7 2006/07 6.9

20.1 6.82.216.10.42.38.6 2007/08 4.4

28.6 8.03.218.90.42.910.0 2008/09 6.5

26.8 6.92.219.00.42.89.6 2009/10 7.8

23.3 7.83.016.60.42.88.3 2010/11 7.2

25.3 9.74.617.40.53.08.6 2011/12 5.9

27.2 8.93.719.00.42.99.5 2012/13 5.6

Total Wheat Competitors

63.6 19.67.141.50.32.229.2 2004/05 15.9

64.7 19.97.541.70.42.427.3 2005/06 19.4

52.4 21.79.138.90.41.927.7 2006/07 11.6

52.2 19.15.834.80.51.927.8 2007/08 10.5

December 2012


Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports


61.0 20.77.440.40.52.128.8 2008/09 10.9

60.7 17.94.139.00.52.227.5 2009/10 15.2

67.9 19.65.644.70.62.526.6 2010/11 19.4

70.7 22.27.954.90.62.627.7 2011/12 13.6

60.7 21.26.841.50.52.326.6 2012/13 12.2

India

72.2 72.82.42.10.02.726.6 2004/05 4.1

68.6 70.02.20.80.02.626.5 2005/06 2.0

69.4 73.52.30.16.72.626.4 2006/07 4.5

75.8 76.42.50.02.02.728.0 2007/08 5.8

78.6 70.92.50.00.02.828.2 2008/09 13.4

80.7 78.22.80.10.22.927.8 2009/10 16.1

80.8 81.82.90.10.32.828.5 2010/11 15.4

86.9 81.43.10.90.03.029.4 2011/12 20.0

93.9 85.43.66.50.03.229.7 2012/13 22.0

Turkey

18.5 16.81.02.00.42.28.6 2004/05 1.8

18.5 16.10.43.20.12.28.6 2005/06 1.1

17.5 16.70.82.41.72.08.6 2006/07 1.3

15.5 16.80.81.72.22.07.7 2007/08 0.4

16.8 16.90.72.23.52.27.7 2008/09 1.5

18.5 17.10.84.33.22.47.8 2009/10 1.8

17.0 17.30.83.03.72.18.0 2010/11 2.2

18.8 18.11.43.73.82.47.7 2011/12 3.1

15.5 17.50.73.33.82.07.8 2012/13 1.6

December 2012


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports


Argentina

20.5 5.23.514.60.07.42.8 2004/05 1.1

15.8 6.24.49.50.06.52.4 2005/06 1.3

22.5 6.74.815.30.08.02.8 2006/07 1.8

22.0 6.84.914.80.06.53.4 2007/08 2.2

15.5 6.44.510.30.06.22.5 2008/09 1.0

25.0 6.95.016.50.08.33.0 2009/10 2.6

25.2 7.35.316.30.06.73.8 2010/11 4.1

21.0 7.25.117.00.05.83.6 2011/12 0.9

27.5 8.35.518.50.07.43.7 2012/13 1.7

Brazil

35.0 38.532.10.70.53.011.6 2004/05 4.2

41.7 39.533.04.51.13.212.9 2005/06 3.0

51.0 41.034.510.81.43.614.0 2006/07 3.6

58.6 42.536.07.80.74.014.7 2007/08 12.6

51.0 45.538.57.11.13.614.1 2008/09 12.1

56.1 47.040.011.60.44.312.9 2009/10 10.0

57.4 49.542.58.40.84.213.8 2010/11 10.3

73.0 52.545.021.00.84.815.2 2011/12 10.6

70.0 55.047.016.00.84.515.5 2012/13 10.4

China

130.3 131.098.07.60.05.125.4 2004/05 36.6

139.4 137.0101.03.70.15.326.4 2005/06 35.3

151.6 145.0104.05.30.05.328.5 2006/07 36.6

152.3 150.0106.00.50.05.229.5 2007/08 38.4

165.9 153.0108.00.20.05.629.9 2008/09 51.2

164.0 165.0118.00.21.35.331.2 2009/10 51.3

177.2 180.0128.00.11.05.532.5 2010/11 49.4

192.8 188.0131.00.15.25.733.5 2011/12 59.3

208.0 209.0145.00.22.06.035.0 2012/13 60.1

South Africa

11.7 9.75.02.10.43.63.2 2004/05 3.2

6.9 8.24.00.50.93.42.0 2005/06 2.3

7.3 8.64.40.51.12.52.9 2006/07 1.7

13.2 9.64.32.20.04.03.3 2007/08 3.1

12.6 9.94.31.70.04.32.9 2008/09 4.1

13.4 10.34.62.10.04.13.3 2009/10 5.2

December 2012


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports


10.9 10.75.02.40.43.82.9 2010/11 3.4

12.4 10.85.02.00.03.93.1 2011/12 3.1

13.5 11.15.12.50.04.13.3 2012/13 3.0

Total Corn Competitors

197.5 184.4138.625.00.94.643.0 2004/05 45.1

203.8 190.9142.418.32.14.743.7 2005/06 41.8

232.4 201.3147.731.92.64.848.2 2006/07 43.6

246.1 208.9151.225.30.84.850.9 2007/08 56.3

245.0 214.8155.319.31.25.049.4 2008/09 68.4

258.5 229.2167.630.31.75.150.4 2009/10 69.0

270.8 247.5180.827.32.25.152.9 2010/11 67.2

299.2 258.5186.140.16.15.455.5 2011/12 73.9

319.0 283.4202.637.22.85.657.5 2012/13 75.1

December 2012


Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports


Australia

7.7 3.52.54.30.01.74.6 2004/05 1.9

9.5 3.52.55.30.02.24.4 2005/06 2.6

4.3 4.02.91.90.01.04.2 2006/07 1.0

7.2 3.12.13.40.01.54.9 2007/08 1.7

8.0 4.02.93.20.01.65.0 2008/09 2.4

7.9 4.53.33.90.01.84.4 2009/10 1.9

8.0 4.23.04.70.02.23.7 2010/11 1.0

8.3 3.32.15.30.02.23.8 2011/12 0.8

7.0 3.32.13.80.01.83.9 2012/13 0.7

Canada

12.6 10.18.81.20.13.33.8 2004/05 3.4

11.7 9.68.42.30.03.23.6 2005/06 3.3

9.6 10.28.81.20.03.03.2 2006/07 1.5

11.0 7.96.63.00.12.74.0 2007/08 1.6

11.8 9.17.71.50.03.43.5 2008/09 2.8

9.5 8.57.31.30.03.32.9 2009/10 2.6

7.6 7.56.31.20.03.22.4 2010/11 1.5

7.9 6.95.71.30.03.32.4 2011/12 1.2

8.0 6.85.61.30.02.92.8 2012/13 1.2

EU-27

64.1 54.638.63.30.34.713.7 2004/05 11.1

54.8 54.138.23.30.14.013.8 2005/06 8.5

56.2 55.738.73.50.24.113.8 2006/07 5.8

57.5 54.238.73.80.34.213.8 2007/08 5.7

65.5 57.041.53.60.34.514.5 2008/09 10.9

62.1 56.541.51.10.14.513.9 2009/10 15.5

53.5 56.441.24.90.24.312.5 2010/11 7.9

51.4 51.536.53.10.44.311.9 2011/12 5.3

54.4 52.837.83.50.24.312.6 2012/13 3.6

December 2012


Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY ExportsMY

Imports


Argentina

2.9 2.62.40.40.05.20.6 2004/05 0.4

2.3 2.32.10.20.04.70.5 2005/06 0.2

2.8 1.71.51.10.04.70.6 2006/07 0.2

2.9 1.21.01.20.04.70.6 2007/08 0.7

1.7 1.11.01.10.03.70.5 2008/09 0.2

3.6 1.91.71.80.04.80.8 2009/10 0.2

4.4 2.32.11.70.04.41.0 2010/11 0.6

4.2 2.01.82.60.04.21.0 2011/12 0.3

5.2 2.52.22.60.04.51.2 2012/13 0.4

Australia

2.0 1.81.80.20.02.70.8 2004/05 0.1

1.9 1.91.90.10.02.50.8 2005/06 0.0

1.3 1.21.20.10.02.10.6 2006/07 0.0

3.8 2.22.20.80.04.00.9 2007/08 0.8

2.7 1.81.81.00.03.50.8 2008/09 0.7

1.5 1.21.20.30.03.00.5 2009/10 0.7

1.9 1.41.40.90.03.10.6 2010/11 0.4

2.2 1.11.11.20.03.40.7 2011/12 0.3

2.4 1.41.41.10.03.20.8 2012/13 0.2

December 2012

U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumption

Domestic

Consumption

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

23,46630,7103,58935,97735,0762,5712,63860,062nr319,271 2010/11

20,21132,1554,46028,07128,5633,0003,05054,413nr318,496 2011/12

20,51336,4158,57329,50028,5763,5003,53861,755nr319,826 2012/13

Corn

28,644285,014121,79845,24446,590684703316,165nr1032,960 2010/11

25,107279,007115,50638,43039,184765736313,918nr933,986 2011/12

16,424254,444105,41531,00029,2112,5002,540272,432nr835,500 2012/13

Sorghum

6975,2783,1183,8273,853218,779nr51,948 2010/11

5833,9541,7951,5481,610335,447nr31,590 2011/12

6123,9381,9052,5002,540006,507nr32,030 2012/13

Barley

1,9454,5371,0851811651482073,925nr4998 2010/11

1,3064,1938181791924693543,392nr4906 2011/12

1,7484,5711,1972002184504354,796nr41,313 2012/13

Oats

9822,7891,71537411,4681,4681,178nr2511 2010/11

7982,5491,44527351,7291,621779nr2380 2011/12

7262,5941,49240441,6001,637929nr2423 2012/13

Rye

203309334148141189nr2107 2010/11

113178084174151161nr298 2011/12

2035311455175191176nr2100 2012/13

Rice, Milled

1,5144,317nr3,2473,5286215827,59311,02781,463 2010/11

1,3033,472nr3,3003,2226506155,8688,39181,059 2011/12

9603,975nr3,4503,3467006516,3279,00681,083 2012/13

Notes: Wheat Trade Year (TY) statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats Trade Year (TY) statistics

are on Oct/Sept years. Rice Trade Year (TY) statistics are for the subsequent calendar year; 'Imports' and 'Exports' columns

contain data on the local marketing year: wheat, barley, oats and rye are June/May; corn and sorghum are Sept/Aug; rice is

Aug/July.

December 2012

Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks


1,162.5 278.51,216.1589.7193.22.1563.8 1983/84

1,315.0 340.01,253.5611.3203.62.3567.0 1984/85

1,328.5 420.61,247.9614.5165.22.3570.9 1985/86

1,348.0 469.21,299.4645.7174.72.4565.6 1986/87

1,285.9 423.11,329.8656.5202.22.4544.8 1987/88

1,218.1 339.31,302.0619.4203.32.2542.4 1988/89

1,327.4 320.51,346.2644.4208.92.4548.9 1989/90

1,417.6 368.71,369.5668.7190.12.6546.4 1990/91

1,355.7 359.51,364.9651.4207.52.5544.1 1991/92

1,431.6 399.21,389.1662.9205.22.6546.5 1992/93

1,356.1 366.11,389.2655.6188.22.5536.6 1993/94

1,392.5 362.61,396.0668.7200.12.6534.6 1994/95

1,338.5 319.11,381.9639.9187.52.5527.7 1995/96

1,490.5 366.71,442.9672.6198.42.7546.6 1996/97

1,491.6 413.61,444.7683.1190.32.8535.9 1997/98

1,481.9 447.51,448.1682.5198.72.8521.0 1998/99

1,464.9 443.81,468.0688.0214.32.9507.0 1999/00

1,446.7 419.11,471.5697.4205.12.8510.4 2000/01

1,480.2 403.71,495.5711.0208.52.9513.8 2001/02

1,443.2 341.31,505.7708.8209.62.9503.6 2002/03

1,471.2 278.81,533.7714.4206.22.9511.9 2003/04

1,642.2 335.91,585.2754.0214.73.2515.7 2004/05

1,599.2 319.81,615.3753.9222.83.1518.9 2005/06

1,585.3 275.61,629.5744.8230.43.1516.3 2006/07

1,692.9 292.91,675.6758.9245.73.2533.2 2007/08

1,794.4 362.51,724.7769.7254.23.3537.5 2008/09

1,800.0 397.01,765.6776.2254.73.4532.9 2009/10

1,750.6 362.41,785.2771.0249.83.4522.0 2010/11

1,849.0 360.51,850.9804.6285.93.5533.4 2011/12

1,774.1 323.41,811.1796.5264.03.3533.6 2012/13

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

December 2012

World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

588.8 171.6554.3131.5101.32.5231.0 1990/91

543.5 163.2551.8115.1111.42.4222.8 1991/92

562.6 177.9547.7111.6113.22.5222.1 1992/93

558.5 183.4553.0109.6101.72.5221.0 1993/94

523.0 164.2542.1101.4101.52.5213.3 1994/95

537.5 155.7546.195.299.22.5216.7 1995/96

581.5 163.8573.499.6104.02.6227.1 1996/97

610.2 197.2576.7103.8104.52.7226.4 1997/98

590.4 209.4578.3106.8102.02.7219.2 1998/99

586.8 210.7585.5102.7111.92.8212.8 1999/00

583.1 207.1586.7108.8102.42.7215.7 2000/01

583.6 204.2586.5109.4108.02.7214.5 2001/02

569.6 169.2604.5113.7106.82.7213.8 2002/03

555.3 135.6588.999.1103.62.7207.8 2003/04

626.7 156.0606.3108.7113.42.9216.1 2004/05

618.8 153.5621.2114.8114.12.8218.7 2005/06

596.1 133.9615.7110.1115.62.8212.2 2006/07

611.9 128.0617.7102.1116.82.8217.1 2007/08

682.8 167.6643.3121.2143.53.0224.7 2008/09

686.5 200.3653.8120.2135.63.0225.8 2009/10

652.2 197.8654.7116.0133.73.0218.3 2010/11

696.4 195.8698.4147.1153.33.1222.0 2011/12

655.1 176.9673.9132.3140.33.0217.6 2012/13

Coarse Grains

828.8 197.1815.2537.388.92.6315.3 1990/91

812.2 196.3813.1536.296.22.5321.3 1991/92

868.9 221.3841.4551.391.92.7324.4 1992/93

797.6 182.7836.2546.186.52.5315.6 1993/94

869.4 198.3853.8567.498.62.7321.3 1994/95

800.9 163.4835.8544.788.32.6311.0 1995/96

909.1 203.0869.5573.094.42.8319.5 1996/97

881.4 216.4867.9579.285.82.8309.4 1997/98

891.5 238.1869.7575.796.73.0301.8 1998/99

878.1 233.1882.6585.2102.43.0294.2 1999/00

863.7 212.0884.7588.7102.72.9294.7 2000/01

896.6 199.6909.0601.6100.53.0299.3 2001/02

873.6 172.1901.2595.1102.83.0289.8 2002/03

916.0 143.3944.8615.3102.63.0304.1 2003/04

1,015.6 180.0978.9645.3101.33.4299.6 2004/05

980.4 166.3994.0639.2108.63.3300.2 2005/06

989.2 141.71,013.8634.7114.73.3304.0 2006/07

1,081.0 164.81,057.9656.7128.93.4316.1 2007/08

1,111.6 195.01,081.5648.5110.73.6312.8 2008/09

1,113.6 196.81,111.8656.0119.13.6307.1 2009/10

1,098.3 164.61,130.5655.0116.23.6303.7 2010/11

1,152.5 164.71,152.4657.6132.53.7311.4 2011/12

1,118.9 146.51,137.2664.2123.73.5316.0 2012/13

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

December 2012

World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Corn

482.0 141.4473.4318.558.83.7129.1 1990/91

493.0 141.0493.3334.463.03.7132.5 1991/92

535.6 162.7512.1348.762.64.0133.1 1992/93

475.8 129.4509.0342.057.43.6130.7 1993/94

559.3 153.2535.6371.571.94.1135.2 1994/95

516.4 133.0536.6365.164.83.8135.0 1995/96

593.0 165.8560.1387.766.74.2141.5 1996/97

574.4 166.4573.8400.463.14.2136.2 1997/98

606.0 191.0581.5404.368.74.4138.9 1998/99

608.1 193.8605.3422.472.34.4138.9 1999/00

591.4 175.1610.1427.175.94.3137.2 2000/01

601.0 151.4624.8436.472.84.4137.5 2001/02

603.2 127.0627.5433.277.04.4137.3 2002/03

627.4 105.3649.2445.879.14.4142.0 2003/04

715.8 131.6689.5475.776.04.9145.4 2004/05

699.7 124.8706.6478.082.74.8145.7 2005/06

714.5 110.6728.6478.491.54.8149.4 2006/07

794.6 132.1773.1498.298.35.0160.5 2007/08

800.0 148.1784.1481.484.05.0159.1 2008/09

822.0 145.3824.8489.693.05.2158.6 2009/10

831.4 127.1849.6501.391.95.1163.9 2010/11

881.7 131.0877.8507.3103.15.2169.5 2011/12

849.1 117.6862.5514.797.04.9174.6 2012/13

Barley

179.5 31.5175.5130.819.62.572.4 1990/91

169.9 34.9166.5120.319.42.275.9 1991/92

166.3 35.0165.6119.016.42.372.6 1992/93

169.0 34.9169.1123.818.82.373.2 1993/94

160.7 30.0165.6120.915.32.272.2 1994/95

141.2 20.5150.7107.813.42.166.4 1995/96

153.1 24.1149.5106.317.92.464.2 1996/97

153.9 32.2145.8104.112.82.463.8 1997/98

136.0 29.0139.399.517.82.456.6 1998/99

127.4 23.9132.594.017.82.452.1 1999/00

133.1 22.6134.494.616.22.553.2 2000/01

143.5 29.3136.895.517.22.655.9 2001/02

134.4 27.5136.195.016.32.455.0 2002/03

142.2 23.4146.3102.714.82.458.5 2003/04

152.2 33.0142.6100.217.02.657.7 2004/05

136.2 28.1141.197.517.52.555.6 2005/06

137.0 21.4143.798.414.62.456.6 2006/07

133.1 20.4134.191.318.62.456.1 2007/08

155.0 31.4144.0100.118.22.855.5 2008/09

150.8 37.5144.6100.717.32.854.4 2009/10

122.7 24.4135.991.315.22.647.5 2010/11

134.3 22.8135.892.121.32.749.8 2011/12

130.1 20.1132.888.517.72.551.1 2012/13

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present,

coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

December 2012

World Rice: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production TY Exports Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Rice, Milled

450.9 69.3294.411.9306.93.1144.6 1983/84

464.9 87.7298.411.0316.83.2144.1 1984/85

467.3 97.7308.011.8318.03.2144.7 1985/86

464.6 103.3310.412.9316.13.2144.8 1986/87

464.8 105.3313.111.4315.13.3141.4 1987/88

490.8 111.7325.714.0332.13.3146.6 1988/89

510.3 120.6336.311.7345.23.5147.8 1989/90

519.4 126.7345.312.3351.43.5147.0 1990/91

522.8 126.7353.214.4353.23.5147.5 1991/92

524.2 123.2357.514.9354.03.6146.5 1992/93

526.1 119.0358.916.6354.73.6145.3 1993/94

539.9 117.6365.520.8364.13.7147.3 1994/95

547.3 118.1368.319.7368.83.7148.4 1995/96

565.3 120.3379.218.9381.43.8150.1 1996/97

575.2 127.7380.027.6387.43.8151.7 1997/98

587.0 134.0388.624.8394.93.8153.1 1998/99

608.6 143.1400.122.8409.23.9155.9 1999/00

594.1 146.7395.624.4399.33.9152.4 2000/01

594.3 132.9413.327.8399.53.9151.4 2001/02

563.1 103.0408.127.5378.23.8146.9 2002/03

585.1 81.6413.727.3392.33.9149.3 2003/04

596.6 74.0408.529.0400.93.9151.8 2004/05

621.4 76.7414.629.1417.34.0153.9 2005/06

624.7 75.4421.331.9419.94.0154.5 2006/07

642.5 80.8427.529.6433.04.1155.1 2007/08

667.7 92.4437.129.4448.74.2158.2 2008/09

656.8 95.2438.231.5441.04.2156.1 2009/10

670.4 98.7445.836.2449.34.3157.6 2010/11

693.3 105.7458.038.5465.04.4159.0 2011/12

693.7 102.5468.536.1465.34.4158.4 2012/13

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years.

December 2012


53

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States. Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama. Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S. South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela. EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom. Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland. Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan. Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen. North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia. Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa. East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan. South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives. Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam. Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.

December 2012


54

OTHER NOTES Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period at the onset of the main harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2011/12 starts in 2011); except for summer grains in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second year begins the LMY (2011/12 starts in 2012). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) EU-27 (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun) EU-27 (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May) Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun) Russia(Jul/Jun) Turkey (Jun/May) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) United States (Jun/May)

For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx). Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent EU-27 and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria and Romania, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled

December 2012

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx�


55

equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains. Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database. The Field Crops and Livestock Branch, Industry and Sector Analysis Division, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-6590. Note: The previous report in this series was the Grain: World Markets and Trade Foreign Agricultural Service Circular FG 11-12 November 2012. For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production Foreign Agricultural Service Circular WAP 12-12 December 2012. This circular is available in its entirety on the World Wide Web via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov

December 2012

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