UNICEF Newsletter on the Situation of Children - January 2011

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    November. In contrast, the proportion

    of men that earn their living from

    service provision and sales increased

    by 24 percentage points between the

    same time period.

    The rising trend in unemployment

    compared to pre-crisis November

    2008 continued. At this time, a total

    of 66% of women aged 15-49 yearswere working in Antananarivo. By

    May 2010, only 56% of women were

    working, a proportion that remained

    unchanged by December 2010. This

    is attributed to significant loss of

    labour in the free-trade zones,

    namely in the textile industry, which

    to a large extent had been employing

    women. As for men, the negative

    trend has been steady: in November

    2008, a total of 72% of men aged 15-

    49 years were working, in May 2010it was 70% and in November of the

    same year 65%. With the

    unemployment rate being defined by

    the proportion of people who do not

    have work but who are looking for

    work, the overall unemployment rate

    in the Capital remained rather stable

    (13% in May and 12% in November).

    Yet, the unemployment rate for the

    very young population is significantly

    higher than the average. For the age

    group 15-17 years (of which about

    one third has entered the labour

    market to work or look for work), a

    total of 35% are unemployed. Among

    those aged 20-24 years, 23% are

    unemployed.

    As for Toliara, the overall

    employment situation has remained

    rather stable with the notable

    exception of an increase of female

    heads of households engaged in

    work. In May 2010, 77% of female

    household heads were working

    compared to 93% in November 2009.

    A rather peculiar development in the

    labour market has been noticed for

    the period May-November 2010.

    There is an increasing number of

    males that do not work and that at

    the same time do not look for work

    (controlling for any increases in post-

    secondary education). In fact, whilethe proportion of men aged 15-64

    years that work decreased from 71%

    to 67% between May and November

    2010 in Antananarivo, the proportion

    of men that were out of work but did

    not search for work increased from

    22% to 27%. This behaviour appears

    to be of concern and may be

    attributed to an increasing sense of

    discouragement among men to look

    for work in the market, or to an

    increasing trend in labour activitiesthat shall remain unreported.

    The trend that an increasing

    proportion of the population that is

    out-of-work is not looking for work

    has been even more pronounced in

    Toliara. A total of 47% among those

    aged 15-64 years that are not

    working did not search for work in

    November 2010 compared to 30% in

    May 2010.

    School ing

    Of particular interest are behaviours

    related to the schooling of children as

    the new school year had just begun

    at the time of the surveys. In Toliara,

    no change was registered in the

    overall enrolment rates of children

    aged 6-17 years for the school years

    2009/10 in comparison to 2010/11;

    rates remained at 85%. The

    enrolment rate for the age group 6-10

    years is 89%. However, a drop in

    enrolment was registered for children

    in the age group 11-14 years, with a

    clear preference of taking out girls

    from school before doing so with

    boys. While a total of 91% of girls of

    the age group 11-14 years were

    inscribed for 2009/10, it was only

    82% for the school year 2010/11.

    Households made clear choices

    where to keep children at school and

    where not, especially when economic

    resources are tight. In particular girlsthat are far beyond the age of

    attending primary school, but that

    nevertheless were still attending in

    the past year (because of multiple

    repetitions or late school entry) were

    withdrawn: the proportion of girls

    dropping out of school in the age

    group 15-17 years that still attends

    primary school was 19.5% compared

    to 0% among boys in the same

    situation.

    A similar trend, albeit without

    discrimination against girl students -

    was observed in Antananarivo with

    regards to adolescents in general,

    and in particular that had been

    repeating classes for several times

    and/or had been enrolled in classes

    not appropriate to their age group. A

    significant reduction in the overall

    enrolment rate of children aged 15-17

    years was registered between the

    school years 2009/10 (69%) and

    2010/11 (59%). In contrast, a

    surprising increase by 5% in school

    enrolment for primary school children

    was noticed between the past and

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    current school years. The total

    enrolment rate for this age group is

    97%. The drop-out rate for school

    children of this age group has been

    0% between the two mentioned

    school years. However, drop-out

    rates for children aged 11-14 years

    was 2.5%, for children aged 15-17

    years it was 11%.

    The above shows that parents

    apply a high esteem for having

    their young children enrolled in

    primary school, which is near-

    universal in the Capital

    irrespective of their income

    situation. The fact that there has

    been even an increase in the

    enrolment rate in the current school

    year has increased pressures on

    current school infrastructure that

    struggle to accommodate an evergrowing number of students. It should

    be noted that only one third of all

    children in the Capital frequent public

    schools, the remainder go to private

    schools. In order to make the

    enrolment possible, households have

    temporarily reduced food expenses

    and increased education expenses to

    ensure that the relatively high school

    expenses at the beginning of the

    school year can be covered.

    Households, however, have also

    made a choice to withdraw elder

    children from school, in particular

    where they seem to have failed to

    progress.

    More emphasis needs to be paid to

    the needs of adolescent students to

    avoid high drop-out rates that seem

    to be significantly related to multiple

    class repetition which points towards

    a low quality of education in the

    school itself and limited support for

    the students in the home

    environment.

    A complementary spot-check

    assessment by UNICEF of gross

    enrolment in 104 public primary

    schools in the country showed that

    the 2010 CEPE success rate

    increased by 2.7% compared to

    2009, with the average passing rateat 84.2% compared to 81.7% in

    2009. 76% of urban schools had a

    CEPE success rate higher than 75%,

    while only 63% of rural schools had

    CEPE success rates exceeding 75%.

    Informants noted that urban schools

    had better working conditions, in

    terms of human, pedagogical and

    financial resources.

    The assessment also found that

    there was a general increase inprimary public school enrolment in

    rural areas which was attributed to

    transfers from urban to rural zones

    and from private to public schools. It

    may also be related to

    counterintuitive behavior of parents

    seen elsewhere in increasingly

    volatile contexts where enrolment

    rates increase contrary to

    expectations. The assessment further

    found a reduction in enrolment in

    urban areas consistent with the

    McRAM findings where the removal

    from over-age children still attending

    primary school reduced the gross

    enrolment rates.

    Because of continued hiring of FRAM

    teachers by schools to meet their

    staffing needs, the proportion of

    FRAM teachers not receiving

    government salary subvention

    increased from 26% to nearly 31% in

    the sampled schools. At the time of

    the spot checks, all government-

    subventioned FRAM teachers had

    received their subventions up until

    the last bimester of the 2009/2010

    school year (June/July). However,

    none had yet been paid for the

    2010/2011 school year. All non-

    subventioned FRAM teachers who

    were paid by the schools, however,

    had been paid for October.

    None of the schools sampled had

    received their caisses colesor

    school capitation grants for neither

    school year, 2009/10 or 20010/11. To

    pay for running costs, they mainly

    relied on parents. Some schools had

    activated income generating

    activities. For example, many urban

    schools rented out parking spaces.

    The off-loading of costs to maintain

    schools onto parents was reinforcedby the introduction of registration fees

    that did not exist previously. This is

    contrary to all efforts to establish a

    truly free education for children in

    Madagascar that frees poor parents

    from these additional costs that could

    be invested in other necessary

    expenses. In comparison, the

    government spent a total of Ariary

    12,971,943,000 or about 6.5 million

    USD for the 2008/09 school year

    covering a total of 20,261 primary

    schools with an estimated 4,324,000

    students enrolled.

    In general, Madagascar cannot be

    said to offer fee-free primary

    education. The caisses colesalong

    with the FRAM subventions are

    largely credited with Madagascars

    rapid increase in primary school

    enrollment over the past decade.

    One can only fear the consequences

    if government financial support to

    schools continues to be absent, as inthe case of the caisses coles, or

    inconsistent and insufficient, as in the

    case of the FRAM subventions. It is

    unheard of that a government should

    not contribute with any resources to

    the running of its schools while global

    advocacy and practice all

    concentrates on providing cost-free

    primary education. As per the results

    from the 2010 Enqute Priodique

    Auprs des Mnages(EPM),

    households spent on average Ariary39,000 per school-enrollee, with

    significant variations between urban

    and rural sites and between the

    countrys regions.

    Scolarisationdesenfantsde617ans:volutiondestauxd'inscriptionen2009/2010et2010/2011

    92,1 93,0

    68,7

    97,2

    88,3

    59,2

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    6-10 ans 11-14 ans 15-17 ans

    Annescolaire2009/2010 Annescolaire2010/2011Source: McRAMIMai2010etMCRAMIINov.2010

    Comparative enrolment rates for school years 2009/10 and 2010/11 in

    Antananarivo. Source: McRAM Antananarivo, November 2010

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    Rural pover ty

    While the situation in the urban areas

    seems to be stabilising since the onsetof the crisis, and without having been

    affected as heavily as expected, the

    results from the main national

    household survey producing the

    countrys poverty data, the Enqute

    Priodique Auprs des Mnages

    (EPM), officially presented together

    with a preliminary report at the end of

    January 2011 by INSTAT, has shown a

    worrying increase of poverty in the rural

    areas since 2005, when poverty rates

    were last measured. This comes ratherunexpected as the effects of the

    political crisis 2001/02 had inverse

    results with significant increases in the

    urban poverty rate. While the overall

    incidence of poverty increased from

    68.7% in 2005 to 76.5% in 2010, rural

    poverty increased from 73.5% to 82.2%

    for the same period. Over 4/5 of the

    population in rural areas is living below

    the national poverty line1.

    Of real concern is a widening gap

    between the poor and the rich, the

    1INSTAT has calculated the poverty line

    at Ariary 468,800/person/year whichamounts to approximately USD 230 (as ofFebruary 2011).

    EPM 2010 has measured a rise in

    inequality between 2005 and 2010.The Gini coefficient passed from 0.365

    to 0.403 over the mentioned period. A

    further analysis of the reasons for the

    significant increase of poverty in the

    rural areas will be required, an initial

    assumption is that rural development

    has been neglected over the past

    years. In general, it seems that

    investments made have not borne fruit

    or have been too limited to halt a

    negative trend. A total of 80.5% of the

    Malagasy population is employed in theagricultural sector of which again

    87.5% are cultivating rice. It will be

    imperative to further investigate the

    relation between increases in rural

    poverty and the economic returns

    gained by rice harvesting households.

    The intensity of poverty has

    significantly increased in rural areas

    compared to 2005 and is one of the

    highest since poverty levels have been

    measured by INSTAT starting in 1993

    with the exception of the year 2001.

    This indicates a slow but mounting

    crisis of rural households despite two

    past years of comparatively good

    harvests.

    ECURITY

    here has been a sharp deterioration in

    e sense of security between May and

    ecember 2010 in Toliara. In May, 38% of

    e households indicated not feeling secure

    0.5% female headed households) - this

    gure increased to 77% in December (80.5%

    r female headed households). A total of

    % of households indicated having been a

    ctim of some form of violence, a rate which

    mained unchanged since May 2010.

    Antananarivo, the sense of insecurity

    creased too, albeit to a lesser degree, from

    % in May 2010 to 61% of households

    dicating a sense of insecurity in November

    010. Equally, 6% of households indicated

    aving been victim of a form of violence by

    ovember 2010.

    EEDS

    s for Toliara, the priority needs in the shortrm as indicated by the households were

    mployment (54%), followed by food (48%)

    nd social support (32%). In the long term,

    ouseholds indicated a need for housing

    9%) followed by work (33.5%) and

    ducation for their children (32.5%).

    Antananarivo, the primary needs in the

    ort term were employment (52%), an end

    the political crisis (41%) and food

    6%). In the long term, they hoped for

    ousing (68%), work (29%) and schooling foreir children (26%).

    MERGENCE OF A VULNERABLEROUP: FEMALE HEADEDOUSEHOLDS

    early one quarter (23%) of all

    ouseholds in Antananarivo are female

    eaded households. Half of them live on

    ss than 100,000 Ariary per

    ousehold/month. (This proportion is true for

    nly 27% of male headed households.)

    bout 30% of them did not have work during

    e time of the survey (November). The

    elihood of children dropping out of school

    om among these households is higher than

    ompared to male headed households. A

    tal of 77% of these women are either

    vorced, widowed or live in separation to

    eir husbands/fathers of their children. The

    lnerability of female headed households

    as increased between May and November

    010.

    Toliara, nearly one third of householdse female headed. Among them, 18.5% do

    ot work and 40% of live on less than

    00,000 Ariary/month/household. They are

    ore often exposed to acts of violence

    .5% indicated having been a victim

    cently) compared to male headed

    ouseholds (4.8%).

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    UTRITION

    oint Comprehensive Food and Nutrition

    ecurity and Vulnerability Analysis

    o provide an accurate and detailed assessment of the

    urrent food and nutrition security situation and to assess

    e causes and risk factors for food and nutrition

    security in rural areas, UNICEF and WFP have carried

    ut a joint Comprehensive Food and Nutrition Security

    nd Vulnerability Analysis in all the rural zones of all 22gions of the country. This assessment may also help to

    etter understand the surge in rural poverty. Analysis is

    ngoing and will identify potential ways to mitigate food

    nd nutrition insecurity in rural areas and identify

    articularly vulnerable households (or pockets of

    ulnerability) where special assistance may be required.

    reliminary data for nutrition show large discrepancies

    thin the country, for example for Vitamin A, a cost

    fective high impact intervention which reduces by 23%

    all-cause mortality1

    show coverage as low as 21% and

    3% respectively in Atsimo Andrefana and in Androy as

    pposed to the national average of 74.1%.

    ery much mirroring the results of the Demographic and

    ealth Survey 2008/09, the total stunting (height-for-age)

    evalence is 49% with the highest levels found in the

    gh-lands namely Vakinakaratra(71%) and AmoroniMania

    1%).

    he assessment was carried out in August/September

    010 at the beginning of the lean period the national level

    global acute malnutrition (GAM) is 5.4%. However, in

    ome regions worryingly high levels for this time of the

    ear were noted namely in Atsimo Andrefana and in the

    outh with GAM levels of 8.1%. The area most affected by

    opical storm Hubert (Vatovavy Fitovinany) showed a

    evalence of 8.8%).

    Beaton GH, Martorell R. Aronson KA et al. Effectiveness of vitamin A

    pplementation in thecontrol of young childmorbidity and mortality inveloping countries. Toronto, Canada: Universityof Toronto,1993.

    The s i tuat ion in t he South

    While the Southern region of Madagascar suffers from chronic drought

    and structural vulnerability in terms of food security, nutrition, access to

    health and water and sanitation, a large portion of this region has been

    particularly affected by two consecutive years of low annual rainfall (i.e.

    294mm in 2009 and 325mm in 2010). In normal years the annual

    average is 530mm. This situation has led to the failure of the main

    agricultural season during 2009 and 2010, and for the first time areas

    traditionally producing agricultural surplus have been affected, namely

    the two districts of Betioky and Betroka in the North of the region . This is

    the 3rd failed harvest over the last 5 years.

    This prolonged drought situation in the three regions of Anosy, Androy

    and Atsimo Andrefana, in the South of Madagascar, has affected an

    estimated population of 1,827,235 inhabitants, resulting in the

    worsening of the food security situation for 720,000 inhabitants in the 8districts of Betioky, Ampanihy, Beloha, Bekily, Tsihombe, Ambovombe,

    Taolanaro and Amboasary.

    According to the Food Security Early Warning System (SAP2), over the

    last three years, there has been an alarming increase in the

    municipalities classified as being food insecure: 31 in 2008; 45 in 2009

    and 53 as of August 2010 out of a total of 104 municipalities covered by

    the SAP. This is the highest number of municipalities classified as food

    insecure ever since the creation of Food Security Early Warning System

    (SAP) in 1996.

    The hunger gap period began in October 2010 and is likely to extend up

    to end of March 2011. During this period, the sale of livestock remains

    the main source of income for livestock breeders. The average price of

    a Zebu (local cow) had dropped from USD 103 in 2008 to USD 51 in

    20103. In addition, the population has had little time to recover from the

    losses of previous seasons and traditional coping mechanisms have

    been eroded. Since the beginning of the hunger gap period, more than

    a third of the population is using extreme coping strategies such as

    eating wild food, and immature crops and going entire days without

    eating. Distress food commodities such as cacti appear on market stalls

    and unusual patterns of male migration due to food insecurity is also

    observed in 43% of the southern municipalities while no migration was

    observed at the same period last year 4.

    2Systme dAlerte Prcoce, Final Prognosis, No 142, June 2010

    3SAP bulletin No144, 54% of households sold more than usual cattle this year.

    4While no unusual migration due to food insecurity was observed in December

    2009, this phenomenon was observed in 16% of municipalities in July 2010and in 43% in September 2010, SAP Bulletins No 136 and No144.

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    EALTH

    hile the overall allocation of resources for the health

    udget appeared to be relatively unchanged in terms of its

    oportion to the total public budget, the actual expenses

    ave sharply decreased in 2010 - with a negative impact on

    e ability of the public health services to function as

    efore. It needs to be considered that already the

    oportion of public health expenditures in the budget is

    nly slightly above half of what is recommended by WHO,

    amely 15% of the total public budget. The health sector

    udget constituted 7.4% of the total budget in 2008, 7.1%

    2009 and was announced to be 8.7% of the total budget

    location as per the Finance Law for 2011. However,

    ctual expenditures for the public health sector were in

    010 the lowest since 10 years, namely USD 2 per person

    y November-2010) compared with USD 5 in 2009 and

    SD 8 in 2008.

    he investment budget as well as the recurrent budget has

    een sharp cuts. As for 2011, despite an optimistic budget

    location for the sector as prescribed by the Finance Law,

    e Ministry of Health has prepared itself for a continued

    usterity programme by prioritizing certain activities overhers. Of particular concern are the cuts in the recurrent

    udget affecting the functioning of basic health centres

    at serve the majority of health seeking population and

    at are essential for the treatment of basic childhood

    nesses such as acute respiratory infections and

    arrhea. It is yet unclear how the construction of

    nnounced new hospitals will be financed and staffed

    ven a dire health financial situation and the lack of

    vailable qualified health staff nationally.

    he Expanded Immunization Program (EPI) in Madagascar

    as faced significant challenges in 2010 as the Ministry ofealth defaulted on its previous commitment to secure

    ufficient funding for the purchase of vaccines, vaccine-

    lated supplies and for maintaining the cold chain

    ystem. In 2008 and 2009 respectively, the government

    located USD 881,182 and USD 968,479 for the purchase

    vaccines and supplies, but only USD 0.46 million in

    010. UNICEF contributed USD 0.50 (in 2008) and USD 0.48

    n 2009) worth of vaccines and supplies, but had to

    crease its contribute with as much as USD 1.7 million in

    010 in order to secure the supply of basic vaccines for

    e country.1

    or 2011 the government has committed to contribute USD

    13 million for the purchase of new vaccines, and USD

    68 million for the purchase of routine vaccines. Failing to

    ay its contribution will result in GAVI suspending its USD

    6.4 million contribution, leaving 787,000 children under

    ne year unprotected against Diphtheria Tetanus,

    ertussis, Haemophillus influenza B, Hepatitis B and

    neumococcal infections.

    nce 2009 no GAVI performance awards were paid to

    adagascar EPI programme - the last one was paid in

    008. This has seriously impeded the functioning costs of

    e EPI program.

    n the pluri-annual plan for EPI, signed by the government, UN and

    nors UNICEFs contribution is agreed at 411,000 USD

    According to the 2010 WFP/FAO crop and food security assessment

    report, between 2009 and 2010, there has been an increasing number

    of households with poor food consumption (poor dietary diversity and

    low frequency of consumption of different food groups), poor access

    to food (reduced income and low food stocks), and use of extreme

    coping strategies. Global food insecurity (moderate and severe) in the

    targeted districts increased by 8.6% but severe food insecurity

    increased by 28% because 19.3 % shifted from moderate food

    insecure to severely food insecure with a worrying trend in the South

    West of the country. Furthermore, the assessment has also shownthat compared to 2009, cereal production in the South has decreased

    by 80% and tuber output by 40%. This deterioration is putting the

    population, already weakened by two consecutive years of drought, at

    risk of a more serious crisis as their traditional coping mechanisms are

    almost exhausted.

    Moreover, the socio-political crisis that persists since 2009 led to the

    suspension of development aid and a drop in external financial

    support by 77% in terms of subsidy and 39.5% in terms of loans. The

    global financial crisis contributed to a fall of 8% of GDP during the

    biennium 2009/2010. Most social and development projects have

    been suspended in the south aggravating further the alreadyprecarious situation of the population in terms of food security, health,

    nutrition and water and sanitation. The situation is not likely to improve

    as Madagascars political agenda remains uncertain in the coming

    months and the international funding is not expected to resume in a

    short or medium term.

    According to last Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) report, the

    Southern Regions of Anosy and Androy registered one of highest

    prevalence of stunting5

    in the world with respectively 57.5% and

    55.5%. The national average is 50.1%. These high stunting rates are

    aggravating factors for the child mortality in a already very fragile

    socio-economic context.

    This situation has been further exacerbated by the sharp increase in

    the mean price of water, 13% between 2009 and 2010 (from 770

    Ariary a bucket of 15 litres in 2009 to 873 Ariary in 2010) and 58%

    from January to November 2010 (742 Ariary to 1.174 Ariary)6. Water

    availability remains a cause of concern especially in remote villages

    and populations have often to walk 10-15 km on average to find water.

    Even in basic health centres (CSB), patients are requested to bring

    their own water from unknown sources as in most of the CSBs there is

    no water

    The supply chain for essential medicines is also inadequate in 87% of

    the health centres covered by a survey jointly led by WHO, UNICEF

    and UNFPA, e.g. oxytocin for safe motherhood interventions is

    unavailable in most health centres, essential medicine stocks are

    depleted in the majority of them. The joint survey also found that

    approximately 60% of the population mentions financial reasons for

    not attending health centres when needed, more than double the rate

    of the rest of the country. This is consistent with the other data about

    the price of cattle falling (zebu at half price). Due to the food crisis,

    households have to prioritise their budgets towards procurement of

    food. Little is left for any other essential and life-saving services.

    Given both the treats to food and nutrition security and the declining

    state of health services a humanitarian intervention is warranted.

    5Chronic malnutrition: High for Age< 32 score

    6Ar 2,000 = $1 Source: Food Security Early Warning System (SAP)

  • 8/7/2019 UNICEF Newsletter on the Situation of Children - January 2011

    7/7

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