Undergraduate Persistence & 6yr Graduation Rates: Fall 2003 through Fall 2010/Spring 2011.

Undergraduate Persistence & 6yr Graduation Rates:

Fall 2003 through Fall 2010/Spring 2011

Persistence of All 1st Time Freshmen

1st Fall to Spring, and 1st Fall to 2nd

Persistence of First Time Freshmen

Campus FTF Cohort FTF_IRO CountFTF 1st Spring FA-->Spr FA->Spr% Fall 1-->Fall 2 FA to FA %

HIL Fall 2003 Y 443 Sp 2004 395 89.2% 278 62.8%

HIL Fall 2004 Y 440 Sp 2005 388 88.2% 305 69.3%

HIL Fall 2005 Y 444 Sp 2006 386 86.9% 287 64.6%

HIL Fall 2006 Y 471 Sp 2007 417 88.5% 306 65.0%

HIL Fall 2007 Y 512 Sp 2008 464 90.6% 349 68.2%

HIL Fall 2008 Y 552 Sp 2009 497 90.0% 378 68.5%

HIL Fall 2009 Y 471 Sp 2010 438 93.0% 333 70.7%

HIL Fall 2010 Y 403 Sp 2010 368 91.3%

Source: UHAPPS_IROFZ_IRO_BASE

Persistence of Classified Full-Time Freshmen

1st Fall to Spring, and 1st Fall to 2nd

Persistence of Classified Undergraduate Full-Time First Time Freshman

CampusFT FTF Cohort FTF_IRO CountFT 1st Spring FA-->Spr FA->Spr% Fall 1-->Fall 2 FA to FA %

HIL Fall 2003 Y 437 Sp 2004 392 89.7% 274 62.7%

HIL Fall 2004 Y 428 Sp 2005 380 88.8% 297 69.4%

HIL Fall 2005 Y 423 Sp 2006 374 88.4% 281 66.4%

HIL Fall 2006 Y 451 Sp 2007 406 90.0% 299 66.3%

HIL Fall 2007 Y 494 Sp 2008 448 90.7% 338 68.4%

HIL Fall 2008 Y 535 Sp 2009 487 91.0% 370 69.2%

HIL Fall 2009 Y 455 Sp 2010 425 93.4% 324 71.2%

HIL Fall 2010 Y 393 Sp 2010 359 91.3%

Source: UHAPPS_IROFZ_IRO_BASE

Persistence of All Classified Undergraduates

Fall to Fall, Fall 2006 and Fall 2007 Fall Sem # Class UG AcYr Grad 1stFR FR SO JR SR

2006 2,658 490 471 391 591 731 474

# Return Fall 2007 1,840 Overall returning 306 148 435 594 357

% Return Fall 2007 69.22% Overall 65.00% 37.9% 73.6% 81.3% 75.3%

Fall Sem # Class UG AcYr Grad 1stFR FR SO JR SR

2007 2,641 503 512 291 636 714 488




Fall to Fall, Fall 2008 and Fall 2009 Fall Sem # Class UG AcYr Grad 1stFR FR SO JR SR

2008 2,710 498 552 260 647 753 498




2009 2,857 460 471 282 683 857 564




Fall to Fall, Fall 2010 ?


2010 2,858 493 403 265 660 907 623

# Return Fall 2011 ? ? ? ? ?

% Return Fall 2011 ? ? ? ? ?

The Flow of Classified Undergraduates Overall

Fall 2006

Fall 2007

Fall 2008

Fall 2009

Fall 2010

Class UG 3,148

Class UG 3,144

Class UG 3,208

Class UG 3,317

Class UG 3,351

Graduate 490 Graduate 503 Graduate 498 Graduate 460 Graduate 493

Return 1,840 Return 1,877 Return 1,956 Return 2,069 Return

Add New 1,304

Add New 1,331

Add New 1,361

Add New 1,282

Add New

Freshman 1st year Departers Last Semester and Cumulative GPA

Academic Standing

Six Year Graduation Rates of 1st Time Full Time Freshman

1995 by 2001

1996 by 2002

1997 by 2003

1998 by 2004

1999 by 2005

2000 by 2006

2001 by 2007

2002 by 2008

2003 by 2009

2004 by 2010

30.1% 31.5% 34.6% 30.2% 30.6% 31.5% 36.3% 32.4% 30.9% 33.3%

Leading Indicators Project Review & Discussion:

Looking at Milestone Attainment and Degree Completion

among the

Freshman Cohorts 2003, 2004, 2005

Educational Trust “Leading Indicators”

• Provides framework for investigating and understanding variable student graduation rate outcomes specifically with respect to those student’s attainment of specified milestones within the 1st academic year.

• The basic framework includes demographic breakouts by ethnicity, low-income status, and FT/PT status.

• 1st Academic Year Milestones include: 1. Completion of 80% or more attempted credit hrs with C or better.2. Completion of minimum 24 credit hrs3. Attempt College Level Math4. Complete College Level Math C or better5. Attempt English Composition6. Complete English Composition

Customizing the Leading Indicators Framework

• Localized ethnicity sub populations.• Ascertained pell status from any enrolled term, not just 1st Fall.• Ascertained student milestone attainment looking across all system

campuses and inclusive of summer semesters immediately prior and subsequent 1st Fall.

• Ascertained 6 yr degree completion looking separately for 4 yr degrees earned from Hilo campus, UH system, & outside UH system.

• Based on existing research/insights…Worked with 5 additional variables within the cohort:

gender, residency, any summer enrollment behaviors, any change of major behaviors (by change type direction & magnitude)

Key Findings: of 1,327 Freshmen, the percentage satisfying milestones

within their 1st academic year enrolled

74%

64%69%

59%

46%42%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

80% of Attempted 24 cr AcYr Math Attempt

Math Complete ENG Attempt ENG Complete

Key Findings: Of those satisfying each milestone, the percent graduating within 6 years

58%62%

49%54% 56%

60%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%



Key Findings: Of those NOT satisfying each milestone,

the percent graduating within 6 years

11%

17%

39%

34%37%

35%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%



Key Findings: Of those satisfying all milestones in the 1st year,


26.45%

65.52%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Satisfy all Milestones Graduation Rate

Key Findings: Of those satisfying NO milestones in the 1st year,


7.98%

6.60%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

Satisfy No Milestones Graduation Rate

Detailed Variability in Milestone Attainment

Sub Population Number % 80% 24cr MathAttMathComp ENGAtt

ENGComp

Under-represented Minority 400 30% 68% 59% 70% 58% 49% 42%

Non-”URM” 658 50% 81% 69% 71% 63% 48% 45%

Nuetral/Unknown* 269 20% 66% 60% 62% 52% 40% 36%


ENGComp

Pell 496 37% 73% 63% 64% 55% 48% 44%

Non-Pell 831 63% 75% 66% 72% 62% 45% 41%

More Detailed Variability in Milestone Attainment

Sub Population Number # 80% 24cr MathAttMathComp ENGAtt

ENGComp

Male 562 42% 70% 61% 69% 57% 45% 40%

Female 765 58% 77% 66% 69% 61% 47% 43%


ENGComp

Major Change by Directions 385 29% 85% 79% 75% 68% 55% 53%

MJR No Change 942 71% 70% 58% 67% 56% 43% 38%


ENGComp

Hawaii Resident 784 59% 73% 64% 71% 61% 52% 47%

Hawaii Non-Resident Regular 160 12% 74% 60% 66% 55% 34% 29%

Hawaii Non-Resident WUE 279 21% 83% 69% 66% 59% 51% 48%

Yet More Detailed Variability in Milestone Attainment


ENGComp

Summer Enrolled Yes 539 41% 85% 80% 78% 70% 52% 49%

Summer Enrolled No 788 59% 67% 54% 63% 52% 43% 38%

Overall Graduation Rates

Cohort TotalGraduatedElsewhere %Elsewhere

GraduatedManoa %Manoa

Graduated Hilo %Hilo

TotalGrads

Overall Grad Rate

Overall 1327 86 6.5% 73 5.5% 447 33.7% 606 45.7%

Detailed Variability in Graduation Rates

Cohort TotalElsewhere %Else Manoa %Manoa Hilo %Hilo

TotalGrads

Overall Grad Rate

Under-represented Minority 477 8 1.7% 13 2.7% 134 28.1% 155 32.5%

Non-”URM” 581 69 11.9% 34 5.9% 232 39.9% 335 57.7%

Neutral/Unknown 269 9 3.3% 26 9.7% 81 30.1% 116 43.1%

Cohort TotalElsewhere %Else Manoa %Manoa Hilo %Hilo

TotalGrads

Overall Grad Rate

Pell 496 18 3.6% 16 3.2% 176 35.5% 210 42.3%

Non-Pell 831 68 8.2% 57 6.9% 271 32.6% 396 47.7%

More Detailed Variability in Graduation Rates

Cohort Total Elsewhere %Else Manoa %Manoa Hilo %HiloTotalGrads

Overall Grad Rate

Male 562 38 6.8% 30 5.3% 171 30.4% 239 42.5%

Female 765 48 6.3% 43 5.6% 276 36.1% 367 48.0%


Overall Grad Rate

Major Change by Directions 385 5 1.3% 8 2.1% 266 69.1% 279 72.5%

MJR No Change 942 81 8.6% 65 6.9% 181 19.2% 327 34.7%


Overall Grad Rate

Hawaii Resident 784 18 2.3% 39 5.0% 282 36.0% 339 43.2%

Hawaii Non-Resident Regular 160 21 13.1% 6 3.8% 44 27.5% 71 44.4%

Hawaii Non-Resident WUE 279 44 15.8% 16 5.7% 91 32.6% 151 54.1%

Non-Resident Alien 104 3 2.9% 12 11.5% 30 28.8% 45 43.3%

Yet More Detailed Variability in Graduation Rates


Overall Grad Rate

Summer Enrolled Yes 539 11 2.0% 66 12.2% 285 52.9% 362 67.2%

Summer Enrolled No 788 75 9.5% 7 0.9% 162 20.6% 244 31.0%

Interventions:Interpretations

• Since Leading Indicators milestone attainment correlates favorably with graduation,

• And The Education Trust’s intention is to increase degree attainment among Low Income students and under-represented minorities…

• Action plan is that encouraging “good behaviors” through focused institutional interventions can improve milestone attainment and degree completion for Low Income and under-represented minorities specifically.

• Such interventions in turn, benefit overall institutional milestone attainment and graduation rates.

Charting Progress: What’s next?

Freshman Cohort # FTF % Comp % Math

2003 443 51.00% 64.60%

2004 440 44.80% 69.50%

2005 444 43.50% 67.10%

2006 471 45.60% 59.90%

2007 512 46.30% 60.50%

2008 552 54.70%

2009 471 58.20%

2010 403 60.50%

*census registrations not satisfactory course completions

To Reframe the Challenge,How Might We:

• Reduce milestone attainment gaps between general (sub) population and Low Income and under-represented minority populations by half ?(A2S goal=Access to Success)

• Reduce degree attainment gaps between general (sub) population and Low Income and under-represented minority populations by half—institutional grad rates and/or overall ?(A2S goal=Access to Success)

When…

• Low Income Hilo grad rate is 1.8% higher than general population & Overall grad rate is 3.4% lower.Also, their Hilo grad rate is 2.9% higher than Non Pell, & 5.4% lower overall.

• Under-represented minority Hilo grad rate is 5.6% lower than general population & Overall grad rate is 13.2% lower.Also, their Hilo grad rate is 11.8% lower than Non “URM”, & 25.2% lower overall.

Follow Through…

• Identify those sub population milestone and degree attainment gaps that most warrant direct attention

• Identify further institutional intervention strategies

• Identify further research questions needed for effective action

Undergraduate Persistence & 6yr Graduation Rates: Fall 2003 through Fall 2010/Spring 2011.

Documents

Transcript of Undergraduate Persistence & 6yr Graduation Rates: Fall 2003 through Fall 2010/Spring 2011.