UNCLASSIFIED 1 Operational Intelligence Preparation of the Environment (OIPE) Briefing Isla del Sol...
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Transcript of UNCLASSIFIED 1 Operational Intelligence Preparation of the Environment (OIPE) Briefing Isla del Sol...
UNCLASSIFIED 1
Operational Intelligence Operational Intelligence Preparation of the Preparation of the
Environment (OIPE) BriefingEnvironment (OIPE) Briefing
Isla del SolIsla del Sol
2-10 April 20152-10 April 2015
29 December 2015 DRAFT
UNCLASSIFIED 2
1. What is OIPE?2. OIPE for the Isla del Sol:
A. Geography;B. Weather, Threats and Hazards;C. Political, Military, Economic, Social,
Information, Infrastructure, Physical and Time (PMESII-PT);
D. Actor and Stakeholder Analysis;E. Troop Contributing Country Military Resources;F. Humanitarian Situation.
Agenda
UNCLASSIFIED 3
•OIPE: A continuous activity that assists Commander’s Appreciation Process during all phases of planning and execution of multinational operations.
•OIPE provides foundation for Commander’s Situational Assessment
•A key CTF planning principle is: “Before any problem solutions can be identified the problem must first be clearly understood.
– Understanding the problem(s) preventing attainment of the assigned military end states is essential for the CCTF to accurately understand the situation.
•OIPE is a modification of the Joint Intelligence Preparation of the Operational Environment (JIPOE) which includes:
– Baseline analysis of the traditional intelligence concerns of enemy, weather, terrain;
– Added considerations that political, military, economic, social, infrastructure, and information dynamics have on the operational environment.
What is OIPE?
UNCLASSIFIED 4
•This briefing will provide an overview of the OIPE for this workshop.
•A complete OIPE study is located in digital form on each laptop in your planning groups.
UNCLASSIFIED 5
Isla del Sol
2° S
4° S
6° S
8° S 170° E168° E 172° E
UNCLASSIFIED
IDS within the Region
6
UNCLASSIFIED
IDS within the Region
7
UNCLASSIFIED
IDS Geography & Demographics
• Island nation running northwest to southeast.• Mountain spine runs entire
length of island;• Sea level to 1,500 m mountain
peaks;•Land area:• ~ 140,000 km2
(~ 54,054 sq mi)• Slightly smaller than Nepal
and Tajikistan. •Population: 320,000 (2011
census)• 54% urban & small towns
(over 5,000 persons);• Largest town: Ensenada at
63,192.• 46% small towns and rural. 8
UNCLASSIFIED
IDS Weather, Threats and Hazards
•Weather– Semi-arid to desert.– Mostly desert (≤ 30 cm of
rainfall).– Semi-arid in southeast
plain.•Temperatures
– Average 20° to 31° C (68°to 88° F).
– Cooler in higher elevations.
– Little seasonal variation.•Hazards
– Cyclones from January to April.
– Flash flooding and landslides.
– Tsunami exposure in low-lying areas. 9
UNCLASSIFIED
IDS PMESII-PT
Political: Parliamentary republic.• Capital: Santa Rosalia• 3 administrative districts• Executive Branch
Prime Minister Carlos Manuel de Céspedes del Castillo
12 Cabinet Ministers• Legislative Branch
Unicameral parliament – National Constituent Assembly
120 Assemblymen 4-year terms.
• Judiciary: Highest court: Tribunal Supremo
Provincial courts: Audiencia Provincial
Municipal courts: Tribunal Municipal
Isla del Sol gained independence from former colonial ruler Iberia 24 March 2014 through a UN-brokered referendum.
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UNCLASSIFIED 11
Military•Military: None•Security Forces:
– Gendarmerie Guardia Civil
Island-wide jurisdictionDivided into 3 Legions1,500 Officers and enlisted personnel
Guardia MunicipalMetropolitan police for Ensenada and Santa Rosalia210 police officers
– Coast Guard Servicio Guardacostas
130 Officers and enlisted personnel6 Zhuk-class patrol boats2 Fokker F-27 maritime surveillance aircraft.
IDS PMESII-PT
UNCLASSIFIED
IDS PMESII-PT
12
Economic:•Underdeveloped agriculture and fishing economy:
33% ranching / herding / subsistence agriculture;24% fishing;19% commerce;13% services.
•Potential for economic growth with foreign investment in oil exploration and palm oil farming.•Inequitable distribution of income and wealth.•Annual gross national product: US$ 400 million.•Annual per capita income: US$1,250.
UNCLASSIFIED
IDS PMESII-PT
Social:•Population: 320,00 (2011 census)•Age structure:• 0-14 yrs. 35.3%• 15-24 yrs. 21%• 25-64 yrs. 40.1%• 65+ yrs. 3.6%
•Ethnic identity:• Mestizo 29%• Mohanjerani 25%• Lahui Kanaka 24%• Mixed 21%• Other < 1%
•Religious affiliation: • Christianity
(Roman Catholic)43%
• Islam 41%• Lahui Kanaka 15%• Other < 1%
•Language (primary):• Spanish* 37%• Western Arabic 32%• Lahui Kanaka 31%
* Spanish is the official language and lingua franca of commerce. Most Isla del Sol citizens speak conversational Spanish.
13
UNCLASSIFIED 14
Information•Literacy rate: ~ 50%;• 65% of population with < 5 years of formal education.
•Television:• 1 state-owned station with national coverage;• Multi-channel pay TV available.
•Radio:• 2 state-owned radio stations;• 2 privately owned radio stations;• Multiple international broadcasters available.
•Telephones:• Main lines in use: 25,400• Mobile phones in use: 164,200
•Internet: 36,000 internet users.•Newspapers: 2 large-circulation newspapers
IDS PMESII-PT
UNCLASSIFIED
IDS PMESII-PT
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UNCLASSIFIED
IDS PMESII-PTPhysical•Generally poor infrastructure,
especially in rural areas.•Distances from Santa Rosalia to (in
km):Australia, Sydney 3,699.9
Fiji, Suva 1,462.7Japan, Tokyo 5,778.6Malaysia, KL 7865.1New Caledonia, Noumea 2,896.1New Zealand, Auckland 3,369.5Solomon Islands, Honiara 1,369.4Thailand, Bangkok 8,193.3Tuvalu, Funafuti 828.9USA, Honolulu, HI 4,527.5
Time• +11 hrs. from UTC
(Same as New Caledonia)
16
UNCLASSIFIED
Major Actors in IDS
•Government of Isla del Sol:–Guardia Civil;–Guardia Municipal;–Servicio de Guardacostas.
•Armed Terrorist / Insurgent Groups:–Sons of Isla del Sol (SIS);
–Kamali’I ka Me’e Lahui Kanaka (“Children of Lahui Kanaka Heros” – KMLK);
–International Peoples’ Movement (IPM).
•Organized Crime Families:–Mohajerani Criminal Gangs (MCG);
–Lahui Kanaka Criminal Gangs (LKCG).
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UNCLASSIFIED
Major Actors in IDSGendarmerie and Servicio de Guardacostas
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Guardia Municipal
Guardia Civil(by Legion)
Servicio de Guardacostas
Legion 3
UNCLASSIFIED
Major Actors in IDSSIS Area of Influence and Piracy
Operations
SantaRosaliaSanta
Rosalia
EnsenadaEnsenada
San FelipeSan Felipe
SIS Area of Influence
SIS Piracy Operations
Servicio de Guardacostas bases
UNCLASSIFIED
Major Actors in IDS (cont.)
•IDS displaced persons:• All IDPs 100,000+• IDPs in San Felipe camps
~90,000
•United Nations Support Mission in Isla del Sol (UNSMI)
•Humanitarian and Development communities: • UN humanitarian agencies,
funds & programmes; • International
organizations; • Red Cross societies; • Non-Governmental
Organizations: “IDS CAA”.
•Foreign Workers:– Major employers:
Petroliam Nasional Berhad (PETRONAS)
Shell Oil Company (USA)
Sime Darby Berhad– Largest number of foreign
workers Malaysia 9,500 USA 1,250
20
UNCLASSIFIED
Major Actors in IDSUNSMI and IDP Camp Locations
21
FO EnsenadaFO Ensenada
FO San FelipeFO San Felipe
FO Santa Catarina
FO Santa Catarina
FO LoretoFO Loreto
FO Guerro NegroFO Guerro Negro
HQ Santa Rosalia
HQ Santa Rosalia
San Felipe IDP campsSan Felipe IDP camps
HQ Santa Rosalia
Field Offices:
•Ensenada
•Guerro Negro
•Loreto
•San Felipe
•Santa Catarina
•San Felipe IDP camps X 3
UNCLASSIFIED
Major Actors in IDSLocations of Foreign Economic Interests
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Bahia TortugasBahia Tortugas
SantaRosaliaSanta
Rosalia
SanIgnacio
SanIgnacio
San FelipeSan Felipe
EnsenadaEnsenada PETRONAS / Shell Oil Sites
Sime Darby palm oil plantations
Airports
Seaports
Highway 1
UNCLASSIFIED
Major Actors in IDSLocations of Foreign Economic Interests &
SIS Areas of Influence and Piracy Operations
23
Bahia TortugasBahia Tortugas
SantaRosaliaSanta
Rosalia
SanIgnacio
SanIgnacio
Airports
Seaports
Highway 1
PETRONAS / Shell Oil Sites
Sime Darby palm oil plantations
SIS Area of Influence
SIS Piracy Operations
San FelipeSan Felipe
EnsenadaEnsenada
UNCLASSIFIED 24
Isla del SolNon-Combatant Evacuation
Operation•Mission: Evacuation of 1,916 foreign civilians from Isla del Sol.
•French-led Non-combatant Evacuation Operation in IDS, mixed nations, mixed services.
•NEO Forces for planning: MPAT Nations, mixed services
•NEO Forces Staging Area: Nouméa, New Caledonia–French government offers Nouméa as staging and destination point.
•IDS government consents to operation; anticipate SIS attempts to disrupt operation and / or target evacuees.
•Evacuees: Foreign non-essential diplomatic personnel and families, foreign aid workers and foreign workers.
UNCLASSIFIED 25
Isla del SolNon-Combatant Evacuation
Operation (cont.)
•Concentrations of evacuees:–Northern District: Ensenada, San Felipe, Northern GOPLATs
–Central District: Santa Catarina, Guerro Negro, El Barril
–Southern District: Bahia Tortugas, San Ignacio, Santa Rosalia, Southern GOPLATs, Loreto.
•Destinations: Directly to home country or to Nouméa, New Caledonia, for commercial transport home.
•Violence in Northern District, instability in Central and Southern Districts, piracy offshore.
•Execute mission NLT 1 May 2015
UNCLASSIFIED 26
Isla del SolNon-Combatant Evacuation
Operation
Bahia TortugasBahia Tortugas
SantaRosaliaSanta
Rosalia
SanIgnacio
SanIgnacio
Airports
Seaports
Highway 1
PETRONAS / Shell Oil Sites
Sime Darby palm oil plantations
UN & Humanitarian Operations
Diplomatic missions
SIS Area of Influence & Piracy
San FelipeSan Felipe
EnsenadaEnsenada
SantaRosali
a
SantaRosali
a
UNCLASSIFIED
Assets Available for PlanningNon-combatant Evacuation
Operation
27
•Assets Available for Planning• TBD • TBD • TBD
UNCLASSIFIED
Isla del SolStability Operation
28
•Mission: In support of Govt. of IDS, assist in providing security, countering terrorism and protection of civilians.
– At request of Govt. of IDS and in accordance with UNSCR 2275 and 2282 (2015).
– Area to be secured: Isla del Sol.•French-led stability operation in IDS, mixed nations, mixed
services.•Stability Operations Forces for planning: MPAT Nations, mixed
services.•Stability Operations Forces staging area: Nouméa, New
Caledonia.– French government offers Nouméa as planning and staging
area.– Participating nations to transport troops to staging area.
•Anticipate SIS and MCG opposition.•Execute mission NLT 11 May 2015
– Handover to IDS Security Forces by 11 July 2015, full transition of operations by 21 August 2015.
•Requests for Forces allowed once approved by MPAT Secretariat.
UNCLASSIFIED
Locations of Security Incidents
As of 31 March 2015
29
Bahia TortugasBahia Tortugas
SantaRosaliaSanta
Rosalia
SanIgnacio
SanIgnacio
SIS Area of Influence
SIS Piracy Operations
Airports
Seaports
Highway 1
PETRONAS / Shell Oil Sites
Sime Darby palm oil plantations
San FelipeSan Felipe
EnsenadaEnsenada
UNCLASSIFIED
Assets Available for PlanningStability Operation
30
•Assets Available for Planning• TBD • TBD • TBD
UNCLASSIFIED
Isla del SolMaritime Security Operation
31
•Mission: In support of Govt. of IDS, assist in countering acts of piracy, providing security and protection of civilians in waters off IDS.
– At request of Govt. of IDS and in accordance with UNSCR 2275 and 2282 (2015).
– Area to be secured: Waters surrounding Isla del Sol.•French-led Maritime Security operation, mixed nations, mixed
services.•Maritime Security Forces for planning: MPAT Nations, mixed
services.•Maritime Security Forces staging area: Nouméa, New Caledonia.
– French government offers Nouméa as planning and staging area.
– Participating nations to transport assets to staging area.•Anticipate SIS and MCG opposition.•Execute mission NLT 16 May 2015
– Handover to IDS Servicio de Guardacostas by 16 July 2015, full transition of operations by 21 August 2015.
•Requests for Forces allowed once approved by MPAT Secretariat.
UNCLASSIFIED
Locations of Security Incidents –
As of 31 March 2015
32
Bahia TortugasBahia Tortugas
SantaRosaliaSanta
Rosalia
SanIgnacio
SanIgnacio
SIS Area of Influence
SIS Piracy Operations
Airports
Seaports
Servicio de Guardcostas bases
PETRONAS / Shell Oil Sites
San FelipeSan Felipe
EnsenadaEnsenada
UNCLASSIFIED
Assets Available for PlanningMaritime Security Operation
33
•Assets Available for Planning• TBD • TBD • TBD
UNCLASSIFIED 34
IDS OIPE Brief – Questions?