Unbundling (Your) Work: Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

117
Unbundling (Your) Work: Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI Gary A. Bolles Co-founder, eParachute.com Partner, Charrette LLC

Transcript of Unbundling (Your) Work: Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Page 1: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Unbundling (Your) Work: Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Gary A. BollesCo-founder, eParachute.com

Partner, Charrette LLC

Page 2: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Careering Into the Future.What’s a career, in the age of exponentials?What’s work, in the age of exponentials?How are exponentials changing how we work?What’s “unbundling,” and why does it matter?What strategies do we need going forward - as

individuals, and as employers?

Page 3: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI
Page 4: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI
Page 5: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI
Page 6: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

The Three Boxes of Life

Page 7: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

The Three Boxes of Life

Education

Work

Leisure

Page 8: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

The Three Boxes of Life

Education

Work

Leisure

Page 9: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI
Page 10: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Career

Page 11: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI
Page 12: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI
Page 13: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI
Page 14: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI
Page 15: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Career

Page 16: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

So, what’s “work”?

Page 17: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

So, what’s “work”?

Problems

?????????????????????

Page 18: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

So, what’s “work”?

ProblemsTasks

?????????????????????

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

Page 19: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

So, what’s “work”?

ProblemsTasksSkills

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

?????????????????????

!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Page 20: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Let’s talk about skills.

Page 21: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Let’s talk about skills.

Everything you know about skills is wrong.

Page 22: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

What’s a skill?

Knowledges Transferable Self-Management

Page 23: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

What’s a skill?

Knowledges Transferable Self-Management

Page 24: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

What’s a skill?

Knowledges Transferable Self-Management

Page 25: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

264 Transferable Skills

Page 26: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

What’s a skill?

Knowledges Transferable

Self-Management

Page 27: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

What’s a skill?

Knowledges Transferable Self-Management

Page 28: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

What’s a skill?

Knowledges Transferable Self-Management

What youKNOW

What youCAN DO

HOWyou do it

Page 29: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

What about “ability”?

Performance

Page 30: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

What about “ability”?

Performance

Enjoyment

Page 31: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

What about “ability”?

Performance

Enjoyment

!

Page 32: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

What about “ability”?

Performance

Enjoyment

!

Page 33: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

What about “ability”?

Performance

Enjoyment

!

X X

Page 34: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

What about “ability”?

Performance

Enjoyment

!

X X

Page 35: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

What about “ability”?

Performance

Enjoyment

!

X X

?

Page 36: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

PerformanceFit

CulturalFit

Page 37: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

PerformanceFit

CulturalFit

X X

?

Page 38: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

What skills are prized now?

Page 39: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

What skills are prized now?

Page 40: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

What skills are prized now?

Page 41: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Intuitive

Analytic

Repetitive Adaptive

Page 42: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Intuitive

Analytic

Repetitive Adaptive

● Top down● Scale efficiency● Process efficiency● Excising creativity

Page 43: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

The new arms race

Courtesy of Adafruit

Page 44: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI
Page 45: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Intuitive

Analytic

Repetitive Adaptive

Page 46: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Intuitive

Analytic

Repetitive Adaptive

Page 47: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Intuitive

Analytic

Repetitive Adaptive

● Top down● Scale efficiency● Process efficiency● Excising creativity

● (No top or bottom)● Scalable learning● Design thinking● Collaborative solutions

Page 48: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

What’s most important today?

Knowledges Transferable & Self-

Management

Page 49: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

What’s most important today?

Knowledges Transferable & Self-

Management

Page 50: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

What’s most important today?

Knowledges Transferable & Self-

Management

Page 51: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

T Skills

Page 52: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Your work

You and Your Work: A Matching Process

Your best-loved

skills & other attributes

Page 53: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Your work

You and Your Work: A Matching Process

Your best-loved

skills & other attributes

Page 54: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

We’re entering into the era of

Self-directing

Self-optimizing

Self-organizing

Page 55: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

We’re entering into the era of

Self-directing

Self-optimizing

Self-organizing

And this will change the job market. Forever.

Page 56: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

The job market in the age of Exponentials.

Page 57: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

The job market in the age of Exponentials.

Page 58: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

The job market in the age of Exponentials.

Page 59: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

The job market in the age of Exponentials.

?

Page 60: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

This is the problem.

?

Page 61: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

The reason? We’re unbundling work.

Page 62: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Understanding Unbundling.

Page 63: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Understanding Unbundling.

Page 64: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Understanding Unbundling.

Page 65: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Understanding Unbundling.

Page 66: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Understanding Unbundling.

Page 67: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Understanding Unbundling.

“Abstraction Layers”

Page 68: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Understanding Unbundling.

Page 69: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Understanding Unbundling.

How did industries become disrupted?

Page 70: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Understanding Unbundling.

How did industries become disrupted?

?

Page 71: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI
Page 72: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI
Page 73: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Understanding Unbundling

Page 74: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Understanding Unbundling

Page 75: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Understanding Unbundling

Page 76: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Understanding Unbundling

Page 77: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Understanding Unbundling

Page 78: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Music

Magazines

Newspapers

Books

TV

Movies

Videos

Understanding Unbundling

Page 79: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

What industry is next?

Page 80: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

What industry is next?

Page 81: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

What industry is next?

Page 82: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Unbundling Higher Ed

Page 83: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI
Page 84: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

“[Schools should be places]...in which raw products, children, are to be shaped

and formed into finished products… manufactured like nails, and the

specifications for manufacturing will come from government and industry.”

Page 85: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Elwood Cubberley,Teachers College, Columbia University, 1905

“[Schools should be places]...in which raw products, children, are to be shaped

and formed into finished products… manufactured like nails, and the

specifications for manufacturing will come from government and industry.”

Page 86: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Elwood Cubberley,Teachers College, Columbia University, 1905

Dean, Stanford School of Education, 1917-1933

“[Schools should be places]...in which raw products, children, are to be shaped

and formed into finished products… manufactured like nails, and the

specifications for manufacturing will come from government and industry.”

Page 87: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Unbundling Higher Ed

Page 88: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Unbundling Higher Ed

? X

Page 89: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Gap Year(free range)

Gap YearProgram

TravelAbroad

Two-Year College

First Two Years Online

GapSemester

StructuredInternship

Nano-Degree

Four-Year College

LongDegree

Certificate

Page 90: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

What’s next?

Transportation - chauffeured

Transportation - self-driving

Hospitality

Healthcare

Financial Services

Page 91: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

How do exponentials affect these industries?

Page 92: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Exponentials evaporate the middle.

Page 93: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Exponentials evaporate the middle.

Page 94: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Exponentials evaporate the middle...

Page 95: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

...Leading to a fat-bottomed world

Page 96: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI
Page 97: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Exponentials evaporate the middle.

Page 98: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Exponentials evaporate the middle.

X

Page 99: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Exponentials evaporate the middle.

Page 100: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

What about the economy?

Page 101: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

What about the economy?

Page 102: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI
Page 103: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI
Page 104: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

What about our jobs?

Page 105: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

What about our jobs?

And what about those robots?

Page 106: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

It’s not just skills and knowledges.

Page 107: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

7 Characteristics of You & Your Work

Page 108: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

For example: Preferred People Environment

Page 109: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Exponentials are unbundling work.

Customers

Page 110: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Exponentials are unbundling work.

Customers

Page 111: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

What are the results…....For the employer?

Skills applied to tasks & problems as needed

Minimal commitment to worker

AND

Hiring challenges for top skills

Page 112: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

What are the results…....For the worker?

Skills applied to tasks & problems as needed

Minimal commitment to employer

AND

Hiring challenges if you don’t have top skills

Wage compression

Page 113: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

We are shifting from 3 Boxes...

Education

Work

Leisure

Page 114: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

...to a lifelong model.

Page 115: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Strategies for the IndividualSelf-inventory - on an ongoing basis

Identify and drive toward interests/passions/purpose

Take full responsibility for your own learning

Develop collaborative skills

???

Page 116: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Strategies for the EmployerIncrease emphasis on hiring for cultural fit over “performance fit”

Stop “up-skilling” job requirements

Design processes to involve workers in defining the problems to be solved - and in creating the solutions

Give workers autonomy and responsibility

Study “manager-less” companies

Take responsibility for creating an ongoing, dynamic learning environment

???

Page 117: Unbundling (Your) Work:  Our Careers in a Future of Robots & AI

Thanks.Gary A. Bolles

[email protected]

On Medium.com: gbolles