UNAUDITED GROUP INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION 2004 For the six months ended 31 December 2003...
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Transcript of UNAUDITED GROUP INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION 2004 For the six months ended 31 December 2003...
UNAUDITED GROUP INTERIM RESULTS
PRESENTATION 2004For the six months ended 31 December 2003
HARNESSING THE POWER OF THE EARTH
www.kumbaresources.com
2
CON FAUCONNIERCHIEF EXECUTIVE
HARNESSING THE POWER OF THE EARTH
3
178
207
152
112
82
1H02 2H02 1H03 2H03 1H04
KEY FINANCIALS
Revenue R 3 962m
Net operating profit
R 566m
Headline earnings R 243m
Headline earnings per share
82 cents
Interim dividend per share
20 cents
Sound performance despite challenging environment
Headline EPS
4
HIGHLIGHTS
• Improved safety performance
• Solid operating performance from all businesses
• Successful start for second furnace at Empangeni
• Substantial strengthening of the rand (30%) mitigated by
• Favourable commodity markets
• Strong sales volumes
• Good cost control
Solid operating performance
5
RAND STRENGTH AND COSTS
• Currency impact: 10c R 41 m EBIT
• Cost impact:
• administered prices
• fuel
• Ongoing cost and revenue focus
Bottom line impacted by exchange rate
R10.08
R7.04
average realised:
2H02 2H031H03 1H044
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13R/US$
6
SHAREHOLDER ISSUES
• Change in shareholding
• Competition Tribunal - 5 Sep 2003
• Anglo offer to minorities - 31 Oct 2003
• Result: 66.6% - 8 Dec 2003
• Way forward
• Support for Kumba growth strategy
• Board of directors
7
MIKE KILBRIDEEXECUTIVE DIRECTOR OPERATIONS
HARNESSING THE POWER OF THE EARTH
8
SAFETY, HEALTH & ENVIRONMENT
• No fatalities for the period - unfortunately 1 in Jan 2004
• Lost day injury frequency at all time low
• Strategy to achieve international safety and environmental certification at all operations by Dec 2004
Lost day injury frequency rate*
Zero tolerance… key focus
4.59
3.13 3.00
1.91
FY
01
FY
02
FY
03
1H04
* per million man hours worked
9
IRON ORE MARKETS
• World seaborne trade increased by 50 Mtpa
• Continued growth of Chinese imports
• Strong domestic sales
• 18.62% price increase
• Freight costs soar
Chinese market continues to drive growth
Global seaborne market
Source: CRU
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
'98
'99
'00
'01
'02
'03
Mt
China's contribution
[cut off this line]
10
IRON ORE OPERATIONS
• Continued growth in production
• New calendar year record at Sishen - 27.1 Mt
• Due to high exports of FY03, low stocks at Saldanha influenced exports in 1H04
New production record
Total production and exports
8
10
12
14
16
1H02 2H02 1H03 2H03 1H04
Mt
Export sales Production
11
OREX RAIL PERFORMANCE
• Excellent operating efficiencies
• Continued growth in tonnage railed
• Capacity expansion to 29 Mt in 2004
Expansion critical for further growth in exports
Sishen-Saldanha rail performance
0
5
10
15
1H02 2H02 1H03 2H03 1H04 2H04
Mt
Kumba Other
TargetActual
12
COAL MARKETS
• International coal prices influenced by:
• Strong demand for thermal coal
• Shortage in supply of coking coal
• Thermal coal supply to Matimba at record levels
• Strong local demand from the metals market
Thermal coal and coke prices (US$/t)
Sources: SA Coal Report, CRU
Strong demand-driven market
20
30
40
50
Ju
l '01
Jan
'02
Jul '
02
Jan
'03
Jul '
03
Jan
'04
50
100
150
200
RBCT thermal coal FOB
Chinese market coke exports
13
COAL OPERATIONS
• Record production at Grootegeluk and Leeuwpan
• Strong focus on cost control
Production volumes
5
6
7
8
9
10
1H02 2H02 1H03 2H03 1H04
Mt
Grootegeluk Leeuwpan
Tshikondeni
Valuable earnings contributor
14
HEAVY MINERALS MARKETS
• Signs of recovery in pigment market
• Titania slag market over-supplied and under pressure
• Zircon and rutile demand extremely strong due to Chinese growth
Zircon and pigment prices (US$/t)
Source: TZMI
Gradual recovery in some segments
360
380
400
420
440
Q4
2001
Q2
2002
Q4
2002
Q2
2003
Q4
2003
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
Zircon Pigment
15
HEAVY MINERALS OPERATIONS
• Furnace 2 successfully commissioned in Sep 2003
• Furnace ramp-up ahead of schedule
• First chloride slag sales -12 kt
• Record synthetic rutile production from Tiwest JV - 112 kt
World no 3 in TiO2 units
% of design capacity
Ilmenite feed rate - Ticor SA
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9Months since commissioning
planned furnace 1 furnace 2
16
ZINC MARKETS
• Strong US$ price recovery
• Strong currency depressed Rand earnings
• Lower treatment charges impacted on results
LME Zinc metal price
Treatment charge revenue
0255075
100
1H02 2H02 1H03 2H03 1H04
Rebound in US$ zinc price
indexed: 100=1H02
700750800850900950
1000
1H02 2H02 1H03 2H03 1H04
US$/t
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000ZAR/t
17
BASE METALS OPERATING RESULTS
• Production marginally lower due to planned maintenance shut
• Record Zn concentrate output
Zn metal (kt)
Rosh Pinah
Zn conc. (kt)
Zincor
Continued improvement at Rosh Pinah
54
51
58 5755
1H02 2H02 1H03 2H03 1H04
37 38 37
54 54
1H02 2H02 1H03 2H03 1H04
18
INDUSTRIAL MINERALS
Dolomite sales (Mt)
FeSi production
(t)• On track to match
record FeSi production of FY03
• Growing external sales of FeSi
• Sustained dolomite sales despite weak domestic growth
0.66 0.650.67
0.65 0.66
1H02 2H02 1H03 2H03 1H04
19182415 2647 2703 2671
1H02 2H02 1H03 2H03 1H04
19
DIRK VAN STADENEXECUTIVE DIRECTOR FINANCE
HARNESSING THE POWER OF THE EARTH
20
REVENUE
R million 1H04 1H03 % Change
Iron Ore 1 814 2 259 (20)
Coal 855 815 5)
Base Metals 471 485 (3)
Heavy Minerals - Ticor SA - Ticor Ltd
153623
152-
Industrial Minerals 43 39 10)
Other 3 20 (85)
Total 3 962 3 770 5)
US$/R exchange rate realised 7.04 10.08)
Ticor consolidated from 1 April 2003
21
OPERATING PROFIT / MARGIN
1H04 1H03 % Change
Rm) (%) Rm) (%) (in Rand)
Iron Ore 299) 16) 517) 23 (42)
Coal 121) 14) 125) 15 (3)
Base Metals (35) 47) 10
Heavy Minerals - Ticor SA - Ticor Ltd
(9)48) 8)
20)-)
13
Industrial Minerals 10) 23) 10) 26
Other 132) (17)
Total EBIT 566) 14) 702) 19 (19)
Total EBITDA 886) 944) (6)
Margins impacted by strong Rand
22
EBIT COMPARISON
• Strong sales volumes
• Higher iron ore prices
• Major currency impact
• Good cost control
• Ticor Ltd consolidation impact
• Disposal of non-core assets
R million
Significant currency impact
566
702
(11)119
57
136
244 (628)
(87)34
1H03
EB
IT
Sal
es v
olum
e
Pric
e
Exc
hang
e ra
te im
pact
Sto
ck m
ovem
ent
Pro
duct
ion
cost
Tic
or L
td c
onso
lidat
ion
Ass
et d
ispo
sals
Dis
trib
utio
n co
st
1H04
EB
IT
23
CURRENCY IMPACT
R million 1H04 1H03
EBIT 566) 702)
EBIT excluding non-core asset disposals 447) 702)
Unrealised translation loss/(gain) 6) 150)
Realised exchange rate impact 622)
EBIT excluding exchange rate impact 1 075) 852)
Margin excl. exchange rate (%) 27) 23)
24
EARNINGS
R million 1H04 1H03 % Change
Net operating profit (EBIT) 566) 702) (19)
Net financing cost (130) (123) (6)
Goodwill and impairment (90) (14)
Equity income (13) 30)
Taxation (93) (174)
Profit after taxation 240) 421) (43)
Outside shareholders’ interest 25) 1)
Attributable earnings 265) 422) (37)
Adjustments (22) 28)
Headline earnings 243) 450) (46)
Headline earnings per share (cents) 82) 152) (46)
Average number of shares in issue (million) 298) 296)
Sound performance
25
CASH FLOW
R million 1H04 1H03Opening net debt (2 374) (1 143)Net cash available 606) 335)Taxation and finance charges (264) (400)Dividends paid (184) (252)Net cash flow from operating activities 158) (317)Net cash used in investing activities
Heavy minerals project capital (270) (406)Other capital expenditure (348) (154)Investment in associate (74)Other 15) 7)
Proceeds from non-core asset sales 173) -)Share issue 133) -)Other movements (63) 90)(Increase)/decrease in net debt (202) (854)Closing net debt (2 576) (1 997)
Net debt / equity ratio 41%
26
RATIOS
R million 1H04 1H03
Margin excluding captive arrangements
EBIT (%) 18 25
EBITDA (%) 26 31
Net financing cost cover
EBIT (times) 4.4 5.7
EBITDA (times) 6.8 7.7
Return on equity - attributable income (%) 5.2 9.1
Net debt / equity (%) 41 38
27
REPORTING ISSUES
• Change of year end
• Consolidation into Anglo American plc
• Quarterly reports
• Post interim event
• ZnErgy
• Funding constraints at Zoxy
• Possible impairment impact: R 29 m
• Dividends
28
CON FAUCONNIERCHIEF EXECUTIVE
HARNESSING THE POWER OF THE EARTH
29
STRATEGIC THRUSTS
• Iron Ore• Hope Downs• Northern Cape optimisation• Sishen Expansion Project (SEP)• Sishen South
• Coal• RBCT Phase 5• Inyanda Coal JV (Kalbasfontein)
• Business Improvement Programme (BIP)• Base Metals and Ticor SA
• Process well on track• Group-wide initiative
• Multi-thrust programme
Focused portfolio with clear strategic direction
30
OUTLOOK
• Business climate remains challenging
• Strong currency environments
• High oil prices
• Continued domestic cost pressures
• But, stronger commodity markets:
• Iron ore price increase
• Higher coal prices
• Zinc price recovery
• Therefore, we believe the next 6 months should be better
Looking ahead
THANK YOU.
HARNESSING THE POWER OF THE EARTH
www.kumbaresources.com
32
ADDITIONAL SLIDES
33
POTENTIAL IRON ORE EXPANSION
Mt design capacity
• Upcurrent classifier to optimise fines recovery adds 0.3 Mtpa fine ore
• Additional feed to fines and drum plants from July 2004, adds 0.7 Mtpa
• Sishen Expansion Project
• phase 1 - 3 Mtpa
• phase 2 - 7 Mtpa
• New mine at Sishen South 2008
current projects
Sishen expansion
Sishen South
26 27 27 27 27 27 27 27
3
810 10 10
69 9
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
'03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10
Year ending June
34
COAL PHYSICAL INFORMATION
Coal sales volumes Coal production volumes
0
2
4
6
8
10
1H02 2H02 1H03 2H03 1H04
Mt
Eskom Domestic
Export
0
2
4
6
8
10
1H02 2H02 1H03 2H03 1H04
Mt
OtherCoking CoalThermal Coal
35
HEAVY MINERALS PRODUCTION
kt 1H04 1H03%
change
Ilmenite 128 43 198
Zircon 25 28 (11)
Rutile 9 12 (25)
Pig iron 22 0
Scrap pig iron 6 0
Chloride slag 27 0
Sulphate slag 20 0
Ticor SA Ticor Ltd
kt 1H04 1H03%
change
Ilmenite 222 216 3
Zircon 41 34 21
Rutile 16 18 (11)
Synthetic rutile
112 97 (15)
Leucoxene 17 12 42
Pigment 49 49
36
HEAVY MINERALS SALES
kt 1H04 1H03%
change
Ilmenite 40 31 29
Zircon 23 31 (26)
Rutile 12 2 500
Pig iron 10 0
Scrap pig iron 3 0
Chloride slag 12 0
Ticor SA Ticor Ltd
kt 1H04 1H03%
change
Ilmenite 43 60 (28)
Zircon 40 45 (11)
Rutile 21 17 24
Synthetic rutile
57 39 46
Leucoxene 15 12 25
37
DEPRECIATION PER SEGMENT
R million 1H04 1H03
Iron Ore 126 114
Coal 75 66
Heavy Minerals 90 28
Base Metals 23 18
Industrial Minerals 2 4
Corporate 4 12
Total 320 242
38
CAPITAL EXPENDITURE
R million FY04* 1H04 1H03
Sustaining and environmental 394 172 95
Expansion
• Heavy Minerals
- Ticor SA 480 270 406
• Group (other) 257 176 59
1 131 618 560
*Estimate as per FY03 annual report
39
DEBT STRUCTURE
R million Drawn Undrawn Maturity profile
Long term 2004 744
Corporate 1 263) 2005 842
Heavy minerals project finance
1 145) 2006 558
Ticor Ltd 663) 2007 298
3 071)
Short term 533) 1 466 After 2007 629
Total debt 3 604) 3 071
Cash and cash equivalents (1 028)
Net debt 2 576)