Ulrich Benterbusch Germany's energy transition: Status quo and … · 2015. 10. 12. · E F F I C I...

20
EFFICIENCY – OUR FOCUS. 1 Ulrich Benterbusch Germany's energy transition: Status quo and Challenges. 2 nd Session Group of Experts on Renewable Energy, UNECE, Geneva

Transcript of Ulrich Benterbusch Germany's energy transition: Status quo and … · 2015. 10. 12. · E F F I C I...

Page 1: Ulrich Benterbusch Germany's energy transition: Status quo and … · 2015. 10. 12. · E F F I C I E N C Y –O U R F O C U S . 2 Agenda. Energy transition: Status quo and official

E F F I C I E N C Y – O U R F O C U S . 1

Ulrich Benterbusch

Germany's energy transition: Status quo and Challenges. 2nd Session Group of Experts on Renewable Energy, UNECE, Geneva

Page 2: Ulrich Benterbusch Germany's energy transition: Status quo and … · 2015. 10. 12. · E F F I C I E N C Y –O U R F O C U S . 2 Agenda. Energy transition: Status quo and official

2 E F F I C I E N C Y – O U R F O C U S .

Agenda.

Energy transition: Status quo and official goals.

German RES policy and regulation, new EEG.

Challenges of the energy transition in Germany.

Conclusion: Most important challenges.

Page 3: Ulrich Benterbusch Germany's energy transition: Status quo and … · 2015. 10. 12. · E F F I C I E N C Y –O U R F O C U S . 2 Agenda. Energy transition: Status quo and official

E F F I C I E N C Y – O U R F O C U S . 3

Energy transition: Status quo and official goals.

Page 4: Ulrich Benterbusch Germany's energy transition: Status quo and … · 2015. 10. 12. · E F F I C I E N C Y –O U R F O C U S . 2 Agenda. Energy transition: Status quo and official

4 E F F I C I E N C Y – O U R F O C U S .

Two pillars of the energy transition.

Renewable Energy

Key legislation:

Renewable Energy Sources Act

Renewable Energy Heat Act

• Steady growth

• Environmentally friendly

Market and system

integration

Energy research and

development

Supporting fields of action

European energy and

climate policy

Key legislation:

Energy Saving Ordinance

Heating Cost Ordinance

• Reduce energy consumption

• Cost-efficient

Energy Efficiency

The energy transition’s foundation are renewables and reduced energy

consumption.

So

urc

e: B

MW

i 2

01

5

Page 5: Ulrich Benterbusch Germany's energy transition: Status quo and … · 2015. 10. 12. · E F F I C I E N C Y –O U R F O C U S . 2 Agenda. Energy transition: Status quo and official

5 E F F I C I E N C Y – O U R F O C U S .

So

urc

e: B

MW

i20

15

2013 2020

Reduction in CO2 emissions (base year 1990) - 22.6% (2014~ 27%) - 40%

Renewable energies as a proportion of gross final consumption of energy 12% 18%

Renewable energies as a proportion of electricity consumption 27.7% (2014) 35%

Renewable energies as a proportion of heat consumption 9.1% 14%

Renewable energies as a proportion of fuel consumption 5.5% -

Increasing Energy Productivity 0.2% p.a. (2008-2013) 2.1% p.a.

(2008-2050)

Energy efficiency: target primary energy consumption (base year 2008) - 8.9% (2014) - 20%

Energy efficiency: target electricity consumption (base year 2008) - 3.2% - 10%

Energy efficiency: target consumption in buildings (heat – base year 2008) + 0.8% - 20%

Recently issued Instruments to face challenges concerning energy efficiency:

Action Plan - Climate Protection

National Action Plan for Energy Efficiency (NAPE)

Status quo and goals of the German energy transition wo pillars of the energy transition.

Page 6: Ulrich Benterbusch Germany's energy transition: Status quo and … · 2015. 10. 12. · E F F I C I E N C Y –O U R F O C U S . 2 Agenda. Energy transition: Status quo and official

6 E F F I C I E N C Y – O U R F O C U S .

Previous successes: Historical development of renewable energies in Germany

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

100,000

Hydropower Wind power (Onshore) Wind power (Offshore - installed but not complete grid-connected) Photovoltaics Biomass

MW

el

So

urc

e: B

MW

i 2

01

5

5,595 MW

38,236 MW

38,116 MW

8,791 MW

2,340 MW

Electricity Feed-In Act

Renewable Energy

Sources Act

Amendment Renewable

Energy Sources Act (2003)

Amendment Renewable

Energy Sources Act (2009)

Amendments Renewable Energy

Sources Act (2012/ 2014)

Page 7: Ulrich Benterbusch Germany's energy transition: Status quo and … · 2015. 10. 12. · E F F I C I E N C Y –O U R F O C U S . 2 Agenda. Energy transition: Status quo and official

7 E F F I C I E N C Y – O U R F O C U S .

Renewable shares in the electricity sector (2014).

*comprises biogas, biogenic solid fuels,

sewage gas, landfill gas, biogenic

proportion of waste

Geothermal energy accounted for 0.1% in 2014.

160.6

TWh

In 2014, renewable energies produced 160.6 TWh of electricity in Germany. This

corresponds to a share of 27.8 of total electricity consumption.

So

urc

e: B

MW

i 2

01

5

Page 8: Ulrich Benterbusch Germany's energy transition: Status quo and … · 2015. 10. 12. · E F F I C I E N C Y –O U R F O C U S . 2 Agenda. Energy transition: Status quo and official

8 E F F I C I E N C Y – O U R F O C U S .

German primary energy consumption.

The renewables‘ share tripled within ten years.

So

urc

e: B

MW

i 2

01

5 /

Eco

fys 2

01

5; D

ata

AG

EB

20

15

2004 total: 14,591 PJ 2014 total: 13,095 PJ

others 1.7%

electricity trade balance;

0.9%

oil; 34.3%

gas; 20.0%

hard coal 12.3%

lignite 11.9%

nuclear; 7,9%

hydro; 0.6%

wind; 1.5%

solar; 0.9%

biomass; 5.5%

waste; 1.0%

bio fuels; 0.9% other RES;0,5%

renewables 11%

others, 1.2%

electricity trade balance,

-0.2%

oil, 35.7%

gas, 21.9%

hard coal, 13.1%

lignite, 11.3%

nuclear, 12.5%

hydro, 0.5%

wind, 0.6%

solar, 0.0%

biomass, 2.4%

waste, 0.4%

bio fuels, 0.4%

other RES;0,1%

renewables; 4,5%

Page 9: Ulrich Benterbusch Germany's energy transition: Status quo and … · 2015. 10. 12. · E F F I C I E N C Y –O U R F O C U S . 2 Agenda. Energy transition: Status quo and official

E F F I C I E N C Y – O U R F O C U S . 9

German RES policy and regulation, new EEG.

Page 10: Ulrich Benterbusch Germany's energy transition: Status quo and … · 2015. 10. 12. · E F F I C I E N C Y –O U R F O C U S . 2 Agenda. Energy transition: Status quo and official

10 E F F I C I E N C Y – O U R F O C U S .

Cornerstones of the Renewable Energy Sources Act (EEG).

Guaranteed grid access; priority transmission and distribution.

Fixed price (tariff or premium) for every kWh produced.

Tariffs are set for each type of technology and with regard to further provisions (e.g.

site and size).

Minimum: 3.5 ct/kWh (Hydropower)

Maximum: 25.2 ct/kWh (Geothermal)

Additional costs for renewable energy production are offset through the EEG levy

(2015: ~ 6.17 ct/kWh), with reductions for energy-intensive industries.

Additional costs are offset via grid operators and independent of the public budget.

Regular monitoring and evaluation; accompanying research

Past and future amendments of the act.

Page 11: Ulrich Benterbusch Germany's energy transition: Status quo and … · 2015. 10. 12. · E F F I C I E N C Y –O U R F O C U S . 2 Agenda. Energy transition: Status quo and official

11 E F F I C I E N C Y – O U R F O C U S .

2014: Amendment of the EEG – focal points.

Binding target corridors for RES deployment.

Introducing quantity control mechanisms – breathing cap.

Increase market integration through premium system.

Introduction of tendering schemes:

For ground-mounted PV (pilot auctions in 2015).

General intention: determine support levels through tenders for all renewable

technologies by 2017.

Federal Network Agency for Electricity, Gas, Telecommunications, Post and

Railway, or Bundesnetzagentur as executing body.

EEG surcharge on self-supply.

Adjusted exemptions for the industry.

Page 12: Ulrich Benterbusch Germany's energy transition: Status quo and … · 2015. 10. 12. · E F F I C I E N C Y –O U R F O C U S . 2 Agenda. Energy transition: Status quo and official

E F F I C I E N C Y – O U R F O C U S . 12

4: Challenges and options of Energy transition.

Page 13: Ulrich Benterbusch Germany's energy transition: Status quo and … · 2015. 10. 12. · E F F I C I E N C Y –O U R F O C U S . 2 Agenda. Energy transition: Status quo and official

13 E F F I C I E N C Y – O U R F O C U S .

German power generation capacities by region.

Nuclear phase-out until 2022 will affect regions to a different

extent.

So

urc

e: B

MW

i 2

01

5 / U

BA

, B

Netz

A 2

01

3

Page 14: Ulrich Benterbusch Germany's energy transition: Status quo and … · 2015. 10. 12. · E F F I C I E N C Y –O U R F O C U S . 2 Agenda. Energy transition: Status quo and official

14 E F F I C I E N C Y – O U R F O C U S .

So

urc

e: B

MU

B 2

01

4

Climate Action Programme 2020. The action programme (December 2014) comprises nine central components (including the

National Action Plan for energy efficiency).

In total, the action programme will lead to a reduction of around 62 to 78 million tonnes CO2

equivalent in 2020 compared with the current projection for 2020.

National Energy Efficiency Action Plan

(NAPE).

Strategy on climate-friendly building and

housing.

Climate action measures in the transport sector:

Strengthening green modes of transport.

Reducing non-energy-related emissions: Industry, commerce,

trade, services, waste management and

agriculture.

Reforming European emissions trading.

Expansion of renewable energies in

the energy sector.

Foster model function of the state: e.g. public

procurement.

Research and development:

Decarbonisation of the economy.

Consultation, awareness raising and initiatives at all level: Cross-sectoral projects and programmes, role of the federal states.

Page 15: Ulrich Benterbusch Germany's energy transition: Status quo and … · 2015. 10. 12. · E F F I C I E N C Y –O U R F O C U S . 2 Agenda. Energy transition: Status quo and official

15 E F F I C I E N C Y – O U R F O C U S .

So

urc

e: B

MW

i 2

01

4

Energy Efficiency: NAPE 2014: Some measures at a glance.

• Quality assurance and optimizing current energy

consulting

• Tax incentives for energy-efficient renovations

• Heating check

• Energy Consulting for municipalities

• Energy saving legislation

• Upgrading the Market Incentive Program (MAP)

• Establishment of new technical standards

1. Energy efficiency in buildings

• Introduction of tendering scheme for energy efficiency

• Contracting funding • Upgrading the KfW energy efficiency programs • Waste Heat Use Initiative • Improving the Framework for energy efficiency

services • New financing schemes

2. Energy conservation: a business and earnings model

• Energy Efficiency Network Initiatives • Sectoral energy efficiency campaigns • EU energy efficiency labeling & eco-design • National Top Runner Initiative • Developing indicators and benchmarks in

businesses and for households • Energy efficiency in information and

communication technology (ICT)

3. Empowerment for energy efficiency: Measure - Understand - Act – Save

• Motor vehicle taxation • Fuel taxes • Federal fuel strategy • (Measures by Deutsche Bahn)

4. Transport

Page 16: Ulrich Benterbusch Germany's energy transition: Status quo and … · 2015. 10. 12. · E F F I C I E N C Y –O U R F O C U S . 2 Agenda. Energy transition: Status quo and official

16 E F F I C I E N C Y – O U R F O C U S .

So

urc

e: d

en

a 2

01

5

Improving the energy system – options.

Sto

rage

C

on

su

mption

Pro

du

ctio

n

Grid

s

Expand R&D and implementation of Storage-

Systems

Expand grids for large-scale power

exchange

Flexible thermal power plants

Lower ‘must-run’ capacity

Limit wind and PV in event of excess

Expand load management and flexible

demand

• Construction of new grid (3,500 km of new power

lines required according to scenario A2024 (GDP)

• Grid management at EU level

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

• Upgrading of existing power plants (retrofitting)

• Controlled capacity from more flexible power plants

• System services independent of power plant

• Feed-in management for wind & PV systems

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

• Increase flexibility of demand (load management) in

the private sector and Industry

----------------------------------------------------------------------------

• Pumped storage Germany/Alps/Scandinavia

• Use of electricity for gas production (power-to-gas)

• Use/storage of electricity in heat (power-to-heat)

• Use of super-conducting coils, capacitors etc.

Page 17: Ulrich Benterbusch Germany's energy transition: Status quo and … · 2015. 10. 12. · E F F I C I E N C Y –O U R F O C U S . 2 Agenda. Energy transition: Status quo and official

E F F I C I E N C Y – O U R F O C U S . 17

Conclusion.

Page 18: Ulrich Benterbusch Germany's energy transition: Status quo and … · 2015. 10. 12. · E F F I C I E N C Y –O U R F O C U S . 2 Agenda. Energy transition: Status quo and official

18 E F F I C I E N C Y – O U R F O C U S .

Conclusion: Most important challenges.

The EEG has stimulated a significant growth of RES in Germany for more than ten years.

The German government announced ambitious goals for the reduction of GHG and growth of RES,

especially after the decision to shut down nuclear power plants by 2022.

Current challenges on EU-level:

Economical and technical integration of energy markets

On national level:

Limitation of costs including review of the promotion system, efficient integration of RES in the

energy system

Expansion of electricity grids (security of supply)

Acceptance: Cost issues, infrastructure and landscape changes

Enhance flexibility of the system: Demand side management, storage solutions, flexible thermal

power plants

Increase energy efficiency: Ambitious goals, funding

Foster climate protection: Recent debate on coal plants

Page 19: Ulrich Benterbusch Germany's energy transition: Status quo and … · 2015. 10. 12. · E F F I C I E N C Y –O U R F O C U S . 2 Agenda. Energy transition: Status quo and official

E F F I C I E N C Y – O U R F O C U S . 19

Efficiency – our focus.

Thank you.

www.dena.de shop.dena.de

Page 20: Ulrich Benterbusch Germany's energy transition: Status quo and … · 2015. 10. 12. · E F F I C I E N C Y –O U R F O C U S . 2 Agenda. Energy transition: Status quo and official

20 E F F I C I E N C Y – O U R F O C U S .

Technology Corridor p. a. Remuneration in ct/kWh Degression

Hydropower - 3.50 – 12.52 -0.5 %/a from 2016

Landfill, sewage

and mine gas

- 3.80 – 8.42 -1.5 %/a from 2016

Biomass 100 MW (gross) 5.85 – 23.73

(dependent on fuel and size)

-0.5 % every three months

from 2016

Geothermal 25.20 - 5.0 %/a from 2018

Wind energy

onshore

2,400 – 2,600 MW

(net)

Standard tariff: 8.90,

for at least 5 years;

Minimum 4.95

-0.4% every quarter from

2016

Wind energy

offshore

- Initial tariff: 15.40 for min.12 years;

Option: 19.40 for min. 8 years if

installed before 2020

Minimum 3.90

Standard tariff: - 0.5 ct/kWh

in 2018, 1 ct/kWh in 2020

- 0.5 ct/kWh/a 2021;

Option: - 1 ct/kWh in 2018

Solar energy

(PV)

2,400 – 2,600 MW

(gross)

8.53 – 12.70 (and tenders for

ground-mounted PV) (Sept. 2015)

-0.25 % per month

Technology specific support levels EEG 2014.

So

urc

e: R

en

ew

ab

le E

ne

rgy A

ct 2

01

4