Trump Administration Key Trade Players · A Smarter Way to Work Trump Administration Key Trade...

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A Smarter Way to Work Trump Administration Key Trade Players July 28, 2017 David Schwartz Mark Lunn Samir D. Varma www.TrumpandTrade.com Brent Connor Marcie Hunnicutt Scott Diamond

Transcript of Trump Administration Key Trade Players · A Smarter Way to Work Trump Administration Key Trade...

Page 1: Trump Administration Key Trade Players · A Smarter Way to Work Trump Administration Key Trade Players July 28, 2017 David Schwartz Mark Lunn Samir D. Varma Brent Connor Marcie Hunnicutt

A Smarter Way to Work

Trump AdministrationKey Trade Players

July 28, 2017

David SchwartzMark LunnSamir D. Varma www.TrumpandTrade.com

Brent ConnorMarcie HunnicuttScott Diamond

Page 2: Trump Administration Key Trade Players · A Smarter Way to Work Trump Administration Key Trade Players July 28, 2017 David Schwartz Mark Lunn Samir D. Varma Brent Connor Marcie Hunnicutt

President Trump’s Full Cabinet

Source: National Journal research, 2017.

Secretary of theTreasurySteve Mnuchin

Secretary of DefenseJames Mattis

Secretary of StateRex Tillerson

Attorney GeneralJeff Sessions

Secretary of CommerceWilbur Ross

Secretary of LaborAlexander Acosta

Secretary of the InteriorRyan K. Zinke

Secretary of AgricultureSonny Perdue

Secretary of Health andHuman ServicesTom Price

Secretary of EnergyRick Perry

Secretary of EducationBetsy DeVos

Secretary of Housing &Urban DevelopmentBen Carson

Secretary ofTransportationElaine Chao

Secretary of VeteransAffairsDavid Shulkin

Secretary of HomelandSecurityJohn Kelly

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Page 3: Trump Administration Key Trade Players · A Smarter Way to Work Trump Administration Key Trade Players July 28, 2017 David Schwartz Mark Lunn Samir D. Varma Brent Connor Marcie Hunnicutt

President Trump’s Cabinet

Source: National Journal research, 2017.

Nominee Position Senate committee holding hearingCommitteeApproved?

Confirmed byfull Senate?

Alexander Acosta Sec. of Labor Health, Education, Labor & Pensions 60 – 38

Ben Carson Sec. of HUD Banking, Housing & Urban Affairs 58 – 41

Elaine Chao Sec. of Transportation Commerce, Science & Transportation 93 – 6

Betsy DeVos Sec. of Education Health, Education, Labor & Pensions 51 – 50*

Nikki Haley Ambassador to the UN Foreign Relations 96 – 4

John KellySec of HomelandSecurity

Homeland Security & Gov. Affairs 88 – 11

Robert Lighthizer Trade representative Commerce, Science & Transportation 82 – 14

James Mattis Sec of Defense Armed Services 98 – 1

Linda McMahon Small Business Admin. Small Business & Entrepreneurship 81 – 19

Steven Mnuchin Sec. of Treasury Finance 53 – 47

Mick Mulvaney Director of OMB Budget 51 – 49

*After a 50-50 tie, VP Mike Pence cast the tie-

breaking vote in favor of confirming DeVos

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Cabinet Confirmations

Page 4: Trump Administration Key Trade Players · A Smarter Way to Work Trump Administration Key Trade Players July 28, 2017 David Schwartz Mark Lunn Samir D. Varma Brent Connor Marcie Hunnicutt

President Trump’s Cabinet

Source: National Journal research, 2017

Nominee Position Senate committee holding hearingCommitteeApproved?

Confirmed byfull Senate?

Sonny Perdue Sec. of Agriculture Agriculture, Nutrition & Forestry 87 – 11

Rick Perry Sec. of Energy Energy & Natural Resources 62 – 37

Mike Pompeo Director of the CIA Intelligence 66 – 32

Tom Price Sec. of HHS Health, Education, Labor & Pensions 52 – 47

Scott Pruitt EPA Administrator Energy & Natural Resources 52 – 46

Wilbur Ross Sec. of Commerce Commerce, Science & Transportation 72 – 27

Jeff Sessions Attorney General Judiciary 52 – 47

David Shulkin Sec. of Veterans’ Affairs Veterans’ Affairs 100 – 0

Rex Tillerson Sec. of State Foreign Relations 56 – 43

Ryan Zinke Sec. of Interior Energy & Natural Resources 68 – 31

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Cabinet Confirmations

Page 5: Trump Administration Key Trade Players · A Smarter Way to Work Trump Administration Key Trade Players July 28, 2017 David Schwartz Mark Lunn Samir D. Varma Brent Connor Marcie Hunnicutt

Rex Tillerson

Prior:Chairman and CEO,ExxonMobil

Office of the Secretary of State –Key Players

Source: National Journal research; ExxonMobil; LinkedIn; Zeeshan Aleem, “Donald Trump’s pick for secretary of state is a Putin-friendly Exxon CEO,” Vox, December 13, 2016;Rebecca Shabad, “Rex Tillerson grilled on ExxonMobil conflicts, Russia sanctions, climate change at confirmation,” CBS News, January 12, 2016.

Secretary of State

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• Deputy Secretary: John J. Sullivan

• Under Secretary for Political Affairs: Thomas A. Shannon, Jr.

• Under Secretary for Arms Control and InternationalSecurity: Vacant

• Bureau of Political-Military Affairs: Acting AssistantSecretary Tina Kaidanow

• Directorate of Defense Trade Controls: Deputy AssistantSecretary, Defense Trade Controls, Brian Nilsson

• Chief of Staff: Margaret J.A. Peterlin

Page 6: Trump Administration Key Trade Players · A Smarter Way to Work Trump Administration Key Trade Players July 28, 2017 David Schwartz Mark Lunn Samir D. Varma Brent Connor Marcie Hunnicutt

Office of the Secretary of the Treasury –Key Players

Steven Mnuchin

Prior:Finance chairman of theTrump campaign

Secretary of the Departmentof the Treasury

Sources: Wall Street Journal, “Trump Treasury choice Steven Mnuchin vows to ‘strip back” November 30, 2016; Bloomberg, “Inside the mind of Mnuchin: Too-strong dollar may hurt economy,”January 23, 2017; Housing Wire, “Trump treasury pick: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will be privatized,” November 30, 2016; Bloomberg, “Mnuchin: I support the Volcker rule,” January 19, 2017.

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• Deputy Secretary: Vacant

• Under Secretary for International Affairs:Nathan Sheets

• Under Secretary for Terrorism and FinancialIntelligence: Sigal P. Mandelker

• Office of Foreign Assets Control: John Smith

• Chief of Staff: Eli Miller

Page 7: Trump Administration Key Trade Players · A Smarter Way to Work Trump Administration Key Trade Players July 28, 2017 David Schwartz Mark Lunn Samir D. Varma Brent Connor Marcie Hunnicutt

Office of the Secretary of Commerce –Key Players

Wilbur Ross

Prior:Chairman and CEO, INVESCOPrivate Capital

Secretary of Commerce

Sources: New York Times, “Wilbur Ross vows to push Trump’s trade agenda, starting with NAFTA,” January 17, 2017; CNBC, “Commerce nominee Wilbur Ross: Trade partners have to play by our rules,” January 18, 2017; Washington Post, “Commercenominee Ross says top priority is renegotiating NAFTA,” January 18, 2017; Wall Street Journal, “Commerce Secretary nominee Ross offers preview of trade policy,” January 18, 2017.

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• Deputy Secretary: Vacant

• Under Secretary for International Trade: Vacant;responsibilities currently being handled by IsraelHernandez, deputy chief of staff for Secretary Ross

• Under Secretary for Economic Affairs:Brad Burke, acting

• Deputy Under Secretary for International TradeAdministration: Kenneth Hyatt

• Bureau of Industry and Security: ActingUndersecretary Daniel Hill

• Asst. Secretary for Export Administration:Matthew Borman

Page 8: Trump Administration Key Trade Players · A Smarter Way to Work Trump Administration Key Trade Players July 28, 2017 David Schwartz Mark Lunn Samir D. Varma Brent Connor Marcie Hunnicutt

Office of the U.S. Trade Representative –Key Players

Source: Richard Sisk, “Mattis could see Senate clash on women in combat, PTSD,” Military.com, December 1, 2026; Dan Lamothe, “Trump picks retired Marine Gen. James Mattis for secretary of defense,” The WashingtonPost, December 1, 2016; Rebecca Shabad, “James Mattis defends NATO, calls Russia a threat at confirmation hearing,” CBS News, January 12, 2017.

Robert LighthizerPrior: Attorney in privatepractice; Deputy USTR

U.S. Trade Representative

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• Deputy USTR: Both positions vacant

• Asst. USTR for Trade Policy and Economics:Edward Gresser

• Asst. USTR for Monitoring and Enforcement:Juan Millan

• Asst. USTR for Western Hemisphere: John Melle

• Chief of Staff: Jamieson Greer

• General Counsel: Stephen Vaughn

• Senior Advisor: Timothy Reif

Page 9: Trump Administration Key Trade Players · A Smarter Way to Work Trump Administration Key Trade Players July 28, 2017 David Schwartz Mark Lunn Samir D. Varma Brent Connor Marcie Hunnicutt

Office of Trade and Manufacturing Policy –Key Players

Source: Richard Sisk, “Mattis could see Senate clash on women in combat, PTSD,” Military.com, December 1, 2026; Dan Lamothe, “Trump picks retired Marine Gen. James Mattis for secretary of defense,” The WashingtonPost, December 1, 2016; Rebecca Shabad, “James Mattis defends NATO, calls Russia a threat at confirmation hearing,” CBS News, January 12, 2017.

Peter NavarroPrior: Professor at Universityof California, Irvine

Director of OTMP

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• The mission of the newly created OTMP is to defendand serve American workers and domesticmanufacturers while advising the president onpolicies to increase economic growth, decrease thetrade deficit, and strengthen the United States’manufacturing and defense industrial bases.

• Peter Navarro, who was previously named to headthe White House’s National Trade Council which wasnever formally established, leads OTMP and iscurrently the only known appointee in this office.

Page 10: Trump Administration Key Trade Players · A Smarter Way to Work Trump Administration Key Trade Players July 28, 2017 David Schwartz Mark Lunn Samir D. Varma Brent Connor Marcie Hunnicutt

Executive Office of the President –Key Players

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• Senior Advisor: Jared Kushner

• Senior Advisor for Policy: Stephen Miller

• Chief White House Strategist: Steve Bannon

• Chief of Staff: Reince Priebus

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■ Confirmed ■ Nominated (on executive calendar) ■ Nominated (in committee) ■ Failed

48

200

132

196

143

29

39

6

[VALUE]*

[VALUE]**

116

112

156

55

74

4

5

2

4

1

Trump

Obama

W. Bush

Clinton

H.W. Bush

The Trump administration lags behind its predecessors infilling key positions

Number of administration officials nominated and confirmed

Up to July 10th of the first term, excluding judicial and non-civilian nominations

*No executive calendar for July 10, 1993 – the July 13, 1993 executive calendar is used **No executive calendar for July 10, 1989 – the July 11, 1989 executive calendar usedSources: Partnership for the Public Service, 2017;

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With 359 sub-cabinet positions left vacant, there are fewerpeople to make sure the government runs smoothly

Source: “Tracking how many key positions Trump has filled so far,” Washington Post, April 15, 2017.

■ No nominee ■ Awaiting nomination ■ Awaiting confirmation ■ Confirmed

359

15

145

49

209

Status of key sub-cabinet nominationsAs of July 20, 2017

Page 13: Trump Administration Key Trade Players · A Smarter Way to Work Trump Administration Key Trade Players July 28, 2017 David Schwartz Mark Lunn Samir D. Varma Brent Connor Marcie Hunnicutt

A Smarter Way to Work www.TrumpandTrade.com

Our Trump and Trade Team

David M. SchwartzPartner;International TradePractice [email protected]

Mark [email protected]

Samir D. [email protected]

Brent ConnorSenior [email protected]

Marcie [email protected]

Scott E. DiamondSenior Legislative &Regulatory [email protected]