Tropical Weather Update August 31, 2011 0730 CDT

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Tropical Weather Update August 31, 2011 0730 CDT National Weather Service National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office Weather Forecast Office Slidell, LA Slidell, LA

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Tropical Weather Update August 31, 2011 0730 CDT. National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office Slidell, LA. Overview. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Tropical Weather Update August 31, 2011 0730 CDT

Page 1: Tropical Weather Update  August 31, 2011 0730 CDT

Tropical Weather Update August 31, 2011

0730 CDT

National Weather Service National Weather Service Weather Forecast OfficeWeather Forecast Office

Slidell, LASlidell, LA

Page 2: Tropical Weather Update  August 31, 2011 0730 CDT

Overview

Tropical wave currently located over the Tropical wave currently located over the northwestern Caribbean may develop further as it northwestern Caribbean may develop further as it moves through the central and moves through the central and western/northwestern Gulf late this week/over the western/northwestern Gulf late this week/over the weekendweekend

Main local threats:Main local threats: Heavy rainfallHeavy rainfall Higher than normal tidesHigher than normal tides Strong winds over the coastal watersStrong winds over the coastal waters

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Tropical Weather Outlook

Page 4: Tropical Weather Update  August 31, 2011 0730 CDT

Satellite Image 615am

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5 Day Rainfall Forecast(through Sunday morning)

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Other Threats - Wind

Marine Areas:Marine Areas: Sustained winds increasing over the next couple daysSustained winds increasing over the next couple days Expect winds 15-20 knots by Friday with 20-25 knots Expect winds 15-20 knots by Friday with 20-25 knots

over the weekend (higher gusts)over the weekend (higher gusts) Small Craft Advisories likelySmall Craft Advisories likely

Land Areas:Land Areas: Gusts 25 to 35 mph in squalls and thunderstormsGusts 25 to 35 mph in squalls and thunderstorms

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Other Threats - Tides

A prolonged period of moderate to strong easterly A prolonged period of moderate to strong easterly or southeasterly winds will lead to elevated tide or southeasterly winds will lead to elevated tide levels by Friday and through the weekendlevels by Friday and through the weekend

Tides may rise up to 1 to 2 feet above Tides may rise up to 1 to 2 feet above astronomical over the weekend (could be higher astronomical over the weekend (could be higher depending on how strong the winds are)depending on how strong the winds are)

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Summary

There is still much uncertainty concerning the There is still much uncertainty concerning the development, eventual track, and intensity of this development, eventual track, and intensity of this system. Future forecasts will continue to refine system. Future forecasts will continue to refine the details.the details.

Main local threats for the northern Gulf coast will Main local threats for the northern Gulf coast will be:be: heavy rainfallheavy rainfall higher than normal tideshigher than normal tides strong winds over the coastal watersstrong winds over the coastal waters

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NWS New Orleans Baton RougeNWS New Orleans Baton Rouge

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http://www.srh.noaa.gov/lix?n=embrief2http://www.srh.noaa.gov/lix?n=embrief2*Tropical Briefing Section*Tropical Briefing Section

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