Trevor Owens - The Lean Enterprise

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THE LEAN ENTERPRISE Trevor Owens (@TO) Author & Entrepreneur

Transcript of Trevor Owens - The Lean Enterprise

THE LEAN ENTERPRISETrevor Owens (@TO) Author & Entrepreneur

”In 15 years, 75% of the S&P 500 will be replaced by new companies.

Richard Foster

Dropped

New

100+ UNICORNS

Costs

1. Starting!

2. Growing!

3. Risk

Sustaining

Small Changes!Existing Market!Predictable

Disruptive

Dramatic Change!New Market!Unpredictable

Sustainingvs.

Disruptive

Sustaining! !

Disruptive! !

Old Thinking

Sustaining!Quick Revenue!

Disruptive!10 Year Timeline!

Old Thinking

Sustaining!Quick Revenue!High ROI

Disruptive!10 Year Timeline!Cannibalization

Old Thinking

Sustaining! !

Disruptive! !

New Thinking

Sustaining!Short Lived!

Disruptive!Huge Upside!

New Thinking

Sustaining!Short Lived!Uninspiring

Disruptive!Huge Upside!Attracts Resources

New Thinking

The Startup Curve

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ss

The Startup Curve

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ssThe Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ss

The Startup Curve

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ssThe Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ssThe Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

Reality Sets In

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ssThe Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

Reality Sets In

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ss

The Startup Curve

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ssThe Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ssThe Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

Reality Sets In

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ssThe Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

Reality Sets In

TROUGH OF SORROW

BeforeStartup

Experimenting & Pivoting

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ss

The Startup Curve

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ssThe Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ssThe Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

Reality Sets In

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ssThe Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

Reality Sets In

TROUGH OF SORROW

BeforeStartup

Experimenting & Pivoting

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ssThe Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

Reality Sets In

TROUGH OF SORROW

BeforeStartup

Starts Working

Experimenting & Pivoting

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ss

The Startup Curve

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ssThe Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ssThe Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

Reality Sets In

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ssThe Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

Reality Sets In

TROUGH OF SORROW

BeforeStartup

Experimenting & Pivoting

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ssThe Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

Reality Sets In

TROUGH OF SORROW

BeforeStartup

Starts Working

Experimenting & Pivoting

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ssThe Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

Reality Sets In

TROUGH OF SORROW

BeforeStartup

Product/Market Fit!

Starts Working

Experimenting & Pivoting

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ssThe Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

Reality Sets In

TROUGH OF SORROW

BeforeStartup

Product/Market Fit!

Scale

Starts Working

Experimenting & Pivoting

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ss

STARTUPS SEARCH

COMPANIES EXECUTE

NEW MANAGEMENT

MVPs Pivots Early Adopters

123

Since 2010

INNOVATION COLONY

Innovation Flow Spin-Out Spin-In

123

Innovation Flow

1. Education!

2. Opportunity!

3. Rewards

Innovation Flow

THREE HORIZONS

1-3 Years Core Business 60%!

4-6 Years Rising Stars 30%!

7-10 Years Disruptive Tech 10%

Time Horizon Area Budget

SPIN-OUT

1. Think Differently!

2. Move Quickly

Give Independence

1. Preferred Shares!

2. Board Seats

Maintain Ownership

SPIN-IN

1. P/M Fit!

2. Corp Dev

Process

1. P/M Fit

Process

1. P/M Fit!

2. Corp Dev

Process

The Startup Curve

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ss

The Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ssInnovation Colony

The Startup Curve

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ss

The Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ss

Innovation Flow

Innovation Colony

The Startup Curve

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ss

The Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ss

The Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

Reality Sets In

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ss

The Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

Reality Sets In

TROUGH OF SORROW

BeforeStartup

Experimenting & Pivoting

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ss

The Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

Reality Sets In

TROUGH OF SORROW

BeforeStartup

Starts Working

Experimenting & Pivoting

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ss

In. Flow

Innovation Colony

The Startup Curve

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ss

The Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ss

The Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

Reality Sets In

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ss

The Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

Reality Sets In

TROUGH OF SORROW

BeforeStartup

Experimenting & Pivoting

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ss

The Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

Reality Sets In

TROUGH OF SORROW

BeforeStartup

Starts Working

Experimenting & Pivoting

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ss

In. Flow Spin-Out

Innovation Colony

The Startup Curve

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ss

The Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ss

The Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

Reality Sets In

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ss

The Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

Reality Sets In

TROUGH OF SORROW

BeforeStartup

Experimenting & Pivoting

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ss

The Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

Reality Sets In

TROUGH OF SORROW

BeforeStartup

Starts Working

Experimenting & Pivoting

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ss

The Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

Reality Sets In

TROUGH OF SORROW

BeforeStartup

Product/Market Fit!

Starts Working

Experimenting & Pivoting

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ssInitial

Enthusiasm

Reality Sets In

TROUGH OF SORROW

BeforeStartup

Product/Market Fit!

Scale

Starts Working

Experimenting & Pivoting

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

In. Flow Spin-Out

Innovation Colony

The Startup Curve

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ss

The Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ss

The Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

Reality Sets In

BeforeStartup

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ss

The Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

Reality Sets In

TROUGH OF SORROW

BeforeStartup

Experimenting & Pivoting

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ss

The Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

Reality Sets In

TROUGH OF SORROW

BeforeStartup

Starts Working

Experimenting & Pivoting

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ss

The Startup Curve

InitialEnthusiasm

Reality Sets In

TROUGH OF SORROW

BeforeStartup

Product/Market Fit!

Starts Working

Experimenting & Pivoting

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

Hap

pine

ssInitial

Enthusiasm

Reality Sets In

TROUGH OF SORROW

BeforeStartup

Product/Market Fit!

Scale

Starts Working

Experimenting & Pivoting

Source: Paul Graham; avc.com

Time

In. Flow Spin-Out Spin-In

Innovation Colony

Fumbling the Future

Xerox Technology Ventures

$30M Funding $2M Checks

Xerox Tech Ventures

New Entities

80%

20%

>XTV

7 Years

12 Years

XTV>

NO INTERNAL SUCCESS

$2M Funding $100K Investments

Microsoft Accelerator

Independent Entities

7%

93%

$2M

3 Months Later

$20M

3 Months Later

THANK YOUJoin the community —> LeanEnterprise.co !

Trevor on Twitter @TO