TRENDS - HKGilending (Kickstarter, Indiegogo) DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN Trends in Technology...

TRENDS

DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN

National Suburban Trends

Source: ULI

• Still leading the nation’s growth: – 2000-2015: Suburban areas

represented 91% of population growth, top 50 metro areas

• Becoming younger, more diverse: – 81% of those under 18 live in

suburbs – 75% of 25 – 34 year olds – 76% of nation’s minority population


National Suburban Trends

• Lack of options for first time home buyers: – 2015: First time buyers were 32% of purchases

(lowest level since late ‘80s) – Residential market focused on higher end homes

due to profitability – Regulations, impact fees, NIMBYism, cost of land and

materials – all have driven the cost of new homes up – Question going forward: Who can figure out

affordable products for younger, and first time, buyers?

Source: ULI


Millennial Trends

• Millennials progress in life: – Youngest Millennials shifting to family

mode – Desire better schools, more affordability -

leading to a shift to suburbs – Prefer suburban areas with aspects of urban

living (walkability, gathering places, etc.) – Prefer renovations & rehabbing of older

homes (First ring suburbs).


Anticipated National Trends (ULI)

• Surge in household formation, 2016 - 2025: – 12.5M new households (only 7M, from

2006-15) – Suburbs of all kinds expected to absorb

79% of new households – 58% of new households will be renters – Anticipated trend toward renting

detached homes (as opposed to apartments)

Source: ULI



• Demand for more walkable, cohesive suburban developments (“Surban”): – Retail has become experience-driven – Consumers want retail that is walkable

from housing • Diversity:

– Immigration will represent half of U.S. population growth through 2023

– Shift in immigration to affluent & upper-class families from emerging economies

Source: ULI



• “Surban” Development Attributes: – Smaller homes, with little or no

yards, meeting demands to commute less, live closer to restaurants & entertainment

– Housing affordability, home size, privacy, and kid-friendliness feel more urban than suburban



• “Surban” Development Attributes: – School quality, public

transportation, and proximity to employment feel more suburban

– Bring the “best of urban living” to more affordable suburban settings


Anticipated National Trends

• Increased e-commuting leads to “hotel-like” suburban offices – Decrease in square feet

per employee

• Workplaces focus on diversity, work-life balance, virtual teams, health & wellness


Anticipated National Trends

• Sharing economy – Retail: Ridesharing and

carsharing (Uber, Lyft, Zipcar) – Retail: Independent

connections from producers to sellers (Etsy, Ebay)

– Services: Car repair, home repair (Taskrabbit, Handy)

– Finance: Peer-to-peer financing / investments / lending (Kickstarter, Indiegogo)


Trends in Technology • Connectedness

• Access to internet for education and medicine – Vulnerability of connected

systems


Parks and Recreation Trends

• Actively aging – More senior fitness

options & programming

– Desire for volunteer opportunities

– Adaptable, multi-faceted systems to respond to changing recreation demands


Parks and Recreation Trends

• Increased interest in trails

• Increasingly health conscious

• Increasingly environmentally conscious

• Concerns about climate change


Demands on Parks and Recreation Systems

• Convenience • Flexible hours • More hours of

programming • After-school

programming


Demands on Parks and Recreation Systems

• More natural areas • More educational /

interpretive programs • Balance of

environment & recreation

• Desire for passive open space

• Interest in aesthetics and gardens


Athletic Facilities - Trends

• Designed for events, not just sports

• Include accessory amenities (concessions, restrooms, playground, trails)

• Rising demand for soccer fields

• New & niche sports (ultimate Frisbee, rugby, lacrosse, disc golf, etc.)


Athletic Facilities - Trends

• Emergence of year-round participation in single sports

• Rise of training programs

• Increased demand for multi-purpose fields

• Divergence of “elite” sports from recreational


Recreational / Community Facilities - Trends

• Sports & wellness facilities have become centers of community social interaction & events

• Focus on multi-generational needs

• Meeting rooms, family entertainment areas, etc.

• Greater variety of offerings (climbing walls, yoga, pilates, etc.)


Trends in Aging

• Challenges with aging in the suburbs (lack of transit, houses not designed for aging)

• Health care needs – Alternatives to traditional long

term care facilities – In-home care, granny flats, tiny

homes, cooperatives, and new housing with care models


Equity

• Increasing wage inequality

• Gender and racial equity issues

• Relates to jobs mix in Dakota County


Green Stormwater Trends

• Rainwater catchment or harvesting

• Rainwater irrigation systems • Temporary containment of

water (bioswales, rain gardens, etc.)

• Constructed wetlands • Permeable pavements • Green roofs


Transportation Trends

• Potential for autonomous vehicles

• Ride sharing helps solve “last mile” issues, may reduce congestion & pollution

• Use of technology (including smart phone apps) helps people choose the best multi-modal option(s)


Transportation Trends • Ride-sourcing services for

kids & seniors • First / last mile

partnerships with transit agencies

• Electric bike shares for hills, heat, wind, and sprawl

• Payment integration of one card and one app for all transportation needs


Transportation Trends • In 2014, Americans bought

more bicycles than cars and trucks

• Bike-friendly buildings with amenities (repair stations, showers and lockers, community gathering places) gaining popularity

• Younger people want more options besides cars for the 43% of trips that are less than three miles



• Integrated mobility hubs for car, bike, transit, car parking, and dropoff are key to smoothing transitions between modes

• Uber and Lyft are merely the “gateway drug” in mobility sharing



• Enhanced signal technologies (to provide for bike / pedestrian safety)

• Complete Streets facilities – Pavement markings – Protected bikeways – Protected and raised

intersections – ADA compliance


Natural Resources Trends • Focus on invasive species,

particularly aquatics • Impact of new state buffer

law (along ditches, public waters)

• Focus on threatened and endangered species

• Enhancements to GIS data and remote sensing in analyzing natural resources


Water Trends • Aquifer levels continue

to decline • Increased groundwater

contamination (particularly in ag areas)

• Focus on water sustainability at regional level


Solid Waste Trends

• Continued need to encourage adequate resource recovery market

• Focus on source reduction to reduce waste levels


Solid Waste Trends • Stagnant recycling rates • Landfilling, organics,

waste reduction could be the most powerful tools

• Organized collection • Trash traveling great

distances for processing or disposal


Additional Sustainability Trends • Dramatic drop in cost of solar

technologies drives increased demand for solar panels, solar gardens

• Continued trends toward renewable energies, away from higher-carbon fossil fuels

• Significant opportunities for improved energy efficiencies in existing homes, businesses, and public buildings


Trends in Farming • Proliferation of pattern drain tile

• Extensive irrigation

• Increasing groundwater contamination

• Tenure changes uncertain (hard to transition to new farmers)

• Consolidation of farms

• Monoculture with increasing national monopoly on seed types (and decreasing genetic biodiversity) and decrease in individual farmer choice

• Increase in fringe and pesticide resistant “super weeds” disrupting ecosystems.

• Increasing divide between rural and urban, reflected in decline of farming

• Increased number of “big” weather events with climate change is modifying how farmers farm


Energy and Climate Change Impacts

• Negative side of renewables – Rare earth element reliance

– Battery disposal

• Concern for inequity in who is adversely impacted by climate change – Specific emphasis on

vulnerable populations


Engagement and Civic Responsibility

• Challenge and opportunity to engage the community in the various planning areas

STAKEHOLDER AND PUBLIC ENGAGEMENT

TRENDS - HKGilending (Kickstarter, Indiegogo) DAKOTA COUNTY COMPREHENSIVE PLAN Trends in Technology...

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