Trends and Outlook for Federal R&D: An Overview
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Trends and Outlook for Federal R&D: An Overview Matt Hourihan March 27, 2013 For the NAS EPSCoR Evaluation Committee AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program http://www.aaas.org/spp/rd
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Trends and Outlook for Federal R&D: An Overview. Matt Hourihan March 27, 2013 For the NAS EPSCoR Evaluation Committee AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program http://www.aaas.org/spp/rd. Recent History and FY14. Current Administration: persistently strong budget requests FY14 delayed… - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Transcript of Trends and Outlook for Federal R&D: An Overview
Trends and Outlook for Federal R&D: An Overview
Matt HourihanMarch 27, 2013For the NAS EPSCoR Evaluation Committee
AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Programhttp://www.aaas.org/spp/rd
U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
-37.5%
-20.2%
-15.0%
-7.4%
0.8%
7.0%
23.6%
37.1%
-60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60%
Transp
Agr
Environ
Health
Defense
Commerce
Gen Sci
Energy
R&D Changes by Function Since 2003percent change from FY 2003 to FY 2012, in constant FY 2012 dollars
Source: OMB R&D data, agency budget justifications, and agency budget documents. Environment includes natural resources R&D.© 2012 AAAS
U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
Defense Discretionary
$74
[Defense R&D]$8
Nondefense Discretionary
$31[Nondefense R&D]
$7
Social Security$30
Medicare$6
Medicaid$3
Other Mandatory$23
Net Interest$14
Composition of the FY 1970 Budgetoutlays in billions of dollars
Source: Budget of the United States Government FY 2013.© 2012 AAAS
U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
Defense Discretionary
$120
[Defense R&D]$15
Nondefense Discretionary
$126
[Nondefense R&D]$16
Social Security$117
Medicare$31
Medicaid$14
Other Mandatory$100
Net Interest$53
Composition of the FY 1980 Budgetoutlays in billions of dollars
Source: Budget of the United States Government FY 2013.© 2012 AAAS
U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
Defense Discretionary
$259
[Defense R&D]$41
Nondefense Discretionary
$177
[Nondefense R&D]$23
Social Security$247
Medicare$96
Medicaid$41
Other Mandatory$185
Net Interest$184
Composition of the FY 1990 Budgetoutlays in billions of dollars
Source: Budget of the United States Government FY 2013.© 2012 AAAS
U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
Defense Discretionary
$628
[Defense R&D]$81
Nondefense Discretionary
$546
[Nondefense R&D]$64
Social Security$773
Medicare$478
Medicaid$255
Other Mandatory$746
Net Interest$225
Composition of the FY 2012 Budgetoutlays in billions of dollars
Source: Budget of the United States Government FY 2013.© 2012 AAAS
U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
Defense Discretionary
$515 [Defense R&D]$66
Nondefense Discretionary
$517[Nondefense R&D]
$63
Social Security$1,026
Medicare$633
Medicaid$423
Other Mandatory$714
Net Interest$566
Composition of the FY 2017 Budget?outlays in billions of dollars
Source: Budget of the United States Government FY 2013.© 2012 AAAS
U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
Trends in R&D by Agencyin billions of constant FY 2012 dollars
ARRA FundingAll OtherUSDANSFNASADOENIHDOD
Source: AAAS Report: Research & Development series and AAAS analysis of final FY 2013 appropriations. 1976-1994 figures are NSF data on obligations in the Federal Funds survey. © 2013 AAAS
U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
Recent History and FY14 Current Administration: persistently strong budget
requests FY14 delayed…
General support for R&D remains in Congress (in principle) Rhetoric; caucus activities; interest in Golden Goose
Awards and similar events; some funding outcomes EPSCoR programs / relevant offices have mostly grown
NSF, DOE Science, AFRI, Defense basic research But not NIH or EPA S&T?
U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
Outlook Major differences between parties in shape, role, size of
gov’t Basic v. applied research
Fiscal challenges and concerns unrelated to R&D are dragging down the discretionary ship Restrictive fiscal environment, but a bit more flexibility?
COMPETES opportunities? NSF and NASA seem to be larger recent funding
priorities Bottom line: growth possible, but even modest gains will
be a challenge
