Transport Plan for MMR and Resourse Generation Plan Under Mumbai Transformation

8/13/2019 Transport Plan for MMR and Resourse Generation Plan Under Mumbai Transformation

1/36


2/36

Workshop on Metropolitan Governance andPlanning:

Experience of Mumbai and Rio de Janeiro

Presentation on

Comprehensive Transportation Plan for MMR andResource Generation under MumbaiTransformation

29thJune 2012

LEA International Ltd., CanadaLEA Associates South Asia Pvt. Ltd.

MMRDA


3/36

Structure of Presentation

Major Challenges in InfrastructureDevelopment

Current Travel Scenario in MMR

CTS for MMR Study: Proposed TransportInfrastructure

Technical Assistance Project: Infrastructure

Investment Needs and Potential Sources ofFunding

Steps taken so far


4/36

Map of India

Map of MMR

District Map ofMaharashtra


5/36

Mumbai

Thane

Vasai-Virar

Bhiwandi

Kalyan

Khopoli

Pen

Alibag

Mira-Bhayander

UlhasnagarAmbernath

Badlapur

Panvel

Uran

Matheran

Karjat

Navi Mumbai

Thane Dist.

Raigad Dist.

Sub-urbanDist.

Area 4355 sq.km.

Population About 22.2 million

(2011)

Districts in MMR 1. Mumbai2. Suburban3. Thane4. Raigad

Corporations in MMR 1. Greater Mumbai2. Thane3. Navi Mumbai4. Ulhas Nagar5. Kalyan-Dombivali6. Mira Bhayandar7. Bhiwandi- Nizampur8. Vasai-Virar

Municipal Councils inMMR

1. Ambernath2. Kulgaon-Badlapur3. Alibaug

4. Pen5. Uran6. Matheran Hill Station7. Panvel8. Karjat9. Khopoli

Villages 1000

Urbanisation 94% Urban Population6% Rural Population

Mumbai Metropolitan Region (MMR)


6/36

Major Challenges in Infrastructure Development

Physical Challenges

Difficult Landform and Geography Scarcity of Developable Land Inadequate transportation system capacity and unacceptable

levels of safety

Social Challenges

Re-housing Slums

Economic Challenges

Increasing Job Opportunities and Incomes Global Competitiveness

Institutional Challenges

Multiplicity of agencies and lack of coordination Lack of Institutional Framework/setup Inadequate Technical Resources to implement large scale

projectsFinancial Challenges

Huge Gap in Demand and Supply of Infrastructure Resource Mobilization and Fiscal Management

Others

Encroachments & Resettlement

Environmental Degradation and Protection Traffic congestion resulting from private vehicle growth


7/36

Current Travel Scenario in MMR


8/36

Vasai

Navgarh-Manikpur

Nalasopara

Virar

Greater Mumbai

Mira Bhayandar Bhiw andi

Kalyan

Am be rn at h

Ulhasnagar

A li ba g

Uran

Khopol i

Bhiw andi

Thane

Kalyan

Am be rn at h

Ulhasnagar

Navi Mumbai

Dombivl i

Pen

Nhave

Sheva

Uran

PanvelMatheran

Kar jat

Khopol i

GreaterMumbai

NavgarhManikpur

Nalasopara

Virar

Mira Bhayandar

Vasai

Badlapur

Covers entire Mumbai,Parts of Thane and RaigadDistricts

4,355 sq.kms area

20 Urban Local Bodies (7Municipal Corporationsand 13 MunicipalCouncils)

MMR Study Area


9/36

MMR and its Sub-regions

Total population = 20.8 mil

Total Employment = 7.6 mil

Pop (m) Emp (m)

Greater Mumbai 12.86 4.7

Region 7.94 2.9

Base Year (2005)


10/36

Surveys/ Studies ConductedNo. Primary Survey Extent

1 Home Interview Survey (HIS) 66,000 Households

2 Classified Volume count and OD Survey at Outer CordonLocations

24 Hr., 9 Locations

3 Classified Volume count and OD Survey at Sub-regionalcordons

24 Hr., 20 Locations

4 Classified Volume count at Inner Cordon Locations 16/24 Hr., 33 Locations (OD Survey at 3 Loc.)

5 Screen Line Points 16 Hr., 3 Locations

6 Mid-Block Locations 16 Hr., 11 Locations

7 Level Crossing Locations 16 Hr., 5 Locations

8 Sub-urban Rail Passenger Surveys 6.17%9 Sub-urban Rail Passenger Surveys, Alighting Survey: Stations 16%

10 Operational Characteristics of Bus and Rail TransportNetworks

5700 Bus Routes and 1767 Train Services

11 IPT (Auto and Taxi) Surveys 50 Locations

12 Bus Terminal Surveys 13 Bus Terminals

13 Airport Terminal Surveys 2000 air passengers14 Goods Terminal Surveys 20 Goods Terminals

15 Speed-Flow Studies 16 Carriageway Types

16 Journey Speed and Delay Studies 550 Kms

17 Network Inventory 2,300 kms.

18 Pedestrian Surveys 50 Locations

19 Parking Surveys 50 Stretches20 Workplace Based Surveys 4000 respondents


11/36

Train Bus Taxi

RickshawTwo WheelerCar

11

Where and How People Travel in Mumbai -2005(Morning Peak Period: 6:00 to 11: AM)
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/2/29/India.Mumbai.02.jpg


12/36

Per Capita Trip Rate With walk: 1.65

Without walk: 0.65

Trips per day (2005)

Total Region

ModeTrips

(ml)

Mode Split with

Walk

Mode Split without

Walk

Walk 14.85 52.4% -

Train 6.98 24.6% 51.8%

Bus 3.55 12.5% 26.3%

Auto 1.05 3.7% 7.8%

Taxi 0.23 0.8% 1.7%

Two Wheeler 1.05 3.7% 7.8%

Car 0.63 2.2% 4.6%

Total (with Walk) 28.33 100.0% 100.0%

Total (withoutWalk) 13.48

78%


13/36

Andheri

Bandra

Thane

Kurla

ChurchgateCST Mumbai

Vashi

Panvel

Borivali

Dadar

Kalyan

Dombivali

Titwala

Ulhasnagar

Mumbai Central

Morning Peak Period (6:00 to 11:00 AM)Crowded Sections or Links(in Lakhs)

Vile Parle

Sion

Mira Rd.

Bhyander5517(12 Car Rake)

3725

(9 Car Rake)

Ghatkopar

TN

Chembur

4852(9 Car Rake)


14/36

Average Standees Per Coach 12 pass/sq.m.

US Federal Transit Administration Report(1996)

Totally Intolerable 5 pass/sq.m.

Unacceptable 8 pass/sq.m.


15/36

Per Capita Trip Rate With walk: 1.65

Without walk: 0.65

Trips per day (2005)

Total Region

ModeTrips

(ml)

Mode Split with

Walk

Mode Split without

WalkWalk 14.85 52.4% -

Train 6.98 24.6% 51.8%

Bus 3.55 12.5% 26.3%

Auto 1.05 3.7% 7.8%

Taxi 0.23 0.8% 1.7%

Two Wheeler 1.05 3.7% 7.8%

Car 0.63 2.2% 4.6%

Total (with Walk) 28.33 100.0% 100.0%

Total (withoutWalk) 13.48

78%


16/36

Mode Split: Major Cities across the World

3

7

10

24

28

37

49

68

72

78

97

93

90

76

72

63

51

32

28

22

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Los Angles

Washing Ton

New York

London

Paris

Singapore

Tokyo

Shanghai

Hong Kong

Mumbai

Public Transport Private Vehicle 16


17/36

Vision - TranSforM MMR

Transforming MMR into a world class metropoliswith a vibrant economy and globally comparablequality of life for all its citizens.


18/36

CTS for MMR Study:

Proposed TransportInfrastructure


19/36

Population, Employment and Vehicular Growth

Population

20.0 mil

34.0 mil

Employment

7.6 mil

15.3 mil

VehicularPopulation

2.0 mil

9.0 mil

9.9

13.4

18.5

22.4

27.0

34.0

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

1981 1991 2001 2011 2021 2031

7.6 mil 15.3 mil

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

7,000,000

8,000,000

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

2018

2020

2022

2024

2026

2028

2030

2032

2005

2031

Population

Employment Vehicular Growth

20 Lakhs90 Lakhs

4.5 times


20/36

Long Term (2031)

Metro and Sub-urban Network

YearCumulative Length (km)

Metro Sub-urban

2016 208 237

2021 318 237

2031 450 248

Sub-urban Network: 2005


21/36

Long Term (2031)Highway Network

Year Cumulative Length (km)

2016 982

2021 1,229

2031 1,739

Highway Network: 2005 (2,600 kms)


22/36

17 Inter-State/ Inter-City Bus

Terminals

6 Inter-City rail Terminals

5 Major Truck Terminals and 10

Mini Truck Terminals

13 Passenger Water Transport

(PWT) Terminals

Proposed Terminals


23/36

Candidate RoadsforBus Rapid Transit/ EBL/ Mono Rail

On Proposed New Roads

Panvel

Vashi

Uran

Dronagiri

Ulwe

On Existing Roads


24/36

Multi-Modal Corridors


25/36

Right of Way Requiremen

100

100

100

80

80

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

80

100

100100

The Right of Way (ROW) shown

for each segment of the

proposed Regional Road

Network is the preferred ROW

width.

However , an absolute minimum

width of 80 m is required.

Finalisation of the ROWsrequire, detailed feasibility

studies specific to each corridor.

MetropolitanRegional Roads

ROW, 100 m100

LEGEND


26/36

Summary of Preliminary Cost EstimatesProposed Transport Networks

Horizon Years 2031, 2021 and 2016

Component

2008- 2031 2008- 2021 2008- 2016

Lengthkm

CostRs Crores

Lengthkm

CostRs Crores

Lengthkm

CostRs Crores

Metro System 450 1,10,095 316 82,707 204 59,623

Sub-Urban Railway System 241 30,978 231 28,670 231 27,920

Highway System 1660 57,412 1114 44,844 836 31,173

Highway Corridors withEBL

77 1,670 111 2,000 147 11,079

Bus System 4,280 2,150 1,104

Passenger Water Transport 480 480 480

Truck Terminals, Inter-Busand Rail Terminals

3,040 2,038 1,126

Total 2,429 2,07,956 1,772 1,62,890 1,418 1,32,504US $ 50.72 Billion US $ 39.73 Billion US $ 32.32 Billion

Note:

1. The cost estimates are @ 2005-06 prices

2. The metro system cost includes the cost of rolling stock

3. The sub-urban railway system cost includes the cost of rolling stock for new lines, capacity enhancement of the to the

existing sub-urban railway system


27/36

Funding Sources

Sl.

No. Transport System

EstimatedTotal Cost

(Rs. Crore)@ 2005-06Prices

Inter

GovernmentalTransfer (%)

Development

Charges(%)

Borrowing

(%)

Private

Investment (%)

I Metro System 1,10,095 15 25 0 60

II Sub-Urban Railway System 30,978 30 30 40 0

III Highway System 57,412 25 25 30 20

IVHighway Corridors with

Exclusive Bus Lanes (EBL) 1,670 25 25 30 20

V Bus System 4,280 25 25 30 20

VI Passenger Water Transport 480 12 12 16 60

VII Terminals 3,040 21 21 28 30

Total Investment, Average % FundingSources

2,07,956 20 28 12 40

Potential Need forRe-allocation from Privateto Development ChargesParticularly for Metro

Creation of Dedicated Fund (MMR Transport InfrastructureFund) for implementation of Proposed Transport Infrastructure in MMR


28/36

Infrastructure Investment Needs and

Potential Sources of Funding


29/36

Infrastructure Investment Need in MMR

85% of the Infrastructure Investment Need is Transport Infrastructure

Sl. No. SectorInvestment

Needs by 2021

(INR million)

InvestmentNeeds by 2031

(INR million)

1 Regional Water Resource Development 168,640 193,430

2 Transit Development 1,641,740 1,874,860

3 Road development + Terminals 610,500 809,510

4 Regional Drainage 23,920 27,4405 Land, Real estate & Housing 146,160 167,650

6 Thakurli Power Plant 25,000 25,000

7 Regional Landfill Sites 30,000 34,410

8 Matheran Funicular Railway 2,000 2,000

9 Nirmal MMR Abhiyan 2,400 2,400

Total Metropolitan Infrastructure 2,650,360 3,136,690

@ 2009-10 Prices

US$ 53 billion US$ 63 billion

I f t t F di


30/36

Funding Source Percent Share INR million

Inter-Government Transfer 4.6% 144,288

MMRDA Resources 18.5% 580,290Borrowings 43.2% 1,355,054

Private Investment + SPV partner

other than Government 33.7% 1,057,068

Total 100% 3,136,700

Infrastructure Funding

Sl.

No.

Project Net Revenuepotential

(INR million)

1 Sale of Lands: Bandra Kurla Complex 389,0002 Sale of lands: Wadala Truck Terminal 174,780

3 MMR Growth Areas & Growth Centres 25,000

Total 588,780

MMRDA Sources:

Potential of Development Charges for the period (2010-2031): 1,160,000 to2,100,000 million


31/36


32/36

Scenario

2010-2021 2022-2031 2010-2031

INR million

US $

billion INR million US $ billion INR million

US $

million

Base: DC on New Growth &Redevelopment (MMRDA: 7.0% and

ULB: 3.0%)

1,240,000 27.6 860,000 19.0 2,100,000 46.6

Scenario AAverage building values are

lower and unit sizes are smaller than

Base case):

DC on New Growth & Redevelopment

(MMRDA: 7.0% and ULB: 3.0%)

990,000 22.1 710,000 15.9 1,710,000 37.9

Scenario B (Average building value and

unit size are same as in Scenario A):DC

on New Growth & Redevelopment: 5%

Residential (MMRDA: 3.5% & ULB:

1.5%), 10% Non-Residential (7%MMRDA

& 3% ULBs)

650,000 14.3 510,000 11.3 1,160,000 25.6

[1]Assum pt ions for Base Scenar io:Building Value: Rs. 2,000 to 40,000/sq.ft.Average Unit Size of the Building: 600 to 1000 sq.ft.Average Office, Industrial and Other Building Costs: Rs. 30,000, Rs. 8,000 and Rs. 13,000/sq.ft.

[2]Assumptions forScenar io A&B :Building Value: Rs. 1,600 to 32,000/sq.ft

Average Unit Size of the Building : 540 to 900 sq.ftAverage Office, Industrial and Other Building Costs: Rs. 24,000, Rs. 6,400 and Rs. 10,400/sq.ft

Potential of Development Charges


33/36

Source of Revenue Revenue Generated by Time Period (in INR Crores)20102021 2022 - 2031 20102031

Cess (5%) on Property 2,300 2,800 5,100

Cess on Fuel 2 %

3 %

2,500

3,800

4,000

6,400

6,500

10,200

Annual Renewal of Vehicle

license: Option (i)*

Option (ii)**

6,800

10,400

9,700

14,700

16,500

25,100

One-Time cess on New

Vehicle Purchases (2 %

Cess)

1,000 1,400 2,400

Employment Tax 9,300 to 18,300 16,900 to 30,400 26,200 to 48,700

Sale of Advertising Rights Tbd

Depends on items

included

Tbd

Depends on

items included

Tbd

Total 21,900 to 35,800 34,800 to 55,700 56,700 to 91,500

*Option (i): Annual renewal fee: two wheelers INR 500, cars INR 2,000, trucks INR 3,000

**Option (ii) Annual renewal fee: two wheeler INR 1000, cars INR 3,000, trucks INR 3,000

Revenue Sources for O&M Shortfalls


34/36

Steps taken so far. Implementation of Two metro corridors and one monorail corridor is under

progress;

MMRDA initiated the DPR for Phase II and Phase III metro corridors ofMumbai Metro Master Plan:

MMRDA completed the DPR study for Metro corridor from Siddhi Vinayak-

Sewri-Kharkopar-Dhutum-Dushmi (about 50 kms);

MMRDA initiated the process for Techno-Economic Feasibility Study ofMulti-Modal Corridor from Virar-Alibag Study (140 kms) which covers someof the higher order highway corridors as well as some metro corridors asproposed in the CTS study;

Process initiated for Common Ticketing and Fare Integration, Dialogue withvarious operators/ ULBs is in progress;

UMMTA established under Chairmanship of Chief Secretary. Legal

Framework for UMMTA is in progress;


35/36

Steps taken so far.

All the ULBs requested to include the proposed arterial roads and higherorder highway corridors, metro corridors, sub-urban rail corridors,

monorail corridors in the Development Plans for the reservation of RoW;

ULBs have created Traffic & Transportation units;

The study on Monorail Master Plan for MMR is completed;

Initiated Technical Assistance project for implementation of CTS andBusiness Plan proposals. The focus of this TA shall be on preparatoryactions that are needed on priority related to the projects which have to beimplemented by 2016/2021 with specific attention to sustainability;

MMRDA has submitted proposals on Development Charges to GoM;

Project Preparatory works are in progress for implementation of MumbaiTrans Harbour Link (MTHL) and Colaba-Bandra-SEEPZ metro corridor.


36/36

Thank you

Transport Plan for MMR and Resourse Generation Plan Under Mumbai Transformation

Documents

Transcript of Transport Plan for MMR and Resourse Generation Plan Under Mumbai Transformation