Transnational roadmap for climate adaptation in the Meuse ... · Meuse river basin Workshop 1...
Transcript of Transnational roadmap for climate adaptation in the Meuse ... · Meuse river basin Workshop 1...
Transnational roadmap forclimate adaptation in the
Meuse river basin
Workshop 1
Maastricht, 30-31 may 2012
The AMICE project
[email protected] Maastricht, 30-31 may 2012
905 km
350 m3/s
9 million inhab.
The Meuse basin
FRANCE
BELGIUM - Wallonia
BELGIUM - Flanders
LUXEMBOURG
GERMANY
NETHERLANDS
Transnational context
Pre-existing collaboration
The climate change threat, and uncertainties
� 5 years of studies and works : 2009-2013� 4 countries involved : FR, BE, DE, NL� 17 Partners - Lead Partner : EPAMA� Budget 8,9 million €
The AMICE project
www.nweurope.eu
� 2.8 million € from the Interreg IV B Program
� Local, regional, national authorities
� Water agencies and water associations
Funding
The Partnership
The AMICE project goals and organisation
� Adaptation strategy for the Meuse basin� Implement measures� International partnership� Communication
Location of the Hotspots (WP 1)
Ophoven
Givet
GrensMaas
Charleville-Mézières
1. Knowledge
2. Nature conservation
2. Storages management
Steenbergse Vliet
Naives basin, Ny village
Amblève, Ammels
HOWABO
Rur reservoirs
Lock of Ham
Location of investments
4. Preparedness and crisis management
5. Communication
www.amice-project.eu
www.amice-film.eu
The AMICE results
[email protected] Maastricht, 30-31 may 2012
dry
The climate scenarios : wet & dry
� Climate projections : 2021-2050 & 2071-2100
� Reference period : 1971-2000
� Seasonal trends, not annual means
� Wet and dry scenarios
� Daily / hourly climate data
� National databases and national climate projections
� ARPEGE climat, CCI-HYDR, WETTREG & CLM, PRUDENCE
� delta change approach
� T°C and precipitations
wet
1,0033 000Transnational
0,103 338Germany
0,268 662Netherlands
0,3310 880Belgium
0,3110 120France
WeightCatchmentarea (km²)
The climate scenarios : weighted mean values
The climate scenarios : results
wet
dry
Discharges calculations : transnational overview
HBV
NASIM
PDM (tributaries)
TOPMODEL, MIKE 11
AGYR
Flood parameter :
Qhx100
Low-flows :
MAM 7
Discharges calculations : results
Hydraulic modeling : transnational overview
������������ ��������������
�
��������� ����� �������� �� ����
20 50 20 50100 1650.Q PF− −=70 00 70 00100 1650.Q PF− −=
����������� �
���� !"� #���� �$�
20 50 20 50100 3150.Q PF− −=70 00 70 00100 3150.Q PF− −=
�����
�� %��& �����
��'�������$ �����
������������$�
��'�������$ �����
������������$
�����
Hydraulic modeling : 2 steps approach
� 1st run using rainfall-runoff inputs
� comparisons on the borders
� 2nd run using downstream / upstream values
���������
� ��������
��������
� ��������
('����� '��
����������� ��)*+,� )*+-�
��$��.'��
�� ��� � ����)*+/� )0+,�
1�2 $����� '��
�� ��������� ����)*+,� )*+3�
Hydraulic modeling : results
Deliveries
� Report on climate and hydrological modeling (EN)
+ Summaries in EN, FR, NL, DE
� Report on hydraulic modeling (EN)
+ Summaries in EN, FR, NL, DE
� Reports on the impacts of future floods (EN, not yet published) and low-flows