TRANSITION / POLITICAL CHANGE AND INSTABILITY / … · 1The IEC Annual Review 2014 only shows 103.5...
Transcript of TRANSITION / POLITICAL CHANGE AND INSTABILITY / … · 1The IEC Annual Review 2014 only shows 103.5...
Hans-Wilhelm Windhorst, IEC Statistical Analyst
The European Egg Industry in Transition
TRANSITION / POLITICAL CHANGE AND INSTABILITY /CONTINUING ECONOMIC CHALLENGES / DIRECTIVE 1999/74/EC - THE BANNING OF CONVENTIONAL CAGES / EFFECTS OF AVIAN INFLUENZA
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 20152
The changing political and economic situation in Europe
Introduction
Figures used in this document are stated in United Kingdom format with a “,” to separate 000s and a “.” to denote
decimal places. In all cases for units of measurement “t” means “tonnes” and “mill.t” means “million tonnes”.
Over the past 25 years, the political and economic situation in Europe has changed considerably and it seems that this transformation process has not yet come to an end. The ongoing economic
and financial crisis in Southern Europe, especially in Greece, is a threat to the political stability in the EU and to the future of the Euro.
The situation in Ukraine at the eastern rim of Europe is a danger to the political stability in this part of the continent and could lead to
long term repercussions.
The trade ban of the EU, the USA and other countries on the Russian Federation has already had considerable impact on the trade of
poultry products and may have even more severe impact in the future if the problems in Ukraine cannot be solved. Ukraine, one of the
leading egg producing countries in Europe, has already lost some of its former strength. The largest egg company in Europe was severely
affected by the political unrest. According to recent reports it lost a considerable number of its production facilities in the eastern parts
of the country.
The political and economic transformation processes had started earlier however. In 1990, the political and economic system of the
former USSR and most of the Eastern European countries collapsed. The necessary political and socio-economic transformation
processes in these countries led to a considerable decrease of egg production. New independent countries originated and the EU
expanded. Not all new member countries have been able to reach a production volume comparable to that before the beginning of the
economic transformation process. Some were successful in their integration into market oriented production and trade systems, others
are still struggling.
A second challenge was the banning of conventional cages from 2012 onwards, or from 2010 in Austria and Germany. It is estimated that
the implementation of Directive 1999/74/EC resulted in investments of between 5 and 6 billion euros. A particular problem was caused
by the fact that it was not before 2008 that the EU Commission decided that the legal regulations as expressed in the Directive would
not be changed and the deadline would not be extended as some countries in Eastern and Southern Europe had requested. By the end of
2013, the transformation from conventional cages to alternative housing systems was completed in the EU. This resulted in a new spatial
pattern of housing systems in Europe which the author analysed in detail in the report prepared for the Vienna Business Conference in
2014.
A further burden is the ongoing economic and financial crisis in several Southern European countries, especially in Greece. The crisis
had, and still has, an impact on egg production and trade patterns as will be shown in a later chapter. It is the author’s impression that the
EU has reached a threshold, a new phase of its political, economic and financial foundation and the following one or two years will decide
not only the political and economic future of the 29 member countries but also the future of Europe as a continent.
Objectives
The main objectives of this report are:
• to present an overview on
the changing contribution of
European countries and the
EU to global egg production
between 2000 and 2013,
• to analyse the dynamics of egg
production in the European sub-
regions between 2000 and 2013,
• to present a short overview on
the present situation of housing
systems for laying hens in
Europe,
• to analyse what impacts the
political and socio-economic
transformation in the former
USSR and Eastern Europe as well
as the banning of conventional
cages had on the production
patterns of the EU and on
countries outside the EU,
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 2015 3
• to demonstrate in three
country studies what impact the
banning of conventional cages
had on egg production and egg
trade in and between these
countries and
• to present a short outlook on
the new challenges for the egg
industry in the EU and possible
economic impacts.
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 2015
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PART
Europe was the leading continent in global egg
production until 1988 before it was surpassed by
Asia. In the early 1990s, the European production
volume decreased considerably because of the
collapse of the political and economic systems
in the former USSR and Eastern Europe.
Despite the recovery of egg production, the total
production volume in 2000 was still about 1 mill.
t lower than in the late 1980s.
Between 2000 and 2013 the global laying hen
population increased from 5.0 to 7.0 billion birds
or by 39.8% (Table 1). The lowest relative growth
rate was in North America and the highest was
in Asia. In Europe, the laying hen flock grew by
226 million birds or 32.9%, mainly as a result
of the recovery of the egg industry in Eastern
Europe. With the exception of Asia and Central
and South America all other continents could not
maintain their contribution to the global laying
hen population which they had in 2000 (Table 2,
Figure 1). The ten European countries with the
highest number of laying hens are documented
in Table 3. The number of laying hens as reported
by FAO for the Russian Federation and Ukraine is
not realistic, however1. This changes the ranking,
as according to the data as presented in Footnote
1, the Russian Federation was still in first place in
2013, followed by Ukraine2.
Global egg production grew from 51.2 mill. t in
2000 to 68.3 mill. t in 2013 or by 33.3%. The
highest absolute increase was shown by Asia with
almost 10.8 mill., the highest relative growth
rates were in Central and South America and
Africa. In Europe, the production volume was
about 1.5 mill. t higher in 2013 than in 2000;
nevertheless, Europe had the lowest relative
growth rate of all continents (Table 4). The
contribution to global egg production fell by
2.5% in the same time period and reached only
16.0% in 2013. North American countries were
also not able to maintain their share of global egg
production and lost 1.4% (Table 5).
TABLE 1
TABLE 2
The development of the global laying hen population between 2000 and 2013; data in mill. birds(Source: FAO database)
The changing contribution of the continents to the global laying hen population between 2000 and 2013; data in %(Source: Own
calculations)
CONTINENT 2000 2010 2013 INCREASE (%)
Africa 378 505 515 36.2Asia 3,091 4,146 4,494 45.4Europe 687 788 913 32.9N America* 496 567 571 15.1CS America 361 477 520 44.0Oceania 18 18 21 16.7
World 5,030 6,501 7,034 39.8* Canada, USA, Mexico
CONTINENT 2000 2010 2013 CHANGE (%)
Africa 7.5 7.8 7.3 -0.2Asia 61.5 63.8 63.9 +2.4Europe 13.7 12.1 13.0 -0.7N America* 9.9 8.7 8.1 -1.8CS America 7.2 7.3 7.4 +0.2Oceania 0.4 0.3 0.3 -0.1
World **100.0 100.0 100.0 -* Canada, USA, Mexico ** sum does not add because of rounding
The changing role of Europe and the EU in global egg production between 2000 and 2013
The first part of the report will deal with the dynamics of global egg production between 2000 and 2013. As the period between 1990 and 2000 was analysed in detail in preceding reports (Windhorst 2012 and 2014), the analysis will start in 2000.
1The IEC Annual Review 2014 only shows 103.5 mill. layers for Russia. Norbert Mischke (IEC
rapporteur) reported to the author only 98 mill. layers for Ukraine. These figures are more
realistic when comparing them to the production volume (see Table 8). In the number of laying
hens, as reported by FAO, pullets and parent stock for broiler production seem to have been
included.
2Despite the data problems as mentioned in Footnote 1, data is not changed in Tables 1, 2 and
3 as this would make it necessary to recalculate the whole data set as reported by FAO not
only for Europe but also at a global level. In the special report for the IEC Business Conference
Lisbon, which dealt with housing systems, the lower figures for the layer flocks in the Russian
Federation and Ukraine were used.
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7.4 7.3
8.1
7.8
63.8
12.1
8.7
7.3
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 2015 5
TABLE 4
TABLE 5
FIGURE 1
TABLE 3
The development of global egg production between 2000 and 2013; data in 1,000 t(Source: FAO database)
The changing contribution of the continents to global egg production between 2000 and 2013; data in %(Source: FAO database)
The changing contribution of the continents to the global laying hen population between 2000 and 2013 (Source: FAO database)
The ten European countries with the highest number of laying hens in 2000, 2010 and 2013(Source: FAO database)
CONTINENT 2000 2010 2013 INCREASE (%)
Africa 378 505 515 36.2Asia 3,091 4,146 4,494 45.4Europe 687 788 913 32.9N America* 496 567 571 15.1CS America 361 477 520 44.0Oceania 18 18 21 16.7
World 5,030 6,501 7,034 39.8* Canada, USA, Mexico
CONTINENT 2000 2010 2013 CHANGE (%)
Africa 1,916 2,668 3,082 60.9Asia 29,211 37,485 39,982 36.9Europe 9,480 10,472 10,933 15.3N America* 7,159 8,222 8,595 20.1CS America 3,249 4,471 5,355 64.8Oceania 199 254 315 58.3
World 51,214 63,572 68,262 33.3* Canada, USA, Mexico
CONTINENT 2000 2010 2013 CHANGE (%)
Africa 3.7 4.2 4.5 + 0.3Asia 57.0 59.0 58.6 + 1.6Europe 18.5 16.5 16.0 - 2.5N America* 14.0 12.9 12.6 - 1.4CS America 6.3 7.0 7.8 + 1.5Oceania 0.4 0.4 0.5 + 0.1
World **100.0 100.0 **100.0 -
CONTINENT 2000 2010 2013 CHANGE (%)
Africa 7.5 7.8 7.3 -0.2Asia 61.5 63.8 63.9 +2.4Europe 13.7 12.1 13.0 -0.7N America* 9.9 8.7 8.1 -1.8CS America 7.2 7.3 7.4 +0.2Oceania 0.4 0.3 0.3 -0.1
World **100.0 100.0 100.0 -* Canada, USA, Mexico ** sum does not add because of rounding
2000 2010 2013 LAYING HENS SHARE LAYING HENS SHARE LAYING HENS SHARECOUNTRY (1,000) (%) COUNTRY (1,000) (%) COUNTRY (1,000) (%)
Russian Fed. 128,800 18.5 Russian Fed. 155,906 19.8 Ukraine* 191,300 21.0France 63,600 9.1 Ukraine 109,300 13.9 Russian Fed.* 173,838 19.0Italy 63,289 9.1 Italy 68,000 8.6 Italy 71,000 7.8Germany 50,300 7.2 Spain 52,000 6.6 France 58,694 6.4Spain 46,443 6.7 France 51,310 6.5 Poland 49,893 5.5Poland 43,398 6.2 Poland 48,727 6.2 UK 46,064 5.0Ukraine 40,900 5.9 UK 47,000 6.0 Romania 44,870 4.9UK 38,148 5.5 Romania 44,504 5.6 Netherlands 44,816 4.9Netherlands 32,573 4.7 Netherlands 34,845 4.4 Spain 44,668 4.9Romania 32,022 4.6 Germany 34,036 4.3 Germany 43,470 4.8
10 countries 539,473 *77.4 10 countries 645,628 81.9 10 countries 768,613 84.2
Europe 697,087 100.0 Europe 788,013 100.0 Europe 913,088 100.0* see footnotes 1 and 2 on page 4
2000Total 5.0 billion
■ Africa ■ Asia ■ Europe ■ N America* ■ CS America ■ Oceania
* Canada, USA, Mexico
2010Total 6.5 billion
2013Total 7.0 billion
* Canada, USA, Mexico ** sum does not add because of rounding
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 2015
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A comparison of the dynamics in egg production
at a global level and in Europe and the EU (28)
shows that European countries lost 2.4% of their
contribution to the global production volume
between 2000 and 2013 and EU member
countries 2.7% (Table 6). This is a result of the
high growth rates in Asia, South America and
even in Africa. While Europe still held the first
rank in 1988, it fell back to rank three in 2013
behind Asia and the Americas (see also Figure 2).
FIGURE 2
The changing contribution of the continents to the global egg production between 2000 and 2013 (Source: FAO database)
3.7
57.0
18.5
14.0
6.3
0.4
4.2
59.0
16.5
12.9
7.0
0.4
4.5
58.6
16.0
12.6
7.8
0.5
TABLE 6
The development of egg production in Europe and the EU (28) between 2000 and 2013 compared to global egg production(Source: FAO database)
2000 2010 2013 PRODUCTION SHARE PRODUCTION SHARE PRODUCTION SHAREREGION (1,000) (%) (1,000) (%) (1,000) (%)
World 51,214 100.0 63,572 100.0 68,262 100.0Europe 9,480 18.5 10,472 16.5 10,933 16.1EU (28) 6,662 13.0 6,830 10.7 7,010 10.3
2000Total 51.2 million t
■ Africa ■ Asia ■ Europe ■ N America* ■ CS America ■ Oceania
* Canada, USA, Mexico
2010Total 63.6 million t
2013Total 68.3 million t
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 2015 7
Patterns and dynamics of egg production in Europe
and the EU
In a further step, the dynamics of egg production
in the European sub-regions and the EU (28) will
be analysed in more detail.
Figure 3 and Table 7 document the development
of egg production in the European sub-regions.
Eastern Europe showed the highest absolute
growth in the analysed time period with 1.13
mill. t or 30.0%, followed by Northern Europe
TABLE 7
The development of egg production in the European sub-regions between 2000 and 2013; data in 1,000 t(Source: GAO database)
2000 2010 2013 PRODUCTION SHARE PRODUCTION SHARE PRODUCTION SHAREREGION (1,000) (%) (1,000) (%) (1,000) (%)
Eastern Europe 3,799 40.1 4,844 45.9 4,938 45.2Western Europe 2,924 30.8 2,589 24.6 2,871 26.2Southern Europe 1,789 18.9 1,993 18.9 1,965 18.0Northern Europe 967 10.2 1,117 10.6 1,159 10.6
Europe 9,479 100.0 10,543 100.0 10,933 100.0
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Europe Eastern Europe Northern Europe Southern Europe Western Europe
1000t
FIGURE 3
The development of the number of laying hens in the European sub-regions between 1990 and 2013 (Source: FAO database)
with 192,000 t (+ 19.9%) and Southern Europe
with 176,000 t (+ 9.8%). Egg production in
Western Europe decreased between 2000 and
2010 by 335,000 t or 11.5%. Despite the recovery
since 2010, the production volume in 2013 was
still 53,000 t lower than in 2000.
A closer look at the graphs in Figure 3 reveals
some differences in the production dynamics in
the single sub-regions. The continuous upward
trend in Eastern Europe is obvious, also the
downward trend in the other sub-regions as a
consequence of the banning of conventional
cages. In Western Europe, the lowest figure was
reached in 2009 because of the earlier ban in
Germany and Austria, in Northern and Southern
Europe in 2012. While in Northern Europe the
production volume stagnated in the following
year, it slowly recovered in Southern Europe.
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 2015
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in the other leading countries. Between 2000
and 2010 it fell by 240,000 t or 26.3%. In
2013, it almost reached the level of 2000 again.
France, Spain, Poland and Hungary were also
not able to completely compensate the losses
in their production volumes as a consequence
of the banning of conventional cages. Figure 4
shows that about three quarters of the total egg
production in the EU was contributed by only
seven member countries.
The analysis at country level shows some
remarkable changes in the composition and
ranking of the ten leading countries (Table 8).
In 2000, the Russian Federation ranked in first
place with a production volume of 1.9 mill. t and
a contribution of 20.0% to the overall European
egg production. It was followed by France,
Germany and Italy. Ukraine ranked in eighth
place with a share of 5.2%. Ten years later, it had
already risen to second place with a contribution
of 9.3% which expanded further to 10.3% in
2013. Germany showed considerable changes
in production and ranking. While it ranked as
number three in 2000, it fell to sixth place in
2010 because of the banning of conventional
cages two years earlier than in most of the other
EU member countries but climbed back to rank
four after the transformation to alternative
housing systems was completed. Spain lost two
ranks between 2010 and 2013, a consequence of
the ongoing economic crisis and a drastic decrease
of exports. This will be analysed in more detail in
the third part of this analysis.
In the EU (28), the volume of egg production
grew by 340,000 t between 2000 and 2013. The
regional concentration remained almost at the
same level as can be seen from Table 9. France
was the leading country over the whole analysed
time period, followed by Germany in 2000 and
2013 and by Spain in 2010. The fluctuation of
egg production in Germany was higher than
FIGURE 4
The seven leading EU member countries in egg production (2013) (Source: MEG 2014)
16.6
10.0
13.5
12.711.1
9.6
8.0
24.5
Chart in %Total egg production 7.010 mill. t
■ Spain
■ Netherlands
■ France
■ Germany
■ Italy
■ UK
■ Poland
■ Others
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 2015 9
TABLE 9
The ten leading EU (28) member countries in egg production in 2000, 2010 and 2013(Source: FAO database)
2000 2010 2013 PRODUCTION SHARE PRODUCTION SHARE PRODUCTION SHARECOUNTRY (1,000) (%) COUNTRY (1,000) (%) COUNTRY (1,000) (%)
France 1,038 15.6 France 947 13.9 France 944 13.5Germany 901 13.5 Spain 840 12.3 Germany 893 12.7Italy 686 10.3 Italy 737 10.8 Italy 775 11.1Netherlands 668 10.0 Germany 664 9.7 Spain 743 10.6Spain 658 9.9 Netherlands 631 9.2 Netherlands 703 10.0UK 569 8.5 UK 619 9.1 UK 672 9.6Poland 424 6.4 Poland 618 9.0 Poland 558 8.0Romania 263 3.9 Romania 298 4.4 Romania 308 4.4Belgium 194 2.9 Belgium 189 2.8 Belgium 174 2.5Czech Rep. 188 2.8 Hungary 152 2.2 Hungary 139 2.0
10 countries 5,589 *83.9 10 countries 5,695 83.4 10 countries 5,909 *84.3
EU (28) 6,662 100.0 EU (28) 6,830 100.0 EU (28) 7,010 100.0
* sum does not add because of rounding
TABLE 8
The ten leading European countries in egg production in 2000, 2010 and 2013(Source: FAO database)
2000 2010 2013 PRODUCTION SHARE PRODUCTION SHARE PRODUCTION SHARECOUNTRY (1,000) (%) COUNTRY (1,000) (%) COUNTRY (1,000) (%)
Russian Fed. 1,895 20.0 Russian Fed. 2,261 21.6 Russian Fed. 2,284 20.9France 1,038 10.9 Ukraine 974 9.3 Ukraine 1,121 10.3Germany 901 9.5 France 947 9.0 France 944 8.6Italy 686 7.2 Spain 840 8.0 Germany 893 8.2Netherlands 668 7.0 Italy 737 7.0 Italy 775 7.1Spain 658 6.9 Germany 664 6.3 Spain 743 6.8UK 569 6.0 Netherlands 531 6.0 Netherlands 703 6.4Ukraine 497 5.2 UK 619 5.9 UK 672 6.1Poland 424 4.5 Poland 618 5.9 Poland 558 5.1Romania 263 2.8 Romania 298 2.8 Romania 308 2.8
10 countries 7,296 *80.2 10 countries 8,589 *82.0 10 countries 9,001 82.3
Europe 9,480 100.0 Europe 10,472 100.0 Europe 10,933 100.0
* sum does not add because of rounding
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 2015
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The main results of the first part of this report
can be summarised as follows:
• Between 2000 and 2013, European countries
lost 2.4% of their contribution to global egg
production despite an increase of the total
production volume by almost 1.5 mill. t.
• The dynamics in the four European sub-
regions differed considerably.
• After several years of a stagnating or even
decreasing production, the egg industry in
Eastern Europe recovered considerably.
• Western Europe was the only sub-region with
a decrease of the production volume between
2000 and 2010, a result of the banning of
conventional cages from January 1st, 2010 in
Austria and Germany. Even in 2013, overall
production in this sub-region was still 53,000
lower than in 2000.
• In the other two sub-regions, the impacts of
the banning of conventional cages were much
lower. In Northern as well as in Southern Europe,
egg production increased by 19.9% and 9.8%
respectively.
• In all four sub-regions, the regional
concentration was very high. Only two or three
countries dominated egg production.
• The self-sufficiency rate regarding egg demand
differed considerably between EU member
countries. With 308%, the Netherlands had the
highest rate, Germany with only 71% the lowest.
The regional concentration in the four European
sub-regions differs considerably as can be seen
from a comparison of the data in Tables 10 to
13. In Eastern Europe, 80.3% of the overall
egg production is concentrated in only three
countries. In Western Europe, the three leading
countries shared 88.5% of the production volume
of this sub-region. Italy and Spain, ranked in
first and second place in Southern Europe,
contributing 77.2% to the egg production in this
sub-region. In Northern Europe, the United
Kingdom was in an absolutely dominant position
with a contribution of 58.0% to the overall
production volume.
For the three case studies in Part 3 it is important
to compare the self-sufficiency rate of selected
EU member countries. Table 14 reveals the
immense differences. While the Netherlands
had the highest rate with 308%, the domestic
production in Germany could only cover 71%
of the demand. So it is not surprising that very
close trade relations developed between these
two countries as will be shown later. During the
phase of influenza outbreaks in the Netherlands
in 2003, exports decreased considerably so
that Germany had to look for other exporting
countries. Spain and Poland became important
partners in Germany's egg imports, even though
this was for a limited number of years. This
is especially true for Spain. What impacts the
fluctuating exports had on the Spanish egg
industry will also be dealt with in Part 3.
100%
Neth
erla
nds
308%
Germ
any
71%
200% 300%
Self-sufficiency Lowest and highest in the EU 2013
400%
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 2015 11
TABLE 14
The self-sufficiency rate regarding egg consumptionin selected EU member countries in 2013(Source: MEG 2014,
p. 108)
COUNTRY SELF-SUFFICIENCY RATE (%)
Netherlands 308Poland 125Belgium 116Finland 112Spain 111Portugal 107Italy 100
Czech Rep. 85Austria 84Ireland 81Germany 71
EU (27) 102
TABLE 10
TABLE 11
TABLE 12
TABLE 13
The ranking of Eastern European countries in egg production in 2013(Source: FAO database)
The ranking of Western European countries in egg production in 2013(Source: FAO database)
The ranking of Southern European countries in egg production in 2013(Source: FAO database)
The ranking of Northern European countries in egg production in 2013(Source: FAO database)
COUNTRY PRODUCTION SHARE (1,000 T) (%)
Russian Fed. 2,284 46.3Ukraine 1,121 22.7Poland 558 11.3Romania 308 6.2Belarus 220 4.5Hungary 139 2.8Czech Rep. 124 2.5Slovakia 76 1.5Bulgaria 74 1.5Rep. of Moldova 35 0.7
Eastern Europe *4,938 100.0
* sum does not add because of rounding
COUNTRY PRODUCTION SHARE (1,000 T) (%)
France 944 32.9Germany 893 31.1Netherlands 703 24.5Belgium 174 6.1Austria 107 3.7Switzerland 49 1.7Luxembourg 2 0.0
Western Europe 2,871 100.0
COUNTRY PRODUCTION SHARE (1,000 T) (%)
UK 672 58.0Sweden 129 11.1Denmark 82 7.1Finland 67 5.8Norway 65 5.6Ireland 47 4.1Lithuania 43 3.7Latvia 40 3.5Estonia 12 1.0Iceland 3 0.2
Northern Europe *1,159 *100.0
* sum does not add because of rounding
COUNTRY PRODUCTION SHARE (1,000 T) (%)
Italy 775 39.4Spain 743 37.8Portugal 125 6.4Greece 103 5.2Serbia 88 4.5Croatia 36 1.8Albania 32 1.6 Bosnia & Herzegovina 21 1.1Slovenia 19 1.0Macedonia 12 0.6Malta 5 0.3Montenegro 4 0.2
Southern Europe *1,965 *100.0
* sum does not add because of rounding
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 201512
2PART The transformation of
housing systems and its impact on the laying hen population in the EU
Italy 17.3
Spain 12.7
Belgium 3.5
Portugal 2.7
Poland 2.3
Greece 1.8
Netherlands 1.6
France 1.5
Cyprus 0.1
FIGURE 6
Laying hens in conventional cages in EU member countries (June 2012); data in mill. hens(Source: EU Commission)
FIGURE 5
Share of housing systems in EU laying hen husbandry (2009)(Source: MEG 2010, p. 97)
The negotiations between EU member countries
finally led to the passing of Directive 1999/74/
EC on July 19th, 1999. But it is still necessary
to remember that from January 1st, 2012 all
conventional cages were prohibited in the EU
and that from January 1st, 2003 no conventional
cages could be installed in EU member countries.
It was also decided that member countries could
ban cages earlier, as Austria and Germany did by
prohibiting such cages from 2010 onwards.
In 2009, only one year before the banning of
conventional cages in Austria and Germany
and three years before the deadline for this
housing system in all member countries, 74.4%
or 253 mill. laying hens (Figure 5) were still
kept in conventional cages in the EU (25). From
the data in Table 15 one can easily see that the
highest share of conventional cages was to be
found in countries in Southern Europe, Eastern
Europe and the Baltic countries. Only in six
countries, the majority of laying hens were kept
in alternative housing systems with the lowest
percentage in Germany and Austria. This was
to be expected, however, because these two
countries had decided to ban conventional cages
from January 1st, 2010.
Even in June 2012, when only six months were
left to complete the transformation process
from conventional cages to alternative housing
systems, 43.4 million layers or about 8% of
the total layer flock in the EU was still kept
in conventional cages (Figure 6) according to
non-official data of the EU Commission. Of
these, 30 million layers were located in Spain
and Italy alone. It is not surprising that most of
the conventional cages were still to be found in
Southern Europe because these countries were
severely affected by the economic and financial
crisis which limited the capital availability for
investments in alternative housing systems.
In 2013, the EU published data on the status of
the transformation process. As can be seen from
Figure 7, no conventional cages were listed any
longer with the exception of Croatia. Obviously,
all member countries had been able to complete
the transformation process in due time, even
though this was challenged for some Eastern and
Southern European countries. Figure 8 shows
that in 2013 the share of permitted housing
systems according to Directive 1999/74/EC
differed considerably between the member
countries. In Austria, Germany, the Netherlands
and Sweden the barn system was preferred, free
range systems reached the highest percentage
in the United Kingdom and Ireland, organic
egg farms in Denmark, Sweden, Austria and
Germany. In most of the member countries,
enriched cages and colony nests dominated. In
thirteen countries 70% or more of the layers
were kept in this housing system in 2013, in 20
countries more than 50% of the layers.
FIGURE 7
Share of housing systems in EU laying hen husbandry (2013)
(Source: MEG 2014)
In several papers and special reports to the IEC, the author dealt with the impacts of Directive 1999/74/EC on egg production and egg trade and also with the advantages and disadvantages of the various housing systems so it will not be necessary to repeat the results of the preceding studies.
Conventional cages74.4%
Conventional cages 0.2%
Free range 16.0%
Enriched cages57.4%
Barn systems14.3%
Barn systems26.4%
Free range and organic systems
11.4%
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 2015 13
TABLE 15
Laying hens kept in conventional cages in EU member countries (2009)
(Source: MEG 2011, p.
103; FAO database)
COUNTRY LAYING HENS SHARE (%) IN LAYING HENS IN TOTAL CONVENTIONAL CONVENTIONAL (MILL.) CAGES CAGES (MILL.)
Portugal 6.51 98.0 6.38Lithuania 2.46 97.0 2.39Czech Republic 5.35 96.6 5.17Spain 44.03 95.8 42.20Greece 5.00 94.6 4.73Poland 33.91 92.3 31.30Slovakia 6.39 88.2 5.64Latvia 2.15 97.0 2.09Romania 6.59 83.7 5.52Hungary 5.53 82.4 4.56Italy 46.57 81.3 37.86Cyprus 0.49 79.4 0.39France 46.00 80.8 37.18Estonia 0.80 79.1 0.63Belgium 8.85 78.6 6.96Finland 4.09 77.9 3.19Slovenia 1.09 74.2 0.81Bulgaria 3.23 73.4 2.37Ireland 2.14 61.3 1.31Denmark 3.52 55.3 1.95United Kingdom 37.08 49.9 18.50Netherlands 31.61 43.2 13.66Sweden 5.90 39.0 2.30Germany 43.30 36.8 15.93Austria 4.97 4.8 0.24
Total 357.56 70.8 253.26
10
0
40
30
20
50
60
70
80
90
100%
LT
■ Conventional cages ■ Enriched cages ■ Barn systems ■ Free range
PT ES EE SK PL LV HR CZ EL RO HU CY FR FI IT BE IE DK BG SI UK SE NL DE AT LU
FIGURE 8
Share of housing systems in laying hen husbandry in EU member countries (2013) (Source: MEG 2014)
Total 380.5 million hens
■ Enriched cages
■ Barn systems
■ Free range
■ Conventional cages
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 201514
2PART
Table 16 documents the situation in December
2013 in detail. Of the 380.5 mill layers which
were kept in EU member countries, 219.1 mill.
or 57.6% were held in enriched cages, including
the 1.8 mill. in conventional cages in Croatia.
About 100 mill. layers or 26.4% were held in barn
systems, this includes aviaries, and 60.8 mill. or
16.0% in free range systems. The highest number
of laying hens in enriched cages were in Italy,
Spain, Poland and France. These four countries
shared 65% of the total number of laying hens in
this housing system. Germany, the Netherlands
and Italy contributed 70% to the number of
layers in barn systems; the United Kingdom,
Germany and France 69% to the layers kept in
free range systems.
The situation in European countries outside
the EU cannot be presented completely because
of missing data for some countries. Personal
information to the author on the preferred
housing systems in the Russian Federation,
Ukraine, Belarus and Moldova showed that in
these countries mainly conventional cages are still
used in market-oriented egg production.
The situation in Europe as of December 2013 is
shown in Figure 9. The spatial pattern reflects
the transformation of housing systems in the
EU member countries and the prevalence of
conventional cages in non-EU countries in
Eastern and Southeastern Europe. Switzerland
is an exception because the country does not
permit any cage systems in laying hen husbandry.
In Norway 35% of the 3.5 million laying hens are
housed in enriched cages, 62% in barn systems
and the rest in free range systems.
TABLE 16
Share of housing systems for laying hens in the EU (2013), data in 1,000 hens(Source: EUROSTAT,
MEG 2014)
EU MEMBER ENRICHED BARN FREE TOTALCOUNTRY CAGES* RANGE
Austria 165 4,072 1,705 5,962Belgium 5,116 2,262 1,064 8,442Bulgaria 2,109 1,770 116 3,995Croatia 1,757 271 25 2,053Cyprus 307 66 54 427Czech Republic 4,662 862 39 5,563Denmark 1,781 687 836 3,304Estonia 906 39 53 998Finland 2,826 1,137 188 4,151France 32,741 3,152 11,148 47,041Germany 5,639 31,539 12,725 49,903Greece 3,082 470 239 3,791Hungary 4,219 1,378 74 5,671Ireland 1,611 31 1,185 2,827Italy 40,952 17,008 2,352 60,312Latvia 2,284 333 48 2,665Lithuania 2,367 107 5 2,479Luxembourg 0 90 13 103Netherlands 5,103 20,940 6,881 32,924Poland 32,905 3,915 829 37,649Portugal 6,764 340 131 7,235Romania 4,987 1,522 80 6,589Slovakia 2,518 314 20 2,852Slovenia 687 757 23 1,467Spain 35,682 960 1,767 38,409Sweden 1,721 4,450 882 7,053United Kingdom 16,225 2,088 18,313 36,626
EU total 219,136 100,560 60,795 380,491
Share (%) 57.6 26.4 16.0 100.0
* includes conventional cages for Croatia
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 2015 15
0 1000 2000 km
■ Conventional cages ■ Enriched cages ■ Barn systems ■ Free range
Number of laying hens in millions
FIGURE 9
Housing systems in European laying hen husbandry (2013) (Source: EUROSTAT, FAO database, IEC rapporteurs, national data)
Housing systems
■ Enriched cages
■ Barn systems
■ Free range systems
■ Conventional cages
■ No data
EU MEMBER ENRICHED BARN FREE TOTALCOUNTRY CAGES* RANGE
Austria 165 4,072 1,705 5,962Belgium 5,116 2,262 1,064 8,442Bulgaria 2,109 1,770 116 3,995Croatia 1,757 271 25 2,053Cyprus 307 66 54 427Czech Republic 4,662 862 39 5,563Denmark 1,781 687 836 3,304Estonia 906 39 53 998Finland 2,826 1,137 188 4,151France 32,741 3,152 11,148 47,041Germany 5,639 31,539 12,725 49,903Greece 3,082 470 239 3,791Hungary 4,219 1,378 74 5,671Ireland 1,611 31 1,185 2,827Italy 40,952 17,008 2,352 60,312Latvia 2,284 333 48 2,665Lithuania 2,367 107 5 2,479Luxembourg 0 90 13 103Netherlands 5,103 20,940 6,881 32,924Poland 32,905 3,915 829 37,649Portugal 6,764 340 131 7,235Romania 4,987 1,522 80 6,589Slovakia 2,518 314 20 2,852Slovenia 687 757 23 1,467Spain 35,682 960 1,767 38,409Sweden 1,721 4,450 882 7,053United Kingdom 16,225 2,088 18,313 36,626
EU total 219,136 100,560 60,795 380,491
Share (%) 57.6 26.4 16.0 100.0
* includes conventional cages for Croatia
Countries
■ EU member countries
■ Non EU countries104
52
26
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 2015
2
16
PART
The transformation of the housing systems had
considerable impact on the number of laying
hens and on egg production (Table 17). Figure 10
and Table 18 document the development of layer
flocks in the EU (27) between January 2011 and
May 2015. It is obvious that the implementation
of Directive 1999/74/EC resulted in a strong
fluctuation of the hen population in the EU.
Between January 2011, when over 364 million
layers were kept, and January 2012, when the
transformation of housing systems entered the
critical phase, the number of layers decreased by
almost 33 million birds. Then it recovered and
almost reached its former volume in July 2012.
Between July and September 2013 a peak was
reached with 397 mill. hens. From September
2013, the number of layers decreased sharply and
fell to 359.9 mill. birds in May 2014. After a short
phase of increasing numbers, layer flocks began
to decline again and are expected to reach only
354.5 mill. birds in May 2015. The congruency
between egg prices and the development of the
number of laying hens is obvious. When, due
to the necessary transformation process, the
number of birds decreased in the last months of
2011, egg prices showed a continuous upward
trend and reached a peak in December 2012.
When, however, the flocks increased again,
prices reached an unforeseeable minimum in
September 2013 (Table 19). To stabilise the
market, less eggs were hatched and pullets placed.
Quite obviously, egg producers were pessimistic
towards the end of 2013 regarding the future
price development, for the downward trend of
the hen population in the EU continued until
May 2014. Lasting low prices for the producers
led to another reduction of hatching eggs and
chicken placements. It is expected that the
number of laying hens will stabilise around 350
mill. birds in the second quarter of 2015 and
hopefully also result in higher prices for the egg
producers.
The main results of Part 2 can be summarised as
follows:
• In July 1999, the EU Commission passed
Directive 1999/74/EC which laid down
minimum standards for the protection of laying
hens.
• This directive prohibited conventional cages
from 2012 and the implementation of such cages
from 2003.
• In 2009, 70.8% of all laying hens in the EU
were still kept in conventional cages, especially in
member countries in Southern Europe, Eastern
Europe and in the Baltic states.
• In December 2012, the EU Commission
declared that Directive 1999/74/EC had
been successfully implemented in all member
countries.
• In 2013, 219 mill. laying hens or 57.6% of the
total EU hen population was kept in enriched
cages, 26.4% in barn systems and 16.0% in free
range systems.
• The transformation from conventional cages
to alternative housing systems had far reaching
impacts on the number of laying hens, egg
production and on the price development for eggs
in several countries.
OF LAYERS DECREASED BY ALMOST 33 MILLION BIRDS.
WHEN THE TRANSFORMATION OF HOUSING SYSTEMS
ENTERED THE CRITICAL PHASE, THE NUMBER
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 2015 17
300
320
340
360
380
400
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Janu
ary
Num
ber o
f lay
ing
hens
in m
illion
s
Febr
uary
Mar
ch
April
May
June
July
Augu
st
Sept
embe
r
Octo
ber
Nove
mbe
r
Dece
mbe
r
FIGURE 10
Development of potential layer flocks in the EU (28) between January 2011 and May 2015 (Source: EMA 2/2015)
TABLE 17
TABLE 18
The development of egg production in selected EU member countriesbetween 2010 and 2013, data in 1,000 t(Source: MEG 2011 and
2014)
The development of the laying hen flocks in the EU between January 2011 and May 2015(Source: EMA 12/2013,
EMA 2/2015)
COUNTRY 2010 2011 2012 2013
France 954 873 856 918Spain 918 937 862 900Germany 656 774 825 847UK 709 703 671 711Netherlands 692 710 690 704Italy 745 723 698 691
DATE NUMBER OF INDEX LAYING HENS (1/11 = 10 (1,000)
1/11 364.1 1007/11 352.9 9712/11 334.1 921/12 357.3 987/12 363.3 10012/12 381.7 1051/13 381.0 1057/13 395.1 10812/13 379.7 1041/14 370.5 1025/14 359.9 999/14 369.7 10212/14 360.3 991/15 353.7 975/15* 354.5 97* projected
TABLE 19
The development of shell egg prices in the Netherlands and Germany betweenJanuary 2011 and December 2014(Source: EMA 12/2014)
THE NETHERLANDS GERMANY DATE € €-CENTS PER EGG* DATE €-CENTS PER EGG**
1/11 3.38 1/11 4.177/11 4.14 7/11 5.1812/11 6.16 12/11 7.653/12 9.98 3/12 12.807/12 6.39 7/12 8.3512/12 7.68 12/12 9.043/13 5.62 3/13 5.959/13 4.74 9/13 5.5012/13 5.07 12/13 6.103/14 5.34 3/14 6.007/14 4.74 7/14 5.7512/14 5.78 12/14 7.64
* size class M, barn system; producers price ** size class M, enriched cage; wholesale price
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 2015
3
18
PART The dynamics of egg production and egg trade in Germany, Spain and the Netherlands – impacts of the banning of conventional cages
The third part of this report will deal with the impacts which the banning of conventional cages and the necessary transformation to alternative housing systems had on the development of layer flocks, egg production and egg trade. As case studies, Germany, Spain and the Netherlands were chosen. The implementation of Directive 1999/74/EC severely affected the egg industries in these countries. Germany had to begin the transformation to alternative housing systems two years earlier than most of the other member countries. It will be shown that this led to a drastic reduction of the number of laying hens and of egg production and a sharp increase of shell egg imports. The Netherlands and Spain stepped in and expanded their exports considerably. However, when Germany completed the transformation and the egg industry recovered faster than expected, imports fell considerably in only two years and led to a surplus of eggs in Spain and the Netherlands. Both countries had to look for alternative markets or were forced to reduce their production. The main goal of the case studies is to show the close interdependence of the dynamics in the egg industries of these three countries.
Germany – struck by the earlier banning of
conventional cages
The German government utilised the option in
Directive 1999/74/EC to ban conventional cages
earlier than 2012. It was decided that this housing
system would be prohibited from January 1st,
2010. The decision had far reaching impacts
on the development of the number of laying
hens, egg production and imports of shell eggs
and also affected the egg industries in other EU
member countries because of the dominant role
of Germany in shell egg imports.
Compared to other branches of animal
production, the value of egg sales at farm level
is comparatively low in Germany as can be seen
from Table 20. In 2013, egg sales contributed
only 5% to the total value of animal products
sold whilst poultry meat shared 13.7%. The
dominance of pork and beef sales is obvious.
Nevertheless, the egg industry is an important
economic factor in the centres of the poultry
industry in the state of Lower Saxony. So it is not
surprising that this state was severely struck by
the earlier banning of conventional cages.
Exceptional dynamics in the development of the
laying hen population
When it became obvious to German egg farmers
that they would have to give up conventional
cages by 2010, they started to implement
alternative housing systems. In 2007, 67.6%
of the 41.4 mill. laying hens were still kept in
conventional cages, two years later the share
was down to 36.8% (see Table 15). During these
years a special housing system was developed in
Germany, the so called ‘Kleingruppenhaltung’
or colony nest.3 It was assumed that in the
future this would be the main housing
system in Germany. But in the middle of the
transformation process, the leading food retailers
decided to no longer list eggs printed with a “3”
which indicates cage systems. They argued that
the consumer could not distinguish between eggs
produced in conventional cages and enriched
cages according to Directive 1999/74/EC. As it
would no longer be possible for the egg producers
to sell large amounts of eggs from the colony nest
system, they had to change their strategy. Most of
them switched to barn system (see Table 16 and
Figure 8). To get permission to build new farms
with barn systems took some time, and so the
number of large egg farms (> 3,000 places) and of
laying hens fell dramatically between 2000 and
2010 (Table 21 and Figure 11).
3For details see the Special Report for the 2015 Business Conference
in Lisbon: Housing Systems in Laying Hen Husbandry.
Germany
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 2015 19
FIGURE 11
Development of the number of layer farms (> 3,000 places) and the number of laying hens in Germany between 2000 and 2013 (Source: MEG 2003, 2008, 2011, 2014)
55000
50000
45000
40000
35000
30000
25000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Num
ber o
f hen
s in
1,00
0s
Num
ber o
f lay
er fa
rms (
>3,
000
plac
es)
53,3
00
49,4
00
48,6
00
45,5
00
44,3
00
43,5
00
43,2
00
42,4
00
41,4
00
41,4
00
41,3
00
36,7
00
33,4
00
39,2
00
1,3241,268
1,208
1,326
1,1961,246 1,274
1,239 1,2141,133 1,114
1,1981,245
1,333
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
TABLE 20
The role of the egg industry in Germany's animal production (2013)*
(Source: DESTATIS)
PRODUCT VALUE OF SHARE (%) OF PRODUCTION ANIMAL (MILL. €) PRODUCTION
Pork 5,701 43.6Beef and veal 4,165 31.9Poultry meat 1,792 13.7Eggs 651 5.0Sheep meat 210 1.6Others 550 4.2
Total 13,069 100.0* without milk and dairy products
TABLE 21
The development of the number of egg farms and of laying hens in Germany between 2000 and 2013
(Source: ZMP 2003,
2008; MEG 2011, 2014)
NUMBER INDEX TOTAL INDEX IN FARMS INDEX (2000 = 100) (2000 = 100) 3,000 PLACES (2000 = 100)
2000 1,324 100.0 53,300 100.0 35,211 100.02001 1,326 100.1 49,400 92.7 35,008 99.42003 1,208 91.2 45,500 85.4 32,330 91.82005 1,246 94.1 43,500 81.6 32,038 91.02007 1,239 93.6 41,400 77.7 32,326 91.82008 1,214 91.7 41,300 77.5 32,191 91.42009 1,133 85.6 36,700 68.9 29,056 82.52010 1,114 84.1 33,400 62.7 27,156 77.12011 1,198 90.5 39,200 73,5 32,476 92.22012 1,245 94.0 41,400 77.7 35,510 100.82013 1,333 100.7 43,200 81.1 37,350 106.1
YEAR EGG FARMS >3,000 PLACES LAYING HENS (1,000)
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 201520
A closer look at the data in Table 21 and the
graphs in Figure 11 shows the strong fluctuation
in the number of laying hens. Between 2000 and
2002, the number of laying hens decreased from
53.3 mill. to 48.6 mill. or 8.8%. This trend is also
a result of the increasing laying rate (see Table 23)
and a decreasing per capita consumption from
223 to 217 eggs. The sharp decrease in 2003 to
only 44.5 mill. birds was a consequence of the
influenza outbreaks in the Netherlands. In the
following years, the laying hen flocks further
decreased and reached 41.4 mill. hens in 2007.
The transformation to alternative housing
systems began in 2008. Between 2008 and
2010, 100 farms with > 3,000 places stopped
production, at least for a few years, and the
number of laying hens fell to 33.4 mill. or by
almost 20%. But the egg industry recovered
faster than expected. In 2012, the same number
of hens as in 2007 was once again reached and
by 2013, it was even surpassed by 1.8 mill. In
parallel, the number of egg farms with > 3,000
places climbed from 1,114 to 1,333 or by 19.7%.
The growing per capita consumption from 210
eggs in 2009 to 218 in 2013 in combination with
an increase of the laying rate to 296 eggs in 2012
resulted in a constant growth of egg production.
A comparison of the dynamics of the total hen
population with that in larger farms (Table 21)
reveals that smaller farms were more severely
affected by the enforced banning of conventional
cages. This is reflected in the sharp decrease of
the total number of egg farms from 72,883 in
2007 to only 56,286 in 2013. While only 94
farms with > 3,000 places closed or stopped
egg production, 16,597 smaller farms or 22.8%
decided to give up because of the necessary
investments in new housing systems and low egg
prices (see Table 19).
The regional concentration of laying hen flocks
and of egg production in Germany was and is
very high. Lower Saxony is the dominant centre
as can be easily seen from Figure 12. In 2013,
34.9% of the egg farms, 36.4% of the laying hens
and 37.3% of the German egg production were
located in this state.
Table 22 documents the dynamics of the laying
hen population between 2007 and 2013 for
the four leading states. Between 2007, one year
before the transformation of the housing systems
began, and 2013, the number of laying hens in
Lower Saxony decreased by 36.4%, in North
Rhine Westphalia by only 5.1%, in Bavaria by
23.0% and in Saxony by 27.7%. In 2013, the
number of laying hens in Lower Saxony and
North Rhine Westphalia was higher than before
the implementation of alternative systems. In
North Rhine Westphalia, the laying hen flocks
were 1 mill. birds higher. In contrast, Bavaria
and Saxony had not returned to the previous
numbers. Quite obviously, several egg farms
used the chance to expand their capacities when
replacing the old conventional cages.
Strong fluctuations in egg production
The sharp reduction of the number of laying
hens between 2008 and 2010 and the recovery
in the following years affected imports as well as
production.
It was mentioned before that the decrease in
the hen population in the early years of the
past decade was closely related to the influenza
outbreaks in the Netherlands. This also affected
egg production as can be seen from the data
in Table 23. The considerable downward
trend between 2007 and 2010 is obvious; the
production volume fell by almost 2 billion eggs or
15.7%. Despite the fast recovery, the production
volume in 2013 was still 5.1% lower than in 2000.
A decrease of the average laying rate from 296
3PART
eggs in 2012 to 292 eggs in 2013 is one reason,
another, the lasting low prices. The lower average
laying rate is a result of the growing number
of laying hens in barn and free range as well as
organic housing systems.
At state level, remarkable differences can be
observed (Table 22). In Lower Saxony and in
Saxony, egg production decreased by 25.6% and
30.0% respectively between 2007 and 2010.
In contrast, the production volume increased
by 6.3% in Bavaria and by 2.5% in North Rhine
Westphalia. These two states had and have a
higher number of smaller egg farms which were
able to complete the transformation to alternative
housing systems faster than the large farms of the
vertically integrated agribusiness companies in
Lower Saxony and Saxony. While egg production
in Saxony was still 7.7% lower in 2013 than in
2007, the production volume in North Rhine
Westphalia and Bavaria was 42.8% and 30.9%
higher. While this reflects the development of the
number of egg farms in North Rhine Westphalia,
it is surprising at first sight for Bavaria as in this
state the number of laying hens in 2013 was 6.4%
lower than in 2007. Obviously, the transfer to
larger farms and an intensified production with
higher laying rates per hen made this possible.
Germany
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 2015 21
16
0 km 100 200
84
No data
16
0 km 100 200
84
No data
16
0 km 100 200
84
No data
FIGURE 12
Laying hens in farms with > 3,000 places in Germany (2013) (Source: MEG 2014)
TABLE 22
The development of the number of laying hens* in selected German states between 2007 and 2013; data in 1,000 hens(Source: ZMP 2008; MEG
2011, 2014)
STATE 2007 2008 2010 2013 CHANGE (%)
Lower Saxony 13,388 10,962 8,515 13,604 +1.6North Rhine Westphalia 3,258 2,976 3,093 4,265 +30.9Bavaria 3,760 2,876 2,894 3,521 -6.4Saxony 3,233 3,325 2,336 3,090 -4.4
4 states 23,639 20,139 16,838 24,480 +3.6
Share (%) of Germany's 58.9 62.6 62.0 65.5 -hen population * in farms with > 3,000 places
TABLE 23
The development of German egg production between 2000 and 2013(Source: ZMP 2003,
2008; MEG 2011, 2014)
YEAR EGG PRODUCTION INDEX LAYING RATE (MILL. PIECES) (2000 = 100) (EGG PER HEN AND YEAR)
2000 14,400 100.0 2762002 14,144 98.2 2742003 13,186 91.6 2772005 12,709 88.3 2782007 12,553 87.2 2852008 12,617 87.6 2872009 11,171 77.6 2812010 10,586 73.5 2922011 12,502 86.8 2952012 13,313 92.5 2962013 13,665 94.9 292
Laying Hens (mill.)in farms >3,000 places
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 2015
3
22
PART
The rising per capita consumption of eggs
resulted in a stable domestic consumption of eggs
and led to a remarkable increase in egg imports.
Figure 13 documents the dynamics of the self-
sufficiency rate and egg imports between 2000
and 2013. The reduction of the number of laying
hens and the decreasing production volume
caused a lower self-sufficiency rate in the early
years of the past decade. Despite the recovery
of the production volume between 2004 and
2007, the self-sufficiency rate further decreased
due to the rising per capita consumption and
resulted in higher imports. When, during the
transformation process, the number of laying
hens decreased by 7.9 million birds, the self-
sufficiency rate dropped to just 54.9% in 2010.
To meet the domestic demand, 8.3 billion eggs
had to be imported. Parallel to the growing layer
flocks and egg production, the self-sufficiency
rate climbed to 71.0% again within only three
years causing the import volume drop to 5.9
billion eggs, 1.2 billion less than in 2008.
Dynamics in egg trade and its impacts on the
egg industry in the main countries of origin of
Germany's egg imports
What impacts did this dynamic have on the trade
flows of shell eggs?
The Netherlands has been the leading egg
exporting country for decades and Germany the
number one egg importing country. Between
these two adjacent countries close trade relations
regarding egg trade have developed over the years.
Germany was and is the leading market for the
Dutch egg surplus and The Netherlands was and
is the main country of origin for Germany's egg
imports. This situation did not change during
the considerable increase of egg imports between
2008 and 2010. The Dutch egg industry was not
able to deliver all requested eggs, so Germany had
to look to other countries with a considerable egg
surplus (see Table 14).
Table 24 documents the changes in Germany's
egg imports between 2008 and 2013. Between
2008 and 2010, the import volume increased by
almost 2.2 billion eggs and then decreased again
by 2.4 billion eggs until 2013. The three most
important questions are: Which countries could
benefit from the fast and sharp increase? Which
countries were affected by the fast and drastic
decrease of the import volume? What impacts
did the dynamics in Germany's egg imports have
on the countries which benefitted or suffered
from the fluctuating import volume? The
answers to these questions will be given partly in
this case study but also in the case studies which
deal with The Netherlands and Spain.
Table 25 shows that between 2008 and 2010
Dutch exports to Germany grew by 1.2 billion
eggs or 26.8%, followed by imports from Poland
(+242 mill. or 55.7%) and Spain (+220 mill. or
90.5%). These three countries had the highest
benefit from the rising German demand.
Between 2010 and 2013, the export volume of
The Netherlands to Germany fell by almost 1.5
billon eggs or 25.0%, that of Spain by 317 mill.
eggs or 68.5% and that of France by 179 mill. eggs
or 81.0%. In contrast, Poland was able to secure
its position as one of the major countries of origin
for Germany's imports. The export volume grew
by 57 mill. eggs or 8.4%. The three countries
which were most affected by the falling German
imports were The Netherlands, Spain and France.
It can be expected that the development of the
egg industries in The Netherlands and Spain will
reflect the sharp rise and decline of the German
import volume within only six years. That is
why these two countries were chosen for the
additional case studies.
The main results of the first case study can be
summarised as follows:
• Germany banned conventional cages in 2010,
two years earlier than most of the other EU
member countries.
• This earlier date had far reaching impacts on
the development of the number of laying hens, of
egg production and of egg imports.
• Within only six years, between 2008 and 2013,
the number of laying hens fell from 41.3 mill.
in 2008 to only 33.4 mill. in 2010 and increased
once again to 43.2 mill. in 2013.
• This dynamic is reflected in the volume of egg
production which decreased from 12.6 billion in
2008 to only 10.6 billion in 2010 and then rose
again to 13.7 billion in 2013.
• As a result of this situation, egg imports grew
from 6.1 billion in 2008 to 8.3 billion in 2010
and then fell again to 5.9 bill. in 2013.
• These ups and downs in the export volumes
had far reaching impacts on the egg industries in
the leading countries of origin of Germany's egg
imports.
Germany
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 2015 23
TABLE 24
TABLE 25
The development of egg production* in selected German states between 2007 and 2013; data in 1,000 hens(Source: ZMP 2008; MEG
2011, 2014)
The development of Germany's shell egg imports between 2008 and 2013; data in mill. pieces(Source: ZMP2008; MEG
2011, 2014)
STATE 2007 2008 2010 2013 CHANGE (%)
Lower Saxony 3,431 3,372 2,554 4,093 +19.3North Rhine Westphalia 836 839 857 1,194 +42.8Bavaria 795 811 845 1,041 +30.9Saxony 1,024 1,037 717 945 -7.7
4 states 6,086 6,059 4,973 7,273 +19.5
Share (%) of Germany's 48.5 48.0 47.0 53.2 -egg production * in farms with > 3,000 places
COUNTRY OF ORIGIN 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 CHANGE (%)
Netherlands 4,586 5,777 5,814 4,816 4,528 4,359 -5.0Poland 436 593 679 892 1,005 736 +68.8Belgium/Lux. 235 346 431 243 371 301 +28.1Spain 243 357 463 183 101 146 -40.0Czech Republic 71 56 59 54 26 59 -16.9France 154 159 221 56 35 42 -72.3Lithuania 56 18 9 5 4 11 -80.4Others 312 203 595 419 249 499 +59.9
Total 6,093 7,509 8,271 6,668 6,319 5,883 -3.4
FIGURE 13
Development of the self-sufficiency rate for shell eggs for consumption and of egg imports in Germany between 2000 and 2013 (Source: MEG 2003, 2008, 2011, 2014)
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Impo
rt of
eggs
(in
billi
on p
iece
s)
Self-
suffi
cienc
y rat
e (in
%)
4.4 4.
7
4.6 4.
9 5.3 5.
7 5.9
6.0 6.
1
7.5
8.3
6.7
6.3
5.9
1,333
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
50
55
60
65
70
80
7574.0
67.4
74.0
71.0 71.0 71.0
68.567.8
68.6
59.4
54.9
66.1
68.2
71.0
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 2015
3
24
PART
The Netherlands – leading in egg exports
The Netherlands play an exceptional role
in European poultry trade. In 2013, they
contributed 41.4% to the shell egg exports of the
EU and 23.6% to the poultry meat exports. They
have been the leading egg exporting country for
decades and contributed over 20% to the global
export volume.
The main goals of this case study are to document
the recovery of egg production and egg trade after
the influenza outbreaks in 2003 and to analyse
the dynamics of the egg trade between Germany
and the Netherlands between 2000 and 2013.
The role of the poultry industry in Dutch
agriculture
Despite the exceptional position of the
Netherlands in egg exports, the contribution of
this sector to the overall agricultural production
is remarkably low. In 2012 (more recent data
is not available) poultry meat and eggs shared
only 4.9% of the total value of agricultural
production. This was far behind the value of the
dairy industry (15.7%) and that of swine and pork
production (11.1%).
Regarding the value of exported poultry
products, the contribution of the poultry
industry is much higher. In 2012, the value of all
animal products exported by the Netherlands
was as high as 14.6 billion euros. To this, the
dairy industry contributed 5.2 billion euros,
pork 3.2 billion euros, poultry meat 2.6 billion
euros and eggs 900 mill. euros. Together, poultry
products shared 24.0% of the value of exported
animal products while their contribution to the
production value was only 12.5%. This data alone
shows the important role which the poultry
industry plays in Dutch exports of animal
products.
Dynamics and patterns of laying hen husbandry
and egg production
The number of egg farms decreased considerably
between 2000 and 2014 as can be seen from
Table 26. The influenza outbreaks in 2003
resulted in a sharp decrease, followed by a
short phase of recovery until 2006. From then
on, a new phase of continuous reduction can
be observed. This was the consequence of
continuing low egg prices and the fast reduction
of egg exports to Germany.
The impacts of the influenza outbreaks on
the number of egg farms are reflected in the
dynamics of the laying hen population (Table
27). Between 2000 and 2003, the laying
hen population fell by 31%. The banning of
conventional cages in Germany from January
1st, 2010 resulted in a massive decrease of the
country’s self-sufficiency rate to only 55% and
necessitated imports of 8.3 billion shell eggs,
to which The Netherlands contributed 5.8
billion or 69.9%. Dutch egg farmers reacted
with a fast expansion of the layer flocks. The
decision of the German food retailers to no
longer list eggs printed with a “3” (cage eggs) led
to the preference of the barn system because
eggs from this housing system could not be
produced in Germany in the requested volume.
Egg farmers in Germany had assumed that the
Kleingruppenhaltung (colony nest) would be the
housing system of the future. The German egg
industry recovered much faster than expected
however, and reached a self-sufficiency rate
of 71% in 2013. A surplus of barn eggs on the
EU market and continuing low prices forced
the farmers to cut back hatching and pullet
placements. Considerably higher placements in
2014 caused another phase of low egg prices in
mid-2014 at farm gate and considerable financial
losses of the egg farmers (see Table 19).
The influenza outbreaks in 2003 caused a
considerable decline of the number of egg
farms and of the laying hen population. As can
be seen from Table 28, egg production fell by
25% and it took about 3 years to recover from
this blow. Despite the lower number of laying
hens, the production volume increased in the
following years because of higher laying rates.
The contribution of 12.2% in 2000 to EU egg
production could not be reached again, however,
because of the growing production volumes
in several other EU member countries. This
added to the lasting phase of low egg prices
and considerable financial losses of the egg
industry. The high self-sufficiency rate of 308%
in 2013 forced the Dutch egg farmers to export
despite the perspective of financial losses. One
possible way out of the critical situation was
the exploration of new markets outside the EU,
especially in Africa and Asia, as will be shown
later.
High regional concentration in the egg industry
Egg farms are concentrated in the four eastern
provinces of Gelderland, Noord-Brabant,
Limburg and Overijssel (Figure 14). The location
far from the urban agglomeration of Randstadt
and close to the important German market
is obvious. The regional concentration of egg
farms has a parallel in the spatial distribution
of the layer flocks (Table 29, Figure 15). In 2014,
almost two thirds of the total Dutch laying
hen population was concentrated in the three
provinces Gelderland, Limburg and Noord-
Branbant. A comparison of the average flock size
in the five leading provinces reveals considerable
differences. The highest average shows Limburg
with 68,766 hens per farm, the lowest, Overijssel
with only 25,117.
The Netherlands
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 2015 25
TABLE 26
TABLE 27
TABLE 28
TABLE 29
The development of egg farms in the Netherlands between2000 and 2014
The development of the number of laying hens in the Netherlands between 2000 and 2014
The development of the Dutch shell egg production between 2000 and 2013
(Source: ZMP 2003 and
2008; MEG 2014)
The five leading provinces with the highest number of laying hens in the Netherlands in 2014 and the average size of the flocks
YEAR EGG FARMS INDEX (2000 = 100)
2000 2,290 100.02003 1,360 59.42006 1,610 70.32010 1,440 62.92013 1,220 53.32014 1,170 51.1
YEAR LAYING HENS INDEX (1,000) (2000 = 100)
2000 44,036 100.02003 30,498 69.32006 41,642 94.62010 47,907 108.82013 44,816 101.82014 46,570 105.8
YEAR PRODUCTION INDEX SHARE (%) OF SELF-SUFFICIENCY (1,000 T) (2000 = 100) EU PRODUCTION RATE (%)
2000 614 100.0 12.2 2282003 463 75.4 6.5 1802006 615 100.2 8.7 2212009 665 108.3 9.6 3132012 690 112.4 10.0 3072013 704 114.7 9.9 308
PROVINCE LAYING HENS SHARE (%) AVERAGE FLOCK (1,000) SIZE (HENS)
Gelderland 11,146 23.9 29,802Limburg 10,590 22.7 68,766Noord-Brabant 8,905 19.1 49,472Overijssel 3,014 6.5 25,117Drenthe 1,621 3.5 28,439
5 provinces 35,276 75.7 39,860
Netherlands 46,570 100.0 39,803
37418794
0 km 40 80
37418794
0 km 40 80
37418794
0 km 40 80
FIGURE 14
FIGURE 15
Farms with laying hens in the Netherlands (2014)(Source: Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek)
Number of laying hens in the provinces of the Netherlands (2014)(Source: Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek)
12,835
6,4183,209
0 km 40 80
12,835
6,4183,209
0 km 40 80
12,835
6,4183,209
0 km 40 80
(Source: Cantraal Bureau voor de Statistiek)
(Source: Cantraal Bureau voor de Statistiek)
Farms with laying hens Number of laying hensin 1,000
(Source: Cantraal Bureau voor de Statistiek)
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 201526
Dynamics and patterns of egg trade
The Dutch foreign trade benefitted from the
high egg surplus and the leading role in global
egg exports in phases of high egg prices but
it became a burden when the markets were
saturated and the prices low. A special focus of
the following analysis is laid on the bilateral trade
with Germany, the most important country of
destination. Between these two countries close
trade relations have developed over the past
decades.
Table 30 documents the sharp decrease of shell
egg exports between 2000 and 2003, resulting
from the influenza outbreaks. The export volume
fell by 116,600 t or 36.5%. It took several years
before the volume of the year 2000 was reached
again. From 2006 on, egg exports increased
continuously, but seem to have reached a plateau
in 2013. Because of lower imports, the export
surplus also grew.
A closer look at the trade flows reveals
immediately that Germany is by far the most
important country of destination for the Dutch
exports (Table 31). Germany's share of the total
export volume increased from 64% in 2000 to
79% in 2010 and fell back to 71% in 2013. The
main steering factor behind this fluctuation
was the early banning of conventional cages in
Germany, as was already mentioned.
On the one hand, the Dutch egg industry was
and is highly dependent on its exports to the
neighbour country; on the other side, Germany
also depends on imports from the Netherlands
to meet the domestic demand. Table 32 shows
that at the beginning of the past decade Germany
was extremely dependent on imports from
the Netherlands. Because of the impacts of
the influenza outbreaks and the lower export
volumes, Germany had to look for other trade
partners. For a few years, Spain, Poland and
France could benefit from the higher German
import volume (see Table 25). The decrease of
German imports after the completion of the
transformation process to alternative housing
systems forced the Dutch egg farmers to look for
new countries of destination for their exports.
Table 33 shows that in 2013 Angola and the
United Arab Emirates were listed among the
ten leading countries with a combined share of
2.7% of the overall export value. But the data also
shows the exceptional importance of Germany as
the leading importer for the Dutch egg industry
and the high dependence on this market.
3PART
The main results of the second case study can be
summarised as follows:
• Since 2000, a fast consolidation process
in the Dutch egg industry can be observed.
The influenza outbreaks in 2003 and the
implementation of alternative housing systems
after the banning of conventional cages were the
main steering factors behind this process.
• The influenza outbreaks caused a considerable
decrease of the laying hen flocks, of the
production volume and of egg exports. In the
meantime, the industry has recovered from this
blow.
• The high self-sufficiency rate for shell eggs is on
the one hand a benefit for the Dutch egg industry
but can also become a burden in phases of an
oversupply and lasting low egg prices.
• Over the past decades, close trade relations
have developed between the Netherlands and
Germany. Both countries are to a very high
degree dependent on the possibility to export to
the neighbour country and to import from the
neighbour country.
The Netherlands
IS ON ONE HAND A BENEFIT FOR THE DUTCH EGG INDUSTRY BUT CAN ALSO BECOME A BURDEN
HIGH SELF-SUFFICIENCY FOR SHELL EGGS
€ € €
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 2015 27
TABLE 30
The development of the Dutch exports and imports of shell eggs for consumptionbetween 2000 and 2013; data in t
(Source: Cantraal Bureau voor de Statistiek)
YEAR EXPORTS IMPORTS EXPORT SURPLUS
2000 319,752 54,782 264,9702003 203,083 105,104 97,9792006 293,800 100,600 193,2002009 375,960 131,875 244,0852012 393,000 127,938 265,0622013 393,900 125,000 268,800
Increase (%) 23.2 128.2 1.5
TABLE 31
TABLE 32
TABLE 33
The leading countries of destination for Dutch shell eggs for consumptionexports in 2000, 2005, 2010 and 2012; data in mill. pieces
(Source: PVE 2013,
p. 50)
The development of the German shell eggs for consumption imports from the Netherlands between 2000 and 2013; data in mill. pieces
(Source: ZMP 2003,
2008; MEG 2014)
The ten leading countries of destination for Dutch shell egg exports in 2013
COUNTRY OFDESTINATION 2000 2005 2010 2012
Germany 4,067 4,275 5,553 4,661Belgium 215 217 337 302France 373 148 119 230Switzerland 120 177 197 197United Kingdom 386 211 92 164Others 1,164 672 722 1,011
Total 6,325 5,700 7,020 6,565
YEAR IMPORTS SHARE (%) OF TOTAL IMPORTS
2000 3,993 91.62003 3,177 65.12006 3,834 77.32009 5,771 76.92010 5,814 70.32011 4,816 72.22012 4,528 71.62013 4,359 73.9
COUNTRY OF EXPORT VALUE SHARE (%) OFDESTINATION (1,000 €) TOTAL EXPORTS
Germany 422,050 69.0Belgium 40,351 6.6Italy 33,257 5.4Switzerland 27,061 4.4Poland 18,213 3.0France 12,380 2.0Angola 10,045 1.6Denmark 6,752 1.1United Kingdom 6,683 1.1United Arab Em. 6,442 1.1
10 countries 583,234 *95.4
Total 611,387 100.0* sum does not add because of rounding
(Source: Cantraal Bureau voor de Statistiek)
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 201528
Spain – egg sector hit by the financial and
economic crisis
Spain is one of the leading countries in EU egg
and poultry meat production. In 2013, Spain
contributed 12.7% to the shell egg production of
the EU (28), 10.2% to broiler meat production
and 9.0% to turkey meat production. After
several years of a remarkable growth (Windhorst
2009), the Spanish poultry industry was
confronted with a critical economic situation
because of the lasting financial and economic
crisis. In this third case study the impacts of this
crisis on egg production and egg trade will be
analysed in detail. A focus is laid on the impacts
of the fluctuating egg imports by Germany on the
Spanish egg industry.
The poultry industry – an important branch of
Spain's agriculture
The poultry industry is an important sector of
Spanish agriculture. Table 34 shows that the
contribution of poultry meat production to the
value of agricultural production increased from
4.6% in 2008 to 5.8% in 2012, but lost 0.5%
by 2013 due to the economic crisis. The value
of egg production was considerably lower and
fluctuated considerably in the past years. While
the egg industry shared 2.9% of the overall value
of agricultural production in 2009 and 2012, the
share dropped to only 1.8% in 2013. Between
2012 and 2013, the value of egg production fell
by 420 mill. euros. This shows impacts of the
recent economic crisis which severely hit the egg
farmers.
Sharp decrease of laying hen flocks and egg
production
The lasting financial and economic crisis in Spain
is reflected in the decrease of the number of
layer farms, the laying hen population and of egg
production. Between 2007 and 2013, the number
of layer farms dropped from 1,796 to only 1,097
or by 39.0%. The laying hen flock decreased from
51.1 mill. in 2010 to only 38.4 mill. layers in 2013
or by 24.9% (Table 35). Despite this decrease,
the average flock size grew from 28,115 birds
(2007) to 35,013 birds (2013), an indicator of the
continuous sectoral concentration. Obviously,
smaller egg farms were not able to meet the
economic challenges and stepped out. The spatial
distribution of the laying hens in 2013 is shown
in Figure 16.
A closer look at the steering factors behind the
increase of the laying hen population between
2008 and 2010 and the drastic decrease in
the following years leads to the following
explanation.
The considerable increase of the laying hen
population until 2010 was closely related to
the earlier banning of conventional cages in
Germany. It was already documented that
this resulted in a fast increase of egg imports
by Germany to 8.3 billion eggs (see Table 25).
Countries with a high egg surplus, such as
the Netherlands, Poland and Spain, were able
to meet the growing demand in Germany.
When, however, the transformation process to
alternative housing systems in Germany was
completed and the self-sufficiency rate reached
71% again in 2013, imports fell sharply. This
also hit Spain. The considerable surplus of
eggs led to lasting low prices and high financial
losses of the egg farmers. This critical situation
occurred parallel to the necessary investments
in alternative housing systems. As the Spanish
egg farmers were permitted to use their old
housing systems parallel to the new ones, the
laying hen population remained fairly high in
2011, but dropped sharply in the following years.
An additional negative impact was the fact that
the laying hen population in the EU reached a
maximum in mid-2013 (see Table 3 and Figure
10). Obviously, many egg farmers used the
transformation to alternative housing systems
to increase their laying hen flocks. In Spain,
the economic crisis with decreasing average
incomes led to a considerable reduction of the
per capita consumption from 239 eggs in 2012
to only 206 eggs in 2013. This drastic decrease
was a consequence of the fact that the volume
of eggs for further processing fell by 35.8%. The
demand for products with a high content of eggs
decreased considerably. The egg industry tried to
compensate this by higher exports.
Table 36 shows that the dynamics in the
laying hen population were reflected in the
development of egg production. A maximum
was reached with 13.3 billion eggs in 2010;
then, the production volume fell considerably
by 2.5 billion eggs or 19.7% until 2013, when the
production volume dropped below 11 billion
eggs.
3PART
Spain
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 2015 29
TABLE 34
The development of the contribution of the Spanish poultry industry to the value of agricultural production between 2008 and 2013(Source: MAPA 2014)
EGGS POULTRY MEAT TOTALYEAR MILL. € SHARE (%) MILL. € SHARE (%) SHARE (%)
2008 990 2.4 1,901 4.6 7.02009 1,110 2.9 1,899 5.0 7.92010 939 2.3 1,909 4.7 7.02011 978 2.4 2,238 5.5 7.92012 1,205 2.9 2,448 5.8 8.72013 782 1.8 2,333 5.3 7.1
TABLE 35
TABLE 36
The development of the Spanish laying hen population between 2008 and 2013(Source: MAPA 2014)
The development of the Spanish egg production between 2008 and 2013(Source: MAPA 2014)
YEAR LAYING HENS INDEX (1,000) (2008 =100)
2008 49,995 100.02009 50,593 101.22010 51,109 102.22011 49,494 99.02012 43,643 87.32013 38,409 76.8
YEAR EGG PRODUCTION INDEX (MILL.) (2008=100)
2008 12,896 100.02009 13,166 102.12010 13,339 103.42011 12,995 100.82012 11,409 88.52013 10,845 84.1
FIGURE 16
Number of laying hens in the autonomous regions of Spain (2013) (Source: Subdireccíon General de Productos Ganaderos 2014)
11,351
5,676
0 km 100 200
2,83811,351
5,676
0 km 100 200
2,838
11,351
5,676
0 km 100 200
2,838
Number of laying hensin 1,000
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 201530
Strong fluctuation in trade with shell eggs and egg
products
Spain is one of the leading egg exporting
countries in the EU. From 2008 to 2010 it
ranked in third place behind the Netherlands and
Poland. In the following years exports dropped
considerably and in 2013 Spain ranked in fifth
place according to MEG (2014, p. 111) data.
Table 37 shows the development of total egg
exports and those to EU member countries.
While the growth rates were similar between
2008 and 2009, exports to EU countries dropped
faster in the following years.
In 2010, Spanish egg exports were focused on
France and Germany. About two thirds of the
total export volume was directed to these two
countries. In 2013, the situation had changed
considerably. France still ranked in first place
with a share of 34.2%, but Germany only ranked
in fifth place with a share of 9.1% (Table 38).
Table 39 documents the considerable changes
in Germany's egg imports from Spain between
2008 and 2013. Between 2008 and 2010, the
import volume grew by 71.3%, then until 2013
it decreased by almost 17,900 t or 67.4%. A
similar development in shown in the egg exports
to France. Exports to this country also fell by
15,800 t or 28.3%.
To compensate the losses of market shares in the
EU, the Spanish egg industry changed its export
strategies. One strategy was the development of
new markets outside the EU, another, to change
the composition of the export products. Table
40 shows that the export volume to developing
countries increased by 5,400 t between 2000 and
2013; African countries became new countries
of destination. While in 2010 shell eggs for
consumption contributed 82.8% to the total
export volume, their share dropped to 40.8% in
2013. In the same time period, the contribution
of hatching eggs to the total export volume
increased from 4.6% to 33.4% and that of the
shell egg equivalent for egg products from 12.6%
in 2008 to 35.6% in 2011, but in 2013 it dropped
to 25.7%. The increase of egg products for export
was able to partly compensate the sharp decrease
of the domestic demand for these products.
These strategies alone were not sufficient,
however, to stabilise egg prices. To reduce the
oversupply, the egg industry drastically reduced
the placements of pullets from 36.7 mill. birds
in 2012 to 27.4 mill. in 2013 (EMA 2014), a
decrease of 25.4%. Even though the placements
increased again in 2014, they were still 7 mill.
birds lower than in 2012. It is a still open question
if the reduction of pullet placements will be able
to stabilise egg prices and initiate a new phase of
profitable egg production.
The main results of the third case study can be
summarised as follows:
• The Spanish egg industry is confronted with
a critical economic situation. This is as a result
of the lasting economic and financial crisis of
the high investment costs to fulfil Directive
1999/74/EC.
• The decrease of the number of egg farms, of the
laying hen population and of egg production was
a result of the lower domestic demand for eggs
and egg products and of the strong fluctuation in
the export volumes.
• With the development of new egg markets
outside the EU, a change in the composition of
the exports and a reduction of pullet placements
the industry tried to stabilise egg prices. It
remains, however, an open question if these
means will be sufficient for a return to profitable
egg production.
3PART
Spain
THE SPANISH EGG INDUSTRY IS CONFRONTED WITH A
CRITICAL ECONOMIC SITUATION
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 2015 31
TABLE 38
TABLE 40
The leading EU member countries of destination for Spanish egg exports in 2010 and 2013(Source: MAPA 2014)
The leading countries of destination outside the EU for Spanish egg exports in 2010 and 2013(Source: MAPA 2014)
2010 2013COUNTRY OF EXPORTS SHARE (%) OF COUNTRY OF EXPORTS SHARE (%) OFDESTINATION (T) TOTAL EXPORTS DESTINATION (T) TOTAL EXPORTS
France 55,771 41.7 France 39,994 34.2Germany 29,075 21.7 Italy 28,366 24.3Italy 11,895 8.9 Portugal 12,800 10.9Portugal 11,710 8.8 United Kingdom 12,248 10.5United Kingdom 11,197 8.4 Germany 10,596 9.1Netherlands 2,619 2.0 Netherlands 10,410 8.9
Others 11,460 8.6 Others 2,547 2.2
Total 133,737 100.0 Total 116,961 100.0
2010 2013COUNTRY OF EXPORTS SHARE (%) OF COUNTRY OF EXPORTS SHARE (%) OFDESTINATION (T) TOTAL EXPORTS DESTINATION (T) TOTAL EXPORTS
Libya 2,358 33.5 Angola 2,379 19.2Andorra 774 11.0 Mauretania 2,316 18.6Russian Federation 737 10.5 Libya 1,971 15.9Israel 709 10.1 Israel 1,152 9.3Philippines 657 9.3 Andorra 708 5.7
Others 1,807 25.7 Others 3,893 31.3
Total 7,042 *100.0 Total 12,419 *100.0
* sum does not add because of rounding
TABLE 39
The development of the Spanish shell egg exports to Germany between 2008 and 2013(Source: MAPA 2014)
YEAR EGG EXPORTS INDEX (MILL. PIECES) (2008 = 100)
2008 234.3 100.02009 356.9 146.72010 462.9 197.62011 182.8 78.02012 101.6 43.42013 145.7 62.2
TABLE 37
The development of total Spanish shell egg exports and exports to EU member countries between 2008 and 2013(Source: MAPA 2014)
YEAR TOTAL EGG INDEX EGG EXPORTS TO INDEX EXPORTS (T) (2008 = 100) EU COUNTRIES (2008 = 100)
2008 156,280 100.0 144,053 100.02009 164,019 105.0 154,042 106.92010 144,287 92.3 133,737 92.82011 159,454 102.3 139,406 96.82012 116,784 74.7 105,437 73.22013 143,462 91.8 116,961 81.2
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 2015
3
32
PART
The three case studies showed that the earlier
banning of conventional cages in Germany in
2010 not only had far reaching impacts on the
laying hen population, egg production and egg
imports in this country but also affected the egg
industries in several other EU member countries.
This is especially true, as documented, for the
Netherlands and Spain. Both countries raised
their pullet placements in order to participate
in the growing egg imports of Germany in 2010.
When, however, the German egg industry
recovered faster than expected, both countries
suffered from an egg surplus and low prices. In
contrast to the Netherlands, the Spanish egg
industry has to cope not only with decreasing
exports but also with the lasting financial
and economic crisis and a considerably lower
domestic demand.
ANIMAL WELFARE DISCUSSION WAS THE MAIN DRIVING FORCE BEHIND THE CHANGES IN HOUSING SYSTEMS IN THE EU
New challenges and perspectives
The preceding analysis showed that the animal
welfare discussion was the main driving force
behind the changes in housing systems in the EU
from conventional cages to alternative housing
systems. According to EU data, 219 mill. hens
or 57.6% of the total laying hen population
of the EU (28) were housed in enriched cages
and colony nests, 100 mill. or 26.4% in barn
systems and 61 mill. or 16.0% in free range
systems in 2013. The example of the EU shows
impressively that only when food security is
no longer a problem, animal welfare aspects
can gain in importance and initiate a change
in the attitudes of the society towards keeping
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 2015 33
animals. As Directive 1999/74/EC was limited
to EU member countries, conventional cages still
dominate in most non-member countries with
the exception of Switzerland, where no cages at
all are permitted, and Norway, where 35% of the
3.5 mill. laying hens are kept in enriched cages
and 62% in barn systems. It can be expected that
especially in the Russian Federation, Ukraine
and Belarus, the most important egg producing
countries outside the EU in Eastern Europe,
conventional cages will remain the dominant
housing systems for years.
The expectation that after the banning of
conventional cages the discussion about animal
welfare in laying hen husbandry would calm
down was not fulfilled. The most important
animal welfare challenges for the egg industry in
the EU are beak treatment and the killing of male
layer chicks. A solution must be found for these
challenges. In some countries, beak treatment
and the killing of male layer chicks will be
prohibited by law within a few years. The three
case studies in Part 3 demonstrated that decisions
in one country can have far reaching impacts in
other countries (Windhorst 2010). This lesson
should convince politicians and law makers to
find unanimous solutions to these challenges at
least in the EU.
CHALLENGES FOR THE EGG INDUSTRY
THE MOST IMPORTANT
Beak treatment
Male chick culling
Windhorst, H.-W.: The Role of the Egg Industry in the Global Poultry Industry. London: International Egg Commission 2012. 27 S.
Windhorst, H.-W.: Global Egg Production and Dynamics – Past, Present and Future of a Remarkable Success Story. London: International Egg Commission 2014. 35 p.
ZMP-Marktbilanz Eier und Geflügel. Bonn. Verschiedene Ausgaben.
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 201534
About the author References
Professor Hans-Wilhelm Windhorst
Professor Windhorst is the IEC Statistical
Analyst and was Director of the Institute
for Spatial Analysis and Planning in Areas
of Intensive Agriculture at the University
of Vechta, Germany until April 2009, an
institute that he founded in 1990.
In October 2012, he founded the Science
and Information Centre Sustainable Poultry
Production (WING) of the University of
Vechta, of which he is the Scientific
Director. Much of his work involves
investigating regional and sectoral patterns
in the egg industry.
He studied at the University of Muenster
and gained a PHD in 1969 and then gained
a postdoctoral qualification in 1977.
Professor Windhorst has had a long-
standing involvement with the IEC, and
together with Peter van Horne is developing
the Economic and Statistical service that
the IEC provides to members.
Acknowledgment
The author would like to thank Desiree
Heijne, Aline Veauthier and Ursula Welting
(all WING colleagues) for the design of the
graphs and maps in this report.
Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek. Den Haag. http://statline.cbs.nl.
EMA-Europäische Marketing Agentur (Hrsg.): Markübersicht Eier. Bonn: 15. Dezember 2014.
FAO database: www.faostat.fao.org.
MEG-Marktbilanz Eier und Geflügel 2011. Bonn 2011.
MEG-Marktbilanz Eier und Geflügel 2014. Bonn 2014.
Ministerio de Medio Ambiente y Medio Rural y Marino (MAPA), Subdirección General de Productos Ganaderos (Hrsg.): El Sector de la Avicultura de Puesta en Cifras. Madrid 2014.
Produktschapen Vee, Vlees en Eieren: Vee, Vlees en Eieren in Nederland. Uitgave 2013. Zoetermeer 2013.
Windhorst, H.-W.: The extraordinary recent dynamics of the Spanish egg industry. In: Zootecnica 31 (2009), no. 11, S. 12-22.
Windhorst, H.-W.: Banning of cages in Germany and after. First results of the largest economic field experiment in the egg industry. In: International Egg Commission (ed.): International Egg Market. Annual Review 2010. London 2010, S. 4-9.
INTERNATIONAL EGG COMMISSION SPECIAL ECONOMIC REPORT SEPTEMBER 2015 35
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