Traditional Method 2 means, σ’s known. The makers of a standardized exam have two versions of the...

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  • Slide 1
  • Traditional Method 2 means, s known
  • Slide 2
  • The makers of a standardized exam have two versions of the exam: version A and version B. They believe the two versions are comparable in difficulty, so that the average score on each version should be the same. They are administering both versions to several groups to test this claim before they release the exams.
  • Slide 3
  • At one school, 40 students take version A and 36 students to take version B. The average score on version A is 52 and the average score on version B is 54. If the population standard deviation for version A is 10.3 and the population standard deviation for version B is 9.1, evaluate the test-makers claim. Use the traditional method with =.05.
  • Slide 4
  • If you want to try this problem on your own and just check your answer, click on the wizard to the right. Otherwise, click away from the wizard and well work through this together.
  • Slide 5
  • Set-up This test is about two means, the mean score on version A and the mean score on version B. We know: Version A Population Sample Version B Population Sample These are what the hypotheses will be about!
  • Slide 6
  • Set-up: This test is about two means, the mean score on version A and the mean score on version B. We know: Version A Population Sample Version B Population Sample
  • Slide 7
  • Step 1: State the hypotheses and identify the claim. The claim is that the average scores on both versions should be the same.
  • Slide 8
  • The equals sign means this is the Null Hypothesis. The fly means its dinner time!
  • Slide 9
  • When the Null Hypothesis is the claim, the Alternate Hypothesis is that the two quantities arent equal.
  • Slide 10
  • If we subtract, well get a number in the hypotheses; we want that, since this number will be at the center of our distribution. Ok, but which way do we subtract?
  • Slide 11
  • If we subtract B-A, then when we subtract the sample means, well get a positive number! I like positive numbers! So Ill subtract that way. But we could also subtract A-B if we didnt mind the negative numbers. Either way works, as long as were consistent.
  • Slide 12
  • We get 0 whichever way we subtract here; the positive number will show up when were working with the observed values. I like to plan ahead!
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  • Step (*) Draw the picture and label the area in the critical region. Do we know we have a normal distribution?
  • Slide 14
  • We have a normal distribution since both sample sizes are big enough---they are both at least 30.
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  • Step (*) Since we have a normal distribution, draw a normal curve. Top level: Area Middle level: standard units(z) We always use z-values when we know both s, the population standard deviations.
  • Slide 16
  • Step (*): Since we have a normal distribution, draw a normal curve. Top level: Area Middle Level: Standard Units (z) 0 The center is always 0 in standard units. Label this whenever you draw the picture.
  • Slide 17
  • Step (*): Since we have a normal distribution, draw a normal curve. Top level: Area Middle Level: Standard Units (z) 0 Bottom level: Actual Units (points) In this case, the actual units are points, since our hypotheses are about the average difference in scores.
  • Slide 18
  • Step (*): Since we have a normal distribution, draw a normal curve. Top level: Area Middle Level: Standard Units (z) 0 Bottom level: Actual Units (points) 0 The number from the Null Hypothesis always goes in the center of the bottom level; thats because were drawing the picture as if the Null is true.
  • Slide 19
  • Then remember: The raditional Method T is op-down T
  • Slide 20
  • Step (*): (continued) Once youve drawn the picture, start at the Top level and label the area in the critical region. Standard Units (z) 0 Actual Units (points) 0 Top level: Area.025
  • Slide 21
  • Step (*): (continued) Standard Units (z) 0 Actual Units (points) 0 Top level: Area.025
  • Slide 22
  • Step (*): (continued) Top level: Area.025 =.05 = total area in both tails; the area in each tail is half of this, or.025
  • Slide 23
  • Step 2: Move down to the middle level. Label the critical values, which are the boundaries between the critical and non-critical regions. Standard Units (z) 0 Actual Units (points) 0.025 Middle Level Put critical values here!
  • Slide 24
  • We can find the critical value using either Table E or Table F. Click on the table you want to use. Table E gives us the z-values associated with certain areas under the standard normal curve The bottom row of table F gives us the z- values associated with the area in the tail/s.
  • Slide 25
  • Our picture looks like this: (we know the area in both tails and want to know the critical values.) 0. 025 ? ? To use Table E, well take advantage of the fact that the left side of our picture matches the one that goes with the left side of Table E. I see the resemblance. Me too!
  • Slide 26
  • If we look up.025 in the area section we will be able to find the left critical value. Looks like we need to zoom in!
  • Slide 27
  • Slide 28
  • Finishing up step 2: Standard Units (z) 0 Actual Units (points) 0.025 -1.96 The left critical value goes here. 1.96 The right critical value is +1.96. It goes here.
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  • Step 3: Standard Units (z) 0 Actual Units (points) 0.025 1.96 Move down to the bottom level. Bottom level Remember: always subtract in the same order as that used in the hypotheses. We chose to subtract B minus A in order to get a positive result here. Hmmmm. 2 points is bigger than 0 points, but I dont know how it compares to 1.96 standard units. Should it go here or there?
  • Slide 30
  • We want to compare 2 points to 1.96 standard units, but as long as theyre measured in different units, thats difficult. So we convert 2 (our observed difference) to standard units. The result is called the test value, and itll show us where 2 belongs on the picture.
  • Slide 31
  • hypothesized difference
  • Slide 32
  • Standard units (z) 0 Actual units (points) 0.025 -1.96 1.96.90 < 1.96, so it goes somewhere to the left of 1.96..90 2 Line up the observed difference with the test value; note that it is not in the critical region.
  • Slide 33
  • Step 4: Decide whether or not to reject the Null.
  • Slide 34
  • Standard units (z) 0 Actual units (points) 0.025 -1.96 1.96.90 2 Since 2 is not in the critical region, dont reject the Null.
  • Slide 35
  • Step 5: Answer the question. Talk about the claim. Since the claim is the Null Hypothesis, stick with the language of rejection. We did not reject the Null, so we dont reject the claim. There is not enough evidence to reject the claim that the two tests will have the same mean score.
  • Slide 36
  • Lets look at a quick re-cap.
  • Slide 37
  • Each click will give you one step. Step (*) is broken into two clicks. Step (*) Standard units (z) 0 Actual units (points) 0.025 Step 2 -1.961.96 Step 3.90 2 Step 4: Dont reject the Null. Step 5: Theres not enough evidence to reject the claim.
  • Slide 38
  • And there was much rejoicing.
  • Slide 39
  • Press the Escape Key to exit the slide show. If you continue to click through the slideshow, youll see how to calculate the critical value using Table F.
  • Slide 40
  • Look at the top of Table F to determine which column will contain our critical value. Since this is a two-tailed test, look for =.05 in this row.
  • Slide 41
  • Since our standard units are z-values, be sure to go all the way to the bottom row of Table F, the one labeled z.
  • Slide 42
  • z = 1.960. Note that Table F always gives us the critical value that is the boundary of the right tail; the boundary of the left tail is always its opposite.
  • Slide 43
  • Adding the critical values to our picture: Standard Units (z) 0 Actual Units (points) 0.025 -1.960 The left critical value is -1.960. It goes here. 1.960 The right critical value goes here.
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  • Step 3: Standard Units (z) 0 Actual Units (points) 0.025 1.960 Move down to the bottom level. Bottom level Remember: always subtract in the same order as that used in the hypotheses. We chose to subtract B minus A in order to get a positive result here. Hmmmm. 2 points is bigger than 0 points, but I dont know how it compares to 1.960 standard units. Should it go here or there?
  • Slide 45
  • We want to compare 2 points to 1.960 standard units, but as long as theyre measured in different units, thats difficult. So we convert 2 (our observed difference) to standard units. The result is called the test value, and itll show us where 2 belongs on the picture.
  • Slide 46
  • hypothesized difference
  • Slide 47
  • Standard units (z) 0 Actual units (points) 0.025 -1.960 1.960.899 < 1.960, so it goes somewhere to the left of 1.960..899 2 Line up the observed difference with the test value; note that it is in the critical region.
  • Slide 48
  • Step 4: Decide whether or not to reject the Null.
  • Slide 49
  • Standard units (z) 0 Actual units (points) 0.025 -1.960 1.960.899 2 Since 2 is not in the critical region, dont reject the Null.
  • Slide 50
  • Step 5: Answer the question. Talk about the claim. Since the claim is the Null Hypothesis, stick with the language of rejection. We did not reject the Null, so we dont reject the claim. There is not enough evidence to reject the claim that the two tests will have the same mean score.
  • Slide 51
  • Lets look at a quick re-cap.
  • Slide 52
  • Each click will give you one step. Step (*) is broken into two clicks. Step (*) Standard units (z) 0 Actual units (points) 0.025 Step 2 -1.960 1.960 Step 3.899 2 Step 4: Dont reject the Null. Step 5: Theres not enough evidence to reject the claim.
  • Slide 53
  • And there was much rejoicing.