Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

38
Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform (revised – June 2015) Jeffrey Tan +65 6590 6629 [email protected]

Transcript of Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

Page 1: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform

(revised – June 2015)

Jeffrey Tan

+65 6590 6629

[email protected]

Page 2: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

2

Disclosures

Disclosures/Disclaimers

This report is prepared and/or distributed by UOB Kay Hian Pte Ltd (“UOBKH”), which is a holder of a capital markets services licence and an exempt financial adviser in Singapore.

This report is provided for information only and is not an offer or a solicitation to deal in securities or to enter into any legal relations, nor an advice or a recommendation with respect to

such securities.

This report is prepared for general circulation. It does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any recipient hereof. You should

independently evaluate particular investments and consult an independent financial adviser before dealing in any securities mentioned in this report.

This report is confidential. This report may not be published, circulated, reproduced or distributed in whole or in part by any recipient of this report to any other person without the prior

written consent of UOBKH. This report is not intended for distribution, publication to or use by any person in any jurisdiction outside Singapore or any other jurisdiction as UOBKH may

determine in its absolute discretion, where the distribution, publication or use of this report would be contrary to applicable law or would subject UOBKH and its connected persons (as

defined in the Financial Advisers Act, Chapter 110 of Singapore) to any registration, licensing or other requirements within such jurisdiction.

The information or views in the report (“Information”) has been obtained or derived from sources believed by UOBKH to be reliable. However, UOBKH makes no representation as to the

accuracy or completeness of such sources or the Information and UOBKH accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss or damage arising from the use of or reliance on the Information.

UOBKH and its connected persons may have issued other reports expressing views different from the Information and all views expressed in all reports of UOBKH and its connected

persons are subject to change without notice. UOBKH reserves the right to act upon or use the Information at any time, including before its publication herein.

Except as otherwise indicated below, (1) UOBKH, its connected persons and its officers, employees and representatives may, to the extent permitted by law, transact with, perform or

provide broking, underwriting, corporate finance-related or other services for or solicit business from, the subject corporation(s) referred to in this report; (2) UOBKH, its connected

persons and its officers, employees and representatives may also, to the extent permitted by law, transact with, perform or provide broking or other services for or solicit business from,

other persons in respect of dealings in the securities referred to in this report or other investments related thereto; (3) the officers, employees and representatives of UOBKH may also

serve on the board of directors or in trustee positions with the subject corporation(s) referred to in this report. (All of the foregoing is hereafter referred to as the “Subject Business”); and

(4) UOBKH may otherwise have an interest (including a proprietary interest) in the subject corporation(s) referred to in this report.

As of the date of this report, no analyst responsible for any of the content in this report has any proprietary position or material interest in the securities of the corporation(s) which are

referred to in the content they respectively author or are otherwise responsible for.

Each research analyst of UOBKH who produced this report hereby certifies that (1) the views expressed in this report in any event accurately reflect his/her personal views about all of the

subject corporation(s) and securities in this report; (2) the report was produced independently by him/her; (3) he/she does not carry out, whether for himself/herself or on behalf of UOBKH

or any other person, any of the Subject Business involving any of the subject corporation(s) or securities referred to in this report; and (4) he/she has not received and will not receive any

compensation that is directly or indirectly related or linked to the recommendations or views expressed in this report or to any sales, trading, dealing or corporate finance advisory services

or transaction in respect of the securities in this report. However, the compensation received by each such research analyst is based upon various factors, including UOBKH’s total

revenues, a portion of which are generated from UOBKH’s business of dealing in securities.

Page 3: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

3

Our Technical Analysis

Our regular technical analysis write-up

can be found in:

Retail Market Monitor

- Weekly Support and Resistance Watch

- Traders’ Corner

- Money Talk

- Special Focus (Ad Hoc)

Page 4: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

4

Page 5: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

5

Consider formulating a step–by-step

trading strategy

Page 6: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

6

Step-by-Step Trading Strategy

1. What is the trend of the stock?Consider the use of MA (overlay)

to identify trending stocks

2. Use indicators to time entryConsider the use of at least two

indicators to assess the time of

entry

3. Identify current support and

resistance levels

4. Based on individual risk /

reward appetite and entry

pointsBEstablish stops/trailing stops and

potential take-profit levels

5. Set price alerts

Steps to considerB.

Page 7: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

7

Step-by-Step Trading Strategy

Page 8: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

8

Step-by-Step Trading Strategy

1. What is the trend of the

stock?Consider the use of MA

(overlay) to identify trending

stocks

2. Use indicators to time entryConsider the use of at least two

indicators to assess the time of

entry

3. Identify current support and

resistance levels

4. Based on individual risk /

reward appetite and entry

pointsBEstablish stops/trailing stops and

potential take-profit levels

5. Set price alerts

Steps to considerB.

Page 9: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

9

Using Moving Averages

to trade stocks

Step-by-Step Trading Strategy

Page 10: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

1010

Trend Reversal strategy using

MAs

Acting as support or resistance

SELL

BUY

BUY

BUY

BUY

SELL

SELL

Failure of a follow through

of the dead cross

Step-by-Step Trading Strategy

Page 11: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

1111

Where is MA the most

effective?

SELL

SELL

BUY

BUY

BUY

BUYSELL

BUY

BUY

BUY

BUY

SELL

SELL

BUY

SELL

BUY

Step-by-Step Trading Strategy

Page 12: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

12

One of my preferred method of

using Moving Averages# an

example using the STI index

Step-by-Step Trading Strategy

Page 13: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17
Page 14: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

1414

Where is MA the most

effective?

BUY

Step-by-Step Trading Strategy

Page 15: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

15

Trendlines,

Support and Resistance

Step-by-Step Trading Strategy

Page 16: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

1616

Simple Trendlines to identify

potential trends

SELL – support-turned-

resistance

BUY – trendline

acting as support

BUY

SELL

?

Step-by-Step Trading Strategy

Page 17: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

1717

Price action hovers at

support-turned-resistance

before a breakout eventually

occurs

SELL

BUY

BUY

BUY

SELL

Step-by-Step Trading Strategy

BUY?

BUY?

SELL ?

Page 18: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

1818

Useful to know some candlestick patterns

Step-by-Step Trading Strategy

Resistance turned

support level

“Bullish Hammer”

“Dark Cloud Cover”

Page 19: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

19

Is there another way besides

using Moving averages and

trendlines to determine trend?

Step-by-Step Trading Strategy

Page 20: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

2020

Step-by-Step Trading Strategy

Lower high

Lower low

Higher high

Higher lows

?

Lower highs

Lower low

Higher high

Page 21: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

2121

Complementary to use of

trendlines and moving

averages – checking to see if

the downtrend remains intact

Step-by-Step Trading Strategy

Page 22: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

2222

Complementary to use of

trendlines and moving

averages – checking to see if

the uptrend remains intact

Step-by-Step Trading Strategy

Page 23: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

23

Request for a stock from the

audience for another illustration

Step-by-Step Trading Strategy

Page 24: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

24

Combining support and

resistance and trends

Step-by-Step Trading Strategy

Page 25: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

2525

BUY

Step-by-Step Trading Strategy

Page 26: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

2626

BUY

Step-by-Step Trading Strategy

Page 27: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

2727

BUY

Step-by-Step Trading Strategy

Page 28: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

28

Step-by-Step Trading Strategy

1. What is the trend of the stock?Consider the use of MA (overlay)

to identify trending stocks

2. Use indicators to time entryConsider the use of at least two

indicators to assess the time of

entry

3. Identify current support and

resistance levels

4. Based on individual risk /

reward appetite and entry

pointsBEstablish stops/trailing stops and

potential take-profit levels

5. Set price alerts

Steps to considerB.

Page 29: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

29

Using MACD histogram to time the

entry points

Step-by-Step Trading Strategy

Page 30: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

3030

Simple dual indicators

strategy

Step-by-Step Trading Strategy

MACD histogram

buy signal

MACD indicator

buy signal

Page 31: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

3131

Step-by-Step Trading Strategy

MACD histogram

sell signal

MACD indicator

sell signal

Page 32: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

3232

Comparing the

Stochastics indicators

with different lookback

periods

Step-by-Step Trading Strategy

Page 33: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

3333

Step-by-Step Trading Strategy

Page 34: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

34

Step-by-Step Trading Strategy

1. What is the trend of the stock?Consider the use of MA (overlay)

to identify trending stocks

2. Use indicators to time entryConsider the use of at least two

indicators to assess the time of

entry

3. Identify current support and

resistance levels

4. Based on individual risk /

reward appetite and entry

points&Establish stops/trailing stops

and potential take-profit levels

5. Set price alerts

Steps to considerB.

Page 35: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

35

19.2%

7.2%

Potential Reward/Risk Ratio-> 2.6 : 1

Step-by-Step Trading Strategy

Target S$0.62

Risk Level S$0.485

Page 36: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

36

Outlook Of The STI Index

Page 37: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17
Page 38: Trading Strategies on UTRADE Platform 2015-06 17

Potential trading range: 3215-3475

Outlook of the STI Index