Trading and Price Discovery · bloomberg markets, bloomberg news, bloomberg professional, bloomberg...
Transcript of Trading and Price Discovery · bloomberg markets, bloomberg news, bloomberg professional, bloomberg...
1
Trading and Price Discovery
Ray Johnson - Bloomberg
Hubie White - City and County of San Francisco
Guy Boccasile - City of Ontario
Wednesday March 20th 2019
2
That depends on the type of security offered?
Government Bonds CBBT/BVAL
Agency Securities CBBT/TRL1/BVAL
Corporate Bonds BMRK/TRL1/MSG1/BVAL
Money Markets BOOM/DOCP Comps
What is price? Which is the most relevant?
3
Government and Agency Securities:
Government and Agencies:
The most liquid and price
transparent. CBBT is the best
bid/offer from FIT. Derived from the
vast majority of primary dealers.
4
Government Securities: CBBT – “FIT Composite”
5
Agency Securities: CBBT/TRL1/BVAL
6
Corporate Securities: Quoting Convention Spread
7
Corporate Securities: Quoting Convention “Spread”
8
Money Market: Relative Value Analysis and Benchmarking
9
Money Market: Benchmarking vs Secured O/N Financing Futures
10
Ray Johnson Fixed Income Specialist
415 617 7014 | [email protected]
Bloomberg U.S. Municipal Bonds Contacts
11
The data included in these materials are for illustrative purposes only. The BLOOMBERG TERMINAL service and Bloomberg data products (the “Services”) are
owned and distributed by Bloomberg Finance L.P. (“BFLP”) except that Bloomberg L.P. and its subsidiaries (“BLP”) distribute these products in Argentina, Australia
and certain jurisdictions in the Pacific islands, Bermuda, China, India, Japan, Korea and New Zealand. BLP provides BFLP with global marketing and operational
support. Certain features, functions, products and services are available only to sophisticated investors and only where permitted. BFLP, BLP and their affiliates do
not guarantee the accuracy of prices or other information in the Services. Nothing in the Services shall constitute or be construed as an offering of financial
instruments by BFLP, BLP or their affiliates, or as investment advice or recommendations by BFLP, BLP or their affiliates of an investment strategy or whether or not
to “buy”, “sell” or “hold” an investment. Information available via the Services should not be considered as information sufficient upon which to base an investment
decision. The following are trademarks and service marks of BFLP, a Delaware limited partnership, or its subsidiaries: BLOOMBERG, BLOOMBERG ANYWHERE,
BLOOMBERG MARKETS, BLOOMBERG NEWS, BLOOMBERG PROFESSIONAL, BLOOMBERG TERMINAL and BLOOMBERG.COM. Absence of any trademark or
service mark from this list does not waive Bloomberg's intellectual property rights in that that name, mark or logo. All rights reserved. © 2018 Bloomberg.
ADVANCED SESSION OF PRE CONFERENCE:
TRADING AND PRICE DISCOVERY
GIOA
MARCH 20, 2019
Hubert R White, III CFA, CTP - Investment OfficerOffice of Treasurer and Tax Collector City and County of San Francisco
TRADING AND PRICE DISCOVERY
Electronic Trading – Overview
Extremely efficient for transacting liquid fixed income
instruments such as US Treasuries, Federal Agency paper,
commercial paper, municipal commercial paper, and
corporate notes
Examples of available platforms: Bloomberg FIT and BOOM,
TradeWeb, and Market Access
Increased market transparency
Ease of best execution
13
TRADING AND PRICE DISCOVERY
Electronic Trading – FIT on Bloomberg14
TRADING AND PRICE DISCOVERY
Electronic Trading – FIT on Bloomberg15
TRADING AND PRICE DISCOVERY
Electronic Trading – FIT on Bloomberg16
TRADING AND PRICE DISCOVERY
Electronic Trading – BOOM on Bloomberg17
TRADING AND PRICE DISCOVERY
Electronic Trading – BOOM on Bloomberg18
TRADING AND PRICE DISCOVERY
Electronic Trading – BOLT on Bloomberg19
TRADING AND PRICE DISCOVERY
INVENTORY AND OFFER MANAGEMENT - IMGR20
TRADING AND PRICE DISCOVERY
FINRA – Financial Industry Regulatory Authority
www.finra.org
Dedicated to investor protection and market integrity through
effective regulation of broker-dealers
A not-for-profit authorized by Congress
Great resource for market and broker-dealer information
Has authority to fine, suspend, or bar brokers for rule
infractions
21
TRADING AND PRICE DISCOVERY
FINRA – Financial Industry Regulatory Authority
FINRA Mission
Writing and enforcing rules governing the activities of
3,700 broker-dealers with 634,000 brokers
Examining firms for compliance with those rules
Fostering market transparency
Educating investors
22
TRADE AND PRICE DISCOVERY
FINRA – www.finra.org, Tools & Calculators, Market Data23
Enter Cusip
TRADING AND PRICE DISCOVERY
FINRA – www.finra.org, Tools & Calculators, Market Data24
TRADING AND PRICE DISCOVERY
FINRA – www.finra.org, Tools & Calculators, Market Data25
TRADING AND PRICE DISCOVERY
FINRA – Price Transparency26
TRADING AND PRICE DISCOVERY
FINRA – Price Transparency27
“All I bring to the party is 30 years of mistakes”
“Buy in haste, repent at leisure”
The worst mistakes I’ve made in this business have been from acting too quickly.
The point here is to try to minimize the risk of overpaying.
Total return approach
Attempt to maximize the total value of the portfolio at the end of the month, year, fiscal year or whatever. Like your 401K.
My index is the ICE BAML 1-3 year Treasury Index
Performance not yield – do you care what your 401k yields?
Buy bonds that go up – relatively
Convexity – an underrated concept in the municipal arena
1. I came out of the private sector and it made intuitive sense to me
2. AND, early on I realized my competition wasn’t other public entities – it was the private sector and that’s how they did it
3. I wanted a quantitative method to prove my worth
Why do I do it this way?
Me vs the index
Me vs the private sector
In the last fiscal year, I beat the index by 70 bps, the private sector competition beat their indices by 27 - 32 bps. In 3 years, I beat the index by 42 bps, private sector beat the index by 16 - 28bps.. And so on
I want to be able to point to an unbiased, 3rd party, real dollar evaluation to show my employer how much I’m worth to them.
I also want to be prepared if a private sector money manager comes in and pitches my city on using their services
My “process”
This only applies to:
credit and Agency paper
New issue, “cheap” bonds, special situations
and, when opportunities don’t exist, I don’t force it
I am shown a bondI’m an opportunistic investor
I see a bond that’s on my list
Then I start the process
Salesman:January 2312.:01:39 new- $50mm C 3.05 5/20 a1/a+ offer +45 3.04 ytm.12:01:47 bid them 3.05% Banknote
Watch – positive
To his credit, he knows this is the kind of bond I look at. He shows them at +45 and he knows my penchant for countering so he
says bid him 3.05 – he’s trying to get on my good side and “anchoring” me at the same time
It’s a big issue -liquid
•It’s a banknote.
•It’s on watch positive.
•It’s virtually a cash equivalent and I needed some short paper.
•It’s close to being money fund eligible which will open up a new universe of buyers. So there’s a pretty decent chance that it tightens.
•It’s big and liquid – so I can sell it if it tightens
Wednesday, January 23rd
Remember he showed me this bond at 3.05
This is what I saw when I typed “QRD <GO> into my Bloomberg.
I made the assumption that this was the purchase that the dealer was showing me.
Why/how did I make this assumption?
1. I HADN’T SEEN THE MORE RECENT PRINTS AT +50
2. HE HAD 50MM WHICH WOULD SEEM TO BACK UP THE BID
3. AS AN ASIDE, A LOT OF DEALERS DON’T LIKE TO TELL YOU THEIR SIZE (UNLESS THEY’RE LYING)
4. IT WAS CONVENIENT FOR ME AS I BASED MY BID ON WHERE I GUESSED HE OWNED THEM AND I THOUGHT THEY WERE CHEAP AT THAT LEVEL
Thursday, January 24. 2019
GUY BOCCASILE
07:52:29 C's ?
Salesman:
07:58:50 +47
07:59: 3.05% work this morn?
GUY BOCCASILE
07: 59:31 Nah ...
GUY BOCCASILE
08:01:09 I'd do 10 @ 3.07
Salesman:
08:03:22 eh, that would be 50 and that’s behind where he bot them.
GUY BOCCASILE
11:23:17 So, I'm seeing those Citi's at +47 from somebody who doesn't even own them. You gotta have
some room, right?
Salesman:
11:23:46 somethin, 1 sec
11:28 :28 if i ask for 48 would that work?
11:28:41 he owns them at 50
GUY BOCCASILE
11:28:59 Unless he's lying ... Not that a trader would ever lie.
Salesman:11 :29:36 remember, they trade like you. on spread
GUY BOCCASILE
11:30:56 Yeah, I got that. But they're tracing at 48,49, 50, so where he owns them isn't what's setting
market pricing, if ya know what I mean
Salesman:
11:31:06 i do
11:33:26 he will do 48!
GUY BOCCASILE
11:44:00 I‘ll do 10 at 48 if he's stll there
Salesman:
11:41:45 28.25
GUY BOCCASILE
11:44:51 I agree
• Don’t bid the street back every single time
• If you’re gonna bid ‘em back - Have a reason, even if it’s not a very good one
• TRACE helps you do that
• No matter what QRD or ALLQ or BVAL say…
• You don’t really know where the market is until you engage the seller/buyer
Conclusion