Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

58
Toxicological Myths and HALF-Truths Chris Nickson FACEM Alfred ICU Senior Registrar A Talk by Chris Nickson FACEM Senior Registrar at the Alfred ICU

description

The slides for my talk on 'Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths' that was given at the CICM ASM 2013 in Wellington, New Zealand. The theme of the conference was "Down with Dogma: Challenging the Fundamentals of Critical Care"

Transcript of Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Page 1: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Toxicological Myths and HALF-Truths

Chris Nickson FACEM Alfred ICU Senior Registrar

A Talk by Chris Nickson FACEM Senior Registrar at the Alfred ICU

Page 2: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Image  from  h+p://technicalinfodotnet.blogspot.com.au/2012/03/virtual-­‐execu@on-­‐and-­‐emperors-­‐new.html  

NO CONFLICTS OF INTEREST Talk  resources  at  h+p://liDl.org/11p0o81  

Page 3: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Photo  by  Cavin  on  Flickr  

Page 4: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Glucagon    

Calcium,  Digoxin  &    the  Stone  Heart  Theory  

 Paracetamol  Toxicity  &    Liver  Transplanta>on  

Page 5: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Glucagon    

Calcium,  Digoxin  &    the  Stone  Heart  Theory  

 Paracetamol  Toxicity  &    Liver  Transplanta>on  

Page 6: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Glucagon    

Calcium,  Digoxin  &    the  Stone  Heart  Theory  

 Paracetamol  Toxicity  &    Liver  Transplanta>on  

Page 7: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Glucagon

Page 8: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Glucagone?

Page 9: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Boyd  R,  Ghosh  A.  Towards  evidence  based  emergency  medicine:  best  BETs  from  the  Manchester  Royal  Infirmary.  Glucagon  for  the  treatment  of  symptoma@c  beta  blocker  overdose.  Emerg  Med  J.  2003  May;20(3):266-­‐7.      O'Connor  N,  Greene  S,  Dargan  P,  Jones  A.  Glucagon  use  in  beta  blocker  overdose.  Emerg  Med  J.  2005  May;22(5):391.  PubMed  PMID:  15843722;  PubMed  Central  PMCID:  PMC1726782.    

Page 10: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

[In toxicology an] evidence basis is often lacking and one therefore needs to rely on a combination of practical experience, case reports and assessment of biological plausibility. There is a sound theoretical basis for the use of glucagon in the cardiovascularly compromised patient who has taken a beta blocker overdose. Glucagon activates adenyl cyclase and exerts an inotropic and chronotropic effect by a pathway that bypasses the beta receptors. …

Page 11: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Each of us has personal experience of the dramatic improvement in cardiovascular parameters that can occur following the administration of glucagon in this clinical situation. …

Page 12: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

… Nobody would suggest that naloxone should not be used for opiate overdose yet the evidence base for its use is as flimsy as that of glucagon in beta blocker overdose. We suggest that to attempt to undertake a randomised clinical trial of the use of glucagon in the compromised beta blocker overdosed patient would be unethical. …

Page 13: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Smith  GC,  Pell  JP.  Parachute  use  to  prevent  death  and  major  trauma  related  to  gravita@onal  challenge:  systema@c  review  of  randomised  controlled  trials.  BMJ.  2003  Dec  20;327(7429):1459-­‐61.  

Is glucagon really a

parachute?

Page 14: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Photo  by  JD  Hancock  on  Flickr  

Or is glucagon one

of these?

Page 15: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Show me the evidence!

Photo  by  Chris  Nickson  

Page 16: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Photo  by  zzpa  on  Flickr  

Page 17: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Photo  by  zzpa  on  Flickr  

Before 1998 some  vials  of  glucagon  contained  up  to  100  units  of  insulin

Page 18: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Photo  by  Marianne  Perdomo  

New dogma?Insulin 6 versus

Glucagon 4

Page 19: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Calcium, Digoxin and the

Stone Heart Theory

Page 20: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Photo  by  Peregrinari  on  Flickr  

Page 21: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

h+p://lifeinthefastlane.com/ecg-­‐library/basics/hyperkalaemia/  

Page 22: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Calcium, Digoxin Toxicity

and the Stone Heart

Theory

Calcium for  hyperkalaemia  in  digoxin  toxicity?  

Photo  by  Gaptone  on  Flickr  

Page 23: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Photo  by  Melina  from  Flickr  

Beware the Stone Heart!

Page 24: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

h+p://www.realmagick.com/digoxin-­‐mechanism-­‐of-­‐ac@on/  

Page 25: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

What happened to

me?

Photo  by  Peregrinari  on  Flickr  

Page 26: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

She  got better

Page 27: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

doi:10.1016/j.jemermed.2008.09.027

Selected Topics:Toxicology

THE EFFECTS OF INTRAVENOUS CALCIUM IN PATIENTS WITHDIGOXIN TOXICITY

Michael Levine, MD,* Heikki Nikkanen, MD,†‡ and Daniel J. Pallin, MD†

*Department of Medical Toxicology, Banner Good Samaritan Medical Center, Phoenix, Arizona, †Department of Emergency Medicine,Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, and ‡Division of Medical Toxicology, Division of Emergency Medicine,

Children’s Hospital, Boston, MassachusettsReprint Address: Michael Levine, MD, Department of Medical Toxicology, Banner Good Samaritan Medical Center,

925 East McDowell Road, 2nd floor, Phoenix, AZ 85006

e Abstract—Background: Digoxin is an inhibitor of thesodium-potassium ATPase. In overdose, hyperkalemia iscommon. Although hyperkalemia is often treated with in-travenous calcium, it is traditionally contraindicated indigoxin toxicity. Objectives: To analyze records from pa-tients treated with intravenous calcium while digoxin-toxic.Methods: We reviewed the charts of all adult patientsdiagnosed with digoxin toxicity in a large teaching hospitalover 17.5 years. The main outcome measures were fre-quency of life-threatening dysrhythmia within 1 h of cal-cium administration, and mortality rate in patients who didvs. patients who did not receive intravenous calcium. Weuse multivariate logistic regression to ensure that no rela-tionship was overlooked due to negative confounders (con-trolling for age, creatinine, systolic blood pressure, peakserum potassium, time of development of digoxin toxicity,and digoxin concentration). Results: We identified 161 pa-tients diagnosed with digoxin toxicity, and were able toretrieve 159 records. Of these, 23 patients received calcium.No life-threatening dysrhythmias occurred within 1 h ofcalcium administration. Mortality was similar among thosewho did not receive calcium (27/136, 20%) compared tothose who did (5/23, 22%). In the multivariate analysis,calcium was non-significantly associated with decreasedodds of death (odds ratio 0.76; 95% confidence interval[CI] 0.24 –2.5). Each 1 mEq/L rise in serum potassiumconcentration was associated with an increased mortalityodds ratio of 1.5 (95% CI 1.0–2.3). Conclusion: Amongdigoxin-intoxicated humans, intravenous calcium doesnot seem to cause malignant dysrhythmias or increase

mortality. We found no support for the historical beliefthat calcium administration is contraindicated in digoxin-toxic patients. © 2011 Elsevier Inc.

e Keywords—digoxin; digoxin toxicity; hyperkalemia;calcium

INTRODUCTION

Digoxin is a cardiac glycoside that is commonly prescribedto patients with congestive heart failure, especially thosewith co-existing atrial fibrillation. Digoxin, like other car-diac glycosides, inhibits the sodium-potassium ATPasepump, thereby increasing the intracellular sodium concen-tration (1–5). The increased intracellular sodium inhibitssodium-dependent calcium transport out of the cyto-plasm, resulting in increased intracellular calcium, andthus increased inotropy. In overdose, digoxin’s inhibitionof the sodium-potassium ATPase frequently results inhyperkalemia (3,6).

In experimental models, calcium potentiates the pos-itive inotropic effects of cardiac glycosides (7). How-ever, in animal models, calcium was found to increasedigoxin toxicity (8–12). This effect was found to bedose-dependent and related to the rate of infusion, butonly at unrealistically high calcium concentrations(10,12). The “stone heart” theory views calcium as the

RECEIVED: 2 July 2008; FINAL SUBMISSION RECEIVED: 16 August 2008;ACCEPTED: 3 September 2008

The Journal of Emergency Medicine, Vol. 40, No. 1, pp. 41–46, 2011Copyright © 2011 Elsevier Inc.

Printed in the USA. All rights reserved0736-4679/$–see front matter

41

Page 28: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

20% of  pa@ents  with    

digoxin  toxicity  died  

Page 29: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

No difference    if  IV  calcium  was  given  or  not  

   

calcium  given:  5/23  (22%)  died  not  given:  27/136  (20%)  died  

Page 30: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

No dysrhythmias  within  4  hours  of  IV  calcium  

Page 31: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Photo  by  Stefan  onFlickr  

We need to keep looking…

Page 32: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Only  5 case reports of    calcium  linked  to  death  in  

digoxin  toxicity    

None  are  convincing  

Bower  JO  ,Mengle  HAK.  The  addi@ve  effect  of  calcium  and  digitalis.  JAMA  1936  ;106(14):1151–1153  

Page 33: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Original  animal  models    were  flawed…  

 Only  harmful  if  calcium    

>15 mmol/L  

Page 34: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Photo  by  Nitot  from  Flickr  

Page 35: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Pseudoaxioms  

false  principles  or  rules  handed  down    from    genera@on  to  genera@on    

and  accepted  without  serious  challenge  or  inves@ga@on

Newman  DH:  Truth,  and  epinephrine,  at  our  finger@ps:  unveiling  the  pseudoaxiom.  Ann  Emerg  Med  2007;  50:476–477.  

Page 36: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Paracetamol Overdose and

Liver Transplantation

Page 37: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

A dilemma Photo  by  dno1967b  on  Flickr  

Page 38: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Select early

Photo  by  dno1967b  on  Flickr  

Page 39: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Photo  by  dno1967b  on  Flickr  

Select early

Risks of surgery Immunosuppression $$$$$ Opportunity cost

Page 40: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

King’s College Criteria

for  paracetamol-­‐induced  hepatoxicity

Grady  JG,  Alexander  GJ,  Hayllar  KM,  Williams  R.  Early  indicators  of  prognosis  in  fulminant  hepa@c  failure.  Gastroenterology.  1989  Aug;97(2):439-­‐45.

Page 41: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

pH < 7.3

or,  in  a  24h  period,  all  3  of:  

INR > 6 (PT > 100s) Cr > 300 mmol/L

grade III or IV encephalopathy

recent  modifica@on:    lactate >3.5 mM

Page 42: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

King’s  College  Criteria    is  specific    

80-­‐90%    

but  not  sensi@ve  60-­‐70%  

Page 43: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

King’s College Criteria

Photo  by    The  PIX-­‐JOCKEY  on  Flickr  

What could possibly be wrong with the King’s Criteria?

Page 44: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Evidence and consequences of spectrum bias in studies ofcriteria for liver transplant in paracetamol hepatotoxicity

G.K.A. DING1,2,3 and N.A. BUCKLEY1,4

From the 1Australian National University Medical School, ACT, 2Department of Intensive Care,The Canberra Hospital, 3Department of Intensive Care, The Calvary Hospital, Canberra and4Faculty of Medicine, University of NSW, Australia

Received 31 October 2007 and in revised form 7 April 2008

Summary

Objective: In severe paracetamol hepatotoxicity,orthotopic liver transplant (OLT) is a standardtreatment in patients judged to have a hopelessprognosis. The most commonly used criteria tomake this decision are the King’s College Criteria(KCC). We aimed to compare the expected survivalfor patients who meet the KCC and do not receivetransplant and those who receive OLT.Methods: A systematic review of studies of survivalin patients who met the KCC according to whetherthey were transplanted. Data from these studies wasextrapolated to compare long-term survival with andwithout adjustment for Quality of Life.Results: The survival of patients meeting KCC andundergoing transplant has not been specificallystudied. UK data on transplants for acute liverfailure indicate 1 and 10 year survival rates of 65and 44%, respectively. Survival in those withouttransplant was documented in 15 studies. Theaverage long-term survival rate was 24.9%.

Survival was worse in studies originating in theKing’s unit (13.8 vs. 30.0%). It was apparent that thismay be due to spectrum bias occurring in this muchlarger unit. There was clear evidence that those withthe best prognosis were preferentially transplantedat the Kings liver unit, indicating the criteria mayperform significantly worse at predicting deathwithout transplant than previously estimated. Evenso, for a 20-year-old meeting KCC, the best estimateof life expectancy with transplant (13.5 years) is nobetter than without (13.4 years). Adjustment forquality of life made OLT clearly a worse option.Conclusion: Criteria for OLT that have a muchhigher positive predictive value (for death withouttransplant) are required. Such studies must beconducted only on those who would be consideredsuitable for transplant. Non-orthotopic liver trans-plant may be a preferred option in such circum-stances, although much more data on survival afterthis procedure are required.

BackgroundParacetamol induced liver failure is a serious andpotentially fatal poisoning which occurs commonlyin the United Kingdom. Approximately 100–150people die as a result of paracetamol poisoning, andan estimated 40 000 individuals take paracetamoloverdoses each year.1 In patients who are otherwiseexpected to die, orthotopic liver transplant (OLT)is recommended. OLT is performed in specialist

centers and because this treatment is only clearlyjustifiable in patients who would otherwise die,criteria for determining such patients have beenestablished. If such criteria were perfect, all patientswho would benefit from transplant would beidentified while they were well enough to receivethis major surgery and those that would otherwisesurvive would always be excluded.

Address correspondence to Nick Buckley, Medical Professorial Unit, POW Hospital Clinical School,University of NSW, Level 1, South Wing Edmund Blackett Building, Randwick. 2031, Australia.email: [email protected]

! The Author 2008. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Association of Physicians.All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: [email protected]

Q J Med 2008; 101:723–729doi:10.1093/qjmed/hcn077 Advance Access published on 7 July 2008

at NT D

ept of Health and Fam

ilies on September 10, 2012

http://qjmed.oxfordjournals.org/

Dow

nloaded from

Page 45: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

The typical age of paracetamol self-poisoning is20–25 years.4,5 The average life expectancy in thedeveloped world is !80 years. Therefore we model-led the outcome of the decision to transplant a20-year-old on their survival over the next 60 years.Survival rates for transplanted patients beyond 10years for which data are available was extrapolatedby simple arithmetic regression (the same percentageof survivors dieing each year from complications oftheir transplant after year 10 as died between year 1and 10—pale lines in Figure 2). Those who were nottransplanted were assumed to have normal health.Both groups were assumed to also be affected byother causes of mortality equally using data on agerelated mortality in the UK from the WHO GlobalBurden of Disease Project 2001.6

For quality of life assessment, patients survivingwithout a transplant were assumed to have a normalquality of life. So their life expectancy was alsocompared with QALY survival in those with a livertransplant. For such purposes, transplanted individ-uals are estimated to have a quality of life of 0.6compared to a healthy population.7

ResultsThe results of the search strategy are summarizedin Figure 1. Many articles were rejected as theabstracts indicated they could not possibly containoriginal data on this subject. Another 51 articleswere rejected because on review of the original

paper the relevant data was not present (e.g. deathand transplant combined, other severity scorescombined with King’s criteria). Of the 36 articlesidentified in the two searches, 11 were identifiedin both searches and this left a total of 25 articlescontaining relevant data.8–33 Two studies from theKing’s centre had complete overlap with two largerstudies from the same unit and were excludedto prevent major duplication of results.8–11 Onestudy from Birmingham had complete overlap withanother and was excluded.12,13 One study from theScottish Liver Transplant Unit had complete tem-poral overlap with another and was excluded.28,30

Two studies from the Rigshositalet Copenhagen hadcomplete overlap with other studies and wereexcluded.14–19 One study from the RigshositaletCopenhagen had 24 months of 55 months (43%)overlap with another and was excluded.18,32 OneStudy from the Rigshositalet Copenhagen had 1 yearof total 23 years overlap with another (4.3%) andwas included.16,18 The data from two articles fromThe Austin Hospital in Melbourne Australia wererepublished in another later article and wereexcluded.20–22 One Study from Cedars-Sinai hadcomplete temporal overlap with another and wasexcluded.26,31 The two other studies from King’s had3 months of the studies of a total 102 month overlap(2.9%) and were included for analysis.8,9 Data wasextracted from a total of 15 studies8,9,12,16–19,

22–25,27,28,31,33 (Figures 1 and 3).From these studies there were 386 patients that

met KCC but were not transplanted and of these96 (24.9%) survived (95% Confidence interval20.8–29.4). The expected survival is shown inFigure 2. The expected survival benefit calculatedas area under curve (AUC) for a 20-year-old with theKCC was similar without a transplant (13.4 years) aswith a transplant (13.5 years). The expected survivalin Quality adjusted life-years in the transplanted

0 10 20 30 40 50 600

50

100

Transplanted

Not transplanted

extrapolation

QALY (transplanted)

extrapolation

Years after transplant

Sur

viva

l %

Figure 2. Estimated survival curves depending on deci-sion to transplant a 20-year-old with KCC for paracetamolinduced liver failure. Pooled data show survival of 24.9%(95% CI 20.8–29.4) in patients meeting KCC who are nottransplanted. Liver transplant recipients after acute liverfailure by comparison have survival at 10 years of 44%(95% CI 38–50). Thus, the odds ratio for 10-year survivalmight be estimated as favouring transplant recipients (OR1.77; 95% CI 1.29–2.40). However, the survival advan-tage becomes increasingly unfavourable with extrapola-tion, and even more so when using QALY.

0 25 50 75

*O’Grady JG et al 1991*Bernal W et al 1998*Bernal W et al 2002

Ng et al 2004Anand et al 1997Shakil et al 2000

Detry et al 1999Larson et al 2005Chung et al 2003

Gow et al 1999Donaldson et al 1993

Schmidt 2003Schmidt 2004

Schiodt et al 1996Brandsaeter et al 2002

Died

Lived

Figure 3. Number of people who lived and died aftermeeting KCC for paracetamol induced liver fail-ure.8,9,12,16–19,22–25,27,28,31,33 Asterisk indicate Studyfrom King’s unit.

Liver transplant in paracetamol hepatotoxicity 725

at NT D

ept of Health and Fam

ilies on September 10, 2012

http://qjmed.oxfordjournals.org/

Dow

nloaded from

Page 46: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Survival benefit for  a  20-­‐year-­‐old  who  meets    

King’s  College  Criteria    

13.4  years  without  transplant  13.5  years  with  transplant  (8.4  QALYs)  

Page 47: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Photo  by  shenamt  on  Flickr  

Page 48: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Why so much dogma?

Page 49: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Flawed  understanding  of  physiology    

Poor  quality  or  invalid  studies    

‘Chinese  whispers’    

Surrogate  outcomes    

Publica>on  prac>ce  distorts  science    

Difficulty  learning  to  unlearn  

Page 50: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Flawed  understanding  of  physiology    

Poor  quality  or  invalid  studies    

‘Chinese  whispers’    

Surrogate  outcomes    

Publica>on  prac>ce  distorts  science    

Difficulty  learning  to  unlearn  

Page 51: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Flawed  understanding  of  physiology    

Poor  quality  or  invalid  studies    

‘Chinese  whispers’    

Surrogate  outcomes    

Publica>on  prac>ce  distorts  science    

Difficulty  learning  to  unlearn  

Page 52: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Flawed  understanding  of  physiology    

Poor  quality  or  invalid  studies    

‘Chinese  whispers’    

Surrogate  outcomes    

Publica>on  prac>ce  distorts  science    

Difficulty  learning  to  unlearn  

Page 53: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Flawed  understanding  of  physiology    

Poor  quality  or  invalid  studies    

‘Chinese  whispers’    

Surrogate  outcomes    

Publica>on  prac>ce  distorts  science    

Difficulty  learning  to  unlearn  

Page 54: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Flawed  understanding  of  physiology    

Poor  quality  or  invalid  studies    

‘Chinese  whispers’    

Surrogate  outcomes    

Publica>on  prac>ce  distorts  science    

Difficulty  learning  to  unlearn  

Page 55: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Which way now?

Page 56: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Eddleston  M,  et  al.  The  hazards  of  gastric  lavage  for  inten@onal  self-­‐poisoning  in  a  resource  poor  loca@on.  Clin  Toxicol  (Phila).  2007;45(2):136-­‐43.    

Page 57: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

“It  is    everyone’s responsibility  

to  find  out  how  to  ask  ques@ons  systema@cally,  find  answers  from  

searching  the  literature,    cri@cally  appraise  the  literature  and  apply  

the  results  to  prac@ce”  

Bellomo  R.  The  dangers  of  dogma  in  medicine.  Med  J  Aust.  2011  Oct;195(7):372-­‐3.  

Page 58: Toxicological Myths and Half-Truths

Photo  by  Incurable_hippie  on  Flickr    

The End Talk  resources  at  h+p://liDl.org/11p0o81