India Outbound Tourism Market: Outbound Tourists Visit, Tourists Spending and Forecast to 2020
Tourism Hotspot Forecast – Week 26/02 – 03/03, 2016 · Tourism Hotspot Forecast – Week 26/02...
Transcript of Tourism Hotspot Forecast – Week 26/02 – 03/03, 2016 · Tourism Hotspot Forecast – Week 26/02...
Tourism Hotspot Forecast – Week 26/02 – 03/03, 2016 A TOURISM SAFETY INITIATIVE OF THE TOURISM BUSINESS COUNCIL SA
The purpose of this document is to provide decision-makers within the tourism industry with a
weekly overview of projected high crime locations in the country. These projections are
applicable to all businesses – not specifically tourism. It is the recipient of this product’s
responsibility to “superimpose” his/her specific organisation’s locality onto the projected crime
“map” as depicted here.
6/2016
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Disclaimer The information in this document is confidential. It is intended for use by the specific recipient and copying and/or forwarding this document to other recipients is strictly forbidden. Neither the TBCSA nor TSI will be held liable for any damage or loss relating to the use of this information, whether it arises out of contract or delict, and regardless of whether the possibility of such damage or loss was advised, or not. If you disagree with the terms and conditions, you should refrain from using the information and notify TSI without delay.
Method of Use The information provided here is based on a wide variety of sources from within the private public partnership in crime control. By its very nature any product that attempts to forecast crime and victimization patterns spatially is a risky undertaking. But we believe that doing nothing is more risky. The hotspots provided here refer to Police Clusters. The recipients should ensure that they are familiar with the Police Clusters within which their businesses are located, so as to draw any correlations. As to the specific methodology to be used by each recipient to sensitise its business interests as to the information contained herein, if it is applicable – that is left to their own discretion, except that the product may not be forwarded as is. It is important to understand that the quality of this product will only be improved with improved incident reporting on the TSI website – www.tourismsafety.co.za – as that will enable us to determine forecasting accuracy. The information provided here is based on the weekly aggregation of information from sources related to inter alia the banking industry, Post Office, petroleum industry, retailers and SAPS. As the TSI incident reporting levels mature, we will also increasingly contribute to these hotspot forecasts.
Table of Contents
High risk provinces 2
Lessons learned 2
Crime types 2
Risk categories 3
Hotspot forecast success ratio 3
Risk ratings per province 4
Crime prevention tips 13
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High Risk provinces in priority order
Gauteng, Western Cape, Kwazulu-Natal, Eastern Cape, Limpopo, Mpumalanga, NW, Free State, NC.
Lessons learned and modus operandi (MO)
Lessons learned deals with the most important lessons learned over the recent past regarding especially
violent crimes, but not exclusively so – specifically as it affects business. It is important to understand
that these are not specifically tourism industry-related, but rather generically applicable to all
(violent) crimes directed at business – especially armed robberies. The importance of these for the
tourism industry is that criminals are creatures of habit, and in many cases they will migrate between
industries to targets of opportunity. Their MO, although maybe slightly adapted to each new situation,
will contain traces of past behavior.
Arrests were made in KZN.
Vulnerability before and during opening as well as during and after closing times remains a concern
across all industries.
The safe carrying of cash and associated violence during the robberies remains a concern.
Filling stations, shops selling Cell phones, fast food outlets and lower LSM stores are especially
targeted.
The use of explosives, cutting torches and grinders in attempts to gain access to ATMs, safes and
Cash Management Systems (CMS) were reported.
Follow-home robberies from OR Tambo seem to be on the increase again.
Crime Types
The types of crimes specifically relevant to these hotspots are bank robberies, associated robberies (to
and from the bank), business/retailer robberies, ATM attacks, fuel station robberies, and CIT robberies.
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Risk Categories
The hotspot model developed here is still relatively primitive compared to such models that exist in
other industries. It will be improved over time, but for now only two risk categories are used – Medium
and High. Medium risk requires increased preventative measures (e.g. alerting staff to be more aware);
High risk requires specific preventative measures (e.g. drills, CPF liaison, increasing security patrols etc).
From a tour operator perspective it is left to their own discretion as to how they want to use this
information. We do recommend that it is factored into route planning though.
Towns not mentioned here are assumed to be at low risk.
Successful Hotspot Forecasts
N/A
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Risk Ratings per Province
Gauteng
SAPS Cluster Risk Rating
Alexandra High
Benoni High
Brakpan High
Carltonville Medium
Ga-Rankuwa High
Germiston High
Hillbrow High
Honeydew Medium
Johannesburg Central High
Katlahong High
Krugersdorp High
Mamelodi Medium
Moroka High
Pretoria Central High
Sebokeng High
Springs Medium
Sunnyside High
Tembisa High
Vereeniging Medium
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KZN
SAPS Cluster Risk Rating
Amajuba High
Durban Central High
Durban Surrounds High
Harry Gwala Medium
Howick Medium
Ilembe Medium
Ugu Medium
Uthungulu Medium
Umgungundlovo Medium
Umzinyati Medium
Zululand High
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Mpumalanga
SAPS Cluster Risk Rating
Acornhoek Medium
Elukwatini Medium
Ermelo Medium
KwaMahlanga High
Middelburg High
Nelspruit Medium
Pienaar Medium
Secunda High
Tonga Medium
Witbank High
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Limpopo
SAPS Cluster Risk Rating
Bela-Bela Medium
Burgersfort Medium
Giyani Medium
Groblersdal High
Lebowakgomo High
Lephalale Medium
Mahwelereng High
Makhado Medium
Shesego High
Toyando High
Tzaneen Medium
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North West
SAPS Cluster Risk Rating
Brits Medium
Klerksdorp High
Mahikeng High
Pudimoe Medium
Rustenburg High
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Free State
SAPS Cluster Risk Rating
Mangaung Medium
Park Road High
Phutaditjaba Medium
Thabong Medium
Welkom Medium
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Eastern Cape
SAPS Cluster Risk Rating
Alice Medium
Butterworth Medium
Cofimvaba Medium
East London High
King Williams Town Medium
Mdantsane Medium
Motherwell Medium
Mount Fletcher High
Mount Road High
Mtatha Medium
Port St Johns Medium
Queenstown High
Uitenhage Medium
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Western Cape
SAPS Cluster Risk Rating
Bluedowns Medium
Cape Town Central Medium
Da Gamaskop High
Eden Medium
Khayelitsha Medium
Milnerton Medium
Mitchells Plain High
Nyanga High
Overberg Medium
Tygerberg High
Vredenburg Medium
Winelands Medium
Wynberg Medium
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Crime Prevention Tips
Carjacking Prevention Tips The most common location where a carjacking is likely to occur is a large parking lot, in a shopping
centre where people are entering and exiting their vehicles. Many carjackers prefer to be near a freeway
on-ramp for a quick escape. Some common locations for carjacking include; parking lots, parking
structures, gas stations, liquor stores, shopping malls, strip malls, hotels, ATM locations, and the drive
thru at fast food restaurants. What to Do:
Be aware of your surroundings as you walk to and from your vehicle.
Be cognizant of suspicious looking people sitting in their vehicle.
Park in area with sufficient lighting, especially if you arrive and/or leave after dark.
Never park in isolated or visually obstructed areas.
Park as close as you can to your intended destination. The farther away you park, the more isolated
you’ll be.
Enter and exit your vehicle quickly, and make sure the doors are locked at all times. Don’t linger
around talking on your cell-phone. Start the car and leave immediately.
If someone approaches you and you start to feel uncomfortable, change direction or go into a busy
store or where there are many people.
Be leery of people loitering in the area, especially young males. This demographic makes up the vast
majority of carjackers.
Most large shopping centers will provide you with a security escort to your vehicle. If you are alone,
don’t be embarrassed to ask for an escort. Take advantage of it, this is why the security guards are
there.
Look around, under and inside your vehicle before getting in. While loading packages into your car, be
aware of your immediate surroundings. Don’t turn your back on any people nearby.
Trust your instincts, if they tell you to be suspicious and walk away, then do so.
Source: http://www.apexselfdefense.com/carjacking_prevention_s/221.htm
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Hijackings on the Rise
Mamelodi East has seen an increase in hijackings, police said this week. Spokesperson Warrant Officer
Michael Mbewe urged motorists to take extra precaution to be safe, especially at night. He said police
had identified the hijacking hotspot as the corner of Hinterland Street and Solomon Mahlangu Drive,
next to the Mahube mall and at Extension 17. Mbewe gave a few tips for motorists to avoid becoming
victims of a hijacking:
Avoid giving lifts to strangers and when driving alone at night and beware of suspicious people
loitering next to stops signs or traffic lights.
Phone someone at home and ask them to wait for you outside when arriving home at night to prevent
being ambushed as you wait for the gate to open.
If you are hijacked, be alert and make a mental note of your assailant’s appearance, scars, voice and
physical build, all information that would help the police compile an identikit.
If possible install anti hijacking devices, avoid road rage and most importantly don’t drink and drive. He
encouraged motorists to report any suspicious people to the police by calling 08600-10-111.
Source: http://rekordeast.co.za/83332/hijackings-on-the-rise/
Contact Contact the TSI Project Manager at [email protected], or 012 664 0120. Alternatively the TSI Analyst at [email protected], or 0861 000 064.