Topic 1.1

35
ECON 377/477

Transcript of Topic 1.1

Page 1: Topic 1.1

ECON 377/477

Page 2: Topic 1.1

Topic 1.1

Economics of Production(plus an overview of CROB)

Page 3: Topic 1.1

Outline

• Some informal definitions• Overview of methods• Outline of chapters

3ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 4: Topic 1.1

Informal definitions

• Important informal definitions are given for:o production frontiero feasible production set o productivityo total factor productivity (TFP)o technical efficiencyo technical changeo allocative efficiencyo scale economies

4ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 5: Topic 1.1

Informal definitions: production frontier

• The production frontier represents the maximum output attainable from each input level

• Hence, it reflects the current state of technology in the industry

• The dual relationship between production and cost functions means that it is also possible to specify and measure the cost frontier

5ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 6: Topic 1.1

Feasible production set

• A feasible production set is the set of all input-output combinations that are feasible

• This set consists of all points between the production frontier and the input (x) axis, inclusive of these bounds

• The points along the production frontier define the efficient subset of this feasible production set

• Note that this definition of the production set assumes free disposability of inputs and outputs

6ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 7: Topic 1.1

Informal definitions: productivity

• The productivity of a firm is the ratio of the output(s) that it produces to the input(s) that it uses: productivity = outputs/inputs

• When the production process involves a single input and a single output, this calculation is a trivial matter

• However, when there is more than one input, a method for aggregating these inputs into a single index of inputs must be used to obtain a ratio measure of productivity

7ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 8: Topic 1.1

Informal definitions: TFP

• Total factor productivity (TFP) is a productivity measure involving all factors of production

• TFP also includes all outputs in a multiple-output setting

• Other traditional measures of productivity, such as labour productivity in a factory, fuel productivity in power stations and land productivity (yield) in farming, are often called partial measures of productivity

• These partial productivity measures can provide a misleading indication of overall productivity when considered in isolation

8ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 9: Topic 1.1

Informal definitions: technical efficiency

• Firms operate either on the production frontier, if they are technically efficient, or beneath the frontier, if they are not technically efficient

• Point A in the next slide represents an inefficient firm whereas points B and C represent efficient firms

• A firm operating at point A is inefficient because technically it could increase output to the level associated with the point B without requiring more input (output orientation)

• Or it could reduce input use to point C without reducing output (input orientation)

9ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 10: Topic 1.1

Input

Output

0

Production frontier

A

B

C

10ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 11: Topic 1.1

Input

Output

0

Average production function

Production frontier

11ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 12: Topic 1.1

Informal definitions: technical efficiency

• Point A in the next slide represents an inefficient point above the cost frontier, measured by an isoquant (assuming input prices are given), whereas point B represents an efficient point on the cost frontier

• A firm operating at point A is inefficient because technically it could reduce input use to the level associated with the point B without being required to alter its output

• Labour input declines from L1 to L2 and capital input declines from K1 to K2

12ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 13: Topic 1.1

B

A

Labour

Capital0

Frontier isoquant

L1

L2

K1K2

13ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 14: Topic 1.1

Allocative efficiency

• To this point, all discussion has involved physical quantities and technical relationships

• We have not discussed concepts such as costs and profits

• If information on prices is available, and a behavioural assumption such as cost minimisation or profit maximisation is appropriate, then performance measures can be devised that incorporate this information

14ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 15: Topic 1.1

Allocative efficiency

• Allocative efficiency in input selection involves selecting that mix of inputs (for example, labour and capital) that produces a given quantity of output at minimum cost (given input prices)

• Allocative and technical efficiency combine to provide an overall economic efficiency measure

• On the next slide, points B and C are both technically efficient but only point C is economically efficient (that is, both technically and allocatively efficient)

15ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 16: Topic 1.1

B

A

Labour

Capital0

Frontier isoquant

C

Isocost curve

technically and allocatively inefficient

technically efficient but allocatively inefficient

technically and allocatively efficient

16ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 17: Topic 1.1

Technical change

• When one considers productivity comparisons through time, an additional source of productivity change, called technological change, is possible

• This involves advances in technology that may be represented by an upward shift in the production frontier, depicted on the next slide by the movement from 0F0 in period 0 to 0F1 in period 1

• In period 1, all firms can technically produce more output for each level of input, relative to what was possible in period 0

17ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 18: Topic 1.1

Input

Output

0

F1’

F0’

18ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 19: Topic 1.1

Scale economies

• By moving to point C, the ray from the origin is at a tangent to the production frontier and hence defines the point of maximum possible productivity

• This movement is an example of exploiting scale economies as C is the point of (technically) optimal scale

•  A firm may be technically efficient (for example, point B) but may still be able to improve its productivity by exploiting scale economies

19ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 20: Topic 1.1

Input

Output

0

Optimal scale

A

B

C

F

20ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 21: Topic 1.1

Overview of methods

• Four major methods are covered in the unit:o least-squares econometric production modelso total factor productivity (TFP) indiceso data envelopment analysis (DEA)o stochastic frontiers

21ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 22: Topic 1.1

Overview of methods

• The first two methods are most often applied to aggregate time-series data and provide measures of technical change and/or TFP

• Both of these methods assume all firms are technically efficient

22ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 23: Topic 1.1

Overview of methods

• Methods 3 and 4, on the other hand, are most often applied to data on a sample of firms (at one point in time) and provide measures of relative efficiency among those firms

• Hence, these latter two methods do not assume that all firms are technically efficient

23ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 24: Topic 1.1

Overview of methods

• However, multilateral TFP indices can also be used to compare the relative productivity of a group of firms at one point in time

• Also, DEA and stochastic frontiers can be used to measure both technical change and technical efficiency change if panel data are available

• Thus, the methods can be grouped according to whether they recognise technical inefficiency or not

24ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 25: Topic 1.1

Overview of methods

• An alternative way of grouping the methods is to note that methods 1 and 4 involve the econometric estimation of parametric functions, while methods 2 and 3 do not

• These two groups may therefore be termed ‘parametric’ and ‘non-parametric’ methods, respectively

• But note that recent estimation innovations such as bootstrapping have blurred the distinction between ‘parametric’ and ‘non-parametric’ methods

25ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 26: Topic 1.1

Overview of methods

• These methods may also be distinguished in several other ways, such as by their data requirements, their behavioural assumptions and by whether or not they recognise random errors in the data (that is, noise)

• These differences are discussed in later chapters

26ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 27: Topic 1.1

Chapter 2 Review of production economics

• Production economics is reviewed, including a discussion of the various ways in which one can provide a functional representation of a production technology

• Production, cost, revenue and profit functions are presented, and information is provided on their properties and dual relationships

• A variety of production economics concepts, such as elasticities of substitution and returns to scale, are reviewed

27ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 28: Topic 1.1

Chapter 3 Productivity and efficiency measurement concepts

• Alternative uses of set constructs to define production technologies are described

• The concept of a distance function is introduced to help define a number of efficiency measurement concepts

• Formal definitions are given of concepts such as technical efficiency, allocative efficiency, scale efficiency, technical change and TFP change

28ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 29: Topic 1.1

Chapter 4 Index numbers and productivity measurement

• A description is given of the Laspeyres, Paasche, Tornqvist and Fisher index numbers

• An explanation is given why they may be preferred when calculating indices of input and output quantities and TFP

• The economic theory underlying index number methods is discussed, and the various axioms that index numbers should ideally possess are outlined

29ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 30: Topic 1.1

Chapter 5 Data and measurement issues

• A range of issues relating to the collection of data on inputs and outputs are discussed, covering topics such as quality variations, capital measurement, cross-sectional and time-series data, constructing implicit quantity measures using price-deflated value aggregates, aggregation issues, international comparisons, environmental differences and overheads allocation

• The index number concepts introduced in Chapter 4 are used regularly in this discussion

30ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 31: Topic 1.1

Chapter 6 Data envelopment analysis

• Data envelopment analysis (DEA) is introduced in this chapter

• It is the mathematical programming approach to the estimation of frontier functions and the calculation of efficiency measures

• Forms of DEA models are discussed: input- and output-orientated models under the assumptions of constant returns to scale and variable returns to scale

• These methods are illustrated using simple numerical examples

31ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 32: Topic 1.1

Chapter 7 Additional DEA topics

• Further discussion of DEA models is provided on the issues of allocative efficiency, short-run models, environmental variables, the treatment of slacks, super-efficiency measures and weights restrictions

• A detailed empirical application is undertaken

32ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 33: Topic 1.1

Chapter 8 Econometric estimation of production technologies

• An overview is given of the main econometric methods used to estimate economic relationships, with an emphasis on production and cost functions

• Much of the discussion is useful background for the stochastic frontier methods discussed in the following two chapters

• Data on rice farmers in the Philippines are used to illustrate a number of models

33ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 34: Topic 1.1

Chapter 9 Stochastic frontier analysis

• The basic stochastic frontier model is introduced and illustrated in this chapter, using a simple example

• Topics covered include maximum likelihood estimation, efficiency prediction and hypothesis testing

• The rice farmer data from Chapter 8 are used to illustrate a number of models

34ECON377/477 Topic 1.1

Page 35: Topic 1.1

Chapter 10 Additional topics on stochastic frontier analysis

• Discussion of stochastic frontiers is extended in this final chapter to cover topics such as allocative efficiency, panel data models, the inclusion of environmental and management variables, risk modelling and Bayesian methods

• The rice farmer data from Chapter 8 are used to illustrate a number of models

35ECON377/477 Topic 1.1