Tony Allan Keynote Speech

Water in Africa

A political [governance] &

a management challenge

Tony AllanKing’s College & SOAS London

2

The consequences of asymmnetric rainfall Source Nasa

Endowments - including water

DemographicsInfrastructureGovernance

Outcomes

LWRG 2007 4

The consequences of asymmnetric rainfall Source Nasa

Demographics

6

65mn

108mn

145mn

7

65mn

108mn

145mn

LWRG 2007 8

1268mn

1453mn

1424mn

1004mn

1448mn

1808mn

Consequences of different political cultures

LWRG 2007 9

Infrastructure

11

RESPONSE Global Irrigated Area Map Source IWMI.org

Look at the International Water Management Institute [IWMI] website

Government and Governance

Water in Africa - CEAUP - Porto 2008

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.Org

Civil society

Government & Governance


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Civil society


Government


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Civil society


Government Governance


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Civil society

Governance in a neo-liberal political economies - US, EU etc


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Civil society

DemocracyEmploymentPensionsSubsidies

Laws/regulationWelfare stateConscriptionTaxes

Advocacy

MarketsBranding & advertisingEmploymentPensions

Governance in a neo-liberal political economy


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Neo-liberal ‘democratic’ regime

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Government/Governance in different political economies

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Common Southern

Authoritarian

Outcomes of Africa’s

endowments - including water demographics,infrastructure

levels of development and governance THE KEY ISSUE

LWRG 2007 20

See FAO website for 1970 to 2000 animation

Data for 2000

Africa does have some of the most advanced infrastructure and water management and regulation in the world

$100000 ppy

Adaptive status of the economy & society

[Annual GDP per head as an indicator]

Waterresourcestatus ofthe economy[m3 ppy asan indicator]

Water richbut

adaptively poor

Water richand

adaptively rich

Water poorand

adaptively poor

Water poorand

adaptively rich

10000m3

1000m3

10m3

$1000 ppy

$10 ppy

The two dimensions of water poverty

$100000 ppy




Water richbut

adaptively poor

Water richand

adaptively rich

Water poorand

adaptively poor

Water poorand

adaptively rich

10000m3

1000m3

10m3

$1000 ppy

$10 ppy

The Malthusian relationship

Both the water status and the social adaptive capacity are dynamic.

Communities and political economies

have trajectories reflecting worsening local water resource

availability – because of rising populations, and

improving economies – because of adaptive amelioration.


Water richbut

adaptively poor

Water richand

adaptively rich

Water poorand

adaptively poor

Water poorand

adaptively rich

$100000 ppy

10000m3

1000m3

10m3

$1000 ppy

$10 ppy



Socio-economic development not determined by water status

S KoreaIsraelEgypt S.

Africa

1950

2000

$100000 ppy



The focus of WPI monitoring & evaluation


Water richbut

adaptively poor

Water richand

adaptively rich

Water poorand

adaptively poor

Water poorand

adaptively rich

10000m3

1000m3

10m3

$1000 ppy

$10 ppy

Water poverty is concerned with the one to two billion facing poor water endowments & poor adaptive capacity

Poverty determines water poverty

Water poverty does not determine poverty

Adaptive capacity is the key resource

More crop per drop

More jobs per drop

More care per drop

Concepts from economics

More crop per drop

More jobs per drop

More care per drop

More stake per drop

Concepts from economics

Environ-metal paradigm

5th paradigm

A politicians prayer‘Some water for everyone for

ever’Kader Asmal 1996

Africa’s prayer‘Enough water for everyone and for the environment for

ever’

Thank you

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Tony Allan Keynote Speech

Education

Transcript of Tony Allan Keynote Speech