Tomorrows Safety Case Steve Kinnersly. Slide serial no 2 © 2001 AEA Technology plc Todays Safety...
13
Tomorrow’s Safety Case Steve Kinnersly
-
Upload
anna-allen -
Category
Documents
-
view
217 -
download
2
Transcript of Tomorrows Safety Case Steve Kinnersly. Slide serial no 2 © 2001 AEA Technology plc Todays Safety...
Tomorrow’s Safety Case
Steve Kinnersly
Slide serial no 2© 2001 AEA Technology
plc
Today’s Safety Case?
A reasoned argument that a system is or will be safe
Needed to get a ‘permit to operate’ Only as good as the day (???) it is written Sits of a shelf Expensive
Slide serial no 3© 2001 AEA Technology
plc
Today’s Safety Case?
A unique collection of data, information, logical argument
Lots of future value - if only we can see it and get at it!
Slide serial no 4© 2001 AEA Technology
plc
Challenges for tomorrow
SAFETY CASE
Unlock ValueFor BusinessFor Operations
Safety IssuesNew TechnologyWhole Airspace
Slide serial no 5© 2001 AEA Technology
plc
Safety
Business Risk
Business Strategy
Regulation
Cost/Benefit
Unlocking value for Business
SAFETY CASE
Integrate with BUSINESS
MANAGEMENT
Slide serial no 6© 2001 AEA Technology
plc
Training
MaintenanceATC Ops
Management support
Unlocking value for Operations
SAFETY CASE
Integrate with OPERATIONS
Slide serial no 7© 2001 AEA Technology
plc
To unlock the value
Key Stakeholders Benefits and Value Barriers Enabling Concepts Enabling Technologies Road map
Slide serial no 8© 2001 AEA Technology
plc
Advanced planning tools
Satellites
Decisions by computer
New aircraft, airships, …
Datalink applications
Safety with New Technology
SAFETY CASE
NEW TECHNOLOG
YSAFETY
Slide serial no 9© 2001 AEA Technology
plc
RegulationEmergent behaviour
Safety case network
Resilience
Systems integration
Trajectory planning
Safety for the Whole Airspace
SAFETY CASE
WHOLE AIRSPACE
SAFETY CASE
Slide serial no 10© 2001 AEA Technology
plc
Resilience - a concept surfacing?
‘If there is a failure, the real question in not whether the controller can regain control but whether the SYSTEM can recover’
‘An unexpected change to a weather front can mean a lot of re-routing at short notice, can we handle it?’
‘100 flights are cancelled because of the weather, what is the effect on the rest of the network?’
‘How sensitive is it to uncertainty in departure time?’
‘Would the scale of traffic inevitably result in a small perturbation leading to major disruption?’
Slide serial no 11© 2001 AEA Technology
plc
To deal with the safety issues
Why is European airspace safe NOW? Why will it be safe in 2015+ ? Answers in less than 50 words that can
be understood be travellers and senior management!
High level safety concepts/principles for new technologies in whole-airspace context
Is Resilience a key to the future?
Slide serial no 12© 2001 AEA Technology
plc
Slide serial no 13© 2001 AEA Technology
plc
In less than 50 words ...
European airspace is safe NOW because flights are planned and controlled so aircraft are safely separated and if it looks as if aircraft will get too close there is always somewhere safe to put them and the means to get them there safely.
