Tilting at Windmills: Intrapreneurship in large organizations from Lean UX NYC 2014
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Tilting at Windmills
Innovation in large organizations.
Photo by Echiner on Flickr. Used under a creative commons license. https://www.flickr.com/photos/decadence/249922560
Thursday, April 10, 14

Back in 2008.
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Today.
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That escalated quickly.
Thursday, April 10, 14

When you’re a startupyour goal is to find a sustainable,
repeatable business model.
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When you’re a big company, your goal is to perpetuate one.
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Instead of:Companies are what they repeatedly do.
Thursday, April 10, 14

How about:Organizations that do things repeatedly
are companies.
Thursday, April 10, 14

Once, this was all about scale.
Thursday, April 10, 14

How to perpetuate something.
Photo by Kamal Hamid. Used under a creative commons license. https://www.flickr.com/photos/evergreenkamal/395448039Thursday, April 10, 14

Daniel Craig McCallum.
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How’s that working out for you?
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F500 lifespan history
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Fortune 500Life Expectancy(http://csinvesting.org/2012/01/06/fortune-500-extinction/)
1950 2010...
75years
15years
Thursday, April 10, 14

Fortune 500Life Expectancy(http://csinvesting.org/2012/01/06/fortune-500-extinction/)
1950 2010...
75years
15years
Growth by entering a new business
Corporate Strategy Board
95% fail
99% fail
Clay Christensen
Thursday, April 10, 14

The innovation problem isn’t new.
Picture by James Whatley on Flickr. Used under a Creative Commons license.https://www.flickr.com/photos/whatleydude/6202872135Thursday, April 10, 14

Companies die because they fail to move to new business models.
Thursday, April 10, 14

Clay Christensen, The Innovator’s Dilemma
Cost
per
MB
$1000
$100
$10
$1
Time
The Innovator’s Dilemma
Thursday, April 10, 14

Clay Christensen, The Innovator’s Dilemma
Cost
per
MB
$1000
$100
$10
$1
Time
14”
Mainframe
The Innovator’s Dilemma
Thursday, April 10, 14

Clay Christensen, The Innovator’s Dilemma
Cost
per
MB
$1000
$100
$10
$1
Time
14”
Mainframe
8”
Minicomputer
The Innovator’s Dilemma
Thursday, April 10, 14

Clay Christensen, The Innovator’s Dilemma
Cost
per
MB
$1000
$100
$10
$1
Time
14”
Mainframe
8”
Minicomputer
5.25”
Desktop
The Innovator’s Dilemma
Thursday, April 10, 14

Clay Christensen, The Innovator’s Dilemma
Cost
per
MB
$1000
$100
$10
$1
Time
14”
Mainframe
8”
Minicomputer
5.25”
Desktop
3.5”
Notebook
The Innovator’s Dilemma
Thursday, April 10, 14

$1000
$100
$10
$1
Time
8” 5.25”
Technologies outstrip what the market needs, driven by feedback from the “best” current customer.
Thursday, April 10, 14

$1000
$100
$10
$1
Time
8” 5.25”
Technologies outstrip what the market needs, driven by feedback from the “best” current customer.
High end
customer
Thursday, April 10, 14

$1000
$100
$10
$1
Time
8” 5.25”
Technologies outstrip what the market needs, driven by feedback from the “best” current customer.
High end
customer Low end
customer
Thursday, April 10, 14

$1000
$100
$10
$1
Time
8” 5.25”
The new market has different criteria for success, which are uninteresting to incumbents.
Thursday, April 10, 14

$1000
$100
$10
$1
Time
8” 5.25”
The new market has different criteria for success, which are uninteresting to incumbents.
Storagecapacity
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$1000
$100
$10
$1
Time
8” 5.25”
The new market has different criteria for success, which are uninteresting to incumbents.
Storagecapacity
Portability
Thursday, April 10, 14

Amazon Web Services and the server value network
Server computing
• Density• Heat
• GHz• MIPS
Capex, financing, TCO, ROICIO, enterprise IT
Valuecriteria
Money
Buyer
Thursday, April 10, 14

Amazon Web Services and the server value network
Server computing
• Density• Heat
• GHz• MIPS
Capex, financing, TCO, ROICIO, enterprise IT
Valuecriteria
Money
Buyer
Cloud computing
• Instances• Objects
• Spinup time• Scaleout
Opex, demand, time to resultCTO, coder, app owner, line of business, startup
Thursday, April 10, 14

HP and Dell missed the disruption and the change in the value network.
$1000
$100
$10
$1
TimeThursday, April 10, 14

HP and Dell missed the disruption and the change in the value network.
$1000
$100
$10
$1
Time
Physical servers:MIPS, heat, density, cost per cycle.
Sold to CIOs
Thursday, April 10, 14

HP and Dell missed the disruption and the change in the value network.
$1000
$100
$10
$1
Time
Physical servers:MIPS, heat, density, cost per cycle.
Sold to CIOs Cloud computing:Opex cost, time to spin up, scaleout, objects stored.
Sold to developers, marketers, startups
Thursday, April 10, 14

HP and Dell missed the disruption and the change in the value network.
$1000
$100
$10
$1
Time
Elastic resources mean we can scale up to huge, and shrink costs when not in use.
Thursday, April 10, 14

YOU ARE HERE
This is a problem of local maxima.
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YOU ARE HERE
LOCALMAXIMUM
OPTIMIZATIONOF CURRENT
METRICS
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YOU ARE HERE
GLOBALMAXIMUMINNOVATION
WITH NEWRULES
Thursday, April 10, 14

YOU ARE HERE
SHORT-TERMINVESTORSHATE GOINGDOWNHILL
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By trying to innovate in a big organization, you are going against
its mandate to perpetuate an existing business model.
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You are a pariah.
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You are a pariah.
Bad listener: Wilfully ignore feedback from your best customers.
Thursday, April 10, 14

You are a pariah.
Bad listener: Wilfully ignore feedback from your best customers.
Cannibal: If successful, destroying existing revenue streams.
Thursday, April 10, 14

You are a pariah.
Bad listener: Wilfully ignore feedback from your best customers.
Cannibal: If successful, destroying existing revenue streams.
Job killer: Automation & lower margins are your favorite tools.
Thursday, April 10, 14

You are a pariah.
Bad listener: Wilfully ignore feedback from your best customers.
Cannibal: If successful, destroying existing revenue streams.
Job killer: Automation & lower margins are your favorite tools.
Security risk: Advocate of transparency, open data, communities.
Thursday, April 10, 14

You are a pariah.
Bad listener: Wilfully ignore feedback from your best customers.
Cannibal: If successful, destroying existing revenue streams.
Job killer: Automation & lower margins are your favorite tools.
Security risk: Advocate of transparency, open data, communities.
Narcissist: Worry constantly about how you’ll get attention.
Thursday, April 10, 14

You are a pariah.
Bad listener: Wilfully ignore feedback from your best customers.
Cannibal: If successful, destroying existing revenue streams.
Job killer: Automation & lower margins are your favorite tools.
Security risk: Advocate of transparency, open data, communities.
Narcissist: Worry constantly about how you’ll get attention.
Slum lord: Sell to those with less money, deviants, and weirdos.
Thursday, April 10, 14

But there’s hope.Photo by Tom Grydeland on Flickr. Used under a creative commons license. https://www.flickr.com/photos/thunderchild5/225675725Thursday, April 10, 14

Small batches change everything.
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3D printing.
Photo by Keith Kissel on Flickr. Used under a creative commons license. https://www.flickr.com/photos/kakissel/6165114664Thursday, April 10, 14

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Cloud computing and shared services.Thursday, April 10, 14

Social platforms.
Photo by Michael-Davis Burchat on Flickr. Used under a creative commons license. https://www.flickr.com/photos/curious_e/10473440064Thursday, April 10, 14

Crowdfunding.
Thursday, April 10, 14

Digitalchannels.
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on
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com
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ense
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What happenswhen the prototype costswhat the product does?
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Iteration wins.
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In a small-batch, digital-channel world, cycle time trumps scale.
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Ultimately, successful businesses must become organisms designed
to learn.
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Three kinds of innovation
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Three kinds of innovation
Sustain/core(optimizing for more of the
same)Thursday, April 10, 14

Three kinds of innovation
Sustain/core(optimizing for more of the
same)
Improve alongcurrent metrics...
Thursday, April 10, 14

Three kinds of innovation
Sustain/core(optimizing for more of the
same)
Improve alongcurrent metrics...
...or alterthe rate of improvement
Thursday, April 10, 14

Three kinds of innovation
Sustain/core(optimizing for more of the
same)
Innovate/adjacent(introduce nearby product,
market, or method)
Improve alongcurrent metrics...
...or alterthe rate of improvement
Thursday, April 10, 14

Three kinds of innovation
Sustain/core(optimizing for more of the
same)
Innovate/adjacent(introduce nearby product,
market, or method)
Improve alongcurrent metrics...
...or alterthe rate of improvement
Switch to a newvalue model
Thursday, April 10, 14

Three kinds of innovation
Sustain/core(optimizing for more of the
same)
Innovate/adjacent(introduce nearby product,
market, or method)
Disrupt/transform(Fundamentally reframing
the business model & value)
Improve alongcurrent metrics...
...or alterthe rate of improvement
Switch to a newvalue model
Thursday, April 10, 14

Three kinds of innovation
Sustain/core(optimizing for more of the
same)
Innovate/adjacent(introduce nearby product,
market, or method)
Disrupt/transform(Fundamentally reframing
the business model & value)
Improve alongcurrent metrics...
...or alterthe rate of improvement
Switch to a newvalue model
Change the businessmodel entirely
Thursday, April 10, 14

A three-maxima approach
See also: Three horizons model, Geoffrey Moore, etc.Thursday, April 10, 14

Currentstate
A three-maxima approach
See also: Three horizons model, Geoffrey Moore, etc.Thursday, April 10, 14

Currentstate
Business optimization
A three-maxima approach
See also: Three horizons model, Geoffrey Moore, etc.Thursday, April 10, 14

Currentstate
Business optimization
Product,market,method
innovation
A three-maxima approach
See also: Three horizons model, Geoffrey Moore, etc.Thursday, April 10, 14

Currentstate
Business optimization
Product,market,method
innovation
Business model innovationA three-maxima approach
See also: Three horizons model, Geoffrey Moore, etc.Thursday, April 10, 14

Currentstate
Business optimization
Product,market,method
innovation
Business model innovation
You can convince execs of this because it’s somewhat familiar.
A three-maxima approach
See also: Three horizons model, Geoffrey Moore, etc.Thursday, April 10, 14

Currentstate
Business optimization
Product,market,method
innovation
Business model innovation
You can convince execs of this because it’s somewhat familiar.
This terrifies them because it eats their
young.
A three-maxima approach
See also: Three horizons model, Geoffrey Moore, etc.Thursday, April 10, 14

Good Intrapreneurs embrace the harsh light of data.
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Thursday, April 10, 14

Thursday, April 10, 14

Times a song in “heavy rotation” is played daily
2007 20120
15
30
EVERY 4h EVERY 55m
Thursday, April 10, 14

Times a song in “heavy rotation” is played daily
2007 20120
15
30
EVERY 4h EVERY 55m
Thursday, April 10, 14

Times a song in “heavy rotation” is played daily
2007 20120
15
30
EVERY 4h EVERY 55m
Thursday, April 10, 14

Good Intrapreneurs take baby steps.
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Netflix
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Tesla
http://www.hdwallpapersinn.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/12/600-tesla.jpgThursday, April 10, 14

Twitter’s 140-character limit isn’t arbitrary.
It’s constrained by the size of SMS (160 characters) and username (20
characters.)
http://i.i.cbsi.com/cnwk.1d/i/tim/2011/11/18/sms_screen_twitter_activity_stream_270x405.png
Thursday, April 10, 14

Good Intrapreneurs reframe.
Thursday, April 10, 14

http://www.flickr.com/photos/maladjusted/5207565912 Thursday, April 10, 14

Blockbuster had a lot going for it.
Thursday, April 10, 14

Plenty of inventory, of course. But that matters less than...
Thursday, April 10, 14

...market intelligence, customers,
existing payment approval, and
customer history.
Thursday, April 10, 14

The problem was framing:
Blockbuster thought it was in the video store management business.
Netflix realized it was in the entertainment delivery business.
Thursday, April 10, 14

Thursday, April 10, 14

Good Intrapreneurs are subversive.
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http://www.flickr.com/photos/bootbearwdc/1243690099/Thursday, April 10, 14

Ultimately, good Intrapreneurs know cycle time trumps scale.
Thursday, April 10, 14

www.tiltthewindmill.comAlistair [email protected]@acroll
Windmill by Eric Bennett on Flickr. Used under a Creative Commons license.
Thanks!
Thursday, April 10, 14