Tianjin Plastics

27
Tianjin Plastics Group Gamma Samir Bhargava Jung-Chang Cho Jennifer Cota Kurt Ellison Kelly Hickman Jiby Mathews

description

Tianjin Plastics. Group Gamma Samir Bhargava Jung-Chang Cho Jennifer Cota Kurt Ellison Kelly Hickman Jiby Mathews. Tianjin Plastics / Chinese Ministry of Power Industry Government owned enterprise Uses energy-intensive extrusion process for production of - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Tianjin Plastics

Page 1: Tianjin Plastics

Tianjin PlasticsGroup Gamma

Samir Bhargava

Jung-Chang Cho

Jennifer Cota

Kurt Ellison

Kelly Hickman

Jiby Mathews

Page 2: Tianjin Plastics

Joint Venture Tianjin Plastics / Chinese Ministry of Power

Industry- Government owned enterprise - Uses energy-intensive extrusion process for production of

raw industrial plastic products

Maple Energy - U.S. – based international power plant developer- Established in 1989- Successful power plant projects in Argentina, Costa Rica,

the Dominican Republic, and the United Kingdom

Page 3: Tianjin Plastics

The Proposed Power Plant

140 megawatt coal-fired steam-electric plant

Provide all of Tianjin’s power needs

Excess power to be sold on regional electrical power grid

Construction & testing requires 4 years

Power purchasing agreement with Chinese Ministry of Power Industry- Provision for free coal feedstock for life

of power plant

Page 4: Tianjin Plastics

Build-Operate-Transfer (BOT) Agreement

Maple-Tianjin-MOPI Joint Venture – own & manage for 20 years

Turn over to Hebei Province in 2020

Page 5: Tianjin Plastics

What is Project Financing?

Typically used for large-scale, long-term projects

Lenders look to assets & cash flow of project

Preferred & primary method for financing infrastructures

Structured as a single-purpose corporation

Lenders have no recourse to non-project assets

Page 6: Tianjin Plastics

Issue Defined

Choose the best financing option

Repatriation

Currency Risk

Page 7: Tianjin Plastics

Basic Matrix

Important/ Urgent

Low High

Low

Export-Import Bank Announcing its Non-

Participation in Funding Large Projects in China

Contract Fulfillment Not Guaranteed by

Chinese Government

High Currency Controls Exchange Rate Risk

Page 8: Tianjin Plastics

Immediate Matrix

Important/Urgent

Low High

Low Inadequate Capital

Resources in ChinaLimits on ROI

High Cash Flow RiskEnsure Repatriation of Original

Equity Investment

Page 9: Tianjin Plastics

Fishbone Analysis

High Investment Risk in China

Repatriation

GovernmentRestrictions

and Guidelines

Chinese Currency Valuation &

Exchange Rate Risk

Economic & Political risk

Page 10: Tianjin Plastics

Financing Arrangements

$117.4 million

Debt: $ 100.9 million(Bank of China and

Syndication loan)

Equity$16.5 million

Maple (49%)$8.085 million

MOPI (5%)$0.825 million

Tianjin Plastics (46%)$ 7.59 million

Page 11: Tianjin Plastics

Constraints & OpportunitiesOpportunities

-Enormous market potential-Local economic prosperity

Constraints- Inadequate capital resources- Investment barriers

Page 12: Tianjin Plastics

Available Solutions

Indirect RMB Swap

Dollar-Indexed Rate Adjustment

Borrow in Local Currency

Back-to-Back Loan

Page 13: Tianjin Plastics

Decision Criteria

Feasibility

Risk Assessment

Cost

Cash Flow / NPV

Internal Rate of Return

Page 14: Tianjin Plastics

Indirect RMB SwapFeasibility?

Not feasible due to lack of financial derivates to hedge

Non-existence of financial markets in China

Chinese government controls the amount of Rmb converted to hard currency

Page 15: Tianjin Plastics

Dollar-Indexed Rate Dollar-Indexed Rate AdjustmentAdjustment

Power price paid by Tianjin Plastics indexed to the dollar-Simplest solution-Dependable revenue stream-Minor role of costs of production -Earnings essentially guaranteed, preserving U.S. dollar value

Feasibility?-NO -> MOPI ruled out immediately -Revenue structure Rmb based-Negative impact on returns of invested

capital

Page 16: Tianjin Plastics

Borrow in Local CurrencyFeasible?

-Yes-Cash inflows and outflows in same currency (RMB)

Risk?-Currency valuation risk-Maple is not insulated from currency exchange risk

Cost?-Bank of China will charge 13% interest for 10 year loan-Initial collateral in 100% dollar-denominated deposit (not

required until fourth year)

Page 17: Tianjin Plastics

Borrow in Local Currency

Income?-4% interest in collateral deposit

Repatriation?-Deposit returned in last 6 years amortization

schedule-Profits exposed to currency risk

Page 18: Tianjin Plastics
Page 19: Tianjin Plastics

Local Currency LoanReal Cash Inflows (Repatriation)RMB Appreciate RMB Depreciate

DateExch. Rate

(RMB/$)Real Cash

InflowExch. Rate

(RMB/$)Real Cash

Inflow

2000 7.51 $ 2,567,474.07 10.99

$ 3,757,195.74

2001 7.30 $ 893,483.46 11.68

$ 1,429,573.53

2002 7.11 $ 939,592.05 12.28

$ 1,622,811.59

2003 6.91 $ 987,636.62 12.92

$ 1,846,637.51

2004 6.71 $ 1,039,053.31 13.53

$ 2,095,140.29

2005 6.51 $ 1,094,057.46 14.06

$ 2,362,895.22

2006 6.31 $ 22,842.97 14.45

$ 52,310.77

Total $ 7,544,139.95

$ 13,166,564.65

Page 20: Tianjin Plastics

Back-to-Back Loan

Maple Energy(USA)

Maple Energy(CHN)

Wintel(USA)

Wintel - China(CHN)

Loan of US $8.415m

LIBOR + 1.45%

Loan of Rmb70.018m

10.5%

Page 21: Tianjin Plastics

Back-to-Back LoanFeasible?

-Yes-Cash inflows in U.S. Dollars-Cash outflows in local currency (RMB)

Risk?-Currency valuation risk borne by Wintel-Maple insulated from currency exchange risk-Limited interest rate risk due to variable loan

rate

Page 22: Tianjin Plastics

Back-to-Back LoanCost?

-Initial capital loaned to Wintel-Immediately converted to current currency exchange

rate (Rmb$8.32/$)-Wintel will charge 10.5% for six year loan

Income?-Maple earns LIBOR + 1.45% return on six year loan

Page 23: Tianjin Plastics

Back-to-Back Loan

Repatriation?-Interest earned on initial capital-Initial capital returned in 6 years-Profits not exposed to currency risk

Page 24: Tianjin Plastics

Back-to-Back LoanReal Cash Inflows (Repatriation)

RMB Appreciate RMB Depreciate

DateExch. Rate

(RMB/$)Real Cash

Inflow

Exch. Rate

(RMB/$)Real Cash

Inflow

1996 8.32 $ 1,776,346.38 8.32

$ 1,776,346.38

1997 8.32 $ 1,776,346.38 8.32

$ 1,776,346.38

1998 8.32 $ 1,776,346.38 8.32

$ 1,776,346.38

1999 8.32 $ 1,776,346.38 8.32

$ 1,776,346.38

2000 7.51 $ 1,603,408.81 10.99

$ 2,346,399.84

2001 7.30 $ 1,558,573.14 11.68

$ 2,493,717.03

Total $ 10,267,367.45

$ 11,945,502.37

Page 25: Tianjin Plastics

Cash Flows for Original Financing Arrangement

0 Initial Investment (16,500,000)$ 13 7/1/08-6/30/09 26,941,466$ 1 7/1/96-6/30/97 (27,500,000)$ 14 7/1/09-6/30/10 27,840,772$ 2 7/1/97-6/30/98 (27,500,000)$ 15 7/1/10-6/30/11 17,011,575$ 3 7/1/98-6/30/99 (22,000,000)$ 16 7/1/11-6/30/12 17,641,628$ 4 7/1/99-6/30/00 (23,900,000)$ 17 7/1/12-6/30/13 18,301,834$ 5 7/1/00-6/30/01 23,364,327$ 18 7/1/13-6/30/14 18,850,889$ 6 7/1/01-6/30/02 25,073,523$ 19 7/1/14-6/30/15 19,416,416$ 7 7/1/02-6/30/03 26,900,522$ 20 7/1/15-6/30/16 19,998,909$ 8 7/1/03-6/30/04 28,855,912$ 21 7/1/16-6/30/17 20,598,876$ 9 7/1/04-6/30/05 30,951,417$ 22 7/1/17-6/30/18 21,216,842$

10 7/1/05-6/30/06 32,571,094$ 23 7/1/18-6/30/19 21,853,347$ 11 7/1/06-6/30/07 25,280,418$ 24 7/1/19-6/30/20 22,508,948$ 12 7/1/07-6/30/08 26,089,066$

Page 26: Tianjin Plastics

Borrow in Local Currency vs. Back-to-Back Loan

Cash Flow / NPV: Borrow in Local Currency: $1,003,415Back-to-Back Loan: $1,639,503

Internal Rate of Return:Borrow in Local Currency: 15.2%Back-to-Back Loan: 15.3%

Page 27: Tianjin Plastics

Action PlanFinance with Back-to-Back Loan

Feasible, includes Solving Repatriation Issue

No Currency Risk

Lower Cost than Borrowing in Local Currency-Netting Interest Expense & Interest Income

Lower Cost Leads to Higher NPV & IRR