Three Steps to Minimize Market Risk in the Oilfield

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Th S Mi i i M k Ri k Understanding Customer Needs Three Steps to Minimize Market Risk

description

Customer needs are the source of economic value. Product commercialization is the most expensive activity of the product development process. Successful launches not only have clear financial. Successful launches not only have clear financial benefits, but also support delivery of value to customers.

Transcript of Three Steps to Minimize Market Risk in the Oilfield

Page 1: Three Steps to Minimize Market Risk in the Oilfield

Th S Mi i i M k Ri kUnderstanding Customer Needs

Three Steps to Minimize Market Risk

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Overview

• Customer needs are the source of economic value

• Product commercialization is the most expensive activity of the product development process

Successful launches not only have clear financial• Successful launches not only have clear financial benefits, but also support delivery of value to customers

• To minimize risk, there are three necessary steps:– Define strategic intent

Eli it k t f db k– Elicit market feedback– Assess market potential

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STRATEGICSTRATEGIC INTENT

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Questions to Answer

• What needs does it satisfy?• How will it be created…and delivered?• Who do we expect will be willing buyers/users/recommenders?

• What is our strategic intent in delivering this product/service?– Maximize early revenues for early exit – Maximize profits for investment into other new technologies– Maximize market share to establish market familiarity– Maximize market share to establish market familiarity– Grow revenues gradually to focus on service delivery– Improve internal efficiencies

• What is this offer’s importance to the overall business strategy? – Product defines the company– Product is a significant new offering– Offer enhancement (e g Total Cost of Ownership)Offer enhancement (e.g., Total Cost of Ownership)– Reduces internal costs

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Market Information is Critical

• 80% of the new product successes gathered and used p gmore market information

• 75% of the failures knew less than average about the market at project inception and gathered/used less market information during the product developmentmarket information during the product development process.

-Ottum and Moore Journal of Product Innovation Management-Ottum and Moore, Journal of Product Innovation Management

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UNDERSTANDUNDERSTAND

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In‐depth Interviews

Good Better Best

Telephone with onlineHow Telephone Telephone with online presentation On-site

Interviewer Conducted by company Conducted by objective Objective third party Interviewer y yrepresentative

y jthird party alone

j yAND technical lead

Individual with decision Multiple individuals with Multiple individuals

AudienceIndividual with decision

influenceMultiple individuals with influence and authority

pincluding technical

champions

ScopeAreas currently served (i.e., people you know)

Areas currently served and areas of interest to the

company

Areas with the greatest technical need

Greater Insight

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Discussion Areas

• Technical needs in the area of interest

• Needs they perceive the offer to satisfy

• Perceived strengths and weakness of the offerg

• Role/importance of your offer in their workflow

• Key buying factors for purchasing similar products/services• Key buying factors for purchasing similar products/services

• Competitors who are currently satisfying similar needs

• Perceived strengths and weaknesses of competitors

• Willingness to change to new methods (e.g., barriers)

• Recommendations for launch (I.e., critical success factors)

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New technology decisions require approval at the business unit or corporate level

All decisions about tools and processes are

Which of the following statements best describes how technology is brought into your company and used?

the business unit or corporate level

16%

25%

All decisions about tools and processes are made at a corporate level.

The company corporate level gives guidance about tools and processes but

Managementinvolvement

25%

30%

g pthe final decision is made at a business unit

level.

The company gives guidance about tools and processes but the final decision is

and approval needed

30%

19%

and processes but the final decision is made at an asset level.

The decision about tools and processes is made at the asset level without guidance

11%

from above.

Each individual can use the tools they think best to solve their day-to-day problems.

Decisions pushed down

y y p

Source: 2008 Gulf Research: Accelerating Adoption of New Technology

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Implications

• In-depth interviews can provide meaningful qualitative input for product/service design

• This insight also helps understand key buying factorsg p y y g

• However, it is necessary to assess the product’s appeal at various levels/areas of the organization for product launch (and success)levels/areas of the organization for product launch (and success)

• Therefore, a quantitative survey is needed to determine:Att ti k t t– Attractive market segments

– Price sensitivity– Utility of product attributes

C titi t th ( b d)– Competitive strengths (e.g., brand)

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MARKETMARKET POTENTIAL

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Trade‐Offs

• Univariate techniques fail to recognize how users make decisions

• Choice-based Conjoint Analysis is the “gold standard” of marketing research techniques for measuring:q g

– Price sensitivity– Elasticity of demand – Tradeoffs buyers make between features and cost

• Trade-offs are important to avoid product launch mistakes such as:– Over-engineering– Under-pricing– Targeting the wrong segments– Failure to recognize competitors/alternatives

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Simulating Purchase DecisionsIf the solutions below were available today, which would you choose?

Click the option below.

Option 1 Option 2 Option 3 None

Price per image $5,000 $70,000 $20,000

None of These

Measurements provided

Absolute and Relative

Permeability; Capillary Pressure

Resistivity; Elastic Properties;

Absolute and Relative

Permeability; Capillary

Resistivity; Elastic

Properties

OptionsPressure Capillary Pressure

Turnaround time 24 hours 1 Week 48 hours

Location of imaging equipment In-country lab Houston-based lab Rig site lab

O O O O

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UtilitiesDecision Weights: 45%

50% Decision Weights: 25%

27%

Decision Weights: 17%

16% Decision Weights: 13%

8%

Values graphed represent relative ‘utilities’g

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Price Sensitivity Analysis

100%

Segment 1

40%

60%

80%

Pre

fere

nce

Config 1 Config 2

Config 3 Config 4

0%

20%

$5 per ft $12 per ft $15 per ft $17 per ft $20 per ft

%

Segment 2

60%

80%

100%re

nce

Config 1 Config 2

Config 3 Config 4

Segment 2

0%

20%

40%

% P

refe

$5 per ft $12 per ft $15 per ft $17 per ft $20 per ft

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ACTIONS

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"The essence ofThe essence of strategy is choosing

h t t t d "what not to do."

Michael PorterMichael Porter

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Actionable Research 

• Use data resulting from market survey to guide your team in making decisions to prioritize market segments

R i th t t i bj ti i t t• Review the strategic objectives, integrate guidance from the interviews, and examine trade-offs from the market survey

• Simulations from your quantitative market survey can guide decisions regarding:

– Pricingg– Distribution– Priority in the product portfolio– Product feature optimization– Positioning and targeted marketing– Acquisitions/alliances

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John McKeeverPresident, Gelb Consulting Group

j k @ lb [email protected]

281‐759‐36001011 Highway 6 South, Suite 120g y ,Houston, TX 77077

www.gelbconsulting.com