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Transcript of The WSC Technical Market Indicators Paperback: The ... · PDF fileThe WSC Technical Market...
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The WSC Technical Market Indicators Paperback: The Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians
Independent and objective research provider
www.WallStreetCourier.com
Last Update: 12/9/2017
Update Cycle: Weekly
2
Overview of different Technical Market Indicators
Oscillators
Market Breadth Indicators
Contrarian Indicators
Trend Indicators
Technical
Market
Indicators
WallStreetCourier.com classifies technical market indicators into four main groups
• To measure the main direction of the
underlying security/market
• To determine the strengths of a trend
or of the market condition
• To track the investing behavior of
different kinds of investment groups
Options Market Indicators
Smart Money vs. Dumb Money
Market Sentiment
Stock Market Cycles
• Are designed to lead price
movements and are oscillating
around a certain value
3
Investment Process of our Systematic Weekly U.S. Equity Market Research (1/2)
► Start
Trend according
to trend
indicators?
YES
NO
1
Breadth
indicators
supporting
trend?
YES
NO
2
3
Contrarian indicators are confirming trend
Oscillators are confirming trend
YES
NO
YES
NO
Contrarian indicators are not confirming
trend
Oscillators are not confirming trend
4
5
6
7
No trades
Take profits
and/or use close
stops
Top/bottom is
near!
Act contrarian!
Follow trend!
Take profits
and/or use close
stops
Follow trend!
Extreme trend
following!
1 Detailled description please see next slide
4
Investment Process of our Systematic Weekly U.S. Equity Market Research (2/2)
Description decision tree
1 Market has no clear bullish or bearish trend
• Do not trade a trendless market!
2 Market is in a trend but the trend is not confirmed by market breadth
• Market is extremely vulnerable to macro economical news flows and cycles
• Take profits and/or use close stops for you portfolio
3 Market trend is confirmed by market breadth
• This is a scenario for a healthy trend
• Buy into any upcoming weaknesses in a bullish trend
• Sell into any upcoming strengths in a bearish trend
4 Market trend is confirmed by market breadth and by contrarian indicators
• Extremely strong trend
• Use leverage to boost your profits (only for high experienced traders/investors)
5 Market trend is not confirmed by breadth and not confirmed by contrarian indicators
• Trend is mostly driven by heavy weighted stocks in the index while the broad market
is already lagging behind
• Market top or market bottom is at hand
• Act contrarian (only for high experienced traders/investors)
6 Market trend is confirmed by market breadth but not by contrarian indicators
• Ignore contrarian indicators
• As long as the trend is confirmed by breadth do not trade against the trend
• Buy into any upcoming weaknesses in a bullish trend
• Sell into any upcoming strengths in a bearish trend
7 Market trend is confirmed by contrarian indicators but not by market breadth
• Follow the trend but use close stops and do not average down your portfolio
Low trading experience
High trading experience
Systematic Weekly U.S. Equity Market Research based on our published indicators
Published every Sunday
Trend
Indicators
Breadth
Indicators
Contrarian
Indicators
Strict
Investment
Process
Systematic Weekly Market
Research
Long-/Short
Recommendations for
the S&P 500
Major U.S. Indices Daily
Description
• The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a
stock market index. It is an index that
shows how 30 large, publicly owned
companies based in the United States.
• The S&P 500 is a stock market index
which contains the biggest 500
companies in the U.S. This index
provides a broad snapshot of the overall
U.S. equity market as over 70% of all
U.S. equity is tracked by the S&P 500 and
it is therefore one of the most important
stock indexes of the world.
• The Chicago Board Options Exchange
Market Volatility Index is a popular
measure of the implied volatility of S&P
500 index options.
• Often referred to as the fear index or the
fear gauge, it represents one measure of
the market's expectation of stock market
volatility over the next 30 day period
INDICES
Major U.S. Indices Weekly
INDICES
Description
• The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a
stock market index. It is an index that
shows how 30 large, publicly owned
companies based in the United States.
• The S&P 500 is a stock market index
which contains the biggest 500
companies in the U.S. This index
provides a broad snapshot of the overall
U.S. equity market as over 70% of all
U.S. equity is tracked by the S&P 500 and
it is therefore one of the most important
stock indexes of the world.
• The Chicago Board Options Exchange
Market Volatility Index is a popular
measure of the implied volatility of S&P
500 index options.
• Often referred to as the fear index or the
fear gauge, it represents one measure of
the market's expectation of stock market
volatility over the next 30 day period
Major U.S. Indices Weekly [Historical]
INDICES
Description
• The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a
stock market index. It is an index that
shows how 30 large, publicly owned
companies based in the United States.
• The S&P 500 is a stock market index
which contains the biggest 500
companies in the U.S. This index
provides a broad snapshot of the overall
U.S. equity market as over 70% of all
U.S. equity is tracked by the S&P 500 and
it is therefore one of the most important
stock indexes of the world.
• The Chicago Board Options Exchange
Market Volatility Index is a popular
measure of the implied volatility of S&P
500 index options.
• Often referred to as the fear index or the
fear gauge, it represents one measure of
the market's expectation of stock market
volatility over the next 30 day period
Major U.S. Indices Daily
INDICES
Description
• The S&P 500 is a stock market index
which contains the biggest 500
companies in the U.S.
• The Russell 2000 Index is a small-cap
stock market index of the bottom 2,000
stocks in the Russell 3000 Index. The
Russell 2000 is by far the most common
benchmark for mutual funds that identify
themselves as "small-cap", while the S&P
500 index is used primarily for large
capitalization stocks.
• By calculating a ratio between them,
investors are able to identify which kind
of stocks (large or small caps) are
outperforming.
Signals:
• When the ratio goes up, investors are
moving into large caps (safer names)
• When the ratio goes down, investors are
moving into small caps
Major U.S. Indices Daily [Historical]
INDICES
Description
• The S&P 500 is a stock market index
which contains the biggest 500
companies in the U.S.
• The Russell 2000 Index is a small-cap
stock market index of the bottom 2,000
stocks in the Russell 3000 Index. The
Russell 2000 is by far the most common
benchmark for mutual funds that identify
themselves as "small-cap", while the S&P
500 index is used primarily for large
capitalization stocks.
• By calculating a ratio between them,
investors are able to identify which kind
of stocks (large or small caps) are
outperforming.
Signals:
• When the ratio goes up, investors are
moving into large caps (safer names)
• When the ratio goes down,
Major U.S. Indices Daily
INDICES
Description
• Daily close price of the SPDR Gold
Trust ETF
Major U.S. Indices Daily [Historical]
INDICES
Description
• Daily close price of the SPDR Gold
Trust ETF
Major U.S. Indices Daily
INDICES
Description
• Daily Close of the Philadelphia Gold
and Silver Index
Major U.S. Indices Daily [Historical]
INDICES
Description
• Daily Close of the Philadelphia Gold
and Silver Index
Short-Term Trend Indicators
Description
• The Trend Trader Index calculates the
simple moving average of the daily
high and daily low price of the S&P
500 over the past 20 days
Signals:
• Bullish: S&P 500 is trading above the
20 days high moving average line
• Bearish: S&P 500 is trading below the
20 days low moving average line
• Additionally the direction of the
simple moving averages also give
additional information about the
trend direction
TREND INDICATORS
Short-Term Trend Indicators
Description
• Moving Average Convergence-
Divergence (MACD) is one of the
most effective momentum indicators
• MACD uses two exponential moving
averages, into a trend following or
momentum oscillator by subtracting
the longer moving average from the
shorter moving average
• The Modified MACD uses two special
moving averages (zero-lag) to
determine the overall trend-force
Signals:
• Bullish: MACD short above MACD
long
• Bearish: MACD short below MACD
long
• Watch out for divergences between
the market and the MACD
TREND INDICATORS
Short-Term Trend Indicators
Description
• This center oscillator measures the
advancing stocks and declining stocks
on a 20 days basis
• The bigger the difference between the
current price and the price 20 days
ago, the higher the value of this
oscillator
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge is trading above 0
• Bearish: Gauge is trading below 0
• This indicator is especially reliable
when a new high or low of the
market is not confirmed by
momentum
TREND INDICATORS
Short-Term Trend Indicators [Historical]
Description
• This center oscillator measures the
advancing stocks and declining stocks
on a 20 days basis
• The bigger the difference between the
current price and the price 20 days
ago, the higher the value of this
oscillator
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge is trading above 0
• Bearish: Gauge is trading below 0
• This indicator is especially reliable
when a new high or low of the
market is not confirmed by
momentum
TREND INDICATORS
Mid-Term Trend Indicators
Description
• The Global Futures Trend Index
calculates the amount of stocks listed
on NYSE which are reaching weekly
new highs or weekly new lows. As
long as the gauge of this index stays
above the 60% level there is a solid
bullish trend in progress
Signals:
• Bullish: Global Futures Trend Index
above 0.6
• Bearish: Global Futures Trend Index
below 0.2
• Watch out for divergences!
TREND INDICATORS
Mid-Term Trend Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The Global Futures Trend Index
calculates the amount of stocks listed
on NYSE which are reaching weekly
new highs or weekly new lows. As
long as the gauge of this index stays
above the 60% level there is a solid
bullish trend in progress
Signals:
• Bullish: Global Futures Trend Index
above 0.6
• Bearish: Global Futures Trend Index
below 0.2
• Watch out for divergences!
TREND INDICATORS
Mid-Term Trend Indicators
Description
• The WSC Sector Momentum
measures the relative strengths of all
nine SPDR Sector ETFs which are
being used for the WSC Sector
Rotation Strategy. As long as the
gauge of this indicators remains
above 0, the S&P 500 remains in a
mid-term uptrend. In addition, this
indicator acts as risk-management
tool for the WSC Sector Rotation
Strategy. If the gauge of this indicator
is below 0, the WSC Sector Rotation
Strategy will switch to its most
defensive allocation.
Signals:
• Bullish: Index above 0
• Bearish: Index below 0
• Watch out for divergences!
TREND INDICATORS
Mid-Term Trend Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The WSC Sector Momentum
measures the relative strengths of all
nine SPDR Sector ETFs which are
being used for the WSC Sector
Rotation Strategy. As long as the
gauge of this indicators remains
above 0, the S&P 500 remains in a
mid-term uptrend. In addition, this
indicator acts as risk-management
tool for the WSC Sector Rotation
Strategy. If the gauge of this indicator
is below 0, the WSC Sector Rotation
Strategy will switch to its most
defensive allocation.
Signals:
• Bullish: Index above 0
• Bearish: Index below 0
• Watch out for divergences!
TREND INDICATORS
Long Term Trend Indicators
Description
• The Global Futures Long Term Trend
Index is a long term trend index which
is perfectly suitable for long term
investors
• Long term investors should switch into
less risky assets if this indicator
flashes a sell signal
• As this indicator is a long term trend
follower, investors will face a late in
late out scenario
Signals:
• Bullish: WSC GF Long-Term Trend
Index above 0
• Bearish: WSC GF Long-Term Trend
Index below 0
• Additionally the direction of the
indicator also give additional
information about the trend
direction
TREND INDICATORS
Long Term Trend Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The Global Futures Long Term Trend
Index is a long term trend index which
is perfectly suitable for long term
investors
• Long term investors should switch into
less risky assets if this indicator
flashes a sell signal
• As this indicator is a long term trend
follower, investors will face a late in
late out scenario
Signals:
• Bullish: WSC GF Long-Term Trend
Index above 0
• Bearish: WSC GF Long-Term Trend
Index below 0
• Additionally the direction of the
indicator also give additional
information about the trend
direction
TREND INDICATORS
Long-Term Trend Indicators
Description
• The WallStreetCourier Global
Momentum Indicator measures the
percentage of 36 global stock market
ETFs, which are having a higher
momentum scoring than riskless
money market within our Global ETF
Momentum Heat Map. The
momentum score measures the trend
direction and the relative strengths of
each underlying market within 3
different time periods. So therefore,
this indicator gives a good picture,
how many global markets are in
strong long-term up-/down-trend.
Signals:
• Bullish: Index above 0
• Bearish: Index below 0
• Watch out for divergences!
TREND INDICATORS
Long-Term Trend Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The WallStreetCourier Global
Momentum Indicator measures the
percentage of 36 global stock market
ETFs, which are having a higher
momentum scoring than riskless
money market within our Global ETF
Momentum Heat Map. The
momentum score measures the trend
direction and the relative strengths of
each underlying market within 3
different time periods. So therefore,
this indicator gives a good picture,
how many global markets are in
strong long-term up-/down-trend.
Signals:
• Bullish: Index above 0
• Bearish: Index below 0
• Watch out for divergences!
TREND INDICATORS
Long-Term Trend Indicators
Description
• This indicator measures the relative
strengths of global equities,
commodities and U.S. Treasuries.
Markets which are trading above 0
and which are trading above other
markets should be preferred. If
riskless U.S. Treasuries are trading
above 0, the technical market
environment for risky asset classes
remain outright weak.
Signals:
• Bullish: Index above 0
• Bearish: Index below 0
• Watch out for divergences!
TREND INDICATORS
Long-Term Trend Indicators [Historical]
Description
• This indicator measures the relative
strengths of global equities,
commodities and U.S. Treasuries.
Markets which are trading above 0
and which are trading above other
markets should be preferred. If
riskless U.S. Treasuries are trading
above 0, the technical market
environment for risky asset classes
remain outright weak.
Signals:
• Bullish: Treasuries below 0
• Bearish: Treasuries above 0
• Watch out for divergences!
TREND INDICATORS
Short-Term Market Breadth Indicators
Description
• Represents shares traded in all
markets for all NYSE-listed issues
BREADTH INDICATORS
Short-Term Market Breadth Indicators
Description
• This indicator is calculated by dividing
the daily upside and downside
volumes by the daily total volume.
• If prices move steadily upward (strong
uptrend) with strong volume, this
indicates that buyers are accumulating
shares
• A healthy market should be supported
by strong up volume
Signals:
• Bullish: Up-volume above down-
volume
• Bearish: Up-volume below down-
volume
• Divergences between the market
and volume should be monitored
closely as a trend reversal could be
ahead!
BREADTH INDICATORS
Short-Term Market Breadth Indicators
Description
• This indicator is derived from the daily
net advances, the number of
advancing issues less the number of
declining issues
• By applying 2 exponential moving
averages (short and longer one) of net
advances this is a perfect momentum
as well as breadth indicator
• This indicator uses two special moving
averages (zero-lag) to determine the
overall breadth-force
Signals:
• Bullish: McClellan short above
McClellan long
• Bearish: McClellan short below
McClellan long
• Watch out for divergences between
the market and the McClellan
BREADTH INDICATORS
Short-Term Market Breadth Indicators
Description
• This indicator is derived from the daily
net up-volume, the amount of up-
volume less the amount of down-
volume
• By applying 2 exponential moving
averages (short and longer one) of net
up-volume this is a perfect momentum
as well as breadth indicator
• This indicator uses two special moving
averages (zero-lag) to determine the
overall breadth-force
Signals:
• Bullish: McClellan Volume short above
McClellan Volume long
• Bearish: McClellan Volume short
below McClellan Volume long
• Watch out for divergences between
the market and the McClellan
Volume
BREADTH INDICATORS
Short-Term Market Breadth Indicators
Description
• The % of NYSE stocks trading above
a specific simple moving average is a
breadth indicator that measures
internal strength or weakness in the
underlying index as well as the degree
of participation
• A healthy market should be supported
by a high degree of participation
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge above 0
• Bearish: Gauge below 0
• Watch out for divergences!
BREADTH INDICATORS
Short-Term Market Breadth Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The % of NYSE stocks trading above
a specific simple moving average is a
breadth indicator that measures
internal strength or weakness in the
underlying index as well as the degree
of participation
• A healthy market should be supported
by a high degree of participation
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge above 0
• Bearish: Gauge below 0
• Watch out for divergences!
BREADTH INDICATORS
Short-Term Market Breadth Indicators
Description
• This indicator shows new highs and
new lows made on Nyse
Signals:
• Bullish: New highs above new lows
• Bearish: New highs below new lows
BREADTH INDICATORS
Short-Term Market Breadth Indicators
Description
• The High-Low Index is a breadth
indicator based on new highs and new
lows made on Nyse
• New high refers to the number of
stocks reaching a new 52-week high
• New low refers to the number of
stocks reaching a new 52-week low
• The High-Low Index is a measure of
underlying strength or weakness of
the S&P 500.
Signals:
• Bullish: New highs above new lows
• Bearish: New highs below new lows
• Watch out for divergences between
the market and the # of new highs
BREADTH INDICATORS
Short-Term Market Breadth Indicators
Description
• The Advance Decline Line Daily is a
breadth indicator based on daily net
advances made on Nyse, which is the
number of advancing stocks less the
number of declining stocks
• Net advances are positive when
advances exceed declines and
negative when declines exceed
advances
Signals:
• Bullish: Watch out for divergences!
• Bearish: Watch out for divergences!
BREADTH INDICATORS
Short-Term Market Breadth Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The Advance Decline Line Daily is a
breadth indicator based on daily net
advances made on Nyse, which is the
number of advancing stocks less the
number of declining stocks
• Net advances are positive when
advances exceed declines and
negative when declines exceed
advances
Signals:
• Bullish: Watch out for divergences!
• Bearish: Watch out for divergences!
BREADTH INDICATORS
Short-Term Market Breadth Indicators
Description
• The Advance Decline Line in Percent
is a breadth indicator based on daily
net advances made on Nyse, which is
the number of advancing stocks less
the number of declining stocks,
expressed aspercentage terms
• Net advances are positive when
advances exceed declines and
negative when declines exceed
advances
Signals:
• Bullish: Watch out for divergences!
• Bearish: Watch out for divergences!
BREADTH INDICATORS
Short-Term Market Breadth Indicators
Description
• The Advance Decline Volume Line in
Percent is a breadth indicator based
on daily net volume, which is the
volume of advancing stocks less the
volume of declining stocks
• Net advancing volume is positive
when advancing volume exceeds
declining volume and negative when
declining volume exceed advancing
volume
Signals:
• Bullish: Watch out for divergences!
• Bearish: Watch out for divergences
BREADTH INDICATORS
Short-Term Market Breadth Indicators
Description
• The Upside-Downside Volume Ratio is
a banded oscillator. It is calculated by
dividing the volume of advancing
issues by the volume of declining
issues, using daily NYSE data
• If the volume of advancing issues is
reaching a predefined level, this
indicator is flashing an overbought
signal or the other way round
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge above 1.6
• Bearish: Gauge below 0.6
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
BREADTH INDICATORS
Short-Term Market Breadth Indicators
Description
• The Advance-Decline Ratio is a
banded oscillator. It is calculated by
dividing the number of advancing
issues by the number of declining
issues using daily NYSE data
• If the advancing issues are reaching a
predefined level, this indicator is
flashing an overbought signal or the
other way round.
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge above 1.6
• Bearish: Gauge below 0.8
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
BREADTH INDICATORS
Short-Term Market Breadth Indicators
Description
• The TRIN was invented over 30 years
ago by Richard Arms and is also
known as ARMS Index
• It is calculated by dividing daily
advancing issues by daily declining
issues and weekly advancing volume
by daily declining volume
• The first result is then divided by the
latter and the result is the TRIN
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge below 0.8
• Bearish: Gauge above 1.5
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
BREADTH INDICATORS
Short-Term Market Breadth Indicators
Description
• This indicator is based on the volume
of all NYSE-listed stocks that go up or
down on a given day, expressed as a
percentage of the total volume of all
stocks that rose or fell on that day
• A "Nine-To-One Up Day" occurs when
this ratio is 90% or higher on a given
day.
Signals:
• Bullish: 9-to-1 up-days
• Bearish: 9-to-1 down-days
• 9-to-1 down-days also indicate
capitulation among investors
BREADTH INDICATORS
Short- to Mid-Term Market Breadth Indicators
Description
• The Short Term Trading Index was
invented over 30 years ago by
Richard Arms and is also known as
ARMS Index
• It is calculated by dividing weekly
advancing issues by weekly declining
issues and weekly advancing volume
by weekly declining volume
• The first result is then divided by the
latter and the result is the TRIN
Signals:
• Bullish: high readings
• Bearish: readings below 1
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
BREADTH INDICATORS
Short- to Mid-Term Market Breadth Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The Short Term Trading Index was
invented over 30 years ago by
Richard Arms and is also known as
ARMS Index
• It is calculated by dividing weekly
advancing issues by weekly declining
issues and weekly advancing volume
by weekly declining volume
• The first result is then divided by the
latter and the result is the TRIN
Signals:
• Bullish: high readings
• Bearish: readings below 1
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
BREADTH INDICATORS
Short- to Mid-Term Market Breadth Indicators
Description
• The Global Futures Advance-/Decline
Indicator is a banded oscillator
• It is calculated by subtracting up the
weekly declining issues by weekly
advancing issues, using the weekly
NYSE data
• If the advancing issues are reaching
a predefined level, this indicator is
flashing an overbought signal or the
other way round
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge below -1
• Bearish: Gauge above 1
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
BREADTH INDICATORS
Short- to Mid-Term Market Breadth Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The Global Futures Advance-/Decline
Indicator is a banded oscillator
• It is calculated by subtracting up the
weekly declining issues by weekly
advancing issues, using the weekly
NYSE data
• If the advancing issues are reaching
a predefined level, this indicator is
flashing an overbought signal or the
other way round
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge below -1
• Bearish: Gauge above 1
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
BREADTH INDICATORS
Mid-Term Market Breadth Indicators
Description
• This indicator is derived from the
weekly net advances, the number of
advancing issues less the number of
declining issues
• By applying 2 exponential moving
averages (short and longer one) of net
advances this is a perfect trend as
well as breadth indicator
Signals:
• Bullish: McClellan Short above
McClellan Long
• Bearish: McClellan Short below
McClellan Long
• Watch out for divergences between
the market and the gauge of the
Modified McClellan Oscillator
Weekly
BREADTH INDICATORS
Mid-Term Market Breadth Indicators [Historical]
Description
• This indicator is derived from the
weekly net advances, the number of
advancing issues less the number of
declining issues
• By applying 2 exponential moving
averages (short and longer one) of net
advances this is a perfect trend as
well as breadth indicator
Signals:
• Bullish: McClellan Short above
McClellan Long
• Bearish: McClellan Short below
McClellan Long
• Watch out for divergences between
the market and the gauge of the
Modified McClellan Oscillator
Weekly
BREADTH INDICATORS
Mid-Term Market Breadth Indicators
Description
• This indicator is calculated by dividing
the weekly advances and declines by
the weekly total issues
• If prices move steadily upward (strong
uptrend) a broad number of stocks
should participate
• If not there is a negative divergence
between the market and breadth
Signals:
• Bullish: Advancing issues above
declining issues
• Bearish: Advancing issues below
declining issues
• Watch out for divergences!
BREADTH INDICATORS
Mid-Term Market Breadth Indicators [Historical]
Description
• This indicator is calculated by dividing
the weekly advances and declines by
the weekly total issues
• If prices move steadily upward (strong
uptrend) a broad number of stocks
should participate
• If not there is a negative divergence
between the market and breadth
Signals:
• Bullish: Advancing issues above
declining issues
• Bearish: Advancing issues below
declining issues
• Watch out for divergences!
BREADTH INDICATORS
Mid-Term Market Breadth Indicators
Description
• This indicator is calculated by dividing
the weekly upside and downside
volumes by the weekly total volume
• If prices move steadily upward (strong
uptrend) with strong volume, this
indicates that buyers are accumulating
shares
• A healthy market should be supported
by strong up volume
• If not there is a negative divergence
between the market and breadth.
Signals:
• Bullish: Up-volume above down-
volume
• Bearish: Up-volume below down-
volume
• Watch out for divergences!
BREADTH INDICATORS
Mid-Term Market Breadth Indicators [Historical]
Description
• This indicator is calculated by dividing
the weekly upside and downside
volumes by the weekly total volume
• If prices move steadily upward (strong
uptrend) with strong volume, this
indicates that buyers are accumulating
shares
• A healthy market should be supported
by strong up volume
• If not there is a negative divergence
between the market and breadth.
Signals:
• Bullish: Up-volume above down-
volume
• Bearish: Up-volume below down-
volume
• Watch out for divergences!
BREADTH INDICATORS
Mid-Term Market Breadth Indicators
Description
• The % of NYSE stocks trading above
a specific simple moving average is a
breadth indicator that measures
internal strength or weakness in the
underlying index as well as the degree
of participation
• A healthy market should be supported
by a high degree of participation
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge above 0
• Bearish: Gauge below 0
• Watch out for divergences!
BREADTH INDICATORS
Mid-Term Market Breadth Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The % of NYSE stocks trading above
a specific simple moving average is a
breadth indicator that measures
internal strength or weakness in the
underlying index as well as the degree
of participation
• A healthy market should be supported
by a high degree of participation
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge above 0
• Bearish: Gauge below 0
• Watch out for divergences!
BREADTH INDICATORS
Mid-Term Market Breadth Indicators
Description
• The Global Futures Advance Decline
Line Weekly is a breadth indicator
based on weekly net advances made
on Nyse, which is the number of
advancing stocks less the number of
declining stocks
• Net advances are positive when
advances exceed declines and
negative when declines exceed
advances
Signals:
• Bullish: Watch out for divergences!
• Bearish: Watch out for divergences!
BREADTH INDICATORS
Mid-Term Market Breadth Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The Global Futures Advance Decline
Line Weekly is a breadth indicator
based on weekly net advances made
on Nyse, which is the number of
advancing stocks less the number of
declining stocks
• Net advances are positive when
advances exceed declines and
negative when declines exceed
advances
Signals:
• Bullish: Watch out for divergences!
• Bearish: Watch out for divergences!
BREADTH INDICATORS
Mid-Term Market Breadth Indicators
Description
• The Advance Decline Line Weekly is a
breadth indicator based on weekly net
advances made on Nyse, which is the
number of advancing stocks less the
number of declining stocks
• Net advances are positive when
advances exceed declines and
negative when declines exceed
advances
Signals:
• Bullish: Watch out for divergences!
• Bearish: Watch out for divergences!
BREADTH INDICATORS
Mid-Term Market Breadth Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The Advance Decline Line Weekly is a
breadth indicator based on weekly net
advances made on Nyse, which is the
number of advancing stocks less the
number of declining stocks
• Net advances are positive when
advances exceed declines and
negative when declines exceed
advances
Signals:
• Bullish: Watch out for divergences!
• Bearish: Watch out for divergences!
BREADTH INDICATORS
Mid-Term Market Breadth Indicators
Description
• The Advance Decline Volume Line
Weekly is a breadth indicator based
on weekly net volume, which is the
volume of advancing stocks less the
volume of declining stocks
• Net advancing volume is positive
when advancing volume exceeds
declining volume and negative when
declining volume exceed advancing
volume
Signals:
• Bullish: Watch out for divergences!
• Bearish: Watch out for divergences
BREADTH INDICATORS
Mid-Term Market Breadth Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The Advance Decline Volume Line
Weekly is a breadth indicator based
on weekly net volume, which is the
volume of advancing stocks less the
volume of declining stocks
• Net advancing volume is positive
when advancing volume exceeds
declining volume and negative when
declining volume exceed advancing
volume
Signals:
• Bullish: Watch out for divergences!
• Bearish: Watch out for divergences
BREADTH INDICATORS
Long-Term Market Breadth Indicators
Description
• This indicator is derived from the
weekly net volume, the number of
advancing volume less the number of
declining volume
• By applying 2 exponential moving
averages (short and longer one) of net
volume this is a perfect breadth
indicator
Signals:
• Bullish: McClellan Volume Short
above McClellan Volume Long
• Bearish: McClellan Volume Short
below McClellan Volume Long
• Watch out for divergences between
the market and the gauge of the
Modified McClellan Volume
Oscillator
BREADTH INDICATORS
Long-Term Market Breadth Indicators [Historical]
Description
• This indicator is derived from the
weekly net volume, the number of
advancing volume less the number of
declining volume
• By applying 2 exponential moving
averages (short and longer one) of net
volume this is a perfect breadth
indicator
Signals:
• Bullish: McClellan Volume Short
above McClellan Volume Long
• Bearish: McClellan Volume Short
below McClellan Volume Long
• Watch out for divergences between
the market and the gauge of the
Modified McClellan Volume
Oscillator
BREADTH INDICATORS
Long-Term Market Breadth Indicators
Description
• The High-Low Index is a breadth
indicator based on new highs and new
lows made on Nyse
• New high refers to the number of
stocks reaching a new 52-week high
• New low refers to the number of
stocks reaching a new 52-week low
• The High-Low Index is a measure of
underlying strength or weakness of
the S&P 500.
Signals:
• Bullish: New highs above new lows
• Bearish: New highs below new lows
• Watch out for divergences between
the market and the # of new highs
BREADTH INDICATORS
Long-Term Market Breadth Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The High-Low Index is a breadth
indicator based on new highs and new
lows made on Nyse
• New high refers to the number of
stocks reaching a new 52-week high
• New low refers to the number of
stocks reaching a new 52-week low
• The High-Low Index is a measure of
underlying strength or weakness of
the S&P 500.
Signals:
• Bullish: New highs above new lows
• Bearish: New highs below new lows
• Watch out for divergences between
the market and the # of new highs
BREADTH INDICATORS
Long-Term Market Breadth Indicators
Description
• The % of NYSE stocks trading above
a specific simple moving average is a
breadth indicator that measures
internal strength or weakness in the
underlying index as well as the degree
of participation
• A healthy market should be supported
by a high degree of participation
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge above 0
• Bearish: Gauge below 0
• Watch out for divergences!
BREADTH INDICATORS
Long-Term Market Breadth Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The % of NYSE stocks trading above
a specific simple moving average is a
breadth indicator that measures
internal strength or weakness in the
underlying index as well as the degree
of participation
• A healthy market should be supported
by a high degree of participation
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge above 0
• Bearish: Gauge below 0
• Watch out for divergences!
BREADTH INDICATORS
Smart Money Indicators
Description
• The SMFI was developed by
WallStreetCourier.com in 1997 and is
a trademark of WallStreetCourier.com
• The SMFI is calculated by taking the
action of the Dow in two time periods:
the first 30 minutes and the close
• It measures if large institutional
investors are buying or selling
Signals:
• Bullish: Bullish divergences
• Bearish: Bearish divergences
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Smart Money Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The SMFI was developed by
WallStreetCourier.com in 1997 and is
a trademark of WallStreetCourier.com
• The SMFI is calculated by taking the
action of the Dow in two time periods:
the first 30 minutes and the close
• It measures if large institutional
investors are buying or selling
Signals:
• Bullish: Bullish divergences
• Bearish: Bearish divergences
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Smart Money Indicators
Description
• The Global Futures Bottom Indicator
is derived from weekly calls and puts.
It does not appear very often but it is
extremely reliable when the market is
at a turning point
• It prevents long-term investors from
buying at the wrong time and works
especially well for option traders
because of its incredibly perfect timing.
• Unfortunately this indicator does not
tell you when to sell.
Signals:
• Bullish: Readings between 1 and 5 are
also very reliable
• Readings up to 25 may work but
should be counterchecked with other
indicators
• Bearish: NA
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Smart Money Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The Global Futures Bottom Indicator
is derived from weekly calls and puts.
It does not appear very often but it is
extremely reliable when the market is
at a turning point
• It prevents long-term investors from
buying at the wrong time and works
especially well for option traders
because of its incredibly perfect timing.
• Unfortunately this indicator does not
tell you when to sell.
Signals:
• Bullish: Readings between 1 and 5 are
also very reliable
• Readings up to 25 may work but
should be counterchecked with other
indicators
• Bearish: NA
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Smart Money Indicators
Description
• The WSC Index is based on 15
different price information (option data,
upticks/downticks data, new highs and
lows etc). This indicator is a leading
indicator as it leads the price move
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge below 2
• Bearish: Gauge above 2
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Smart Money Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The WSC Index is based on 15
different price information (option data,
upticks/downticks data, new highs and
lows etc). This indicator is a leading
indicator as it leads the price move
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge below 2
• Bearish: Gauge above 2
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Smart Money Indicators
Description
• The WSC Index Oscillator is based on
15 different price information (option
data, upticks/downticks data, new
highs and lows etc). This indicator is a
leading indicator as it leads the price
move.
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge below 2
• Bearish: Gauge above 2
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Smart Money Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The WSC Index Oscillator is based on
15 different price information (option
data, upticks/downticks data, new
highs and lows etc). This indicator is a
leading indicator as it leads the price
move.
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge below 2
• Bearish: Gauge above 2
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Smart Money Indicators
Description
• This indicator, like the Global Futures
Bottom Indicator, is unknown until now
to the investment community and is
not available anywhere else
• The Global Futures Timing Indicator
prevents investors from buying at the
wrong time and it works also very well
for option- and position traders
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge below 1
• Bearish: NA
• Use only in combination with trend-
and breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Smart Money Indicators [Historical]
Description
• This indicator, like the Global Futures
Bottom Indicator, is unknown until now
to the investment community and is
not available anywhere else
• The Global Futures Timing Indicator
prevents investors from buying at the
wrong time and it works also very well
for option- and position traders
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge below 1
• Bearish: NA
• Use only in combination with trend-
and breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Smart Money Indicators
Description
• The Global Futures Market Timer
Index is a proprietary indicator of
Global Futures and not available
anywhere else
• It was unknown until now to the
investment community and to our
knowledge there is no previous
mentioning of this indicator in any
financial publication
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge below -0.3
• Bearish: NA
• Use only in combination with
breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Smart Money Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The Global Futures Market Timer
Index is a proprietary indicator of
Global Futures and not available
anywhere else
• It was unknown until now to the
investment community and to our
knowledge there is no previous
mentioning of this indicator in any
financial publication
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge below -0.3
• Bearish: NA
• Use only in combination with
breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Smart Money Indicators
Description
• The Uptick-/Downtick Ratio is
calculated from the number of upticks
and downticks in large block
transactions of single trades of 10,000
shares and over.
• The rationale behind the Uptick-
/Downtick Ratio is quite simple. It
measures activities and extremes in
institutional sentiment and behavior
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge below -1
• Bearish: Gauge above 1
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Smart Money Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The Uptick-/Downtick Ratio is
calculated from the number of upticks
and downticks in large block
transactions of single trades of 10,000
shares and over.
• The rationale behind the Uptick-
/Downtick Ratio is quite simple. It
measures activities and extremes in
institutional sentiment and behavior
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge below -1
• Bearish: Gauge above 1
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Smart Money Indicators
Description
• NYSE Members Margin Debt is the
aggregated dollar value of issues
bought on margin (i.e., borrowed
money) across the exchange, from
one of the biggest names of Wall
Street
Signals:
• Bullish: Bullish divergences
• Bearish: Bearish divergences
• Watch out for divergences!
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Smart Money Indicators [Historical]
Description
• NYSE Members Margin Debt is the
aggregated dollar value of issues
bought on margin (i.e., borrowed
money) across the exchange, from
one of the biggest names of Wall
Street
Signals:
• Bullish: Bullish divergences
• Bearish: Bearish divergences
• Watch out for divergences!
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Dumb Money Indicators
Description
• The WSC Capitulation Index is
calculated according to a proprietary
formula.
• It measures the divergence between
the famous Smart Money Flow Index
and the Dow Jones Industrial Average
• It also shows bottoms when the so
called "crowd" gets too bearish
• It does not appear very often but it is
extremely reliable when the market is
at a turning point
• It prevents long-term investors from
buying at the wrong time and works
especially well for option traders
because of its incredibly perfect timing
Signals:
• Bullish: Drop of the WSC CI by half of
its rise
• Bearish: Increasing WSC CI
• Bullish: WSC Fisher below 0.7
• Bullish: WSC Fisher above 0.7
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Dumb Money Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The WSC Capitulation Index is
calculated according to a proprietary
formula.
• It measures the divergence between
the famous Smart Money Flow Index
and the Dow Jones Industrial Average
• It also shows bottoms when the so
called "crowd" gets too bearish
• It does not appear very often but it is
extremely reliable when the market is
at a turning point
• It prevents long-term investors from
buying at the wrong time and works
especially well for option traders
because of its incredibly perfect timing
Signals:
• Bullish: Drop of the WSC CI by half of
its rise
• Bearish: Increasing WSC CI
• Bullish: WSC Fisher below 0.7
• Bullish: WSC Fisher above 0.7
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Dumb Money Indicators
Description
• The Odd Lot Short Sales is a market
sentiment indicator that measures the
daily short sales from the Odd Lots.
• Odd Lots are transaction involving
less than 100 shares (Dumb Money)
• The contrarian theory assumes that
odd lots are inexperienced and
therefore always wrong
Signals:
• Bullish: High readings
• Bearish: Low readings
• Use only in combination with
breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Dumb Money Indicators
Description
• The Odd Differential Index is a market
sentiment indicator
• This index is simply calculated by
subtracting the daily or weekly odd-lot
sales from the daily or weekly odd-lot
purchases
• High readings appear near market
tops and minus readings near bottoms
Signals:
• Bullish: High readings
• Bearish: Low readings
• Use only in combination with
breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Dumb Money Indicators
Description
• The Odd Lot Sales Ratio is a dumb
money indicator that measures the
daily ratio of odd lot purchases
compared to odd lot sales
transactions
• Odd Lots are transaction involving
less than 100 shares (Dumb Money).
The contrarian theory assumes that
odd lots are inexperienced and
therefore always wrong
Signals:
• Bullish: High readings
• Bearish: Low readings
• Use only in combination with
breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Dumb Money Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The Odd Lot Sales Ratio is a dumb
money indicator that measures the
daily ratio of odd lot purchases
compared to odd lot sales
transactions
• Odd Lots are transaction involving
less than 100 shares (Dumb Money).
The contrarian theory assumes that
odd lots are inexperienced and
therefore always wrong
Signals:
• Bullish: High readings
• Bearish: Low readings
• Use only in combination with
breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Dumb Money Indicators
Description
• The Odd Lot Purchases/Nyse Volume
is a market sentiment indicator that
measures the daily ratio of odd lot
purchases compared to total Nyse
volume
• Odd Lots are transaction involving
less than 100 shares (Dumb Money)
• The contrarian theory assumes that
odd lots are inexperienced and
therefore always wrong
Signals:
• Bullish: High readings
• Bearish: Low readings
• Use only in combination with
breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Dumb Money Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The Odd Lot Purchases/Nyse Volume
is a market sentiment indicator that
measures the daily ratio of odd lot
purchases compared to total Nyse
volume
• Odd Lots are transaction involving
less than 100 shares (Dumb Money)
• The contrarian theory assumes that
odd lots are inexperienced and
therefore always wrong
Signals:
• Bullish: High readings
• Bearish: Low readings
• Use only in combination with
breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Dumb Money Indicators
Description
• The Global Futures Dumb Money
Indicator is calculated according to a
proprietary formula
• It shows tops when the so called
"crowd" gets too bullish. Some of the
components of this indicator are the
Global Futures Sentiment Index, the
CBOE call/put ratio of equity options
and the ISE Sentiment Index
Signals:
• Bullish: Low readings
• Bearish: Gauge above 5
• Use only in combination with
breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Dumb Money Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The Global Futures Dumb Money
Indicator is calculated according to a
proprietary formula
• It shows tops when the so called
"crowd" gets too bullish. Some of the
components of this indicator are the
Global Futures Sentiment Index, the
CBOE call/put ratio of equity options
and the ISE Sentiment Index
Signals:
• Bullish: Low readings
• Bearish: Gauge above 5
• Use only in combination with
breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Dumb Money Indicators
Description
• The Chicago Board Options Exchange
Market Volatility Index is a popular
measure of the implied volatility of
S&P 500 index options
• The Volatility Index Oscillator
measures the momentum of the VIX
Index. If the gauge of this indicator is
rising caution is warranted
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge below 0
• Bearish: Gauge above 0
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Dumb Money Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The Chicago Board Options Exchange
Market Volatility Index is a popular
measure of the implied volatility of
S&P 500 index options
• The Volatility Index Oscillator
measures the momentum of the VIX
Index. If the gauge of this indicator is
rising caution is warranted
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge below 0
• Bearish: Gauge above 0
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Dumb Money Indicators
Description
• The Global Futures Trading Index is a
proprietary indicator of Global Futures.
It shows bottoms and tops in trends
and should be used together with the
Global Futures Trend Index for exact
timing
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge above 1
• Bearish: Gauge below 1
• Use only in combination with the
Global Futures Trend Index
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Dumb Money Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The Global Futures Trading Index is a
proprietary indicator of Global Futures.
It shows bottoms and tops in trends
and should be used together with the
Global Futures Trend Index for exact
timing
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge above 1
• Bearish: Gauge below 1
• Use only in combination with the
Global Futures Trend Index
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Dumb Money Indicators
Description
• The buying and selling activity for puts
and calls can be used to help gauge
investor sentiment in the market
• The Global Futures Put/Volume Ratio
measures the amount of puts versus
the overall NYSE Volume
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge below -1
• Bearish: Gauge above 1
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Dumb Money Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The buying and selling activity for puts
and calls can be used to help gauge
investor sentiment in the market
• The Global Futures Put/Volume Ratio
measures the amount of puts versus
the overall NYSE Volume
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge below -1
• Bearish: Gauge above 1
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Dumb Money Indicators
Description
• The buying and selling activity for puts
and calls can be used to help gauge
investor sentiment in the market
• The Global Futures Put/Volume Ratio
Oscillator measures the momentum of
the Global Futures Put/Volume Ratio
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge above 2
• Bearish: Gauge below -2
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Dumb Money Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The buying and selling activity for puts
and calls can be used to help gauge
investor sentiment in the market
• The Global Futures Put/Volume Ratio
Oscillator measures the momentum of
the Global Futures Put/Volume Ratio
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge above 2
• Bearish: Gauge below -2
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Dumb Money Indicators
Description
• Every short seller anticipates a
declining stock market. Investors sell
short stock when they anticipate its
price going lower.
• Sooner or later they must cover their
short sales by buying back the stock.
A profit is made if the stock is bought
back at a lower price than when it was
sold short. When a large amount of
short selling activity is occurring,
market participants obviously expect
prices to head lower.
• The NYSE Short Interest Ratio is
therefore a long-term contrary opinion
sentiment indicator. It is calculated by
dividing the monthly short interest
figure released by the New York Stock
Exchange by the average volume of
trading per day.
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Dumb Money Indicators [Historical]
Description
• Every short seller anticipates a
declining stock market. Investors sell
short stock when they anticipate its
price going lower.
• Sooner or later they must cover their
short sales by buying back the stock.
A profit is made if the stock is bought
back at a lower price than when it was
sold short. When a large amount of
short selling activity is occurring,
market participants obviously expect
prices to head lower.
• The NYSE Short Interest Ratio is
therefore a long-term contrary opinion
sentiment indicator. It is calculated by
dividing the monthly short interest
figure released by the New York Stock
Exchange by the average volume of
trading per day.
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Option Indicators
Description
• The buying and selling activity for puts
and calls can be used to help gauge
investor sentiment in the market
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge above 1
• Bearish: Gauge below -1
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Option Indicators
Description
• The buying and selling activity for puts
and calls can be used to help gauge
investor sentiment in the market
Signals:
• Bullish: Low readings
• Bearish: High readings
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Option Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The buying and selling activity for puts
and calls can be used to help gauge
investor sentiment in the market
Signals:
• Bullish: Low readings
• Bearish: High readings
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Option Indicators
Description
• The buying and selling activity for puts
and calls can be used to help gauge
investor sentiment in the market
Signals:
• Bullish: High readings
• Bearish: Low readings
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Option Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The buying and selling activity for puts
and calls can be used to help gauge
investor sentiment in the market
Signals:
• Bullish: High readings
• Bearish: Low readings
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Option Indicators
Description
• The buying and selling activity for puts
and calls can be used to help gauge
investor sentiment in the market
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge below -1
• Bearish: Gauge above 1
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Option Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The buying and selling activity for puts
and calls can be used to help gauge
investor sentiment in the market
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge below -1
• Bearish: Gauge above 1
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Option Indicators
Description
• The buying and selling activity for puts
and calls can be used to help gauge
investor sentiment in the market
Signals:
• Bullish: Low readings
• Bearish: High readings
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Option Indicators
Description
• The buying and selling activity for puts
and calls can be used to help gauge
investor sentiment in the market
Signals:
• Bullish: Low readings
• Bearish: High readings
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Option Indicators
Description
• The buying and selling activity for puts
and calls can be used to help gauge
investor sentiment in the market
Signals:
• Bullish: High readings
• Bearish: Low readings
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Option Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The buying and selling activity for puts
and calls can be used to help gauge
investor sentiment in the market
Signals:
• Bullish: High readings
• Bearish: Low readings
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Option Indicators
Description
• The buying and selling activity for puts
and calls can be used to help gauge
investor sentiment in the market
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge below -1
• Bearish: Gauge above 1
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Option Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The buying and selling activity for puts
and calls can be used to help gauge
investor sentiment in the market
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge below -1
• Bearish: Gauge above 1
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Option Indicators
Description
• The buying and selling activity for puts
and calls can be used to help gauge
investor sentiment in the market
Signals:
• Bullish: High readings
• Bearish: Low readings
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Option Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The buying and selling activity for puts
and calls can be used to help gauge
investor sentiment in the market
Signals:
• Bullish: High readings
• Bearish: Low readings
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Option Indicators
Description
• The buying and selling activity for puts
and calls can be used to help gauge
investor sentiment in the market
Signals:
• Bullish: Low readings
• Bearish: High readings
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Option Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The buying and selling activity for puts
and calls can be used to help gauge
investor sentiment in the market
Signals:
• Bullish: Low readings
• Bearish: High readings
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Option Indicators
Description
• The buying and selling activity for puts
and calls can be used to help gauge
investor sentiment in the market
Signals:
• Bullish: High readings
• Bearish: Low readings
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Option Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The buying and selling activity for puts
and calls can be used to help gauge
investor sentiment in the market
Signals:
• Bullish: High readings
• Bearish: Low readings
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Option Indicators
Description
• The buying and selling activity for puts
and calls can be used to help gauge
investor sentiment in the market
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge above 1
• Bearish: Gauge below -1
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Option Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The buying and selling activity for puts
and calls can be used to help gauge
investor sentiment in the market
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge above 1
• Bearish: Gauge below -1
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Option Indicators
Description
• The buying and selling activity for puts
and calls can be used to help gauge
investor sentiment in the market
Signals:
• Bullish: High readings
• Bearish: Low readings
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Option Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The buying and selling activity for puts
and calls can be used to help gauge
investor sentiment in the market
Signals:
• Bullish: High readings
• Bearish: Low readings
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Option Indicators
Description
• The ISEE Sentiment Index is a unique
call/put ratio that only uses opening
long customer(small traders)
transactions to calculate
bullish/bearish market direction
• Opening long transactions are thought
to best represent market sentiment
because investors often buy call and
put options to express their actual
market view of a particular stock
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge below -1
• Bearish: Gauge above 1
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Option Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The ISEE Sentiment Index is a unique
call/put ratio that only uses opening
long customer(small traders)
transactions to calculate
bullish/bearish market direction
• Opening long transactions are thought
to best represent market sentiment
because investors often buy call and
put options to express their actual
market view of a particular stock
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge below -1
• Bearish: Gauge above 1
• Use only in combination with trend-
/breadth indicators
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Sentiment Indicators
Description
• Each week a poll of market letters is
taken to determine the degree of
bullishness or bearishness among
futures professionals
• The theory is that when an extreme
number of participants are bullish,
they are already positioned on the
long side and there is little potential
buying power left
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge below -1
• Bearish: Gauge above 1
• Extreme readings often pinpoint
market turns!
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Sentiment Indicators [Historical]
Description
• Each week a poll of market letters is
taken to determine the degree of
bullishness or bearishness among
futures professionals
• The theory is that when an extreme
number of participants are bullish,
they are already positioned on the
long side and there is little potential
buying power left
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge below -1
• Bearish: Gauge above 1
• Extreme readings often pinpoint
market turns!
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Sentiment Indicators
Description
• Every week the AAII now polls its
170,000 members daily. Respondents
indicate how they feel about the
market's performance in the next six
months
• The Bull & Bear AII shows the number
of bulls divided by the number of
bears
Signals:
• Bullish: Bullish divergences
• Bearish: Bearish divergences
• Extreme readings often pinpoint
market turns!
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Sentiment Indicators [Historical]
Description
• Every week the AAII now polls its
170,000 members daily. Respondents
indicate how they feel about the
market's performance in the next six
months
• The Bull & Bear AII shows the number
of bulls divided by the number of
bears
Signals:
• Bullish: Bullish divergences
• Bearish: Bearish divergences
• Extreme readings often pinpoint
market turns!
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Sentiment Indicators
Description
• Every week the AAII now polls its
170,000 members daily. Respondents
indicate how they feel about the
market's performance in the next six
months
• The Bull & Bear AII shows the number
of bulls divided by the number of
bears
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge below -1
• Bearish: Gauge above 1
• Extreme readings often pinpoint
market turns!
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Sentiment Indicators [Historical]
Description
• Every week the AAII now polls its
170,000 members daily. Respondents
indicate how they feel about the
market's performance in the next six
months
• The Bull & Bear AII shows the number
of bulls divided by the number of
bears
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge below -1
• Bearish: Gauge above 1
• Extreme readings often pinpoint
market turns!
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Sentiment Indicators
Description
• The Global Futures Sentiment Index is
based on data from Market Vane and
from the Association of Individual
Investors (AII).
• High readings appear near market
tops and low readings near bottoms
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge below -1
• Bearish: Gauge above 1
• Extreme readings often pinpoint
market turns!
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Sentiment Indicators [Historical]
Description
• The Global Futures Sentiment Index is
based on data from Market Vane and
from the Association of Individual
Investors (AII).
• High readings appear near market
tops and low readings near bottoms
Signals:
• Bullish: Gauge below -1
• Bearish: Gauge above 1
• Extreme readings often pinpoint
market turns!
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Hindenburg Omen
Description
• The Hindenburg omen was developed
to predict the potential for a financial
market crash. Criteria for the
Hindenburg Omen:
• The daily number of NYSE new 52-
week highs and the daily number of
new 52-week lows must both be
greater than 2.2% of total NYSE
issues traded that day.
• The NYSE's 10-week moving
average is rising.
• The McClellan Oscillator is negative
• New 52-week highs cannot be more
than twice the new 52-week lows.
• Each condition must occur on the
same day
Signals:
• Bearish: Once the signal has occurred,
it is valid for 30 days, and any
additional signals given during the 30-
day period should be ignored.
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
Hindenburg Omen [Historical]
Description
• The Hindenburg omen was developed
to predict the potential for a financial
market crash. Criteria for the
Hindenburg Omen:
• The daily number of NYSE new 52-
week highs and the daily number of
new 52-week lows must both be
greater than 2.2% of total NYSE
issues traded that day.
• The NYSE's 10-week moving
average is rising.
• The McClellan Oscillator is negative
• New 52-week highs cannot be more
than twice the new 52-week lows.
• Each condition must occur on the
same day
Signals:
• Bearish: Once the signal has occurred,
it is valid for 30 days, and any
additional signals given during the 30-
day period should be ignored.
CONTRARIAN-/SMART- & DUMB MONEY INDICATORS
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