The world’s population is more than 7 billion people today, and could be more than 9 billion by...
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Transcript of The world’s population is more than 7 billion people today, and could be more than 9 billion by...
The world’s population is more than 7 billion people today, and could be more than 9 billion by 2050.
The world has added 1.5 billion people since the ICPD, and continues to grow…
1950 1958 1966 1974 1982 1990 1998 2006 2014 2022 2030 2038 20460
2
4
6
8
10
Popu
latio
n (b
illio
ns) 5.7 billion
in 1994
7.2 billion in 2014
9.6 billion in 2050
2.5 billion in 1950
…though the pace of world population growth is slowing
1950 1958 1966 1974 1982 1990 1998 2006 2014 2022 2030 2038 20460
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
Aver
age
annu
al ra
te o
f cha
nge
in
popu
latio
n (%
)
Peak of 2.1% in 1968
1.4% in 1994
1.1% in 2014
0.5% in 2050
Future population growth will be concentrated in Asia and Africa…
1950 1958 1966 1974 1982 1990 1998 2006 2014 2022 2030 2038 20460
2
4
6
8
10
Popu
latio
n (b
illio
ns)
Africa
Asia
Latin America and the Caribbean
Europe, Northern America and Oceania
2014
…because fertility rates in Africa and Asia tend to be higher than in other regions
Many low fertility populations are expected to experience population decline in the coming decades
The “unmet need” for contraceptives remains high, despite family planning successes
Only a few countries
achieved a 50% reduction in unmet need
since 1994
19941996
19982000
20022004
20062008
20102012
20140
5
10
15
20
25
Unm
et n
eed
for f
amily
pla
nnin
g (p
er c
ent o
f mar
ried
or in
-uni
on w
omen
)
World
Africa
Oceania
N. America
AsiaLAC
Europe
Globally, child mortality has fallen by more than 40% since the ICPD…
…but a child born in Africa
is still 14 times more likely to
die before age 5 than a child
born in Europe or Northern
America19941996
19982000
20022004
20062008
20102012
20140
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Deat
hs u
nder
age
5 p
er 1
,000
live
birt
hs
World
Africa
Oceania
N. America
Asia
LACEurope
Progress in reducing mortality during the working and reproductive ages has been slower…
…largely due to the challenges of
HIV/AIDS, maternal mortality, road accidents, and
premature mortality from
noncommunicable diseasesSe-
ries1
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
Prob
abili
ty o
f dyi
ng b
etw
een
age
15 a
nd
age
60 (p
er 1
,000
)
World
Africa
OceaniaN. America
AsiaLACEurope
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
The world’s population is ageing
Population (millions)
Males Females
2050
Population (millions)
Males Females
2014
Population (millions)
Males Females
1994
Globally, the share of older persons in the total population increased from 9% in 1994 to 12% in
2014, and is expected to reach 21% by 2050
1950 1958 1966 1974 1982 1990 1998 2006 2014 2022 2030 2038 20460
5
10
15
20
25
Perc
enta
ge o
f pop
ulati
on
Under age 5
Aged 60 years or over
The world is becoming more and more urbanized. More than half of the world’s population lives in urban areas, and almost all future population growth will occur in cities.
Photo: Alicia Nijdam (2008) “Rocinha Favela”
In 2007, the world’s population became mostly urban for the first time. By 2050, two-thirds of people are
expected to live in urban settlements
1950 1958 1966 1974 1982 1990 1998 2006 2014 2022 2030 2038 20460
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Popu
latio
n (b
illio
ns)
Rural
Urban
Most megacities and large cities are located in the global South
The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.
Nearly 90% of urban growth to 2050 will be absorbed by urban settlements in Africa and Asia
International migration has increased in demographic significance and development impact
232 million people
worldwide resided
outside their country of
origin in 20131990 2000 2013
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Inte
rnati
onal
mig
rant
s (m
illio
ns)
Africa
Oceania
Northern America
Asia
LAC
Europe
South-South migration is as common as South-North migration
South
South
North
North
South: 82.3 million (36%)
North: 81.9 million (35%)
North: 53.7 million (23%)
South: 13.7 million (6%)
International migrants by origin and destination, 2013
48 per cent of the world’s 232 million international migrants are women.
People are at the heart of sustainable development…
…and population trends shape the global context of the post-2015 UN development agenda.
Social
EconomicEnvironment
“There are very few factors that will shape the future global development situation as fundamentally as population patterns and trends. At the same time, the world is an increasingly complex place, with Governments facing quite different demographic opportunities and challenges.” -ASG Thomas Gass
For more information, visit: unpopulation.org