The Union budget of India 2016-17: Scalability of ...€¦ · The Union budget of India 2016-17:...

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The Union budget of India 2016-17: Scalability of underground drainage and faecal sludge management Stanzin Tsephel and Isha Das

Transcript of The Union budget of India 2016-17: Scalability of ...€¦ · The Union budget of India 2016-17:...

Page 1: The Union budget of India 2016-17: Scalability of ...€¦ · The Union budget of India 2016-17: Scalability of underground drainage and faecal sludge management Stanzin Tsephel and

The Union budget of India 2016-17:

Scalability of underground drainage

and faecal sludge management

Stanzin Tsephel and Isha Das

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WC

On-

site

facility

Septic

tanks,

Open

defecat

ion

19

% t

rea

ted

Treatment Reuse/

disposal Transport Collection Containment

WSP-2011

50%

41%

9%

81% not treated

Urban India

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Background and Approach

1. FSM and Sewerage are vastly different:

• Not comparing merits, feasibility, viability of the two

• Both compete for same resource pool with same

ultimate goals

2. Cost data collected based on DPR from 23 centralised

system and 6 FSM towns

3. Budget figures and other economic data: 2016-17

4. Projected data (population, growth rate etc) from World

Bank

5. Highly conservative approach

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Description Amt - USD Amt - INR

GDP (Current US) 2.09 Trillion 136 Trillion

Per Capita per year 1,598 1,03,886

How much $$ does India have?

729

1.018 1.090

1.461 1.456 1.598

-

500

1.000

1.500

2.000

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

US

D

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Description Amt in USD Amt in INR

Union budget 2015-16 0.27 Trillion 17.8 Trillion

Union budget /Capita 209 13,558

States Budget /Capita 205 13,349

Total Budget /Capita 414 26,907

Government Spending?

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Description Total Budget Wastewater

USD INR % INR/capita

AMRUT 0.63 B 41 B 31% 10

State and City 0.20 B 13 B 100% 10

Smart City 0.50 B 32 B 25% 6

National River Conser 0.06 B 4 B 50% 1

SPM Rurban Mission 0.04 B 3 B 30% 1

Namami Gange 0.35 B 23 B 60% 10

External Assistance 3.38 B 220 B 5% 8

Total 46

Budget for Wastewater in 2016-17?

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Is the estimated too high?

MODELLING INPUTS : INR 50

46

151

211

85

0

50

100

150

200

250

EstimatedInvestment on

wastewater

National HealthMission

NationalEducationMission

Swachh BharatAbhiyan

INR / Capita

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Options Capex / capita

(INR)

Capex /

capita (USD)

Sewerage system INR 3,201– 42,695 48 – 650

FSM INR 500 – 2,000 8 – 30

Different Solutions : Capex

MODELLING INPUTS : Centralised system: INR 10,000 – USD 150

FSM: INR 700 – USD 11

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Options Opex / capita

(INR)

Opex /

capita (USD)

Sewerage system 295 – 3,648 5 – 56

FSM 100 – 250 2 – 4

Different Solutions : Opex

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Two Key Inputs

INR 50 INR

10,000

Budget per

year Cost

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50

%

10

0%

2017 2021 2026

2% 6%

0%

1: Current Investment Pattern

30

%

38

%

• 98% on sewerage

• 2% for FSM : INR 1,903 Cr

45

%

30%

51% 40%

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50

%

10

0%

2017 2021 2026

25

%

57

%

0%

2: Partial Investment in FSM

30

%

35

%

42

%

• 80% for sewerage

• 20% for FSM

30%

60%

99%

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59

%

50

%

10

0%

2017 2021 2026

63

% 0%

3: Full Coverage by 2021

30

% 32

%

• 50% for sewerage

• 50% for FSM

41

%

30%

95%

100%

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59

%

50

%

10

0%

2017 2021 2026

2%

25

%

57

%

63

% 6%

0%

Comparing the Scenarios

30

%

38

%

35

%

32

%

42

%

45

%

41

%

30%

51%

95%

60%

40%

99% 100%

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Conclusions

Current plans: 40% coverage in 5 years; 51% by 2026

20% diversion to FSM: almost 100% coverage by 2026;

but 3% fewer people get sewerage

More aggressive FSM investment can give 100%

coverage as early as 2021

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Conclusions

‘Good’ solution for all instead of ‘Perfect’ solution to few

High Coverage essential for Health / Environment impact

FSM can help get the intended impact of existing and

future investment

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Thank You

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59

%

50

%

10

0%

2017 2021 2026

2

%

25

%

57

%

63

%

6

% 0

%

Main template

30

%

38

%

35

%

32

%

42

%

• 2% allocation for FSM

• INR 1903 Cr > 300 Million $

------------------

• 15 % increase by 2026

• More than 50 % not covered by

2025

45

%

41

%

30%

51%

95%

60%

40%

99% 100%