The UK weather radar network current and future ... UK weather radar network current and future...
Transcript of The UK weather radar network current and future ... UK weather radar network current and future...
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The UK weather radar network current and future capabilities including the upgrade to dual polarisation.
Dr Jacqueline Sugier, Radar R&D, Observations, Met OfficeRMetS National Meeting, 20th March 2013
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Very important:• Underpin many Met Office services• Used for weather and flood forecasting• Provide vital information for emergency
response teams• It is our only observing system with the
spatial and temporal resolution to resolve convective cells.
Historically, the UK weather radar network has provided detail information regarding the intensity, the location, distribution and evolution of precipitation.
The Importance of Weather Radar
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Early days of the UK Radar Network
The network declared operational in 1985. It was comprised of 5 radars covering England and Wales (2 S-band and 3 C-band single polarisation non-Doppler radars).
The network was delivering in real-time:
• 2km resolution single site rainrate data every 5 mins to remote users such as the regional water boards.
• And 5km resolution composite rainfall map of England and Wales every 15 mins.
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UK Radar NetworkStatus February 2013
UK radar network now comprised of 15 radars:• All the network but 1 are Doppler
radars• 2 dual polarisation Doppler radars
(yellow dots).• All C-band
With increased telecomms and computing capabilities, raw data is now sent directly to Exeter for central processing (limited processing at site).
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Outline
• Radar Network upgrade to dual polarisation
• UK Weather Radar Network products and capabilities
• Continuous development
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Outline• Radar Network upgrade to dual
polarisation
• UK Weather Radar Network products and capabilities
• Continuous development
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Network Renewal: Top-level Aims
• Continuity - avoid running into age–related failures. (Hameldon Hill radar is 33 years old and has completed ~14M scans!)
• Use latest technology to increase radar capability ( e.g. dual-polarisation to improve quality control and rainfall rate accuracy).
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Weather Radar Network Renewal Design
Radar systems and software have been developed in partnership with academia and industry to create a bespoke and fully customisable radar system and network
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OSA radar design overview
PC for
Radar control,
GUI &
Product
Generation
Aerial mounted
Receiver &
Digitiser
C-band
Transmitter
Waveguide
switch:
Split power H & V
or Full power
H polarisation
Central processor
Radarnet
Met Office HQ
Exeter
Radar cabin
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Analogue receiverDual Channel Analogue receiver design - Based on current UK network single channel standard (Met Office /Pascall. UK)
Performs down-conversion from C-band to intermediate frequency (IF) –30MHz
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DigitiserVHDL digital down converters are used to convert I & Q to baseband prior transferring them to the Cyclops PC for further signal processing and product generation.
Met Office design based on Pentek (US) card:
• 4 channels A/D – 200 MSPS 16 bits analogue to digital converters, controlled by Virtex-6 FPGA
• 30 channels of digital IO
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Cyclops-D4 PC system
Cyclops-D4 provides:• Radar control • Signal processing/Product
generation: PC based C++ software. Produces Z, V, SQI, CI, CPA, N, ZDR, ρHV, ΦDP, and LDR, at a resolution of 1 deg per 300 / 75 m for long / short pulse respectively.
• System monitoring• FTP/ remote desktop
connection
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Renewal on the ground
• Replacement of the receiver, antenna, radome and waveguide system, and refurbishment of the pedestal.
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Re-engineering of the pedestal
• New motors, gearboxes, servos, supplied by Danaher motion (Germany) Brushless AC Motor with epicylic gearbox
• Control via CanOpen interface
• Hengstler 14 bit Synchronous Serial Interface encoder for absolute position information
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Re-engineering of the pedestal
Old motor (~ 25 kg)and gear head (~ 35 kg)
New motor (11 kg)and gear head (13 kg)
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Dual polarisation antenna
• Reuse the Precision (UK) 3.7m dish• New feedhorn design for dual
polarisation (Q-Par, UK) • Cross polar isolation design goal of -
40dB,• Gain 43dB minimum,• Sidelobe design goal of -30dB within
+/- 10 deg and -35deg outside +/- 10 deg.
• 1 degree beam width
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Weather Radar Network Renewal Implementation
• Upgrade to a 3rd and 4th operational sites are underway (Castor Bay-NI; and Predannack -Cornwall). 5 installations planned for FY 13/14.
• Completion late FY 15/16
• Doppler capability rolled-out to all but 1 UK radar.
• Dual polarisation design is running at 2 Ops sites (Chenies – NW London; and Thurnham –Kent) and 1 R&D site (Wardon Hill – Dorset).
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Outline• Radar Network upgrade to dual
polarisation
• UK Weather Radar Network products and capabilities
• Continuous development
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Operational radar products
Rainfall productsderived from radar reflectivity
Doppler productsderived from the phase shift caused
by moving reflecting targets
During the 5 mins cycles, the radar perform 10 scans at different elevation. Data is averaged to 1° x 600m polar resolution.
Rainfall products generated every 5 minsat 5km (Op), 1km (Op), and 500m (R&D)
resolution.
Radial winds are been assimilated into 1.5km NWP model (UKV).
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Flagging of Raw Data Single Site Rain Rate Compositing
Rainfall products – Radarnet processing
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R&D product:Radar refractivity
• Fabry (1997) demonstrated that refractivity changes can be derived by monitoring change over a time period of the phase of the electromagnetic return signal from stationary targets.
Radar refractivity can provide useful information to NWP models regarding the evolution of the humidity field 30-60km radius around each radar sites, which in turn can provide observation of convergence before a storm forms.
Station obs agree with radar, Nicol et al 2012b).
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• The bigger the drop the more oblate it becomes.
• The shape of the raindrop affects how it reflects the vertically and horizontally polarised radar beam.
• ZDR is the ratio between the received power measured in the horizontal (H) and vertical (V) plan:
ZDR = 10* log10( ZH / ZV)
Differential reflectivity, ZDRprovide mean particle shape
~ 3 mm ZDR ~ 1.5dB
Small drops (1mm) ZDR ~ 0dB
Large raindrop > 6mm ZDR ~ 6 dB;
Raindrop size against ZDR
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Reflectivity, dBZ Differential Phase Shift, degree
Example of Differential Phase, φDPChenies – 17 Mar 2013
φDP Indicates the relative delay between the Horizontal and Vertical wave → Increase in differential phase related to attenuation of the radar signal.
As rain becomes heavier raindrop become oblate. The horizontally polarised wave will be more affected by more water than the vertically polarized wave.
φDP = φH - φV
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Example of ρHV data Wardon Hill - 5 Feb 2013Reflectivity (Z), dBZ Co-polar correlation coefficient (ρHV)
• Correlation between the H and V backscattered field.• Decorrelation occurs if both orthogonal backscattered field do not vary simultaneously. • Good indicates of spurious echoes, bright-band.• Good indicator of the quality of the radar system.
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Dual polarisation quality: ρHVassessment
• During light uniform rainevents, the correlationbetween the H and Vchannels should beclose to 1.
• Small imperfection in thecross channel isolationresult in the degradationof the quality dualpolarisation parameters,with their precisiondecreasing as peak ρHVfalls away from 1.
Radar Systems Peak ρHV
EEC Thurnham (C-band, 4.3m antenna)
0.97
Vaisala (C-band, 4.3m dish) 0.997
Colorado State University, CSU-CHILL (S-band, 8.5m antenna)
0.997
Met Office Wardon Hill (C-band, 3.7m antenna)
0.997
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Example of LDR dataWardon Hill 5 Feb 2013
Reflectivity (Z), dBZ Linear depolarisation ratio (LDR), dB
LDR = 10* log10( ZHV / ZHH)• Measure of the depolarisation of the H wave• LDR is sensitive to the particle shape, dielectric
constant and orientation of the particle major axis with respect to the plane of the radar polarisation.
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Dual polarisation quality: LDR assessment
• LDR used to assess the quality of the dual polarisation measurements
• Lower LDR in rain means better isolation between the H and V channels i.e. better dual polarisation performance
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
-42 -41 -40 -39 -38 -37 -36 -35 -34 -33 -32 -31 -30 -29 -28 -27 -26 -25Linear depolarisation ratio, dB
Met
Off
ice
Freq
uenc
y of
occ
uren
ce, %
0.00
0.03
0.06
0.09
0.12
0.15
0.18
Vais
ala
Freq
uenc
y of
occ
uren
ce, %
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Outline• Radar Network upgrade to dual
polarisation
• UK Weather Radar Network products and capabilities
• Continuous development
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Beyond network renewal
Great opportunity:• Dual polarisation
Signal Processing (Cyclops D4) and receiver was developed in-house – we have complete control over the signal processing.
© Crown copyright Met Office
Our goal: Deliver optimum radar products to improve short-range forecast particularly of severe weather.
Radar reflectivity
Radar refractivityRadial wind
Rainfall
Working with our academic partners, our research focus on:
• Extracting maximum information from the radar network.
• Developing new signal processing and central processing techniques for improving the accuracy of the radar products.
NWP (DA, STEPS, UKPP, VER)
FSD
EA, FFC
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Spurious echoes identification
Problem: A major limitation to assimilating radar products into NWP and hydrological models is the presence of non-precipitation echoes in the data.
POD Jan 2012 POD Jan 2013 Average dBZ Jan 2013Improved scheme was introduced last year based on Nicol
et al (IAHS Publ 2012). This technique show clear improvement to the data; however some limitations with sea clutter and RLAN interference.
Going forward: use dual polarisation parameters to improve this scheme further.
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Characteristics of weather radars microwave frequencies
From Delrieu et al, 2000: Quantification of Path-Integrated Attenuation for X-band and C-band Weather Radar Systems Operating in the Mediterranean Heavy Rainfall
Extr
eme
rain
Higher frequency: more severe Attenuation during critical events
Severe attenuation of the radar return is a major problem in intense rainfall, particularly during event likely to cause floods.
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Dept. of MeteorologyPassive emissions
• Attenuators are emitters (Prevost 1818).
• Radar signal Attenuating storms emit at the radar frequency.
• Emission can be expressed as the total attenuation along the path of the radar beam.
• Radar receiver is sensitive enough to act as a radiometer and measure emissions (transmitter switched off)
Our goal: to bring new emission techniques combined with dual polarisation parameter into operational use for improving the identification and correction of attenuation of the radar return caused by rain and wet radome.
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Improved QPE accuracy during heavy rainfall
Problem: Severe attenuation of the radar reflectivity in heavy rainfall cause severe under estimation of rainfall.
New opportunity: use R=f(KDP) instead of R=f(Z). KDP can be used to identify area of heavy rain and derive rainfall estimate without using the reflectivity.
KPD is a phase parameter immune to the error related radar calibration or reduction of the reflectivity factor caused by partial beam blockage, attenuation by precipitation or wet radome. KDP is also less sensitive than reflectivity to changes in the DSD.
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Objective: to improve fine-scale measurement and prediction of rainfall and to enhance urban pluvial flood prediction. This will enable urban water managers to adequately cope with intense storms, so that the vulnerability of populations and critical infrastructure can be reduced.
RAINGAIN
Sites: The activity includes the implementation and use of advanced radar technologies (dual polarisation C band) over central London, and (X Band) in Leuven, Paris, and Rotterdam.
Partners: The project gathers 13 partners in Belgium, France, Netherlands and the UK (local authorities, universities and enterprises).
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Super-resolution processing
• Can signal processing techniques refine resolution of the rainfall estimates for urban catchments?
• Our goal: 100m or better resolution over central London by 2014
500m data on Invent
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Gauge-Radar merging techniques
• The project is assessing the influence of the following parameters on the quality of the merged product:
• Choice of merging method.• Gauge density.• Degree of rainfall correlation.• Polling time
Radar only Gauge only
Merged
Radar onlyRadar only Gauge onlyGauge only
MergedMerged
• Objective: The development and implementation of a high resolution radar-raingauge merged product for use in real-time of quality controlled raingauge data. The scheme is required to run using a 15 minute accumulation time for use in flood forecasting.
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Summary
The new UK radar system is delivering top class parameters including dual polarization radar refractivity and passive emission to support research activities focusing to improving short-range forecast particularly of severe weather.
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Questions & answers