Co-funded by the European Commission under FP7 (Seventh Framework Programme) ICT-2009.4.3 Intelligent Information Management - Project Reference: 258723

Collaborative, Complex and Critical

Decision-Support in Evolving Crisis

The TRIDEC system in the NEAMWave12 exercise

Evaluation of NEAMWave12 and discussion on NEAMWave14ICG/NEAMTWS-X – Rome, Italy, November 19-21, 2013

Martin Hammitzsch (1), Fernando José Carrilho (2), Ocal Necmioglu (3), Matthias Lendholt (1), Sven Reißland (1), Jana Schulz (1), Rachid Omira (2), Mustafa Comoglu (3), Nurcan Meral Ozel (3), and

Joachim Wächter (1)(1) GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany(2) IPMA - Instituto Português do Mar e da Atmosfera, Lisbon, Portugal

(3) KOERI - Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute, Bogazici University, Istanbul, Turkey

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TRIDECCollaborative, Complex, and Critical Decision-Support in Evolving Crises

TRIDEC

• Focuses on new technologies for real time ‐intelligent information management in collaborative, complex critical decision processes

• Important application field of the technology developed is management of natural crises, i.e. tsunamis

• Based on the development of and experiences in the German Indonesian Tsunami Early Warning System (GITEWS) and the Distant Early Warning System (DEWS)

• In TRIDEC new developments extend the existing platform for both, sensor integration and warning dissemination

• Building distributed tsunami warning systems for transnational deployment based on a component-based technology framework

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CCUICommand and Control User Interface

CCUI Workflow

Monitoring Perspective

Forecasting Perspective

Message Composition Perspective

Dissemination Perspective

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NEAMTWS Wizard

CCUI Workflow cont’d

• “Perspectives” provide functionality associated with one task of the workflow– Monitoring Perspective is used to track running events– Forecasting Perspective is used to analyse simulations– Message Composition Perspective is used to prepare and

send warning messages– Dissemination Perspective is used to observe all generated

and sent warning messages• Perspectives are supported by wizards

– NEAMTWS Wizard accelerates the operator’s work with automatic and relevant operations to• Asses estimated impact based on pre-computed simulations,• Identify and classify affected areas and points of interest, and• Generate and release warning messages 6

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CCUI – Monitoring Perspective

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CCUI – NEAMTWS Wizard

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CCUI – Forecasting Perspective

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CCUI – Dissemination Perspective

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CCUI – Message Composition Perspective

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Centre-to-centre communication

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CCUI – Centre-to-centre communication

Received at KOERI from IPMA

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CCUI – Centre-to-centre communication

Received at IPMA from KOERI

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NEAMWAVE12

A Tsunami Warning and Communication Exercise for the North-eastern Atlantic, the Mediterranean, and Connected Seas Region

TRIDEC in NEAMWave12

• Tsunami warning chain tested to a full scale for the first time with different systems– TRIDEC system validated in this exercise among others by KOERI and IPMA– Simulated widespread Tsunami Watch situations throughout the NEAM

region• Participating in 2 of the 4 scenarios

– Morning of November 27, 2012, first scenario initiated and played by the Portuguese Institute for the Sea and Atmosphere (IPMA)• Based on the devastating 1755 Lisbon event with the assumption that the

event represents the worst-case tsunami scenario impacting the NE Atlantic region

– Afternoon of November 28, 2012, fourth scenario was performed by Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute (KOERI)• Based on the 8 August 1303 Crete and Dodecanese Islands earthquake with a

Mw=8.4 worst-case interpretation resulting in destructive inundation in the Eastern Mediterranean

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NEAMWave12 – IPMA Scenario

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NEAMWave12 – KOERI Scenario

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Portuguese Phase A

• Sense the initial virtual earthquake and sea level data successively• Assess and verify the occurrence of a tsunami based on the virtual data

sensed• Generate pre-defined warning messages with customization

– Based on event’s specific parameters and analysis results• Disseminate generated messages to

– ICG/NEAMTWS community via GTS, and Email– Portuguese CPA via email, and– Other registered message recipients via Fax, Email, and SMS

• Exercise direct center-to-center communication with TRIDEC system deployed at KOERI

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Turkish Extended Phase A

• Sense the initial virtual earthquake and sea level data successively• Assess and verify the occurrence of a tsunami based on the virtual data sensed• Make use of unconventional, human sensors by integrating artificial eye-

witness reports– Sent and geographically referenced by an Android app, and– Collected and managed by a crisis-mapping platform

• Generate user-tailored warning messages with customization– Based on recipients‘ vocabulary, language, subscribed region, criticality, and

channel– Based on event’s specific parameters and analysis results

• Disseminate generated messages to– Turkish CPA via email, and– Other registered message recipients via FTP (imitating GTS), Fax, Email SMS,

twitter clone StatusNet, WordPress blog• Exercise direct center-to-center communication with TRIDEC system deployed

at IPMA

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PORTUGUESE MSEL

Master Schedule of Events ListPortuguese Phase A, NEAMWave12

MSEL PT – no modification

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EQ

msg#1

EQ refinement

msg#2

Sea levelmsg#3

Sea levelmsg#4

Sea levelmsg#5

Sea levelmsg#6

MSEL PT cont’d

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MSEL PT – Centre-to-centre communication

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IPMA

KOERI

MSEL PT – C2C cont’d

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WAC bulletin#1

WAC bulletin#2

WAC bulletin#3

WAC bulletin#4

WAC bulletin#5

WAC bulletin#6

Share all sensor measurements

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TURKISH MSEL

Master Schedule of Events ListTurkish Extended Phase A, NEAMWave12

MSEL TR – with modifications

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MSEL TR cont’d

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MSEL TR cont’d

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MSEL TR – Centre-to-centre communication

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WAC bulletin#1

WAC bulletin#2

WAC bulletin#3

WAC bulletin#4

Share all sensor measurements

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TRIDEC SYSTEM ARCHITECTURETurkish Extended Phase A, NEAMWave12

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System Environment

System Architecture – Concept

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System Architecture – Upstream

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Sensors

Sensors data processing

Sensors integration, data repositories

Decision support

Simulation database and on-demand computing

GUI

System Architecture – Upstream NEAMWave12

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Detour

Detour – eyewitness reports

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• Extending conventional sensors, i.e. seismic system, tide gauges, buoys, and GPS, with unconventional sensors, e.g. eyewitness reports

• In 2010 United States Institute of Peace (USIP) examined role of crisis-mapping in the disaster relief effort following the 2010 earthquake in Haiti– An open-source crisis-mapping platform,

provided a way to capture, organize, and share critical information coming directly from Haitians

• Successive application and validation– 2010 Chile earthquake– 2010 BP’s Deepwater Horizon oil spill in the

Gulf of Mexico– 2011 Christchurch earthquake and tsunami in

New Zealand– 2011 Japan earthquake, tsunami, and nuclear

emergency

Detour cont’d

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• For this purpose an crisis-mapping instance has been set-up for the Turkish Extended Phase A scenario together with Android App ‘Geohazard’– To validate and demonstrate the

feasibility of integrating and using eyewitness reports

– Serving eyewitness reports to the TRIDEC system

– Making them available via the CCUI to the operators in case of tsunamigenic earthquake and tsunami events

• Thus eyewitness reports provide rapid in-situ crowd-sourced measurement by people actually experiencing the crisis event

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Detour cont’d

• Primary purpose– Extending conventional sensors, i.e. seismic system, tide gauges,

buoys, and GPS, with unconventional sensors, e.g. eyewitness reports– Decentralized collection of local reports using smartphone technology– Rapid in-situ crowd-sourced measurement by people actually

experiencing the crisis event• Increase attractiveness for users – potential eyewitnesses

– Ability to access freely available public information from providers around the world, e.g.• Earthquake information services of KOERI, IPMA, USGS, GFZ, and many

more, but also• Tsunami information services from NOAA• Volcano information services from USGS, and GNS• Cyclone and flood information services from GDACS

– Services are chosen by the user according to specific needs– Freely available in Google Play Store http://goo.gl/CyZd0K

System Architecture – Downstream

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GUI

Infor-mation

LogisticsChannel Adapters

Generation of user-tailored warning messageswith customization based on recipients‘vocabulary, language, subscribed region, criticality, and channel

Delivery of messages to channel providers via various interfaces

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MESSAGES & CUSTOMIZED CONTENT

Turkish Extended Phase A, NEAMWave12

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Dissemination & Set-up

• Automatic dissemination to recipients registered for CFZs

• Reviewed and manual dissemination to recipients registered for TFPs

• User-tailored warning messages with customization based on recipients‘– Vocabulary, Language, Subscribed region, Criticality, and Channel

• Channels– FTP (imitating GTS; KOERI FTP server)– FAX (Internet fax service)– Email (KOERI mail server)– SMS (Internet SMS service)– twitter clone StatusNet (internal instance at KOERI)– WordPress Blog (internal instance at KOERI)

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Message 3 – EMAIL

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Message 3 – FAX

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Message 3 – FTP (imitating GTS)

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Messages – SMS

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STANDARDS AND FOSS

Standards applied

• OGC – Open Geospatial Consortium– SWE (Sensor Web Enablement) Standards

• SAS (Sensor Alert Service)• SOS (Sensor Observation Service)• WNS (Web Notification Service)

– OWS (OpenGIS Web Service) Standards• WMS (Web Mapping Service)• WPS (Web Processing Service)• WFS (Web Feature Service)

• OASIS – Organization for the Advancement of Structured Information Standards– EM (Emergency Management),

TC (Technical Committee)• CAP (Common Alerting Protocol)• EDXL-DE (Emergency Data Exchange

Language - Distribution Element)47

Standardised sensors integration

Standardisedmaps integration

Standardisedmessage exchange

Free and Open Source Software (FOSS)• The TRIDEC system is based to the largest extent on FOSS components and

industry standards• Software produced is foreseen to be published on a publicly available software

repository thus• Permitting others to reuse results achieved,• Enabling further development, and• Stimulating collaboration with a wide community including scientists, developers,

users and stakeholders

• Using FOSS appeals to stakeholders for three main reasons– Low or no cost, – Access to source code they can tailor themselves, and– A broad community that ensures a generally robust code base, with quick fixes for

any new issues that surface.• FOSS takes on the challenge of

– Steep learning curve to master concepts and source code, and– Human resources to adopt the system, and/or– Financing of services serving the required expertise and workforce

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CONCLUSIONS

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Conclusions

• Evaluation of TRIDEC systems in full from the initial virtual earthquake sensed, to the analysis of virtual sea level sensor data, the use of simulations, and finally to the dissemination of warning messages in 2 of 4 NEAMWave12 scenarios– At IPMA demonstrating the conformance to international agreements in IPMA's

Phase A– At KOERI demonstrating functionality beyond international agreements in KOERI's

Extended Phase A to demonstrate unique features• Use of conventional sensors and sensor systems and unconventional sensors

– Use of seismic system and tide gauges– Use of an App to immediately sent eyewitness reports, and– Integration of a crisis-mapping platform to collect, organize eyewitness reports

• Communication– Centre-to-Centre software system communication between Turkey and Portugal– Conventional delivery of warning messages via email, fax, SMS and GTS– Delivery of user-tailored warning messages with customization based on

recipients' vocabulary, language, subscribed region, criticality, and channel– Social media channels have been used in order to demonstrate new

opportunities

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Lessons learned – from tech. view point• Gain experience – regular exercises in international context apply pressure

and push things forward– NEAMWave exercise could influence internal trainings/workshops and

communication test exercises – differences could be small• Connect scientific and professional skills with state-of-the-art in ICT

– Use standards – Reuse and transform content– Allow system-to-system and centre-to-centre communication –

Recycle information in different context– Let technology influence SOPs– Play with new technological approaches – Use prototypes

• Let scenarios meet reality– Clarify what full-scale means and what a scenario is– Use systems behaviour to design realistic scenarios– Survey target state. Specify downscale state – Know what you miss– Announce (internal) exercises, but hide details

• Identify stakeholders, their involvement, and their needs– Prioritize – Check against priorities

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Further information

• YouTube videos and playlists http://goo.gl/1ecM7l

• Publications– Meeting UNESCO-IOC ICG/NEAMTWS Requirements and

beyond with TRIDEC's Crisis Management Demonstrator for Tsunamis (2013, ISOPE) http://goo.gl/dOvmdF

– Development of tsunami early warning systems and future challenges (2012, NHESS) http://goo.gl/9OSTUI

– Tsunami Early Warning in the Eastern Mediterranean, Aegean and Black Sea (2012, ISOPE) http://goo.gl/jaONM9

– User interface prototype for geospatial early warning systems – a tsunami showcase (2012, NHESS) http://goo.gl/yUJwlY

• TRIDEC website http://www.tridec-online.eu/

Co-funded by the European Commission under FP7 (Seventh Framework Programme) ICT-2009.4.3 Intelligent Information Management - Project Reference: 258723

Collaborative, Complex and Critical

Decision-Support in Evolving Crisis

The TRIDEC system in the NEAMWave12 exercise

Evaluation of NEAMWave12 and discussion on NEAMWave14ICG/NEAMTWS-X – Rome, Italy, November 19-21, 2013

Martin Hammitzsch (1), Fernando José Carrilho (2), Ocal Necmioglu (3), Matthias Lendholt (1), Sven Reißland (1), Jana Schulz (1), Rachid Omira (2), Mustafa Comoglu (3), Nurcan Meral Ozel (3), and

Joachim Wächter (1)(1) GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany(2) IPMA - Instituto Português do Mar e da Atmosfera, Lisbon, Portugal

(3) KOERI - Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute, Bogazici University, Istanbul, Turkey