THE STORY - Rocky Mountain Asphalt Conference and ... · THE STORY Ted A. Borstad, ... Town of Vail...
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Transcript of THE STORY - Rocky Mountain Asphalt Conference and ... · THE STORY Ted A. Borstad, ... Town of Vail...
THE STORY
Ted A. Borstad, P.E.Borstad Consulting Services, LLC
Fort Collins, CO
Pavement Management Experience
Schriever AFB Colorado State
University Air Force Academy UC - Boulder
Shopping Center Outlets at Loveland Lutheran Church Oakridge Offices
City of Evans City of Alamosa City of Laramie Town of Vail Larimer County Mt Crested Butte Town of Frisco City of Cody City of Brighton Town of Windsor Town of Estes Park
How Roads Are Built
How Roads Are Built
Cost of Delayed Funding
PAY ME NOW
OR
PAY ME LATER
MicroPAVER
Corps of Engineers Developed
APWA Support ASTM Standard
Distresses Roads, Parking,
Airfields, etc. Asphalt, Gravel, etc
PCI: Pavement Condition Index (0 to 100)
Three Parts of the Story
1. PAST: Past Condition
2. PRESENT: Condition Now
3. FUTURE: Condition at Various Funding Levels
Part 1 – The Past
Collect Data
Collect Data
Pavement Condition, PCI
PCI
Distress Severity
Distress Type
Distress Quantity
Very Good 85 to 100
Above Average 70 to 85
Average 55 to 70
Below Average 40 to 55
Poor 0 to 40
Pavement Condition, PCI
PCI
Distress Severity
Distress Type
Distress Quantity
Very Good 85 to 100
Above Average 70 to 85
Average 55 to 70
Below Average 40 to 55
Poor 0 to 40
19 Distress Types
Load Related
Climate/Durability
Other
One Drink Limit During Inspections
Condition Plot – 20 Years
70.5
Condition by Rank – 10 Yrs
50.0000
60.0000
70.0000
80.0000
90.0000
100.0000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
CONDITION BY RANK SINCE 2000
PCI
AS OF DEC 31
PRIMARYSECONDARYTERTIARY
Paved Trend – By %PAVED - MAINLINE ROADSPAVED - MAINLINE ROADSPAVED - MAINLINE ROADSPAVED - MAINLINE ROADSPAVED - MAINLINE ROADS
YearAs of Dec 31
% Poor0 to 40
% Fair40 to 55
% Good55 to 70
% Very Good
70 to 1002001 9 10 17 652002 8 11 20 612003 6 14 26 542004 7 16 22 552005 6 15 21 582006 5 9 21 652007 5 9 21 652008 5 8 22 652009 5 7 24 64
Part 2 – The Present
Investment ValuePAVED: 378 Miles = $200 million NON PAVED: 450 Mi = $100 million
$300 million
$$$$$$
LARIMER
COUNTY
Investment Value107 Miles 24 Million Sq Ft
$120 million
$$$$$$
LARAMIE,
WYOMING
CONDITION
Condition by Locations
Transportation Report Card
LARIMER COUNTY
WEB SITE
Part 3 – The Future
PAVEMENT LIFE CYCLE
FAILED
EXCELLENT
GOOD
POOR
40% Drop in Quality 75% of Life
40% Drop in Quality
Small % of Life
TIME
FAIR
VERY GOOD
$1 Here
PAVEMENT LIFE CYCLE
FAILED
EXCELLENT
GOOD
POOR
40% Drop in Quality 75% of Life
40% Drop in Quality
Small % of Life
TIME
FAIR
VERY GOOD
$1 Here
$3-$5 Here
PAVEMENT LIFE CYCLE
FAILED
EXCELLENT
GOOD
POOR
40% Drop in Quality 75% of Life
40% Drop in Quality
Small % of Life
TIME
FAIR
VERY GOOD
$1 Here
$3-$5 Here
Con
ditio
n $1 Mil Here >>>>>>>>>>>
$4 To $5 Mil Here >>>>>>
________________________________________________________ Time Pavement Deterioration
Con
ditio
n $1 Mil Here >>>>>>>>>>>
$4 To $5 Mil Here >>>>>>
________________________________________________________ Time Pavement Deterioration
BUDGET OPTIONS
Limited Budget Unlimited Budget Stabilize Condition Eliminate Backlog Variable Budget
The Cost of Deferred Maintenance
Impact of Budgets
$5 Mil/Yr
Do Nothing
$3 Mil/Yr
Variable Budget
$3.0 Mil in 2010 Then
$2.0 Mil Per Year
$4.0 Mil
Compare Budgets
$2.7 Mil/Yr
$1.3 Mil/Yr$0.8 Mil/Yr
$1.7 Mil/Yr
Do Nothing
RESULTS MATTER
PREDICTED ACTUAL
RESULTS MATTER
PREDICTED ACTUAL
RESULTS MATTER
PREDICTED ACTUAL
‘FUNDED’ + ‘UNFUNDED NEED’OVER 5 YEARS
‘FUNDED’ + ‘UNFUNDED NEED’OVER 5 YEARS
‘FUNDED’ + ‘UNFUNDED NEED’OVER 5 YEARS
‘FUNDED’ + ‘UNFUNDED NEED’OVER 5 YEARS
‘FUNDED’ + ‘UNFUNDED NEED’OVER 5 YEARS
ANNUAL BUDGET
TOTAL FUNDED OVER 5 YEARS
UNFUNDED NEED AT 5 YEARS
TOTAL OFFUNDED + UNFUNDED AT 5 YEARS
$500,000 $2,500,000 $18,000,000 $20,500,000
$1,500,000 $7,500,000 $11,000,000 $18,500,000
‘FUNDED’ + ‘UNFUNDED NEED’OVER 5 YEARS
‘FUNDED’ + ‘UNFUNDED NEED’OVER 5 YEARS
‘FUNDED’ + ‘UNFUNDED NEED’OVER 5 YEARS
‘FUNDED’ + ‘UNFUNDED NEED’OVER 5 YEARS
‘FUNDED’ + ‘UNFUNDED NEED’OVER 5 YEARS
ANNUAL BUDGET
TOTAL FUNDED OVER 5 YEARS
UNFUNDED NEED AT 5 YEARS
TOTAL OFFUNDED + UNFUNDED AT 5 YEARS
$500,000 $2,500,000 $18,000,000 $20,500,000
$1,500,000 $7,500,000 $11,000,000 $18,500,000
$2 MIL SAVING
OVER 5 YEARS
‘FUNDED’ + ‘UNFUNDED NEED’OVER 15 YEARS
‘FUNDED’ + ‘UNFUNDED NEED’OVER 15 YEARS
‘FUNDED’ + ‘UNFUNDED NEED’OVER 15 YEARS
‘FUNDED’ + ‘UNFUNDED NEED’OVER 15 YEARS
‘FUNDED’ + ‘UNFUNDED NEED’OVER 15 YEARS
ANNUAL BUDGET
TOTAL FUNDED OVER 15 YEARS
UNFUNDED NEED AT 15 YEARS
TOTAL OFFUNDED + UNFUNDED AT 15 YEARS
PCI IN 10 YEARS
$800,000 $12,000,000 $37,000,000 $49,000,000 57
$1,300,000 $19,500,000 $20,000,000 $39,500,000 64
$1,700,000 $25,500,000 $11,000,000 $36,500,000 67
$2,800,000 for ten years
$28,000,000 0 $28,000,000 77
Unfunded Needs Long Range
If Funded at
$1 Mil per Yr
Maintenance
LARIMER COUNTY
WEB SITE
Tell Your Story
Tell Your Story
Are you Here?
Tell Your Story
Are you Here? Or Here?
Tell Your Story
Tell Your Story
You Can Do This
Tell Your Story
You Can Do This
Or This
What are theThree Parts of Your Story
1. PAST:
2. PRESENT:
3. FUTURE:
Remember
Whether you think you Can
Or think you Can’t
You are Probably Right
Thank YouTed A. Borstad, P.E.
Borstad Consulting Services LLC4730 S. College Ave, Suite 101Fort Collins, CO 80525
970-227-6480
