The story behind the 2010 percentage pass in south africa

16
The Story behind the 2010 Percentage Pass in South Africa Dr Muavia Gallie

description

 

Transcript of The story behind the 2010 percentage pass in south africa

Page 1: The story behind the 2010 percentage pass in south africa

The Story behind the 2010 Percentage Pass in South

Africa

Dr Muavia Gallie

Page 2: The story behind the 2010 percentage pass in south africa

1999 + 12 years Ave.Comparing Grades 1-12 from 1999 to 2010

450,000500,000550,000600,000650,000700,000750,000800,000850,000900,000950,000

1,000,0001,050,0001,100,0001,150,0001,200,0001,250,0001,300,0001,350,000

Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grade 9 Grade 10Grade 11Grade 12

1999Ave.

Page 3: The story behind the 2010 percentage pass in south africa

2000 + AveComparing Grades 1-12 from 1999 to 2010

450,000500,000550,000600,000650,000700,000750,000800,000850,000900,000950,000

1,000,0001,050,0001,100,0001,150,0001,200,0001,250,0001,300,0001,350,000

Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grade 9 Grade 10Grade 11Grade 12

2000Ave.

Page 4: The story behind the 2010 percentage pass in south africa

2001 + AveComparing Grades 1-12 from 1999 to 2010

450,000500,000550,000600,000650,000700,000750,000800,000850,000900,000950,000

1,000,0001,050,0001,100,0001,150,0001,200,0001,250,0001,300,0001,350,000

Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grade 9 Grade 10Grade 11Grade 12

2001Ave.

Page 5: The story behind the 2010 percentage pass in south africa

2002 + AveComparing Grades 1-12 from 1999 to 2010

450,000500,000550,000600,000650,000700,000750,000800,000850,000900,000950,000

1,000,0001,050,0001,100,0001,150,0001,200,0001,250,0001,300,0001,350,000

Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grade 9 Grade 10Grade 11Grade 12

2002Ave.

Page 6: The story behind the 2010 percentage pass in south africa

2003 + AveComparing Grades 1-12 from 1999 to 2010

450,000500,000550,000600,000650,000700,000750,000800,000850,000900,000950,000

1,000,0001,050,0001,100,0001,150,0001,200,0001,250,0001,300,0001,350,000

Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grade 9 Grade 10Grade 11Grade 12

2003Ave.

Page 7: The story behind the 2010 percentage pass in south africa

2004 + AveComparing Grades 1-12 from 1999 to 2010

450,000500,000550,000600,000650,000700,000750,000800,000850,000900,000950,000

1,000,0001,050,0001,100,0001,150,0001,200,0001,250,0001,300,0001,350,000

Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grade 9 Grade 10Grade 11Grade 12

2004Ave.

Page 8: The story behind the 2010 percentage pass in south africa

2005 + AveComparing Grades 1-12 from 1999 to 2010

450,000500,000550,000600,000650,000700,000750,000800,000850,000900,000950,000

1,000,0001,050,0001,100,0001,150,0001,200,0001,250,0001,300,0001,350,000

Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grade 9 Grade 10Grade 11Grade 12

2005Ave.

Page 9: The story behind the 2010 percentage pass in south africa

2006 + AveComparing Grades 1-12 from 1999 to 2010

450,000500,000550,000600,000650,000700,000750,000800,000850,000900,000950,000

1,000,0001,050,0001,100,0001,150,0001,200,0001,250,0001,300,0001,350,000

Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grade 9 Grade 10Grade 11Grade 12

2006Ave.

Page 10: The story behind the 2010 percentage pass in south africa

2007 + AveComparing Grades 1-12 from 1999 to 2010

450,000500,000550,000600,000650,000700,000750,000800,000850,000900,000950,000

1,000,0001,050,0001,100,0001,150,0001,200,0001,250,0001,300,0001,350,000

Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grade 9 Grade 10Grade 11Grade 12

2007Ave.

Page 11: The story behind the 2010 percentage pass in south africa

2008 + AveComparing Grades 1-12 from 1999 to 2010

450,000500,000550,000600,000650,000700,000750,000800,000850,000900,000950,000

1,000,0001,050,0001,100,0001,150,0001,200,0001,250,0001,300,0001,350,000

Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grade 9 Grade 10Grade 11Grade 12

2008Ave.

Page 12: The story behind the 2010 percentage pass in south africa

2009 + AveComparing Grades 1-12 from 1999 to 2010

450,000500,000550,000600,000650,000700,000750,000800,000850,000900,000950,000

1,000,0001,050,0001,100,0001,150,0001,200,0001,250,0001,300,0001,350,000

Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grade 9 Grade 10Grade 11Grade 12

2009Ave.

Page 13: The story behind the 2010 percentage pass in south africa

2010 + AveComparing Grades 1-12 from 1999 to 2010

450,000500,000550,000600,000650,000700,000750,000800,000850,000900,000950,000

1,000,0001,050,0001,100,0001,150,0001,200,0001,250,0001,300,0001,350,000

Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grade 9 Grade 10Grade 11Grade 12

2010Ave.

Page 14: The story behind the 2010 percentage pass in south africa

Ave % Drop in Learners Gr 1 to Gr12

% Drop in Learner from one grade to next

-11%

0% 1%-3% -3% -4%

5%

-5%

5%

-19%

-32%-35%

-30%

-25%

-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

Grade 1to 2Grade 2 to 3Grade 3 to 4Grade 4 to 5Grade 5 to 6Grade 6 to 7Grade 7 to 8Grade 8 to 9Grade 9 to 10Grade 10 to 11Grade 11 to 12

% Drop in Learner from one grade to next

-11%

0% 1%

-3% -3% -4%

5%

-5%

5%

-19%

-32%-35%

-30%

-25%

-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

Grade 1to 2 Grade 2 to 3 Grade 3 to 4 Grade 4 to 5 Grade 5 to 6 Grade 6 to 7 Grade 7 to 8 Grade 8 to 9 Grade 9 to 10Grade 10 to 11Grade 11 to 12

Grade 1to 2

Grade 2 to 3

Grade 3 to 4

Grade 4 to 5

Grade 5 to 6

Grade 6 to 7

Grade 7 to 8

Grade 8 to 9

Grade 9 to 10

Grade 10 to 11

Grade 11 to 12

%L Drop 0% -10.8% -0.3% 0.7% -3.2% -3.5% -4.4% 4.7% -5.3% 5.3% -18.7% -32.3%

Page 15: The story behind the 2010 percentage pass in south africa

1999-2010 + AveComparing Grades 1-12 from 1999 to 2010

450,000500,000550,000600,000650,000700,000750,000800,000850,000900,000950,000

1,000,0001,050,0001,100,0001,150,0001,200,0001,250,0001,300,0001,350,000

Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grade 9 Grade 10Grade 11Grade 12

199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010Ave.

Page 16: The story behind the 2010 percentage pass in south africa

Matrics 2010 started Gr1 in 1999

Drop in Learners Gr 1 (1999) - Gr12 (2010)

1,318,932

579,384550,000600,000650,000700,000750,000800,000850,000900,000950,000

1,000,0001,050,0001,100,0001,150,0001,200,0001,250,0001,300,0001,350,000

Grade 1 Grade 12

Only 44% left!