The ROUNDTABLE 2013: Tim Daniel
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The Art of the Comeback Tim Daniel | President
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Transcript of The ROUNDTABLE 2013: Tim Daniel
The Art of the Comeback
Tim Daniel | President
STAGNATION
DECLINE
GROWTH
COLLAPSE
THRIVING
TIME
RE
SU
LT
S
THE
COMEBACK
Bayesian Probability
Dynamic Efficiencies
DECLINE
COLLAPSE
TIME
RE
SU
LT
S
Bayesian Probability FOOL’S ERRAND
SAND TRAP
Dynamic Efficiencies
Capturing the change that may happen in the future and revealing it now
Intangible inputs now with predictable tangible outputs later
Recipe for Collapse
Normalized deviation from a dynamic efficiency standard
Recipe for Renewal
Normalized adherence to a dynamic efficiency standard
Dynamic Efficiency Standard
Good things have happened
Good things will happen
… at a faster rate
Dynamic Efficiency Standard
Good things have not happened
Good things will not happen
… at a faster rate
DECLINE
COLLAPSE
TIME
RE
SU
LT
S
Bayesian Probability FOOL’S ERRAND
SAND TRAP
AIMING DEVIATION
SHOOTING DEVIATION HALLUCINATIONS
LACUNAS
AIMING STANDARD
They happily keep choosing our offerings over any current alternative and encourage their circle to do the same
- because it is in their interests to do so
Audience Advertiser
Talent Investors
SHOOTING STANDARD
Our people happily keep choosing to work through our next change initiative because they are so proud of themselves for
how they handled the last one
Nothing is more vulnerable than intentional invulnerability
Inn
ova
tio
n C
ult
ure
Time
All about Preserving Ourselves
All about Surpassing Ourselves
(Invulnerability)
(Viability)
2 3
1 – remove & abandon the useless old 2 – renew & reintroduce the useful old 3 – test and abandon the useless new 4 – refine and grow the useful new 5 - test to find the combination of old and new that is best for your customer 6 - deploy new combination to achieve an unprecedented outcome vs. any market alternatives 7 – Safely navigate the new culture through a regime change
4
1
7
FOUR CLINICAL PASSAGES
6
5
Nothing is more viable than managed vulnerability
What causes hope to germinate?
honor
