The Role of EU-Mediterranean cooperation in the EU ... · RES Gas Nuclear Oil Solid fuels 25% RES...

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Energy IEA REWP workshop The Role of EU-Mediterranean cooperation in the EU Renewable Energy Strategy Rome, 3 October 2012 Robert Lorentz DG Energy Renewable Energy Policy Unit

Transcript of The Role of EU-Mediterranean cooperation in the EU ... · RES Gas Nuclear Oil Solid fuels 25% RES...

Page 1: The Role of EU-Mediterranean cooperation in the EU ... · RES Gas Nuclear Oil Solid fuels 25% RES Gas Nuclear Oil Solid fuels 2030 2050 Decarbonisation scenarios - fuel ranges (primary

Energy

IEA REWP workshop

The Role of EU-Mediterranean cooperation in the EU Renewable Energy Strategy

Rome, 3 October 2012

Robert Lorentz DG Energy – Renewable Energy Policy Unit

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Energy

"Paving the way towards an EU-Southern Mediterranean Energy Community"

Renewable Energy Strategy Communication of June 2012

"Propose to partners a regional EU-Southern Mediterranean Energy Partnership

initially focused on electricity and renewable energy market development in these countries by 2020"

EU External energy policy communication of September 2011

WHAT VISION?

WHAT REALITY? WHAT ACTIONS?

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Traditional cooperation in trade of oil and gas Hydrocarbons will remain dominant in the region

Total primary energy supply in Southern Mediterranean countries

Source: OME – Mediterranean Energy Perspectives 2011 * "Conservative scenario"

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MEETING THE ELECTRICITY DEMAND

France (2007)

Algeria Egypt Libya Morocco Tunisia (2009)

South-Med. electricity demand growth:

+4-6% per year until 2030?

ELECTRICITY PRODUCTION IN TWH

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MARKET INTEGRATION WOULD DECREASE COSTS FOR ALL…

GWh/year Capacity Load %

Today markets are fragmented, exchanges are modest and interconnection capacity underused

Source: EU project MEDEMIP 2010

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…AND FACILITATE RENEWABLE ENERGY INVESTMENTS IN THE REGION

• RES already competitive under certain conditions (wind in Turkey, Morocco – PV as replacement of oil generators – isolated communities…)

• National RES plans in many countries with industrial dimension and long-term perspective

• Private investments if basic market conditions are created – including possibilities of regional trade

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Ele

ctr

icity c

onsum

ption g

row

th in %

p.a

.

System average rate in €c/KWh

Sourc

e:

EU

: M

edri

ng s

tudy 2

010

Potential to reach substantial RES share differs

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0%

25%

50%

75%

RES Gas Nuclear Oil Solid fuels 0%

25%

50%

75%

RES Gas Nuclear Oil Solid fuels

2030 2050

Decarbonisation scenarios - fuel ranges (primary energy consumption in %)

2005

ROADMAP 2050: RENEWABLES IS A NO REGRET OPTION IN ALL SCENARIOS

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…SO, WHAT DO WE DO?

BILATERAL AND REGIONAL

SUPPORT TO ENERGY REFORMS

GRANTS AND LOANS TO ENERGY

INFRASTRUCTURE AND RENEWABLE

ENERGY PROJECTS

SUPPORT TO REGIONAL

INTEGRATION AND INDUSTRIAL

INITIATIVES

PROMOTION OF A "MEDITERRANEAN

ENERGY COMMUNITY"

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• A differentiated approach to

reforms

• Budget support programmes focus on energy sector reforms

• Ad-hoc technical assistance and twinning

• Important role of EU Delegations • Important activities by EU

Member States

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NIF EIB

EBRD KfW, AFD…

CTF (WB)

Example: Ouarzazate I

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• effective investment protection guarantees are essential in order to attract private capital

• functioning regional electricity markets

• preferential connection of

renewable generation plants to the grid and access to transmission infrastructures

• authorisation regimes and/or the award of concessions shall be transparent and non-discriminatory

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GUIDANCE ON COOPERATION MECHANISMS

• Guidance for MS and partners on the implementation of Article 9

• Legal requirements for target accounting under Renewable Energy Directive

• Options for design of pilot joint projects

• Engagement in joint projects will deepen discussion on electricity market

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BILATERAL AND REGIONAL

SUPPORT TO ENERGY REFORMS

GRANTS AND LOANS TO ENERGY

INFRASTRUCTURE AND RENEWABLE

ENERGY PROJECTS

SUPPORT TO REGIONAL

INTEGRATION AND INDUSTRIAL

INITIATIVES

PROMOTION OF A "MEDITERRANEAN

ENERGY COMMUNITY"

…in synergy with the UfM

• The EU acts in close coordination with the UfM secretariat

• The EU is co-chair of the UfM

• Energy Ministerial meeting in 2013

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Generation cost in the South (CSP)

Use of local transmission network

Use of interconnector

Use of EU entry network system

Other costs and taxes

SOLAR: HOW TO BRIDGE THE PRICE GAP FOR EXPORTS?

15-20 €c/KWh

20-25 €c/KWh

EU wholesale market price

5 €c/KWh

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Source: IEA Oil Market report 2012

OIL OUTPUT VS RISING DEMAND

Crude oil supply Libya

Crude oil supply Algeria

mtoe

Oil consumption (Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia)

Source: OME – Mediterranean Energy Perspectives 2011

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Source: Entsog 2012

THE GROWING IMPORTANCE

OF GAS