THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN CORPORATE...
Transcript of THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN CORPORATE...
Mustafa Ozbay, k0804108
MSc Accounting & Finance, 2009
Supervisor: Dr. George Alexandrou
Kingston Business School, London
THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN CORPORATE TRANSPARENCY
AND
COMPANY PERFORMANCE IN THE ISTANBUL STOCK EXCHANGE
Dated: 5th
October 2009
Kingston Business School, London
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ABSTRACT
The purpose of this research is to explore the relationship between corporate
transparency and company performance. The empirical research is based on the
sample companies selected from the firms listed on to the Istanbul Stock Exchange.
The corporate transparency database of this study is created on a yearly basis for the
period of 1995 and 2005 in accordance with the attributes defined by Standard &
Poor’s and Sabanci University Corporate Governance Forum. Transparency
attributes, which are 105 in total for each company, are extracted from annual reports
of the publicly held firms, afterwards converted into percentages in three different
subcategories, which are ownership structure & investor relations, financial
transparency & information disclosure and management structure & process.
Transparency attributes consist of 11 years (1995-2005) and 27 companies. Figures
and financial ratios to create the database for company performance measures of the
sample firms are downloaded from the website of the Istanbul Stock Exchange for
the period of 1995 and 2005.
Under the lights of this research, it is concluded that there is significant relationship
between corporate transparency and company performance. The finding of the study
are in conformance with the prior studies examining relationship between corporate
governance and firm performance. According to results of this study, company
performance measures proxied by MTBV, MASR and PTCF are statically significant
at the 1% level. However, performance measure proxied by PE ratio shows no
significant relationship between corporate transparency and firm performance. The
findings of the study indicate that significant positive relationships between
dependent variable (TTS) and independent variables (MTBV and MASR) exist and a
significant negative relationship between TTS and PTCF exists, while a positive (but
insignificant) relationship between TTS and PE exists.
Key words: corporate governance, company performance, corporate transparency,
disclosure, information asymmetry, firm valuation.
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DECLARATION
I declare that this dissertation is all my own work and all the sources of information
and material I have used (including the Internet) have been fully identified and
properly acknowledged as required.
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
There are several people and institutions that I would like to thank due to without
their support I would have never finished this dissertation.
I would like to express my gratefulness to my supervisor, Dr. George Alexandrou, for
his great perspectives, guidance and sense of humour.
I also would like to make a special reference to my brother Emrah Ozbay from
Exeter University, his comprehensive comments on this research were of the essence
to me.
I am heartily thankful to Jean Monnet Scholarship Programme for providing me the
scholarship and the Istanbul Stock Exchange for letting me do my postgraduate study in
Kingston University.
Finally, I would like to offer my deepest gratitude to my wife, Elif Ozbay. She is
always there encouraging me and stood by me through the good times and bad. I
could not have done this study without her kind support.
This dissertation is dedicated to my wife Elif, my son Mehmet, and my all family.
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CONTENTS
ABSTRACT .................................................................................................................. i
DECLARATION ......................................................................................................... ii
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ........................................................................................ iii
LIST OF FIGURES AND TABLES .......................................................................... vi
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS .................................................................................... vii
1. INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................... 1
1.1. The Structure of The Dissertation ......................................................................... 3
2. THE RESEARCH PROBLEM ................................................................................ 3
3. REVIEW OF RELEVANT LITERATURE ............................................................ 5
3.1. Information Problem in Capital Markets and Corporate Transparency ............... 5
3.2. Transparency in Financial Markets ....................................................................... 8
3.2.1 Conceptual Framework ....................................................................................... 9
3.2.2 Assuring Transparency in Publicly Held Firms. ............................................... 11
3.2.3 Benefits of Transparency .................................................................................. 12
3.2.4 Costs of Transparency....................................................................................... 13
3.2.5 Enhancing Corporate Transparency .................................................................. 13
3.3. Corporate Governance and Company Performance ........................................... 14
3.4. Corporate Transparency and Disclosure Studies in Turkey ............................... 16
3.5. Further Research and Filling the Gap ................................................................. 18
4. AN EMPIRICAL STUDY ON COMPANIES LISTED ON TO THE ISE .......... 19
4.1. Structures of Hypotheses .................................................................................... 19
4.2. Sample Selection ................................................................................................. 20
4.3. Selection of Variables for Performance Measures.............................................. 22
4.4. Research Tools .................................................................................................... 24
4.5. Relationship Between Corporate Transparency and Firm Performance............. 25
4.5.1. Relationship Between Total Transparency and Company Performance ......... 28
4.5.1.1 Corporate Transparency is Dependent Variable ............................................ 28
4.5.1.2 Market to Book Value is Dependent Variable ............................................... 31
4.5.1.3 Price to Cash Flow is Dependent Variable .................................................... 32
4.5.1.4 Price Earning Ratio is Dependent Variable ................................................... 33
4.5.1.5 Market Adjusted Return is Dependent Variable ............................................ 34
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4.5.2. Relationship Between Financial Transparency and Firm Performance ........... 35
4.5.2.1 Market to Book Value and Financial Transparency ...................................... 35
4.5.2.2 Price to Cash Flow and Financial Transparency ........................................... 37
4.5.2.3 Price Earning Ratio and Financial Transparency........................................... 38
4.5.2.4 Market Adjusted Return and Financial Transparency ................................... 39
4.5.3. Relationship Between Ownership Transparency and Firm Performance ........ 40
4.5.3.1 Market to Book Value and Ownership Transparency.................................... 40
4.5.3.2 Price to Cash Flow and Ownership Transparency ......................................... 41
4.5.3.3 Price Earning Ratio and Ownership Transparency ........................................ 42
4.5.3.4 Market Adjusted Return and Ownership Transparency ................................ 43
4.5.4. Relationship Between Management Transparency and Firm Performance ..... 44
4.5.4.1 Market to Book Value and Management Transparency ................................ 45
4.5.4.2 Price to Cash Flow and Management Transparency...................................... 46
4.5.4.3 Price Earning Ratio and Management Transparency..................................... 47
4.5.4.4 Market Adjusted Return and Management Transparency ............................. 48
5. CONCLUSION ...................................................................................................... 49
LIST OF REFERENCES ........................................................................................... 51
APPENDIX-1- Transparency Attributes ................................................................... 56
APPENDIX 2: Transparency Scores by Subsections ................................................ 59
APPENDIX 3: Company Performance Measures ..................................................... 62
APPENDIX 4: Regression Analysis Outputs ............................................................ 66
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LIST OF FIGURES AND TABLES
Figure 1: Financial and Information Flows in a Capital Market Economy ................. 9
Table 1: Equations Table ........................................................................................... 20
Table 2: Total Transparency Scores ........................................................................... 26
Table 3: Aggregate Tranparency Scores as Subsections (%)..................................... 27
Table 4: Regression Analysis, Corporate Transparency is Dependent Variable ....... 29
Table 5: Regression Analysis, MTBV is Dependent Variable .................................. 31
Table 5: Regression Analysis, PTCF is Dependent Variable .................................... 32
Table 6: Regression Analysis, PE is Dependent Variable ......................................... 33
Table 7: Regression Analysis, MASR is Dependent Variable ................................... 34
Table 8: Regression Analysis, MTBV is Dependent Variable .................................. 36
Table 9: Regression Analysis, PTCF is Dependent Variable .................................... 37
Table 10: Regression Analysis, PE is Dependent Variable ....................................... 38
Table 11: Regression Analysis, MASR is Dependent Variable ................................. 39
Table 12: Regression Analysis, MTBV is Dependent Variable ................................ 41
Table 13: Regression Analysis, PTCF is Dependent Variable .................................. 42
Table 14: Regression Analysis, PE is Dependent Variable ....................................... 43
Table 15: Regression Analysis, MASR is Dependent Variable ................................. 44
Table 16: Regression Analysis, MTBV is Dependent Variable ................................ 45
Table 17: Regression Analysis, PTCF is Dependent Variable .................................. 46
Table 18: Regression Analysis, PE is Dependent Variable ....................................... 47
Table 19: Regression Analysis, MASR is Dependent Variable ................................. 48
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LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
CMB : Capital Market Board of Turkey
FT : Financial Transparency
IFRS : International Financial Reporting Standards
ISE : Istanbul Stock Exchange
MASR : Market Adjusted Stock Return
MT : Management Transparency
MTBV : Market to Book Value
OT : Ownership Transparency
PE : Price Earning
PTCF : Price to Cash Flow
ROA : Return on Assets
ROE : Return on Equity
S&P : Standard and Poor’s Company
T&D : Transparency and Disclosure
TTS : Total Transparency Score
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1. INTRODUCTION
“Wall Street people learn nothing and forget everything”
Benjamin Graham
Econonomic theory states that effective use of economic resources are provided by
investing savings into securities markets to finance business projects through money
markets and capital markets. The effective use of economic resources to finance real
economy is likely when expected functions of financial markets are fulfilled. As
important players of financial markets, investors need information to make economic
decisions. Therefore, corporate disclosure is the basis for their decisions since
investment flows are provided in the markets where publicly held companies disclose
required information to the investing community.
Corporate transparency and information disclosure are important elements of
corporate governance, investors confidence and investment flows. The firms that do
not adopt good transparency and information disclosure policies may suffer agency
costs, defined as the value reduction in welfare experienced by the shareholders. This
is due to managerial behaviour that diverges interests from shareholders (principals)
(Jensen and Meckling, 1976). Jensen and Meckling (1976) describe the agency costs
as the sum of monitoring costs by principle, bonding costs by agent and the residual
loss.
It is more likely that in a firm where a weak transparency and disclosure policy is
practiced, managers may use their information advantage to pursue their self-
interests (Chen, Chung, Lee and Liao, 2007). Therefore, the firms that are able to
control and reduce the agency costs by increasing corporate transparency; might also
be able to increase the shareholders’ value.
Publicly held companies raise funds through capital markets by issuing their shares
and debentures, which is not allowed by the law for other type of business entities.
However, this privilege of publicly held companies result to certain responsibilities
on them as well. Publicly held companies are obliged of disclosing information that
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help investors and other market participants to make economic decisions under the
rules and regulations of securities markets. Brown and Hillegeist (2005) suggest that
firms with higher disclosure quality have lower costs of capital. Accordingly, firms
with lower cost of capital would have higher firm value, which ultimately would
increase shareholders’ wealth.
In financial markets, decision makers access new information disseminated through
data distribution channels very quickly and respond effectively in line to their
perceived value impact . For this reason, disclosure responsibilities of publicly held
companies are widely regulated both in developed and emerging countries despite
that the effectiveness of transparency policies is controversial (Wei, Fung, Graham
and Fagotto, 2006).
As an emerging market country, the modern capital market of Turkey has 28 years of
history although Turkish capital markets have been rooted to 1860s of the Ottoman
Empire. Turkey’s capital market law was enacted in 1981 and its first article states
that “The subject of this Law is to regulate and control the secure, transparent and
stable functioning of the capital market and to protect the rights and benefits of
investors with the purpose of ensuring an efficient and widespread participation by
the public in the development of the economy through investing savings in the
securities market” (Turkish Capital Market Law No. 2499, Section I, Article 1).
Therefore, transparency of capital markets is one of the main focal points of Turkish
security market regulatory authorities. This research intends to investigate the
relationship between corporate transparency and company performance for
companies listed on to the Istanbul Stock Exchange. This research will contribute to
the relatively limited literature on the effects of corporate transparency to the
company financial performance. The level of corporate transparency is measured by
the amount of information reported to the market, transparency is considered whether
or not information disclosure exists.
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1.1. The Structure of The Dissertation
The remainder of this dissertation is organised in different chapters and each chapter
covers some areas of the research. Structure of the dissertation is as follows.
Chapter 1 and 2: These chapters contain an introduction to the area of corporate
governance, corporate transparency, company performances. The chapters also
provide a justification of the research questions and highlight the contribution to the
research area.
Chapter 3: In this chapter, the relevant literature of the research problem is reviewed.
Chapter 4: It explains an empirical study that investigates the relationship between
corporate transparency and company performance in which sample firms are selected
from the companies listed on to the Istanbul Stock Exchange. The findings of the
empirical reseach are analysed in this chapter as well.
Chapter 5: It is all about conclusions of the research, and recommendation about the
future study on the research area.
Chapter 6: It includes references.
Chapter 7. This chapter contains all relevant appendices of the dissertation such as
transparency attributes, company performance figures and outcomes of the
regression analysis.
2. THE RESEARCH PROBLEM
There have been number of regulatory changes in response to corporate scandals
from 2002 and onwards internationally, most prominent of which appeared in the
USA. Disclosure rules have been adopted to increase levels of corporate
transparency. Detailed reporting of off-balance sheet transactions, arrangements,
obligations and operations of special purpose vehicles are required by the Sarbanes-
Oxley Act of 2002, which is a regulatory reaction to corporate scandals such as
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Enron, Worldcom and other publicly held companies failures in the USA.
Furthermore, the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 imposes high penalties on the
executives of publicly held companies for misreporting. Hermalin and Weisbach
(2007) states that there is a link between corporate governance and transparency, and
increased transparency and disclosure have some direct costs, which may offset the
benefits. They show that increased transparency can reduce corporate profits and
increase executive remuneration.
From the regulators perspectives, there is a common belief that good governance
practices are required to protect equity investors and corporate transparency is
increased to improve good governance practices. Therefore, the Sarbanes-Oxley Act
of 2002 is an act “to protect investors by improving accuracy and reliability of
corporate disclosures made pursuant to the securities laws and for other purposes”
(the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002). Healy and Palepu (2000) find that contracting
costs, political costs and capital market considerations have influence on managers’
financial reporting and disclosure choices.
Increased transparency reduces information asymmetry, and lowers the firm’s cost of
capital (Poshakwale and Courtis, 2005), since investors will pay less for information
disseminated under disclosure rules. It has been known that increased transparency
requires some organisational change, which is to form a team dealing with
production of information to the investing community, and thus this change has
operational and financial costs. Therefore, apart from corporate governace issue and
information asymmetry problem, increased transparency may have influence on
financial performance of the company. As a result, a research to investigate the
relationship between transparency and corporate performance will shed light on how
specific agency problems faced by ISE firms affect their transparency scores (Aksu
and Kosedag, 2006) and help understand whether the management should increase
transparency level for the benefits of present and potential investors.
There is a debate on the causal direction of company financial performance and
increased transparency and disclosure level. By considering the ongoing debate, the
research problem of this study is to explore whether there is an association between
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corporate transparency and company performance by using univariate tests having
concerned corporate transparency attributes and company performance measures.
This research also tries to explore whether transparency increases after a successful
year and if proportional change in financial transparency affects corporate
performance by examining correlation between transparency and company
performance using multivariate regression analysis. Therefore, the following
hypotheses are put forth in this study:
H1: Firms with higher transparency scores are expected to have higher financial
performance. This is due to potentially lower cost of capital.
H2: After a successful year, firms tend to inrease their transparency and disclosure
level and become more informative to the shareholders and general public.
Given that transparency is likely to affect the cost of capital, we expect to observe a
significant link between transparency scores and company performance measures.
3. REVIEW OF RELEVANT LITERATURE
The review of prior studies and relevant literature illustrate the concepts, scope, and
determinants of corporate governance, corporate transparency as an important element of
corporate governance and proxies for corporate performance in general. The matter of
whether capital markets reward the well governed and transparent companies or not will
also be examined throughout the prior researches. In particular, the relevant studies that
relate corporate governance and transparency to firm performance will be provided and
the corporate governance and transparency culture and practice in Turkey will be
discussed briefly in this section. Finally, the factors that affect corporate transparency
and also motivate this study are going to be discussed as well.
3.1. Information Problem in Capital Markets and Corporate Transparency
Corporate transparency is defined as the extent of “adopting, promoting, and
developing new analytical methodologies those bring clarity and consistency to the
information available to investors and analysts” (Patel and Dallas, 2002, p.14) and
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refers to the accessibility of firm specific information to those outside publicly held
companies (Bushman, Piotroski and Smith, 2003). Availability of firm spesific
information to investors is one of the key drivers in economic growth, claiming that
the firms in which better corporate governance principles adopted are more valuable
(Brown, 2006). Aggarwal and Williamson (2006) state that the firms were rewarded
by the markets for having better governance during 2001-2005 in the USA.
However, they find that there is no relation between the regulatory governance
attributes and firm value, while governance attributes not mandated by regulations
have been found to have a positive influence on company value.
On the other hand, it has been found that there is a negative association between
disclosure quality and information asymmetry (Brown and Hillegeist, 2007) and
thus, increased level of corporate transparency would reduce cost of information
asymmetry that exists between managers and the investors/outsiders. Due to the fact
that financial markets play a vital role in the economy by transferring funds from
those who have surplus to those who are in need in the market, researchers are
interested in the problem of information asymmetry in capital markets. In theory, the
stock market offers the signals for economic agents to help them to make the
effective investment decisions. If investors had no relative "information" about
different investment alternatives, the stock market would not perform its role of re-
allocating resources between economic agents efficiently (Stiglitz, 1981). The theory
argues that there is information asymmetry between managers and investors (Berk
and DeMarzo, 2009), and the information asymmetry problem leads to adverse
selection in equity markets. Adverse selection in equity markets arises from
information disparity between buyers and sellers and leads to buyers/investors unable
to differantiate between the fair value of securities in equity markets (Akerlof, 1970).
The adverse selection a term that comes from insurance and is used economics and
capital markets as well. Akerlof (1970) argues that when buyer and seller of a
transaction have access to different information, which refers to information
asymmetry, “bad” products are selected in the market. Therefore, asymmetric
information between buyer and seller of a transaction, either in equity markets or any
other market such as insurance policy market, would lead to adverse selection or
negative selection.
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The optimal allocation of funds to investment opportunities is the key challenge for
an economy. Numerous companies would like to draw household surplus to fund
their investment projects and realise their business ideas. On the other hand, savers
would like to maximise their expected returns by investing their savings into
alternative financial instruments. However, there are information differences
between companies and savers, although both parties would like to do transaction
with each other. There are two main reasons that make the information problem
complicated. First, companies are usually in a superior position than investors and
savers in relation to the real value of their business projects and they are able to
appraise the investment opportunities better than savers can. Second, investors and
savers think that companies have an inducement to inflate the worth of their business
projects, which leads to an integrity problem between companies and savers in their
communication. The information disparity and incompatible motivations create the
“lemons” problem, which is likely to lead the failure of effective functioning of the
capital market (Akerlof, 1970). It has been argued that both investors and
entrepreneurs are rational and can assess investment projects depending on their own
knowledge and information level. If investors are not able to make distinction
between investment opportunities, the “bad” quality business ideas will be valued as
the “good” quality business ideas by investors and investors will assess the both
ideas at an average level ultimately. For that reason, capital markets will reasonably
undervalue several good quality business projects and overvalue several bad quality
business projects corresponding to the existence of information to savers and
entrepreneurs, if the problem of asymmetrical information (lemons problem) is not
entirely resolved. Therefore, information asymmetry problem is an important issue in
finance literature and it has been suggested that the regulatory or voluntary
disclosure of private information from managers to investors to overcome biased
valuation problem could be a solution to the lemons problem. Afterwards, increased
disclosure and transparency level of companies would help clear off superior position
of directors and managers to accessing information (Healy and Palepu, 2000).
Since the problem of information asymmetry is one of the key issues related to
market efficiency and regarded as important matter in allocation of resources, there
are number of studies examining the relationship between cost of equity and levels of
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transparency and information disclosure. Botosan and Plumlee (2002) examine the
relationship between the cost of equity capital and levels of annual report disclosure
and timely disclosure, and investor relations activities. The researchers estimate the
cost of equity capital using the classic dividend discount model and find that the cost
of equity capital decreases in the annual report disclosure level but increases in the
level of timely disclosures. They also find no relation between the cost of equity
capital and the level of investor relations activities. Another study by Poshakwale
and Courtis (2005) provides evidence that there is a relationship between the level of
voluntary disclosures and the cost of equity capital. The higher the level of voluntary
disclosures, the lower the investor uncertainty. With lower uncertainty, investors
would be willing to accept a lower required rate of return. With a lower required rate
of return, a firm would decrease the cost of equity capital since a lower risk premium
would be anticipated by the equity investors. Therefore, a lower risk premium
required by shareholders would provide a lower cost of equity capital for the firm
and increase firm value at the end. Poshakwale and Courtis (2005) examined the
relationship between cost of equity capital and transparency level for 135 banks from
Europe, North America and Australia and found that European banks had showed
greater decrease in the cost of equity capital from advanced disclosure levels
compared to their non-European counterparts. The firms that would lower cost of
equity capital would also increase shareholders value and show better corporate
performance for the investors. The increase in market value would lead to increase in
the ratio of market-to-book value, which is supposed to provide important
information about financial performance at the company.
3.2. Transparency in Financial Markets
Transparency in financial markets refers to the process of accessibility,
comprehensibility, and perceptibility of information pertaining to the current status
and events. Transparency helps market participants to distinguish good firms from
bad firms by providing them the information they need to make economic decision.
In addition, transparency contributes to the stability of markets in times of
uncertainty by providing information to market players and helps ensure stability and
efficiency of the described policies.
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Figure 1 displays illustrative roles of market players in capital markets. It shows the
flows of surplus savings from savers to companies in the course of different forms,
either directly or through financial intermediaries, which is more common. Private
equity financing is a typical way of direct funding. Initial public offerings, bonds and
debentures are typical ways of indirect financing in capital markets. Therefore, firms
need to communicate with investors and financial intermediaries and they disclose
information to the investing community in the form of financial reports and/or press
releases.
Figure 1: Financial and Information Flows in a Capital Market Economy
Figure shows different agents of an economy and flows of information and funds among them.
3.2.1 Conceptual Framework
The term of corporate transparency refers to the information disclosure from
companies to their present and potential shareholders in relation to their financial
performance, operations, risk management activities and business risks on a timely
manner. However, it would not necessarily mean that the information disclosed
provides transparency itself. The transparency concept in markets has some
prominent attributes and existence of transparency is ensured where these attributes
are presented. Vishwanath and Kaufmann (2001, p. 42) state that “transparency
describes the increased flow of timely and reliable economic, social, and political
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information; about private investors’ use of loans and the creditworthiness of
borrowers; about government service provision, monetary and fiscal policy; as well
as about the activities of international institutions.” The authors also argue that, a
lack of transparency may be described if access to information is withheld
intentionally either by a governmental body or private company. Furthermore, the
information provided should not be misrepresented and irrelevant for ensuring the
existence of transparency. Therefore, the following attributes need to be covered in
the working of describing transparency: accessibility, comprehensiveness, relevance,
and quality and reliability. The detailed explanation of these attributes is given
below.
Accessing information equally and timely - Financial rules and regulations of
developed and emerging market countries state that ensuring information to everyone
is essential. However, information should be accessible to all on a timely manner and
with a fair price if it is not free as well. Public information notices and disclosures of
stock exchanges, newspapers, radio, TV, the Internet, and other communication
channels facilitate the flow of information.
Education investors and other market players would help ensure everybody has
access, interpret and use information disseminated. On the other hand, enforcement
of timely and impartial dissemination of information should also be ensured,
otherwise unfair market activities may exist by delaying or restricting information to
everyone. Lack of enforcement may give rise market abusing activities such as
illegal insider trading, where insiders benefit from their superior position of
accessing information.
Comprehensiveness - Information regarding with firms should be easily understood
and comprehensive to help decision makers use it on a reasonable basis in decision-
making process.
Relevance - Information disseminated should be relevant and comparable.
Relevance quality of information ensures that investors, depositors, and public can
use the information for their individual purposes despite the subjective nature of
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information. Comparability aids investors, public authorities and other decision-
makers to see informational changes and compare information in terms of time, place
and source. Investors are under flood of information since the Internet, TV, radio and
other mass media sources disseminate overloading information, and it seems to be a
challenging work to make that information classified and put in a user-friendly form.
Reliability - Information providers should ensure that information is reliable. For
that reason, firms should present information of financial operations and figures
prudently. The information disclosed should be carried on in good quality, timely
and a complete manner. In some cases, firms should balance between reliability and
conformity with rules and regulations. For instance, information about income
projections for the future is usually relevant but not reliable. In addition, risk profiles
of firms may frequently change and as a result, disclosing information timely
becomes crucial for decision-making.
Various supervisory authorities, which are accounting firms, governmental
authorities (watchdogs), or any other stakeholders outside the firm, do enforcement
activities and try to detect fraudulent reporting. They give assurance on a reasonable
base about quality and reliability of financial reporting of firms. However, external
or independent enforcement of information, which is one of the methods that ensure
reliability, could lead to delay in accessing to information (Vishwanath and
Kaufmann, 2001).
3.2.2 Assuring Transparency in Publicly Held Firms.
The phenomenon of companies issuing securities to raise funds from capital markets
gives rise to the importance of disclosing information to the public, which is a
combination of shareholders, creditors, and other stake holders. Therefore, regulatory
institutions in capital markets require that publicly held firms inform their
shareholders and other stakeholders at regular intervals.
It has been supposed that corporations perform better as they become more
transparent and are governed well since they encounter a less risk premium by
reducing uncertainities about their operations. On the other hand, investors will
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expect higher required rate of returns from the corporations that have higher business
risks and disclose less information to their stakeholders. Higher risks and returns go
hand in hand.
It is stipulated that firms would lower the cost of information asymmetry by adopting
good accounting systems, which are able to produce financial reports in compliant
with international standards. In this wise, investors will be better protected and
integrity between shareholders and firm management will be enhanced.
3.2.3 Benefits of Transparency
Market mechanism rewards firms that handles their business and financial risks
effectively. The economics theory supports the notion of increasing transparency and
argues that better information would build up allocation of resources and
effectiveness in an economy. The most productive projects would get chance of
accessing funds through financial information disclosure and consequently welfare
and growth would be ensured (Vishwanath and Kaufmann, 1999).
Transparency is a necessary element of financial stability in capital markets. Lack of
transparency may adversely affect financial stability and integrity of entire financial
system in an economy, which appeared in recent credit crunch in terms of
transparency of financial transactions such as credit derivatives. Free market
mechanism discipline will perform earlier and efficiently while information flow
carries on from firms to investors. Timely information disclosure may lessen the cost
of market crash and crises since decision makers get to know about what happens in
the market. As a result, they can distinguish bad firms from good firms and detect the
firms that are more vulnerable in financial turmoil.
In addition, corporate transparency can improve democratic culture in publicly held
firms where bigger groups of shareholders participate in and have active control on
the management. This will lead to firms do business sensibly while investing
shareholders’ capital into risky projects. Therefore, timely information disclosure can
reinforce shareholders’ monitoring systems that encourage firms act prudently.
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3.2.4 Costs of Transparency
Arguments against more transparency are ranging from privacy and confidentially of
corporate information to national security. However, they should be highly limited
and significantly the limits showing to public concern (Vishwanath and Kaufmann,
1999). There may be conflict of interests between public stakes and private stake,
conversly, total gain can be achieved by compromising public and private interests
for the sake of the general public welfare.
Gelos and Wei (2002) provide evidence that emerging market equity funds hold
relatively smaller amount of assets in less transparent markets and emerging market
funds took their investments more quickly from less transparent countries. The
authors plainly make a distinction between government and corporate transparency
in their study. Similarly, a recent study by Chipalkatti, Le and Rishi (2007) reveals
that there is a positive relationship between public governance, corporate
transparency and portfolio flows. The researchers employ a cross-sectional model for
17 emerging capital markets over the 1998 and 2002 periods in their empirical study.
As mentioned above, the most considered benefit of firm transparency is to reduce
information asymmetry on a company, and it helps lower the cost of trading
securities of the firm and consequently the firm’s cost of capital. However, there are
costs that may offset this benefit. The typical costs are the direct costs of disclosure,
which emerge from organisational costs and compliance costs. Additionally,
competitive costs can arise as the information disclosures grant potentially valuable
information to product-market competitors (Hermalin and Weisbach, 2007).
3.2.5 Enhancing Corporate Transparency
The transparency standards adapted by firms but it is usually not a self sufficient way
of ensuring transparency in capital markets. Coherently, information providers
should implement high quality business conducts and demonstrate that they are in
conformance with the best practices of the industry. The benefits to achieve will be
the most encouraging incentive to adopt transparency standartds on firms level.
Monitoring transparency implications independently is also one the important
elements for strengthening information disclosure and transparency framework. The
M. Ozbay, k0804108 14
existence of third party, independent monitoring will untimately improve credibility
of firms on micro level and the country on macro level. Therefore, it has been
advised that information disclosure standards, and monitoring structures dealing with
effective performing of these standards should be created. At least principally, it is
expected that market players will comply with the standards in free-market
mechanism after creating required standards.
3.3. Corporate Governance and Company Performance
There are number of studies examining the relation between corporate governance
and company performance. Biswas and Bhuiyan (2008) give a brief discussion of the
theoretical literature about alternative models of corporate governance and empirical
studies to whether good corporate governance provides better firm performance or
not. They show that studies considering the overall corporate governance
predominantly support that there is significant association between corporate
governance and firm performance. On the other hand, the researchers state that the
research question of whether better corporate governance leads to higher firm
performance still is legitimate and needs to be studied by considering the direction of
causality effect.
One of the problems in the studies on corporate governance and firm performance
appeares to be how to measure corporate governance. Bhagat and Bolton (2008)
clarify and spread knowledge concerning the difficulty of measuring corporate
governance and relation between corporate governance and performance. They
consider the endogeneity of the relationships among corporate governance, corporate
performance, corporate capital structure, and corporate ownership structure. They
show that indices, stock ownership of board members and CEO-Chair separation are
significantly positively correlated with better operating performance. In addition, the
researchers have found that the stock market performance and governance
relationship depends on whether or not endogenous character of the relationship
between governance and stock market performance has been concerned. Renders and
Gaeremynck (2006) state that econometric problems make the studies examining the
link between corporate governance and performance troubled in their research which
investigates the association between corporate governance and firm performance
M. Ozbay, k0804108 15
from an accounting standpoint. They prove how endogeneity and sample selection
bias change the coefficient of corporate governance by using panel data for the FTSE
Euro top 300 companies. The authors show that there is insignificant and negative
coefficient on corporate governance under ordinary least squares method. However,
they find that the coefficient turns out to be positive and highly significant after
controlling for sample selection bias and endogeneity.
Brown and Caylor (2004) designed a measure of corporate governance, which is a
composite measure of 51 factors covering eight categories: audit, board of directors,
charter/bylaws, director education, executive and director compensation, ownership,
progressive practices and state of incorporation. They link corporate governance
score to operating performance, valuation, and shareholder payout for 2.327 firms
and find that better governed firms are relatively more profitable, more valuable, and
pay out more cash dividend to their shareholders. A recent study by the same
researchers (Brown and Caylor, 2009) reveals that the governance regulations
imposed by the U.S. stock exchanges in recent years are less closely related to firm
operating performance than those are not so mandated. The firm operating
performance is proxied by return on assets (ROA) and return on equity (ROE) in
their study.
Gompers, Ishii and Metrick (2003) demonstrate that the firms with stronger
shareholder rights have higher firm value, higher profits, higher sales growth and
lower capital expenditures in their study, in which they build a Governance Index to
proxy for the level of shareholder rights at about 1500 large firms during the 1990s.
Economic impacts of corprorate transparency is questioned in earlier studies. An
earlier study by Leuz and Verrecchia (2000), in which a sample of German firms that
have adopted International Accounting Standards (IAS) or US-GAAP in their
consolidated financial statements is examined, proves that firms committing to
increased levels of disclosure acquire economically and statistically significant gains.
However, Healy and Palepu (2000) prove that economic consequences of disclosure
choices are mixed.
M. Ozbay, k0804108 16
3.4. Corporate Transparency and Disclosure Studies in Turkey
Turkey has a relatively well-built regulatory framework for corporate governance,
notably among emerging market countries. Developments in the are of corporate
governance had urged Turkish regulatory authority, Capital Market Board (CMB),
and the CMB promulgated the corporate governance principles for publicly held
companies with the “comply or explain” basis in the year 2003. The corporate
governance principles for listed companies have been effective since the beginning
of 2004 in Turkey. Additionaly, higher auditing standards were introduced in 2003
and international financial reporting standards (IFRS) became mandatory in 2005.
However, there are challenges as well. Family groups control vast majority of
companies, cross ownership between companies exists, and therefore controlling
shareholders dominate and affect the management of companies listed on to the
Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE).
Issuance of the corporate governance principles by the CMB has also triggered the
corporate governance studies about Turkish companies. The ISE launched ISE
Corporate Governance Index at the end of August 2007. The index is created to
measure the price performances and returns including dividend payments of the
companies listed on the ISE by considering corporate governance scores determined
according to the corporate governance principles issued by the CMB. Corporate
governance scores of the listed companies are given by the authorised rating agencies
on voluntary basis. The rating scores ranging between 1 and 10 are given to the
degree of compliance with corporate governance principles as a whole and separately
with regard to the titles of shareholders, public disclosure and transparency,
stakeholders, board of directors. Price and return performance of the relevant listed
company’s stocks are included into the corporate governance index if the company’s
corporate governance score is 6 or above out of ten.
Standard & Poor’s (S&P), which is a leading provider of financial market
intelligence and the world’s principal source of credit ratings company, expanded its
transparency and disclosure (T&D) study in 2003 to include the companies listed on
to the ISE. The S&P created a T&D scoring methodology for Turkish companies
listed on to the ISE, in conjunction with Corporate Governance Forum of Turkey at
M. Ozbay, k0804108 17
Sabanci University in Istanbul, Turkey. The S&P has launched its T&D rankings to
supply an objective, transparent, globally consistent, and replicable measurement of
the levels of disclosure provided by the largest and liquid companies in more than 30
countries (Patel and Dallas, 2002). The T&D study of the S&P includes 106
attributes extracted from publicly available sources under three subcategories, which
are transparency level of ownership, financial disclosure, and board and management
process. The S&P has been doing Turkish Transparency and Disclosure Survey for
each year since 2003.
Aksu and Kosedag (2006) provide evidence that the transparency and disclosure
quality of Turkish firms is moderate by investigating the transparency and disclosure
practices of the 52 largest and liquid firms listed on to the Istanbul Stock Exchange.
The two researchers from Sabanci University of Turkey state that sound corporate
governance practices play important role in reducing the agency costs of the firms
having efficient allocation of financial resources in capital markets. Notably, they
state that transparency and disclosure practices adopted by the firms are important
elements and indicators of corporate governance excellence. The study of Aksu and
Kosedag (2006) is based on three subcategories of disclosure mentioned above, in
which they investigate thoroughly the 52 firm’s annual reports of the year 2003 and
the websites for inclusion of 106 attributes defined by the S&P. Their findings
demonstrate that there is a positive correlation between the T&D level and
accounting and market measures of firm performance.
In addition, Aksu (2006) shows that the T&D scores of 2004 are significantly higher
than those of 2003 are, by using the same sample size used by Aksu and Kosedag
(2006). Aksu (2006) argues that one reason for the progress in the scores is the first
time obligation of the CMB to include a compliance report in the annual reports in
2004. The other reason is that the firms with higher scores present higher returns and
profitability. Finally, companies that have voluntarily adopted IFRS in the
preparation of their 2003 and 2004 financial statements have higher T&D scores. The
researcher finds that voluntary of the sample firms’ IFRS adoption and mandatory
inclusion of a Compliance Report in their 2004 annual reports compliant with the
CMB’s Corporate Governance Principles have significantly enhanced the T&D.
M. Ozbay, k0804108 18
However, there are some limitations of the both studies discussed above. They have
only two years’ data for the sample size. The researchers state that they also have
low R2 in the regressions of T&D scores on performance measures, control variables,
and the IFRS dummy, most likely because of omitted variables.
3.5. Further Research and Filling the Gap
It appears that there have been important changes and progress in Turkish capital
markets in recent years. Financial meltdown in banking sector in 2001 had lead
regulatory authorities to tighten the rules and regulations. The promulgation of
Corporate Governance Principles by the CMB in 2003 did trigger progress on
essence in corporate governance and investor relations area. Therefore, proliferation
of improvements in corporate governance are of Turkey provides valuable support
for further empirical research on the area of corporate governance. The association
between corporate transparency and firm performance is an important element of
corporate governance and particularly needs to be investigated. Studies directed to
contribute to fill in the gap on this research area will also contribute to sort out the
agency problem between shareholders and directors. The findings of the studies will
help understand whether any relationship between increased transparency,
information disclosure and company financial performance exists. The results of the
research might be important to other researchers and to the other interested parties,
such as managers of public companies, market participants and regulators. Any study
on this area could provide significant contributions to the growing literature of
corporate governance in Turkey.
Within the scope of the theoretical framework, prior studies and research needs, this
research will examine the relation between corporate transparency and company
performance of the firms listed on to the Istanbul Stock Exchange for the years
between 1995 and 2005. The company performance is regarded from the accounting
and capital market perspectives. The further information about the research is
provided at the next sections.
Alongside the contribution to the growing debate in both academic and practitioners
level about importance of corporate reporting in general, the researcher has been
M. Ozbay, k0804108 19
working at the department of inspection and surveillance board of the Istanbul Stock
Exchange since 1996. Findings of this research will also be presented to the directors
of the Istanbul Stock Exchange and it is expected that they would be kindly
considered at the management level of the Istanbul Stock Exchange for the
regulatory purposes in the future. Therefore, this research will contribute to the
researcher’s individual career development as well as it is mainly concerned for the
academic purpose.
4. AN EMPIRICAL STUDY ON COMPANIES LISTED ON TO THE ISE
This research intends to explore whether transparency increases after a successful
year and if proportional change in corporate transparency affects company
performance by examining association between corporate transparency and firm
performance using panel data analysis. Panel data is unbalanced since there are
missing variables for some companies. The empirical research will be based on the
sample companies selected from firms listed on to the Istanbul Stock Exchange,
which was founded at the end of 1985.
4.1. Structures of Hypotheses
As outlined above, this purpose of this study is to explore the relationship between
corporate transparency and company performance. Apparently, prior studies show
that there is a positive relationship between corporate transparency and firm
performance. Particularly, firms that increase transparency would reduce the cost of
equity, increase shareholders’ wealth and perform better. However, the question of
whether good performing firms prefer to increase their transparency level after a
successful year still remains. Therefore, the following hypotheses are presented in
this study.
H1: Firms with higher transparency scores are expected to have higher financial
performance
H2: After a successful year, firms tend to inrease their transparency and disclosure
level and become more informative to the shareholders and general public
M. Ozbay, k0804108 20
The independent and dependent variables of the regression model regarding the
hypotheses are as follows.
Table 1: Equations Table
H1 Dependent Variable : Company Performance Measures
H1 Independent Variables: X1 = Transparency Scores
H2 Dependent Variable : Transparency Scores
H2 Independent Variables: X1 = Company Performance Measures
There are 2 different research questions in this study. First, whether or not corporate
transparency level affects company performance will be tested. At this stage,
corporate transparency scores are independent variables of the regression model.
There are 4 different transparency scores, which are as follows.
1. Total transparency scores
2. Transparency scores for ownership structure and investor relations
3. Transparency scores for financial transparency and information disclosure,
4. Transparency scores for board and management structure and process.
Ownership and investor relations transparency has 32 attributes, financial
transparency and information disclosure has 36 attributes and board and management
structure and process has 37 attributes (See Appendix-1 for the details of each
transparency component).
4.2. Sample Selection
The sample size of this research is constructed by selecting firms among companies
listed on to the Istanbul Stock Exchange. With the foundation of the ISE, equity
trading was started on the secondary markets in Turkey and the ISE is now one of the
remarkable stock exchanges among stock exchanges of the emerging countries.
All data used in this study is secondary. There are 288 firms listed on to the ISE as of
2005 and 27 of them are selected to form the sample size. Trading volume of the
sample size includes 57% of the ISE’s total trading volume as the year end of 2005.
M. Ozbay, k0804108 21
The attributes of the transparency score tables (see Appendix-1) were previously
created by Standard & Poor’s and then customised by Sabanci University Corporate
Governance Forum researchers for Turkish firms. The database of transparency and
disclosure scores consists of 27 Turkish firms, which are the largest and the most
liquid firms of the ISE. There are 1 insurance company, 7 banks and 19 non-financial
companies out of 27 firms. Tranparency and disclosure attributes are divided into
three subcategories; first, ownership structure and investor relations, second,
financial transparency and information disclosure, and finally board and management
structure and process.
The database has been created by Ozbay (2007), who is brother of the researcher of
this study, on a yearly basis for the period of 1995 and 2005 in accordance with the
attributes defined by Standard & Poor’s and Sabanci University Corporate
Governance Forum. Ozbay (2007) examines the association between corporate
transparency and liquidity of the shares for the companies listed on to the ISE. The
researcher of this dissertation was then heavily involved in the construction of the
transparency attributes database, in which the attributes are extracted from annual
reports of the sample companies. Ozbay (2007) provides evidence that there is a
significant relationship between companies’ transparency levels and their market
liquidity for the period of 1995-2005.
Transparency attributes, which are 105 in total for each company, are extracted from
annual reports of the publicly held firms, afterwards converted into percentages in
three different subcategories, which are ownership structure & investor relations,
financial transparency & information disclosure and management structure &
process. Transparency attributes are for 11 years (1995-2005) and 27 companies.
However, there are 3 companies which have no transparency data for the years 1995
and 1996, since their shares have been traded on the ISE since 1997. They are Park
Elektrik, Sabanci Holding and Sekerbank.
Figures and financial ratios to create the database for financial performance measures
of the sample firms are downloaded from the website of the Istanbul Stock Exchange
(www.imkb.gov.tr) by the researcher for the period of 1995 and 2005. Detailed
M. Ozbay, k0804108 22
discussion of corporate performance measures is provided in the next section, which
is the Selection of Variables.
Consequently, there are 27 firms, 11 years and 105 different corporate transparency
attributes under 3 subcategories and company performance figures for the sample
firms in this study.
4.3. Selection of Variables for Performance Measures
It appears that there are no agreed proxies for company performance measures. A
great number of company performance measures has been used in prior studies.
Earnings before interest and taxes (EBITDA)/total assets, which is ROA, and net
income/owner’s equity, which is ROE (Aksu and Kosedag, 2006), industry adjusted
ROA and ROE (Brown and Caylor, 2009), operational cash flow/total assets (Healy,
Palepu and Ruback, 1992), marked adjusted abnormal stock returns (Brown and
Warner, 1985) and stock price changes (Wruck and Wu, 2008) are some commonly
used examples of firm performance measures in prior studies. Bhagat and Bolton
(2008) use the Tobin's Q measure [(Book Value of Assets + Market Value of
Common Stock−Book Value of Common Stock−Deferred Taxes)/Book Value of
Assets] in addition to ROA. Gompers, Ishii and Metrick (2003) use the Tobin's Q
measure, the ratio of book value of common equity to market value of common
equity, the ratio of dividends to market capitalisation, stock price at the end of month
and growth in sales for performance measures.
Healy et al. (1992) argue that cash flows represent the actual economic benefits
generated by the assets and use pretax operating cash flow returns on total assets to
measure improvement in corporate performance. However, Aksu (2006) uses market
adjusted excess returns, which is defined as average monthly stock returns in excess
of the return to relevant market index (ISE-100) and market to book value, which
shows growth potential, as two other corporate performance measures. The ratio of
operating cash flow to total assets is regarded as a ratio which is not manipulated by
earning figures based on different account practices. The market to book value and
market adjusted excess return display that how market reacts to the firm value.
M. Ozbay, k0804108 23
Within this framework, 4 different variables will be used to proxy for firm
performance measures in this research. These performance measures are as follows;
1. Market to Book Value (MTBV)
2. Price to Cash Flow (PTCF)
3. Price Earning Ratio (PE)
4. Market Adjusted Stock Returns (MASR)
A multivariate regression equation is constructed to test the hypotheses of this
research. At the first stage, each corporate performance measure is independent
variable and the transparency level is dependent variable. Afterwards, dependent and
independent variables of the regression equation are replaced by each others. The
regression equations are as follows:
At the first stage;
CTit =α + β1MTBVit + β2PTCFit + β3 PEit + β4MASRit+ εit
At the second stage;
MTBVit= α + β1CTit+ εi
PTCFit= α + β1CTit+ εi
PEit= α + β1CTit+ εi
MASRit= α + β1CTit+ εi
where, i is the firm subscript and,
CT : Corporate Transparency
MTBV : Market Value to Book Value.
Market Value: Number of common stocks*Year-end closing price
Book Value : Value of owners’ equity
PTCF : Price to Cash Flow
Price : Market value
M. Ozbay, k0804108 24
Cash flow: Sum of net profits or losses to the last 4 quarters + depreciaitons
to the last 4 quarters
PE : Price Earning Ratio
Price : Market price/value
Earning: Sum of profits or losses to the last two semi-annuals audited by
independent auditor.
MASR : Market Adjusted Stock Return,
average yearly stock returns in excess to the return to the market return, which is
proxied by the ISE-100 index return.
4.4. Research Tools
A software is used to analyse the data in this study, which is Eviews, a data mining
and statistical analysis program. Since the database contains both time series and
cross sectional variables, the regression analysis is conducted by the Eviews, which
enables panel data analysis, and results of the regression are analysed by the
researcher on the basis of the relevant literature and findings of prior studies by other
researchers.
In addition, the following sources are used to conduct the literature review and data
analysis through Kingston University library and e-resources: ABI/Inform Global,
EBSCO Business Source Premium, Emerald Full Text, Science Direct and e-
journals. The website of social sciences research network (www.ssrn.com) is
frequently used by the researcher for previous research papers as well.
The keywords of this study are as follow: corporate governance, company
performance, corporate transparency, disclosure, information asymmetry, and
firm valuation.
The main limitation of this research is its sample size, which includes relatively less
number of firms listed on to the Istanbul Stock Exchange. However, it is expected
that the extent of the analysis period, which is 11 years between 1995 and 2005, high
M. Ozbay, k0804108 25
trading volume of the selected firms, which is 57% of the Istanbul Stock Exchange’s
total trading volume by the year 2005, and the market value of the sample size,
which includes the top 27 firms of the Istanbul Stock Exchange, will help offset the
sample size limitation of the research. In addition, endogenous character of the
relationship between corporate transparency and company performance has not been
concerned.
4.5. Relationship Between Corporate Transparency and Firm Performance
Corporate transparency scores have been detected through the annual reports and
statutory auditors’ reports of the sample firms. Existance of each subject attribute of
105 has been extracted for each year and in this way, around 300 annual reports have
been examined. Consequently, almost 31.185 attributes have been created in
aggregate, which is 27 firms * 11 years * 105 attributes = 31.185 whereas 3 firms
have no data for 1995 and 1996 (Ozbay, 2007). The aggregate transparency score
table for the sample firms is as follows.
M. Ozbay, k0804108 26
Table 2: Total Transparency Scores
Table shows total transparency scores fro the sample companies in our sample (in %), which
are derived from attributes of ownership and investor relations transparency, financial
transparency and information disclosure, and board and management structure of the sample
companies listed on to the Istanbul Stock Exchange (See Appendix-1).
Company 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995
AKBNK 0.56 0.53 0.52 0.46 0.38 0.38 0.33 0.30 0.30 0.29 0.29
AKGRT 0.47 0.50 0.39 0.38 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.38 0.29 0.29 0.28
AEFES 0.57 0.60 0.53 0.41 0.41 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.38 0.40 0.40
ARCLK 0.55 0.54 0.42 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.38 0.37 0.37 0.40 0.38
ASELS 0.50 0.50 0.39 0.38 0.38 0.39 0.38 0.38 0.36 0.34 0.32
DOHOL 0.49 0.50 0.35 0.32 0.34 0.32 0.34 0.33 0.35 0.34 0.34
ENKAI 0.54 0.38 0.39 0.35 0.38 0.37 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.37 0.36
EREGL 0.46 0.49 0.43 0.41 0.41 0.40 0.41 0.38 0.38 0.35 0.35
FINBN 0.51 0.53 0.36 0.36 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.29 0.32 0.40
DISBA 0.55 0.37 0.30 0.30 0.33 0.33 0.34 0.30 0.26 0.23 0.29
GARAN 0.52 0.51 0.36 0.38 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.29 0.12 0.12 0.11
HURGZ 0.57 0.57 0.43 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.28 0.28 0.29 0.29 0.29
IHLAS 0.54 0.54 0.47 0.39 0.36 0.39 0.39 0.38 0.30 0.30 0.30
ISCTR 0.50 0.50 0.42 0.36 0.17 0.32 0.34 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35
KCHOL 0.56 0.53 0.48 0.34 0.33 0.34 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.37 0.40
MMART 0.50 0.40 0.41 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.34 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35
MIGRS 0.46 0.50 0.44 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31
PRKTE 0.50 0.49 0.42 0.38 0.41 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 N/A N/A
PETKM 0.51 0.48 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.36 0.24 0.30 0.26
PTOFS 0.56 0.57 0.46 0.43 0.39 0.36 0.34 0.34 0.30 0.32 0.32
SAHOL 0.53 0.56 0.51 0.39 0.38 0.40 0.41 0.41 0.40 N/A N/A
SKBNK 0.53 0.39 0.40 0.35 0.33 0.33 0.29 0.31 0.24 N/A N/A
SISE 0.56 0.57 0.45 0.41 0.41 0.39 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.30 0.32
TOASO 0.58 0.59 0.43 0.41 0.41 0.43 0.42 0.41 0.47 0.47 0.38
TUPRS 0.50 0.47 0.33 0.31 0.31 0.26 0.27 0.20 0.37 0.18 0.18
VESTL 0.59 0.49 0.39 0.37 0.36 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.39 0.39
YKBNK 0.54 0.35 0.39 0.38 0.30 0.30 0.33 0.35 0.19 0.18 0.22
Overall Score 14.28 13.47 11.25 10.07 9.65 9.72 9.63 9.47 8.80 7.57 7.60
# of Companies 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 24 24
Mean Value 0.53 0.50 0.42 0.37 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.35 0.33 0.32 0.32
Std Deviation 0.04 0.07 0.06 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.07 0.08 0.07
Median 0.53 0.50 0.42 0.38 0.37 0.37 0.37 0.36 0.35 0.32 0.32
25th percentile 0.50 0.48 0.39 0.35 0.33 0.33 0.34 0.32 0.29 0.29 0.29
75th percentile 0.56 0.54 0.44 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.38 0.38 0.36 0.37
Source: Ozbay (2007)
As seen above, transparency levels of the sample firms have been gradually
increased. Turkey is a developing country and getting integrated to the global capital
markets progressively, therefore statutory requirements for and demands of investing
community from listed companies having regarded to information disclosure has also
been improved. As a result, transparency of listed firms has been on the increase year
after year. In addition, it appears that information disclosed in recent years has been
evolved compared with previous years. Notably, number of pages in an annual report
M. Ozbay, k0804108 27
of a listed firm is more than 100 in recent years whereas it was around 30-40 before
the year 2000.
The table shows that transparecny of banking sector in Turkey has improved
dramatically after the year 2001, which may be attributed the year 2001 financial
crises that is mostly derived from vulnerable banking industry of Turkey at that time.
For instance, Akbank, one the biggest Turkish private bank, has 56% of transparency
score in 2005 whilst it is around 30% before 2000. Additionaly, promulgation of
corporate governance principals by the CMB in 2003 has great impact on the listed
firms to disclose more information to investing community.
Having examined transparency scores table as subsections, apparently, financial
transparency scores are much higher than ownership and management transparency
scores. The aggregate tranparency scores table of the sample firms as subsections is
as follows (See Appendix-2, 3 and 4 for the Transparencey Scores by sebsections for
each sample firm).
Table 3: Aggregate Tranparency Scores as Subsections (%)
Ownership and investors relations transparency has 32 attributes, which show number of outstanding
shares, top shareholders, existence of code of best practices, percentage of cross-ownership etc. (see
Appendix-1, under heading of Ownership and Investor Relations). Financial transparency and
information disclosure has 36 attributes, which refer to accounting policies and standards, audit fees,
efficiency indicators like ROE, ROA, market share of the business operated etc. (see Appendix-1,
under heading of Financial Transparency and Information Disclosure). Board and management
structure and process has 37 attributes that indicate list of board members by names, details of
directors, existence of commitees like audit committee, nomination committee, ties between
employees and parent company, details of CEO contracted etc. (see Appendix-1, under heading of
Board and Management Structure and Process).
Tranparency Type 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995
Ownership Structure 0.51 0.45 0.33 0.30 0.28 0.29 0.28 0.28 0.25 0.24 0.24
Financial Transparency 0.65 0.65 0.63 0.56 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.52 0.48 0.48 0.47
Management Structure 0.43 0.39 0.28 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.24 0.25 0.24 0.22 0.23
Overall Transparency 0.53 0.50 0.42 0.37 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.35 0.33 0.32 0.32
It appears that statutory auditing of listed firms by independent auditors and rules
regarding minimum elements that auditor’s report should include, of which are
M. Ozbay, k0804108 28
mostly related to the financial structure, help listed firms disclose more information
to investing community.
The values for corporate performance measures, which are market to book value
(MTBV), price to cash flow (PTCF), price earning ratio (PE) and market adjusted
stock returns (MASR), are given at the appendix (see Appendix-5).
4.5.1. Relationship Between Total Transparency and Company Performance
In this study, we use a database of the T&D scores in total and three subcategories
for 27 companies listed on to the ISE, based on market capitalisation and liquidity.
The database and transparency score tables are previsously prepared by Ozbay
(2007) in accordance with transparency attributes which are created earlier by the
Sabanci University and the S&P.
We perform a cross-sectional time series analysis of the relationship between
information disclosed in company annual reports and accounting and market based
measures of company performances. Detailed explanation of company performance
measures, which are MTBV (Market Value to Book Value), PTCF (Price to Cash
Flow), PE (Price Earning Ratio) and MASR (Market Adjusted Stock Return), is
given above (see section 4.3. Selection of Variables for Performance Measures).
4.5.1.1 Corporate Transparency is Dependent Variable
At the first stage of panel data analysis total transparency score (TTS) is dependent,
company performance measures are independent variables. The summary of panel
data analysis (cross-section random effects) regarding relationship between overall
corporate transparency (total transparency score-TTS) and company performance is
as follows.
M. Ozbay, k0804108 29
Table 4: Regression Analysis, Corporate Transparency is Dependent Variable
Table shows summary of findings regarding relationship between corporate
transparency (total transparency score-TTS) and company performance, which is
proxied by market to book value (MTBV), price to cash flow (PTCF), price
earning ratio (PE) and market adjusted stock returns (MASR) between 1995 and
2005 for the 27 sample companies from the Istanbul Stock Exchange.
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 1988.712 0.661289 3007.327 0.0000
MTBV 29.52239 1.620067 18.22295 0.0000
PTCF -0.068137 0.015838 -4.302077 0.0000
PE 0.003407 0.003693 0.922508 0.3572
MASR 0.011859 0.004244 2.794325 0.0056
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.638430 Mean dependent var 1999.951
Adjusted R-squared 0.591875 S.D. dependent var 3.204298
S.E. of regression 2.047054 Akaike info criterion 4.380618
Sum squared resid 976.3703 Schwarz criterion 4.800521
Log likelihood -547.2416 Hannan-Quinn criter. 4.549348
F-statistic 13.71370 Durbin-Watson stat 0.783901
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
A cross-section random effects model has been tested under unbalanced panel data of
11 years for 27 firms. The test result shows the following equation.
TTS =1988.7 + 29.5MTBVit – 0.068PTCFit + 0.003PEit + 0.012MASRit+ εit
Before moving to interpret the results economically, it is necessary to determine
whether the coefficients are statically significant. “For each regression coefficient,
the p-value would be the smallest level of significance at which we can reject a null
hypothesis that the population value of the coefficient is zero, in two-sided test. The
lower p-value, stronger the evidence against that null hypohesis. P-value quickly
allows us to determine if an independent variable is significant at a conventional
significance level such as 0.05, or at any other standard we believe is appropriate.”
(DeFusco et al., 2007, p.330).
The fifth column at Table 4 represents p-value for each independent variable
separately. According to results of the research, independent variables are statically
M. Ozbay, k0804108 30
significant at the 1% level (even less than 1% level) except PE variable. The findings
of the study indicate that significant positive relationships between dependent
variable (TTS) and independent variables (MTBV and MASR) exist and a significant
negative relationship between TTS and PTCF exists, while a positive (but
insignificant) relationship between TTS and PE exists.
Additionally, it is essential to analyse the overall significance of the regression. The
F-test reports the the overall significance of the regression. In the second section of
Table 4, F-statistic and Prob (F-statistic) are 13.71 and 0.0000 respectively. The
significance of F-statistic means that the regression is significant at the level of 1%,
even more significant less than at 1% level.
As seen above, the results of regression equation shows that there is a negative
relationship between corporate transparency and price to cash flow (PTCF) ratio.
However, the relationships between corporate transparency (TTS) and market to
book value (MTBV), price earning (PE) and market adjusted stock return (MASR)
are positive. Particularly, existance of strong relationship between TTS and MTBV
has been confirmed by the SPSS stepwise regression analysis as well, result of which
is given below.
Variables Entered/Removeda
Model Variables Entered
Variables
Removed Method
1
MTBV Stepwise (Criteria: Probability-of-F-to-enter <=
.050, Probability-of-F-to-remove >= .100).
a. Dependent Variable: TTS
On the other hand, the explanatory power of the model results in R2 value is 0.6384,
which means that 63.8% of change in total transparency level is explained by
changes in corporate performance measures.
At the second stage, TTS is independent and each of company performance measures
is dependent variable.
M. Ozbay, k0804108 31
4.5.1.2 Market to Book Value is Dependent Variable
A univariate model is employed at this stage and the summary of panel data analysis
(cross-section random effects) is as follows.
Table 5: Regression Analysis, MTBV is Dependent Variable
Table shows summary of findings regarding effects of corporate transparency
(total transparency score-TTS) to company performance, which is proxied by
market to book value (MTBV) between 1995 and 2005 for the 27 sample
companies from the Istanbul Stock Exchange.
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C -38.30828 2.016107 -19.00112 0.0000
TTS 0.019345 0.001008 19.19118 0.0000
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.662699 Mean dependent var 0.383145
Adjusted R-squared 0.628072 S.D. dependent var 0.087772
S.E. of regression 0.053529 Akaike info criterion -2.925924
Sum squared resid 0.753582 Schwarz criterion -2.572477
Log likelihood 453.7219 Hannan-Quinn criter. -2.784331
F-statistic 19.13778 Durbin-Watson stat 1.053970
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
The test result shows the following equation.
MTBVit = -38.30 + 0.019TTSit + εit
The regression equation shows that there is a positive relationship between market to
book value ratio and corporate transparency (total transparency score), which means
that the direction of change in corporate transparency is the same as the direction of
change in MTBV ratio. We suppose that companies that increase their transparency
levels are rewarded by investors with increase in the market value.
The explanatory power of the model (R2 value) shows that 66.2% of change in total
market to book value ratio is explained by change in corporate transparency. P-value
for TTS shows that independent variable (TTS) is statically significant at the 1%
level. F-statistic and Prob (F-statistic) are 19.13 and 0.0000 respectively, the
regression is significant at the 1% level.
M. Ozbay, k0804108 32
4.5.1.3 Price to Cash Flow is Dependent Variable
A univariate model is employed and the summary of panel data analysis (cross-
section random effects), in which PTCF is dependent and corporate transparency
(TTS) is independent variable, is as follows.
Table 5: Regression Analysis, PTCF is Dependent Variable
Table shows summary of findings regarding effects of corporate transparency
(total transparency score-TTS) to company performance, which is proxied by
price to cash flow (PTCF) between 1995 and 2005 for the 27 sample companies
from the Istanbul Stock Exchange.
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 1524.328 319.5846 4.769715 0.0000
TTS -0.759247 0.159785 -4.751682 0.0000
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.440660 Mean dependent var 5.764990
Adjusted R-squared 0.383018 S.D. dependent var 10.80039
S.E. of regression 8.483512 Akaike info criterion 7.205693
Sum squared resid 18856.13 Schwarz criterion 7.560026
Log likelihood -1016.826 Hannan-Quinn criter. 7.347657
F-statistic 7.644790 Durbin-Watson stat 1.852230
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
The test result shows the following equation.
PTCFit = 1524.32 - 0.759TTSit + εit
The regression equation shows that the relationship between price to cash flow ratio
and corporate transparency is negative, which means that the direction of change in
corporate transparency is the inverse to the direction of change in PTCF ratio. PTCF
measures the market's expectations of a company’s future financial health and the
effects of depreciation and other non-cash factors are eliminated. We suppose that
company that increases its transparency level is regarded that it creates more free
cash flows and subsequently decreases PTCF ratio due to more transparency gets less
prospect to manipulate cash assets of the company by management.
The explanatory power of the model (R2 value) shows that 44% of change in PTCF
ratio is explained by change in corporate transparency. F-statistic and Prob (F-
M. Ozbay, k0804108 33
statistic) are 7.64 and 0.0000 respectively, the regression is significant at the 1%
level.
4.5.1.4 Price Earning Ratio is Dependent Variable
A univariate model is employed and the summary of panel data analysis (cross-
section random effects), in which PE is dependent and corporate transparency (TTS)
is independent variable, is as follows.
Table 6: Regression Analysis, PE is Dependent Variable
Table shows summary of findings regarding effects of corporate transparency
(total transparency score-TTS) to company performance, which is proxied by
price earning ratio (PE) between 1995 and 2005 for the 27 sample companies
from the Istanbul Stock Exchange.
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C -59.97895 1398.319 -0.042894 0.9658
TTS 0.038667 0.699144 0.055307 0.9559
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.242279 Mean dependent var 17.35742
Adjusted R-squared 0.164490 S.D. dependent var 41.40162
S.E. of regression 37.84366 Akaike info criterion 10.19607
Sum squared resid 376653.6 Schwarz criterion 10.54952
Log likelihood -1455.529 Hannan-Quinn criter. 10.33767
F-statistic 3.114572 Durbin-Watson stat 1.910824
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000001
The test result shows the following equation.
PEit = -59.98 + 0.0387TTSit + εit
The regression equation indicates that the relationship between price earning ratio
and corporate transparency is positive, which means that the direction of change in
corporate transparency is the same as the direction of change in PE ratio. PE ratio is
highly used to value a listed company and a higher PE ratio implies that investors are
paying more for each unit of net income. We suppose that company that increases its
transparency level is rewarded by investors and its stock price increases more,
compared with less transparent companies’ stock prices.
M. Ozbay, k0804108 34
The explanatory power of the model (R2 value) shows that 24.2% of change in PE
ratio is explained by change in corporate transparency, which is relatively low. F-
statistic and Prob (F-statistic) are 3.11 and 0.000001 respectively, the regression is
significant at the 1% level. However, independent variable (TTS) is not statically
significant at the 1% level, since p-value (0.9559) of TTS is higher than 0.05.
4.5.1.5 Market Adjusted Return is Dependent Variable
A univariate model is employed and the summary of panel data analysis (cross-
section random effects), in which MASR is dependent and corporate transparency
(TTS) is independent variable, is as follows.
Table 7: Regression Analysis, MASR is Dependent Variable
Table shows summary of findings regarding effects of corporate transparency
(total transparency score-TTS) to company performance, which is proxied by
market adjusted stock returns (MASR) between 1995 and 2005 for the 27 sample
companies from the Istanbul Stock Exchange.
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C -1003.765 1599.026 -0.627735 0.5308
TTS 0.514851 0.799542 0.643932 0.5202
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.300963 Mean dependent var 25.89850
Adjusted R-squared 0.222648 S.D. dependent var 46.89134
S.E. of regression 41.34297 Akaike info criterion 10.37995
Sum squared resid 411927.1 Schwarz criterion 10.75412
Log likelihood -1368.103 Hannan-Quinn criter. 10.53021
F-statistic 3.842961 Durbin-Watson stat 1.880761
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
The test result shows the following equation.
MASRit = -1003.76 + 0.515TTSit + εit
The regression equation indicates that the relationship between market adjusted stock
return and corporate transparency is positive, which means that the direction of
change in corporate transparency is the same as the direction of change in MASR.
MASR shows excess return to the market and means that investors earn above
market return. We assume that investors of a company that increases its transparency
M. Ozbay, k0804108 35
level are rewarded by the market, compared with less transparent companies’ stock
returns.
The explanatory power of the model (R2 value) shows that 30.1% of change in
MASR is explained by change in corporate transparency. F-statistic and Prob (F-
statistic) are 3.84 and 0.00 respectively, the regression is significant at the 1% level.
However, independent variable (TTS) is not statically significant at the 1% level,
since p-value (0.5202) of TTS is higher than 0.05.
The relationships between company performance and corporate transparency as
subcategories are examined on the following chapters.
4.5.2. Relationship Between Financial Transparency and Firm Performance
In this section, relationship between financial transparency and company
performance is examined. We seek for effects of change in financial transparency to
change in company performance. Therefore, relationship between each performance
measure and financial transparency is analysed in eviews program and the outcomes
are as follows.
4.5.2.1 Market to Book Value and Financial Transparency
A univariate model is employed and the summary of panel data analysis (cross-
section random effects), in which MTBV is dependent and financial transparency
(FT) is independent variable, is as follows.
M. Ozbay, k0804108 36
Table 8: Regression Analysis, MTBV is Dependent Variable
Table shows summary of findings regarding effects of financial transparency,
which is one of three subcategories of total corporate transparency (Financial
transparency score-FT) to company performance, which is proxied by market to
book value (MTBV) between 1995 and 2005 for the 27 sample companies from
the Istanbul Stock Exchange.
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 16.43678 3.324575 4.944026 0.0000
FT -19.30048 5.941763 -3.248275 0.0013
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.415978 Mean dependent var 5.764990
Adjusted R-squared 0.355792 S.D. dependent var 10.80039
S.E. of regression 8.668672 Akaike info criterion 7.248875
Sum squared resid 19688.22 Schwarz criterion 7.603209
Log likelihood -1023.087 Hannan-Quinn criter. 7.390839
F-statistic 6.911588 Durbin-Watson stat 1.800688
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
The test result shows the following equation.
MTBVit = 16.44 – 19.3FTit + εit
The regression equation shows that there is a negative relationship between market to
book value ratio and financial transparency, which means that the direction of change
in financial transparency is inverse to the direction of change in MTBV ratio. The
result confirms that findings of Aksu and Kosedag (2006) that states that larger firms
with higher followings by investors have higher quality disclosures. However, the
inverse relation between MTBV and transparency shows that low growth or
undervalued companies disclose more to signal their quality to offset the negative
perception of the investors.
Additionaly, we think that larger firms are the most regulated companies such as
banks and insurance companies amoung our sample firms and information they
disclose is more financial rather than management and ownership disclosure.
The explanatory power of the model (R2 value) shows that 41.6% of variation in
MTBV is explained by variation in financial transparency. F-statistic and Prob (F-
statistic) are 6.91 and 0.00 respectively, the regression is significant at the 1% level.
M. Ozbay, k0804108 37
4.5.2.2 Price to Cash Flow and Financial Transparency
A univariate model is employed and the summary of panel data analysis (cross-
section random effects), in which PTCF is dependent and financial transparency (FT)
is independent variable, is as follows.
Table 9: Regression Analysis, PTCF is Dependent Variable
Table shows summary of findings regarding effects of financial transparency,
which is one of three subcategories of total corporate transparency (Financial
transparency score-FT) to company performance, which is proxied by price to
cash flow (PTCF) between 1995 and 2005 for the 27 sample companies from the
Istanbul Stock Exchange.
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 16.85015 14.62986 1.151764 0.2505
FT 1.200048 26.14984 0.045891 0.9634
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.246403 Mean dependent var 17.51353
Adjusted R-squared 0.167539 S.D. dependent var 41.73973
S.E. of regression 38.08305 Akaike info criterion 10.21019
Sum squared resid 374182.1 Schwarz criterion 10.56812
Log likelihood -1432.057 Hannan-Quinn criter. 10.35366
F-statistic 3.124380 Durbin-Watson stat 1.923862
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000001
The test result shows the following equation.
PTCFit = 16.85 + 1.2FTit + εit
The regression equation shows that the relationship between price to cash flow ratio
and financial transparency is negative, which means that the direction of change in
corporate transparency is inverse to the direction of change in PTCF ratio. PTCF
measures the market's expectations of a company’s future financial health and the
effects of depreciation and other non-cash factors are eliminated.
The explanatory power of the model (R2 value) shows that 24.6% of variation in
PTCF ratio is explained by variation in financial transparency. F-statistic and Prob
(F-statistic) are 3.12 and 0.000001 respectively, the regression is significant at the
M. Ozbay, k0804108 38
1% level. However, independent variable (FT) is not statically significant at the 1%
level, since p-value (0.9634) of FT is higher than 0.05.
4.5.2.3 Price Earning Ratio and Financial Transparency
A univariate model is employed and the summary of panel data analysis (cross-
section random effects), in which PE is dependent and financial transparency (FT) is
independent variable, is as follows.
Table 10: Regression Analysis, PE is Dependent Variable
Table shows summary of findings regarding effects of financial transparency,
which is one of three subcategories of total corporate transparency (Financial
transparency score-FT) to company performance, which is proxied by price
earning ratio (PE) between 1995 and 2005 for the 27 sample companies from the
Istanbul Stock Exchange.
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 9.972806 16.14389 0.617745 0.5373
FT 28.89408 28.93157 0.998704 0.3189
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.302646 Mean dependent var 25.89850
Adjusted R-squared 0.224519 S.D. dependent var 46.89134
S.E. of regression 41.29316 Akaike info criterion 10.37753
Sum squared resid 410935.2 Schwarz criterion 10.75171
Log likelihood -1367.778 Hannan-Quinn criter. 10.52780
F-statistic 3.873785 Durbin-Watson stat 1.890678
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
The test result shows the following equation.
PEit = 9.97 + 28.89FTit + εit
The regression equation indicates that the relationship between price earning ratio
and financial transparency is positive, which means that the direction of change in
corporate transparency is the same as the direction of change in PE ratio. PE ratio is
highly used to value a listed company and a higher PE ratio implies that investors are
paying more for each unit of net income. We suppose that company that increases its
financial transparency level is rewarded by investors and its stock price increases
more, compared with less transparent companies’ stock prices. The results are in
M. Ozbay, k0804108 39
conformance with the outcomes of relationship between total transparency level and
PE ratio.
The explanatory power of the model (R2 value) shows that 30.27% of change in PE
ratio is explained by change in financial transparency. F-statistic and Prob (F-
statistic) are 3.87 and 0.00 respectively, the regression is significant at the 1% level.
However, independent variable (FT) is not statically significant at the 1% level, since
p-value (0.3189) of FT is higher than 0.05.
4.5.2.4 Market Adjusted Return and Financial Transparency
A univariate model is employed and the summary of panel data analysis (cross-
section random effects), in which MASR is dependent and financial transparency
(FT) is independent variable, is as follows.
Table 11: Regression Analysis, MASR is Dependent Variable
Table shows summary of findings regarding effects of financial transparency,
which is one of three subcategories of total corporate transparency (Financial
transparency score-FT) to company performance, which is proxied by market
adjusted stock returns (MASR) between 1995 and 2005 for the 27 sample
companies from the Istanbul Stock Exchange.
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 77.96187 61.64770 1.264635 0.2071
FT -109.2828 110.3151 -0.990643 0.3228
Effects Specification
Period fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.030560 Mean dependent var 17.65635
Adjusted R-squared -0.009379 S.D. dependent var 161.7513
S.E. of regression 162.5081 Akaike info criterion 13.06139
Sum squared resid 7051168. Schwarz criterion 13.21757
Log likelihood -1810.064 Hannan-Quinn criter. 13.12404
F-statistic 0.765158 Durbin-Watson stat 2.384406
Prob(F-statistic) 0.674752
The test result shows the following equation.
MASRit = 77.96 – 109.28FTit + εit
The regression equation indicates that the relationship between market adjusted stock
return and financial transparency is negative, which means that the direction of
M. Ozbay, k0804108 40
change in financial transparency is inverse to the direction of change in MASR.
MASR shows excess return to the market and means that investors earn above
market return. We assume that the result is insignificant due to low explanatory
power of the model, which is 3%, and F-statistic value, which is higher than 0.05.
The explanatory power of the model (R2 value) shows that only 3% of change in
MASR is explained by change in financial transparency. F-statistic and Prob (F-
statistic) are 0.765 and 0.674 respectively, the regression is insignificant at the 1%
level. Additionaly, independent variable (FT) is not statically significant at the 1%
level, since p-value (0.3228) of FT is higher than 0.05.
4.5.3. Relationship Between Ownership Transparency and Firm Performance
In this section, relationship between ownership transparency and company
performance is examined. We investigate the effects of change in ownership
transparency to the change in company performance. Therefore, relationship between
each performance measure and ownership transparency is analysed in eviews
program and the outcomes are as follows.
4.5.3.1 Market to Book Value and Ownership Transparency
A univariate model is employed and the summary of panel data analysis (cross-
section random effects), in which MTBV is dependent and ownership transparency
(OT) is independent variable, is as follows.
M. Ozbay, k0804108 41
Table 12: Regression Analysis, MTBV is Dependent Variable
Table shows summary of findings regarding effects of ownership and investor
relations transparency, which is one of three subcategories of total corporate
transparency (Ownership transparency score-OT) to company performance,
which is proxied by market to book value (MTBV) between 1995 and 2005 for
the 27 sample companies from the Istanbul Stock Exchange.
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 10.52335 1.686241 6.240715 0.0000
OT -15.02980 5.076014 -2.960945 0.0033
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.412129 Mean dependent var 5.764990
Adjusted R-squared 0.351547 S.D. dependent var 10.80039
S.E. of regression 8.697185 Akaike info criterion 7.255443
Sum squared resid 19817.95 Schwarz criterion 7.609776
Log likelihood -1024.039 Hannan-Quinn criter. 7.397406
F-statistic 6.802826 Durbin-Watson stat 1.795466
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
The test result shows the following equation.
MTBVit = 10.52 – 15.03OTit + εit
The regression equation shows that there is a negative relationship between market to
book value ratio and ownership transparency, which means that the direction of
change in ownership transparency is inverse to the direction of change in MTBV.
The explanatory power of the model (R2 value) shows that 41.2% of variation in
MTBV is explained by variation in ownership transparency. F-statistic and Prob (F-
statistic) are 6.802 and 0.00 respectively, the regression is significant at the 1% level.
4.5.3.2 Price to Cash Flow and Ownership Transparency
A univariate model is employed and the summary of panel data analysis (cross-
section random effects), in which PTCF is dependent and ownership transparency
(OT) is independent variable, is as follows.
M. Ozbay, k0804108 42
Table 13: Regression Analysis, PTCF is Dependent Variable
Table shows summary of findings regarding effects of ownership and investor
relations transparency, which is one of three subcategories of total corporate
transparency (Ownership transparency score-OT) to company performance,
which is proxied by price to cash flow (PTCF) between 1995 and 2005 for the 27
sample companies from the Istanbul Stock Exchange.
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 37.19486 7.304107 5.092321 0.0000
OT -62.06877 21.94735 -2.828076 0.0051
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.269057 Mean dependent var 17.51353
Adjusted R-squared 0.192563 S.D. dependent var 41.73973
S.E. of regression 37.50629 Akaike info criterion 10.17967
Sum squared resid 362934.2 Schwarz criterion 10.53760
Log likelihood -1427.692 Hannan-Quinn criter. 10.32314
F-statistic 3.517352 Durbin-Watson stat 1.941646
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
The test result shows the following equation.
PTCFit = 37.19 – 62.1OTit + εit
The regression equation shows that the relationship between price to cash flow ratio
and ownership transparency is negative, which means that the direction of change in
ownership transparency is inverse to the direction of change in PTCF ratio.
The explanatory power of the model (R2 value) shows that 26.9% of variation in
PTCF ratio is explained by variation in ownership transparency. F-statistic and Prob
(F-statistic) are 3.51 and 0.00 respectively, the regression is significant at the 1%
level. P value is less than 0.05, which is 0.0051
4.5.3.3 Price Earning Ratio and Ownership Transparency
A univariate model is employed and the summary of panel data analysis (cross-
section random effects), in which PE is dependent and ownership transparency (OT)
is independent variable, is as follows.
M. Ozbay, k0804108 43
Table 14: Regression Analysis, PE is Dependent Variable
Table shows summary of findings regarding effects of ownership and investor
relations transparency, which is one of three subcategories of total corporate
transparency (Ownership transparency score-OT) to company performance,
which is proxied by price earning ration (PE) between 1995 and 2005 for the 27
sample companies from the Istanbul Stock Exchange.
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 31.24587 8.231812 3.795747 0.0002
OT -17.03561 24.96528 -0.682372 0.4957
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.301110 Mean dependent var 25.89850
Adjusted R-squared 0.222812 S.D. dependent var 46.89134
S.E. of regression 41.33861 Akaike info criterion 10.37973
Sum squared resid 411840.2 Schwarz criterion 10.75391
Log likelihood -1368.074 Hannan-Quinn criter. 10.53000
F-statistic 3.845658 Durbin-Watson stat 1.878133
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
The test result shows the following equation.
PEit = 31.2 - 17.03OTit + εit
The regression equation indicates that the relationship between price earning ratio
and ownership transparency is negative, which means that the direction of change in
ownership transparency is inverse to the direction of change in PE ratio.
The explanatory power of the model (R2 value) shows that 30.1% of change in PE
ratio is explained by change in ownership transparency. F-statistic and Prob (F-
statistic) are 3.84 and 0.00 respectively, the regression is significant at the 1% level.
However, independent variable (OT) is statically significant at the 1% level, but p
value of 0.4957 is very close to the threshold value of 0.05.
4.5.3.4 Market Adjusted Return and Ownership Transparency
A univariate model is employed and the summary of panel data analysis (cross-
section random effects), in which MASR is dependent and ownership transparency
(OT) is independent variable, is as follows.
M. Ozbay, k0804108 44
Table 15: Regression Analysis, MASR is Dependent Variable
Table shows summary of findings regarding effects of ownership and investor
relations transparency, which is one of three subcategories of total corporate
transparency (Ownership transparency score-OT) to company performance,
which is proxied by market adjusted stock returns (MASR) between 1995 and
2005 for the 27 sample companies from the Istanbul Stock Exchange.
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 30.98191 31.82625 0.973470 0.3313
OT -42.08367 95.66713 -0.439897 0.6604
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.082661 Mean dependent var 17.65635
Adjusted R-squared -0.016017 S.D. dependent var 161.7513
S.E. of regression 163.0415 Akaike info criterion 13.12084
Sum squared resid 6672216. Schwarz criterion 13.48527
Log likelihood -1802.358 Hannan-Quinn criter. 13.26703
F-statistic 0.837682 Durbin-Watson stat 2.586945
Prob(F-statistic) 0.700141
The test result shows the following equation.
MASRit = 30.98 – 42.08OTit + εit
The regression equation indicates that the relationship between market adjusted stock
return and ownership transparency is negative, which means that the direction of
change in ownership transparency is inverse to the direction of change in MASR.
The explanatory power of the model (R2 value) shows that 8.3% of change in MASR
is explained by change in ownership transparency. F-statistic and Prob (F-statistic)
are 0.83 and 0.70 respectively, the regression is insignificant at the 1% level.
Additionaly, independent variable (OT) is not statically significant at the 1% level. P
value of 0.6604 is bigger than 0.05.
4.5.4. Relationship Between Management Transparency and Firm Performance
In this section, relationship between management transparency and company
performance is examined. We investigate the impact of change in management
transparency to the change in company performance. Therefore, relationship between
each performance measure and management transparency is analysed in eviews
program and and the outcomes are as follows.
M. Ozbay, k0804108 45
4.5.4.1 Market to Book Value and Management Transparency
A univariate model is employed and the summary of panel data analysis (cross-
section random effects), in which MTBV is dependent and management transparency
(MT) is independent variable, is as follows.
Table 16: Regression Analysis, MTBV is Dependent Variable
Table shows summary of findings regarding effects of transparency of board and
management structure and process, which is one of three subcategories of total
corporate transparency (Management transparency score-MT) to company
performance, which is proxied by market to book value (MTBV) between 1995
and 2005 for the 27 sample companies from the Istanbul Stock Exchange.
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 9.127016 1.674169 5.451671 0.0000
MT -12.19558 5.778687 -2.110442 0.0358
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.402613 Mean dependent var 5.764990
Adjusted R-squared 0.341050 S.D. dependent var 10.80039
S.E. of regression 8.767295 Akaike info criterion 7.271501
Sum squared resid 20138.75 Schwarz criterion 7.625834
Log likelihood -1026.368 Hannan-Quinn criter. 7.413464
F-statistic 6.539882 Durbin-Watson stat 1.737131
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
The test result shows the following equation.
MTBVit = 9.1 – 12.19MTit + εit
The regression equation shows that there is a negative relationship between market to
book value ratio and management transparency, which means that the direction of
change in management transparency is inverse to the direction of change in MTBV.
The explanatory power of the model (R2 value) shows that 40.2% of variation in
MTBV is explained by variation in management transparency. F-statistic and Prob
(F-statistic) are 6.53 and 0.00 respectively, the regression is significant at the 1%
level.
M. Ozbay, k0804108 46
4.5.4.2 Price to Cash Flow and Management Transparency
A univariate model is employed and the summary of panel data analysis (cross-
section random effects), in which PTCF is dependent and management transparency
(MT) is independent variable, is as follows.
Table 17: Regression Analysis, PTCF is Dependent Variable
Table shows summary of findings regarding effects of transparency of board and
management structure and process, which is one of three subcategories of total
corporate transparency (Management transparency score-MT) to company
performance, which is proxied by price to cash flow (PTCF) between 1995 and
2005 for the 27 sample companies from the Istanbul Stock Exchange.
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 30.50119 7.250478 4.206784 0.0000
MT -47.03473 24.97703 -1.883119 0.0608
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.256615 Mean dependent var 17.51353
Adjusted R-squared 0.178819 S.D. dependent var 41.73973
S.E. of regression 37.82415 Akaike info criterion 10.19654
Sum squared resid 369111.8 Schwarz criterion 10.55447
Log likelihood -1430.106 Hannan-Quinn criter. 10.34001
F-statistic 3.298557 Durbin-Watson stat 1.947874
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
The test result shows the following equation.
PTCFit = 30.5 – 47.03MTit + εit
The regression equation shows that the relationship between price to cash flow ratio
and management transparency is negative, which means that the direction of change
in management transparency is inverse to the direction of change in PTCF ratio.
The explanatory power of the model (R2 value) shows that 25.6% of variation in
PTCF ratio is explained by variation in management transparency. F-statistic and
Prob (F-statistic) are 3.29 and 0.00 respectively, the regression is significant at the
1% level. However, independent variable (MT) is not statically significant at the 1%
level, since p value of 0.0608 is bigger than 0.05.
M. Ozbay, k0804108 47
4.5.4.3 Price Earning Ratio and Management Transparency
A univariate model is employed and the summary of panel data analysis (cross-
section random effects), in which PE is dependent and management transparency
(MT) is independent variable, is as follows.
Table 18: Regression Analysis, PE is Dependent Variable
Table shows summary of findings regarding effects of transparency of board and
management structure and process, which is one of three subcategories of total
corporate transparency (Management transparency score-MT) to company
performance, which is proxied by price earning ratio (PE) between 1995 and
2005 for the 27 sample companies from the Istanbul Stock Exchange.
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 36.15704 8.146411 4.438401 0.0000
MT -37.22321 28.11684 -1.323876 0.1868
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.304816 Mean dependent var 25.89850
Adjusted R-squared 0.226932 S.D. dependent var 46.89134
S.E. of regression 41.22888 Akaike info criterion 10.37442
Sum squared resid 409656.7 Schwarz criterion 10.74859
Log likelihood -1367.359 Hannan-Quinn criter. 10.52469
F-statistic 3.913730 Durbin-Watson stat 1.885241
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
The test result shows the following equation.
PEit = 36.15 - 37.2MTit + εit
The regression equation indicates that the relationship between price earning ratio
and ownership transparency is negative, which means that the direction of change in
management transparency is inverse to the direction of change in PE ratio.
The explanatory power of the model (R2 value) shows that 30.5% of change in PE
ratio is explained by change in management transparency. F-statistic and Prob (F-
statistic) are 3.91 and 0.00 respectively, the regression is significant at the 1% level.
However, independent variable (MT) is not statically significant at the 1% level,
since p value of 0.1868 is bigger than 0.05.
M. Ozbay, k0804108 48
4.5.4.4 Market Adjusted Return and Management Transparency
A univariate model is employed and the summary of panel data analysis (cross-
section random effects), in which MASR is dependent and management transparency
(MT) is independent variable, is as follows.
Table 19: Regression Analysis, MASR is Dependent Variable
Table shows summary of findings regarding effects of transparency of board and
management structure and process, which is one of three subcategories of total
corporate transparency (Management transparency score-MT) to company
performance, which is proxied by market adjusted stock returns (MASR)
between 1995 and 2005 for the 27 sample companies from the Istanbul Stock
Exchange.
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 26.65071 31.40956 0.848490 0.3970
MT -32.52145 107.9439 -0.301281 0.7634
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.082285 Mean dependent var 17.65635
Adjusted R-squared -0.016433 S.D. dependent var 161.7513
S.E. of regression 163.0749 Akaike info criterion 13.12125
Sum squared resid 6674946. Schwarz criterion 13.48568
Log likelihood -1802.415 Hannan-Quinn criter. 13.26744
F-statistic 0.833537 Durbin-Watson stat 2.583408
Prob(F-statistic) 0.705834
The test result shows the following equation.
MASRit = 26.65 – 32.5MTit + εit
The regression equation indicates that the relationship between market adjusted stock
return and management transparency is negative, which means that the direction of
change in management transparency is inverse to the direction of change in MASR.
The explanatory power of the model (R2 value) shows that 8.2% of change in MASR
is explained by change in management transparency. F-statistic and Prob (F-statistic)
are 0.83 and 0.70 respectively, the regression is insignificant at the 1% level.
Additionaly, independent variable (MT) is not statically significant at the 1% level,
since p value of 0.7634 is above 0.05.
M. Ozbay, k0804108 49
5. CONCLUSION
This research aims to explore whether corporate transparency increases after a
successful year and if proportional change in financial transparency affects corporate
performance by examining relationship between corporate transparency and
company performance using cross-sectional time series (panel data) analysis. The
empirical research is based on the sample companies selected from the firms listed
on to the Istanbul Stock Exchange.
The attributes of the transparency score tables were previously created by Standard
& Poor’s and then customised by Sabanci University Corporate Governance Forum
researchers for Turkish firms. The database of transparency and disclosure scores
consists of 27 Turkish firms, which are the largest and the most liquid firms of the
ISE. The corporate transparency database of this study is created on a yearly basis for
the period of 1995 and 2005 in accordance with the attributes defined by Standard &
Poor’s and Sabanci University Corporate Governance Forum. Transparency
attributes, which are 105 in total for each company, are extracted from annual reports
of the publicly held firms, afterwards converted into percentages in three different
subcategories, which are ownership structure & investor relations, financial
transparency & information disclosure and management structure & process.
Transparency attributes consist of 11 years (1995-2005) and 27 companies.
Figures and financial ratios to create the database for company performance
measures of the sample firms are downloaded from the website of the Istanbul Stock
Exchange for the period of 1995 and 2005. Consequently, there are 27 firms, 11
years and 105 different corporate transparency attributes under 3 subcategories and
company performance figures for the sample firms in this study.
Under the lights of this research, it is concluded that there is a significant relationship
between corporate transparency and company performance. The finding of the study
are in conformance with the prior studies examining relationship between corporate
governance and firm performance. According to results of this study, company
performance measures proxied by MTBV, MASR and PTCF are statically significant
at the 1% level. However, performance measure proxied by PE ratio shows no
M. Ozbay, k0804108 50
significant relationship between corporate transparency and firm performance. The
findings of the study indicate that significant positive relationships between
dependent variable (TTS) and independent variables (MTBV and MASR) exist and a
significant negative relationship between TTS and PTCF exists, while a positive (but
insignificant) relationship between TTS and PE exists.
For the future research, it is recommended that there is need to repeat this study for
the years from 2006 and onwards to increase sample size and explore the effects of
the IFRS, which became mandatory in 2005 for the companies listed on to the ISE.
Word Count: 14555
M. Ozbay, k0804108 51
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M. Ozbay, k0804108 56
APPENDIX-1- Transparency Attributes
Ownership and investor relations
1) # of issued and outstanding ordinary common shares?
2) # of issued and outstanding other shares (preferred, non-voting, founders, recap)?
3) Par value of each ordinary share?
4) Par value of each other share)?
5) # of authorized but unissued ordinary shares?
6) # of authorized but unissued other shares?
7) Top 1 shareholder?
8) Top 3 shareholders?
9) Top 5 shareholders?
10) Top 10 shareholders?
11) # and identity of shareholders holding more than 3%?
12) # and identity of shareholders holding more than 5%?
13) # and identity of shareholders holding more than 10%?
14) Identity of shareholders holding at least 50%?
15) Float %?
16) Descriptions of share classes?
17) Review of shareholders by type?
18) Percentage of cross-ownership?
19) Existence of Corp Governance Charter/ Code of Best Practice?
20) Reproduction of its Corp Governance Charter/Code of Best practice?
21) Mention of Articles of Association?
22) Details about Articles of Association (i.e. Charter, Articles of Incorporation)?
23) Voting rights for each voting share?
24) How or who nominates directors to board?
25) How shareholders convene an EGM?
26) Procedure for putting Inquiry Rights to the board?
27) Procedure for proposals at shareholders meetings?
28) Review of last shareholders meeting? (e.g. minutes)
29) Calendar of important shareholder dates?
30) Any (in) formal voting agreements or blocks (relevant to family ownership)?
31) Shareholding by senior managers?
32) Ultimate beneficiaries in case of institutional or cross shareholdings?
Financial Transparency and Information Disclosure
1) Its accounting policies?
2) Accounting standards it uses for its financial reports?
3) Accounts according to the local accounting standards?
4) Accounts according to internationally recognized accounting standard (IAS/US GAAP)?
5) B/S according to international accounting standards?
6) I/S according to international accounting standards?
7) C/F according to international accounting standards?
8) Accounts adjusted for inflation?
9) Basic earnings forecast of any kind?
M. Ozbay, k0804108 57
10) Detailed earnings forecast?
11) Financial information on a quarterly basis?
12) Segment analysis (broken down by business line)?
13) Name of its auditing firm?
14) Reproduction of the auditors' report?
15) How much it pays in audit fees to the auditor?
16) Any non-audit fees paid to the auditor?
17) Consolidated financial statements (or only the parent/holding company)?
18) Methods of asset valuation?
19) Information on method of fixed asset depreciation?
20) List of affiliates in which it holds a minority stake?
21) Reconciliation of its domestic accounting standards to IAS or US GAAP?
22) Ownership structure of affiliates?
23) Details of the kind of business it is in?
24) Details of the products or services produced/provided?
25) Output in physical terms disclosed? (# of users, etc.)
26) Characteristics of assets employed?
27) Efficiency indicators (ROA, ROE, etc.)?
28) Any industry-specific ratios?
29) Discussion of corporate strategy?
30) Any plans for investment in the coming year(s)?
31) Detailed info on investment plans in the coming year(s)?
32) Output forecast of any kind?
33) Overview of trends in its industry?
34) Its market share for any or all of its businesses?
35) List/register of related party transactions?
36) List/register of group transactions?
Board and Management Structure and Process
1) List of board members (names)?
2) Details about directors (other than name/title)?
3) Details about current employment/position of directors provided?
4) Details about previous employment/positions provided?
5) When each of the directors joined the board?
6) Classification of directors as an executive or an outside director?
7) Named chairman listed?
8) Details about the chairman (other than name/title)?
9) Details about role of the board of directors at the company?
10) List of matters reserved for the board?
11) List of board committees?
12) Existence of an audit committee?
13) Names on audit committee?
14) Existence of a remuneration/compensation committee?
15) Names on remuneration/compensation committee?
16) Existence of a nomination committee?
17) Names on nomination committee?
M. Ozbay, k0804108 58
18) Existence of other internal audit functions besides audit committee?
19) Existence of a strategy/investment/finance committee?
20) # of shares in the company held by directors?
21) Review of last board meeting? (e.g. minutes)
22) Whether they provide director training?
23) Decision-making process of directors' pay?
24) Specifics of directors' salaries (e.g. numbers)?
25) Form of directors' salaries (e.g. cash, shares, etc.)?
26) Specifics on performance-related pay for directors?
27) Decision-making for managers' (not Board) pay?
28) Specifics of managers' (not on Board) salaries (e.g. numbers)?
29) Form of managers’ (not on Board) salaries?
30) Specifics on performance-related pay for managers?
31) List of senior managers (not on the Board of Directors)?
32) Backgrounds of senior managers?
33) Details of the CEO's contracted?
34) # of shares held by managers in other affiliated companies?
35) Whether board members are employees of parent co.? (in case company is a consolidated
affiliate/subsidiary.)
36) Whether any group policies exist re. nature of the relationship between parent and affiliates?
(w/respect to CG of affiliates/subsidiaries)
37) Whether any members of senior mgmt are related (family, joint business, etc.) to any major
shareholder?
M. Ozbay, k0804108 59
APPENDIX 2: Transparency Scores by Subsections
Transparency of Management Structure and Process
Company 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995
AKBNK 0.57 0.57 0.54 0.49 0.43 0.43 0.30 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24
AKGRT 0.30 0.35 0.27 0.27 0.30 0.32 0.30 0.30 0.27 0.24 0.24
AEFES 0.51 0.51 0.43 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30
ARCLK 0.38 0.38 0.19 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.16 0.24
ASELS 0.32 0.35 0.19 0.19 0.22 0.22 0.19 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.24
DOHOL 0.46 0.41 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27
ENKAI 0.35 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.22 0.22 0.19
EREGL 0.19 0.38 0.35 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.30 0.30 0.22 0.22
FINBN 0.49 0.57 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.22 0.19 0.22 0.24
DISBA 0.54 0.32 0.22 0.14 0.22 0.22 0.19 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.19
GARAN 0.51 0.49 0.27 0.30 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.05 0.05 0.05
HURGZ 0.54 0.54 0.27 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24
IHLAS 0.54 0.57 0.43 0.32 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.22 0.24 0.27
ISCTR 0.46 0.43 0.32 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16
KCHOL 0.32 0.32 0.24 0.30 0.27 0.30 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.41 0.41
MMART 0.35 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24
MIGRS 0.32 0.35 0.35 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24
PRKTE 0.38 0.38 0.24 0.24 0.30 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 N/A N/A
PETKM 0.27 0.30 0.22 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.14 0.16 0.14
PTOFS 0.35 0.38 0.22 0.27 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.05 0.19 0.19
SAHOL 0.51 0.51 0.43 0.35 0.32 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 N/A N/A
SKBNK 0.46 0.19 0.24 0.19 0.22 0.22 0.08 0.16 0.16 N/A N/A
SISE 0.49 0.49 0.30 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.22 0.32 0.14 0.19
TOASO 0.49 0.49 0.24 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.41 0.41 0.30
TUPRS 0.41 0.30 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.22 0.14 0.14
VESTL 0.59 0.35 0.24 0.27 0.24 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27
YKBNK 0.54 0.22 0.24 0.27 0.19 0.19 0.27 0.32 0.24 0.19 0.27
Transparency 11.65 10.57 7.51 6.78 6.65 6.70 6.54 6.70 6.35 5.30 5.49
# of companies 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 24 24
Mean Score 0.43 0.39 0.28 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.24 0.25 0.24 0.22 0.23
M. Ozbay, k0804108 60
Financial Transparency and Information Disclosure
Company 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995
AKBNK 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.44 0.44 0.47 0.44 0.47 0.44 0.44
AKGRT 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.58 0.58 0.53 0.56 0.56 0.39 0.39 0.39
AEFES 0.69 0.75 0.69 0.61 0.58 0.56 0.53 0.53 0.50 0.56 0.56
ARCLK 0.75 0.72 0.72 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.58 0.56 0.56 0.72 0.58
ASELS 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.61 0.58 0.53 0.42
DOHOL 0.58 0.67 0.47 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.47 0.47 0.47
ENKAI 0.69 0.64 0.67 0.58 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61
EREGL 0.69 0.64 0.64 0.61 0.61 0.58 0.61 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56
FINBN 0.50 0.58 0.56 0.56 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.61 0.56 0.64 0.69
DISBA 0.58 0.50 0.44 0.44 0.42 0.42 0.44 0.44 0.33 0.28 0.36
GARAN 0.61 0.58 0.53 0.56 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.53 0.25 0.25 0.21
HURGZ 0.69 0.72 0.67 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.31 0.31 0.33 0.33 0.33
IHLAS 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.61 0.56 0.58 0.61 0.56 0.44 0.44 0.42
ISCTR 0.58 0.61 0.61 0.67 0.39 0.56 0.61 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58
KCHOL 0.64 0.69 0.69 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.44 0.56
MMART 0.64 0.61 0.64 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58
MIGRS 0.58 0.69 0.64 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39
PRKTE 0.61 0.61 0.64 0.53 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 N/A N/A
PETKM 0.72 0.64 0.56 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.56 0.36 0.44 0.42
PTOFS 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.61 0.61 0.56 0.50 0.47 0.50 0.44 0.44
SAHOL 0.64 0.69 0.69 0.58 0.58 0.61 0.64 0.64 0.58 N/A N/A
SKBNK 0.58 0.61 0.61 0.56 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.53 0.44 N/A N/A
SISE 0.72 0.75 0.78 0.75 0.75 0.69 0.64 0.58 0.47 0.56 0.53
TOASO 0.69 0.72 0.69 0.56 0.56 0.61 0.61 0.58 0.61 0.61 0.53
TUPRS 0.64 0.58 0.58 0.53 0.53 0.50 0.50 0.36 0.56 0.31 0.31
VESTL 0.69 0.69 0.64 0.56 0.56 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.61 0.61
YKBNK 0.56 0.58 0.61 0.56 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.25 0.28 0.31
Overall Score 17.42 17.61 17.08 15.19 14.53 14.58 14.56 14.11 13.06 11.47 11.29
# of companies 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 24 24
Mean Score 0.65 0.65 0.63 0.56 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.52 0.48 0.48 0.47
M. Ozbay, k0804108 61
Transparency of Ownership and Investor Relations
Company 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995
AKBNK 0.50 0.41 0.41 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.22 0.22 0.19 0.16 0.16
AKGRT 0.50 0.53 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.31 0.31 0.28 0.19 0.22 0.19
AEFES 0.50 0.53 0.47 0.34 0.38 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34
ARCLK 0.53 0.53 0.34 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31
ASELS 0.50 0.50 0.31 0.31 0.28 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.28 0.28 0.31
DOHOL 0.41 0.41 0.31 0.28 0.34 0.28 0.34 0.31 0.31 0.28 0.28
ENKAI 0.59 0.28 0.28 0.25 0.28 0.25 0.28 0.28 0.31 0.28 0.28
EREGL 0.50 0.44 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28
FINBN 0.56 0.44 0.34 0.34 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.09 0.09 0.25
DISBA 0.53 0.28 0.25 0.34 0.38 0.38 0.41 0.34 0.31 0.28 0.31
GARAN 0.44 0.47 0.28 0.28 0.19 0.19 0.16 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06
HURGZ 0.47 0.44 0.34 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28
IHLAS 0.41 0.38 0.28 0.22 0.22 0.28 0.25 0.28 0.22 0.19 0.19
ISCTR 0.44 0.47 0.31 0.31 0.00 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31
KCHOL 0.75 0.59 0.50 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.25 0.22
MMART 0.53 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22
MIGRS 0.47 0.47 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31
PRKTE 0.50 0.47 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 N/A N/A
PETKM 0.56 0.50 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.22 0.31 0.22
PTOFS 0.59 0.59 0.41 0.41 0.38 0.34 0.34 0.38 0.34 0.34 0.34
SAHOL 0.44 0.47 0.41 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.25 N/A N/A
SKBNK 0.56 0.38 0.34 0.31 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.25 0.09 N/A N/A
SISE 0.47 0.47 0.25 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.25 0.28 0.28 0.19 0.25
TOASO 0.56 0.56 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.31 0.31 0.38 0.38 0.31
TUPRS 0.47 0.53 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.13 0.16 0.09 0.34 0.09 0.09
VESTL 0.47 0.41 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.28 0.28
YKBNK 0.53 0.25 0.31 0.31 0.25 0.25 0.28 0.28 0.06 0.06 0.06
Overall Score 13.78 12.16 9.00 8.09 7.63 7.75 7.66 7.44 6.84 5.81 5.88
# of companies 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 24 24
Mean Score 0.51 0.45 0.33 0.30 0.28 0.29 0.28 0.28 0.25 0.24 0.24
M. Ozbay, k0804108 62
APPENDIX 3: Company Performance Measures
Market Adjusted Stock Returns
Company 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995
AKBNK -0.30 9.90 16.42 45.77 27.70 -8.56 -92.54 10.89 26.78 165.97 -34.99
AKGRT 36.98 -18.60 59.16 4.77 -21.74 29.13 104.40 -3.44 283.55 168.73 -65.39
AEFES -21.35 23.33 -9.85 -11.61 74.49 36.08
ARCLK -41.21 -30.91 -11.83 60.21 53.67 -13.33 33.48 17.39 -81.36 96.48 -58.58
ASELS 117.33 -43.18 -95.72 127.39 1.74 -0.71 492.88 0.76 -52.25 -35.13 17.45
DOHOL -9.97 -3.03 30.59 2.92 -61.17 -16.91 565.33 18.54 242.13 -5.06 -6.53
ENKAI -27.67 -33.98 -4.29 16.23
EREGL 3.98 13.33 65.48 15.59 -15.22 -1.30 339.95 -36.62 -98.61 34.82 2.20
FINBN 235.41 77.19 58.87 2.76 3.08 -12.80 -148.31 21.47 147.04 -44.63 -9.12
DISBA 113.71 78.03 63.43 12.90 86.56 -18.02 -152.66 48.88 59.06 5.49 -12.78
GARAN 37.48 15.00 15.71 9.46 55.90 -16.68 -51.64 17.88 131.06 -25.92 -41.02
HURGZ 4.57 -26.17 11.05 71.82 22.13 6.44 -171.06 63.41 383.77 108.88 -78.32
IHLAS -81.05 -43.29 -44.31 69.64 -93.63 -42.41 34.50 -23.91 -77.12 -39.82 147.16
ISCTR 27.69 16.28 48.34 -22.48 -41.14 22.23 99.46 -22.52 772.61 88.45 126.69
KCHOL -59.16 -29.91 -16.02 14.60 30.22 -5.33 131.35 -20.31 34.16 123.42 -54.81
MMART 52.39 14.24 -20.38 -4.71 100.71 -5.27 -260.38 -14.99 -59.53 8.39 1.01
MIGRS -45.22 5.25 -42.66 -6.10 -1.60 11.60 -262.93 91.46 -102.25 185.53 81.20
PRKTE -58.63 238.33 -47.95 3.57 -77.95 1,900.59 -320.14 -63.72 -282.90
PETKM -43.97 -25.66 -80.56 -7.95 -18.54 -10.82 10.25 57.60 -53.97 -78.80 27.76
PTOFS 4.99 -32.59 -62.93 -20.54 87.83 -8.22 275.01 12.22 170.87 82.68 -71.90
SAHOL -15.30 -39.23 11.52 -2.77 32.09 2.10 54.49 11.06 -114.53
SKBNK -67.66 19.85 -67.13 -6.19 -35.13 45.75 -504.37 39.90 -242.60
SISE -59.37 -25.96 -43.67 -8.06 -24.54 39.63 -385.07 44.63 -241.72 -143.82 -64.28
TOASO -44.59 -48.29 62.08 -11.77 144.19 5.01 -20.40 -43.29 72.30 -117.76 -73.51
TUPRS 37.10 -2.93 -24.37 -7.69 32.35 -18.73 -156.27 68.44 191.70 23.50 24.10
VESTL -67.28 -48.54 5.02 8.95 1.55 4.23 -98.31 75.70 24.69 209.77 -66.29
YKBNK -15.23 9.53 28.63 -45.29 45.53 -19.36 227.72 25.31 331.10 90.98 17.34
M. Ozbay, k0804108 63
Price-To-Earning Ratio (P/E)
Company 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995
AKBNK 15.57 9.19 10.10 15.29 9.93 6.12 15.08 6.14 14.20 11.63 6.73
AKGRT 29.00 13.37 31.35 7.87 9.01 11.86 44.01 11.44 33.18 13.96 7.40
AEFES 17.04 15.06 23.46 48.10 --- -79.57 25.61 9.77 21.11 7.60 9.66
ARCLK 11.84 17.18 14.12 18.15 --- 8.70 28.85 9.50 14.02 12.94 12.62
ASELS 8.43 --- 7.76 8.06 --- 19.77 56.31 7.86 15.56 10.93 8.13
DOHOL 9.74 11.52 19.50 --- --- 12.23 44.19 5.61 19.24 5.99 25.79
ENKAI 7.56 21.62 47.95 68.83 129.73 108.86 204.59 41.05 201.62 67.27 33.63
EREGL 5.79 6.02 5.53 --- --- 9.98 -17.76 -30.33 27.77 17.14 3.52
FINBN 18.42 9.26 6.86 --- 4.87 1.76 5.75 2.35 5.66 2.47 2.26
DISBA 21.97 6.29 5.62 12.47 2.09 1.48 5.14 3.71 4.58 2.84 2.75
GARAN 18.52 12.87 17.11 --- 13.79 4.64 13.80 3.98 10.81 7.07 6.52
HURGZ 38.65 34.42 24.61 19.88 49.68 17.43 20.16 3.66 17.23 5.99 7.86
IHLAS 9.73 64.04 76.13 --- HY 11.98 249.99 6.21 83.32 35.58 49.59
ISCTR 30.96 22.49 17.28 --- 76.80 18.88 35.52 8.66 33.83 10.56 5.48
KCHOL 14.65 15.34 102.55 81.60 78.45 40.04 91.04 21.30 76.03 35.52 14.97
MMART 50.31 45.35 5.97 41.73 --- -4.10 -244.03 5.22 21.65 21.33 12.43
MIGRS 23.37 27.37 64.78 99.75 110.73 36.41 46.09 47.17 83.64 73.59 28.91
PRKTE --- 31.14 6.65 3.56 24.60 -37.74 -0.59 -54.91 30.22
PETKM 74.56 --- --- 60.12 --- 47.99 99.96 13.49 14.01 5.55 5.98
PTOFS 7.88 9.46 6.09 11.83 20.28 22.64 45.96 11.92 24.98 11.86 7.66
SAHOL 11.46 8.61 45.87 38.64 45.77 46.88 92.14 28.74 125.72
SKBNK 8.38 3.35 4.81 --- 31.87 4.47 13.54 7.57 6.20
SISE 10.70 9.86 20.94 30.00 372.11 254.91 217.72 22.35 50.15 27.95 17.67
TOASO 28.33 18.36 121.24 --- 36.46 -26.37 -9.76 5.56 35.80 7.86 5.13
TUPRS 8.07 8.81 6.70 25.89 10.10 9.19 30.11 46.97 -13.97 -21.50 -11.99
VESTL 9.32 10.29 9.07 7.11 19.71 10.48 24.40 7.20 21.75 14.46 10.75
YKBNK --- 19.49 1.78 --- 16.67 6.65 35.90 5.33 15.71 3.18 4.30
M. Ozbay, k0804108 64
Price-To-Cash-Flow Ratio
Company 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995
AKBNK 14.51 9.93 6.80 8.44 8.19 6.11 12.43 6.05 13.96 11.23 6.53
AKGRT 26.98 11.58 26.20 9.12 8.17 10.13 30.94 11.05 31.90 13.31 7.12
AEFES 10.40 8.21 13.38 19.81 --- -79.56 20.10 9.43 19.66 7.41 7.49
ARCLK 8.37 8.00 10.32 8.64 20.20 5.34 19.21 6.13 10.13 9.61 7.90
ASELS 5.01 29.16 5.26 4.99 --- 10.48 27.12 4.88 10.87 7.75 6.73
DOHOL 3.01 4.80 19.42 --- --- 12.18 43.87 5.60 19.22 5.98 25.74
ENKAI 6.43 11.68 42.72 52.28 109.24 112.21 170.25 41.01 201.22 66.97 33.45
EREGL 5.56 2.45 3.81 24.16 --- 5.06 -32.67 6.42 12.23 8.95 3.04
FINBN 15.03 6.66 4.32 2.32 4.38 1.58 4.84 2.30 5.58 2.43 2.24
DISBA 13.08 4.54 2.62 2.76 1.67 1.37 4.13 3.54 4.49 2.81 2.70
GARAN 13.45 9.94 8.82 17.56 13.92 4.30 11.08 3.86 10.46 6.64 6.25
HURGZ 18.16 17.17 13.48 8.32 16.10 7.80 16.29 3.20 11.70 4.94 5.61
IHLAS 3.28 8.57 20.19 --- --- 11.03 61.48 5.78 51.95 28.95 34.65
ISCTR 25.30 16.24 13.70 --- 85.06 20.94 29.81 8.57 33.37 10.17 5.27
KCHOL 5.66 5.60 72.81 70.82 63.71 39.78 77.85 20.11 72.81 34.42 14.62
MMART 32.72 5.76 5.64 3.01 --- 148.71 118.23 4.51 18.50 17.08 9.97
MIGRS 13.54 13.23 18.48 20.29 30.00 20.46 34.03 33.92 56.49 52.66 23.15
PRKTE #N/A 18.81 6.33 2.79 8.31 15.67 -0.66 1.88 15.65
PETKM 14.06 7.18 94.08 9.28 37.60 21.55 48.67 9.87 11.07 4.79 5.34
PTOFS 5.05 4.99 2.91 10.18 15.99 21.65 37.83 11.55 24.31 11.40 7.33
SAHOL 7.24 5.46 33.81 47.79 40.09 37.56 89.17 28.55 119.29
SKBNK 8.13 2.49 2.36 --- 14.38 3.48 9.61 6.37 5.59
SISE 4.23 3.84 25.73 17.16 --- 128.20 300.26 21.42 49.37 27.63 17.40
TOASO 5.71 5.64 11.43 5.24 18.08 6.08 -16.06 2.49 15.80 4.88 4.19
TUPRS 5.97 4.64 4.38 5.68 7.02 6.61 20.19 27.69 -16.60 -429.57 -44.97
VESTL 4.83 4.51 6.73 4.92 14.98 8.86 19.86 6.93 19.75 13.00 9.00
YKBNK --- 10.75 1.23 --- 25.61 4.81 30.46 5.16 15.01 3.06 4.05
M. Ozbay, k0804108 65
Market-To-Book Ratio
Company 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995
AKBNK 3.31 2.15 1.90 1.53 2.55 2.20 5.87 3.25 8.74 6.79 4.46
AKGRT 1.06 2.76 2.92 1.89 2.95 3.67 6.14 4.30 10.43 6.68 2.09
AEFES 3.43 2.84 5.40 7.02 17.22 9.01 3.24 2.37 2.23 2.62 2.54
ARCLK 2.22 2.10 4.15 3.51 4.17 2.60 8.68 3.90 8.94 6.88 4.16
ASELS 2.69 1.74 2.08 3.64 11.47 3.13 7.64 1.68 3.92 2.55 2.29
DOHOL 1.25 1.22 2.06 1.91 1.84 2.87 9.29 2.06 6.59 2.20 2.12
ENKAI 2.39 2.13 20.56 19.44 48.28 40.73 56.91 31.81 130.26 25.20 13.78
EREGL 0.96 0.73 0.98 0.73 1.19 1.26 3.95 0.86 5.26 3.23 2.54
FINBN 4.37 1.52 0.97 0.55 1.14 0.69 2.32 1.18 2.46 1.26 1.72
DISBA 2.39 1.01 0.63 0.38 0.73 0.53 2.09 2.04 2.42 1.39 1.53
GARAN 2.81 1.76 1.54 1.10 2.03 1.29 4.42 3.05 6.52 3.03 3.04
HURGZ 3.47 2.39 3.59 2.77 3.00 2.50 5.81 3.08 7.87 2.35 1.70
IHLAS 0.77 2.07 1.02 0.90 0.73 7.95 2.15 10.14 12.25 8.88
ISCTR 2.65 1.70 1.64 1.03 4.28 3.55 11.15 4.93 21.01 4.15 2.38
KCHOL 1.56 1.77 6.10 6.25 9.87 8.60 22.45 9.23 29.52 13.45 6.54
MMART 1.65 1.15 0.46 0.41 0.78 0.45 1.19 0.78 2.26 1.79 1.38
MIGRS 2.73 2.54 4.12 4.04 7.97 8.43 17.28 11.45 55.30 45.72 20.25
PRKTE 3.49 3.40 1.36 1.46 4.26 13.16 -3.84 0.28 3.49
PETKM 1.07 0.97 1.40 1.41 2.90 3.40 8.78 2.68 3.45 1.98 3.80
PTOFS 1.22 0.89 3.18 4.08 12.09 11.28 25.86 8.04 17.16 8.43 3.89
SAHOL 1.37 1.07 4.09 2.78 4.44 3.60 12.70 4.03 8.70
SKBNK 1.88 0.98 0.69 0.59 0.59 0.93 1.69 0.99 1.10
SISE 0.89 0.84 1.52 1.40 3.11 4.31 11.93 3.23 12.23 10.82 5.69
TOASO 1.40 1.43 2.63 1.58 4.07 2.67 7.60 1.19 6.08 2.23 2.48
TUPRS 1.97 1.21 1.89 2.02 4.00 3.92 12.46 27.50 30.58 7.99 5.03
VESTL 0.79 0.88 1.84 1.37 2.56 2.05 9.97 6.06 6.06 10.47 4.32
YKBNK 2.29 0.77 0.71 1.05 2.19 1.04 8.81 2.63 5.86 1.95 1.51
M. Ozbay, k0804108 66
APPENDIX 4: Regression Analysis Outputs
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test
Equation: MUL_REG
Test cross-section random effects
Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 74.460873 4 0.0000
** Warning: estimated cross-section random effects variance is zero.
Cross-section random effects test comparisons:
Variable Fixed Random Var(Diff.) Prob.
MTBV 29.522391 23.669169 0.628588 0.0000
PTCF -0.068137 -0.052031 0.000087 0.0836
PE 0.003407 -0.000439 0.000002 0.0068
MASR 0.011859 0.008508 0.000003 0.0728
Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: TTS
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/14/09 Time: 18:08
Sample: 1995 2005
Periods included: 11
Cross-sections included: 27
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 264
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 1988.712 0.661289 3007.327 0.0000
MTBV 29.52239 1.620067 18.22295 0.0000
PTCF -0.068137 0.015838 -4.302077 0.0000
PE 0.003407 0.003693 0.922508 0.3572
MASR 0.011859 0.004244 2.794325 0.0056
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.638430 Mean dependent var 1999.951
Adjusted R-squared 0.591875 S.D. dependent var 3.204298
S.E. of regression 2.047054 Akaike info criterion 4.380618
Sum squared resid 976.3703 Schwarz criterion 4.800521
Log likelihood -547.2416 Hannan-Quinn criter. 4.549348
F-statistic 13.71370 Durbin-Watson stat 0.783901
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
M. Ozbay, k0804108 67
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test
Equation: MTBV_TTS_REG
Test cross-section random effects
Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 0.066379 1 0.7967
Cross-section random effects test comparisons:
Variable Fixed Random Var(Diff.) Prob.
TTS 0.019345 0.019356 0.000000 0.7967
Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: MTBV
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/14/09 Time: 18:05
Sample: 1995 2005
Periods included: 11
Cross-sections included: 27
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 291
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C -38.30828 2.016107 -19.00112 0.0000
TTS 0.019345 0.001008 19.19118 0.0000
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.662699 Mean dependent var 0.383145
Adjusted R-squared 0.628072 S.D. dependent var 0.087772
S.E. of regression 0.053529 Akaike info criterion -2.925924
Sum squared resid 0.753582 Schwarz criterion -2.572477
Log likelihood 453.7219 Hannan-Quinn criter. -2.784331
F-statistic 19.13778 Durbin-Watson stat 1.053970
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
M. Ozbay, k0804108 68
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test
Equation: PTCF_TTS_REG
Test cross-section random effects
Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 0.283886 1 0.5942
Cross-section random effects test comparisons:
Variable Fixed Random Var(Diff.) Prob.
TTS -0.759247 -0.762427 0.000036 0.5942
Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: PTCF
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/14/09 Time: 18:10
Sample: 1995 2005
Periods included: 11
Cross-sections included: 27
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 290
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 1524.328 319.5846 4.769715 0.0000
TTS -0.759247 0.159785 -4.751682 0.0000
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.440660 Mean dependent var 5.764990
Adjusted R-squared 0.383018 S.D. dependent var 10.80039
S.E. of regression 8.483512 Akaike info criterion 7.205693
Sum squared resid 18856.13 Schwarz criterion 7.560026
Log likelihood -1016.826 Hannan-Quinn criter. 7.347657
F-statistic 7.644790 Durbin-Watson stat 1.852230
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
M. Ozbay, k0804108 69
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test
Equation: PE_TTS_REG
Test cross-section random effects
Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 0.013764 1 0.9066
Cross-section random effects test comparisons:
Variable Fixed Random Var(Diff.) Prob.
TTS 0.038667 0.037049 0.000190 0.9066
Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: PE
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/14/09 Time: 18:09
Sample: 1995 2005
Periods included: 11
Cross-sections included: 27
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 291
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C -59.97895 1398.319 -0.042894 0.9658
TTS 0.038667 0.699144 0.055307 0.9559
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.242279 Mean dependent var 17.35742
Adjusted R-squared 0.164490 S.D. dependent var 41.40162
S.E. of regression 37.84366 Akaike info criterion 10.19607
Sum squared resid 376653.6 Schwarz criterion 10.54952
Log likelihood -1455.529 Hannan-Quinn criter. 10.33767
F-statistic 3.114572 Durbin-Watson stat 1.910824
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000001
M. Ozbay, k0804108 70
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test
Equation: MASR_TTS_REG
Test cross-section random effects
Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 0.022141 1 0.8817
Cross-section random effects test comparisons:
Variable Fixed Random Var(Diff.) Prob.
TTS 0.514851 0.522118 0.002385 0.8817
Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: MASR
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/14/09 Time: 18:02
Sample: 1995 2005
Periods included: 11
Cross-sections included: 27
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 269
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C -1003.765 1599.026 -0.627735 0.5308
TTS 0.514851 0.799542 0.643932 0.5202
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.300963 Mean dependent var 25.89850
Adjusted R-squared 0.222648 S.D. dependent var 46.89134
S.E. of regression 41.34297 Akaike info criterion 10.37995
Sum squared resid 411927.1 Schwarz criterion 10.75412
Log likelihood -1368.103 Hannan-Quinn criter. 10.53021
F-statistic 3.842961 Durbin-Watson stat 1.880761
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
M. Ozbay, k0804108 71
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test
Equation: MASR_FT_REGRESSION
Test period random effects
Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Period random 0.109937 1 0.7402
** Warning: estimated period random effects variance is zero.
Period random effects test comparisons:
Variable Fixed Random Var(Diff.) Prob.
FT -109.282805 -131.147654 4348.611163 0.7402
Period random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: MASR
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/18/09 Time: 02:54
Sample: 1995 2005
Periods included: 11
Cross-sections included: 27
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 279
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 77.96187 61.64770 1.264635 0.2071
FT -109.2828 110.3151 -0.990643 0.3228
Effects Specification
Period fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.030560 Mean dependent var 17.65635
Adjusted R-squared -0.009379 S.D. dependent var 161.7513
S.E. of regression 162.5081 Akaike info criterion 13.06139
Sum squared resid 7051168. Schwarz criterion 13.21757
Log likelihood -1810.064 Hannan-Quinn criter. 13.12404
F-statistic 0.765158 Durbin-Watson stat 2.384406
Prob(F-statistic) 0.674752
M. Ozbay, k0804108 72
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test
Equation: MTBV_FT_REGRESSION
Test cross-section random effects
Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 2.438877 1 0.1184
Cross-section random effects test comparisons:
Variable Fixed Random Var(Diff.) Prob.
FT -19.300478 -16.693507 2.786651 0.1184
Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: MTBV
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/18/09 Time: 02:55
Sample: 1995 2005
Periods included: 11
Cross-sections included: 27
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 290
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 16.43678 3.324575 4.944026 0.0000
FT -19.30048 5.941763 -3.248275 0.0013
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.415978 Mean dependent var 5.764990
Adjusted R-squared 0.355792 S.D. dependent var 10.80039
S.E. of regression 8.668672 Akaike info criterion 7.248875
Sum squared resid 19688.22 Schwarz criterion 7.603209
Log likelihood -1023.087 Hannan-Quinn criter. 7.390839
F-statistic 6.911588 Durbin-Watson stat 1.800688
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
M. Ozbay, k0804108 73
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test
Equation: MULTIPLE_REGRESSION
Test cross-section random effects
Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 4.291581 4 0.3680
Cross-section random effects test comparisons:
Variable Fixed Random Var(Diff.) Prob.
MASR 0.000025 0.000017 0.000000 0.1596
MTBV -0.005600 -0.005323 0.000000 0.2969
PE 0.000384 0.000404 0.000000 0.5954
PTCF -0.000017 0.000034 0.000000 0.0978
Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: FT
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/17/09 Time: 22:14
Sample: 1995 2005
Periods included: 11
Cross-sections included: 27
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 253
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 0.567550 0.008303 68.35618 0.0000
MASR 2.53E-05 3.68E-05 0.688298 0.4920
MTBV -0.005600 0.001088 -5.146333 0.0000
PE 0.000384 0.000189 2.030372 0.0435
PTCF -1.73E-05 0.000165 -0.104791 0.9166
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.462525 Mean dependent var 0.549580
Adjusted R-squared 0.389893 S.D. dependent var 0.114003
S.E. of regression 0.089047 Akaike info criterion -1.884967
Sum squared resid 1.760304 Schwarz criterion -1.452022
Log likelihood 269.4483 Hannan-Quinn criter. -1.710778
F-statistic 6.368082 Durbin-Watson stat 0.847873
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
M. Ozbay, k0804108 74
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test
Equation: PE_FT_REGRESSION
Test cross-section random effects
Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 0.833036 1 0.3614
Cross-section random effects test comparisons:
Variable Fixed Random Var(Diff.) Prob.
FT 28.894076 38.705316 115.553713 0.3614
Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: PE
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/18/09 Time: 02:57
Sample: 1995 2005
Periods included: 11
Cross-sections included: 27
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 269
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 9.972806 16.14389 0.617745 0.5373
FT 28.89408 28.93157 0.998704 0.3189
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.302646 Mean dependent var 25.89850
Adjusted R-squared 0.224519 S.D. dependent var 46.89134
S.E. of regression 41.29316 Akaike info criterion 10.37753
Sum squared resid 410935.2 Schwarz criterion 10.75171
Log likelihood -1367.778 Hannan-Quinn criter. 10.52780
F-statistic 3.873785 Durbin-Watson stat 1.890678
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
M. Ozbay, k0804108 75
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test
Equation: PTCF_FT_REGRESSION
Test cross-section random effects
Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 3.679308 1 0.0551
Cross-section random effects test comparisons:
Variable Fixed Random Var(Diff.) Prob.
FT 1.200048 21.987255 117.442719 0.0551
Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: PTCF
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/18/09 Time: 02:58
Sample: 1995 2005
Periods included: 11
Cross-sections included: 27
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 286
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 16.85015 14.62986 1.151764 0.2505
FT 1.200048 26.14984 0.045891 0.9634
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.246403 Mean dependent var 17.51353
Adjusted R-squared 0.167539 S.D. dependent var 41.73973
S.E. of regression 38.08305 Akaike info criterion 10.21019
Sum squared resid 374182.1 Schwarz criterion 10.56812
Log likelihood -1432.057 Hannan-Quinn criter. 10.35366
F-statistic 3.124380 Durbin-Watson stat 1.923862
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000001
M. Ozbay, k0804108 76
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test
Equation: MASR_MT_REGRESSION
Test cross-section random effects
Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 0.011773 1 0.9136
** Warning: estimated cross-section random effects variance is zero.
Cross-section random effects test comparisons:
Variable Fixed Random Var(Diff.) Prob.
MT -32.521449 -26.315947 3270.758478 0.9136
Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: MASR
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/19/09 Time: 00:18
Sample: 1995 2005
Periods included: 11
Cross-sections included: 27
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 279
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 26.65071 31.40956 0.848490 0.3970
MT -32.52145 107.9439 -0.301281 0.7634
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.082285 Mean dependent var 17.65635
Adjusted R-squared -0.016433 S.D. dependent var 161.7513
S.E. of regression 163.0749 Akaike info criterion 13.12125
Sum squared resid 6674946. Schwarz criterion 13.48568
Log likelihood -1802.415 Hannan-Quinn criter. 13.26744
F-statistic 0.833537 Durbin-Watson stat 2.583408
Prob(F-statistic) 0.705834
M. Ozbay, k0804108 77
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test
Equation: MT_MASR_REGRESSION
Test cross-section random effects
Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 0.003019 1 0.9562
Cross-section random effects test comparisons:
Variable Fixed Random Var(Diff.) Prob.
MASR -0.000011 -0.000011 0.000000 0.9562
Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: MT
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/19/09 Time: 00:13
Sample: 1995 2005
Periods included: 11
Cross-sections included: 27
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 279
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 0.276763 0.005745 48.17552 0.0000
MASR -1.11E-05 3.69E-05 -0.301281 0.7634
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.280967 Mean dependent var 0.276567
Adjusted R-squared 0.203620 S.D. dependent var 0.106835
S.E. of regression 0.095340 Akaike info criterion -1.767783
Sum squared resid 2.281503 Schwarz criterion -1.403361
Log likelihood 274.6058 Hannan-Quinn criter. -1.621596
F-statistic 3.632583 Durbin-Watson stat 0.699314
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
M. Ozbay, k0804108 78
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test
Equation: MT_MTBV_REGRESSION
Test cross-section random effects
Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 0.061318 1 0.8044
Cross-section random effects test comparisons:
Variable Fixed Random Var(Diff.) Prob.
MTBV -0.001371 -0.001312 0.000000 0.8044
Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: MT
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/19/09 Time: 00:14
Sample: 1995 2005
Periods included: 11
Cross-sections included: 27
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 290
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 0.283577 0.006619 42.84494 0.0000
MTBV -0.001371 0.000649 -2.110442 0.0358
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.291344 Mean dependent var 0.275676
Adjusted R-squared 0.218314 S.D. dependent var 0.105126
S.E. of regression 0.092945 Akaike info criterion -1.822054
Sum squared resid 2.263352 Schwarz criterion -1.467720
Log likelihood 292.1978 Hannan-Quinn criter. -1.680090
F-statistic 3.989401 Durbin-Watson stat 0.728869
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
M. Ozbay, k0804108 79
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test
Equation: MT_PE_REGRESSION
Test cross-section random effects
Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 1.057657 1 0.3038
Cross-section random effects test comparisons:
Variable Fixed Random Var(Diff.) Prob.
PE -0.000194 -0.000147 0.000000 0.3038
Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: MT
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/19/09 Time: 00:15
Sample: 1995 2005
Periods included: 11
Cross-sections included: 27
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 269
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 0.280619 0.006879 40.79179 0.0000
PE -0.000194 0.000147 -1.323876 0.1868
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.296601 Mean dependent var 0.275595
Adjusted R-squared 0.217797 S.D. dependent var 0.106413
S.E. of regression 0.094114 Akaike info criterion -1.790362
Sum squared resid 2.134632 Schwarz criterion -1.416191
Log likelihood 268.8037 Hannan-Quinn criter. -1.640094
F-statistic 3.763784 Durbin-Watson stat 0.685074
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
M. Ozbay, k0804108 80
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test
Equation: MT_PTCF_REGRESSION
Test cross-section random effects
Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 1.426941 1 0.2323
Cross-section random effects test comparisons:
Variable Fixed Random Var(Diff.) Prob.
PTCF -0.000288 -0.000238 0.000000 0.2323
Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: MT
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/19/09 Time: 00:16
Sample: 1995 2005
Periods included: 11
Cross-sections included: 27
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 286
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 0.281178 0.006152 45.70623 0.0000
PTCF -0.000288 0.000153 -1.883119 0.0608
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.287826 Mean dependent var 0.276129
Adjusted R-squared 0.213296 S.D. dependent var 0.105572
S.E. of regression 0.093638 Akaike info criterion -1.805980
Sum squared resid 2.262184 Schwarz criterion -1.448051
Log likelihood 286.2551 Hannan-Quinn criter. -1.662511
F-statistic 3.861895 Durbin-Watson stat 0.722808
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
M. Ozbay, k0804108 81
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test
Equation: MTBV_MT_REGRESSION
Test cross-section random effects
Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 0.002175 1 0.9628
Cross-section random effects test comparisons:
Variable Fixed Random Var(Diff.) Prob.
MT -12.195584 -12.258723 1.832521 0.9628
Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: MTBV
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/19/09 Time: 00:19
Sample: 1995 2005
Periods included: 11
Cross-sections included: 27
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 290
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 9.127016 1.674169 5.451671 0.0000
MT -12.19558 5.778687 -2.110442 0.0358
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.402613 Mean dependent var 5.764990
Adjusted R-squared 0.341050 S.D. dependent var 10.80039
S.E. of regression 8.767295 Akaike info criterion 7.271501
Sum squared resid 20138.75 Schwarz criterion 7.625834
Log likelihood -1026.368 Hannan-Quinn criter. 7.413464
F-statistic 6.539882 Durbin-Watson stat 1.737131
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
M. Ozbay, k0804108 82
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test
Equation: MUL_REGRESSION
Test cross-section random effects
Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 2.732345 4 0.6036
Cross-section random effects test comparisons:
Variable Fixed Random Var(Diff.) Prob.
MASR 0.000034 0.000026 0.000000 0.2981
MTBV -0.003534 -0.003189 0.000000 0.2984
PE -0.000075 -0.000024 0.000000 0.2854
PTCF -0.000240 -0.000202 0.000000 0.3133
Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: MT
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/19/09 Time: 00:10
Sample: 1995 2005
Periods included: 11
Cross-sections included: 27
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 253
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 0.299281 0.008821 33.93013 0.0000
MASR 3.36E-05 3.91E-05 0.858145 0.3917
MTBV -0.003534 0.001156 -3.057372 0.0025
PE -7.54E-05 0.000201 -0.374987 0.7080
PTCF -0.000240 0.000175 -1.371469 0.1716
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.336864 Mean dependent var 0.277000
Adjusted R-squared 0.247251 S.D. dependent var 0.109033
S.E. of regression 0.094599 Akaike info criterion -1.764002
Sum squared resid 1.986653 Schwarz criterion -1.331057
Log likelihood 254.1462 Hannan-Quinn criter. -1.589814
F-statistic 3.759099 Durbin-Watson stat 0.811631
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
M. Ozbay, k0804108 83
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test
Equation: PE_MT_REGRESSION
Test cross-section random effects
Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 1.023447 1 0.3117
Cross-section random effects test comparisons:
Variable Fixed Random Var(Diff.) Prob.
MT -37.223207 -28.603204 72.602141 0.3117
Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: PE
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/19/09 Time: 00:21
Sample: 1995 2005
Periods included: 11
Cross-sections included: 27
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 269
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 36.15704 8.146411 4.438401 0.0000
MT -37.22321 28.11684 -1.323876 0.1868
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.304816 Mean dependent var 25.89850
Adjusted R-squared 0.226932 S.D. dependent var 46.89134
S.E. of regression 41.22888 Akaike info criterion 10.37442
Sum squared resid 409656.7 Schwarz criterion 10.74859
Log likelihood -1367.359 Hannan-Quinn criter. 10.52469
F-statistic 3.913730 Durbin-Watson stat 1.885241
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
M. Ozbay, k0804108 84
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test
Equation: PTCF_MT_REGRESSION
Test cross-section random effects
Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 1.592195 1 0.2070
Cross-section random effects test comparisons:
Variable Fixed Random Var(Diff.) Prob.
MT -47.034728 -36.869200 64.902837 0.2070
Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: PTCF
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/19/09 Time: 00:22
Sample: 1995 2005
Periods included: 11
Cross-sections included: 27
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 286
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 30.50119 7.250478 4.206784 0.0000
MT -47.03473 24.97703 -1.883119 0.0608
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.256615 Mean dependent var 17.51353
Adjusted R-squared 0.178819 S.D. dependent var 41.73973
S.E. of regression 37.82415 Akaike info criterion 10.19654
Sum squared resid 369111.8 Schwarz criterion 10.55447
Log likelihood -1430.106 Hannan-Quinn criter. 10.34001
F-statistic 3.298557 Durbin-Watson stat 1.947874
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
M. Ozbay, k0804108 85
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test
Equation: MASR_OT_REGRESSION
Test cross-section random effects
Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 0.650436 1 0.4200
** Warning: estimated cross-section random effects variance is zero.
Cross-section random effects test comparisons:
Variable Fixed Random Var(Diff.) Prob.
OT -42.083668 -8.922780 1690.626689 0.4200
Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: MASR
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/19/09 Time: 00:34
Sample: 1995 2005
Periods included: 11
Cross-sections included: 27
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 279
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 30.98191 31.82625 0.973470 0.3313
OT -42.08367 95.66713 -0.439897 0.6604
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.082661 Mean dependent var 17.65635
Adjusted R-squared -0.016017 S.D. dependent var 161.7513
S.E. of regression 163.0415 Akaike info criterion 13.12084
Sum squared resid 6672216. Schwarz criterion 13.48527
Log likelihood -1802.358 Hannan-Quinn criter. 13.26703
F-statistic 0.837682 Durbin-Watson stat 2.586945
Prob(F-statistic) 0.700141
M. Ozbay, k0804108 86
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test
Equation: MTBV_OT_REGRESSION
Test cross-section random effects
Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 0.355318 1 0.5511
Cross-section random effects test comparisons:
Variable Fixed Random Var(Diff.) Prob.
OT -15.029800 -14.506634 0.770303 0.5511
Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: MTBV
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/19/09 Time: 00:37
Sample: 1995 2005
Periods included: 11
Cross-sections included: 27
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 290
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 10.52335 1.686241 6.240715 0.0000
OT -15.02980 5.076014 -2.960945 0.0033
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.412129 Mean dependent var 5.764990
Adjusted R-squared 0.351547 S.D. dependent var 10.80039
S.E. of regression 8.697185 Akaike info criterion 7.255443
Sum squared resid 19817.95 Schwarz criterion 7.609776
Log likelihood -1024.039 Hannan-Quinn criter. 7.397406
F-statistic 6.802826 Durbin-Watson stat 1.795466
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
M. Ozbay, k0804108 87
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test
Equation: MUL_REGRESSION
Test cross-section random effects
Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 8.436494 4 0.0768
Cross-section random effects test comparisons:
Variable Fixed Random Var(Diff.) Prob.
MASR 0.000049 0.000036 0.000000 0.2148
MTBV -0.005532 -0.004430 0.000000 0.0152
PE 0.000181 0.000182 0.000000 0.9925
PTCF -0.000528 -0.000446 0.000000 0.1101
Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: OT
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/19/09 Time: 00:29
Sample: 1995 2005
Periods included: 11
Cross-sections included: 27
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 253
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 0.345402 0.009679 35.68432 0.0000
MASR 4.86E-05 4.29E-05 1.131530 0.2591
MTBV -0.005532 0.001269 -4.360550 0.0000
PE 0.000181 0.000221 0.821355 0.4123
PTCF -0.000528 0.000192 -2.745335 0.0065
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.287869 Mean dependent var 0.315217
Adjusted R-squared 0.191635 S.D. dependent var 0.115461
S.E. of regression 0.103810 Akaike info criterion -1.578167
Sum squared resid 2.392375 Schwarz criterion -1.145222
Log likelihood 230.6381 Hannan-Quinn criter. -1.403978
F-statistic 2.991349 Durbin-Watson stat 0.856157
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000002
M. Ozbay, k0804108 88
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test
Equation: PE_OT_REGRESSION
Test cross-section random effects
Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 0.010507 1 0.9184
Cross-section random effects test comparisons:
Variable Fixed Random Var(Diff.) Prob.
OT -17.035607 -17.633712 34.046360 0.9184
Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: PE
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/19/09 Time: 00:39
Sample: 1995 2005
Periods included: 11
Cross-sections included: 27
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 269
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 31.24587 8.231812 3.795747 0.0002
OT -17.03561 24.96528 -0.682372 0.4957
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.301110 Mean dependent var 25.89850
Adjusted R-squared 0.222812 S.D. dependent var 46.89134
S.E. of regression 41.33861 Akaike info criterion 10.37973
Sum squared resid 411840.2 Schwarz criterion 10.75391
Log likelihood -1368.074 Hannan-Quinn criter. 10.53000
F-statistic 3.845658 Durbin-Watson stat 1.878133
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
M. Ozbay, k0804108 89
Correlated Random Effects - Hausman Test
Equation: PTCF_OT_REGRESSION
Test cross-section random effects
Test Summary Chi-Sq. Statistic Chi-Sq. d.f. Prob.
Cross-section random 0.963555 1 0.3263
Cross-section random effects test comparisons:
Variable Fixed Random Var(Diff.) Prob.
OT -62.068768 -56.826024 28.525986 0.3263
Cross-section random effects test equation:
Dependent Variable: PTCF
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 08/19/09 Time: 00:42
Sample: 1995 2005
Periods included: 11
Cross-sections included: 27
Total panel (unbalanced) observations: 286
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 37.19486 7.304107 5.092321 0.0000
OT -62.06877 21.94735 -2.828076 0.0051
Effects Specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared 0.269057 Mean dependent var 17.51353
Adjusted R-squared 0.192563 S.D. dependent var 41.73973
S.E. of regression 37.50629 Akaike info criterion 10.17967
Sum squared resid 362934.2 Schwarz criterion 10.53760
Log likelihood -1427.692 Hannan-Quinn criter. 10.32314
F-statistic 3.517352 Durbin-Watson stat 1.941646
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000