The Original Turtle Trading Rules

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The Original Turtle Trading Rules

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The Original Turtle Trading Rules. Background.  Richard Dennis, set up a group of 13 people and tranned them about trading stock market (year 1989). Two months later after done with tranning, Dennis funded each of people with $500,000 to $2,000,000. Background. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of The Original Turtle Trading Rules

Page 1: The Original Turtle Trading Rules

The Original Turtle Trading Rules

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Background Richard Dennis, set up a group of 13

people and tranned them about trading stock market (year 1989).

Two months later after done with tranning, Dennis funded each of people with $500,000 to $2,000,000

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Background

Over next four years, they earned an average annual compound rate of return of 80%

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1. A Complete Trading SystemSystem provides answer for trading

System follows a set of rulesNo human emotion involves in trading

Buy

Sell

Buy

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2. Know what to buy and sellThe Turtles traded all liquid U.S markets

except the grains (small contracts)and the meats(a corruption problem).

Industries Aerospace & Defense Chemicals Exchange Traded Funds Oil, Gas &

Energy Agriculture, Paper &Packaging Clean Tech Food Manufacturing & Products Publishing& Media Automotive Closed End Funds & Investment Companies Healthcare & Pharmaceutical Real Estate Banks, Financial Services & Insurance Computers, Technology & Internet Industrial & Manufacturing Telecommunications Biotechnology Consumer & Retail Products Leisure & EntertainmentTransportation Building & Construction Distr. Unit Trusts & FundsMetals & Mining Utilities Business & Support Services Electronics & Engineering

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3. Position Sizing True Range = Maximum(H-L,H-

PDC,PDC-L) where H - Current High

L - Current Low PDC - Previous Day's Close

N = (19 X PDN + TR)/20 where PDN - Previous Day's N TR - Current Day's True Range

Dollar Volatility AdjustmentDollar Volatility = N * Dollars per Point

Unit Size = 1% of Account / Market Dollar Volatility

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3. Position Sizing

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3. Position Sizinghttp://www.turtletrades.com/calculate-N.php?thesymbol=MSFT

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3. Position SizingLevel Type Maximum Unit1 Single Market 4

Units2 Closely Correlated Market 6 Units3 Loosely Correlated Market 10 Units4 Single Direction - Long or Short 12 Units

Single Market

Closely Correlated Market -- heating oil and crude oil; gold and silver

Loosely Correlated Market -- gold and copper ; silver and copper

Single Direction

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3. Position SizingAdjusting Trading Size The Turtle were

instructed to decreased the size of account by 20% if we went down 10%

Trading $1,000,000 -> account went down

(10%) $100,000 = left $900,000 Next Trading we have $800,000 -> account

went down (10%) $80,000 = left 720,000 Next Trading we have $640,000

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4. Entries System 1 - A short term system based on a 20-day

breakout. System 2 - A simpler long-term system based on a 55-

days breakout.System 1 Entry Price > average 20-day high = buy one unit (long

position) Price < average 20-day low = sell one unit (short

position)System 2 Entry Price > average 55-day high = buy one unit (long

position) Price < average 55-day low = sell one unit (short

position)

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4. Entries

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5. Stops"There are old traders; and there are bold traders; but

there are no old bold traders" Traders that don't use stops go broke.

Since N = 1% of Account Equity , So the maximum stop would be 2% (2N)

For Example Crude Oil

N = 1.20 55 days breakout = 28.30

Entry Price Stop

First Unit 28.30 27.70

Second Unit 28.90 27.70

Third Unit 29.50 27.70

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5. StopsN = 1.20 55 days breakout = 28.30

Entry Price Stop

First Unit 28.30 27.70

Second Unit 28.90 27.70

Third Unit 29.50 28.90

Fourth Unit 30.10 29.50

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5. Stops

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6. ExitsThe system 1 exit = 10 days low/high for

long positions The system 2 exit = 20 days low/high for

long positions

“Waiting for a 10 or 20 days new low can often mean watching 20%, 40%

even 100% of significant profits evaporate”

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7. Tacticslimit orders is better than market orders-offer a

chance for better fills and less slippage bid price > ask price = tradingFast MarketA market can move thousands of dollars per

contract in a few minutes - do not panic and wait for the market to trade

Simultaneous Entry SignalsIf a market occurs the stretch of a few hours ,

take the trade as they came.Buy Strength and Sell Weaknessuse Visual examination

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Today

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Testing

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Testing

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Testing

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Testing

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Testing