The Nexus Between Energy, Food, and Water Security in the Arabian Gulf Dr. Jean-Marc Rickli...
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Transcript of The Nexus Between Energy, Food, and Water Security in the Arabian Gulf Dr. Jean-Marc Rickli...
- Slide 1
- The Nexus Between Energy, Food, and Water Security in the Arabian Gulf Dr. Jean-Marc Rickli Assistant Professor Department of Defence Studies, Kings College, London Joaan Bin Jassim Joint Command and Staff College, Doha
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- Structure of the Presentation 1.Traditional determinants of energy security 2.New dynamics affecting energy security 3.Energy consumption patterns in the Gulf 4.Water security 5.Food security 6.Conclusions 2
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- Energy Security 3
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- Primary Oil and Gas Deposits in the Persian Gulf and Caspian Sea Basins 4 Source: petroleuminsights.blogspot.ch
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- Shipping Lanes, Strategic Passages and Oil Reserves in the Middle East 5 Source: Energy Information Administration, World Oil Transit Chokepoints & BP Statistical Review of World Energy.
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- Crude Exports in 2019 and Growth in 2013-19 for Key Trade Routes (millions barrels per day) 6 Source: International Energy Agency (2014)
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- Oil and Gas Dependence of GCC Economies in 2010 Source: IMF 2012 and Woertz 2013 Shares in %
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- Chinese String of Pearls Network 8
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- GCC Population Evolution
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- Population of the UAE 10 Source: World Bank
- Slide 11
- GDP per Capita v.s. Energy Intensity Source: Future Outlook of Desalination in the Gulf, Saif 2012
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- GCC Electricity Consumption per Head 12 Source: Economist Intelligence Unit
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- Electricity Demand Forecast for Abu Dhabi (diversified) 13 Source: ADWEC
- Slide 14
- Total Energy Consumption in the GCC Source: Intelligence Economic Unit
- Slide 15
- Difference Between the Natural Gas Consumption and Production for some GCC States 15 Source: BP
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- Energy Production and Consumption in Saudi Arabia 16 Source: US Energy Information Administration
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- Oil Price and Breakeven Prices
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- Energy Dependence Source: ESIA 2012
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- Water Demand in Selected GCC Countries Source: Economist Intelligence Unit
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- Cumulative Installed Desalination Capacity in the Gulf since 1970 Source: Future Outlook of Desalination in the Gulf, Saif 2012
- Slide 23
- Arabian Gulf Morphology 23 Source: Gulf 2000 Project, Columbia University
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- GCC Food Imports 2007-2020 Source: Economist Intelligence Unit
- Slide 25
- GCC Trade Dependencies in Cereals, 2000 and 2010 Source: Chatham House 2013
- Slide 26
- Choke-Points and Strategic Infrastructure in GCC Food Security
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- Vulnerability of MENA Countries to Food Price Spikes Source: Chatham House 2013
- Slide 28
- Targets of GCC Agricultural Investments Ranked by Area Acquired, 2006-12 Source: Chatham House 2013
- Slide 29
- Change in Maximum Catch Potential from 2005 to 2055
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- Conclusions 1.Dramatic rise in energy-food-water consumption in the Gulf in the near future 2.Traditional energy exports: protection of SLOC 3.New energy distribution patterns: new maritime actors in the Gulf, navies as tool of power, protections of SLOC 4.Increased volume of desalinated water: prevention of pollution, protection of critical infrastructure, prevention of conflicts over water 5.Increased reliance on food imports: protection of SLOC 30
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- 31 Many thanks for your attention [email protected] Twitter: Dr_JMRickli