The new local paradigmThe new local paradigm(about developing knowledge and (about developing knowledge and

consciousness locally – with an outlook consciousness locally – with an outlook on the tasks of European states)on the tasks of European states)

Csaba VargaCsaba Vargaresearcher of social theory, researcher of social theory,

metaphilosopher,metaphilosopher,

h. academic readerh. academic reader President of Institute for Strategic President of Institute for Strategic

ResearchResearch

IntroductionIntroductionThe Hungarian and Central-European The Hungarian and Central-European breakages, pains and growing hunger breakages, pains and growing hunger for future inspire me. (strong inner and for future inspire me. (strong inner and outer motivations)outer motivations)Instead of helplessness, lack of ideas and Instead of helplessness, lack of ideas and affected saunter in the present – I choose to affected saunter in the present – I choose to understand the new world, and to declare a understand the new world, and to declare a new programnew programI am sociologist by qualification, a I am sociologist by qualification, a philosopher by inner makeup, i have philosopher by inner makeup, i have been leading a Hungarian R+D institute been leading a Hungarian R+D institute for one and a half decade.for one and a half decade.We have developed an overall transdisciplinary We have developed an overall transdisciplinary theory (metaphilosophy), and simultaneously theory (metaphilosophy), and simultaneously have been initiating and leading local have been initiating and leading local developmental model experiments.developmental model experiments.

What kind of changes are there?What kind of changes are there?

„„new table” new table” –– a new concept of mattera new concept of matter„„new Milky Way”new Milky Way” – a new view of Cosmos – a new view of Cosmos„„new God” new God” – new view of god– new view of god„„new Mrs Smith”new Mrs Smith” – new view of man – new view of man„„new degree” new degree” – new view of knowledge– new view of knowledge„„new factory” new factory” – a new view of economy– a new view of economy„„new job” new job” – new view of labor– new view of labor„„new state” new state” – a new view of state– a new view of state„„new village” new village” – a new view of society– a new view of society„„new realization” – new view of new realization” – new view of consciousnessconsciousness„„new horizon” new horizon” – a new vision of the – a new vision of the futurefuture

Hungarian development modelsHungarian development models

The Institute for Strategic Research that i The Institute for Strategic Research that i represent has made complex, innovative, represent has made complex, innovative, knowledge society age strategies: four knowledge society age strategies: four regional, nine county area and nearly twenty regional, nine county area and nearly twenty for small regions. Between 1999 and the end for small regions. Between 1999 and the end of 2005 of 2005 A pilot project: Aba village (4500 occupants) A pilot project: Aba village (4500 occupants) and the small region of Sárvíz (11 townships)and the small region of Sárvíz (11 townships)Projects (mayors’ hunger strike, digital city Projects (mayors’ hunger strike, digital city and small region strategy, Door to the south and small region strategy, Door to the south project, secondary education of arts, project, secondary education of arts, intelligent „residental area”, local social intelligent „residental area”, local social contract and civil magistrate, etc.)contract and civil magistrate, etc.)

Contents →Contents →Commencing theoremsThree theoretical theoremsThree theoretical theoremsThe Hungarian „future vision”New local paradigmKnowledge- and/or consciousness developing societyLocal development modelsIf we have the courage…MessageHungarian future vision, a postscript

Commencing theoremsCommencing theorems↻↻

Future - is it a secret? Future - is it a secret? We are not any more restricted to We are not any more restricted to interpret the future (only) on the interpret the future (only) on the grounds of normal science. grounds of normal science. There is not only one future, but more There is not only one future, but more (parallel) futures, as there are more (parallel) futures, as there are more present todaypresent todayFuture is a network of alternatives, not Future is a network of alternatives, not necessarily of those scenarios we know necessarily of those scenarios we know today. today. Future is going on not merely on the Future is going on not merely on the rigid tracks of past and present, but it rigid tracks of past and present, but it is a creation of our consciousness at is a creation of our consciousness at least 50%.least 50%.

Future - is it a secret?Future - is it a secret?(2)The future is (possibly) determined, The future is (possibly) determined, but free will was counted in as well. but free will was counted in as well. Future can not be seen through Future can not be seen through colonialist view any more, it can only colonialist view any more, it can only be post colonialistbe post colonialistThe future we see today is differs in The future we see today is differs in much more than anytime before. much more than anytime before. Limit to the future is – more than the Limit to the future is – more than the external conditions – our limited external conditions – our limited knowledgeknowledgeFuture depends on, which future Future depends on, which future visions individuals and communities visions individuals and communities „dream” or do not dream. „dream” or do not dream.

New planning technology (2005)New planning technology (2005)In a European state the complex society and knowledge structure makes it impossible to have only one future visionWithout global and local future visions planning is impossibleFor the time being nor political elite, nor knowledge elite, nor civil elites are not really capable to plan due to lack of worked out future visionsHaving done inter-disciplinary and vision providing research and strategy analysis are essential when planning for the future.

The social conflicts of todayThe social conflicts of todayThe ecology poor - ecology rich The ecology poor - ecology rich (integrated ecological assets (integrated ecological assets distribution)distribution)

Affluent poor - affluent rich (Affluent poor - affluent rich (differences differences inin integrated social capital) integrated social capital)

Power-poor – power rich (integrated Power-poor – power rich (integrated power capital distribution)power capital distribution)

Media-poor - media-rich (differences in Media-poor - media-rich (differences in integrated media-assets, prestige-integrated media-assets, prestige-capital)capital)

New social gaps at the beginning- in New social gaps at the beginning- in the middle of the XXI Centurythe middle of the XXI Century

1. Technology poor – technology rich1. Technology poor – technology rich

2. Information poor – information 2. Information poor – information richrich

3. Knowledge poor – Knowledge rich 3. Knowledge poor – Knowledge rich (culture poor - culture rich)(culture poor - culture rich)

4. Consciousness poor - 4. Consciousness poor - consciousness-richconsciousness-rich

5. God experience poor – God 5. God experience poor – God experience richexperience rich

Three theoretical theoremThree theoretical theoremNew knowledge and new theory of New knowledge and new theory of

knowledgeknowledgeNew future and new future visionNew future and new future vision

New global and local worldNew global and local world

↻↻

New knowledge and new New knowledge and new theory of knowledge theory of knowledge

↻↻

New assumptionsNew assumptionsThe new knowledge is radically different The new knowledge is radically different from what was in the last 300-400 from what was in the last 300-400 years.years.Science develops from normal science to Science develops from normal science to post science.post science.Science, religion and art will be one Science, religion and art will be one againagainFunctions of knowledge have widened Functions of knowledge have widened substantially (becomes personal and substantially (becomes personal and social assets)social assets)The information/knowledge can be The information/knowledge can be exchanged to money/power/prestige and exchanged to money/power/prestige and vice versavice versaNew knowledge about the future and the New knowledge about the future and the paths leading to thempaths leading to them

Dilemmas around knowledgeDilemmas around knowledge

When the new knowledge and thinking When the new knowledge and thinking reaches the people of the street, will the reaches the people of the street, will the world be a better place from it?world be a better place from it?If professional and non professional If professional and non professional knowledge provider will have equal knowledge provider will have equal opportunity, willopportunity, will the institution of the state-the institution of the state-university institution of knowledge break up?university institution of knowledge break up?If all knowledge becomes available digitally If all knowledge becomes available digitally (through media), how knowledge processing (through media), how knowledge processing and interpreting will be possible? and interpreting will be possible? If four hour work of 20-30% of the total If four hour work of 20-30% of the total working age population will be sufficient, will working age population will be sufficient, will people be ready to use the excess time, people be ready to use the excess time, energy for gaining knowledge?energy for gaining knowledge?

Quantum research findingsQuantum research findingsThe observer and the observed are not The observer and the observed are not separable from each otherseparable from each other Matter shows both wave and particle Matter shows both wave and particle behaviorbehaviorLikely events of Quantum processes: Likely events of Quantum processes: probability waves (state vectors) or probability waves (state vectors) or probability networks (EWG-model)probability networks (EWG-model)Super space theory (we live in different, Super space theory (we live in different, parallel worlds) - John A. Wheeler-theoryparallel worlds) - John A. Wheeler-theoryActions and effects at a distanceActions and effects at a distanceOur choice: many universes or one one Our choice: many universes or one one universe with sort of a designer (God)?universe with sort of a designer (God)?Theory of nonlocal hidden variables, even Theory of nonlocal hidden variables, even the implicate order (Bohm-theory)the implicate order (Bohm-theory)

New phenomena on the knowledge New phenomena on the knowledge marketmarket

We are flooded with products of scientific We are flooded with products of scientific knowledge and popular culture to an extent knowledge and popular culture to an extent never seen beforenever seen beforePersonal home pages – may convey Personal home pages – may convey anything to anybodyanything to anybodyFamily and small community self-expression Family and small community self-expression becomes possiblebecomes possibleInstead of the real world a anti world can be Instead of the real world a anti world can be produced by means of the Internet as mediaproduced by means of the Internet as mediaLanguage barriers are disappearing with Language barriers are disappearing with translation software developmentstranslation software developmentsThe individual independently from the state The individual independently from the state and economical help can enter the global and economical help can enter the global society and culturesociety and culture

Dominant types of capitalDominant types of capitalFarmer societyFarmer society

Handcraft societyHandcraft society

Industrial societyIndustrial society

State capitalism State capitalism (socialism)(socialism)

Money capitalismMoney capitalism

Postindustrial Postindustrial societysociety

Information societyInformation society

Knowledge societyKnowledge society

Consciousness Consciousness societysociety

Universal capitalUniversal capital

Creative capital Creative capital (+material capital)(+material capital)

Material capitalMaterial capital

Power capital Power capital (connection capital)(connection capital)

Money capitalMoney capital

Applied intellectual Applied intellectual capitalcapital

Information capital Information capital (+ money capital)(+ money capital)

Knowledge capitalKnowledge capital

Consciousness capitalConsciousness capital

Information and knowledge societyInformation and knowledge society

Information societyInformation society: society of : society of transmitting signs with man made transmitting signs with man made tools, a potential knowledge-society; tools, a potential knowledge-society; ((starting hypotheses of the theory starting hypotheses of the theory about present) only information about present) only information becomes personal-collective capitalbecomes personal-collective capitalKnowledge societyKnowledge society: society of : society of interpreted knowledge systems, interpreted knowledge systems, potential knowledgepotential knowledge symbol society symbol society that with knowledge and - partly – that with knowledge and - partly – with knowledgewith knowledge symbol reconstructs symbol reconstructs society (starting hypotheses of the society (starting hypotheses of the theory about near-future); knowledge theory about near-future); knowledge becomes personal and social capitalbecomes personal and social capital

Knowledge age arriving Knowledge age arriving Before Knowledge centered world model Before Knowledge centered world model

- In the midst of Global Information SocietyIn the midst of Global Information Society- Before consciousness-societyBefore consciousness-society

The quantitative and most of all qualitative The quantitative and most of all qualitative advancement ofadvancement of knowledge – New Science /New knowledge – New Science /New

Theory is bornTheory is bornWithin thirty-fifty years universal knowledge and Within thirty-fifty years universal knowledge and

knowledge utilization of new grade is to expectknowledge utilization of new grade is to expectKnowledge becomes personal assetKnowledge becomes personal asset

- The individual understands and applies New - The individual understands and applies New KnowledgeKnowledge

Knowledge becomes society assetKnowledge becomes society asset- Knowledge society is bornKnowledge society is born

New future and new future New future and new future visionvision

New global and local worldNew global and local world

↻↻

New assumptionsNew assumptionsThe universal-global world is of globThe universal-global world is of glob--local local nature, however also culture plays a nature, however also culture plays a determining roledetermining roleThe universal-global future vision faces both The universal-global future vision faces both dangers and opportunities we never dangers and opportunities we never thought ofthought ofThe universal-global processes have effects The universal-global processes have effects on the future chances of a small European on the future chances of a small European country to an extent never expected country to an extent never expected Whatever the future will be like in the next Whatever the future will be like in the next 25 years, it will be fundamentally different 25 years, it will be fundamentally different „reality” than the „province” present „reality” than the „province” present The future of any country can only be The future of any country can only be interpreted inside a complex global view of interpreted inside a complex global view of the future. the future.

Dilemmas – around theDilemmas – around the futurefutureSupposed we knew (roughly) what future brings, and what kind of future we want (till 2020), how and to what degree do the European countries development plans corresponds to it?If we have no idea of our future whatsoever, nor do we know what we want as a future, what will we build our overall national development conceptions on being aware of the lack of future visionsIf we do know but little about the future, if there is not enough time for thorough preparations, if even the present conceptional complexity is too much for political elite; what can we do?

The economy of todayThe economy of today

In developed parts of Europe Industrial In developed parts of Europe Industrial Age is not an alternative any more, but Age is not an alternative any more, but still not a global failure. still not a global failure. The knowledge age and its economy is The knowledge age and its economy is an alternative, however, it is not a an alternative, however, it is not a global practice, not even in Europe. global practice, not even in Europe. The knowledge based economy basically The knowledge based economy basically could be a society-centered economy could be a society-centered economy (economy returns to society?)(economy returns to society?)Achievement should not be measured in Achievement should not be measured in (or only in) GDP, but in its individual, (or only in) GDP, but in its individual, collective and intellectual usefulnesscollective and intellectual usefulness

The New World until 2020 (1)The New World until 2020 (1)Human knowledge get six times more in

quantity – what does it bring?Post-normal science (New View of Reality, New

View of Consciousness, New View of Man) come into being, but will it be utilized?

At least three-four subsequent rapid technology revolution is to come – changes are unpredictable

The global and Continental societies handle universal ecological and social crises only partially Artificial intelligence can play an exceptional role in digital state, consciousness development, scientific research etc.

The New World until 2020 (2)The New World until 2020 (2)We neither expect the inner disintegration of

Europe nor Europe winning the competition of continents

In European Union is neocapitalism to linger or possibly the first step of knowledge- and consciousness society really will be reached.

For successfully accomplishing daily tasks university degree and a new creative behavior is needed.

The dwellers of our planet possibly reach the new consciousness states.

Man or an intelligent „robot” is going to arrive at Mars and further…

The European man rediscovers its transcendency

The new cyber space alternativesThe new cyber space alternatives(1) New, interactive, global e-government, e-(1) New, interactive, global e-government, e-state to steer human societystate to steer human society(2) Global civil society collective (2) Global civil society collective administration and self arrangementadministration and self arrangement(3) With help of new info communication (3) With help of new info communication networks and services creating „collective networks and services creating „collective intelligence” intelligence” (4) Corresponding to the empowerment theory (4) Corresponding to the empowerment theory world citizens participate in the world citizens participate in the communication dynamically and supervise the communication dynamically and supervise the media and the statemedia and the state(5) As self organizing becomes widespread (5) As self organizing becomes widespread local participants create a new civil society local participants create a new civil society network that is both global and national local.network that is both global and national local.The UNESCO programme advancing: different The UNESCO programme advancing: different combinations of the five alternatives may combinations of the five alternatives may evolve. evolve.

New global and local worldNew global and local world the new world modelthe new world model

↻↻

New assumptionsNew assumptionsOld industrial (fordist, further postfordist) Old industrial (fordist, further postfordist) world model and its way of thinking (normal-world model and its way of thinking (normal-science) has come to an endscience) has come to an endOne of the new (information society) world One of the new (information society) world model is not sufficient alone – it is a post-model is not sufficient alone – it is a post-information ageinformation ageSustainable development world model alone – Sustainable development world model alone – so it seems - is not sustainableso it seems - is not sustainableIs Europe desperately experimenting to Is Europe desperately experimenting to integrate and revive the existing models? integrate and revive the existing models? (See: i2010 strategy)(See: i2010 strategy)However modernization models are However modernization models are undergoing a paradigm shift, and post-undergoing a paradigm shift, and post-modernization models have arrived. modernization models have arrived.

Continental dilemmasContinental dilemmasAssuming that in the years of 10s the knowledge-centered world model gets dominant, is it acceptable that a European Country in its strategy plan focuses not on knowledge ”production” and knowledge use?If the European Union neither by 2010 nor by 2015 will not be or only partly will be sustainable and innovative knowledge centered continent, then how will Hungary or another European country react to this overwhelming delay? If in the 10’s another new dominant world model is to expect, how can that be explored and how can we be prepared?

New globalizationNew globalizationThe new concept of the new The new concept of the new globalizationglobalizationGlobalization and localization Globalization and localization simultaneously (glocalization)simultaneously (glocalization)Globalization functionalityGlobalization functionality

substantialitysubstantiality (standardization)(standardization)

Quantitative and qualitative Quantitative and qualitative globalizationglobalizationFirst half of the 21. century: a glob-First half of the 21. century: a glob-local worldlocal world

The nation in the information ageThe nation in the information ageNew intermediary role between the New intermediary role between the global and local worldglobal and local worldThe method is not ruling, but not The method is not ruling, but not absolute self surrenderabsolute self surrenderNation is an issue as a knowledge Nation is an issue as a knowledge space and not as a statespace and not as a stateTo preserve a nation is possible not as To preserve a nation is possible not as a state, but as a knowledge/culture-a state, but as a knowledge/culture-nationnationThe key requirement for a nation to The key requirement for a nation to survive is the digitalizing all national survive is the digitalizing all national value/knowledge/science.value/knowledge/science.

Dominant driving forcesDominant driving forcesFarmer societyFarmer society

Handcraft societyHandcraft society

Industrial societyIndustrial society

State capitalism State capitalism (socialism)(socialism)

Money capitalismMoney capitalism

Postindustrial Postindustrial societysociety

Information societyInformation society

Knowledge societyKnowledge society

Consciousness Consciousness societysociety

Nature and GodNature and GodMaterial and Material and beautybeautyMoney and Money and innovationinnovationMaterial and powerMaterial and powerMoney prestigeMoney prestigeTechnology and Technology and creativitycreativityInformationInformation

and technologyand technologyKnowledgeKnowledgeConsciousness Consciousness statestate

Models of modernizationModels of modernizationTraditional models of modernizationsTraditional models of modernizations

Resource-controlledResource-controlledInvestment-controlledInvestment-controlledInnovation-centeredInnovation-centeredInformation-basedInformation-basedetc.etc.

Post-modernization models (knowledge Post-modernization models (knowledge age? Quantum age?)age? Quantum age?)knowledge-centeredknowledge-centeredNew model of democracyNew model of democracyConsciousness-controlledConsciousness-controlledArtificial intelligence controlledArtificial intelligence controlledIntegrated new modelsIntegrated new modelsetc.etc.

Modernization crisis expected Modernization crisis expected date: 2008-2009date: 2008-2009

At the end of the Prodi-Barroso era it is At the end of the Prodi-Barroso era it is likely to become clear: Europe is still likely to become clear: Europe is still behindbehindThe main cause of trouble is not the The main cause of trouble is not the personality or preparedness of personality or preparedness of politicianspoliticiansThe cause of failure: the normal science The cause of failure: the normal science rational-positivist view of present/future rational-positivist view of present/future does not offer fit grounds for making up does not offer fit grounds for making up leeway. leeway. Additional symptom of the crises: the Additional symptom of the crises: the alternative movements majority has no alternative movements majority has no better solution eitherbetter solution either

New local paradigmNew local paradigm

↻↻

New assumptionsNew assumptionsLocal apathy and powerlessness is not to Local apathy and powerlessness is not to linger for decades in Europe linger for decades in Europe In the universal-global competition Europe In the universal-global competition Europe with its plus in knowledge and culture has with its plus in knowledge and culture has good chancesgood chancesOne tool to find ourselves ( to fall into line as One tool to find ourselves ( to fall into line as well) is to reorganize and re-think the well) is to reorganize and re-think the European localities.European localities.The time of local model experiments has The time of local model experiments has arrivedarrivedThe two evident source of local developments The two evident source of local developments is: municipality and local civil societyis: municipality and local civil societyHowever both must be filled with knowledge However both must be filled with knowledge and new consciousness – preferably with own and new consciousness – preferably with own willwill

Dilemmas around localityDilemmas around locality

Are the majority of localities able to cut Are the majority of localities able to cut themselves adrift from global field?themselves adrift from global field?Is local autonomy basically depends on Is local autonomy basically depends on financial development sources or/and used financial development sources or/and used knowledge? knowledge? Or neither of the two, but another third Or neither of the two, but another third one is determining local innovation and one is determining local innovation and creativity?creativity?Is the government or/and municipality the Is the government or/and municipality the key factor to strengthening localities?key factor to strengthening localities?Or neither of the two, but the civil society Or neither of the two, but the civil society and the capable knowledge citizen?and the capable knowledge citizen?

New localization theoriesNew localization theories

The concept of localization – The concept of localization – subordinating localitysubordinating localityLocalization scenes: region, county, Localization scenes: region, county, small region, places (town and small region, places (town and village)village)The global world basic unit and The global world basic unit and counter balance (autonomy-counter balance (autonomy-paradigm)paradigm)The first stage of new societyThe first stage of new societyVirtual locality – quality locality?Virtual locality – quality locality?Localization and new communities, Localization and new communities, new congregationsnew congregations

Locality structureLocality structure

Upper world of life (region, county)Upper world of life (region, county)Lower world of lifeLower world of life

Surrounding world Surrounding world ((smallsmall region, region, places)places)

World at hand (family, individual)World at hand (family, individual)Interiorized world of life (a person’s Interiorized world of life (a person’s Superego)Superego)Globalization effects – the reactions of Globalization effects – the reactions of localizationlocalizationThe information and knowledge access The information and knowledge access role in place conformationrole in place conformation

Knowledge- and/or Knowledge- and/or consciousness developing consciousness developing

societysociety

↻↻

SuppositionsSuppositionsUntil 2020 the only optimal future choice is Until 2020 the only optimal future choice is the new (knowledge- and also partly the new (knowledge- and also partly consciousness-development centered) consciousness-development centered) alternativealternativeKnowledge development incentive should Knowledge development incentive should be first priority already today. (The R+D in be first priority already today. (The R+D in wider sense)wider sense)Hungary and every European country Hungary and every European country remains a compound alternative country remains a compound alternative country within the next ten years – there is no one within the next ten years – there is no one good solutiongood solutionThe planning and grounding of state The planning and grounding of state institutions for consciousness research and institutions for consciousness research and development should begin (preparations)development should begin (preparations)

Dilemmas – timeDilemmas – timeIf the goals of information society are If the goals of information society are too far reaching and too complicated too far reaching and too complicated for many yet, is it premature for the for many yet, is it premature for the dominant political elite ?dominant political elite ?Whether the current European state Whether the current European state strategies priorities (investment in strategies priorities (investment in humans, economy, environment), the humans, economy, environment), the programs of the nineties, may become programs of the nineties, may become obsoloteobsolote??If Europe and all its states are If Europe and all its states are preparing not to the alternatives of the preparing not to the alternatives of the 10s; Hungary, for instance, will be 10s; Hungary, for instance, will be stagnating or stay more behind? stagnating or stay more behind?

Consciousness developing society modelConsciousness developing society modelTo accept and apply personal and community To accept and apply personal and community knowledge is the matter of state of mind and knowledge is the matter of state of mind and consciousness developmentconsciousness developmentThe social cohesion, social cooperation is a The social cohesion, social cooperation is a question of the quality of consciousness as wellquestion of the quality of consciousness as wellStrengthening of European, national and local Strengthening of European, national and local identity depends first of all on individual mind identity depends first of all on individual mind and consciousnessand consciousnessPersonal and community health is determined Personal and community health is determined basically by purposeful developing of basically by purposeful developing of consciousness/self consciousnessconsciousness/self consciousnessTherefore we need a society (and society Therefore we need a society (and society communication) model that promotes communication) model that promotes development/self development of development/self development of consciousnessconsciousness

Local development models

↻↻

Knowledge regions, Knowledge regions, intelligent regionsintelligent regions

Regional realization of information or Regional realization of information or knowledge society programmes, the knowledge society programmes, the

knowledge based economy and knowledge based economy and society ordered, concentrated society ordered, concentrated

establishment in given counties, or establishment in given counties, or regions, in other words, the intensive regions, in other words, the intensive creation of intelligent life conditions, creation of intelligent life conditions,

e-commerce getting dominant, e-commerce getting dominant, changeover to digital public changeover to digital public administration and the value administration and the value

preserver and value producer content preserver and value producer content providing becoming common.providing becoming common.

Intelligent small regionIntelligent small region

If an information society region is an If an information society region is an intelligent bridge, than the intelligent intelligent bridge, than the intelligent small region is a creative center of small region is a creative center of activityactivityIt is the life world changing and It is the life world changing and locality affirmative combination of locality affirmative combination of global compulsory and local unique global compulsory and local unique factorsfactorsThe birth pace of the intelligent life The birth pace of the intelligent life worldworldAn ongoing (knowledge based) re-An ongoing (knowledge based) re-organization of local society, that is, organization of local society, that is, the local road to knowledge societythe local road to knowledge society

What constitutes an intelligent region?What constitutes an intelligent region?

1.1. The realization of individual and community The realization of individual and community access (broadband, fast) fullyaccess (broadband, fast) fully

2.2. The continuous adaptation of technology The continuous adaptation of technology revolution achievements. revolution achievements.

3. K3. Knowledge based economynowledge based economy, the knowledge , the knowledge market maturationmarket maturation and the R+D coming to and the R+D coming to

the frontthe front4. Giving priority to the digital content industry 4. Giving priority to the digital content industry

and its development – the knew knowledge and its development – the knew knowledge universalizationuniversalization

5. Realization of the local5. Realization of the local knowledge centered knowledge centered civilcivil society society and cohesion and cohesion

6. The successful handling of social and 6. The successful handling of social and information inequalitiesinformation inequalities

What constitutes an intelligent region?What constitutes an intelligent region?

7. 7. Virtual self-government in regions and in Virtual self-government in regions and in placesplaces

8. The transformation of lower and intermediate 8. The transformation of lower and intermediate levels of public administration, levels of public administration, e-governmente-government

9. Local e-democracy, e-plebiscite9. Local e-democracy, e-plebiscite

10. The regional university knowledge centers 10. The regional university knowledge centers gaining strength and lifelong learning gaining strength and lifelong learning

becomes a realitybecomes a reality

11. The growth of regional creation and 11. The growth of regional creation and application of application of new knowledgenew knowledge

What constitutes an intelligent region?What constitutes an intelligent region?

12. Preserving local culture and its presentation 12. Preserving local culture and its presentation on global levelon global level

13. The 13. The regional political-economical elite regional political-economical elite personal preparation to the new erapersonal preparation to the new era

14. The 14. The knowledge citizen lifestyle and life knowledge citizen lifestyle and life quality being commonquality being common

15. A regions/places successful coming into 15. A regions/places successful coming into line and taking part in the continental space line and taking part in the continental space

competitioncompetition

16.16. T The churches, civil organizations and their he churches, civil organizations and their services are changing iservices are changing in n knowledge societyknowledge society

Hungarian local examplesHungarian local examplesSzentlőrinc small region (one town and 19 Szentlőrinc small region (one town and 19 village), disadvantageous situation, there is village), disadvantageous situation, there is no advanced industry, etc. New elements: 1. no advanced industry, etc. New elements: 1. New methodology, 2. Programmes for IT, New methodology, 2. Programmes for IT, information and information society, 3. Nine information and information society, 3. Nine public services, 4. Institute developments, public services, 4. Institute developments, 5. Decision makers training, 6. Lobby-day, 5. Decision makers training, 6. Lobby-day, etc.etc.The Garden of EdenThe Garden of Eden in Zselic in Zselic (22 000 hectare (22 000 hectare of nature conservation area. New projects: of nature conservation area. New projects: 1. Future city as a gr1. Future city as a greeenfield investment, 2. enfield investment, 2. A tourist theme park as well, 3. Sacral A tourist theme park as well, 3. Sacral „„townvillagetownvillage””-structure, 4. 12 „healing--structure, 4. 12 „healing-centre” for body, soul and mind (etc.) in the centre” for body, soul and mind (etc.) in the future city,5. E-tourism center, etc. future city,5. E-tourism center, etc.

Sample developments of new types?Sample developments of new types?Introducing technologies that replace humans Introducing technologies that replace humans substitutes humans (for instance bioinformatics)substitutes humans (for instance bioinformatics)

Making common the use of technologies Making common the use of technologies understanding and applying the energies of understanding and applying the energies of universesuniversesPersonal/collective (and self developing) Personal/collective (and self developing) consciousness becomes the most important drive consciousness becomes the most important drive of economical-social developmentof economical-social development

Digital „government/self-government” with Digital „government/self-government” with the high level application of artificial the high level application of artificial intelligenceintelligence

((Individual and community) Developments taking Individual and community) Developments taking advantage of spiritual resourcesadvantage of spiritual resources

If we have the courageIf we have the courage…… ↻↻

We could realize againWe could realize againMoney is not the solutionMoney is not the solutionPower is utterly incapablePower is utterly incapablePolitics is no more in control of the Politics is no more in control of the processesprocessesNature should not be damaged moreNature should not be damaged moreThe state does not solve the problemsThe state does not solve the problemsWe may leave the Zeitgeist behindWe may leave the Zeitgeist behind as well as wellThe individual is not defenselessThe individual is not defenselessPoverty is not a threatPoverty is not a threatMan can understand much-much moreMan can understand much-much moreSocial cooperation is possibleSocial cooperation is possibleGod loves manGod loves manTHE WORLD IS OURS THE WORLD IS OURS

MessageMessage(but do not take my word for (but do not take my word for

it)it)

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Developments of the Quantum-eraDevelopments of the Quantum-eraAfter the run-down of the modernization models After the run-down of the modernization models of today a quick „leap” to quantum (post-of today a quick „leap” to quantum (post-modernization, post-information) stage may modernization, post-information) stage may comecomeAfter all, In Europe a general development model After all, In Europe a general development model shift may begin and a new thinking trolls may shift may begin and a new thinking trolls may developdevelopIf it does not happen for any reason or late; the If it does not happen for any reason or late; the technical-technological shifts alone may have technical-technological shifts alone may have shocking effectsshocking effectsThe development-research subvention could be The development-research subvention could be at least six to eight at least six to eight --instead of threeinstead of three- % - % ofof national income national income The local regions – joined with the intelligent civil The local regions – joined with the intelligent civil society – can revolutionize the global worldsociety – can revolutionize the global world

Thank you for yourThank you for your attention!attention!

Varga CsabaVarga Csabawww.vargacsaba.huwww.vargacsaba.hu

www.strategiakutato.huwww.strategiakutato.hu

www.inco.huwww.inco.hu

www.evilagonline.huwww.evilagonline.hu

www.metatheory.infowww.metatheory.info

The Hungarian „future vision”The Hungarian „future vision”(postscript)(postscript)

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SuppositionsSuppositionsThe nature of globalization-localization is not The nature of globalization-localization is not well known (but prejudiced) in our country, for well known (but prejudiced) in our country, for this reason it is mostly opposed, and partly this reason it is mostly opposed, and partly because of it we have no vision of the future of because of it we have no vision of the future of global world eitherglobal world eitherThe future vision of Hungary (and/or the The future vision of Hungary (and/or the Hungarian nation) is not worked out , as so many Hungarian nation) is not worked out , as so many times in the last 150 years; Future is more a case times in the last 150 years; Future is more a case of anxiety, bereft of hope, than of positive of anxiety, bereft of hope, than of positive suspense suspense In Hungarian region unique autonomic future In Hungarian region unique autonomic future visions are not born, at the same time in some visions are not born, at the same time in some smaller region they have an astoundingly long smaller region they have an astoundingly long view and act with perspectiveview and act with perspective

DilemmasDilemmasIf presently there is no overall Ha If presently there is no overall Ha Hungarian (Hungarian related) future Hungarian (Hungarian related) future vision and national strategy, keeping vision and national strategy, keeping this lack in mind, the new national this lack in mind, the new national development plan necessarily is coming development plan necessarily is coming into life in vacuum without national into life in vacuum without national consensus?consensus?If the political parties are capable of If the political parties are capable of agreement only in slogans and in a semi agreement only in slogans and in a semi manner, next to the political show-deals manner, next to the political show-deals what further (and more substantive) what further (and more substantive) conceptional and project-producing steps conceptional and project-producing steps are possible in the small amount of time are possible in the small amount of time left?left?

Possible scenariosPossible scenarios(mostly based on normal-science yet)(mostly based on normal-science yet)

Universal scenarios (at least four basic versions)Global scenarios (at least three – in 23 different version)National scenarios (ten alternatives and five scenarios)Local scenarios at home (five alternative – several scenarios)

Alternatives from HungaryAlternatives from Hungary(made in 1998-2000)(made in 1998-2000)

Black (world end) Black (world end) alternativealternativeDark grey (breakdown) Dark grey (breakdown) alternativealternative

Light grey (seesaw) Light grey (seesaw) alternativealternative

Blue (knowledge Blue (knowledge society) alternativesociety) alternative

White (unity creating, White (unity creating, of new consciousness) of new consciousness) alternativealternative

According to According to normal-science’s normal-science’s view of present view of present and futureand future

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Based on the Based on the new paradigms new paradigms of post-normal of post-normal sciencescience

What What are the care the choices hoices ofof Hungary? Hungary?

Wily-nilly accepts the present future vision of the Wily-nilly accepts the present future vision of the European Union and adjust its new national European Union and adjust its new national development plan accordinglydevelopment plan accordinglyRemains in the European fold and only builds in Remains in the European fold and only builds in hided new ( and different) alteration possibilities hided new ( and different) alteration possibilities only. (like at operational level)only. (like at operational level)Also prepares for not having other possibility Also prepares for not having other possibility then a paradigm shift at the end of the Barroso-then a paradigm shift at the end of the Barroso-era (2009-2010?)era (2009-2010?)Consciously and openly includes the projects Consciously and openly includes the projects meeting the demands of the 10’s and 20’s in the meeting the demands of the 10’s and 20’s in the national development plan of the new (dating national development plan of the new (dating from 2007) period. from 2007) period.