The Middle Class Is Key to a Better-Educated Nation
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Transcript of The Middle Class Is Key to a Better-Educated Nation
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The Middle Class Is Keyto a Better-Educated Nation
A Stronger Middle Class Is Associatedwith Better Educational Outcomes
David Madland and Nick Bunker November 2011
www.americanprogressaction.o
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The Middle Class Is Keyto a Better-Educated NationA Stronger Middle Class Is Associated
with Better Educational Outcomes
David Madland and Nick Bunker November 2011
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1 Introduction and summary
4 The academic research
4 Linking a strong middle class to better education
6 Why a strong middle class boosts achievement
6 School-funding connections
7 Nonschool-funding connections
9 Results
11 Conclusion
12 Appendix
12 Data
13 Models
17 About the authors
18 Endnotes
Contents
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1 c am pg a Fu |t Ml cl i Ky B -eu n
Introduction and summary
Educaion is key o Americas economic success as echnological change and
global compeiion increase exponenially. Unorunaely, where once our naion
was aop he world academically, oday American sudens rank in he middle o
he pack. Fieen counries now have higher college graduaion raes han us, and
our average es scores are lower han hose o no jus peer counries bu also less-
wealhy places such as Slovenia and Poland.1
No surprisingly, business leaders and he American public are concerned abouhe qualiy o American educaion.2 Tere are myriad proposals abou how o
improve he U.S. educaion sysem. Ye a criical bu oen overlooked reason or
our poor educaional achievemen is he decline o he American middle class
over he pas our decades.
America oday is less o a middle-class sociey as he wealhy capure mos o he
economys gains. Te op 1 percens share o income reached 23.5 percen in
2007, he las year beore he Grea Recession, up rom 9.12 percen in 1974. Over
his same ime period, he share o income going o he middle class, dened as
he middle 60 percen o he populaion, ell o 46.9 percen rom 52.2 percen,
and he share o income going o he botom 20 percen sayed a roughly 3 per-
cen, declining by less han 1 percenage poin.3
When poor and lower-income Americans can work heir way ino he middle
class, and when he middle class sees is share o income shrinking, ha harms our
naions educaional achievemen in several ways. Socieies wih a srong middle
class make greaer invesmens in educaionas described in deail and quani-
ed in our companion repor, Middle Class Socieies Inves More in Public
Educaionand all else being equal, higher levels o spending end o booseducaional perormance.4
A he amily level, people living in srong middle-class socieies are more likely o
ge involved in making heir childrens schools beter, pushing o raise educaional
http://www.americanprogressaction.org/issues/2011/11/middleclass_education_spending.htmlhttp://www.americanprogressaction.org/issues/2011/11/middleclass_education_spending.htmlhttp://www.americanprogressaction.org/issues/2011/11/middleclass_education_spending.htmlhttp://www.americanprogressaction.org/issues/2011/11/middleclass_education_spending.html -
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sandards, and puting pressure on school adminisraors o re or ranser bad
eachers.5 And some o he culure and behaviors ha middle-class parens pass on
o heir children abou educaion, such as valuing school achievemen and atend-
ing school, are hough o come rom heir middle posiion in sociey wih a level
o income and securiy ha makes hem neiher rich nor poor.6 All o his helps
boos educaional achievemen. Whas more, in more middle-class socieies,ciizensrich, poor, and middle class alikeend o be healhier and healhier
sudens do beter academically.7
Finally, expecaions or educaional perormance can have a signican impac on
educaional oucomes. Socieies someimes have lower expecaions or hose a
he botom o he economic specruman eec ha may be more pronounced
in socieies wih a weaker middle class.8 In conras, socieies ha expec everyone
o excel in school i given he opporuniy boas more sudens doing beter and
going ono college.9
o quaniy he impac o he middle class on educaional achievemen, we exam-
ined mah scores in all 50 saes beween 2003, he rs year daa on all saes are
available, and 2009, he mos recen year complee daa are available. We ound
ha a weaker middle class is associaed wih signicanly lower levels o mah per-
ormance. Our resuls held even when conrolling or a hos o oher acors ha
aec oucomes, such as he saes income level, childhood povery raes, and he
percenage o sudens who are English language learners.
Our resuls indicae ha a sronger middle class is associaed wih higher es
scores, separae and above any eecs o povery, overall income levels, and he
percenage o non-English speakers. In shor, he middle-classness o a sae
direcly inuences is educaional achievemen.
Specically, we ound ha each percenage poin increase in he share o income
going o he middle class is associaed wih an increase o 0.69 poins on he
Naional Assessmen o Educaional Progress composie scale or mah.
Our sudy suggess ha i he middle class received he same share o income as i
did in he 1960sapproximaely 7 percenage poins morehen he median sae,which had a mah score o 284 in 2009, would have a score 4.83 poins higher oday.
I jus a single saeor example, Florida, which currenly ranks 16h rom he bo-
om on sandardized essboosed is middle-class income share by 7 percenage
In more middle-
class societies,
citizensrich,
poor, and midd
class aliketen
to be healthier
and healthier
students do bet
academically.
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3 c am pg a Fu |t Ml cl i Ky B -eu n
poins, he resuls sugges ha is scores would rise o he level o he saes wih he
median scoreDelaware, Iowa, and Norh Carolina in 2009.
o pu his in conex, a $20,000 increase in a saes gross domesic produc per
capiahe commonly used measure o a saes income levelresuls in abou an
eigh-poin increase in mah scores. Such an increase in per capia GDP would beabou he same increase he Unied Saes experienced beween 1967 and 2009.
In he pages ha ollow, we will presen he array o academic research on his
opic ha suppors he premise o our paper, and hen deail he school and
nonschool uncions ha a srong middle class suppors in our educaion sysem
and our sociey. We urn nex in he paper o he specic resuls o our analysis,
which nd ha a sronger American middle class is associaed wih higher levels
o academic achievemen.
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The academic research
Linking a strong middle class to better education
A signican body o academic research nds ha counries wih lower levels o
economic inequaliy do beter academically han counries wih greaer levels o
economic inequaliy.10 Tis research ends o examine reading, mah, or science
scores on sandardized ess, nding ha on average sudens in more equal coun-
ries have higher es scores.
Imporanly, his research nds ha a more equal income disribuion booss he
perormance o all sudens, no jus hose a he botom. Te poor may bene
mos rom being in a more egaliarian sociey, bu hose a he op also bene.
Dennis Condron, an Emory Universiy sociologis, nds ha more economicallyequal counries acually have higher percenages o very highly skilled sudens
han do less egaliarian counries.11 Similarly, Richard Wilkinson, a Universiy o
Notingham proessor, and Kae Picket o he Universiy o York argue in Te
Spirit Level ha lower levels o economic inequaliy increase academic peror-
mance, even or sudens wih high socioeconomic saus.12
Te lieraure linking inequaliy and academic perormance generally conrols
or a counrys income level as well as or a hos o oher acors ha also inu-
ence es scores. Some o hese sudies also conrol or he povery level in a
counry.13 By conrolling or oal income and povery levels, as well as oher
acors, he academic lieraure on counry-level educaional achievemen makes
a compelling case ha he relaive disribuion o income in a sociey aecs
educaional perormance.
Research a he suden and school level has also come o similar conclusions,
nding ha middle-class sudens and schools end o have, or example, higher
es scores, lower dropou raes, and beter academic and career achievemens in
he uure.14 Many o hese sudies also conrol or income and povery levels.
In shor, he empirical lieraure srongly suggess ha he middle-classness o a
sociey aecs educaional oucomes, hough he research does no oen direcly
examine he impac o he middle class, insead ocusing on oher measures o
inequaliy. Similarly, many o he heoreical argumens made by researchers abou
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unequal socieies are also likely o be relevan o he eecs on he middle class,
hough hey are no always made direcly abou he middle class.
Tis is especially rue because over he pas ew decades in he Unied Saes and
oher advanced counries, changes in inequaliy are largely abou he rich pulling
away rom no jus he poor bu also (and especially) he middle class. Te middleclass and he poor boh experienced relaive income decreases ha are signican
compared o he op, bu he decline in he relaive share o income going o he
middle class is especially sark.
In he Unied Saes rom 1979 o 2007, as he share o naional income going
o he op 1 percen increased by more han 14 percenage poins, he share o
income going o he middle 60 percen declined by 4.7 percenage poins, com-
pared o a decline o jus 0.7 percenage poins or he botom 20 percen.15 Te
same rend is also apparen inernaionally. Te share o income going o he
rich rose dramaically in a number o developed counries, including he UniedKingdom, Ausralia, and Canada, largely a he expense o heir middle class.16
In shor, he rends driving inequaliy are largely because o runaway incomes a he
op, which disanced he rich rom he res o sociey and weakened he middle class.
Tis sudy builds on exising research o argue ha a srong middle class booss
educaional achievemen in U.S. saes. We are aware o only one oher sudy ha
examines sae-level inequaliy and is eec on educaional achievemen. Tis sudy
nds ha inequaliy reduces es scores, hough he analysis does no conrol or
oher acors ha are commonly ound o impac es scores, such as income.17
Because he economic lieraure on his opic nds income disribuion eecs
academic achievemen a he counry, school, and individual levels, we have srong
expecaions ha a sronger middle class is very likely o also boos educaional
perormance in U.S. saes.18
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Why a strong middle class
boosts achievement
Te reasons why middle-class socieies have beter educaional oucomes end o
all ino wo broad caegories: school-unding explanaions and nonschool-und-
ing explanaions. Researchers someimes emphasize one accoun over he oher
bu generally nd ha boh are a play. Les look a each in urn.
School-funding connections
Counries and saes wih srong middle classes end o spend more on educaion
and, all else being equal, higher levels o spending end o lead o higher levels oachievemen.19 As described a lengh in our companion repor, Middle Class
Socieies Inves More in Public Educaion, middle-class socieies inves more in
public goods such as educaion because he economic uure o he middle class
is more closely ied o he qualiy o public educaion han is he economic uure
o he rich. And a srong middle class boass he poliical power o push or heir
desired level o unding. Furhermore, middle-class socieies are more rusing o
people hey don knowand rus increases all peoples suppor or spending on
public educaion ha hey may no direcly bene rom.
o be sure, here is much room o improve he efciency o curren levels o
educaion spending.20 Bu all else being equal, higher levels o spending lead o
improved oucomes.21
Imporanly, here is good reason o expec ha increased spending rom a sron-
ger middle class would be spen in ways ha boos achievemen. Middle-class
socieies end o spend governmen money more efcienly han unequal socie-
ies, wih less wase, raud, and abuse.22 And researchers also nd ha more equal
counries spend heir educaion resources more equiably, ensuring mos sudens
have sufcien resources, no jus he privileged.23
http://www.americanprogressaction.org/issues/2011/11/middleclass_education_spending.htmlhttp://www.americanprogressaction.org/issues/2011/11/middleclass_education_spending.htmlhttp://www.americanprogressaction.org/issues/2011/11/middleclass_education_spending.htmlhttp://www.americanprogressaction.org/issues/2011/11/middleclass_education_spending.html -
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Nonschool-funding connections
Tere are numerous nonschool-unding explanaions or why middle-class socie-
ies have higher levels o academic achievemen. Te reasons range rom more
engaged parens o increased levels o public healh o higher expecaions.
Consider rs, he eors o middle-class parens in pushing or higher academic
sandards and puting pressure on adminisraors o re or ranser bad eachers
booss educaional achievemen.24
Because paying or privae school imposes a much greaer, and someimes impos-
sible, hardship on middle-class amilies han i does on he wealhy, he middle
class has an especially srong incenive o inves heir ime and energy o make
public schools work. In addiion, in more equal socieies, people are more likely o
hink heir acions can make a dierence and hus are more likely o paricipae in
poliical aciviies such as voluneering o improve a school.25
As a resul, people living in middle-class socieies are more likely o ge involved
o make heir childrens schools beter, while people living in unequal socieies are
more likely o remain on he sidelines. As America became less o a middle-class
sociey, poliical paricipaion signicanly decreased.26 Indeed, membership in
Paren eacher Associaions, a predominanly middle-class organizaion, declined
dramaically as he middle class declined in he Unied Saes.27
Ten heres he quesion o ime. As incomes or he rich rise rapidly and wages
sagnae or he middle class, many middle-class Americans have had o signi-
canly increase heir hours o workin large par by women moving ino he paid
workorcewhich reduces he ime and energy Americans have or voluneering
o improve heir childrens schools.28
More equal socieies also end o be healhier. Te rich, poor, and middle class all
end o be healhier in more middle-class socieies.29 In conras, inequaliy can
harm public healh in several ways, specically by:
Reducing invesmen in public healh eors30
Undermining social cohesion and neworks31
Causing rusraion and work sress ha leads o reduced healh32
Tis is a major problem because healhier sudens score beter on sandardized ess.
Research by Phillip B. Levine and Diane Schanzenbach, economiss a Wellesley
In more equal
societies, people
are more likely
to think their
actions can mak
a diference and
thus volunteer t
improve a schoo
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College and Norhwesern Universiy respecively, nd ha children who are
healhier score higher on he Naional Assessmen o Educaional Progress ess.33
Culural expecaions may also be
dened by he size o a naions
middle class. Socieies someimeshave lower educaional expeca-
ions or hose a he botom o
he economic specrum.34 And
socieys expecaions or edu-
caional perormance can have
a signican impac on achieve-
men.35 As he rich pulled away
rom he poor and especially he
middle class over he pas several
decades, he social disances arenow greaer, which could make
elie expecaions especially low
or he poor and middle class.36
Finally, some o he culure and
behaviors ha middle-class
parens pass on o heir children
abou educaion are hough o
come rom he unique economic
posiion o he middle class. Unlike he rich, he middle class has more o an eco-
nomic need o work or a living and hus values educaion or is poenial economic
reurns. Ye unlike he poor, he middle class has greaer economic resources o delay
graicaion and make invesmens in human capial.37 Tese middle-class values
and behaviors, such as valuing school achievemen and atending school, promoe
educaional achievemen.38 In especially unequal socieies, people on he botom
end may be more likely o rejec hese values and develop an opposiional culure or
lose heir sense o conrol over heir desiny i hey don see a clear pah o success.39
In sum, here are a number o ways in which a srong middle class migh beexpeced o increase educaional oucomes. Figure 1 demonsraes how his
dynamic plays ou in a sae-by-sae evaluaion o a srong middle class and beter
educaional oucomes.
We urn now o an analysis o he daa ha underpins his char.
FIGURE 1
States with stronger middle classes have better education outco
Scores on standardized tests are correlated with the share of income
going to the middle class
300
NY
MA
IL
CTTX
290
280
270
260
.44 .46
Middle-class share of state income
NAEP math scores
.48
FLKY
OK
LA
ALNM
AZ
AR
RI
WV NV
GA
HI
NH
WY
ND
MN
VT
KSSD
NJ
NCPA
COVAOH
ID
MODE
SC
NEINMEMDOR
MT
WIWA
IA
UT
MI
TN
CA
MS
Sources: Data are the averages o the data2007, 2005 and 2003.
The math scores are the composite score ior 8th grade students and are rom the NaAssessment o Education Progress.
The middle class share is the share o inco
to the middle 60 percent o the income dand the data are rom the Current Populatand the American Community Survey.
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Results
o examine he relaionship beween he middle class and educaional achieve-
men, we analyze sae sandardized mah es scores or eighh-grade sudens inall 50 saes rom 2003 o 2009, he rs year daa are available on all saes o he
mos recen year complee daa are available. We conrol or a range o variables
ha have been ound o aec educaional achievemen, including sae income
levels, sae childhood povery raes, and he share o sudens who are English
language learners. By conrolling or sae wealh and povery, as well as oher ac-
ors, we atemp o measure he eec o he middle-classness o a sae.
We nd a srong and saisically signican relaionship beween he srengh o
he middle class and mah scores. Addiional deails on our analysis are available
in he appendix. Our resuls are similar even when using dieren economericechniques, indicaing ha our resuls are quie robus.
In our main model, we nd ha a 1 percenage poin increase in he share o
income received by he middle class is associaed wih an increase o 0.69 poins
on he Naional Assessmen o Educaional Progress composie scale or mah.
Te median score on he mah es in 2009 was 284. Te relaionship is saisi-
cally signican a beyond he 5 percen level, meaning he resuls are unlikely o
occur by chance. (More deailed analysis o he daa is in he appendix.)
Our sudy suggess ha i he middle class received he same share o income as
i did in he 1960sapproximaely 7 percenage poins morehen he score
or mah would be 4.83 poins higher. I jus a single saeor example, Florida,
which currenly ranks 16h rom he botom on sandardized essboosed
is middle-class income share by 7 percenage poins, he resuls sugges ha
is scores would rise o he level o he saes wih he median scorecurrenly
Delaware, Iowa, and Norh Carolina. o pu his in conex, a $20,000 increase in
a saes gross domesic produc per capiaa commonly used measure o a saes
income levelresuls in abou an eigh-poin increase in mah scores. Such an
increase in per capia GDP would be abou he same increase in he Unied Saesexperienced beween 1967 and 2009.
For our oher conrol variables, resuls are consisen wih oher sudies and are
as expeced: We nd ha boh he percen o sudens who are English language
learners and childhood povery raes are associaed wih lower es scores.
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As a urher es o he imporance o a srong middle class on educaional
achievemen, we also run a model ha conrols or educaion spending. In his
way, we are able o es wheher he middle class aecs educaional oucomes
hrough channels ouside o increased spending. Our main model accouns or all
he ways ha he middle class improves oucomes, while our second model shows
how he acors ouside o spending aec oucomes. In boh cases, he srengh ohe middle class is srongly correlaed wih educaional oucomes.
Specically, when we conrol or sae educaional spending as well as or sae
income and povery levels and he share o sudens who are English language
learners, we nd ha a 1 percenage poin increase in he share o income received
by he middle class is associaed wih an increase o 0.55 poins on he mah scale.
Tis resul is signican a he 5 percen level, again indicaing ha he resuls
are unlikely o occur by chance. Tis suggess ha a sronger middle class booss
achievemen hrough boh school-unding and nonschool-unding mechanisms.
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Conclusion
Our sudy uses daa rom all 50 saes and nds ha a sronger middle class is
associaed wih concree improvemens in educaional oucomes. A srongermiddle class is likely o lead o beter educaional oucomes by no only increas-
ing levels o spending bu also hrough oher means including healhier socieies,
more involvemen wih he educaional sysem, and srenghening middle-class
values. Improving Americas educaional sysem is no easy ask bu srenghening
he middle class is likely an imporan par o ha ask.
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Appendix
Data
Our dependen variable, and our measure o educaional atainmen, is hecomposie Naional Assessmen o Educaional Progress mah scale or eighh-
grade sudens. We also ran our models using daa or ourh-grade sudens and
ound similar resuls.40
Te scale is a composie index ha measures a sudens abiliy across several areas
wihin he subjec. Te mah scale covers knowledge o measuremen, geom-
ery, daa analysis, probabiliy, and algebra, and ranges rom 0 o 500.41 Te daa
are available or 2000, 2003, 2005, 2007, 2009, and 2011, bu we only use 2003
hrough 2009. Te 2000 daa do no cover all 50 saes and our oher variables are
no updaed o 2011. For he 2009 daa he scores or mah ranged rom 265 o299 wih a sandard deviaion o 7.6 poins.
Our independen variable o ineres is he share o income going o he middle 60
percen o he income disribuion. We adop his deniion o he middle class
rom work on economic growh and he middle class by William Easerly.42 Tese
daa are rom he Curren Populaion Survey and he American Communiy
Survey. Noe ha using a similar deniion o he middle classhe share o
income going o he middle 20 percenproduced very similar resuls. Tese
deniions o middle class are similar because hey are boh aeced similarly by
he rise in income share going o he op. Te sandard deviaion o middle-class
share is 2.12 percenage poins. A one sandard deviaion increase in middle-class
share would ranslae ino a 1.46 poin increase on he NAEP scale.
We conrol or demographic eaures o a sae ha may aec educaional atain-
men: overall income levels, child povery levels, and he percenage o sudens
who are English language learners.
Wealhier socieies end o have beter educaional oucomes due o more avail-
able resources. Research ha compares educaional oucomes across counriesoen conrols or income level using naional GDP per capia as a conrol vari-
able.43 Accordingly, we accoun or sae income level in our regressions by
using sae GDP per capia as a conrol variable. Te daa are rom he Bureau o
Economic Analysis and are available or all he years in our analysis.
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In conras, we expec child povery levels and he percenage o sudens who are
English language learners o be negaively correlaed wih educaional atainmen
due o he higher concenraion o disadvanaged sudens.44 Sudies on educa-
ional oucomes commonly conrol or levels o povery and oher acors ha
impede academic achievemen.45 Our measure o childhood povery is he percen
o hose ages 17 and under who live in povery. Te daa are rom he CensusBureaus Small Area Income and Povery Esimaes. Te daa used o calculae he
percen o sudens who are English language learners is rom he Naional Cener
or Educaion Saisics. We used daa on he number o sudens who are learning
English and oal enrollmen o calculae he percenages.
We conrol or sae per-pupil educaion spending in one se o regressions. While
increased spending does no always resul in beter educaional atainmen, we
would expec ha spending is posiively correlaed wih oucomes.46 Including
spending in he regressions helps us conrm wheher he relaionship beween he
middle-class share o income and achievemen is no jus due o higher spendingby middle-class saes bu also due o heir middle-classness.
Te spending daa are rom he Common Core o Daa a he Naional Cener or
Educaion Saisics. We deaed he gures using he Consumer Price Index or
All Urban Consumers rom he Bureau o Labor Saisics. o conrm our resuls,
we also ran regressions wih spending adjused by he Comparable Wage Index.
Te index is oen used in sudies o educaion spending o adjus or regional
dierences in labor markes.47 Te regressions using CWI-adjused spending
were generally similar o our main resuls bu he limied availabiliy o he CWI
resriced our sample size.
Models
We use hree dieren economeric models in his sudy bu our preerred model
uses panel-correced sandard errors, or PCSE. We also ran regressions using a
pooled ordinary leas squares, or OLS, mehod and sae and year xed eecs.
Te resuls o all hree models are included in his repor bu we use he resuls o
he regressions using PCSE in he body o he paper. We believe PCSE is he beschoice because he share o income going o he middle class, he independen
variable o ineres, is relaively slow moving over ime.
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PCSE was rs described by Nahaniel Beck, a poliical scienis a New York
Universiy, and Jonahan Kaz, a proessor o social sciences and saisics a he
Caliornia Insiue or echnology, and has since become common in he sudy o
poliical economy. PCSE is a mehod o improve he accuracy o esimaes when
using ime-series cross-secional daa. 48 ime-series cross-secional daa are char-
acerized by repeaed observaions (oen annual) on he same xed poliical unis(usually saes or counries), and hus he daa are oen correlaed over ime.
As Nahaniel Beck and Jonahan Kaz argue, Te inclusion o xed eecs almos
always masks he impac o slowly changing independen variables.49 Tey argue
ha using xed eecs wih ime-series cross-secional daa ha have slowly
changing variables o ineres is no jus a minor problem bu raher can be pro-
oundly misleading in assessing he impacs o imporan independen variables.
We sress ha we are no simply alking abou some minor changes in esimaion
efciency, bu, raher esimaes ha are so ar o as o be compleely useless.50
While we preer PCSE, we show all o our specicaions. Te majoriy o he
sudies we examined ha sudied similar quesions use pooled OLS or similar
linear models ha adjus sandard errors.51 Using pooled OLS and PCSE models,
we nd a relaionship beween he srengh o he middle class and mah scores
ha is signican a he 5 percen level. When we use xed eecs, he relaionship
beween he srengh o he middle class and mah scores is signican a he 10
percen level. Ta he middle class is associaed wih higher es scores across a
variey o models provides srong suppor or our argumens. (see Figure 2 or he
abled resuls o our analysis)
FIGURE 2
Regression results indicate middle-class income share
associated with educational outcomes
Three different models produce similar results
Variable Description
Strength of the middle class The share of income going to the middle 60 percent of the income distribution
Eighth-grade math score NAEP composite score for eighth-grade math
Child poverty rate Percent of those 17 and under who are in poverty
English language learners Percent of students who are English language learners
Spending per student K-12 education spending per student
Per capita GDP ($2009) Real gross domestic product per capita, in 2009 dollars
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15 c am pg a Fu | t Ml cl i Ky B-eu n
Summary statistics
Variable Observations Mean Min Max
Strength of the middle class 200 0.4772 0.4200 0.5228
Eighth-grade math score 200 280.04 261 299
Child poverty rate 200 17.6 7.8 30.7
English language learners 181 0.061137 0.004535 0.251751
Spending per student 150 11,570.28 7,338.67 19,212.40
Per capita GDP ($2009) 200 37,909.52 27,972.60 57,559.40
Regression results
Panel-corrected standard errors
Independent variable Coefficient p-value
Strength of the middle class 68.64 0.030
Child poverty rate -0.578 0.015
English language learners -35.51 0.000
Per capita GDP ($2009) 0.0004 0.034
R-squared: 0.4173
N: 181
Fixed effects
Independent variable Coefficient p-value
Strength of the middle class 19.26 0.087
Child poverty rate 0.1165 0.551
English language learners -6.92 0.617
Per capita GDP ($2009) 0.0002 0.409
R-squared: 0.9706
N: 181
Pooled OLS
Independent variable Coefficient p-value
Strength of the middle class 68.64 0.032
Child poverty rate -0.578 0.000
English language learners -35.51 0.000
Per capita GDP ($2009) 0.0004 0.005
R-squared: 0.4173
N: 181
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With spending controls
Panel-corrected standard errors
Independent variable Coefficient p-value
Strength of the middle class 54.98 0.015
Child poverty rate -0.752 0.000
English language learners -32.43 0.000
Spending per student 0.00005 0.760
Per capita GDP ($2009) 0.0002 0.179
R-squared: 0.4748
N: 136
Fixed effects
Independent variable Coefficient p-value
Strength of the middle class 19.31 0.091
Child poverty rate 0.1803 0.460English language learners -13.28 0.453
Spending per student 0.0004 0.315
Per capita GDP ($2009) 0.00005 0.842
R-squared: 0.9771
N: 136
Pooled OLS
Independent variable Coefficient p-value
Strength of the middle class 54.98 0.087
Child poverty rate -0.752 0.000
English language learners -32.43 0.002
Spending per student 0.0001 0.872
Per capita GDP ($2009) 0.0002 0.273
R-squared: 0.4748
N: 136
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About the authors
David Madland is he Direcor o he American Worker Projec a he Cener or
American Progress Acion Fund. He has a Ph.D. in governmen rom Georgeown
Universiy and received his B.S. rom he Universiy o Caliornia a Berkeley.
His disseraion abou he poliical reacion o he decline o he dened-benereiremen sysem was awarded he Bes Disseraion Award by he Labor and
Employmen Relaions Associaion. Previously, he worked or Congressman George
Miller (D-CA) on he House Commitee on Educaion and he Workorce as well as
he Resources Commitee.
Nick Bunker is a Special Assisan wih he Economic Policy eam a he Cener
or American Progress Acion Fund. He works on issues relaed o economic
securiy and working condiions o he American worker. Nick graduaed rom
Georgeown Universiy wih a B.S. in inernaional economics. During his under-
graduae career, he was involved wih suden governmen and helped ound amagazine on inernaional aairs. Nick was an inern a CAP during he 2009-10
academic year. He was born and raised in Norwood, Massachusets.
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Endnotes
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