The Main Aggregates in Reconciling Supply and Demand and...
Transcript of The Main Aggregates in Reconciling Supply and Demand and...
![Page 1: The Main Aggregates in Reconciling Supply and Demand and …unstats.un.org/unsd/tradeserv/workshops/Dominica 2013... · 2015. 5. 1. · The Bahamas Tourism Satellite Account First](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022063021/5fe5d1bd5f7700318c2db6b3/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
The Main Aggregates in The Main Aggregates in Reconciling Supply and Demand Reconciling Supply and Demand and Integration with the National and Integration with the National AccountsAccountsThe Bahamas TSA Experience
![Page 2: The Main Aggregates in Reconciling Supply and Demand and …unstats.un.org/unsd/tradeserv/workshops/Dominica 2013... · 2015. 5. 1. · The Bahamas Tourism Satellite Account First](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022063021/5fe5d1bd5f7700318c2db6b3/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
The Bahamas The Bahamas Tourism Satellite Account Tourism Satellite Account � First Attempt was done with the
Assistance of Global Insights (Adam Sacks)� Used a number of Sources (BOP,
External Trade Statistics, Ministry of Tourism Exit Survey, Expenditure Survey)� Lack of Supply and Use Tables made
it more difficult to reconcile the data.
![Page 3: The Main Aggregates in Reconciling Supply and Demand and …unstats.un.org/unsd/tradeserv/workshops/Dominica 2013... · 2015. 5. 1. · The Bahamas Tourism Satellite Account First](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022063021/5fe5d1bd5f7700318c2db6b3/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
The Bahamas The Bahamas Tourism Satellite Account Tourism Satellite Account � The 2nd Attempt was done with the
assistance of Statistics Canada - DemiKotsovos
� TSA –Supply and Use 2005
� TSA – Supply and Use 2007
◦ Household Expenditure Survey
◦ Economic Census
![Page 4: The Main Aggregates in Reconciling Supply and Demand and …unstats.un.org/unsd/tradeserv/workshops/Dominica 2013... · 2015. 5. 1. · The Bahamas Tourism Satellite Account First](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022063021/5fe5d1bd5f7700318c2db6b3/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Supply and Use Tables and the Supply and Use Tables and the Tourism Satellite AccountsTourism Satellite Accounts
� The 2006 United Nations World Tourism Organization conference recommended that countries develop Supply and Use Tables to ensure the sustainability and continuity of the TSA project.
� Supply and Use Tables are most important for systematic reconciliation of the supply and consumption of tourism.
![Page 5: The Main Aggregates in Reconciling Supply and Demand and …unstats.un.org/unsd/tradeserv/workshops/Dominica 2013... · 2015. 5. 1. · The Bahamas Tourism Satellite Account First](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022063021/5fe5d1bd5f7700318c2db6b3/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
Bahamas Bahamas -- Supply And Use Supply And Use TablesTables� Started each Industry with original
Production estimates but a new adjusted figure is listed at the bottom of each industry.� The Use and Demand Sheet includes the
original estimates by Industry and Final Use. Adjusted final values by Industry is also listed.� The adjustments are as a result of the
demand of commodity balancing with the corresponding supply.
![Page 6: The Main Aggregates in Reconciling Supply and Demand and …unstats.un.org/unsd/tradeserv/workshops/Dominica 2013... · 2015. 5. 1. · The Bahamas Tourism Satellite Account First](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022063021/5fe5d1bd5f7700318c2db6b3/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Bahamas Tourism IndustriesBahamas Tourism Industries
�Accommodation (Hotels, Guesthouses, Timeshare and Second Homes)
![Page 7: The Main Aggregates in Reconciling Supply and Demand and …unstats.un.org/unsd/tradeserv/workshops/Dominica 2013... · 2015. 5. 1. · The Bahamas Tourism Satellite Account First](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022063021/5fe5d1bd5f7700318c2db6b3/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Bahamas Tourism IndustriesBahamas Tourism Industries
�Restaurants (Formal and informal meals outside the home)
![Page 8: The Main Aggregates in Reconciling Supply and Demand and …unstats.un.org/unsd/tradeserv/workshops/Dominica 2013... · 2015. 5. 1. · The Bahamas Tourism Satellite Account First](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022063021/5fe5d1bd5f7700318c2db6b3/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Bahamas Tourism IndustriesBahamas Tourism Industries
�Transportation Services◦Land◦Marine◦Air
![Page 9: The Main Aggregates in Reconciling Supply and Demand and …unstats.un.org/unsd/tradeserv/workshops/Dominica 2013... · 2015. 5. 1. · The Bahamas Tourism Satellite Account First](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022063021/5fe5d1bd5f7700318c2db6b3/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Sources of Tourism Industry Sources of Tourism Industry SupplySupply�Supply and Use Tables 2007◦Business Establishment Surveys◦Balance of Payments◦External Trade Statistics◦Labor Force Survey
![Page 10: The Main Aggregates in Reconciling Supply and Demand and …unstats.un.org/unsd/tradeserv/workshops/Dominica 2013... · 2015. 5. 1. · The Bahamas Tourism Satellite Account First](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022063021/5fe5d1bd5f7700318c2db6b3/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Sources of Tourism DemandSources of Tourism Demand
� Supply and Use Tables ◦ Cruise Visitor Expenditure Survey◦ Visitor Expenditure Survey (VES)◦ Household Expenditure Survey
(HES)◦ Domestic Tourism Survey◦ Bahamas Immigration Cards◦ External Trade Statistics◦ Business Establishment Surveys
(BES)
![Page 11: The Main Aggregates in Reconciling Supply and Demand and …unstats.un.org/unsd/tradeserv/workshops/Dominica 2013... · 2015. 5. 1. · The Bahamas Tourism Satellite Account First](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022063021/5fe5d1bd5f7700318c2db6b3/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Identify Tourism IndustriesIdentify Tourism Industries
�Which of the tourism characteristic products are supplied by the tourism Industries?� Using total Output for each commodity
calculate the percentage that the Tourism Industry supply of the commodity� Then calculate the percentage that the
remaining non-tourism industries supply of the commodity.
![Page 12: The Main Aggregates in Reconciling Supply and Demand and …unstats.un.org/unsd/tradeserv/workshops/Dominica 2013... · 2015. 5. 1. · The Bahamas Tourism Satellite Account First](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022063021/5fe5d1bd5f7700318c2db6b3/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Tourism Characteristic Tourism Characteristic ProductsProducts� Identify which Products are found in
your economy.� Identify country-specific tourism
characteristic goods & services
![Page 13: The Main Aggregates in Reconciling Supply and Demand and …unstats.un.org/unsd/tradeserv/workshops/Dominica 2013... · 2015. 5. 1. · The Bahamas Tourism Satellite Account First](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022063021/5fe5d1bd5f7700318c2db6b3/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
For Example: AccommodationFor Example: Accommodation
� Hotels supply the Lion’s share of accommodation
![Page 14: The Main Aggregates in Reconciling Supply and Demand and …unstats.un.org/unsd/tradeserv/workshops/Dominica 2013... · 2015. 5. 1. · The Bahamas Tourism Satellite Account First](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022063021/5fe5d1bd5f7700318c2db6b3/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
AccommodationAccommodation
� There are also other industries where Accommodations can be found eg:◦ Marine Transport (Yacht Charters)◦ Other Recreational Cultural Services
(Bone Fishing Lodges)
![Page 15: The Main Aggregates in Reconciling Supply and Demand and …unstats.un.org/unsd/tradeserv/workshops/Dominica 2013... · 2015. 5. 1. · The Bahamas Tourism Satellite Account First](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022063021/5fe5d1bd5f7700318c2db6b3/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
Reconciling DemandReconciling Demand
� Depending on the commodity it was decided that the BES was stronger for example the Accommodation portion provided by the Hotels.� The response rate of this Industry is
great and the output is dominated by a few large hotels.
![Page 16: The Main Aggregates in Reconciling Supply and Demand and …unstats.un.org/unsd/tradeserv/workshops/Dominica 2013... · 2015. 5. 1. · The Bahamas Tourism Satellite Account First](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022063021/5fe5d1bd5f7700318c2db6b3/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Reconciling DemandReconciling Demand
� However, when comparing the Supplyof Accommodation to the Use reported by HES and VES we realized that we were under reported in terms of the output of the smaller guest houses and second home rentals.
![Page 17: The Main Aggregates in Reconciling Supply and Demand and …unstats.un.org/unsd/tradeserv/workshops/Dominica 2013... · 2015. 5. 1. · The Bahamas Tourism Satellite Account First](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022063021/5fe5d1bd5f7700318c2db6b3/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
Beverages served on Beverages served on PremisesPremises
![Page 18: The Main Aggregates in Reconciling Supply and Demand and …unstats.un.org/unsd/tradeserv/workshops/Dominica 2013... · 2015. 5. 1. · The Bahamas Tourism Satellite Account First](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022063021/5fe5d1bd5f7700318c2db6b3/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
Reconciling DemandReconciling Demand� Beverages served on Premises is an
example of a commodity where the Production side is stronger.� It was felt Output of Beverage sales by
Hotels and Restaurants is more accurate compared to the HES and VES consumption of this commodity. Purchases of “sinful” products are often under valued by person and therefore the results from the HES and VES would be under valued.
![Page 19: The Main Aggregates in Reconciling Supply and Demand and …unstats.un.org/unsd/tradeserv/workshops/Dominica 2013... · 2015. 5. 1. · The Bahamas Tourism Satellite Account First](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022063021/5fe5d1bd5f7700318c2db6b3/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
Reconciling SupplyReconciling Supply
� Determine the strengths and weaknesses of the data sources depending on the commodity.� For example: Meals are supplied
Formally and Informally� Business Establishment Surveys
(BES) would include a variety large of Restaurants.� This figure would then be adjusted for
the informal sector (Restaurants)
![Page 20: The Main Aggregates in Reconciling Supply and Demand and …unstats.un.org/unsd/tradeserv/workshops/Dominica 2013... · 2015. 5. 1. · The Bahamas Tourism Satellite Account First](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022063021/5fe5d1bd5f7700318c2db6b3/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
Reconciling Supply and Reconciling Supply and DemandDemand� Data from the Household Expenditure
Survey (HES)and the Visitor Exit Survey (VES) would represent the demand for Meals Outside of the Home.� On the demand side for Meals the HES,
VES and the Industry’s Use as more concrete than the production side for this item, as a result if the demand for this item is calculated and if it is found that the production side is lower, then the supply would be increased.
![Page 21: The Main Aggregates in Reconciling Supply and Demand and …unstats.un.org/unsd/tradeserv/workshops/Dominica 2013... · 2015. 5. 1. · The Bahamas Tourism Satellite Account First](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022063021/5fe5d1bd5f7700318c2db6b3/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
Land TransportationLand Transportation
![Page 22: The Main Aggregates in Reconciling Supply and Demand and …unstats.un.org/unsd/tradeserv/workshops/Dominica 2013... · 2015. 5. 1. · The Bahamas Tourism Satellite Account First](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022063021/5fe5d1bd5f7700318c2db6b3/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
Reconciling SupplyReconciling Supply
� Land Transportation is not as strong for the Bahamas in terms of the Supply. Due to the fact that this area is dominated by Working Proprietors without a fixed location administration of the BES is extremely difficult.� The demand of this Industry by the
HES and the VES is considered much stronger as a result the Supply is adjusted to match this.
![Page 23: The Main Aggregates in Reconciling Supply and Demand and …unstats.un.org/unsd/tradeserv/workshops/Dominica 2013... · 2015. 5. 1. · The Bahamas Tourism Satellite Account First](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022063021/5fe5d1bd5f7700318c2db6b3/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
CountryCountry--Specific Tourism Specific Tourism ServiceService� For The Bahamas Casino Gambling is a
country specific Tourism Characteristic Product because “currently” only Non-Residents are allowed to gamble.� Output for this commodity is obtained
through a Government Regulated Agency as a result this data is considered more reliable.� VES tourist expenditure for Casino
gambling is not used on the Demand.
![Page 24: The Main Aggregates in Reconciling Supply and Demand and …unstats.un.org/unsd/tradeserv/workshops/Dominica 2013... · 2015. 5. 1. · The Bahamas Tourism Satellite Account First](https://reader036.fdocuments.net/reader036/viewer/2022063021/5fe5d1bd5f7700318c2db6b3/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
ConclusionConclusion
Based on The Bahamas Experience a TSA can be calculated Using the same data found in the Supply and Use Tables. However, having the SUT made it easier to Reconcile the Tourism Supply and Demand.