LENDING BOOMS, FOREIGN BANK ENTRY AND COMPETITION: THE CROATIAN CASE
The Impact of Organizational Structure & Lending Technology on Banking Competition
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Transcript of The Impact of Organizational Structure & Lending Technology on Banking Competition
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The Impact ofOrganizational Structure & Lending Technology
on Banking Competition
Hans DegryseCentER - Tilburg University, TILEC, K.U. Leuven & CESIfo
TILEC-AFM Chair on Financial Market Regulation
Luc LaevenIMF & CEPR
Steven OngenaCentER - Tilburg University, TILEC & CEPR
Con ference on ”The Changing Geography of Banking”, Ancona, September 2006
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Motivation: Bank Organization & Spatial Pricing
Bank’s internal organization matters for lending Stein (JF 2002); Takats (ECB 2004); Liberti (2004); Liberti & Mian (2005), Berger et al. (JFE 2005)
– Opaque (small) firms borrow from close banksPetersen & Rajan (JF 2002); Saunders & Allen (2002)
– Large, centralized banks lend to distant, large firms using hard informationBerger, Miller, Petersen, Rajan & Stein (JFE 2005); Cole, Goldberg & White (JFQA 2004)
Banks spatially price loansPetersen & Rajan (JF 2002); Degryse & Ongena (JF 2005); Bharath, Dahiya, Saunders & Srinivasan (JFE 2006), Agarwal & Hauswald (2006)
Bank’s internal organization matters for branch reach and spatial pricing of loans
Also rival banks’organization matters
This paper!
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“Objective” Information “Travels Better” than “Subjective” Information
Transportation Costs Differ:
“Number of visits” or “mode of communication”By borrower to bankBy bank to borrower
may differ
if banks’ organization implies different types of informationSubjective or Soft information: more visits
Objective or Hard information: fewer or no visits
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Transportation Cost Model: stylized version with linear transportation costs
Banks A, B located at endpoints of line (length 1)
Transportation costs ti per unit of distance, shaped by internal organization of bank i
Consider borrower at location x– Cost visiting A: tAx
– Cost visiting B: tB(1-x)
– Cost taking loan at A: rAx + tAx
– Cost taking loan at B: rBx + tB(1-x)
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Equal Linear Transportation Costs
0 11/2
Bank A Bank B
t
MC = 0
-2t
Loan Rate
Distance
Now introduction different costs, but for graphical purposes, we assume tA= t.
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Drop in tB (e.g., B employs more objective information):A’s reach shrinks and spatial pricing becomes softer
0 11/2
Bank A Bank B
MC = 0
tA+ tB
Loan Rate
Distance
tA
tB
- (tA+ tB)
tB / (tA+ tB)
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In the paper, we also model:
Non-Linear transportation costs
Banks with different marginal costs
“Soft Firm – Hard Firm” and “Soft Bank – Hard Bank” – “Soft firms” generate more soft information
– If bank A has a comparative advantage in soft information:
• Bank A’s reach decreases when B becomes “harder”
• But less so for “soft firms”
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Data: We combine two data sets
Portfolio from one Belgian bank
17,776 loans to 13,104 borrowers in August 1997Degryse & Van Cayseele (JFI 2000); Degryse & Ongena (JF 2005)
sole proprietorships (81%), small, medium, and large firms
Loan Characteristics– Origination Date, Loan Rate, Collateral, Repayment Duration,
Purpose, Other Relationship Characteristics
– Main Bank and Duration Firm Characteristics and Identity (incl. Address)
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Postal Zone
Borrower
6 km
6 km
Lender
Competitors
837 Postal Zones; 7,477 Bank Branches
also possible
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Distance
= shortest traveling time, in minutes= shortest traveling time, in minutes
to Lender to Closest quartile (Bank) Competitor in the
borrower’s postal zone
17,776 + 293,170 borrower - bank branch combinationsRecording errors; 801 at closing branches; 1% - screen (postal zone check)
612 contracts in postal zones without competitors15,044 remaining contracts
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Dependent Variables
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Bank organization variables(source: Belgian Bankers` Association)
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Other Control Variables
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Other Control Variables (cont’d)
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Table 2: Impact on Branch Reach
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Table 4: Spatial PricingModel
(Independent) Variable
ln (1 + Distance to Lender) -9.98 *** -25.62 *** -12.50 ** -10.65 -10.38 *** -4.84 -7.88 **(2.99) (9.55) (5.30) (11.92) (3.16) (9.19) (3.19)
ln(1 + Distance to Lender) * Variable 25.18 * 6.91 -2.16 9.11 -6.14 -16.37 *(14.68) (11.98) (7.53) (23.55) (5.86) (8.87)
ln(1 + Distance to Closest Competitor) 20.37 *** 43.17 *** 23.52 *** 11.38 20.56 *** 17.87 19.33 ***(4.35) (12.17) (6.91) (15.73) (4.45) (11.34) (4.50)
ln(1 + Distance to Closest Competitor) * Variable -36.42 ** -8.68 3.73 1.89 0.40 7.68(18.14) (14.84) (9.73) (27.90) (7.23) (17.93)
Relationship Characteristics Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes YesOther Control Variables Yes Yes Yes No Yes No YesFixed Postal Zone Effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes YesAdjusted R-squared 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.07 0.17 0.07 0.17
Spatial PricingSoft Rival -25.62 *** -12.50 ** -10.65 -10.38 *** -4.84Hard Rival -0.44 -5.59 -21.45 -1.27 -10.98
I II IV
Large Bank
IIIHierarchy
Branch
Hierarchy
Bank
V
Foreign Bank
VII
Urban
VI
Fax
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Differential Effects & work in progress
Effect of hierarchy on branch reach is smaller for small firms with limited liability
Effect of hierarchy on spatial pricing is larger for small firms with limited liability
Not incorporated in paper yet:– Layers to Telex softens spatial pricing– Span of control: little impact
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Conclusions
Simple model shows that:– Branch reach and severity of spatial loan pricing
depend on the organization of competing banks
Empirical Tests:– Branch reach shrinks
• Rival bank is large, hierarchical, or has fax
– Spatial pricing softens• Rival bank is large or hierarchical