The impact of entrepreneurial human capital on …While some entrepreneurs are inventors, others are...

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The impact of entrepreneurial human capital on initial funding: evidence from Japan Yuji Honjo Faculty Fellow, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry Professor, Faculty of Commerce, Chuo University February 26, 2018 CEPR-RIETI Joint Workshop NIESR, London

Transcript of The impact of entrepreneurial human capital on …While some entrepreneurs are inventors, others are...

Page 1: The impact of entrepreneurial human capital on …While some entrepreneurs are inventors, others are not. Some entrepreneurs may start businesses according to their own interests.

The impact of entrepreneurial human capital on initial funding: evidence from Japan

Yuji Honjo

Faculty Fellow, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry

Professor, Faculty of Commerce, Chuo University

February 26, 2018

CEPR-RIETI Joint Workshop

NIESR, London

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Contents1. Introduction (incl. Research Question)

2. Research Background

3. Theoretical argument

4. Hypotheses

5. Data

6. Estimation results

7. Concluding remarks

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IntroductionRIETI Research Project (since October 2017)

◦ Creation and Development of High-tech Startups (Program IV: Innovation)

Purpose of this project◦ We survey high-tech startups and venture capital, and address issues for

the entrepreneurial (start-up) ecosystem in Japan.

◦ In particular, we focus on high-tech start-ups’ linkages with external organizations and examine the performance of spin-offs and corporate venture capital, while taking into account the role of existing organizations in industries.

Cf. Members of this project◦ Academic scholars

◦ Professional researchers

◦ Policymakers

◦ Venture incubators

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IntroductionPolicy discussions◦ How do we construct the entrepreneurial ecosystem in Japan?

◦ How do we promote innovations through entrepreneurship in Japan?

Cf. Entrepreneurial ecosystem◦ Entrepreneurial ecosystem is a set of interdependent actors and

factors coordinated in such a way that they enable productiveentrepreneurship within a particular territory (e.g., Stam and Spigel,2016).

However…◦ Indeed, the level of entrepreneurship, including angel investment, is

very low in Japan.

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Actors and factors in the entrepreneurialecosystem

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Household

Investor(incl. VC)

Entrepreneur(start-up)

Financialinstitution

InsurancePensions

Corporation

Labor market

University

Innovation

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Entrepreneurship and angel indices (GEM Report)

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Source: APS Global Individual for 2001-2012 (See Honjo (2015))Note: Targets for individuals aged 18-64

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ENTRE ANGEL

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IntroductionTarget in the present study◦ We highlight the relationship between technology and entrepreneurship.

Research question

What does this study examine?

◦ We explore how entrepreneurs, including inventors, raise initial funding.

◦ We provide evidence that some entrepreneur-specific characteristics are significantly associated with initial funding.

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How do inventors raise funds when they become entrepreneurs?

Technology Entrepreneurship

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IntroductionResearch framework

Major findings◦ Start-up firms managed by entrepreneurs with technological skills

are more likely to rely on equity financing.

◦ Start-up firms managed by entrepreneurs with university education are more likely to have significant financing.

◦ Start-up firms managed by older entrepreneurs are more likely to have significant financing.

◦ Start-up firms located in entrepreneurs’ hometowns are more likely to rely on debt financing.

◦ Start-up firms relying on debt financing are less likely to grow faster.

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Entrepreneurial human capital

Initial funding

(Debt finance ratio)Firm growth

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Research background 1:Heterogeneity in business start-upsIndividuals’ heterogeneous preferences◦ The purpose of business start-ups differs across entrepreneurs.

◦ While some entrepreneurs are inventors, others are not.

◦ Some entrepreneurs may start businesses according to their own interests.

In our sample◦ 107 (approximately 8%) entrepreneurs applied patents before

founding their firms.

◦ 409 (approximately 29%) entrepreneurs started their businesses in their own birthplaces, except for Tokyo, Yokohama, Nagoya, and Osaka cities.

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Research background 2:Impact of entrepreneurial human capitalDifferent demand for financing◦ Entrepreneurs with higher human capital tend to seek large-sized

businesses.

Signaling effect◦ Under information asymmetry, entrepreneurial human capital may

be a signal to external suppliers of capital.

Cf. Importance of human capital◦ Cressy (1996) argued that human capital is a true determinant for post-entry

performance.

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Research background 3:Do initial conditions determine the fate of firms?

Importance of initial conditions◦ Initial conditions determine the fate of firms.

Do initial financial conditions matter for post-entry performance?◦ Because start-up firms’ capital is limited, post-entry perfomance

depends on initial financial conditions.

◦ Because information asymmetry between entrepreneurs and external suppliers of capital is more likely to occur during the start-up period, most entrepreneurs cannot easily access capital markets.

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Genes determine the fate of humans.

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Research background 4:Debt finance in JapanDebt and equity balance◦ Two types of financing: debt and equity.

Debt financing◦ In Japan, bank loans, including those from government-affiliated

financial institutions (i.e., Japan Finance Corporation) are prevailing as initial funding.⇒ Start-up firms tend to rely on debt financing (see the following

figure).

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Debt

Equity

Assets

Mainly bank loans

Mainly cash from founders, family, and friends

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Debt finance ratios of start-up firms:Japan and Euro countries

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Japan France Germany Italy Spain UK

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Source: Honjo (2017). Original data source is Orbis (Bureau van Dijk Electronic Publishing).Note: The numbers of firms are 4032, 95244, 8571, 42950, 41093, and 2561 for Japan, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the UK, respectively. Debt finance ratio is defined as debt finance divided by the sum of equity finance, debt finance, and trade credit. Debt finance is measured by the sum of short-term financial debt plus long-term liabilities, equity finance is measured by issued share capital, and trade credit is measured by debt to suppliers and contractors.

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Financial assets held by households:Japan, Euro area, and the US

13.9%

34.6%

52.3%

5.1%

3.8%

1.5%

10.7%

8.6%

5.0%

35.4%

16.3%

8.6%

32.1%

34.2%

29.8%

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2.5%

2.9%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

United States

Euro area

Japan

Currency and deposits Debt securities

Investment trusts Equity

Insurance, pension and standardized guarantees Others

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出所:日本銀行調査統計局「資金循環の日米欧比較」注:2016年12月22日集計分.

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Research background 5:Equity finance for high-tech start-upsEquity financing for high-tech start-ups◦ High-tech start-ups tend to seek equity financing, rather than debt

financing.

⇒ This is due to uncertainty and information asymmetry between entrepreneurs and external suppliers of capital

Equity financing in Japan◦ While loan markets are well developed in Japan, private equity

markets, including angel investors, seem undeveloped (e.g., Honjo and Nagaoka, 2018).

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Is it desirable to improve the financial system fortechnology-driven entrepreneurship in Japan?

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Theoretical argumentAnalytical framework◦ We examine the impact of entrepreneur human capital on initial

funding.

Theoretical arguments◦ Entrepreneurial human capital is significantly related to external

financing because of the signaling effect.

◦ Entrepreneurial human capital has a significant impact on the cost of financing.

Cf. Wealth effect

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Entrepreneurial human capital

Cost of financing Initial funding

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Theoretical argumentTypes of entrepreneurial human capital◦ The effects of entrepreneurial human capital on the cost of financing

differ from those on equity financing, according to the type of human capital.

Generic and specific human capital (e.g., Colombo and Grilli, 2005, 2010)◦ Generic human capital: Fundamental knowledge and skills

→ Measured by education, age, and work experience

◦ Specific human capital: Special knowledge and skills in the field

→ Measured by technological skills

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Initial fundingEntrepreneurial human capital

Theoretical argumentDifferent effects of entrepreneurial human capital

◦ While generic human capital is associated with the cost of debt financing, specific human capital is associated with the cost of equity financing.

→ Initial funding is determined by the type of entrepreneurial human capital.

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Generic human capital

Cost of debt financing

Cost of equity financing

Debt financing

Specific human capital

Equity financing

Debt and equity balance

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HypothesesEntrepreneurial human capital

◦ Specific human capital

◦ Generic human capital

Specific human capital◦ Technological skills (measured by patent applications) = inventor

Generic human capital◦ Education

◦ Age (experience)

Other characteristics and preferences◦ Gender

◦ Local business

◦ Rural business

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Hypotheses(Initial funding)

◦ H1: Start-up firms managed by entrepreneurs with technological skills are more likely to have significant financing at founding.

◦ H2: Start-up firms managed by entrepreneurs with higher educational level are more likely to have significant financing at founding.

◦ H3: Start-up firms managed by older entrepreneurs are more likely to have significant financing at founding.

(Debt and equity balance)◦ H4: Start-up firms managed by entrepreneurs with technological skills are less likely to rely

on debt financing.

◦ H5: Start-up firms managed by entrepreneurs with higher educational level are more likely to rely on debt financing.

◦ H6: Start-up firms managed by older entrepreneurs are more likely to rely on debtfinancing.

◦ H7: Start-up firms located in rural regions are more likely to rely on debt financing.

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DataData source

◦ Teikokoku Data Bank Service

◦ Patent database

Sample◦ Joint-stock companies founded during the period from January 2003 to

December 2010 in Japan.

◦ Those firms founded in the manufacturing and ICT sectors of Japan.

◦ Subsidiaries, affiliated firms, and firms with no less than 100 employees or those with no less than paid-in capital of 1 billion yen in the first accounting year were excluded from the sample.

Observations: Start-up firms◦ Total number 1397

◦ (Manufacturing) 511

◦ (ICT) 886

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VariablesDefinitions of variables for financial capital

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Variables Definition

Debt finance Sum of short- and long-term loans payable to inside and outside creditors, commercial paper, and corporate bonds (billion yen).

Equity financeSum of paid-in capital, deposits for subscriptions to shares, capital surplus, treasury shares, deposits to subscriptions for treasury shares, share warrants, and convertible and warrant bonds (billion yen).

Total finance Equity finance + Debt finance

Debt finance ratio Debt finance divided by total finance

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VariablesDefinitions of variables for entrepreneurial human capital

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Variables Definition

Technological skills Dummy variable for the entrepreneur who experience patent application as an inventor before founding the firm

University education Dummy variable for the entrepreneur who experienced education at university

Age Logarithm of the entrepreneur’s age at founding

Female Dummy variable for a female entrepreneur

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VariablesDefinitions of variables (for others)

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Variables Definition

Local businessDummy variable for the firm in the same prefecture of theentrepreneur’s birthplace, except for prefectures in four majormetropolitan cities (Tokyo, Yokohama, Nagoya, and Osaka)

Rural businessDummy variable for the firm located in regions, except for fourmetropolitan cities (Tokyo, Yokohama, Nagoya, and Osaka), and notin the same prefecture of the entrepreneur’s birthplace

Firm size Logarithm of the number of employees plus one

Industry dummiesDummy variable for the industry of the firm: chemicals,pharmaceuticals, machinery, electrical machinery, transportationequipment, precision instruments, and ICT.

Entry cohorts Dummy variable for the year when the firm was founded

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Summary statisticsDescriptive statistics of covariates

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Mean S.D. 25% Median 75%

Technological experience 0.077 ------ ------ ------ ------

University education 0.503 ------ ------ ------ ------

Age (level) 45.7 11.2 37.0 47.0 54.0

Female 0.044 ------ ------ ------ ------

Local business 0.293 ------ ------ ------ ------

Rural business 0.162 ------ ------ ------ ------

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Estimation resultsEstimation◦ OLS

◦ Tobit model

Dependent variables◦ Initial funding

◦ Debt finance ratio (debt and equity balance)

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Entrepreneurial human capital

Initial funding

(Debt finance ratio)Firm growth

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Estimation resultsTotal finance (Table 7): OLS

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Variables Initial funding

Technological skills (inventor) + +

University education + + +

Age (older) + + +

Female − −

Local business No significance

Rural business No significance

Pharmaceutical industry No significance

ICT industry − − −

Generic human capital

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Estimation resultsDebt finance ratio (Table 8): Tobit/OLS

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Variables Debt finance ratio

Technological skills (inventor) − − −

University education No significance

Age (older) No significance

Female No significance

Local business + + +

Rural business + + +

Pharmaceutical industry − − −

ICT industry − − −

Specific human capital

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Estimation resultsMajor findings

◦ Start-up firms managed by entrepreneurs with technological skills are more likely to rely on equity financing.

◦ Start-up firms managed by entrepreneurs with university education are more likely to have significant financing.

◦ Start-up firms managed by older entrepreneurs are more likely to have significant financing.

◦ Start-up firms located in entrepreneurs’ hometowns are more likely to rely on debt financing.

Summary◦ Specific human capital is associated with equity finance.

◦ Generic human capital is associated with debt and equity finance (total finance).

◦ The start-ups of local businesses depend on debt financing.

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Estimation resultsEstimation◦ 2SLS (GMM)

Dependent variables◦ Total asset growth

◦ Sales growth

Notes: These variables are defined as differences in the logarithms of total assets and sales between the first and second accounting years, respectively.

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Entrepreneurial human capital

Initial funding

(Debt finance ratio)Firm growth

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Estimation resultsFirm growth (Table 9): 2SLS (GMM)

Major findings◦ Start-up firms relying on debt financing are less likely to grow faster.

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Firm growth

Variable Total asset growth Sales growth

Debt finance ratio − − − − − −

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Concluding remarksWhat did this study explore?◦ The results reveal that some entrepreneur-specific characteristics are

significantly associated with initial funding.

New evidence◦ While generic human capital, measured by education and age, is

associated with debt and equity finance, specific human capital, measured by patent applications, is associated only with equity finance.

How do inventors raise funds when they become entrepreneurs?

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Inventors do not require debt financing when they become entrepreneurs.

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Concluding remarksPolicy implications◦ The Japanese financial system’s legacy of reliance on debt financing

might decrease the proportion of start-up firms with innovation and growth potential, although such legacy helps local businesses to raise funds at founding.

◦ To promote technology-driven entrepreneurship, policies shifting away from the current financial system that relies heavily on debt financing would be required by inventors.

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It would be desirable to shift the flow of fundsto equity financing for high-tech start-ups in Japan.

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Flow of funds in the financial system of Japan

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Households

Investors/VC Start-ups

Financial institutionsInsurance/Pensions

IncumbentsEquity

Labor market

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ReferencesColombo, M. G., Grilli, L. (2005) Founders’ human capital and the growth of new

technology-based firms: a competence-based view. Research Policy, 34, 795-816.

Colombo, M. G., Grilli, L. (2010) On growth drivers of high-tech start-ups: Exploring the role of founders’ human capital and venture capital. Journal of Business Venturing, 25, 610--626.

Cressy, R. (1996) Are business startups debt-rationed? Economic Journal, 106, 1253-1270.

Honjo, Y. (2015) Why are entrepreneurship levels so low in Japan? Japan and the World Economy, 36, 88-101.

Honjo, Y. (2017) Capital structure of start-up firms: an international comparison," (unpublished paper), KAKEN A Project, Kobe University.

Honjo, Y., Nagaoka, S. (2018) Initial public offering and financing of biotechnology start-ups: evidence from Japan, Research Policy, 47, 180-193.

Stam, E., Spigel, B. (2016) Entrepreneurial ecosystems, Tjalling C. Koopmans Research Institute Discussion Paper Series, 16-13.

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