The Hunt for Leading Indicators
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Transcript of The Hunt for Leading Indicators
© 2009 IBM Corporation
The Hunt for Leading IndicatorsModeling the Co-creation of Value in Complex IT Service Engagements
Susan U. Stucky, representing work with Melissa Cefkin, Yolanda Rankin, and Ben Shaw at IBM Research-Almaden,
SMART Workshop @ ServiceWave 2010, Ghent, Belgium
13 December 2010
© 2010 IBM Corporation2 Apr 10, 2023
Agenda
The Hunt for Leading Indicators in the Value Co-creation Process
Motivation
Example
Emerging model: ontology and dynamics
Leading IndicatorsWhy Where to look What kinds of data are needed (and available)What kinds of analytics make sense
Discussion
SMART Workshop
© 2010 IBM Corporation3 Apr 10, 2023
Motivation
Theoretical
“The fundamental axiom of service science is that the purpose of the service system is win-win value co-creation with other service systems. Service systems are all social systems (systems made up of people interacting) interpreted through the lens of value co-creation. Value co-creation is the purpose of a service system.”*
Practical
Value co-creation in complex BtoB IT service engagements can take months or years, involve hundreds if not thousands of people, as well vast numbers of other resources. Not much is known about how value-co-creation actually happens in the course of service engagements. Both a better understanding and ways of systematically monitoring, measuring and managing value co-creation dynamically.
*Source:SSME Course at IBM-Almaden/Jim Spohrer
© 2010 IBM Corporation4 Apr 10, 2023
Call center work is not easy
. .
We relate the tale of a successful IT service engagement…
There is a great deal
to know... . .
Call center work is not easy
. .
..and hundreds of people to deal with each day
. .
Fresh problems arise with each new introduction
. .
People are not happy . .There is much turnover . .
© 2010 IBM Corporation5 Apr 10, 2023
…the tale continues
bi-weekly meetings over demonstrations and prototypes
. .
We can improve the way call centers operate!
. .33 additional features co-
constructed, agreed and added to the formal requirements
. .
68 (35+33 add’l) features implemented and delivered
. .
Client Provider
35 feature requirements for a custom software
application
. .
Increasing collective intelligence and promoting harmonious
operation
. .
© 2010 IBM Corporation6 Apr 10, 2023
Let’s take a look:
We saw in this story:
– The original value promised was delivered
– Additional, unanticipated value was co-constructed
– This co-construction contributed value to both client and provider
Things don’t always work out so well…
© 2010 IBM Corporation7 Apr 10, 2023
Just as successes unfold, so do breakdowns
Value propositions are not realized due to unanticipated interactional work.
The problem solved turns out to be the wrong one
Value co-constructed by client and provider is left lying on the table
An idea that looks great on paper founders in the execution (e.g. access rights, intellectual property rights…).
The provider actualizes the value proposition, but the situation has changed.
© 2010 IBM Corporation8 Apr 10, 2023
Ontology (from Spohrer and Maglio, 2009)
Ecology
Entities
Resources– People– Technology– Organizations– Shared Information
Interactions
Value Proposition Based Interactions
Governance Mechanism Based Interactions
Outcomes
Stakeholders
Measures– Quality– Productivity– Compliance– Sustainable innovation
Access Rights
© 2010 IBM Corporation9 Apr 10, 2023
Positing two loosely-coupled subsystems
Governing: where value is realized
Actualizing: where value is created
• Entities (configurations of types of resources specified)
• Value-Prop based exchanges between entities• Governance-based interactions (configurations of roles)
• Access rights are specified
• Measure = transaction cost
• Represented as a network of entities
• Interactions among instances of resources
• Sets of interactions rated as positive or negative
• Outputs of interactions
• Measure: cost of interaction
• Represented as sets of interactions with outputs
© 2010 IBM Corporation10
Apr 10, 2023
DynamicsG
over
ning
Actu
alizi
ng
P IT O
P IT O
Provider Client
pp tc
tp pc
tp tc
resource (type)
resource (actual instance)
binding relation
interaction
entity
Governance
Actualization
Interactions
© 2010 IBM Corporation11
Apr 10, 2023
Fulfilled
instantiation acknowledgement
expected state actual state
Proposed
(unfolding over time)Actualization
Gov
erni
ngAc
tual
izing
unfolding as expectedleads to realization of
anticipated value
Service Actualization
Val
ue
Rea
liza
tion
straightforward emergent
noye
s (no problemo)
case
3
case
2case
1
or, if expectations align and value-increasing patterns prevail, realization of additional value from emergent “seeds”
Value realization in service engagements
au
tho
riza
tion
rea
liza
tion
P IT O
P IT O
Provider Client
P IT O
P IT O
Provider Client
commoditization
© 2010 IBM Corporation12
Apr 10, 2023
unanticipated interactional work
unaccounted-for coordination costs
the situation changes
co-constructed value is left lying on the table
the wrong problem is chosen to solve
obstacles over access rights, intellectual property
Breakdowns in service engagements
instantiation acknowledgementActualization(unfolding over time)
X
X
X
Fulfilledexpected state actual state
Proposed
P IT O
P IT O
Provider Client
P IT O
P IT O
Provider Client
Gov
erni
ngAc
tual
izing
Service Actualization
Val
ue
Rea
liza
tion
straightforward emergent
noye
s (no problemo)
case
3
case
2case
1
© 2010 IBM Corporation13
Apr 10, 2023
Leading indicators of value co-creation
Need to better manage the co-creation of value process– Value co-creation in complex BtoB IT service engagements is exceedingly complex and
unpredictable– Current governance mechanisms are an insufficient guarantee in the face of
externalities– Many measures of service quality are lagging indicators – measures after the fact and
cannot provide early warning
Leading indicators can predict short term trends that point to change before the whole system changes—in effect providing an early warning system
– Identify patterns that can indicate trouble ahead or opportunities to increase value for better decision-making
– Identify additional factors to improve contracts
Source: If applicable, describe source origin
IBM Presentation Template Full Version
© 2010 IBM Corporation14
Apr 10, 2023
On the trail of leading indicators for value co-creation
Claim 1: Value co-creation can be usefully understood to take place in two loosely coupled systems, governing and actualizing, that can come out of alignment over time detect misalignments
Claim 2: Value-co-creation can be understood as related but separable processes: actualization of value and realization of value. Detect whether co-created value is actualized and acknowledged by the co-producers
Claim 3: Service actualization (aka delivery) takes place through interaction among actual, particular, resources over time Track changes from the proposed, expected state, as service actualization unfolds
– Are there more resources involved than instantiated? – Are there different resources than were instantiated?– Are there more interactions among resources than expected? – Are they taking longer than expected. – Is the quality of those interactions changing?
Claim 3: Access rights (as defined contractually) constrain configurations of resource that are instantiated Track changes in the proposed configurations as service actualization unfolds– Are changes made in the access rights during actualization?– Are these changes reflected back in the governing system?
© 2010 IBM Corporation15
Apr 10, 2023
Data, Analytics, and Indicators
Exploratory Analytics
Latent Semantic Analysis
Network Discovery
Login Data
Social network Analysis
Unstructured text mining
Indicators
Changes in quality of interaction among resources
Changes in quantity of interactions among resources
Changes in Access Rights
Data
Interactions among resources
As specified in the contractual agreement
As they occur during actualization
Login/use of IT
Roles of people
Entity Map
© 2010 IBM Corporation16
Apr 10, 2023
Thank You and Discussion
© 2010 IBM Corporation17
Apr 10, 2023
Value created (from coconut shells) in unanticipated ways
© 2010 IBM Corporation18
Apr 10, 2023
The overall process
time
Client Engagement
pp pc
pp tc
pp ic
Transition
pp pc
pp tc
tp pc
tp tc
prp pc
Delivery
pp pc
tp ic
Procurement (C)
Opportunity Mgmt (P)
pp pc
ip pc
Tran
sact
iona
lIn
tera
ctio
nal