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The Governance of Global Value Chains; Implications for Industrial
Upgrading
Timothy J. Sturgeon, Ph.D.Industrial Performance Center
Massachusetts Institute of Technologyhttp://web.mit.edu/ipc/www
SEMINAR ON GLOBALIZATION, KNOWLEDGE, AND DEVELOPMENTUniversidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico (UNAM)
March 13-17, 2006Mexico City
Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006
Frame of Reference — Key Trends for Firm-level Analysis of
Globalization• Increased outsourcing• Computerization of product design• Computerization of process technology• Formalization and segmentation of work tasks (services
offshoring)• Increasing market volatility and industry clock-speed
(Fine)• Increasing geographic scope of production systems• Better integration of geographically dispersed production
systems• The rise of a new, global-scale supply-base The global value chains framework is an overarching rubric
that can help to tie these trends together New features are global suppliers, global buyers, and
value chain modularity, which eases coordination between the two.
Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006
Market Channel
End
User
Product R&D
Process R&D
Product strategy
Functional design
Form design
Dist.
Sales Reps.
System Int.
Retail
Market Channel
MarketingAdmin.
Traditional Manufacturing Firm
A) Vertical Integration
B) Value Chain Modularity
Lead Firms (Brands and Retailers)
End
User
Dist.
Sales Reps.
System Int.
Retail
Codifiable transferof specifications (CAE, CAD, CAM, MRP, ERP) at inter-firm link.What Baldwin and Clark (2000) call a“pinch point” in the chain of activities.
Full Package Supplier
Prototype fab.
Parts purchasing
Manufacturing
Testing
Packaging
Admin.
Product strategyProduct R&D
Functional design
Form design
Prototype fab.
Marketing Admin.
Firm boundary
Parts purchasing
Process R&D
Design for mfg.
Manufacturing
Testing
Packaging
Marketing
From Vertical Integration to Value Chain Modularity
Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006
Elements of Modularity• Modular product designs (e.g., the PC)• Modular value chain linkages (the hand-off)
• Modular value chains (internal)• Modular value chains (external)Only modularity in external value chains leads to capacity pooling and external economies of scale
Modular product designs make value chain modularity easier, but only one break point is needed — full product design modularity is not required
Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006
Elements of Value Chain Modularity• Codification of complex information eases the
hand-off at the inter-firm link—information technology and widely recognized standards are key.
• Highly competent suppliers with multiple locations and customers
• An adequate number of suppliers to allow lead firms to switch
• Generic capacity– Allows lead firms to add and subtract capacity on short notice
– Allows large suppliers to substitute locations Benefits for lead firms: lower costs and risk Risks for lead firms: IP leakage, creation of competitors, attenuated learning by manufacturing, forecasting and inventory distortions, de-codification with technological change, ceding of value to suppliers
Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006
Performance Benefits of Modular Production
Networks Information Technology
Open Character of Network
Lower Barriers to Network Entry and Exit
Standards
Codified Network Linkages
Greater Geographic Flexibility
Product/Customer Flexibility
Lower Factor
Costs
Network Characteristics
Network Performance
Greater Organizational Flexibility
Higher Capacity Utilization
Suppliers Provide Base
Processes
Generic Capacity Capacity
Attenuated Interdependence
Lower Total Cost and Risk
Preconditions
Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006
Lead firms with captive supply bases
Lead firm A
Supply base A
Lead firm B
Supply base B
Co-evolution
Competition
Supply Chain
End users
Value Chain
First tier
Second tier
Materials
Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006
Lead firms with shared, modular suppliers
Lead firm A Lead firm” n”
Shared supply base
Co-evolution(including
competition)
Co-evolution(including
competition)
Codifiable transferof specifications (CAE, CAD, CAM, MRP, ERP) at inter-firm link.What Baldwin and Clark (2000) call a“pinch point” in the chain of activities.
Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006
Value chain modularity with supplier consolidation
Lead firm A Lead firm” n”
Co-evolution(including
competition)
Co-evolution(including
competition)
Global suppliers
Global Supplier Examples:
Electronics contract manufacturing: Flextronics, Solectron, Sanmina-SCI, Celestica, Jabil, Hon Hai, Quanta, Compal
Auto parts: Magna, Delphi, Visteon, Bosch, Denso, Yazaki, Lear, Johnson Controls, TRW, Continental
Call Center Servvices: Accenture, SNT Group, Atento, Convergys, SR Teleperformance, Wipro BPO, Bertelsmann
Clinical Trials and Contract Medical Research: Quintiles, Covance, IMS Health, Parexel
IT Services and Enterprise Computing: IBM, Accenture, PriceWaterhouseCoopers, McKinsey, Cognizant
Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006
Revenue Growth at the Top Five Electronics Contract Manufacturers, 1994 through 2001, $M
1994 1999 2002CAGR’94-‘02
Share of Top100, 2002
Flextronics $211 $1,808 $13,615 68% 20%Solectron $1,642 $8,391 $12,261 29% 18%Sanmina-SCI $2,364 $8,624 $10,168 20% 15%Celestica $1,989 $5,297 $8,272 20% 12%Jabil Circuit $404 $2,400 $3,729 32% 5%Top 5 $6,610 $26,520 $48,045 28% 70%Top 100 NA $46,029 $68,149 NA 100%Note: All Celestica revenues in 1994 were from IBM.Sources: Company annual and quarterly reports; Electronic Business Top 100 Contract Manufacturers, 2003.
Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006
Top Five EMS Contract ManufacturersRevenues, Employment, and Facilities, and Location, 1999 and 2002; Compound Annual Growth Rate 1999-2002; and Top Five Share of Top 100, 2002
Source: Electronic Business Top 100 Contract Manufacturers, 2000 and 2003.Notes: Flextronics facility figures are for 2000; growth rates have been adjusted accordingly.Solectron facility figures are for 2001; growth rates have been adjusted accordingly.
1999 2002CAGR’99-‘02
Share of Top100, 2002
Revenues ($M) $26,520 $48,045 22% 70%Employment 123,580 280,030 31% 63%Worldwide Facilities 244 420 20% 69%Facilities Outside N. America 131 257 25% 82%
Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006
Product Mix for the Largest Five EMS Contract Manufacturers, 2001
Computers and peripherals
28%
Communications40%
Industrial5%
Medical6%
Military4%
Consumer8%
Other9%
Source: Electronic Business Top 100 Contract Manufacturers, 2002.
Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006
The new global supply-base; Celestica’s global footprint
1997 2001
Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006
Global suppliers offer “total geographic flexibility” in a shared global supply-base; coordination is internalized
Regional production systems are nested within global production systems
Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006
Upgrading at an Electronics Contract Manufacturing Plant in Guadalajara, Mexico, February, 2001 – July, 2004 (Jabil Circuit)
February 2001- July, 2002
March, 2004
Employment 3,500 down to 1,750 3,900 Number of customers served
5 17
Number of products made
215 600
Number of parts used
5,000 12,000
Employee turnover rate (monthly)
5% 2%
Average production run
Long Short
Number of engineering changes
Few Many
Representative products
• personal computers
• video gameconsoles
• mobile phon ehandsets
• communication sswitches
• specialized hand-held credit card processin gmachines
• Internet firewalls • electronic control s for
washing machines Source: Luhnow, David. “As Jobs Move East, Plants in Mexico Retool to Compete.” Wall Street Journal.com. March 5, 2004.
Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006
The Role of “Proximate Production Platforms” (Mexico, East Europe) in
GVCs• Rapid order fulfillment for “lean retailing”• Last minute customization for pull-through ordering• Medium technology products and processes that require moderate degree of design/prodcution co-location
• Product categories that require in-region production (autos, medical, military and security-related)
• Pass through production location as newer products shift from US to China
Competition is with developed country plants, not with China
Regional integration needs to move beyond trade, to the integration of production, innovation, and security regimes
Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006
The governance of global value chains: an analytic framework
Based on a paper by:Gary Gereffi, Duke University
John Humphrey, IDSTimothy Sturgeon, MIT
Published in:Review of International Political Economy, 12(1) 2005
Summary of approach with related literature can be found at the Global Value Chains Initiative website:
www.globalvaluechains.org
Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006
Theoretical Underpinnings(starting point: industrial
organization)1. Transaction Costs EconomicsKey concept: Asset specificityAcademic field: Institutional economics
2. Production Network Theory Key concepts: Trust, reputation, repeat transactions, social networks,
geographic proximity, powerAcademic fields: Economic sociology, economic geography
3. Complementary CompetenciesKey concepts: Resource view of the firm, learning, core competence,
co-evolution (buyer-supplier and industry)Academic fields: Strategic management, operations management,
evolutionary economics
Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006
Five GVC Governance Types
Governance Type
Complexity of transactions
Ability to codify transactions
Capabilities in the supply-base
Degree of explicit
coordination and power
asymmetry
Market Low High High
Modular High High High
Relational High Low High
Captive High High Low
Hierarchy High Low Low
Low
High
Network org. forms
Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006
Some Dynamics in Global Value Chain Governance
GovernanceType
Complexity oftransactions
Ability to codifytransactions
Capabilities in thesupply-base
Market Low High High
Modular Å High Ç High Ñ
High
Relational High É Low Ö High Ü
Captive High High Low
Hierarchy High Low Low
increasing complexity of transactions (harder to codify transactions; effective decrease in supplier competence) decreasing complexity of transactions (easier to codify transactions; effective increase in supplier competence) better codification of transactions (open or de facto standards, computerization) de-codification of transactions (technological change, new products, new processes) increasing supplier competence (decreased complexity, better codification, learning) decreasing supplier competence.(increased complexity, new technologies, new entrants)
Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006
Supplier Upgrading (and Downgrading) in Global Value Chains
More customers•Product upgrading
•Inter-sectoral upgrading
•Base process focus
More capabilities•Process upgrading
•Functional upgrading
•Functional bundling
Many customers
Many capabilities
Few customers
Few capabilities
CAPTIVE
FULL PACKAGE SUPPLIER
RELATIONAL
MODULARDe-codification and reduced competence
through technological change, new requirements, and new competitors
Copyright Timothy J. Sturgeon, Industrial Performance Center, MIT, 2006
GVC Governance TypesLinks to Policy
Governance Type Linkage mechanism Firm roles and competencies
Policy emphasis
Market Arms-length exports Branded exporter and importer of standardized
goods and services
Brand and product development, market research and access, import substitution
and export promotion
Modular Buyer-supplier complimentary
specialization in cross-border value chains
“Deverticalized” lead firms and full package suppliers with generic, base process competencies, and a global
footprint
Knowledge of global standards, process- and information technology upgrading
Relational Collaboration with co-location or in cross-border value chains with lots of air
travel
Clusters of specialists buyers and suppliers with process
and/or domain-specific competencies
Competence building, support of clusters and districts, focus on building tacit
domain knowledge
Captive Foreign direct investment Dependent supplier, customer-specific
competencies
Recruitment of MNC affiliates and suppliers, local content rules
Hierarchy Foreign direct investment Lower tier supplier Recruitment of MNC affiliates, education and training, infrastructure development,
local content rules