The Global Innovation Index 2017 - National Academies · 2020-04-14 · The Global Innovation Index...
Transcript of The Global Innovation Index 2017 - National Academies · 2020-04-14 · The Global Innovation Index...
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Soumitra DuttaFounder and co-editor
Cornell University
Bruno LanvinCo-editor
INSEAD
Sacha Wunsch-VincentCo-editor
WIPO
Dr. Rafael Escalona Reynoso
Lead Researcher, The Global Innovation Index
SC College of Business
Cornell Univerity
Beyond Patents:
Assessing the value and Impact of Research Investment
National Academy of Sciences Building
Washington, D.C.
28 June 2017
The Global Innovation Index
2017
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Introduction and Rationale1
The Global Innovation Index 2017
Rankings and other Parameters3
Conclusions and Future Perspectives4
Architecture and Metrics2
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Measures innovation across 127
economies
Leading reference on innovation
A ‘tool for action’ for decision
makers with the goal of
improving countries’ innovation
performances
Focuses on a particular theme
where innovation is key
Recognizes innovation as key
driver of economic growth
Offers a holistic analysis of
innovation, applicable to both
developed and emerging
economies alike
Helps monitor innovation
progress on a yearly basis
Introduction1.1
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• Measuring innovation is complex and a moving target
1. Difficulty of right data selection
2. Difficulty of right scaling
3. Difficulty of right aggregation
4. Keeping model constant versus dynamic
No simple formula
Possible criticism: Nature of selection of
variables & aggregation
Rationale1.2
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Launched in 2007
When?
How?
Using a collection of metrics to monitor performance over
time and to benchmark developments against countries,
region and income peers
Why?
To find metrics and approaches that closely mirror innovation
environments in society and go beyond traditional measures
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81 Metrics Create a
Tool for Action
Architecture2.1
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1. Quantitative/objective/hard data
―57 indicators
2. Composite indicators/index data
―19 indicators
3. Survey/qualitative/subjective/soft data
―5 indicators
The model includes 81 indicators, which fall
within the following three categories:
Metrics 2.2
Patent-related
• Patents filed in 2+ offices
• Patents by origin
• PCT patent applications
All scaled by bn PPP$ GDP
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• The statistical soundness of the GII and of modelling
assumptions on scores and ranks is tested every year.
• Problematic indicators = identified and treated.
• The redundancy of indicators is assessed.
• Sensitivity and uncertainty analysis conducted
• Recognition that measuring innovation is a journey. The GII
team continually tests the model for relevance to better
reflect an improved understanding of innovation
Statistical strategies to ensure robustness of results
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Rankings and other Parameters3
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1. Switzerland
2. Netherlands
3. Sweden
4. Luxembourg
5. USA
6. United Kingdom
7. Germany
8. Ireland
9. Korea, Rep.
10. Iceland
1. Singapore
2. Sweden
3. Switzerland
4. Finland
5. USA
6. Denmark
7. United Kingdom
8. Hong Kong (China)
9. Netherlands
10. Canada
Input Sub-Index Output Sub-Index 1. Switzerland
2. Sweden
3. Netherlands
4. USA
5. United Kingdom
6. Denmark
7. Singapore
8. Finland
9. Germany
10. Ireland
GII
Global rankings of GII 2017 (top 10)
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Efficient and Inefficient Innovators
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Strength• Scores with percent ranks greater than the 10th largest
percent rank among the 81 indicators in that economy.
Weakness• Scores with percent ranks lower than the 10th smallest
percent rank among the 81 indicators in that economy.
Innovation
Achievers
• Countries which GII scores are higher than expected,
based on their level of economic development as
measured by GDP per capita.
Pillar
Outperformers
• Countries that outperform their income group peers in
four or more GII pillars.
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Innovation activities confronted with low investment and resource constraints
Evolving innovation landscape: emerging economies play increasingly a role in innovation
Good quality of innovation remains a distinct characteristic of innovation leaders
The innovation divide remains
Sub-Saharan Africa region sees the most significant improvements in the GII rankings, but
still needs support
Key role of governments, and of public and coordinated private investments in creating
sound innovation systems
Conclusions4.1
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Geocoded patent data enables the
identification of clusters
Largest clusters of inventive activity:
1. Tokyo-Yokohama
2. Shenzhen-Hong Kong (China)
3. San Jose– San Francisco, CA
Measurement remains challenging
Importance of clusters of inventive activity and innovation
hubs at sub-national level
Future Perspectives4.2
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Thank you for
your attention
Please visit us at:
http://www.globalinnovationindex.org
@GI_Index
#GII2017
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Annexes
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Annex I: Main quantitative results of GII 2017
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Country Profile Data Table
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Income Group Rankings – Top 3Income Group Rankings (top 3)
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Regional Rankings – Top 3
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Annex II: Conclusions and key messages 2017
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New growth momentum, but
investment and productivity growth
at historic lows
Lackluster growth rates for R&D
activities, both at the government
and corporate levels.
Leveraging innovation-driven growth
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GII remains stable at the top
China keeps rising
Continued gap between developed and
developing nations
Low-income economies closing the gap
More innovation convergence is needed
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Sub-Saharan Africa
High innovation performance relative to
development
More innovation achievers than any other region
Noted improvements in: Institutions, Market
sophistication, Infrastructure and Human Capital
Drivers of growth in the region have seen a
slowdown
Latin America and the Caribbean
Opportunity to improve innovation capacity
No identified innovation achiever
Sustained efforts in improved innovation
investments and more coordinated innovation
systems are required
Broader regional R&D and innovation
cooperation also needed
Sub-Saharan Africa and Latin America: Preserve the
momentum and leverage the innovation potential
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Innovation is required to confront slow growth in agricultural productivity:
Adequate information to farmers, skills, adoption of new products and processes
Farmers empowerment by providing access to digital technologies and new service platforms
Boost entrepreneurship and venture capital approaches
Adopt excellence and innovation attitudes into the agricultural sector
Improve national legal and regulatory frameworks in agriculture
Smart digital agricultural innovation to overcome food challenges
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Smart agriculture (distribution, value chains) is now required on a global scale
Policy makers have a responsibility to provide funding mechanisms to stimulate
innovation in agriculture and food production, especially in developing countries,
which have yet to benefit from earlier waves of agricultural innovations
Solving the food equation (feeding 10 billion
people while reducing pressure on natural resources
(land, energy eg) requires innovation.
A wave of new agricultural innovations is taking place
(digital agriculture), but rolling out rather slowly in
many parts of the world
Innovation Feeding the World : from Digital to Smart Agriculture
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Annex III: Structure and Computation
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Global Innovation Index
Innovation Efficiency Ratio
Innovation Input
Sub-Index
Innovation Output
Sub-Index
Structure (1/2)
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Innovation Input
Sub-Index
Innovation Output
Sub-Index
1. Institutions
4. Market sophistication
2. Human capital and
research
3. Infrastructure
5. Business sophistication
6. Knowledge and
technology outputs
7. Creative outputs
The two sub-indices
have the same
weight
Structure (2/2)
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Country/econom
y coverage
• Inputs: 54 indicators
• Outputs: 27 indicators
• Minimum coverage: 66%-66% per sub-index
• Must have scores for at least two sub-pillars per pillar.
Computation (1/2)
Data range • 10 year range cut-off (except when new or revised data).
Missing data• Not considered in Sub-pillar score
• For the sake of transparency and replicability of
results, no effort made to fill missing values.
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Outliers• Selection:
• Absoluter skewness > 2.25 or
• Kurtosis greater than 3.5
• Treatment:
• Winsorization
• Multiplication by f factor plus Log transformation
Computation (2/2)
Normalization• Min-Max Method
• All scores are normalized between 0 and 100
• Except Innovation Efficiency Ratio
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Annex IV: Collaborators
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Co-published by Cornell University,
INSEAD and WIPO
Three Knowledge Partners:
Confederation of Indian Industry,
PricewaterhouseCoopers and Strategy&,
National Confederation of Industry and
Serviço Brasileiro de Apoio às Micro e
Pequenas Empresas
Independent statistical audit by the
Joint Research Centre of the European
Commission
International Advisory Board
Collaboration among GII Partners