The future role of education

in the developed world(short version)

Frederic De Meyer

Institute for Future Insights

China and India are producing more scientific and engineering graduates than the developed countries taken together;

In Europe, the percentage of the working population aged between 15 and 64 will decline from 67.2% in 2007 to 57% by 2050;

By 2025 1.8 Billion people will live in areas with absolute water scarcety, causing new migration waves to water-rich regions;

BRIC countries are already accounting for 11% of the Forbes top 2000 leading companies, new competition for business in the developed world...

What is the role of education in dealing with these challenges?

Climate change(water shortage; lost crops;

draught, ...)

Digital divide(gap rich-poor widening)

New waves of (im)migration

Ageing population

GenY

Consumerization of IT

Globalization 3.0

Social EntrepreneurshipRising middle class in

emerging

Global Grid(crowdsourcing, open

innovation, desintermediation, ...)

New culture

New skillsNew competitors

Education

New business tools(gamification, virtual

company, shared value, open source, ...)

Alternatives(social learning, e-learning,

...)

Global mobility(brain drain, war for talent, ...)

Which forces are at play for developed countries’ education system?

Frederic De Meyer

How new migration patterns will change the focus ofeducation sector in the developed world

Global warming will likely increase water shortage and wasted harvests (amongst other)

Increasing emigration to North Global mobility: GenY to move to growing countries?

Brain drain and ageing population will make developed countries look for skills globally, selective immegration

Digital devide will lead to new economic migrations

Pressure on education system to:

- offer inclusive education for new migrants;- adapt education curriculum for better understanding of new cultures, promote multiculurality to avoid frictions;- adapt curriculum to retain young talents;- focus on key skills where shortage might occur.

Brain drain from West to East

Frederic De Meyer

A cultural shift in society needs to be translated into new educational standards

Ageing population will be required to work longer... But will they work differently or do different work?

GenY requires different working environment (permanent feedback; flexibility; open communication; ...)

Crowdsourcing,Open innovation,

Social entrepreneurship, ...

Consumerization of IT: people (especially GenY) will increasingly want to use personal technologies in their professional environment

Cloud Computing,Virtualization

Pressure on education system to focus on reconversion of elderly workers.

Pressure on education system to use personal technologies in learning methods

Pressure on education system to adapt to GenY students aspirations and needs.

Teach Use

New Collaboration tools VVVVV VVVVV

Social networks VVV VVVV

Cloud Computing VVVV

Augmented reality VVV

Introducing new tools and technologies in the educational environment:

Frederic De Meyer

Brazil

2%

China5% India

3% Russia

1%

Rest

89%

Education will need to focus on teaching new skills

Developed economies will loose global weight in future: Competitiveness will

be determined by:- Ability to innovate;- Efficiency gains;- Ease of multicultural collaboration;- New business models;- Open sourcing.

Frederic De Meyer

Business trends I:- Gamification;- Crowdsourcing;- Open innovation;- Open sourcing;- Mass customization

Business trends II:- Shared Value;- Cradle to cradle;- Corporate citizenship;- Social innovation

Some examples:

(doing good as a core business or using its core business)

Sustainable/ social business practices driven by:- Public opinion;-GenY (employees), War for Talent;- Conscious buying;- Climate change effects;- Self interest (cost, risk).

BRIC Countries now account for more than 10% of Forbes 2000 global leading companies

Pressure on education system to teach new skills:

° Entrepreneurship° Collaboration° Multiculturaility

° Open innovation° Open sourcing° Virtualization

° Innovation° Business modeling° ...

200 best universities, emerging countries with ranking

Sources: Times higher Education University-list Topuniversities

China 37 / 49 / 58 / 120 /

171

49 / 52 / 103 / 153 /

154 / 168

47 / 54 / 105 / 151 /

154 / 177

India 0 163 / 181 187

Russia 0 168 93

Others 147 / 183 138 / 180 / 190 0

TOTAL # 7 12 8

Most popular universities:

4icu.org

Mexico 4 / 193

China 8 / 10 / 12 / 13 / 16 /

23 / 25 / 72 / 187 /

188 / 189

Brazil 29 / 64 / 102 / 106 /

137

India 24 / 28 / 33 / 181

Indonesia 32

Hungary 35

Turkey 38 / 40 / 41

Russia 131

Chile 158

Argentina 166

Thailand 198 / 200

TOTAL # 32

Western education meets new competitors

Frederic De Meyer

As from 2002 China and India produced more science graduates than the developed world together !

Universities in emerging countries represent 3-6% of Top 200 universities, but 15% of most popular universities

New ways of learning:

° e-learning° social learning° gaming° virtual worlds° question value !

Currently scientific papers still come mainly from US, Europe and Japan, but this could chang quickly !

Pressure on education system to:

- Form new partnerships;- innovate learning provision- Attract and retain top students

(Map distorted by # scientific papers in country of residence)

Checklist for education sector

Notes:

frederic de meyerfounder

the institute for future insights-helping you anticipate the future-

Keynote speech at the start of your strategic planning session- or your industry event;

Eye opening workshops for internal planning purposes;Discussions on ways to innovate for the future;

Contact:

ifi.frederic@gmail.com(BE)+32 471 63 95 35www.fredericdemeyer.comtwitter: @fdemeyerget in touch on Linkedin