"The future City" - Martin Powell, Head of Urban Development, Global Centre of Competence for Cities...

Our Urban Future

Martin Powell

Head of Urban Development, Global Centre of Competence for Cities

The C40 Cities Group

In God we Trust…

…The rest of us need to bring Data!

Greater London Authority

They will Love it…

They will hate it…


megatrends

“What is driving this change?”


75% of world’s cities located in exposed coastal zones

Source: Center for Climate Science Research


Human Development Index

Ecological Footprint, 2003


What do sustainable cities look like?

Mumbai - 34,000 people per km (sq)

London - 4500 people per km (sq)


cities react

“How are our cities responding?”


4267…

the strategy

“How is London responding?”

London has committed to ambitious carbon

reduction targets

Profile of national targets and aspirationsProfile of London’s reductions to achieve 450ppm stabilisation

1DECC modelling for CCC. Sources: CCAP (2006) CCC (2008) * Extrapolation based on CCA trend to 2022 for non-residential buildings

Profile of a BAU Projection for non-residential emissions to 20221

1990 20502020

Ca

rbon

em

issio

ns

26% by 2020 CCA

2008

80% by 2050

CCA 2008

Target for

London = 60%

15%

Today

2030

Desired national

profile

Desired London

profile

BAU*


• The energy efficiency measures in buildings and heating, ventilation and air-con dominate the negative abatement cost.

• Transport plays an important role in negative-to-low cost reductions, particularly in passenger cars (light-duty vehicles).

• They also present all of the more costly options rated at €20/tCO2e or more, including electric vehicles.

• Data drawn from McKinsey: a low-carbon economy, v2, 2009.

The marginal cost globally

31

© Siemens AG 2012. All rights reserved.| 32 |

800 Page report! –

What is the ambitious contribution of Solar PV?


Technical Capacity for Solar PV in London


Energy Strategy


London’s Energy Strategy

“There is still time to avoid the worst impacts of climate

change, if we take strong action now.”

Stern Review, October 2006.

Be lean – use less energy

Be green – use renewable energy

Be clean – supply energy efficiently

The energy hierarchy


London’s current CO2 emissions

Total CO2 emissions in London (2008) = 44.71 MtCO2 per annum


Press Office City of Munster, Germany


Local environment

What kind of city do we want?


finding options

“What is the answer?”


“You cannot solve a problem from the same consciousness

that created it. You must learn to see the world anew.”


Over the next 20 years we will need bigger transport units carrying twice as many people

moving even faster…


2-tier travel


innovation

“Can we deliver the change quickly enough?”


48ml


40


0.9 40 = 1.4%

Chance of Success

Connecting

innovations and

embracing change


Scale


Moscow

Buenos aires


Veränderungen in der Kommunikation

CC BC WI

making a place

“Can we see this really happening?”

1986 2006 2012 2026

Po

pu

latio

n

gro

wth


celebrate success

“How do we know we are making

progress?”


Decoupling: Rate of motorisation and GDP

(Source: LSE Cities)


Decoupling: CO2 Emissions and GDP


meaningful measures

“How can I contribute?”


80 Litres


Martin Powell

Global Head of Urban

Development

[email protected]

Twitter @martinpowell14

Thank You

mailto:[email protected]

"The future City" - Martin Powell, Head of Urban Development, Global Centre of Competence for Cities...

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