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The Fourth Symposium on Southwest Hydrometeorology, Tucson Hilton East Hotel, Tucson, AZ September...
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Transcript of The Fourth Symposium on Southwest Hydrometeorology, Tucson Hilton East Hotel, Tucson, AZ September...
The Fourth Symposium on Southwest Hydrometeorology, Tucson Hilton East Hotel, Tucson, AZ September 20-21, 2007
Introduction
The objective of this study is to develop an ANN algorithm by combining Cloud-Top Tb and CG Lightning and to classify and estimate rainfall intensity for summer thunderstorms in Eastern Arizona, Western New Mexico, and Southern Colorado and Utah.
AbstractLightning-rainfall studies have demonstrated that rainy clouds with colder top temperature (Tb) and with stronger
lightning activity generally produce heavier rainfall. The present study confirms the results of existing literature and also shows that there is a strong correlation between lightning (L) and rainfall for thunderstorms. The objective of this study is to improve an infrared-based high resolution rainfall retrieval algorithm for summer thunderstorms. High-resolution cloud-top brightness temperature (CT-Tb) from geostationary satellite (GOES)
infrared (IR) in conjunction with cloud-to-ground lightning (CGL) from the National Lightning Detection Networks (NLDN) is used for rainfall classification as well as estimation. We are applying an artificial neural networks (ANN) system for cloud classification as well as rainfall estimation from the combination of IR-Tb and CGL. The
presented results are during summer thunderstorms generating heavy rainfall and hazardous lightning events, for two storms in July 2006 and four storms in August 2006. The study area is located at latitude between 32oN to 38oN and longitude from 106oW to 112oW, covering parts of New Mexico, Arizona, Colorado, and Utah.
Methodology Merging satellite-based cloud-top IR and lightning data.
Classifying cloud types based on specific thresholds.
Training model using NEXRAD rainfall.
Testing the created ANN for different area and time.
Data Satellite-based Cloud-Top Tb IR (GOES11), Channel-4
(10.7m), ½ hourly, 4km x 4km resolution.
Ground-based Lightning (NLDN), millisecond.
Ground-based Radar Rainfall (NEXRAD), hourly, stage-IV, 4km x 4km resolution
An ANN system, Feed-Forward Network and Backpropagation Algorithm, is used for rainfall classes and estimates from the combination of Tb-L.
Preliminary Findings
Adding lightning, L, to cloud-top, Tb, could improve rainfall estimates because the L-R relationship has higher correlation than the Tb-R relationship.
Future Work Improve rainfall at higher resolutions using IR-Tb and L.
Cloud classification to derive relationships for different cloud types.
Validate rainfall model estimation.
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration - Cooperative Remote Sensing Science and Technology Center
Fig. 4 – Relationship between Rainfall and IR-Tb (a, c)
and between LPRSC and Rainfall (b, d) for thunderstorms in July & August 2006 at 12km*12km resolution.
Fig. 5 – Above graphs display in New Mexico, the daily mean precipitation for the Hollomon AFB, during 1961-1990 (a) and the flash floods events, during 1959-1998 (b).
DEM of Study Area12km*12km
Following figure (b) demonstrates that lightning has higher correlation with rainfall than IR (a, c).
nCG
L P
eak
RS
C (
kA)
Longitude (Degrees, West) Longitude (Degrees, West)
Longitude (Degrees, West)
L
atitu
de (
Deg
rees
, Nor
th)
L
atitu
de (
Deg
rees
, Nor
th)
L
atitu
de (
Deg
rees
, Nor
th)
Study Area
Fig. 1 – Study area.
NLDN sensors US NEXRAD
Clo
ud T
op-T
b (K
)
NE
XR
AD
Rai
n (m
m)
(a) (b)
VAISALATUCSON, ARIZONA
Ali S. Amirrezvani & Drs. Shayesteh Mahani and Reza Khanbilvardi Dr. Steve GoodmanNOAA-CREST, CCNY, CUNY NOAA Collaborator
L
atitu
de (
Deg
rees
, Nor
th)
pCGL Peak RS Current nCGL Peak RS Current
C
GL
Pea
k R
etur
n-S
trok
e C
urre
nt (
kA)
(d)
Fig. 2 – NLDN sensors map (a), US NEXRAD map (b).
Cloud Top-Tb IR (K) NEXRAD Rain (mm)
pCG
L P
eak
RS
C (
kA)
NE
XR
AD
Rai
n (m
m)
C
GL
Pea
k R
etur
n-S
trok
e C
urre
nt (
kA)
Fig. 3 a, b, c, d – Above images show the comparison between different rainfall patterns at 12km*12km. These figures (b & d ) illustrate higher correlation between rainfall and lightning peak return-stroke current (PRSC).
(c)
NM , 1961-1990
(b)(a)
Longitude (Degrees, West)
Cloud Top-Tb IR (K) NEXRAD Rain (mm)
cc = -0.2952 cc = -0.5214
NE
XR
AD
Rai
n (m
m)
RR-Tb nLPRSC-RR (b)(a)
RR-Tb pLPRSC-RR
cc = 0.1193cc = -0.2801
(d)(c)
Multi-Source Thunderstorm Rainfall Estimation using Infrared and Lightning Data
Cloud Top- Tb Radar Rainfall(a) (b)